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Seminario y Ronda  de Negocios TecnologĂ­a de  la InformaciĂłn Corea - Argentina Dr. Alejandro Prince Prince & Cooke Buenos Aires  28 septiembre 2009
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ICT adoption in Argentina  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ICT Adoption USA vs.  Argentina - Theoretical Time Penetration %
PC’s adoption USA vs.  Argentina - % households  USA Argentina
“ Rogers” status  Internet   users Mobile PCs Laggards Late majority Early majority Innovators & early ad .
Frank Bass:  innovation vs. imitation   argentine shape imitation Industrialized shape innovation Cumulated  sales Time period
Bass quotients Argentina PC, Mobile, Internet users & BB 0,690 0,400 0,700 0,245 q 0,004 0,007 0,001 0,005 P Broad Band Internet users Mobile PC´s Quot.
Strong & Resilient trends PC sales - thousands units
ICT market Argentina ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ICT + Cc Sector – Companies  Half of these HC works in the offer side, another half in large, medium private & public users. Double expected before 2015. 55 % & 99 % respectively is a Critical HR Almost 8.000 companies in ICT total industry + two thirds of employees with universitary or tertiary degrees  + one third, english fluent Annual demand: 15-25.000 employees
ICT + Cc Market evolution
ICT + Cc market vs. GDP 375.909 447.643 835.000 531.939 312.580 654.439 780.396 14.119 24.390 46.100 19.757 11.923 29.810 37.355 0 100.000 200.000 300.000 400.000 500.000 600.000 700.000 800.000 900.000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 PBI 0 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 40.000 45.000 50.000 Mercado TICC
IT market split
Telecomm  market split
Main ICT indicators in millions TV sets + 200 % households TV cable + 60  % households Ciber/hot-spots +  35.000 points
B2C e-commerce
Digital  decade 4,1 5,7 7,6 10 13 16 20 2,6 3,4 4 4,4 5,2 6 7 8,2 4,1 6,6 7,2 6,7 7,8 13,1 18,3 24,1 27,5 33,5 1,43 1,6 2,05 2,3 2,8 3,1 3,7 3,7 3,9 3,8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Usuarios de Internet (en millones de personas) PC's (en millones de unidades) TelefonĂ­a mĂłvil (en millones de lĂ­neas en servicio) Clientes de Internet (en millones de conexiones
* 2  FIDE  (ajustado por inflaciĂłn) Fuente: CCR en base a EPH INDEC / AAM /FIDE $2.200 * 2 Social structure Argentina 2007 Average monthly income per household 15 30 Indigents High class 25 25 Medium high Typical medium class Medium low Low class $9.500   $ 4.000   Poverty line Medium class basket 5 $ 2.200 $1.000 $500
PC’s vs. portables
Fixed vs. mobile lines  thousands - lines in service mobile fixed
Trends by sector  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Trends  by technology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
International opportunities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Market needs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2009 ICT Market Scenario Medium to high probability Inflation around 20 % or less GDP growth, negative, around -2,0 % Dollar december: 4 argentine pesos ICT market growth: 9 - 11 %  Sustained mainly by : BB, mobile, IT S & Services
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Seminario CoreaArgentina Sep09

  • 1. Seminario y Ronda de Negocios TecnologĂ­a de la InformaciĂłn Corea - Argentina Dr. Alejandro Prince Prince & Cooke Buenos Aires 28 septiembre 2009
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. ICT Adoption USA vs. Argentina - Theoretical Time Penetration %
  • 5. PC’s adoption USA vs. Argentina - % households USA Argentina
  • 6. “ Rogers” status Internet users Mobile PCs Laggards Late majority Early majority Innovators & early ad .
  • 7. Frank Bass: innovation vs. imitation argentine shape imitation Industrialized shape innovation Cumulated sales Time period
  • 8. Bass quotients Argentina PC, Mobile, Internet users & BB 0,690 0,400 0,700 0,245 q 0,004 0,007 0,001 0,005 P Broad Band Internet users Mobile PC´s Quot.
  • 9. Strong & Resilient trends PC sales - thousands units
  • 10.
  • 11. ICT + Cc Sector – Companies Half of these HC works in the offer side, another half in large, medium private & public users. Double expected before 2015. 55 % & 99 % respectively is a Critical HR Almost 8.000 companies in ICT total industry + two thirds of employees with universitary or tertiary degrees + one third, english fluent Annual demand: 15-25.000 employees
  • 12. ICT + Cc Market evolution
  • 13. ICT + Cc market vs. GDP 375.909 447.643 835.000 531.939 312.580 654.439 780.396 14.119 24.390 46.100 19.757 11.923 29.810 37.355 0 100.000 200.000 300.000 400.000 500.000 600.000 700.000 800.000 900.000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 PBI 0 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 40.000 45.000 50.000 Mercado TICC
  • 16. Main ICT indicators in millions TV sets + 200 % households TV cable + 60 % households Ciber/hot-spots + 35.000 points
  • 18. Digital decade 4,1 5,7 7,6 10 13 16 20 2,6 3,4 4 4,4 5,2 6 7 8,2 4,1 6,6 7,2 6,7 7,8 13,1 18,3 24,1 27,5 33,5 1,43 1,6 2,05 2,3 2,8 3,1 3,7 3,7 3,9 3,8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Usuarios de Internet (en millones de personas) PC's (en millones de unidades) TelefonĂ­a mĂłvil (en millones de lĂ­neas en servicio) Clientes de Internet (en millones de conexiones
  • 19. * 2 FIDE (ajustado por inflaciĂłn) Fuente: CCR en base a EPH INDEC / AAM /FIDE $2.200 * 2 Social structure Argentina 2007 Average monthly income per household 15 30 Indigents High class 25 25 Medium high Typical medium class Medium low Low class $9.500 $ 4.000 Poverty line Medium class basket 5 $ 2.200 $1.000 $500
  • 21. Fixed vs. mobile lines thousands - lines in service mobile fixed
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. 2009 ICT Market Scenario Medium to high probability Inflation around 20 % or less GDP growth, negative, around -2,0 % Dollar december: 4 argentine pesos ICT market growth: 9 - 11 % Sustained mainly by : BB, mobile, IT S & Services
  • 27.