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Stockholm University
Institute of Political Science
C paper
Teacher: Bertil Nygren
Securitization or Politicization
of the Movement System
Analysis of the Ugandan presidential election 1996
and the 2000 referendum
Fredric Stany 700426
ii
ABSTRACT
Securitization or Politicization of the Movement System: Analysis of the Ugandan
presidential election 1996 and the 2000 referendum
Fredric Stany
The Movement system in Uganda – a “no-party democracy” - was supported by 90 percent of
the voters in the June 2000 referendum on political systems, although the opposition did
encourage many people to boycott the referendum. The purpose of this paper is to find out
whether securitization of the Movement system – in the eyes of a particular audience - has
occurred or not during the presidential election 1996 and the 2000 referendum. The empirical
objective of this paper is to generate knowledge about securitization as a phenomenon in
Ugandan politics.
The results indicate that president Yoweri Museveni and his leadership within the Movement
have been designated existential threats through statements related to security differently
constructed depending on the targeted audience. The signs of acceptance of these stated
conditions and realities are few among the enlightened and educated people. But it seems as
an understanding is that there exists no connection between the introduction of a multiparty
system and the achievement of reconciliation - a political logic repeatedly emphasized
through the speech acts of president Museveni. Among the non-enlightened people, where
security more or less seem to be the one and only political issue, the logics seems to have
been generally accepted by the audience. In this sense, a securitization of the Movement
system has occurred in the eyes of these people. In addition, the forced passing of a new
referendum act in only three hours just a month before the 2000 referendum can be seen as
Museveni breaking free from constitutional procedures – a measure that seems to have failed
to gain public support and could instead have contributed to the boycotting of the referendum.
Key words: Securitization, No-party democracy, Movement system, Multiparty system,
Museveni, political language.
iii
ABSTRACT .............................................................................................................................II
BACKGROUND....................................................................................................................... 1
RESEARCH DESIGN ............................................................................................................. 2
PURPOSE.................................................................................................................................. 2
RESEARCH QUESTION.............................................................................................................. 2
OPERATIONALISATION ............................................................................................................ 3
REAL WORLD IMPORTANCE AND CONTRIBUTION TO SCHOLARLY LITERATURE ........................ 4
THEORY CONNECTION ............................................................................................................. 5
RESEARCHER STANDPOINT ...................................................................................................... 6
METHODS, RESEARCH DATA AND DEMARCATIONS ................................................................. 7
Discourse Analysis ............................................................................................................. 7
Reflective interviews........................................................................................................... 8
ANALYTICAL DESIGN....................................................................................................... 10
OBOTEPHOBIA ....................................................................................................................... 10
(NATIONAL) UNITY ............................................................................................................... 12
ANALYSIS.............................................................................................................................. 13
HOW (BY WHICH SPEECH ACTS) AND BY WHOM (THE SECURITIZING ACTOR) HAS THE
EXISTENTIAL THREAT BEEN DESIGNATED?............................................................................. 13
Democratic Party leader is bringing back Milton Obote ................................................ 13
…and organizing death squads........................................................................................ 15
Multipartyism behind past atrocities................................................................................ 16
A vote for Ssemogerere and multipartyism means increased sectarianism..................... 17
WHICH ARE THE PROCEDURES OR RULES THE SECURITIZING ACTOR MAY HAVE MANAGED TO
BREAK FREE FROM AND WHICH HE OR SHE OTHERWISE WOULD BE BOUND TO? ..................... 20
WHICH ARE THE SIGNS OF ACCEPTANCE BY THE PEOPLE?...................................................... 22
Polls and election results ................................................................................................. 23
The fear of multipartyism................................................................................................. 24
Manipulation of the rural based and non-enlightened people......................................... 25
The importance of reconciliation and security ................................................................ 26
Sectarianism..................................................................................................................... 28
CONCLUSIONS..................................................................................................................... 29
LIST OF REFERENCES ...................................................................................................... 32
1
BACKGROUND
The political system in Uganda - often named as a “no-party democracy” by president Yoweri
Museveni – was supported by 90 percent of the voters in the June 2000 referendum. President
Museveni’s statement that political party activities support conflicts between ethnical groups,
is conflicting with the vision of the endogenous democratization progress in the country.
Instead, his vision is that all citizens should work together united within the same political
movement - the Movement system.1
The significance of public acceptance of these statements
can be questioned; the political opposition did encourage the people to boycott the
referendum, and only 50 percent of the voters did participate.2
Since 1986 independent political parties have been prohibited to exercise political activities.3
The Ugandan government often responds to criticism of the Movement system by arguing that
such criticism is insensitive to the Ugandan context, and a form of western imperialism.4
The
movement presides over what it calls a "No-Party" system - later renamed as the Movement
system - (but which is virtually indistinguishable from a state-funded political party) and has
consolidated its monopoly on the political power through an exclusive access to state funding
and political education programs, as well as an exemption from the stringent constraints
placed upon the opposition political parties.5
One goal with the “movementocracy” may have been to reduce identity-based tensions, and
the Movement did insist that political parties in Uganda have undermined rather than
furthered or defended democracy, and that multipartyism is not the only, nor the best form of
democracy for Uganda. It has been repeatedly emphasized that election times for parties are
1
Utrikespolitiska Institutet. Landguiden, Uganda. http://www.landguiden.se/. Printed 23/1-05.
2
Utrikespolitiska institutet.
3
Up until just recently.
4
Human Rights Watch. Hostile to democracy. http://hrw.org/reports/1999/uganda/Uganweb-
05.htm#P505_67990. Printed 24/2-05.
5
Human Rights Watch. World Report 1999. “Uganda Silences Political Parties With Harassment and
Oppressive Laws” by Peter Bouckaert, Uganda Researcher for the Africa Division.
http://www.hrw.org/press/1999/oct/ug1012.htm. Printed 24/2-05.
2
not a time to educate and unite the people along “national” lines, but another opportunity to
divide them along “sectarian” lines.6
When speaking of security politics, fear can be seen as a precondition for the existence of a
society. Peoples´ fear and their need of belonging, the need of security and freedom from
experienced threats makes a society possible.7
Hence, this insight may lead to an intentional
move taken by a political leader to securitize a political system in order to guarantee
hegemonic power.
RESEARCH DESIGN
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to find out whether securitization of the Movement system in
Uganda has occurred or not.
The explanation model is intentionalistic8
: President Museveni has securitized the Movement
system, by the designation of an existential threat – an increase of sectarianism and conflicts
between tribal, ethnical and religious groups – with the intention to legitimize a continuous
ban on multiparty democracy (and thereby a cancellation of the endogenous progress of
democratization) to ensure hegemonic power.
Research Question
The explanation model leads us to the following research questions:
- How has the Movement system been successfully securitized in Uganda?
6
The Movement political philosophy rests on the position that Uganda’s political culture is not particularly
conducive to a Western-style democratic system built around political parties and periodic elections contested by
candidates sponsored by the parties. What is needed is said to be a social movement that is able to champion the
task of mobilizing the people to be part and parcel of decision-making at the various levels where their
livelihood is affected. The task of educating the populace generally and politically, of promoting national
integration, and building a national civic identity/culture are important goals which such a movement should
spearhead. See discussions in Olukoshi, Adebayo O. The Politics of Opposition in Contemporary Africa.
Elanders Gotab, Stockholm, Sweden. 1998:180-181.
7
See also discussions in Eriksson, Johan (red.); Utrikespolitiska Institutet, säkerhetspolitiska rådet, Hotbildernas
politik, Elanders Gotab AB, Stockholm 2001:ii (Förord).
8
The intentionalistic explanation model is discussed in: Rosing, Hans. Vetenskapens logiska grunder (Elfte
upplagan). Lovisa Östra Nylands tryckeri AB. 2002:159-162.
3
o How (by which speech acts) and by whom (the securitizing actor) has the
existential threat been designated?
o Which are the procedures or rules the securitizing actor may have managed to
break free from and which he or she otherwise would be bound to?
o Which are the signs of acceptance by the people?
Operationalisation
The distinction between Politicization and securitization is such that while the former are
issues widely recognised as forming part of the political agenda9
, the latter are issues being
presented as an existential threat and that are widely accepted as a security issue by the
relevant audience10
.
As a starting-point, the securitization terminology is transformed into the conception used in
this paper, by using the definition by Barry Buzan, Ole Weaver and Jaap de Wilde:
“[T]he exact definition and criteria of securitization is constituted by the intersubjective establishment
of an existential threat with a saliency sufficient to have substantial political effects. […] If by means
of an argument about the priority and urgency of an existential threat the securitizing actor has
managed to break free from procedures or rules he or she would otherwise be bound by, we are
witnessing a case of securitization […] but the issue is securitized only if and when the audience
accepts it as such. […] Securitization is not fulfilled only by breaking rules nor solely by existential
threats but by cases of existential threats that legitimize the breaking of rules.”11
But the conception used in this paper is though developed by considering the approach
advocated by Charlotta Wagnsson, suggesting to focus on whether an issue is securitized in
the eyes of a particular audience – successfully or not.12
Further, Wagnsson suggests each
scholar to set her/his own criterion for when an issue is to be regarded as securitized, since the
criterion may depend on what audience, and what issue, the scholar focuses upon.13
Finally,
and again following Wagnsson´s more dynamic approach of the securitization theory:
9
Wagnsson, Charlotte. Russian Political Language and Public Opinion on the West, NATO and Chechnya -
Securitisation Theory Reconsidered. Akademitryck, Edsbruk. 2000:32.
10
Wagnsson, 2000:32.
