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Housing Supply
House building, Net Supply, Dwelling Stock, Household Projections,
Housing Market, (Private Rented Sector).
Plan for today
• Overview of team
• Refresher of our publications
• Feedback session around four key areas:
 Which publication you use and how?
 How can we make it easier?
 What else could we add to our outputs?
 What’s good and bad about how we present our data?
• Q & A Session
• Round up and finish off
Who’s who on the team…

Housebuilding,
Net Supply,
Dwelling Stock
Bob Garland
(Senior Statistician)

Neil Higgins
(Statistician)

Helen Sleight
(Assistant
Statistician)

Natalie Cartwright
(Assistant
Statistician)

Household
Projections

Housing Market
Indicators

Private Rented
Sector (internal
support for Ministers)
Recent Publications

Publication

Changes/Updates in 2013

House building, July to September
2013
(published 21st November 2013)

• Inclusion of LEP maps and data.
• Annual data extended back to 1969/70,
Quarterly data extended back to 1978 Q1.

Net Supply of Housing, 2012/13
(published 7th November 2013)

• Revised back series to 2002-2010 for census
adjustments.
• Included a table of the components of net
housing supply by local authority for 2012/13.

Dwelling Stock Estimates, 2012
(published 25th April 2013)

• Revised back series to 2002-2010 for census
adjustments.

2011-based Interim Household
Projections
(published 9th April 2013)

• Inclusion of initial Census outputs and adjusting
household formation rates.
• Included tables of detailed data for modelling
and analytical purposes.
Future Publications
Next Publication

Changes/Updates

Housing Market Indicators, April to
June 2013
(to be published Winter 2013)

• Creating a short annual statistical release to
work alongside live tables.
• Updating all tables retained responsibility for and
updating the website to reflect this.
• Creating affordability ratio maps back to 1997.

Dwelling Stock Estimates, 2012
(to be published January/February
2014)
House building, October to December
2013
(to be published 21st February 2014)
2013-based Interim Household
Projections
(to be published late Summer 2014)
Net Supply of Housing, 2013/14
(published Autumn 2014)

• Inclusion of full sub-national population rates
from Census 2011.
Areas of Consideration

Which?

How?

Good/Bad?

What else?
Any questions?
Anything further?
Either:
• Ask one of the team at the stall in the atrium
• Email us at:
housing.statistics@communities.gsi.gov.uk
Which publication do you read?

Housebuilding Quarterly
Often used each quarter for own reading, passing on to colleagues, forecasting, put into LG Inform,
ministerial briefings and occasional analysis

Housing Markets
Not a lot of work used for, but some strategy and forward planning and competitor analysis

Dwelling Stock
Used for regular consulting reports and other analysis.

Net Supply of Housing
No additional comments.

Household Projections
Used for regular consulting, put in housing stats as evidence for housing strategy, used for strategic
planning and combined with Glenigan’s data and passed onto customers.
Some users included all publications within their forecasting models to differing levels.
How can we make things easier for
you?
Mainly around linking to planning data:
• Data on planning permissions in the system – land banking, amount of those with permission not yet
started
• Link housing stats to planning – show how many approvals are coming through for housing
OR Local authority level data:
• More LA level data, regional data on housebuilding and housing stock, to compare with neighbours
(suggested four times)
• Links in statistical data sets on where to find devolved administration equivalents (this is in release, but
we can also add them to their relevant tables in future)
• Workbooks with all the tables in 1 place (suggested thrice)
• Example of local authority report showing all we can do
• Useful to pull specific local authority and have full data to compare and investigate trends (suggested
four times)
• Sub-regional totals and averages
As well as:
• Better indexing – looking for data, not a report
• Better summary pages to introduce new users to types of info available
• Variety of different formats/choices is crucial
• Data on small but significant trends to be considered – co-operative housing as a tenure, self-build,
office to residential conversions
What other analysis would be helpful?

