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Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
ADVANCED
PRICE ACTION TECHNIQUES
TO SUPERCHARGE YOUR
FOREX TRADING
Professional Strategies To Turn Your Forex Trading Around in 20 Trades
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Course Objective
OBJECTIVE:
Learn to trade using price action
Learn to trade using proprietary trading tools the same way banks and
institutions do
Learn to think like a professional trader – understand the random
environment we work in each day
Learn why we need to track our progress and manage our risk very carefully
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
OBJECTIVE
To start thinking about trading
the same way a professional
trader does.
Section 1: Think Like a Professional
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 1: Think Like a Professional
Q: What is the major difference
between a successful trader and an
unsuccessful trader?
A: Successful traders think in probabilities! They understand that trading
is a numbers game and understand that it has nothing to do with trying
to be right on every trade.
Amateur traders don’t have a consistent approach because they can’t handle
losing – they don’t understand that trading is purely a game of probabilities.
They try and learn as much as they can about Technical Analysis because they
want to be right on every trade. When they have a few losses they run off to buy
a new book or a new course because they think their ‘method’ doesn’t work.
The majority of the time It has NOTHING to do with the method they are using.
It has to do with the way they think about trading.
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Q: So how do we start thinking like a
professional trader?
A: We need to focus on trading in
sample sizes and NOT focus on
individual trades
Section 1: Think Like a Professional
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 1: A Trip to the Casino
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
THE AMATEUR TRADER:
Trade
Number:
Trading System 1
This System doesn’t
work! Let me find
something else
Trading System 2
Trade
Number:
This System doesn’t
work! Let me find
something else
Switching
Section 1: Trading in Sample Sizes
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
20
19
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
1
The Professional Trader:
Trade
Number:
Trading Method
2 One sample
size complete
After one FULL sample size the professional trader
can assess his performance – if undesirable he can
then look to tweak his method – NOT switch to
something else
Section 1: Trading in Sample Sizes
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
By trading in sample sizes of 20 trades a set we are able to
monitor our progress to see how our method performs
over the long term and shift our focus away from the
trade by trade mentality of an amateur trader.
Our goal is to capture data on a daily basis – the more data we have the more
information we have at hand to assess the reliability of our edge. If our edge is
diminishing we do not want to lose our whole account before we realise
something is wrong.
By using a simple spreadsheet we can keep track of how we’re doing. Remember
this is a pure numbers game, a game of probabilities.
Let’s have a look at an example of what this looks like...
Section 1: Tracking Your Progress
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Here is an example of using a spreadsheet to track your performance
Section 1: Tracking Your Progress (cont.)
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Controlling risk – is your number ONE focus if
you want to survive in this game
Q: How much should I risk on each trade I put on?
When you are learning to trade I
would suggest not risking more
then 0.1% - 0.25% a trade.
50%? 30%? 25%? 10%? 5%? 2%?
Section 1: Risk Management
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
If you can’t make consistent gains on risking tiny
amounts (I’m talking cents) you will NOT do it
risking more – SIMPLE!
Once, and only once you are able to trade with
confidence and not make mistakes should you even
consider risking more – I suggest NEVER risking
more then 1% of your account size.... EVER!
Remember trading is a skill as with any other
profession – it takes years to master! The money
will flow into your account, but ONLY when you’ve
developed the skills.
Section 1: Risk Management
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
SECTION 2:
Market Structure & Technical Tools
Section 2: Market Structure & Technical Tools
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2 Objective
OBJECTIVE:
Learn how to identify major price cycles
Learn how to identify support & resistance zones
Learn how to draw Fibonacci retracements & projections
Learn how to draw trendlines & channels
Learn how to find high probability trading levels
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Price Cycles – Major vs. Minor (Up Swing)
Lowest Low
Swing High
Higher Swing Low
Higher Swing High
Higher Swing Low
Highest High
Major Swing points
Minor Swing points
Minor Swing Points
Daily/4H Chart
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Price Cycles – Major vs. Minor (Down Swing)
Daily/4H Chart
Lowest Low
Highest High
Major Swing points
Minor Swing Points
Swing High
Lower Swing Low
Swing Low
Lower Swing High
Minor Swing Points
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Sell orders
Sell orders
buy orders –stops & breakout traders above level
Sell orders
Position
accumulation
Section 2: Order Flow - What goes on at a key level
Key Level
Buy orders from fresh buyers
Buy orders from previous sellers
with no stop loss
Buy orders from newer sellers
taking profits
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Key Support Zones – Double Bottom
Key Support Zone
Double/Triple Bottom
Daily/4H Chart
Look for Bullish Reversal Pattern
Good buying pressure
More buying pressure new
highs made
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Key Resistance Zones – Double Top
Double/Triple Top
Key Resistance Zone
Daily/4H Chart
Look for Bearish Reversal Pattern
Good Selling
Pressure
More offers
seen, price
makes new
lows
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2:
Key Resistance Zone becomes Key Support Zone – Price Flip
Key Resistance Zone Key Support Zone
Key Resistance Zone becomes Key Support Zone
Daily/4H Chart
Look for Bearish Reversal Pattern
Look for Bullish Reversal Pattern
Good selling
pressure, new
lows seen
Offers drying
up, higher
lows seen
Sell Orders
taken out,
no more
offers
Good buying
pressure, market
well bid. New highs
made
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Key Support Zone becomes Key Resistance Zone – Price Flip
Key Support Zone Key Resistance Zone
Daily/4H Chart
Key Support Zone becomes Key Resistance Zone
Look for Bullish Reversal Pattern
Look for Bearish Reversal Pattern
Good buying pressure
Weaker buying pressure
lower highs made
No more bids ,
order block
taken out
Good selling pressure
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Finding Key Support & Resistance Zones
Tip:
Look for multiple rejections at a level. Three or more visits to an area
adds more weight to the level
Daily/4H Chart
Tip:
Watch the candle wicks and how price leaves an area
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Refining Support/Resistance Zones
Reference the LAST bullish candle before price started to drop when
price approaches the highs again
Reference the last bearish candle before price started to
rally when price approaches the area again
Look for Bullish
Pattern
Look for Bearish
Pattern
How did price
leave the area?