11
The definition of a “successful” securitization by Buzan, Barry; Weaver, Ole; de Wilde, Jaap. A New
Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, Colorado. 1998:25.
12
Wagnsson, 2000:18.
13
Ibid:19.
4
"[S]eemingly securitized issues do not always result in emergency measures and violent deeds. Even if
the securitizing actor reach securitization, for example in relation to the general public, they have not
necessarily managed to legitimize the use of emergency measures."14
As a result, this paper is mainly focusing on the designation of an existential threat and the
acceptance of the people. The third research question - the breaking free from procedures and
rules – serves as a complement to the first two questions in order to give more strength to the
discussion, rather that being a determining factor, on whether securitization has occurred or
not.
Real world importance and contribution to scholarly literature
Are these questions of importance in the real world?15
The democratization process in Uganda has attracted much attention by governments as well
as NGOs. The issue has been highlighted in several reports by the Human Rights Watch16
and
Amnesty International17
. The Swedish government has increased its cooperation with Uganda
in accordance with the progress of democratization in the country.18
Whereas some argue that
the excessive focus on multiparty/competitive elections in the current African democratic
practice and discourse is both too narrow and limiting, others take the view that the acid test
of Africa’s democratic transition lies in the way succession politics is conducted as evidenced
by the manner in which future elections are handled and victory and defeat managed.19
The empirical objective of this paper is to generate knowledge about securitization as a
phenomenon in Ugandan politics, or more specifically: knowledge about how the political
language used in two election campaigns – the presidential election 1996 and the referendum
in 2000 – have designated an existential threat which may have legitimized the violations of
political rights through gaining significant public acceptance. By using the securitization
approach in security studies the paper will also detect strengths and weaknesses related to the
defined criteria (see Theory connection section below). Thus, this research project may
14
Ibid:28.
15
A research question should be consequential for political, social, or economic life, for understanding
something that significantly affect many people’s lives, according to King, Gary & Keohane, Robert O. &
Verba, Sidney. Designing Social Inquiry. Princeton University Press, New Jersey. 1994:15.
16
Such as World Report 1999.
17
Such as Report 2002, Uganda.http://web.amnesty.org/web/ar2002.nsf/afr/uganda!Open
18
Regeringskansliet. http://www.regeringen.se/sb/d/2575/a/13899. Printed 8/1-05.
19
See discussions in Olukoshi, Adebayo O. The Politics of Opposition in Contemporary Africa. Elanders Gotab,
Stockholm, Sweden. 1998:10.
5
contribute to scholarly literature20
in two significant ways: First, by providing the theories of
securitization with a relevant African case study that, with its uniqueness, can bring new
insights to the security subject and which may result in new, extended research projects within
this framework of security analysis. The second contribution may be seen as a validation or
test of the usefulness of the methods and techniques related to the securitization theory (see
Method section below).
Theory connection
The theory on securitization, developed by the Copenhagen School, describes it as an extreme
version of “politicization”, since it may motivate acts such as human rights violations.21
By
using the above definition by Buzan, Weaver and de Wilde, a successful securitization is
dependent on the legitimacy of committing such acts as a result of the acceptance of these
violations by a significant public. Securitization theory is the authors´ answer to, or solution
to, the traditionalists´ criticism on “wideners” approach to security studies22
- a criticism that
consisted of the undesirable and uncontrolled “spill over” of the broader range of security
issues into other sectors and the elevation of security into a desired condition - and it
combines both the state-centered traditional and the wideners’ views on security studies.23
But, as Charlotte Wagnsson put it, the Copenhagen School lacks in clarifying the criteria that
should be met for an issue to be regarded as successfully securitized; the acceptance of a
“significant” audience.24
She also criticizes the permanent categorization of actors and of the
audience suggested by the Copenhagen School and suggests that each scholar sets her/his own
criterion for when deciding on an issue as securitized. Wagnsson´s proposal on detaching the
sector approach is also adopted in this paper, and thereby avoiding the risk of impeding from
discerning security statements that do not fit into any of the sectors identified by the
Copenhagen School.25
20
”Making a contribution” means ”[…] locating a research design within the framework of the existing social
scientific literature” and that the investigator understand the “state of the art” so that duplicating will not occur,
according to King, Keohane & Verba. 1994:16.
21
Wagnsson, 2000:1.
22
Buzan, Weaver, de Wilde. 1998:2: The “wide” versus “narrow” debate grew out of dissatisfaction with the
intense narrowing of the field of security studies imposed by the military and nuclear obsessions of the Cold
War.
23
Buzan, Weaver, de Wilde. 1998:1-5.
24
Wagnsson. 2000:18.
25
Ibid. 2000:26.
6
By using the approach and definitions suggested by Buzan, Weaver and de Wilde as the
framework when designing this research project, and by considering the dynamics of the
political context unique for the topic of this paper, based on the reconsiderations of
securitization theory by Wagnsson, hence the theory foundation is defined. The important
acceptance criteria will thus be continuously developed and finally defined parallel to the
collection, analysis and interpretation of the research data.
Researcher standpoint
My epistemological position has both realist and interpretist elements (which is in analogy
with Chris Hays´ and David Marsh’s position26
), i.e. there may be “real” processes “out
there”, but the political actions and outcomes are affected by how these phenomena is
designated or mediated by the discursive construction. This epistemological position makes it
possible to investigate – by using discourse analysis as the method - if and how a securitizing
actor has securitized the Movement system, by the designation of an existential threat with the
intention to legitimize a continuous ban on multiparty democracy. The “real” processes of, for
instance, democratization may thus be interpreted by the securitizing actor and the public in
similar or in different ways, but the speech acts, as part of the construction of the discourse,
will, in turn, be interpreted by the people (voters). This may affect the outcomes in the
election and referendum, but may also – depending on the significance of the acceptance -
legitimize the violations of political rights. In line with the argument by Wæver, I understand
security as not being something "out there" with an objective existence and a priori ontology,
something that one should strive to acquire as much of as one possibly can. On the contrary,
security is an act that comes into play by the very utterance of the word security.27
My position regarding the “structure-agency” question28
is dialectical. This approach means
that individuals are affected, but not limited, by the structures of the society. But the stronger
the structure, the lesser room for individuals to act independently; i.e. the essence of this
paper is the investigation of the dynamics of how well the speech acts as part of a discourse
26
Marsh, David & Stoker, Gerry. Theory and Methods in Political Science, Second edition. Palgrave Macmillan,
New York. 2002:35.
27
Jaeger, Oyvind, Securitizing Russia: Discursive Practices of the Baltic States,
http://www.gmu.edu/academic/pcs/Jaeger72PCS.htm
28
Marsh, Stoker. 2002:271: The structure-agency question is debated to be the most important theoretical issue
within the human sciences. The issue concerns the ability to shape our destiny (agency) as against the degree our
destiny is determined by external forces (structure).
7
(structure) may result in the individuals’ (agencies’) acceptance of the violations of political
rights.
Methods, Research data and Demarcations
This longitudinal case study29
consists of the analysis of two events: The Uganda presidential
election 1996 and the referendum on the political system held in year 2000. In Article 69 in
the 1995 Constitution, it is provided that the people of Uganda have the right to choose and
adopt a political system of their choice through free and fair elections or referenda. More
specifically, in Article 271 (3) it was provided that during the last month of the fourth year of
the term of the first parliament elected under this constitution, a referendum would be held to
determine the political system the people of Uganda wish to adopt.30
The research methods to
be used will be both discourse analysis and reflective interviews. The reason to combine these
two is to obtain a deepened understanding of the public acceptance and its significance, and
hence to enable the distinction between securitization and politicization.
Discourse Analysis
The discourse analysis material will be limited to include primary and secondary sources of
documentation related to daily newspapers, parliamentary debates (official reports,
“hansards”) and campaigns before the presidential election 1996 and the referendum in 2000.
The focus on discourses in debates and policy statements means that the primary documents
will consist of official reports of the Parliament of Uganda from after the announcement of the
start of the election campaigns (i.e. that is around one month before the events).31
In case of
the 2000 referendum, can be found on the Parliament website.32
29
A time-ordered analysis. Jensen, Jason L., Rodgers, Robert. Public Administration Review. “Cumulating the
Intellectual Gold of Case Study Research”. Vol 61, No.2, March/April 2001:238.
30
Sabiti-Makara, Tukahebwa Geoffrey B., Byarugaba Foster E. Voting For Democracy in Uganda - Issues in
Recent Elections. LDC Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 2003:255.
31
Presidential candidates were not allowed to address public rallies before the official opening of campaigns.
Official campaigns started immediately after the nominations on 27 March 1996, while the polling day was
scheduled for 9 May 1996. The official campaigns lasted only 39 days. This means that each candidate only had
a single day to campaign in the entire district since there were 39 districts in the country then. Moreover,
Museveni took advantage of incumbency to campaign while other candidates were not allowed before the
official opening of campaigns. Museveni had reached every county in the country on a crusade that he termed
“poverty alleviation campaign”. Sabiti-Makara, Tukahebwa Geoffrey B., Byarugaba Foster E. Voting For
Democracy in Uganda - Issues in Recent Elections. LDC Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 2003:43.
32
http://www.parliament.go.ug/hansard/hans_browse.jsp, Reports between 1995 and 1998 are not available on
this site, nor at the Parliament library or the Centre For Basic Research (CBR) library.
