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Elliott 1


Brian Elliott

Mrs. Corbett

AP Literature

18 November, 2011

                    Senior Project Research Paper: Subprime Mortgage Crisis

       Many people view field s like construction and architecture as unique, interesting and

profitable fields, but, as of now, the ongoing subprime mortgage crisis has greatly hindered these

fields of work. With so many people in debt, the quantity of houses in construction and being

bought have been reduced to a small pool compared to the previous ocean of a market. When the

housing bubble broke in 2001, the market was building up to the meltdown in the later years of

the first decade of the century. Once the market collapsed, it created a major issue for the

construction companies, maintenance workers, Architects and so forth. With the diminishing

career pool, there seems to be an ongoing problem that needs to be addressed in order for future

success.

       The early 2000’s brought on floods of new homeowners with subprime mortgages, and

the economy seemed to be in great shape with the Dow Jones Industrial average recently

crossing the 10,000 mark. Americans were not financially prepared, and they were not aware of

the imminent future. Chris Arnold recounts the peak of the subprime mortgages when he points

out that “Analysts say that in September 2005, the subprime lending boom started hitting its

peak. Now a bigger wave of rate resets could mean a flood of foreclosures” (Economists Brace

for Worsening Subprime Crisis). At the end of the quote, Arnold shows the recently increasing

amount of foreclosures, and he effectively predicts the future since this article was written in

2007. In the next few years, the economy became progressively worse as we went entered the
Elliott 2


worst recession since the Great Depression in the 1930’s. Along with this and, in fact, one of the

causes of the depression was the subprime mortgage crisis. Since many people could not keep up

with their, now adjusted and much higher, mortgages on their homes. One man, Mr. Pomales had

a mortgage payment of 2,100 dollars per month, but over the next few months, it increased by

over 500 dollar. Soon, He expects it to increase even more (Arnold). While the general populace

could handle the lower mortgage rates they paid each month, the rising rates forced many into

foreclosure. It seems that some people were barely getting by with the previous rates; so, as they

went up, the population of the lower middle class (and some other classes) could not sustain this

standard of living. In 2007, two major hedge funds collapsed, and the United States and Europe

placed 100 billion dollars in the market to stabilize it, so the “subprime mortgage market [would

continue] to be solid as long as the housing market continued to escalate and interest rates didn’t

go up…By 2006, housing prices started to taper off after rising nearly 40% between 200 and

2006. They are expected to continue their decline through 2007 and most of 2008” (Parks). In

order for the market to stay at a stable position, the housing market had to stay on its current

trend at the time of increasing buyers and stable interest rates, but the government did not predict

the sudden drop off in the housing market which ended up causing the current mortgage crisis.

       At the root of this destructive crisis, is the bursting of the theoretical housing bubble.

Katalina Bianco analyzes this concept in her report on the Mortgage Crisis:


       The current mortgage meltdown actually began with the bursting of the U.S.
       housing “bubble” that began in 2001 and reached its peak in 2005…It is defined
       by rapid increases in the valuations of real property until unsustainable levels are
       reached in relation to incomes and other indicators of affordability. Following the
       rapid increases are decreases in home prices and mortgage debt that is higher than
       the value of the property (Bianco).
Elliott 3


It seems as if The United States and various other countries reached the Absolute maximum of

the housing markets parabola, and, now it has come crashing down on a negative slope. The

population continued to buy products that they, in actuality, could not afford, and this trend also

shifted to houses as people continued to buy real estate outside their budget. While all seemed

well at the time, the population was “digging a hole” that will take several years to escape. In

2005, the amount of homeowners and home prices reached their peaks as “The national median

home prices [for March 2005] jumped 11.4 percent to $195,000 from the same month a year

ago…but some analysts said the housing sector has begun to show signs of easing… a U.S.

Commerce report showed a 17.6 percent plunge in housing starts for March” (Neidenberg).

Since this article was written in 2005, Neidenberg did not realize the impending recession that

came in 2007, but he accurately portrays the market at that time. In this year, the median home

prices leaped by over 15,000 dollars in accordance with the number of home buyers. The mass of

home buyers bolstered the market before the flaws were finally brought into the light. Business

Spot lists one of the central causes of the Subprime Mortgage crisis as “High Risk Loans: These

are over levered loans where the financing is done more than the suggested values to be given.

This results in immediate sell off when the property falls below the loan amount and to avoid

further loss the banks commence raising the installment” (Effects of the Mortgage Crisis).