Resistance
Support
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: How to use Candles/Bars
Look for big candles to CLOSE above key levels
This shows commitment from large flows
Look for big candles to CLOSE below key levels
This shows commitment from large flows
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Fibonacci Retracements – Up Swing
Lowest Low
Highest High
Major Swing points
0.0
38.2
50.0
61.8
70.7
78.6
88.6
100
Daily/4H Chart
Note: Always look at the Lowest Low & Highest High
When drawing Fibonacci Levels
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Fibonacci Retracements – Down Swing
0.0
38.2
50.0
61.8
70.7
78.6
88.6
100.0
Highest High
Lowest Low
Major Swing points
Note: Always look at the Highest High & Lowest Low
When drawing Fibonacci Levels
Daily/4H Chart
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Fibonacci Projections – Up Swing
0.0
38.2
50.0
61.8
70.7
78.6
88.6
100
1.27
1.618
2.618
1.27
1.618
2.618
0.0
38.2
50.0
61.8
70.7
78.6
88.6
100
1.27
1.618
2.618
1.27
1.618
2.618
X X
A A
Price breaks 0.0%
Price breaks 100%
Fib Retracement
Fib Projection
Fib Projection
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Fibonacci Projections – Down Swing
100
0.0
38.2
50.0
61.8
70.7
78.6
88.6
1.27
1.618
2.618
1.27
1.618
2.618
100
0.0
38.2
50.0
61.8
70.7
78.6
88.6
1.27
1.618
2.618
1.27
1.618
2.618
X
A
X
A
Fib Retracement
Fib Projection
Fib Projection
Price breaks 0.0%
Price breaks 100%
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Combining Fibonacci Retracements & Fibonacci Projections
0.0
38.2
50.0
61.8
70.7
78.6
88.6
100
1.27
1.618
2.618
1.27
1.618
2.618
0.0
38.2
50.0
61.8
70.7
78.6
88.6
100
1.27
1.618
2.618
1.27
1.618
2.618
78.6% Retracement & 1.27% Projection
1.618% Projection & 2.618% Projection
X
A
B
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Trendlines and Channels
2
1
Find TWO swing highs
1
2
Find TWO swing lows
Look for patterns to sell IF these trendlines
align with other Resistance zones
Look for patterns to buy IF
these trendlines align with
other Support Zones
Look for patterns to sell IF
these trendlines align with
other Resistance zones
Daily/4H Chart
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Putting It All Together - The Power of Confluence
We are looking for Key Support & Resistance Zones to
align with Fibonacci Retracements, Fibonacci
Projections and Trendlines. When we have more then
one tool lining up at the same place it stacks the
probabilities in our favour
NO trade will be considered if a key Support or
Resistance Zone from the Daily or 4H chart is not
present.
All confluence levels are found on the Daily or 4H
charts
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Exercise
Complete this exercise:
 Identify key confluence levels on your Daily and 4H
chart using the above tools.
 What you are going to do is highlight the areas on your
chart and then journal each reaction price has from those
levels.
 Take notes of the maximum drawdown as well as the
maximum reaction from the level before price comes back
to the level.
 This will build confidence in your analysis. The more
you do it the better you will become.