8
Official reports regarding the 1996 election has been collected on site in Kampala, with help
from the Centre of Basic Research (CBR) and the Makerere University. Secondary documents
will mainly consist of the relevant daily newspapers - The New Vision and The Monitor. The
choice of these two can be explained by the objective to avoid twisted interpretations since
there were significant differences regarding the news coverage on the Movement and on the
Boycotting political parties during the referendum.33
The aim of discourse analysis is to expose and explain the role of discourses and how they
contribute to political processes – here, securitization. Thus, the designation and association
of an existential threat of multipartyism and the justifications for the Movement system in
Uganda can be investigated by applying the discourse analysis in the study of the topic
securitization. There are two important, and interconnected, arguments behind the use of the
method here. The first is that discourse is to be seen as a result of hegemonic speeches aiming
to establish a political as well as a moral-intellectual leadership in society. The second
argument is that such speeches always do involve the construction of social antagonisms by
positing a threatening outside through the exclusion of social identities.34
By explaining and clarifying the analyzing tool and the procedures carefully (see Analytical
Design section below) the reliability (or intersubjectivity) will increase.35
When making
inferences (drawing conclusions), the problems with generalization when using case study
research can be reduced by studying two events – i.e. the 1996 election and the 2000
referendum - and to increase the amount of observations36
. Additionally, by studying two
events a comparison over time can be made.
Reflective interviews
The reflective interviews are theme based, in order to obtain the combination of freedom and
control in the interviews. By using the Thomsson model, the key was to interpret, understand
and reflect upon the respondent stories and thus being able to ask follow-up questions during
33
The New Vision carried almost three times more coverage of the Boycotting political parties than about the
Movement; while The Monitor did the opposite. Coverage by both papers of the Multiparty is about equal.
Africa Action. Africa Policy E-Journal, Referendum 2000, NGO Monitoring Cluster.
http://www.africaaction.org/docs00/ugan0004.htm. Printed 28/2-05.
34
Those arguments goes well in line with the Laclau and Mouffe (Anglo Saxon School) strand of discourse
analysis. See Torfing, Jacob, New Theories of Discourse, Oxford, Blackwell, 1999.
35
Burnham, Peter, Gilland, Karin, Grant, Wyn & Layton-Henry, Zig. Research Methods in Politics. Palgrave
Macmillan, New York. 2004:260.
36
The ”crucial maxim” according to King, Keohane, Verba. 1994:47.
9
the interviews.37
The sampling technique used was the snowball method38
. By asking the staff
at the Centre of Basic Research and at the Makerere University in Kampala to name
individuals, then out of these a more suitable choice of respondents was made.39
Each
interview loop was ended by transcribing the tapes and coding in accordance with the
overaching themes, see below the Analytical Design section. The amount of respondents were
limited to 4, because of reasons related to time. Furthermore, the respondents were found in
different electoral districts: Kampala, Jinja, Bweyongerere and Mukono. Thus, all districts are
from the Southern parts of Uganda, which may have affected the results. Finding respondents
throughout the country and in the rural areas40
would have required interpreters which in turn
would have made the reflective interviews hard to accomplish.
Five different interview themes were used during the interviews: voting, democracy, freedom,
rights and identity. The idea behind the identification of the interview themes has been to
avoid direct questions related to security, or the overaching themes discussed below, and
thereby enable an unbiased inquiry of the respondents associations related to the political
logic in question, see section below. Still, with these five themes, connections can be made to
the election and the referendum. Thus, this approach allows room to interpret, understand and
reflect upon the respondent stories - the very key of reflective interviews.
In order to increase validity in qualitative interviews, a critical view by controlling (try to
obstruct a twisted interpretation), to question (“what” and “why” to be answered before the
question of “how”) and to theorize (to decide whether a method investigates what it should be
investigating, a theoretical idea of what is investigated is required) was adopted.41
Under the analysis section of this paper, references are indicated only as “#1-4” together with
the name of the district/city of the residence of the respondent, and the date of the interview.
This is in order to protect and to guarantee the security and integrity of the respondents. Only
with the purpose to check the validity and reliability of the results in this paper, the
transcribed material can be presented – but not copied - upon request and with the permission
of the author.
37
Thomsson, Heléne. Reflexiva intervjuer. Studentlitteratur, Lund. 2002:59.
38
The problem may be when to stop; the ”snowball” gets larger and larger. Burnham, etc. 2004:207.
39
How to find respondents is discussed in Thomsson. 2002:63.
40
The level of acceptance of political measures may be significantly different among people in the true rural
areas of Uganda compared to people in urban areas.
41
Kvale, Steinar. Den kvalitativa forskningsintervjun. Studentlitteratur, Lund. 1997:218-221.
10
ANALYTICAL DESIGN
With the purpose of structuring the analysis, the identification of an analytical tool to capture
and organize most of the language in question is of significance. The initial, exploratory
reading of president Museveni´s (and his top leadership within the Movement/NRM) speeches
before the presidential election 1996 and the 2000 referendum, indicate that a major part of
the statements related to security could be arranged within two overaching themes, linked to
the violent past in Uganda: One which can be described as “Obotephobia” – referring to fears
of the previous president Milton Obote - and a second related to (national) unity. The
distinction is purely analytical, but might clarify what kind of political logic is at work in
situations related to these elections.
These overaching themes constituted the "glasses" used during the continued reading of the
texts, but also as the "hearing aid" when performing the interviews. The latter contribute to a
deeper understanding on how the respondents associate this political logic on discussions
related to the five chosen interview themes, see section above. Before entering into the
analyzing section of this paper, the two overaching themes - Obotephobia and (national) unity
- requires a presentation in order to enhance the understanding of the Ugandan context,
although it is impossible to grasp its complete extent and complexity in this paper.
Obotephobia
The former Ugandan president, Milton Obote, who lives in exile in Zambia since the
overthrow of his second government in 1985, still played a relevant role in the political
discourse during the 1996 election and the 2000 referendum campaigns. The atrocities carried
out by the state against its population during Obote´s second regime (“Obote II”), 1980-1986,
is by many people seen as possibly the worst in Ugandan history.42
Obote is, for example,
held responsible by the Baganda – the people of the Buganda kingdom in the Southern
Uganda - for the killings in the “Luweero Triangle“.43
After the allegedly rigged elections in
1980, which brought Obote back to power, the army (again) was dominated by northern
42
See Hammargren, Henrik; Muhereza, Frank; Ottosson, Åse; Ssenkumba, John. Peace, Democracy and Human
Rights in Uganda - a string of fragile pearls. A draft report for Sida, June 1999:2.
43
Luweero was for long a part of Buganda Kingdom and is also widely regarded as the centre of Uganda’s
liberation struggle of the early 1980s. See also Sabiti-Makara, Tukahebwa Geoffrey B., Byarugaba Foster E.
Voting For Democracy in Uganda - Issues in Recent Elections. LDC Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 2003:189.
11
Uganda nationalities and, supported by the political leaders, an exercise of genocide started in
the districts of Arua and Moyo and thousands of people ran into exile. 44
At that time, Uganda had a multiparty political system but the opposition parties were
allegedly preoccupied with seeking and protecting their own private positions and privileges
that they could not be counted on to defend the population effectively against state terror. The
crisis during this particular period centered on broad questions of democracy such as the
imbalance in the social composition of military organs, but also the ineptitude on the part of
the politico-military leadership.45
Thus, in this case, although there were no evidences of a
constitutional state governed by law, the appearance of a multiparty democracy was not
enough to bring peace to the Ugandan people and that experience may have affected the
Ugandans in their approach to multipartyism today, and in the future.46
Also worth to mention when discussing the impact on large parts of the Ugandan people when
using the name of the former president Obote in the political language is the “unitary”
constitution introduced during Obote´s first government twenty years earlier. The constitution
abrogated all of Buganda´s federal powers - the largest single ethnic group in Uganda, and
still the most central and influential in national politics - after that the government used its
armed forces against the kingdom in the Southern Uganda. This can be seen as another case of
ethnic contradictions, but also as a situation were a constituted multiparty democracy may
have been expected to prevent the undemocratic measures taken by the government.47
The word “Obotephobia”, as used here, thus reflects people’s fear of chaos, state terror, an
uncontrolled army and a regime unable to protect the Ugandan people, or groups of people,
from atrocities – even under a constituted multiparty democracy.
44
On the question of why Uganda has been politically unstable since 1966, there are interpretations of the root-
cause which are based on political personalities especially of Obote and the former president Idi Amin, the
nature and training of the Army, the external factors of destabilization, religious-political groupings, racial and
developmental differences between north and south, and the political ignorance of the masses. See Hansen,
Holger Bernt, Twaddle, Michael. Religion & Politics in East Africa. Fountain Publishers, Kampala, Uganda.
1995:106, 115.
45
See Makubuya, E. Khiddu; Mwaka, V.M.; Okoth, P.G. Uganda: Thirty Years of Independence 1962-1992.
Makerere University Printery, Kampala, Uganda. 1994:151.
46
See also discussions in Olukoshi, Adebayo O. The Politics of Opposition in Contemporary Africa. Elanders
Gotab, Stockholm, Sweden. 1998:182.
47
See also discussions in Mamdani, Mahmood. Politics and Class Formation in Uganda. (First Printing.)
Monthly Review Press, New York.1976:245-246.