Because of these seemingly cheap loans, many people’s mortgages unexpectedly reset, forcing

them to pay hundreds of extra dollars per month. At the time, these loans seemed to be a cheap

alternative as to what families would normally have to pay, but after a large percentage of

homeowners having their mortgages reset in later years, these loans would end up costing much

more than these people could afford. Even though the period throughout 2001-2005 created a
Elliott 4


façade that showed great success, few could have predicted what was about to happen to the

market.

          The disastrous effects of the subprime mortgage crisis have sent the global economy

into a seemingly unending downward spiral. Senator Charles E. Schumer created a short timeline

to chronicle the crisis in 2008: “July 10: Foreclosure filings for June 2008 have jumped 53

percent from this time last year…June 25: Home prices nationwide are down 15.3 percent from a

year ago.” The Senator goes on to state that the number homes foreclosed upon was over

250,000 (Subprime Mortgage Market Crisis Timeline). These staggering numbers show the

unmistakable evidence of how unsustainable the previous prices were. Based on the senator’s

statistics, a year ago there was close to 100,000 less foreclosures than July 2008, and these

obvious irregularities meant massive layoffs in all industries involved in construction. Without

the previous surplus of buyers all of the builders, architects, maintenance workers and more

faced previously unnecessary competition to keep their jobs (The Job Bored). People just

entering the field in the years to come were also confronted with a job market as small as it was

since the Great Depression. The Huffington Post conducted a study of the cities that were hit

worst by the recession in which they discovered that “Most of the cities on [the] list are in

regions worst hit by the housing crash…[all were] booming housing markets before the recession

hit. In the U.S., just fewer than 15 percent of homes were built in the last 10 years. But in some

of the cities…that number is 25 percent and higher” (Sauter). This study shows further evidence

as to the specific cause of the mortgage crisis because each city, generally, had a higher

percentage of homes built after 2000, therefore the percentage and density of foreclosures was

also significantly higher. The 25 percent areas became the areas that were most affected in the

end, and because of the previous trends, it was the predictable outcome. Throughout the ongoing
Elliott 5


recession, these areas have faced a tougher challenge than most, but all around the country there

is a sense of despair.

        While society still faces the Subprime Mortgage issue, it has been four to five years since

its start. Along with this period, there have been developments and possible solutions that have

been created in order to ease out of this crisis. Lately, companies are hesitant to build at all

without a guaranteed buyer, unlike before, but “Wheelock Street Capital, which has made

headlines in the past 18 months by teaming with home builders as a private equity investor, has

acquired a coveted 364-acre tract just north of hot Raleigh, N.C., expected to be the site of about

700 homes in the next five years or so” (Housingcrisis.com). While relatively small when one

looks at the mortgage crisis as a whole, this investment shows a possible redemption and

recovery in future years. Over the past year and a half, Wheelock Street Capital has begun what

all building companies need to do on the road to recovery. Although there are still an

unprecedented amount of people dealing with financial issues, financial stability has begun to

return to several areas and many people in the population. This can be applied to the recession as

a whole and just the subprime mortgage crisis, but people and companies need to invest their

money within their budget in order to create an exit from these tough economic times.

        It seems that America is reaching the peak of its crisis as things continue to grow worse.

Ben Tracy reports that “the housing report card is ugly. In the past two years, the housing market

has lost an estimated $4.9 trillion dollars, as 59 million homes have declined in value…Nearly 1

in 4 homeowners -- 10.7 million households nationwide -- are underwater on their mortgages.

They owe more than their home is now worth” (Housing Crisis Getting Uglier in 2010). Since

this is a 2010 article, it shows how the numbers continued to become exponentially larger even

just a year ago. Even with the outrageous numbers, there is evidence to suggest that Americans
Elliott 6


are approaching their peak with situations like the Wheeler Street Capital example. While the

times are tough right now, there may be an end in sight. Before this crisis, fields such as

architecture and construction would have seemed to have an unendingly great outlook for years

to come, but current times have created a new perspective. Still, history shows that this will most

likely be a relatively short period that will most likely be resolved before the class of 2012 is out

of college, but a solution must come from the government before this plague can bring any more

financial destruction to our nation’s populace.
Elliott 7




                                         Works Cited

Arnold, Chris. “Economists Brace for Worsening Subprime Crisis.” NPR. N.p., 7 Aug. 2007.

       Web. 13 Nov. 2011. <http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=12561184>.

Bianco, Katalina M. “The Subprime Lending Crisis: Causes and Effects of the Mortgage

       Meltdown.” Business: Banking and Finance. N.p., 2008. Web. 14 Nov. 2011.

       <http://business.cch.com/bankingfinance/focus/news/Subprime_WP_rev.pdf>.