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Finding High Probability Trading Levels - Combining Fibonacci
Retracements with Key Support & Resistance Zones – Up Swing
0.0
38.2
50.0
61.8
70.7
78.6
88.6
100
Daily/4H Chart
Key Resistance Zone
Key Support Zone
**Look for Bullish Reversal Pattern on smaller timeframe
** 38% & Key Support Zone
** 50% , Key Support Zone & Trendline
** 70.7% & Key Support Zone
Highest High
Lowest Low
Note: Always look at the Lowest Low & Highest High
When drawing Fibonacci Levels
Major Swing points
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
SECTION 3:
Patterns
Section 3: Patterns
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Patterns
The Head & Shoulders pattern
The Gartley pattern
The Bat pattern
The Butterfly pattern
The Crab pattern
The Base pattern
Patterns within patterns
OBJECTIVE: Learn how to identify high probability patterns
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Patterns - Head & Shoulders
Key Resistance Zone
HH
HL
HH
HL
HL
Lower Low
Backside of Trendline tested
Head
Right Shoulder
Left Shoulder
Right shoulder = Left Shoulder
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Key Support Zone
Left
Shoulder
Head
Right Shoulder
Higher high
Right shoulder = Left Shoulder
Backside of Trendline tested
LL
LH
LL
LH
LH
Section 3: Patterns – Inverse Head & Shoulders
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Patterns - Bullish Gartley
Key Support Zone
X
A
B
C
D
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Patterns - Bearish Gartley
Key Resistance Zone
X
B
C
A
D
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Patterns – Bullish Bat
Key Support Zone
A
C
B
D
X
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Patterns - Bearish Bat
A
Key Resistance Zone X
B
C
D
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Key Support Zone
A
X
B
C
D
Section 3: Patterns - Bullish Butterfly
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Patterns - Bearish Butterfly
Key Resistance Zone
X
A
B
C
D
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Pattern - Bullish Crab
Key Support Zone
X
A
B
C
D
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Patterns - Bearish Crab
Key Resistance Zone
X
A
B
C
D
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Patterns - The Bullish Base
Resistance
Daily/4H chart Key Support Zone
1min/5min Chart
Stop Placement below the lows
Entry on retest
Support Support
Target Higher timeframe level
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Patterns - The Bearish Base
Daily/4H chart Key Resistance Zone
1min/5min Chart
Entry on retest
Target Higher timeframe level
Stop Placement above the highs
Resistance
Support
Resistance
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Patterns
Patterns Within Patterns – Head & Shoulders Pattern Broken Down
Bearish Butterfly
completing at the
Head
Bearish Gartley
completes
Right Shoulder
Left
Shoulder
Head
Right
Shoulder
Key Resistance Zone
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 3: Patterns
Patterns Within Patterns – Butterfly Completes the Gartley
C
Key Support Zone
X
A
B
D
X
A
B
C
D
Small Bullish Butterfly
completes Large Bullish
Gartley
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
0.0
38.2
50.0
61.8
70.7
78.6
88.6
100
Section 4: Trade Entry – Limit Orders
Key Support Zone
Buy Limit order placed
Stop Loss placed below lows
Place order 2 pips above Fib level and ADD the spread
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
78.6
Section 4:
Trade Management
Section 4: Trade Management
Key Support Zone
Fibonacci Confluence from Pattern
1.27
5 min Chart
B
C
D
Key Resistance Zone
Target Hit
Initial Stop below lows
Micro Sup/Res Levels
Trail stop behind swing lows
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
D
0.0
38.2
50.0
61.8
70.7
78.6
88.6
100
1.27
Section 4: Targets – Where To Take Profits
Key Support Zone
38.2% + Resistance
70.7% + Resistance
Old Highs
B
A
X
C
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
SECTION 5:
Trading a Range Bound & Trending
Market Environment
Section 5: Trading a Range Bound & Trending Market Environment
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 5: Trading a Range Bound & Trending Market Environment
OBJECTIVE:
Learn how to trade in a range bound market environment
Learn how to trade in a trending market environment
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 5: Trading a Range Bound & Trending Market Environment
Reference your Daily and 4 HR chart to identify the market environment.
Questions to ask:
What sort of market environment are we in?
Is the market range bound?
Higher highs/lower lows or lower lows/higher highs?
Is the market trending?
Higher highs /higher lows or lower highs and lower lows
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 5: Trading a Range Bound Market
Bearish Bat
Bullish Gartley
Bearish Bat
Bullish Gartley
Key Resistance Zone
Key Support Zone
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 5: Trading a Trending Market – Up Trend
High
Higher High
Higher High
Higher High
Lower High
Higher Low
Higher Low
Higher Low
Higher Low
Lower Low
Lower High
Look for Bullish Pattern on smaller timeframe
Daily/4H Chart
Low
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 6: Resources
https://mninews.marketnews.com/product-info/mni-foreign-exchange-bullet-points
http://talking-forex.com/
Broker that gives you a live feed to monitor Intermarket Correlations
http://www.forextester.com/partners/forexmentor.html
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 6: Resources – Talking Forex
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 6: Resources – Live feed to monitor Intermarket Correlations
Risk Appetite/Risk Aversion
Risk Appetite = investors are prepared to invest in riskier assets = higher yield
Risk Aversion = investors seek safer places for their money = low yield
Risk Appetite
Equities - FTSE 100, DAX, S&P 500, Dow,
Commodities – Gold, Silver & Oil
High yielding currencies - EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD,NZD/USD
Risk Aversion
Japanese Yen, US Dollar, Bonds
Equities, Commodities, high yielding currencies
Rise
Rise
Fall
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 6: Resources – Live feed to monitor Intermarket Correlations
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 6: Resources- MNI Foreign Exchange Bullet Points
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 6: Resources – Forex Tester
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 7: How I Approach My Day – Pre Trade
Risk Appetite/ Risk Averse market environment – check Intermarket Correlations.