12
(National) Unity
Allegedly, the main causes of division in Uganda stem from tribal, ethnic and religious
rivalries and Uganda is by some scholars considered as being among the most severely
divided societies.48
Even though the problem of ethnic rivalries began way back during the
pre-colonial era, colonialism arguably intensified the tensions between Uganda kingdoms and
added another dimension of religious conflicts – between Catholics and Protestants.49
The
antagonisms between South – privileged by colonial rule in terms of political and economic
influence as well as development in physical and social infrastructure - and the largely left
undeveloped and uneducated North, and between religiously aligned political parties50
were
violently exploited by the rulers and competing elites in the post-colonial period – and thus
during the rule under multipartyism.51
Expulsions of non-nationals, with the aim of fighting
class struggles, are also evident in the Ugandan history, both during the Obote regime
(Kenyan workers) and the Idi Amin era (Asian bourgeoisie).52
Another phenomenon affecting the national unity of Ugandans is that the country did not
emerge after independence with one ruling petty bourgeoisie, a section of it controlling the
state power. Instead, two separate petty bourgeoisies came forth - one Buganda and one non-
Buganda – with the kulaks at the core of the former and the governing bureaucracy at the core
of the latter.53
This fact constitutes one of the features of the African democracy discourse -
48
In pre-colonial times, thirty different ethnic groups inhabited the area which later was designed and named
Uganda by the colonialists.
49
See Halsteen, Ulrik, Human Rights in a Ugandan context – A discussion of liberal human rights and Ugandan
political discourse in the 1990s, Roskilde University, 2000:43.
50
Catholics (44 percent of the population) are traditional allies of the Democratic Party, DP, and the Church of
Uganda (Anglican, 39 percent of the population) allies of the Uganda People’s Congress, UPC, and the churches
have in this respect been a dividing force. But in some areas the churches however do join hands, as in the Joint
Christian Council where the Roman Catholics, the Church of Uganda and the orthodox church come together.
Hammargren, Muhereza, Ottosson, Ssenkumba, 1999:20.
51
One explosive political problem that the post colonial government handled constitutionally was the long-
standing dispute between the Bunyoro and Buganda kingdoms over the “lost counties” issue - tracts of land that
belonged to Bunyoro before the onset of colonialism, but which were given to Buganda for assisting the British
to defeat Bunyoro. This “democratic” solution of the problem provoked more antagonism between Buganda and
Bunyoro. See discussions in Sahli, M.A. Mohamed & Markakis, John. Ethnicity and the State in Eastern Africa.
Elanders Gotab, Stockholm. 1998:182-183.
52
See Mamdani, Mahmood. Politics and Class Formation in Uganda. (First Printing.) Monthly Review Press,
New York.1976:316.
53
The formation of the petty bourgeoisie in Uganda included three distinct social groups: the kulaks in the
agricultural sector, the traders in the commercial sector, and the bureaucrats within the state apparatus.
Economically these social groups were unequally developed which gave rise to the most advanced section of the
petty bourgeoisie, the kulaks, who were primarily situated in Buganda. See discussions in Mamdani, Mahmood.
Politics and Class Formation in Uganda. (First Printing.) Monthly Review Press, New York.1976:228-229.
13
the basic African social structure, which, it has been argued in some quarters, does not
embody the social forces that are compatible with (western) democratic forms of rule.54
Thus, the word (national) unity, reflects the extensive need of an end to the violence related to
sectarianism in Uganda - a frequent phenomenon in the history of the country, during times of
a multiparty political system as well as during colonialism and one-party rule. Speeches
involving these two overaching themes of Obotephobia and (national) unity - constituting the
existential threats - can thus be seen as articulations that strongly may contribute to the
construction of incentives used to legitimize the existence of the Movement system.
ANALYSIS
How (by which speech acts) and by whom (the securitizing actor) has the existential
threat been designated?
Democratic Party leader is bringing back Milton Obote
The organization of the pro-multiparty Inter-Political Forces Cooperation (IPFC) - a political
allied force during the 1996 presidential election campaigns - grouped the old rivals
Democratic Party (DP) and Milton Obote´s Uganda People’s Congress (UPC). Since the DP
leader Paul Kawanga Ssemogerere – the main challenger of the president title and maybe the
keenest advocate for multipartyism - was picked as the IPFC candidate, president Yoweri
Museveni started saying “[…] the IPFC was a ploy to return Obote to power”.55
The pro-
Museveni camp’s publication Naked Truth two weeks earlier publicized details of allegedly
Obote-written speeches which the DP candidate Paul Ssemogerere was supposed to read at his
rallies, and there were tens of pamphlets in the Luganda language56
with photos of Milton
Obote meeting Ssemogerere as leader of the Opposition in Obote II regime.57
Museveni continues using the theme of candidate Ssemogerere to bring back old leaders
during the campaigns. On a campaign rally at Ntwetwe sub-county in Kiboga district, the
54
One perspective, focusing on the social classes, suggests that the low level of capitalist development that is the
lot of virtually all African countries, and the associated absence of strong social classes, including especially the
problems posed by a weak but avaricious bourgeoisie which is based on the state. See Olukoshi, Adebayo O.
The Politics of Opposition in Contemporary Africa. Elanders Gotab, Stockholm, Sweden. 1998:176.
55
The Monitor, Museveni “killed” Ssemogerere with Obote in Buganda, May 6, 1996.
56
Luganda is spoken by Baganda, the people of Buganda kingdom.
57
The Monitor, The secret dirty campaign that doesn’t happen at rallies, April 24, 1996.
14
western neighbor of Luweero district, he displayed a copy of the newspaper New Vision,
which had said: “Ssemogerere to bring Obote back”, after Ssemogerere earlier told he would
invite back former president, and told the rally that Ssemogerere would “[…] invite back Idi
Amin as well”. Museveni continued saying “[…] returning Obote could lead Uganda into
political turmoil” and that “Obote committed numerous crimes and when we [the Movement]
granted amnesty we were discriminative”.58
These cases are examples of where people of Buganda and Kiboga districts are the targeted
audience. Showing photos of Obote seem to have one obvious reason: to demonstrate that a
vote for IPFC, and multiparty democracy, means new atrocities (such as in Luweero). By
using names such as the former president Idi Amin creates a charged audience, not at least in
areas such as the Kiboga district since Amin´s Uganda is regarded as an era of “Nubi rule” -
with its defining characteristics of Islam and Arabic language - Museveni direct his
designations of existential threats to a broader audience and also brings the element of
religion into the political discourse.59
These two different speeches also reflect a seemingly
well thought out construction of the articulations, depending on the targeted audience, with
the aim of designating an existential threat.
One element in president Museveni´s language is the repeated statements on the (older)
candidate Ssememogerere incapability of running the country and as being a weak person.
Commenting the IPFC coalition, Museveni told rallies in Luweero and Mukono, that “[t]hey
are using Dr Ssemogerere as a soft, weak door which they will easily crash down to capture
power in the country”60
. Referring to the horrible killings in the Luweero district during the
Obote II government in the 1980s, he continued saying: “A new enemy is coming. This
enemy used to be here but now is back in another color”.61
Museveni clarified that the leaders
of the past who used state machinery to kill Ugandans since 1966 to 198662
, were now coming
back as “lizards”: “These were originally snakes but now are using Ssemogerere and are
coming back to destroy Uganda in a lizard’s skin”.63
58
The New Vision, Invite Amin back also – Museveni, April 4, 1996.
59
The Nubi sided with Obote before the Amin era.
60
The New Vision, ”Past killers only using Ssemogerere”, April 2, 1996.
61
Ibid.
62
During this period, Obote I, Idi Amin and Obote II governments were completely dominating.
63
Ibid.
15
The above examples reveal a pattern of the political language used by Museveni and his camp
during the presidential election campaigns in 1996: It continuously threatens the Ugandan
people of bringing the old leadership fashion back in power. Only ten years after the atrocities
carried through during the 1980s, why would they risk the stability gained during the recent
last years?
At a campaign rally at Nkumba, Mpigi district in the Buganda region, Museveni told that
multiparty advocates, led by candidate Ssemogerere, want to return Uganda People’s
Congress into power: “I was together with Ssemogerere in DP [and] when I used to tell them
Obote had taken away peace from Uganda, DP used to say let us pray to God. As UPC was
killing people, DP used to be a spectator. Now the same people want to return again”.64
In the
same district, Museveni told a rally that “[p]residents are supposed to be his Excellency, but
in the 1960s, 70s, and the 80s, it was these presidents who ordered people to go and kill others
extra judiciary. The state which was supposed to prevent crime promoted it instead”.65
…and organizing death squads
The Naked truth continued telling a story about members of IPFC “[…] organizing death
squads against non-Baganda landlords and pro-Museveni supporters […]”.66
Here, an
exclusion mechanism is used – “non-Baganda” - and may allude on the antagonisms between
the privileged South – to a large extent identified with the Buganda kingdom - and the
undeveloped North. A statement like this may reawaken the memories of past atrocities
among the people of the northern districts.
But the probably most evident designation of existential threat during the presidential
campaign was directed primarily to the people of Buganda and was manifested in April 29,
1996, by posters displayed with the text: “THINK. Don’t forget the past: Over one million
Ugandans, our brothers, sisters, family and friends lost their lives. Your vote could bring it
back: In 10 years under Museveni, peace and development has come to our country. Let ´s
keep it. VOTE MUSEVENI. Peace. Unity. Democracy. Modernization.”67
In the middle of
the advertisement, a big picture of the skulls of Luweero Triangle, was displayed.68
64
The New Vision, Museveni: Prayers won’t stop killings, April 6, 1996.
65
Sunday Vision, Museveni attacks football analogy, April 7, 1996.
66
The Monitor, The secret dirty campaign that doesn’t happen at rallies, April 24, 1996.
67
The poster was also a full side page in the New Vision, April 29, 1996, page 21.
68
The Monitor, Museveni”killed” Ssemogerere with Obote in Buganda, May 6, 1996.