Mainly around matching to other data sets:
• Completions data alongside code for sustainable homes/EPC ratings (suggested twice)
(this can be found on the Neighbourhood Statistics on the ONS website down to LA code
for Private Sector Housing)
• Link completions to other datasets, such as number of GPs, school places, other service
amenities (this is the aim of the Open Data Communities project, but may take some time)
• Able to compare data internationally
• UK/GB data to be easily presented and produced in a timely manner (needs to be added to
Net Supply, but other publications already have the DAs – somewhat dependent on when
DA data is published)
Other suggestions:
• More commentary, such as that now produced by the ONS (suggested twice).
• Guidance on forward planning writing
• Historical maps to show trends over time and area changes.
• Annual figures on housebuilding to accompany quarterly tables (these are commented on
in the release and tables are also in both annual and quarterly format)
• Reasons for stock figures not adding up between publications
• Unrounded data
What are the good and bad things we do?

Good:
• Times Series (suggested thrice) and shows pre-/post- crash data
• Maps
• Projected by Local Authority
Need:
• Reasons for increases/decreases in trends (suggested twice)
• Method to be clearly explained
• Easier access to data collection guidance (ie definitions), so users are clear what
figures mean
• ID codes are great, but should be on every table
• Merged cells avoided in live tables
• Blank spacify rows in time series data are really inconvenient
Question:
Does live table 1011 relate to “during” the year or are the end of the year?
Question Time

• Possibility of presenting data by dwelling size? Able to get this down to local
authority level – with at least a flat/house split?
• Consistency in definitions – Between DCLG, HCA, LAs, Builders and Devolved
Administrations?
• Where will affordable housing be counted in the housebuilding tenure? Or private
housing built by RSLs?
• How does DCLG housebuilding stats compare to the ONS construction stats?
• Are we likely to publish the national land supply for housing for the next 5 years?
• Do we know the number of one bed properties, either being built or in the stock?
• Is there a tool or project to build a model for household projections to map and
manipulate different scenarios?
• Importance of the educational purpose of the data and ability to access and use
it.
Other Feedback

• Clear reasons for disparity in the totals of tables
• The website is very difficult to navigate – puts off current and new users from
accessing and exploring our data.
• Opportunity to compare Net Supply/House-building by LA, specifically looking at
HFR (New Builds) versus the 3 sources P2/NHBC/AI to better understand
reasons for the 10% discrepancy in 2012/13.
• Requests for more detailed information on methodology in the release, especially
in the definitions section, and on UK/ international comparisons.

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DCLG Statistics User Engagement Day - House Building and Supply