Bullish/bearish sentiment ?
Look at Economic Calendar – find out what happened during previous session and what to
expect during the session I’m trading now.
Trending or Range bound market
Start on daily /4hr charts and do a top down analysis looking for key levels.
I am looking at horizontal sup/res levels to align with major Fibonacci levels.
I will also look for key trendlines. Remember it’s all about confluence.
Are there any patterns that stick out on the larger timeframes?
Where is price trading in relation to my key levels?
What levels are above price that I’m interested in?
What levels are below price that I’m interested in?
I highlight these levels and write them down with a plan of attack.
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 7: How I Approach My Day – Pre Trade/Trade
Once price hits my level or gets close to the level of interest I will focus in on my smaller
timeframe chart looking for trading opportunities.
If you cannot be in front of the pc all day then focus on your 60 or 30 min chart for
patterns
I’m looking for price to prove to me that the level is likely to hold using a few patterns
from my tool box, e.g. Gartley, Bat, Butterfly, Crab, Head & Shoulders
If no pattern forms at the level and price continues on through it I will then focus on my
4hr/daily chart once again to see where the next big level is.
Set alarms 30 -50 pips below/above my key levels. This alerts me to potential trade
opportunities if I’m doing something else on my pc.
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 7: How I Approach My Day - Afterwards
I Journal my trades in a book with why the trade was taken and how I felt during
the trade. Did I make any mistakes? Did I follow my plan?
Track trade results with a spreadsheet – capture as much data as possible.
This helps assess strengths and weaknesses of my trading model.
I save screenshots of ALL my trades taken or not taken with reasons why.
These are excellent for learning purposes and avoiding mistakes/poor trades.
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 8: Recap
Section 1 - Thinking like a pro
• Trip to the casino
• Trading in sample sizes
•Tracking you progress
•Risk management
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2 – Market Structure & Tools
• Price cycles – major vs. minor
• How S/R zones are created
• Double bottom, double top, price flip
• Finding key S/R zones
• Refining S/R zones
• Fibonacci retracements & Fibonacci projections/extensions
• Trend lines & channels
• Confluence
Section 8: Recap
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 8: Recap
Section 3 – Patterns
• The Head & Shoulders pattern
• The Gartley pattern
• The Bat pattern
• The Butterfly pattern
• The Crab pattern
• The Base pattern
• Patterns within patterns
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 8: Recap
Section 4 – Entry, Management, Taking Profits
• Trade Entry
• Trade management
• Taking Profits
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 8: Recap
Section 5 - Trading a Range bound and Trending market environment
• What kind of market environment are we in?
• How to trade a range bound market using patterns
•How to trade a trending market using patterns
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 8: Recap
Section 6 – Resources
• Live news feed – Talking Forex
• Broker that gives you a live feed to monitor intermarket correlations
• MNI Foreign Exchange Bullet Points
• Forex Tester
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 8: Recap
Section 7 - How I approach my trading day
• A daily routine to build discipline and confidence in your trading and to help
become a better trader
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 8: End Note
Closing Notes:
•I hope you found the information in here useful and that you can take away something from this
course to help you become a better trader.
• Remember trading is about finding what suits you as an individual.
•Trading is taking information gathered from different sources and building a model/ approach that
fits you. You will never trade in exactly the same way as anyone else.
• Trading takes time to learn and master. It is not a get rich profession that is often times made out to
be.
•Stick to it and you WILL find success!!
Thank you
Andrew Jeken
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Bonus: Scalping
When the markets are quiet and volatility is low we can look to scalp the market using key
dealing levels using horizontal support & resistance lines.
Identify key levels of support & resistance on the 4hr & 1hr chart and then refine the
levels as previously discussed in Section 2.
What is scalping? Looking to take a few trades for smaller gains when nothing else is
happening in the market.
You want a tight spread when scalping, ideally 1 pip or less. The eur/usd is my ideal pair.
Normally looking for a 1:1 Risk/Reward on each trade
Risk is around 10-15 pips max
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Find Key Support & Resistance Zones on 1hr & 4hr Chart
Tip:
Look for multiple rejections at a level.