16
One reflection is that the Obotephobia element in the political discourse seems to be primary
directed to the Baganda and the groups of people with a social relation to the victims of the
Obote II guerilla war during the 1980s, while speeches containing the national unity elements
seems to be more generally directed to Uganda excluding Buganda.
Multipartyism behind past atrocities
But how evident are the relation between the designations of existential threats and the
political system? According to Museveni himself, as saying before the 2000 referendum on
political system, the “real” referendum was in 1996 presidential and parliamentary elections
because that is when “[…] the historical struggle between the two ideas [multipartyism and
Movement] were put to Ugandans”.69
All presidential candidates, except Museveni, advocated
multipartyism, and if Museveni had lost the presidential election, consequently this would
have resulted in a shift of the political system as well, after the following parliamentary
elections. Actually, it is not a daring statement that the presidential election 1996 was all
about one single political question: No-party democracy or multiparty democracy – the NRM
(Movement) or the IPFC – Museveni or Ssemogerere.
In the “referendum debates” - continuously published in the New Vision before the
Referendum 2000 - the Movement National Referendum Committee states that: “While under
the multiparty system people used to be detained without trial, bodies turning up on the
roadside in the morning, insecurity of person and property, all these are now a distant
memory”.70
A connection between the killings during the Obote II regime and the political
system, multiparty, is made. Thus, a political, democratic system, are blamed of having
enabled political coalitions that have sanctioned these killings: “The lovers of democracy
gave full support to Amin, the consequences of which support we need not go into […]”71
The boycotting of the referendum by the DP and the UPC, i.e. the two major parties
promoting multipartyism, came to shape a large part of the political debate. Addressing a rally
at Kawempe three days before the referendum was held, Museveni said the multipartyists
“[…] are trying to usurp rights of citizens to choose” and that “[…] these leaders want to
69
The Monitor, Museveni says Referendum won in 1996, July 5, 2000.
70
The New Vision, The Movement government has transformed Uganda, (Referendum debate – Movement
View, May 10, 2000.
71
The New Vision, NRM loves democracy, people too, May 31, 2000.
17
plunge this country into darkness”. Again, Museveni brought the Obotephobia element into
his speech, by saying “[…] even in the 1980 election […] Obote rigged and usurped power”
and that “[…] Obote thought the army was all he needed to rule the country […] and
Ssemogerere also thinks he only needs DP (Democratic Party) to rule and has also failed”.72
The construction of a logical connection between multipartyism and the violent past,
seemingly rigorously planted into the 1996 presidential election campaigns, is still inherent in
the political discourse as shaped by the Movement and Museveni before the 2000 referendum.
When addressing a public rally at Lugogo, after having met the leaders of the Kampala
district, Museveni told the rally why the Movement is a stable political force able to steer
Uganda into the future: “Obote and Amin thought they could cook using only one stone to
balance the pot and failed […] We are using five stones”, and he named the five stones as the
people, local councils, the army, the economy and foreign friends.73
The designation of an
existential threat by an explicit cause-effect connection between multipartyism and anarchy
was not only present in the speech acts, but also in the free copy campaign folders distributed
before the referendum. “Multipartyism has never done Uganda good. It has been the cause of
the turmoil that has taken the country backwards.”74
A vote for Ssemogerere and multipartyism means increased sectarianism
In a speech during the referendum campaign, president Museveni warned the residents of
Tororo that not to forget 1966 when Milton Obote misplaced the key of freedom by using the
army to overthrow the constitution and that “[i]it’s the Movement which looked for the
misplaced key and brought it back to you” and that “[…] Ssesemogerere could plunge the
country into total chaos if entrusted with leadership”.75
An important journalist supporting the Museveni camp during the 1996 presidential election,
the New Vision special correspondent, writes that “[w]e [the country led by the Movement
government] have made great strides from ethnic and religious based politics to patriotic and
all-embracing politics” and that “[i]t is now a question of either returning to the old politics or
endorsing the new politics of uniting all Ugandans”.76
At a massive campaign rally of about
72
The New Vision, Museveni attacks partyists, June 26, 2000.
73
The New Vision, Movement stable, says Museveni, June 23, 2000.
74
The Monitor, Referendum 2000, Choosing a political system for Uganda – Where are we now?, May 2, 2000.
75
The New Vision, “UPC, DP messed up Uganda’s politics”, June 12, 2000.
76
The New Vision, Why Museveni will win, April 22, 1996.
18
20.000 in Gulu77
, Museveni said that “[t]he fact that atrocious killers like Joseph Kony are
intimidating the Acholi people to vote for Ssemogerere means the country’s new political
process has brought all thugs of the past and present together” and continued saying “[…]
since they have decided to help us by isolating themselves as one gang, let us beat them on
May 9 […]”.78
By a continued use of a language, seemingly aimed to threaten of religious fragmentation,
Museveni addressed a rally at Boma grounds in Mbara municipality that “[c]andidate
Mayanja Kibirige would introduce sharia law in Uganda if elected president […]”, a claim
that was dismissed by the candidate.79
The (national) unity element is significantly present also in the 2000 referendum debate when
the Movement side claims “[i]n the past, under multipartyism, political party differences
could not bring together a UPC member and a DP supporter in one village […]”80
. Later, the
Movement Referendum Committee states that each sides of the parties in a local council
“[w]ould oppose the other for the sake of opposition, hence harmony and unity would be
stifled”81
and that “[…] there is no way a person can be expelled from the Movement like
parties expel members […] This is what is meant by the Movement being all-inclusive and
non-partisan”82
.
The last statement may bring the thoughts of the Ugandans to the expulsions of Kenyan
workers and Asian bourgeoisie during the Obote and Amin era of multipartyism. Referring to
the implementation of the Local Councils (LC)83
- the corner stone of the Movement
decentralization process in the country - “[t]here are Federalists, Multipartyists,
Movementists, Protestants, Muslims and Catholics and so on in one council. As a result, there
is political harmony and unity in the villages. There is no ruling party or an opposition party
in these councils. Therefore, friction is minimized.”84
77
Gulu is a district in the North where the Lords Resistance Army (LRA), lead by Joseph Kony, is highly
present.
78
The New Vision, Uganda’s future at stake – Museveni, May 1, 1996.
79
The New Vision, Mayanja refutes Sharia claim, April 18, 1996.
80
The New Vision, The Movement allows everyone to participate, June 7, 2000. This is repeated in e.g. The
New Vision, Why should Ugandans vote for the Movement?, June 21, 2000.
81
The New Vision, Why should Ugandans vote for the Movement?, June 21, 2000.
82
The New Vision, The Movement allows everyone to participate, June 7, 2000.
83
Starts at the village level (LC1), and progress through the parish (LC2) to the sub-county (LC3), county (LC4),
and district (LC5).
84
The New Vision, The Movement allows everyone to participate, June 7, 2000.
19
The characteristic pattern of the discourse and its inner logic, in order to ensure the survival of
the one-party Movement system, seems to be that multipartyism will lead to a war between
different ethnical, religious and tribal groups rather then to protect minorities. The Movement
view is that a movement system allows people of different political opinion to solve their
local problems together and also that “[i]n practice, interests of marginalized groups are never
represented under parties”.85
In the referendum debate, the committee states that “[t]he
Movement system […] has brought political harmony and unity in the villages [and that] it
would not be possible to bring villagers of different parties to sit together on one council as
each side would oppose the other for the sake of opposition, hence, harmony and unity would
be stifled”.86
When analyzing the political discourse and the speeches that dominated the 1996 presidential
election and the 2000 referendum, the preconditions for a political-rhetorical process to deal
with collective fear seems all to be present: The problem framing for a new reality
description, and, how the threat is linked to the security of individuals and thereby being
existential in its nature. The Obotephobia and the (national) unity elements constitute the
political discourse framework of an explicitly logical connection between the presidential
(Multipartyists) candidates in 1996 election, and the multiparty side in the referendum four
years later, and the survival of Ugandans.
The frequent designation of existential threats by President Museveni, the Movement
Referendum Committee, and other political leaders within the Movement camp, seems to
have constituted a corner stone of the political discourse during the presidential election 1996
and the 2000 referendum. The repeated reminders of the atrocities in the past, as a result of
the former president Obote and his regimes during the 60´s and the 80´s, the designated links
of the 1996 UPC and DP coalition – IPFC - and their wish to bring Obote back in order to
plunge Uganda into anarchy and chaos are threats directed to each and every citizen of the
country. In the context of the Ugandan history and the peoples´ fears of having an
uncontrolled army, anarchy, insecurity of person and property, these threats have the potential
of being existential among the people.
85
The New Vision, Why should Ugandans vote for the Movement?, June 21, 2000.
86
The New Vision, Why should Ugandans vote for the Movement?, June 21, 2000.
20
The importance of security and (national) unity is relevant. The frequent speech acts blaming
multipartyism being a political system that enhance ethnic, religious and tribal fragmentation
and that will stifle the harmony and unity, that has been brought by the one-party Movement
system, are also a strong contributor to the designation of an existential threat. The
Obotephobia element and the (national) unity element are linked in forming a political
discourse that leaves the people alone with two alternatives only: One is that of a continuous
Movement politics which provides security, harmony, unity and an army under control. The
other alternative means the opposite: state founded killings, violence between ethnic, religious
and tribal groups, and anarchy. The complete reduction of the political, multiparty alternatives
during the elections 1996 and 2000 as being politics of a fig-tree-leaf syndrome in order to
bring Milton Obote back to the country and to continue with the murdering of the citizens
(“These were originally snakes but now are using Ssemogerere and are coming back to
destroy Uganda in a lizard’s skin”).