Business Spot. “Effects of the Mortgage Crisis.” Business Spot. N.p., 1 Mar. 2011. Web. 14 Nov.

       2011. <http://www.birsa.org/effects-of-the-mortgage-crisis.html>.

Housing Crisis.com. “ Wheelock Capital Lands Raleigh Masterplan Gem.” Housing Crisis.com.

       N.p., 8 Nov. 2011. Web. 14 Nov. 2011. <http://www.housingcrisis.com/home-builders/

       wheelock-capital-lands-raleigh-masterplan-gem/>.

The Job Bored. “How The Housing Crisis Affects The Job Market.” The Job Bored. N.p., 15

       June 2008. Web. 14 Nov. 2011. <http://www.thejobbored.com/how-the-housing-crisis-

       affects-the-job-market_694/>.

Neidenberg, Milt. “Housing market crisis threatens economy.” Worker’s World. N.p., 27 Apr.

       2005. Web. 14 Nov. 2011. <http://www.workers.org/2005/us/housing-0505/>.

Parks, Samanta. “The Subprime Mortgage Crisis: How Did It All Start?” Foreclosure Data

       Online. N.p., 2011. Web. 13 Nov. 2011. <The Subprime Mortgage Crisis: How Did It All

       Start? Read more: http://www.foreclosuredataonline.com/blog/foreclosure-crisis/the-

       subprime-mortgage-crisis-how-did-it-all-start/#ixzz1ddyRZXz9>.
Elliott 8


Sauter, Michael B, and Charles B Stockdale. “American Cities With The Most Underwater

       Mortgages: 24/7 Wall St. .” Huffington Post. N.p., 29 Oct. 2011. Web. 14 Nov. 2011.

       <http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/10/28/underwater-mortgages-american-cities-

       sunk-by-u_n_1064603.html?ref=housing-crisis>.

Schumer, Charles E. “Subprime Mortgage Market Crisis Timeline.” Senate. The Senate, July

       2008. Web. 13 Nov. 2011. <http://jec.senate.gov/public/

       ?a=Files.Serve&File_id=4cdd7384-dbf6-40e6-adbc-789f69131903>.

Tracy, Ben. “Housing Crisis Getting Uglier in 2010.” CBS News. N.p., 4 Feb. 2010. Web. 14

       Nov. 2011. <http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2010/02/02/eveningnews/

       main6167610.shtml>.

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Senior Project: Research Paper