1H/4H Chart
Tip:
Watch the candle wicks and how price leaves an area
Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken
Section 2: Refining Support/Resistance Zones
Reference the LAST bullish candle before price started to drop when
price approaches the highs again
Reference the last bearish candle before price started to
rally when price approaches the area again
Resistance
Support
Support
Buy
Sell

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slides.pdf

  • 1. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken ADVANCED PRICE ACTION TECHNIQUES TO SUPERCHARGE YOUR FOREX TRADING Professional Strategies To Turn Your Forex Trading Around in 20 Trades
  • 2. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Course Objective OBJECTIVE: Learn to trade using price action Learn to trade using proprietary trading tools the same way banks and institutions do Learn to think like a professional trader – understand the random environment we work in each day Learn why we need to track our progress and manage our risk very carefully
  • 3. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken OBJECTIVE To start thinking about trading the same way a professional trader does. Section 1: Think Like a Professional
  • 4. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 1: Think Like a Professional Q: What is the major difference between a successful trader and an unsuccessful trader? A: Successful traders think in probabilities! They understand that trading is a numbers game and understand that it has nothing to do with trying to be right on every trade. Amateur traders don’t have a consistent approach because they can’t handle losing – they don’t understand that trading is purely a game of probabilities. They try and learn as much as they can about Technical Analysis because they want to be right on every trade. When they have a few losses they run off to buy a new book or a new course because they think their ‘method’ doesn’t work. The majority of the time It has NOTHING to do with the method they are using. It has to do with the way they think about trading.
  • 5. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Q: So how do we start thinking like a professional trader? A: We need to focus on trading in sample sizes and NOT focus on individual trades Section 1: Think Like a Professional
  • 6. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 1: A Trip to the Casino
  • 7. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 THE AMATEUR TRADER: Trade Number: Trading System 1 This System doesn’t work! Let me find something else Trading System 2 Trade Number: This System doesn’t work! Let me find something else Switching Section 1: Trading in Sample Sizes
  • 8. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 1 The Professional Trader: Trade Number: Trading Method 2 One sample size complete After one FULL sample size the professional trader can assess his performance – if undesirable he can then look to tweak his method – NOT switch to something else Section 1: Trading in Sample Sizes
  • 9. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken By trading in sample sizes of 20 trades a set we are able to monitor our progress to see how our method performs over the long term and shift our focus away from the trade by trade mentality of an amateur trader. Our goal is to capture data on a daily basis – the more data we have the more information we have at hand to assess the reliability of our edge. If our edge is diminishing we do not want to lose our whole account before we realise something is wrong. By using a simple spreadsheet we can keep track of how we’re doing. Remember this is a pure numbers game, a game of probabilities. Let’s have a look at an example of what this looks like... Section 1: Tracking Your Progress
  • 10. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Here is an example of using a spreadsheet to track your performance Section 1: Tracking Your Progress (cont.)
  • 11. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Controlling risk – is your number ONE focus if you want to survive in this game Q: How much should I risk on each trade I put on? When you are learning to trade I would suggest not risking more then 0.1% - 0.25% a trade. 50%? 30%? 25%? 10%? 5%? 2%? Section 1: Risk Management
  • 12. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken If you can’t make consistent gains on risking tiny amounts (I’m talking cents) you will NOT do it risking more – SIMPLE! Once, and only once you are able to trade with confidence and not make mistakes should you even consider risking more – I suggest NEVER risking more then 1% of your account size.... EVER! Remember trading is a skill as with any other profession – it takes years to master! The money will flow into your account, but ONLY when you’ve developed the skills. Section 1: Risk Management
  • 13. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken SECTION 2: Market Structure & Technical Tools Section 2: Market Structure & Technical Tools
  • 14. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2 Objective OBJECTIVE: Learn how to identify major price cycles Learn how to identify support & resistance zones Learn how to draw Fibonacci retracements & projections Learn how to draw trendlines & channels Learn how to find high probability trading levels
  • 15. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Price Cycles – Major vs. Minor (Up Swing) Lowest Low Swing High Higher Swing Low Higher Swing High Higher Swing Low Highest High Major Swing points Minor Swing points Minor Swing Points Daily/4H Chart