Another reflection is that it is not possible to make a clear distinction between the discourse in
the presidential election 1996 and the 2000 referendum; the presidential candidates in 1996
Ssemeogerere and Myanja are being addressed as multipartyists and the insight on the effects
of the political system (parliamentary elections where to be followed the same year) if a
multiparty candidate had been elected president. So, when analyzing the political discourse
during the 1996 election and the referendum four years later, it should be interpreted as a
consistent process: The seemingly conscious plantation in 1996, by Museveni and his camp,
of a language in which signs of equality between the candidates, and a multiparty system,
with the violent past are resulting in the designation of existential threats – which here are
categorized as elements of Obotephobia and (national) unity - directed to the people and
citizens of Uganda, and it continues during the 2000 referendum. But even if the general logic
of securitization seems to be quite clear at this stage, still it may only be considered as a
securitization move, unless the audiences accept it as an existential threat, which is discussed
below. But before doing that, we shall take a look into potential procedures Museveni may
have managed to break free from.
Which are the procedures or rules the securitizing actor may have managed to break
free from and which he or she otherwise would be bound to?
During the 2000 referendum, a major happening was covering the front pages on the
newspapers after June 7th
. It arose after the first Act (The Referendum and Other Provisions
21
Act, 1999) was nullified having been successfully challenged by the DP President, Kawanga
Ssemogerere on the grounds that it was passed without a quorum contrary to the provisions of
Article 88 of the Constitution of the Republic of Uganda 1995.87
Instead of await the
Constitutional Court’s ruling on the act (which later ruled that it had been passed improperly,
since there was no quorum in parliament at the time it was passed), Museveni and the
Movement allegedly did intimidate MPs into passing a new referendum act. By calling the
136 Movement MPs to a Caucus, Museveni allegedly ordered them to pass the new
referendum law, and suspended the rules of Parliament which required three days notice of
motions and lengthy committee procedures, by back-dating the law to July 1999.88
This action undertaken by Museveni, was compared by oppositional politicians and media to
the 1966 “pigeon hole” constitution undertaken by Milton Obote and when MPs, as they
arrived to the parliament, where told to pass the new constitution without having even read
it.89
The Movement-dominated parliament suspended the rules of procedure and passed the
Bill in a record 3 hours on 7 June 2000 in order to ensure that nothing stops the June 29th
referendum elections.90
This seemingly desperate measure undertaken by president Museveni in order to ensure that
the 2000 referendum actually could take place as planned, reflects the political importance of
the event on June 29. The main political challengers DP and UPC – the mainstream
multipartyists - were boycotting the referendum. The reason behind the positioning on this
third side – the Movement (“bus”) and the Multiparty side (“dove”) were the other two sides –
is the DP and UPC view on multiparty democracy as a fundamental human right which never
can be subjected for a vote. Participation would simply have legitimized a (continuous) one-
party democracy promoted by the Movement.
The friction between democracy and a state governed by law is very evident during the
referendum 2000. The Movement side pressuring the importance of an inclusive democracy in
87
Sabiti-Makara, Tukahebwa Geoffrey B., Byarugaba Foster E. Voting For Democracy in Uganda - Issues in
Recent Elections. LDC Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 2003:265.
88
Sunday Monitor, Insight: Museveni, Kategaya vs. Obote, Nkangi, June 18, 2000.
89
Obote unilaterally abolished the semi-federal independence constitution of 1962. The parliament was
surrounded by soldiers and tanks and Obote told the MPs that they could find their copies of the April 1966
constitution in their pigeon holes, mail boxes, on the way out. Sunday Monitor, Insight: Museveni, Kategaya vs.
Obote, Nkangi, June 18, 2000.
90
Sabiti-Makara, Tukahebwa Geoffrey B., Byarugaba Foster E. Voting For Democracy in Uganda - Issues in
Recent Elections. LDC Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 2003:265.
22
which a united people, in harmony, can participate within the different levels of decentralized
councils, confident of that the participation mechanism itself would obstruct the
fragmentation and insecurity. Therefore, according to Movementists, the right of minorities
does not have to be protected by law. The existential threats designated by Museveni and the
Movement camp, as have been scrutinized and rendered above, are telling the Ugandans that
they should fear multipartyism as the since it brings back the violent conflicts of the past.
But can the passing of the new referendum law in three hours undertaken by Museveni be
seen as an emergency act in the Ugandan context? This is not obvious. The knowledge and
the significance of the Ugandan Constitution among the Ugandans are different depending on
the level of education and the living conditions. When the Movement (NRM) government did
design the Uganda Constitutional Commission, the bishops called on all Ugandans to take it
as a moral duty to actively participate in the making of the new Constitution. The past
political tensions of 1961-1962 occurred during and immediately after the discussions
preceding the Independence Constitution of 1962. The “pigeon-hole” constitution of 1966 led
the country into chaos in subsequent years. Hence, the importance of a national constitution in
the Uganda context can hardly be overemphasized.91
But, as elections are not real
opportunities to choose between policy alternatives but might be seen as tests of loyalty, this
has created a gap between electoral victory and political legitimacy which can also explain
part of the indifference and cynism that have come to afflict many Ugandan voters.92
“Those
who understand the constitution do care”, as one of the respondents expressed. “People care,
people react. But as long as the avenues are not very open, there is a limit to which people can
react.”93
Which are the signs of acceptance by the people?
The dramatizing of scenes of old terror seems to be evident, as well as breaking free from
procedures and rules. But were those designations of threats interpreted as existential threats
and were the measures accepted by the Ugandan people? Nine years after the presidential
election, one of the interview respondents summarizing the situation during the election
campaigns: “In 1996 during the presidential election, they drum up a threat of war. They show
91
Hansen, Holger Bernt, Twaddle, Michael. Religion & Politics in East Africa. Fountain Publishers, Kampala,
Uganda. 1995:117.
92
Hammargren, Henrik; Muhereza, Frank; Ottosson, Åse; Ssenkumba, John. Peace, Democracy and Human
Rights in Uganda - a string of fragile pearls. A draft report for Sida, June 1999:13.
93
Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005.
23
you that they have all the powers to start a war. It was just to click the trigger and there is a
war in this country. That is if you choose anybody else [than Museveni]. If Museveni looses
power, war will start immediately. They sing war on radio, they re-enact scenes of the old
terror that we suffered during those days, road drops where people have been terrorized. They
put them on TV, they dramatizing those things, and everywhere you see armed men passing
around.”94
Polls and election results
Polls before the 1996 presidential election revealed that on the question which candidate
would best handle the “national issues” such as peace, security, national unity, poverty,
constitution, health, human rights, democracy and corruption, Museveni led in all categories.
On the question which candidate will restore multiparty politics, Ssemogerere was garnering
75% and Museveni only 17% of the voters. But on the question on which candidate could
keep the army in check, Museveni pulled 75%, and not a single respondent, 0%, thought
candidates Ssemogerere or Mayanja could discipline the army.95
Three weeks later, just a
week before the election day, respondents mentioned peace and security as the number one
factor that will influence candidates´ chances of being voted, and, in most districts, Museveni
was the candidate to ensure these factors. Except districts such as Apac, Gulu and Lira – areas
in which it occurred battling armed opposition groups – Museveni was leading with a
whopping percentage.96
The results above can be seen as an indicator of the success of Museveni´s promotion and
upholding of a constitution of the people, to provide security, and to plan for smooth change
to avoid chaos in order to modernize Uganda. It may also be seen as the result of a
securitization of the Movement system, or a combination of both. The question here is
whether these results would have been the same without the speech acts and the political
language used?
The 2000 referendum was won by the Movement by receiving as much as 91,5% of the votes.
Again, except the districts of Apac, Gulu, Lira, and Kitgum, Museveni did win a major
victory over the multiparty side. But, this time only 45% voted, which in fact can be seen as a
94
Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005.
95
A country-wide opinion poll of nearly 1700 randomly selected Ugandans was interviewed. The Monitor, Polls
say Museveni will win elections by 62%, April 19, 1996.
96
The poll had a confidence level of 95%. The Monitor, Can Ssemogerere ambush Museveni as polls give
Kaguta 56-60% of the vote?, May 7, 1996.
24
huge defeat for Museveni and the Movement system. Another factor that might have had an
impact on the low turn-up was the heavy rains in Kampala district, and the fact that voters did
not see a reason to vote since they thought the Movement would win anyway, or, that it was
little at stake (political system) compared to a presidential election.97
The very low participation by the people in the referendum might be a determining factor in
answering the question whether securitization of the Movement system did occur or not
during the referendum. If half of the people entitled to vote were boycotting the referendum, it
can reflect a situation where an important part of the population was not enough effected by
the designations of the existential threats so that they felt they had to vote for the Movement
system. Rather, the speeches could have had an opposite effect preventing those from voting.
Likewise, Museveni breaking free from rules – in this case the Constitution - and enforcing
the passing of the new referendum act, could have strengthening the opposition. How many of
the 65% that actually did boycott the referendum and how many of these were prevented to
vote is not known and we can only speculate. However, what is important when determining
whether we are witnessing a securitization or just a “move” is what audience we focus upon
in this particular case: The Ugandan people as a whole, all the entitled Ugandan voters, the
45% of the audience of which more than nine out of ten voted for the Movement system, or
the people who voted for Museveni in the 1996 election? The answer to the securitization
question may be different depending on the audience. Different groups of the Ugandan rural
and urban people certainly were affected in different ways by the political language and the
campaigns. In order to get a deeper understanding of how the Ugandan people interpret the
courses of events during 1996 and 2000, the results from the interviews need to be analyzed.98
The fear of multipartyism
As have been discussed earlier the construction of a logical connection between multipartyism
and the violent past seems to have been a significant part of the political discourse during both
the election and the referendum. One respondent explains his view on multipartyism by
saying: “When we go to parties, then people are going to use them in an unhealthy way. That
one is a fact.”99
The meaning behind the expression “unhealthy way” is here understood as
97
See discussions in The Monitor, July 5 and June 30, 2000, and The Sunday Monitor, July 2, 2000.