  • 1. Elliott 1 Brian Elliott Mrs. Corbett AP Literature 18 November, 2011 Senior Project Research Paper: Subprime Mortgage Crisis Many people view field s like construction and architecture as unique, interesting and profitable fields, but, as of now, the ongoing subprime mortgage crisis has greatly hindered these fields of work. With so many people in debt, the quantity of houses in construction and being bought have been reduced to a small pool compared to the previous ocean of a market. When the housing bubble broke in 2001, the market was building up to the meltdown in the later years of the first decade of the century. Once the market collapsed, it created a major issue for the construction companies, maintenance workers, Architects and so forth. With the diminishing career pool, there seems to be an ongoing problem that needs to be addressed in order for future success. The early 2000’s brought on floods of new homeowners with subprime mortgages, and the economy seemed to be in great shape with the Dow Jones Industrial average recently crossing the 10,000 mark. Americans were not financially prepared, and they were not aware of the imminent future. Chris Arnold recounts the peak of the subprime mortgages when he points out that “Analysts say that in September 2005, the subprime lending boom started hitting its peak. Now a bigger wave of rate resets could mean a flood of foreclosures” (Economists Brace for Worsening Subprime Crisis). At the end of the quote, Arnold shows the recently increasing amount of foreclosures, and he effectively predicts the future since this article was written in 2007. In the next few years, the economy became progressively worse as we went entered the
  • 2. Elliott 2 worst recession since the Great Depression in the 1930’s. Along with this and, in fact, one of the causes of the depression was the subprime mortgage crisis. Since many people could not keep up with their, now adjusted and much higher, mortgages on their homes. One man, Mr. Pomales had a mortgage payment of 2,100 dollars per month, but over the next few months, it increased by over 500 dollar. Soon, He expects it to increase even more (Arnold). While the general populace could handle the lower mortgage rates they paid each month, the rising rates forced many into foreclosure. It seems that some people were barely getting by with the previous rates; so, as they went up, the population of the lower middle class (and some other classes) could not sustain this standard of living. In 2007, two major hedge funds collapsed, and the United States and Europe placed 100 billion dollars in the market to stabilize it, so the “subprime mortgage market [would continue] to be solid as long as the housing market continued to escalate and interest rates didn’t go up…By 2006, housing prices started to taper off after rising nearly 40% between 200 and 2006. They are expected to continue their decline through 2007 and most of 2008” (Parks). In order for the market to stay at a stable position, the housing market had to stay on its current trend at the time of increasing buyers and stable interest rates, but the government did not predict the sudden drop off in the housing market which ended up causing the current mortgage crisis. At the root of this destructive crisis, is the bursting of the theoretical housing bubble. Katalina Bianco analyzes this concept in her report on the Mortgage Crisis: The current mortgage meltdown actually began with the bursting of the U.S. housing “bubble” that began in 2001 and reached its peak in 2005…It is defined by rapid increases in the valuations of real property until unsustainable levels are reached in relation to incomes and other indicators of affordability. Following the rapid increases are decreases in home prices and mortgage debt that is higher than the value of the property (Bianco).
  • 3. Elliott 3 It seems as if The United States and various other countries reached the Absolute maximum of the housing markets parabola, and, now it has come crashing down on a negative slope. The population continued to buy products that they, in actuality, could not afford, and this trend also shifted to houses as people continued to buy real estate outside their budget. While all seemed well at the time, the population was “digging a hole” that will take several years to escape. In 2005, the amount of homeowners and home prices reached their peaks as “The national median home prices [for March 2005] jumped 11.4 percent to $195,000 from the same month a year ago…but some analysts said the housing sector has begun to show signs of easing… a U.S. Commerce report showed a 17.6 percent plunge in housing starts for March” (Neidenberg). Since this article was written in 2005, Neidenberg did not realize the impending recession that came in 2007, but he accurately portrays the market at that time. In this year, the median home prices leaped by over 15,000 dollars in accordance with the number of home buyers. The mass of home buyers bolstered the market before the flaws were finally brought into the light. Business Spot lists one of the central causes of the Subprime Mortgage crisis as “High Risk Loans: These are over levered loans where the financing is done more than the suggested values to be given. This results in immediate sell off when the property falls below the loan amount and to avoid further loss the banks commence raising the installment” (Effects of the Mortgage Crisis). Because of these seemingly cheap loans, many people’s mortgages unexpectedly reset, forcing them to pay hundreds of extra dollars per month. At the time, these loans seemed to be a cheap alternative as to what families would normally have to pay, but after a large percentage of homeowners having their mortgages reset in later years, these loans would end up costing much more than these people could afford. Even though the period throughout 2001-2005 created a