  • 16. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Price Cycles – Major vs. Minor (Down Swing) Daily/4H Chart Lowest Low Highest High Major Swing points Minor Swing Points Swing High Lower Swing Low Swing Low Lower Swing High Minor Swing Points
  • 17. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Sell orders Sell orders buy orders –stops & breakout traders above level Sell orders Position accumulation Section 2: Order Flow - What goes on at a key level Key Level Buy orders from fresh buyers Buy orders from previous sellers with no stop loss Buy orders from newer sellers taking profits
  • 18. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Key Support Zones – Double Bottom Key Support Zone Double/Triple Bottom Daily/4H Chart Look for Bullish Reversal Pattern Good buying pressure More buying pressure new highs made
  • 19. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Key Resistance Zones – Double Top Double/Triple Top Key Resistance Zone Daily/4H Chart Look for Bearish Reversal Pattern Good Selling Pressure More offers seen, price makes new lows
  • 20. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Key Resistance Zone becomes Key Support Zone – Price Flip Key Resistance Zone Key Support Zone Key Resistance Zone becomes Key Support Zone Daily/4H Chart Look for Bearish Reversal Pattern Look for Bullish Reversal Pattern Good selling pressure, new lows seen Offers drying up, higher lows seen Sell Orders taken out, no more offers Good buying pressure, market well bid. New highs made
  • 21. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Key Support Zone becomes Key Resistance Zone – Price Flip Key Support Zone Key Resistance Zone Daily/4H Chart Key Support Zone becomes Key Resistance Zone Look for Bullish Reversal Pattern Look for Bearish Reversal Pattern Good buying pressure Weaker buying pressure lower highs made No more bids , order block taken out Good selling pressure
  • 22. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Finding Key Support & Resistance Zones Tip: Look for multiple rejections at a level. Three or more visits to an area adds more weight to the level Daily/4H Chart Tip: Watch the candle wicks and how price leaves an area
  • 23. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Refining Support/Resistance Zones Reference the LAST bullish candle before price started to drop when price approaches the highs again Reference the last bearish candle before price started to rally when price approaches the area again Look for Bullish Pattern Look for Bearish Pattern How did price leave the area? Resistance Support
  • 24. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: How to use Candles/Bars Look for big candles to CLOSE above key levels This shows commitment from large flows Look for big candles to CLOSE below key levels This shows commitment from large flows
  • 25. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Fibonacci Retracements – Up Swing Lowest Low Highest High Major Swing points 0.0 38.2 50.0 61.8 70.7 78.6 88.6 100 Daily/4H Chart Note: Always look at the Lowest Low & Highest High When drawing Fibonacci Levels
  • 26. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Fibonacci Retracements – Down Swing 0.0 38.2 50.0 61.8 70.7 78.6 88.6 100.0 Highest High Lowest Low Major Swing points Note: Always look at the Highest High & Lowest Low When drawing Fibonacci Levels Daily/4H Chart
  • 27. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Fibonacci Projections – Up Swing 0.0 38.2 50.0 61.8 70.7 78.6 88.6 100 1.27 1.618 2.618 1.27 1.618 2.618 0.0 38.2 50.0 61.8 70.7 78.6 88.6 100 1.27 1.618 2.618 1.27 1.618 2.618 X X A A Price breaks 0.0% Price breaks 100% Fib Retracement Fib Projection Fib Projection
  • 28. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Fibonacci Projections – Down Swing 100 0.0 38.2 50.0 61.8 70.7 78.6 88.6 1.27 1.618 2.618 1.27 1.618 2.618 100 0.0 38.2 50.0 61.8 70.7 78.6 88.6 1.27 1.618 2.618 1.27 1.618 2.618 X A X A Fib Retracement Fib Projection Fib Projection Price breaks 0.0% Price breaks 100%
  • 29. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Combining Fibonacci Retracements & Fibonacci Projections 0.0 38.2 50.0 61.8 70.7 78.6 88.6 100 1.27 1.618 2.618 1.27 1.618 2.618 0.0 38.2 50.0 61.8 70.7 78.6 88.6 100 1.27 1.618 2.618 1.27 1.618 2.618 78.6% Retracement & 1.27% Projection 1.618% Projection & 2.618% Projection X A B
  • 30. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Trendlines and Channels 2 1 Find TWO swing highs 1 2 Find TWO swing lows Look for patterns to sell IF these trendlines align with other Resistance zones Look for patterns to buy IF these trendlines align with other Support Zones Look for patterns to sell IF these trendlines align with other Resistance zones Daily/4H Chart
  • 31. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Putting It All Together - The Power of Confluence We are looking for Key Support & Resistance Zones to align with Fibonacci Retracements, Fibonacci Projections and Trendlines. When we have more then one tool lining up at the same place it stacks the probabilities in our favour NO trade will be considered if a key Support or Resistance Zone from the Daily or 4H chart is not present. All confluence levels are found on the Daily or 4H charts
  • 32. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Exercise Complete this exercise:  Identify key confluence levels on your Daily and 4H chart using the above tools.  What you are going to do is highlight the areas on your chart and then journal each reaction price has from those levels.  Take notes of the maximum drawdown as well as the maximum reaction from the level before price comes back to the level.  This will build confidence in your analysis. The more you do it the better you will become.