98
Not to forget that the interviews was performed 9 years after the 1996 election and 5 years after the 2000
referendum - a fact that should be considered when discussing the relevance of the designations of existential
threats.
99
Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005.
25
bringing different people against each other which will lead to sectarianism and political
turmoil. He continued saying “[o]ur leaders here have always misused the parties […]
Museveni kept arguing, and his argument was bought by many, that you see, when we go into
these political differences, that is why we have these troubles.”100
The last sentence can be seen as a feed back on the interpretation of the existential threats
concerning multipartyism that has been continuously designated by Museveni: “[…] his
argument was bought by many […]”. The logical connection between the multiparty systems
and political turmoil seems to be well rooted in people’s minds: “In 1986 when the Movement
took power, you could not stand anywhere and start campaigning against Museveni or let’s go
multiparty or that kind of thing. Because actually, at that time, people still were arguing that
multiparty was the cause behind that turmoil, which was just recent.”101
Another respondent
explains that “Museveni strictly pins that multipartyism is really bad and he has brainwashed
so many people of how politics is and what you gain out of politics.”102
The utterances above reveal two important things: First, multiparty system is understood to be
accepted by many Ugandans as a cause behind the past atrocities. Secondly, it is understood
that Museveni continuously argues this causal connection.
Manipulation of the rural based and non-enlightened people
One important factor in the discussions on securitization is the targeted audience. It may not
be an unfamiliar thought that it is easier for the securitizing actor to win acceptance of the
logic behind the designation of existential threats among non-enlightened, often rural based
people, than among the educated, often urban people. One respondent says that “[i]n our kind
of society, the people with the vote, are mainly the rural based. And they are the less
enlightened. We, the ones who went to school, we are able to assess issues, vote on
specifically issues, but unfortunately, we are a minority, we are very few. So, it becomes very
easy to manipulate people.”103
Another respondent mean that “[p]eople in the rural areas, they
don’t even understand what a referendum is. What they are after, when they are electing, is
who the leader is. Now, they know Museveni. People fear, there is some bit of fear actually,
of the system. You know when you are campaigning to be president and you know you are
100
Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005.
101
Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005.
102
Respondent #4, Mukono, May 18, 2005.
103
Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005.
26
campaigning against somebody that is the incumbent president, there is a lot of fear […] You
have to talk with reservation, because of fear of the security around them and so.”104
It seems as manipulation, or the designation of existential threats, is understood to have been
most successful in the rural areas and among the non-enlightened Ugandans. The last sentence
also reveals an interpretation of an existing – and existential - fear of the ruling governance,
the movement system, which forces them to vote for the incumbent leader. But there is also
another utterance which needs some attention: “In 1996 though, the Movement are still very
strong and solid. With or without intimidation, the parties could not have been able to win.”105
First, it is understood as if the confidence of the Movement among the people has been
weakened in between 1996 and 2000. Secondly, the element of intimidation seems to be a
constituted part of the campaigns. One question to ask is how continuous intimidations by
designations of existential threats did affect on the apprehensions of the strength and solidity
of the Movement?
The importance of reconciliation and security
Earlier discussions on the Ugandans fears of having an uncontrolled army and a state of
anarchy, as a result of past atrocities and genocide, may explain the importance of security
and reconciliation among the people, as well as it may constitute a “specification of
requirement” during the construction of a political language which aims to threat people. One
of the respondents brings up Obote when discussing the 1996 election, meaning “[t]he idea of
Obote was introduced by the Movement itself into this hard debate […]” and explains that
“[i]t was exactly the same that happen during the 2000 referendum.”106
An awareness of a
conscious construction of articulations by the Movement seems to exist. Another respondent
reveals the impact of involving Obote in the speech acts during the 1996 election: “`Oh, here
is the man [DP candidate Ssemogerere], he wants to bring back Obote!´ You remember the
atrocities which were committed by Obote? And the Baganda [the people of the Buganda
kingdom] is saying: let him come, we should not accept him entering Kampala. And he will
die there, I’m telling you. Because, attacking the palace of the King, the Baganda will never
forgive him.”107
The feedback on the interpretations of the impact of using the element of
Obotephobia in the political language is important: It may not have been understood as
104
Respondent #2, Jinja, May 14, 2005.
105
Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005.
106
Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005.
107
Respondent #4, Mukono, May 18, 2005.
27
constituting an existential threat among the Baganda – a targeted audience for the speech acts
of this kind.
Another respondent brings up the necessity of reconciliation in the country: “[…] Given our
kind of history, we have been through a lot, […] people are so weak and they are really
looking more towards reconciliation than retribution. I can say Museveni has contributed
amazingly to the progress in this in this country, in all aspects. With the respect to unity,
initially, there was this move towards creating a nation of unity and reconciliation.”108
The
understanding is evidently that security and reconciliation is regarded as a demand of priority
among the Ugandans. But, the understanding is also that the Movement and Museveni
actually has contributed to an increased stability and enhanced unity in the country. A third
respondent can verify the statements by explaining that “[t]he common man in the village is
after a few things: you want security […] In those days, they used to suffer a lot, but they can
now see the difference. Security is very important. You know the voters, all they want is
security, and they want an army which is tamed and which can be controlled properly.”109
A reflective question is that under preconditions before the 1996 election and the 2000
referendum as described so far, how can it be possible to convince a majority of the people
that security and reconciliation can be gained through a multiparty system - especially since
such a system is understood to be accepted by many Ugandans as a cause behind the past
atrocities? “Multipartyism is not primary, it is secondary. It is not the most important, but
when we’re talking politically, it [multipartyism] is a necessary condition. Reconciliation, that
is primary.”110
The understanding seems to be that there is no logical connection between a
multiparty system and an enhanced reconciliation and the latter one is more important than
the system. This statement may reveal an acceptance of the constructed logic behind the
speech acts performed by Museveni and the Movement. The respondent continues by saying:
“[…] they were associating multiparty with the previous regimes where there were lot of
terror and such things, putting skulls…the skulls of Luweero…that one definitely affected
especially the rural people. If you do a mistake, voting for multipartyism, do you want to die
108
Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005.
109
Respondent #2, Jinja, May 14, 2005.
110
Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005.
28
again? You know that kind of propaganda. People have seen a lot of blood shed, and nobody
wants to get into that again. All they want is tranquility and reconciliation.”111
The interpretation of that the threat of “skulls of Luweero” did affect mainly the rural people
is interesting. The acceptance of existential threats designated by Museveni and the
Movement may have been most evident among the rural based people. This may be a fact that
needs to serve as an input into the conclusive discussions on whether securitization has
occurred or not since the determination depends on the audience in question.
Sectarianism
As discussed earlier in this paper, one characteristic pattern of the logic behind the political
discourse seems to be that a multiparty system will result in an increased sectarianism. One
respondent talks about an “unhealthy sectarianism” as a phenomenon when people “[…] who
starts using their ideological, religious, ethnical or tribal identity against other people with
other identities” and explains that “[t]hose differences, cleavages, ethnic, religious kind of
thing, are there in the society. The people who are greedy, who are unscrupulous, selfish, use
them [the differences] in an unhealthy way. But these differences being there is actually
healthy.”112
The Movement claims the importance of an inclusive one-party democracy where
the mechanism of participation itself would obstruct the fragmentation and insecurity. The
respondent continues by saying that “[n]ot even the multiparty actually can help us to build
the stability in this country, they cannot. Our people are so selfish, whoever gets to the top
want to remain there and wants to take advantage over the others […] The state doesn’t
belong to anybody, so whoever is there owns it and uses it to the very maximum and as long
as he is there, he has control of it.”113
It seems like the understanding is that some people uses
the “healthy” differences in an “unhealthy” way, something that is described as a mechanism
in the Ugandan society. A mechanism that is understood not can be solved by a multiparty
system. A question is whether the people would prefer the “all-inclusive” and “non-partisan”
Movement system as the political system able to prevent increased sectarianism?
Different groups of the Ugandan rural and urban people certainly were affected in different
ways by the political language and the campaigns. It seems as if the designation of existential
111
Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005.
112
Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005.
113
Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005.
29
threats, are understood to have been most successful in the rural areas and among the non-
enlightened Ugandans. A fear of the ruling governance, the movement system, which forces
them to vote for the incumbent leader, seems also to exist among rural people. One conclusion
might be that securitization among the rural and non-enlightened people have occurred during
the 1996 election and the 2000 referendum.
CONCLUSIONS
On the question by which speech acts and by whom the existential threat been designated, the
answer is yes. President Museveni and his leadership within the Movement are continuously
during the presidential election campaigns 1996 and during the 2000 referendum delivering
speech acts with a seemingly evident aim of designating existential threats. The many
examples of those articulations are in detail presented in the analysis section in this paper. The
various speech acts shape a reality description where the threat is linked to the security of
individuals and thereby being existential in its nature. They all can be arranged within the
overaching themes – “Obotephobia” and (national) unity – and they include threats
concerning the comeback of former president Milton Obote, the multiparty leaders organizing
death squads, multiparty system as a cause behind past atrocities and increased sectarianism
and ethnic fragmentation. The construction of the political discourse during the campaigns
leaves the people alone with two alternatives only: One is that of a continuous Movement
politics which is told to provide security, harmony, unity and an army under control. The
other alternative means the opposite: state founded killings, violence between ethnic, religious
and tribal groups, and anarchy. Bearing the Ugandan context and its history in mind, the
substances of the threats are not surprising and the interpretation cannot be other than that
they are constructed with the very aim of being existential among the Ugandan people.