  • 1. Housing Supply House building, Net Supply, Dwelling Stock, Household Projections, Housing Market, (Private Rented Sector).
  • 2. Plan for today • Overview of team • Refresher of our publications • Feedback session around four key areas:  Which publication you use and how?  How can we make it easier?  What else could we add to our outputs?  What’s good and bad about how we present our data? • Q & A Session • Round up and finish off
  • 3. Who’s who on the team… Housebuilding, Net Supply, Dwelling Stock Bob Garland (Senior Statistician) Neil Higgins (Statistician) Helen Sleight (Assistant Statistician) Natalie Cartwright (Assistant Statistician) Household Projections Housing Market Indicators Private Rented Sector (internal support for Ministers)
  • 4. Recent Publications Publication Changes/Updates in 2013 House building, July to September 2013 (published 21st November 2013) • Inclusion of LEP maps and data. • Annual data extended back to 1969/70, Quarterly data extended back to 1978 Q1. Net Supply of Housing, 2012/13 (published 7th November 2013) • Revised back series to 2002-2010 for census adjustments. • Included a table of the components of net housing supply by local authority for 2012/13. Dwelling Stock Estimates, 2012 (published 25th April 2013) • Revised back series to 2002-2010 for census adjustments. 2011-based Interim Household Projections (published 9th April 2013) • Inclusion of initial Census outputs and adjusting household formation rates. • Included tables of detailed data for modelling and analytical purposes.
  • 5. Future Publications Next Publication Changes/Updates Housing Market Indicators, April to June 2013 (to be published Winter 2013) • Creating a short annual statistical release to work alongside live tables. • Updating all tables retained responsibility for and updating the website to reflect this. • Creating affordability ratio maps back to 1997. Dwelling Stock Estimates, 2012 (to be published January/February 2014) House building, October to December 2013 (to be published 21st February 2014) 2013-based Interim Household Projections (to be published late Summer 2014) Net Supply of Housing, 2013/14 (published Autumn 2014) • Inclusion of full sub-national population rates from Census 2011.
  • 8. Anything further? Either: • Ask one of the team at the stall in the atrium • Email us at: housing.statistics@communities.gsi.gov.uk
  • 9. Which publication do you read? Housebuilding Quarterly Often used each quarter for own reading, passing on to colleagues, forecasting, put into LG Inform, ministerial briefings and occasional analysis Housing Markets Not a lot of work used for, but some strategy and forward planning and competitor analysis Dwelling Stock Used for regular consulting reports and other analysis. Net Supply of Housing No additional comments. Household Projections Used for regular consulting, put in housing stats as evidence for housing strategy, used for strategic planning and combined with Glenigan’s data and passed onto customers. Some users included all publications within their forecasting models to differing levels.
  • 10. How can we make things easier for you? Mainly around linking to planning data: • Data on planning permissions in the system – land banking, amount of those with permission not yet started • Link housing stats to planning – show how many approvals are coming through for housing OR Local authority level data: • More LA level data, regional data on housebuilding and housing stock, to compare with neighbours (suggested four times) • Links in statistical data sets on where to find devolved administration equivalents (this is in release, but we can also add them to their relevant tables in future) • Workbooks with all the tables in 1 place (suggested thrice) • Example of local authority report showing all we can do • Useful to pull specific local authority and have full data to compare and investigate trends (suggested four times) • Sub-regional totals and averages As well as: • Better indexing – looking for data, not a report • Better summary pages to introduce new users to types of info available • Variety of different formats/choices is crucial • Data on small but significant trends to be considered – co-operative housing as a tenure, self-build, office to residential conversions
  • 11. What other analysis would be helpful? Mainly around matching to other data sets: • Completions data alongside code for sustainable homes/EPC ratings (suggested twice) (this can be found on the Neighbourhood Statistics on the ONS website down to LA code for Private Sector Housing) • Link completions to other datasets, such as number of GPs, school places, other service amenities (this is the aim of the Open Data Communities project, but may take some time) • Able to compare data internationally • UK/GB data to be easily presented and produced in a timely manner (needs to be added to Net Supply, but other publications already have the DAs – somewhat dependent on when DA data is published) Other suggestions: • More commentary, such as that now produced by the ONS (suggested twice). • Guidance on forward planning writing • Historical maps to show trends over time and area changes. • Annual figures on housebuilding to accompany quarterly tables (these are commented on in the release and tables are also in both annual and quarterly format) • Reasons for stock figures not adding up between publications • Unrounded data
  • 12. What are the good and bad things we do? Good: • Times Series (suggested thrice) and shows pre-/post- crash data • Maps • Projected by Local Authority Need: • Reasons for increases/decreases in trends (suggested twice) • Method to be clearly explained • Easier access to data collection guidance (ie definitions), so users are clear what figures mean • ID codes are great, but should be on every table • Merged cells avoided in live tables • Blank spacify rows in time series data are really inconvenient Question: Does live table 1011 relate to “during” the year or are the end of the year?
  • 13. Question Time • Possibility of presenting data by dwelling size? Able to get this down to local authority level – with at least a flat/house split? • Consistency in definitions – Between DCLG, HCA, LAs, Builders and Devolved Administrations? • Where will affordable housing be counted in the housebuilding tenure? Or private housing built by RSLs? • How does DCLG housebuilding stats compare to the ONS construction stats? • Are we likely to publish the national land supply for housing for the next 5 years? • Do we know the number of one bed properties, either being built or in the stock? • Is there a tool or project to build a model for household projections to map and manipulate different scenarios? • Importance of the educational purpose of the data and ability to access and use it.
  • 14. Other Feedback • Clear reasons for disparity in the totals of tables • The website is very difficult to navigate – puts off current and new users from accessing and exploring our data. • Opportunity to compare Net Supply/House-building by LA, specifically looking at HFR (New Builds) versus the 3 sources P2/NHBC/AI to better understand reasons for the 10% discrepancy in 2012/13. • Requests for more detailed information on methodology in the release, especially in the definitions section, and on UK/ international comparisons.