  • 33. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Finding High Probability Trading Levels - Combining Fibonacci Retracements with Key Support & Resistance Zones – Up Swing 0.0 38.2 50.0 61.8 70.7 78.6 88.6 100 Daily/4H Chart Key Resistance Zone Key Support Zone **Look for Bullish Reversal Pattern on smaller timeframe ** 38% & Key Support Zone ** 50% , Key Support Zone & Trendline ** 70.7% & Key Support Zone Highest High Lowest Low Note: Always look at the Lowest Low & Highest High When drawing Fibonacci Levels Major Swing points
  • 34. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken SECTION 3: Patterns Section 3: Patterns
  • 35. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Patterns The Head & Shoulders pattern The Gartley pattern The Bat pattern The Butterfly pattern The Crab pattern The Base pattern Patterns within patterns OBJECTIVE: Learn how to identify high probability patterns
  • 36. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Patterns - Head & Shoulders Key Resistance Zone HH HL HH HL HL Lower Low Backside of Trendline tested Head Right Shoulder Left Shoulder Right shoulder = Left Shoulder
  • 37. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Key Support Zone Left Shoulder Head Right Shoulder Higher high Right shoulder = Left Shoulder Backside of Trendline tested LL LH LL LH LH Section 3: Patterns – Inverse Head & Shoulders
  • 38. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Patterns - Bullish Gartley Key Support Zone X A B C D
  • 39. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Patterns - Bearish Gartley Key Resistance Zone X B C A D
  • 40. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Patterns – Bullish Bat Key Support Zone A C B D X
  • 41. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Patterns - Bearish Bat A Key Resistance Zone X B C D
  • 42. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Key Support Zone A X B C D Section 3: Patterns - Bullish Butterfly
  • 43. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Patterns - Bearish Butterfly Key Resistance Zone X A B C D
  • 44. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Pattern - Bullish Crab Key Support Zone X A B C D
  • 45. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Patterns - Bearish Crab Key Resistance Zone X A B C D
  • 46. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Patterns - The Bullish Base Resistance Daily/4H chart Key Support Zone 1min/5min Chart Stop Placement below the lows Entry on retest Support Support Target Higher timeframe level
  • 47. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Patterns - The Bearish Base Daily/4H chart Key Resistance Zone 1min/5min Chart Entry on retest Target Higher timeframe level Stop Placement above the highs Resistance Support Resistance
  • 48. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Patterns Patterns Within Patterns – Head & Shoulders Pattern Broken Down Bearish Butterfly completing at the Head Bearish Gartley completes Right Shoulder Left Shoulder Head Right Shoulder Key Resistance Zone
  • 49. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 3: Patterns Patterns Within Patterns – Butterfly Completes the Gartley C Key Support Zone X A B D X A B C D Small Bullish Butterfly completes Large Bullish Gartley
  • 50. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken 0.0 38.2 50.0 61.8 70.7 78.6 88.6 100 Section 4: Trade Entry – Limit Orders Key Support Zone Buy Limit order placed Stop Loss placed below lows Place order 2 pips above Fib level and ADD the spread
  • 51. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken 78.6 Section 4: Trade Management Section 4: Trade Management Key Support Zone Fibonacci Confluence from Pattern 1.27 5 min Chart B C D Key Resistance Zone Target Hit Initial Stop below lows Micro Sup/Res Levels Trail stop behind swing lows
  • 52. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken D 0.0 38.2 50.0 61.8 70.7 78.6 88.6 100 1.27 Section 4: Targets – Where To Take Profits Key Support Zone 38.2% + Resistance 70.7% + Resistance Old Highs B A X C
  • 53. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken SECTION 5: Trading a Range Bound & Trending Market Environment Section 5: Trading a Range Bound & Trending Market Environment
  • 54. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 5: Trading a Range Bound & Trending Market Environment OBJECTIVE: Learn how to trade in a range bound market environment Learn how to trade in a trending market environment
  • 55. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 5: Trading a Range Bound & Trending Market Environment Reference your Daily and 4 HR chart to identify the market environment. Questions to ask: What sort of market environment are we in? Is the market range bound? Higher highs/lower lows or lower lows/higher highs? Is the market trending? Higher highs /higher lows or lower highs and lower lows
  • 56. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 5: Trading a Range Bound Market Bearish Bat Bullish Gartley Bearish Bat Bullish Gartley Key Resistance Zone Key Support Zone
  • 57. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 5: Trading a Trending Market – Up Trend High Higher High Higher High Higher High Lower High Higher Low Higher Low Higher Low Higher Low Lower Low Lower High Look for Bullish Pattern on smaller timeframe Daily/4H Chart Low
  • 58. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 6: Resources https://mninews.marketnews.com/product-info/mni-foreign-exchange-bullet-points http://talking-forex.com/ Broker that gives you a live feed to monitor Intermarket Correlations http://www.forextester.com/partners/forexmentor.html
  • 59. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 6: Resources – Talking Forex
  • 60. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 6: Resources – Live feed to monitor Intermarket Correlations Risk Appetite/Risk Aversion Risk Appetite = investors are prepared to invest in riskier assets = higher yield Risk Aversion = investors seek safer places for their money = low yield Risk Appetite Equities - FTSE 100, DAX, S&P 500, Dow, Commodities – Gold, Silver & Oil High yielding currencies - EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD,NZD/USD Risk Aversion Japanese Yen, US Dollar, Bonds Equities, Commodities, high yielding currencies Rise Rise Fall
  • 61. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 6: Resources – Live feed to monitor Intermarket Correlations
  • 62. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 6: Resources- MNI Foreign Exchange Bullet Points
  • 63. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 6: Resources – Forex Tester
  • 64. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 7: How I Approach My Day – Pre Trade Risk Appetite/ Risk Averse market environment – check Intermarket Correlations. Bullish/bearish sentiment ? Look at Economic Calendar – find out what happened during previous session and what to expect during the session I’m trading now. Trending or Range bound market Start on daily /4hr charts and do a top down analysis looking for key levels. I am looking at horizontal sup/res levels to align with major Fibonacci levels. I will also look for key trendlines. Remember it’s all about confluence. Are there any patterns that stick out on the larger timeframes? Where is price trading in relation to my key levels? What levels are above price that I’m interested in? What levels are below price that I’m interested in? I highlight these levels and write them down with a plan of attack.