  • 4. Elliott 4 façade that showed great success, few could have predicted what was about to happen to the market. The disastrous effects of the subprime mortgage crisis have sent the global economy into a seemingly unending downward spiral. Senator Charles E. Schumer created a short timeline to chronicle the crisis in 2008: “July 10: Foreclosure filings for June 2008 have jumped 53 percent from this time last year…June 25: Home prices nationwide are down 15.3 percent from a year ago.” The Senator goes on to state that the number homes foreclosed upon was over 250,000 (Subprime Mortgage Market Crisis Timeline). These staggering numbers show the unmistakable evidence of how unsustainable the previous prices were. Based on the senator’s statistics, a year ago there was close to 100,000 less foreclosures than July 2008, and these obvious irregularities meant massive layoffs in all industries involved in construction. Without the previous surplus of buyers all of the builders, architects, maintenance workers and more faced previously unnecessary competition to keep their jobs (The Job Bored). People just entering the field in the years to come were also confronted with a job market as small as it was since the Great Depression. The Huffington Post conducted a study of the cities that were hit worst by the recession in which they discovered that “Most of the cities on [the] list are in regions worst hit by the housing crash…[all were] booming housing markets before the recession hit. In the U.S., just fewer than 15 percent of homes were built in the last 10 years. But in some of the cities…that number is 25 percent and higher” (Sauter). This study shows further evidence as to the specific cause of the mortgage crisis because each city, generally, had a higher percentage of homes built after 2000, therefore the percentage and density of foreclosures was also significantly higher. The 25 percent areas became the areas that were most affected in the end, and because of the previous trends, it was the predictable outcome. Throughout the ongoing
  • 5. Elliott 5 recession, these areas have faced a tougher challenge than most, but all around the country there is a sense of despair. While society still faces the Subprime Mortgage issue, it has been four to five years since its start. Along with this period, there have been developments and possible solutions that have been created in order to ease out of this crisis. Lately, companies are hesitant to build at all without a guaranteed buyer, unlike before, but “Wheelock Street Capital, which has made headlines in the past 18 months by teaming with home builders as a private equity investor, has acquired a coveted 364-acre tract just north of hot Raleigh, N.C., expected to be the site of about 700 homes in the next five years or so” (Housingcrisis.com). While relatively small when one looks at the mortgage crisis as a whole, this investment shows a possible redemption and recovery in future years. Over the past year and a half, Wheelock Street Capital has begun what all building companies need to do on the road to recovery. Although there are still an unprecedented amount of people dealing with financial issues, financial stability has begun to return to several areas and many people in the population. This can be applied to the recession as a whole and just the subprime mortgage crisis, but people and companies need to invest their money within their budget in order to create an exit from these tough economic times. It seems that America is reaching the peak of its crisis as things continue to grow worse. Ben Tracy reports that “the housing report card is ugly. In the past two years, the housing market has lost an estimated $4.9 trillion dollars, as 59 million homes have declined in value…Nearly 1 in 4 homeowners -- 10.7 million households nationwide -- are underwater on their mortgages. They owe more than their home is now worth” (Housing Crisis Getting Uglier in 2010). Since this is a 2010 article, it shows how the numbers continued to become exponentially larger even just a year ago. Even with the outrageous numbers, there is evidence to suggest that Americans
  • 6. Elliott 6 are approaching their peak with situations like the Wheeler Street Capital example. While the times are tough right now, there may be an end in sight. Before this crisis, fields such as architecture and construction would have seemed to have an unendingly great outlook for years to come, but current times have created a new perspective. Still, history shows that this will most likely be a relatively short period that will most likely be resolved before the class of 2012 is out of college, but a solution must come from the government before this plague can bring any more financial destruction to our nation’s populace.
  • 7. Elliott 7 Works Cited Arnold, Chris. “Economists Brace for Worsening Subprime Crisis.” NPR. N.p., 7 Aug. 2007. Web. 13 Nov. 2011. <http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=12561184>. Bianco, Katalina M. “The Subprime Lending Crisis: Causes and Effects of the Mortgage Meltdown.” Business: Banking and Finance. N.p., 2008. Web. 14 Nov. 2011. <http://business.cch.com/bankingfinance/focus/news/Subprime_WP_rev.pdf>. Business Spot. “Effects of the Mortgage Crisis.” Business Spot. N.p., 1 Mar. 2011. Web. 14 Nov. 2011. <http://www.birsa.org/effects-of-the-mortgage-crisis.html>. Housing Crisis.com. “ Wheelock Capital Lands Raleigh Masterplan Gem.” Housing Crisis.com. N.p., 8 Nov. 2011. Web. 14 Nov. 2011. <http://www.housingcrisis.com/home-builders/ wheelock-capital-lands-raleigh-masterplan-gem/>. The Job Bored. “How The Housing Crisis Affects The Job Market.” The Job Bored. N.p., 15 June 2008. Web. 14 Nov. 2011. <http://www.thejobbored.com/how-the-housing-crisis- affects-the-job-market_694/>. Neidenberg, Milt. “Housing market crisis threatens economy.” Worker’s World. N.p., 27 Apr. 2005. Web. 14 Nov. 2011. <http://www.workers.org/2005/us/housing-0505/>. Parks, Samanta. “The Subprime Mortgage Crisis: How Did It All Start?” Foreclosure Data Online. N.p., 2011. Web. 13 Nov. 2011. <The Subprime Mortgage Crisis: How Did It All Start? Read more: http://www.foreclosuredataonline.com/blog/foreclosure-crisis/the- subprime-mortgage-crisis-how-did-it-all-start/#ixzz1ddyRZXz9>.
  • 8. Elliott 8 Sauter, Michael B, and Charles B Stockdale. “American Cities With The Most Underwater Mortgages: 24/7 Wall St. .” Huffington Post. N.p., 29 Oct. 2011. Web. 14 Nov. 2011. <http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/10/28/underwater-mortgages-american-cities- sunk-by-u_n_1064603.html?ref=housing-crisis>. Schumer, Charles E. “Subprime Mortgage Market Crisis Timeline.” Senate. The Senate, July 2008. Web. 13 Nov. 2011. <http://jec.senate.gov/public/ ?a=Files.Serve&File_id=4cdd7384-dbf6-40e6-adbc-789f69131903>. Tracy, Ben. “Housing Crisis Getting Uglier in 2010.” CBS News. N.p., 4 Feb. 2010. Web. 14 Nov. 2011. <http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2010/02/02/eveningnews/ main6167610.shtml>.