  • 65. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 7: How I Approach My Day – Pre Trade/Trade Once price hits my level or gets close to the level of interest I will focus in on my smaller timeframe chart looking for trading opportunities. If you cannot be in front of the pc all day then focus on your 60 or 30 min chart for patterns I’m looking for price to prove to me that the level is likely to hold using a few patterns from my tool box, e.g. Gartley, Bat, Butterfly, Crab, Head & Shoulders If no pattern forms at the level and price continues on through it I will then focus on my 4hr/daily chart once again to see where the next big level is. Set alarms 30 -50 pips below/above my key levels. This alerts me to potential trade opportunities if I’m doing something else on my pc.
  • 66. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 7: How I Approach My Day - Afterwards I Journal my trades in a book with why the trade was taken and how I felt during the trade. Did I make any mistakes? Did I follow my plan? Track trade results with a spreadsheet – capture as much data as possible. This helps assess strengths and weaknesses of my trading model. I save screenshots of ALL my trades taken or not taken with reasons why. These are excellent for learning purposes and avoiding mistakes/poor trades.
  • 67. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 8: Recap Section 1 - Thinking like a pro • Trip to the casino • Trading in sample sizes •Tracking you progress •Risk management
  • 68. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2 – Market Structure & Tools • Price cycles – major vs. minor • How S/R zones are created • Double bottom, double top, price flip • Finding key S/R zones • Refining S/R zones • Fibonacci retracements & Fibonacci projections/extensions • Trend lines & channels • Confluence Section 8: Recap
  • 69. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 8: Recap Section 3 – Patterns • The Head & Shoulders pattern • The Gartley pattern • The Bat pattern • The Butterfly pattern • The Crab pattern • The Base pattern • Patterns within patterns
  • 70. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 8: Recap Section 4 – Entry, Management, Taking Profits • Trade Entry • Trade management • Taking Profits
  • 71. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 8: Recap Section 5 - Trading a Range bound and Trending market environment • What kind of market environment are we in? • How to trade a range bound market using patterns •How to trade a trending market using patterns
  • 72. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 8: Recap Section 6 – Resources • Live news feed – Talking Forex • Broker that gives you a live feed to monitor intermarket correlations • MNI Foreign Exchange Bullet Points • Forex Tester
  • 73. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 8: Recap Section 7 - How I approach my trading day • A daily routine to build discipline and confidence in your trading and to help become a better trader
  • 74. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 8: End Note Closing Notes: •I hope you found the information in here useful and that you can take away something from this course to help you become a better trader. • Remember trading is about finding what suits you as an individual. •Trading is taking information gathered from different sources and building a model/ approach that fits you. You will never trade in exactly the same way as anyone else. • Trading takes time to learn and master. It is not a get rich profession that is often times made out to be. •Stick to it and you WILL find success!! Thank you Andrew Jeken
  • 75. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Bonus: Scalping When the markets are quiet and volatility is low we can look to scalp the market using key dealing levels using horizontal support & resistance lines. Identify key levels of support & resistance on the 4hr & 1hr chart and then refine the levels as previously discussed in Section 2. What is scalping? Looking to take a few trades for smaller gains when nothing else is happening in the market. You want a tight spread when scalping, ideally 1 pip or less. The eur/usd is my ideal pair. Normally looking for a 1:1 Risk/Reward on each trade Risk is around 10-15 pips max
  • 76. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Find Key Support & Resistance Zones on 1hr & 4hr Chart Tip: Look for multiple rejections at a level. 1H/4H Chart Tip: Watch the candle wicks and how price leaves an area
  • 77. Advanced Price Action Techniques Andrew Jeken Section 2: Refining Support/Resistance Zones Reference the LAST bullish candle before price started to drop when price approaches the highs again Reference the last bearish candle before price started to rally when price approaches the area again Resistance Support Support Buy Sell