Another conclusion to be made is that different speech acts are directed at different audiences.
As speeches including the Obotephobia element are more frequently directed to people of
Buganda and nearby areas than for instance the northern parts of Uganda, speeches including
the element of national unity are primary directed to non-Baganda citizens.
30
On the question whether the securitizing actor – president Museveni and the leadership within
the Movement – managed to break free from procedures or rules, the answer is a doubtful yes.
The comparisons made between the passing of the new referendum act and the “pigeon-hole”
constitution reveals much about the excitement and attention to that emergency measure taken
by Museveni just shortly before the referendum. Since the referendum actually was held, it
could be seen as Museveni and the Movement actually managed to break free from
procedures that otherwise would have at least delayed the referendum. On the other hand, the
extensive boycotting of the referendum – which may have been as big as close to half of the
entitled voters – can be seen partly as a result of a widespread non-acceptance of the passing
of the new referendum act. Anyway, when drawing conclusions, there should be little room
for speculations, so what is important here is actually the fact that Museveni seems to have
put his credibility at stake in order to ensure the performance of the referendum since bringing
significance to the constitutional process has been one important task for the Movement in
fostering the Ugandan people in democratic procedures.
Finally, on the question of which are the signs of acceptance by the people, the answer is
depending on what the audience we intend to focus upon. If we focus on enlightened and
educated people, primary in the urban areas of Uganda, the conclusion is that there are few
signs of acceptance. The ability to assess political issues at stake and to criticize and see
through the speech acts seem to be better among this audience compared to non-enlightened
people mainly in the rural areas. But, the research also indicates that there may be certain
logics that are valid even among the enlightened group. One is that reconciliation is primary
and multipartyism secondary, which may reveal an understanding that there exists no
connection between the introduction of a multiparty system and the achievement of
reconciliation, and, where the latter is considered as the most important. A conclusion is that
the logic behind this belief may be affected by the political discourse constructed by
Museveni and the Movement, achieving national unity through a broad participation by an
inclusive movement system as the only way forward and not by considering a constitutional
protection of the rights of minorities through a multiparty democracy and a state governed by
law. Rather, multiparty system is repeatedly told to be the cause behind past atrocities and
increased sectarianism. In this sense, a conclusion can be that a securitization of the
Movement system may have occurred even among the enlightened people in Uganda and the
consequence is that it has prevented parties such as DP and UPC to gain enough support
during the presidential election 1996, but also during the 2000 referendum.
31
If we focus on the non-enlightened, uneducated people, primary based in the rural areas of the
country, the conclusion is that one can assume that a securitization of the Movement system
did occur during the election 1996 and the referendum 2000. Polls and interviews are
indicating that among this audience, security is of absolute importance and that the logic
behind the existential threats directed at these people have been generally accepted by the
audience. The launch of campaigns of securitization by Museveni and the Movement
leadership, such as the “skulls of Luweero”, the organization of death squads against
landlords, bodies turning up on roadsides during multiparty rule, etc., seem to have gained
support from the audience.
The impact of the securitization of the Movement system, in the eyes of a large part of the
Ugandan people, during the end of the 1990´s, on the Ugandan democratization process
during the first five years of the new millennium may be the scope for another research
project.
32
LIST OF REFERENCES
Literature
Bergström, Göran; Boréus, Kristina. Texters mening och makt. Studentlitteratur, Lund. 2000.
Burnham, Peter; Gilland, Karin; Grant, Wyn; Layton-Henry, Zig. Research Methods in
Politics. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. 2004.
Buzan, Barry; Weaver, Ole; de Wilde, Jaap. Security – A New Framework For Analysis.
Lynne Rienner Publishers, Inc, Colorado. 1998.
Halsteen, Ulrik. Human Rights in a Ugandan Context - A discussion of liberal human rights
and Ugandan political discourse in the 1990s. Roskilde University. 2000.
Hammargren, Henrik; Muhereza, Frank; Ottosson, Åse; Ssenkumba, John. Peace, Democracy
and Human Rights in Uganda - a string of fragile pearls. A draft report for Sida, June 1999.
Hansen, Holger Bernt, Twaddle, Michael. Changing Uganda. Ohio University Press, Athens,
Ohio, USA. 1991.
Hansen, Holger Bernt, Twaddle, Michael. Religion & Politics in East Africa. Fountain
Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 1995.
Hollands, Glenn & Ansell, Gwen. Winds of Small Change. Civil Society Interaction with the
African State. Afesis-Corplan, Austrian North-South Institute. 1998.
Human Rights Watch. Hostile to Democracy - The Movement System and Political
Repression in Uganda. USA. 1999.
Hyden, Göran. “Democratization in Uganda: A Comparative Perspective” out of
Transformation of Uganda - from Chaos to Stability and Development. Rapport 2/96, FUF.
1996.
Kasozi, A.B.K. The Social Origins of Violence in Uganda 1964-1985. McGill-Queen´s
University Press. 1994.
King, Gary; Keohane, Robert O; Verba, Sidney. Designing Social Inquiry. Princeton
University Press, New Jersey. 1994.
Mahmood, Mamdani; Oloka-Onyango, Joe. Uganda – Studies in Living Conditions, Popular
Movements and Constitutionalism. Remaprint, Vienna. 1994.
Makubuya, E. Khiddu; Mwaka, V.M.; Okoth, P.G. Uganda: Thirty Years of Independence
1962-1992. Makerere University Printery, Kampala, Uganda. 1994.
33
Mamdani, Mahmood. Politics and Class Formation in Uganda. (First Printing.) Monthly
Review Press, New York.1976.
Marsh, David; Stoker, Gerry. Theory and Methods in Political Science, 2nd
edition. Palgrave
Macmillan, New York. 2002.
Mugaju, Justus & Oloka-Onyango, Joe. No-Party Democracy in Uganda - Myths and
Realities. Fountain Publishers Ltd, Kampala. 2000.
Olukoshi, Adebayo O. The Politics of Opposition in Contemporary Africa. Elanders Gotab,
Stockholm, Sweden. 1998.
Palmberg, Mai. National Identity and Democracy in Africa. Nordic Africa Institute, Uppsala,
Sweden. 1999
Sabiti-Makara, Tukahebwa Geoffrey B., Byarugaba Foster E. Voting For Democracy in
Uganda - Issues in Recent Elections. LDC Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 2003.
Sahli, M.A. Mohamed & Markakis, John. Ethnicity and the State in Eastern Africa. Elanders
Gotab, Stockholm. 1998.
Thomsson, Heléne. Reflexiva intervjuer. Studentlitteratur, Lund. 2002.
Wapakhabulo, J F. “Democratization of Uganda and the Constitution Making Process”, out of
Transformation of Uganda - from Chaos to Stability and Development. Rapport 2/96, FUF.
1996.
Wagnsson, Charlotte. Russian Political Language and Public Opinion on the West, NATO
and Chechnya. University of Stockholm. 2000.
Hansards
Wednesday 7th
June, 2000: The Referendum (Political Systems) Bill, 2000. Printed May 20,
2005.
Newspapers
The New Vision, March – May, 1996; April - June 2000.
The Monitor, March – May, 1996; April - June 2000.
Interview respondents
Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005.
Respondent #2, Jinja, May 14, 2005.
Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005.
Respondent #4, Mukono, May 18, 2005.

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Securitization or Politicization of Movement System C paper

  • 1. Stockholm University Institute of Political Science C paper Teacher: Bertil Nygren Securitization or Politicization of the Movement System Analysis of the Ugandan presidential election 1996 and the 2000 referendum Fredric Stany 700426
  • 2. ii ABSTRACT Securitization or Politicization of the Movement System: Analysis of the Ugandan presidential election 1996 and the 2000 referendum Fredric Stany The Movement system in Uganda – a “no-party democracy” - was supported by 90 percent of the voters in the June 2000 referendum on political systems, although the opposition did encourage many people to boycott the referendum. The purpose of this paper is to find out whether securitization of the Movement system – in the eyes of a particular audience - has occurred or not during the presidential election 1996 and the 2000 referendum. The empirical objective of this paper is to generate knowledge about securitization as a phenomenon in Ugandan politics. The results indicate that president Yoweri Museveni and his leadership within the Movement have been designated existential threats through statements related to security differently constructed depending on the targeted audience. The signs of acceptance of these stated conditions and realities are few among the enlightened and educated people. But it seems as an understanding is that there exists no connection between the introduction of a multiparty system and the achievement of reconciliation - a political logic repeatedly emphasized through the speech acts of president Museveni. Among the non-enlightened people, where security more or less seem to be the one and only political issue, the logics seems to have been generally accepted by the audience. In this sense, a securitization of the Movement system has occurred in the eyes of these people. In addition, the forced passing of a new referendum act in only three hours just a month before the 2000 referendum can be seen as Museveni breaking free from constitutional procedures – a measure that seems to have failed to gain public support and could instead have contributed to the boycotting of the referendum. Key words: Securitization, No-party democracy, Movement system, Multiparty system, Museveni, political language.
  • 3. iii ABSTRACT .............................................................................................................................II BACKGROUND....................................................................................................................... 1 RESEARCH DESIGN ............................................................................................................. 2 PURPOSE.................................................................................................................................. 2 RESEARCH QUESTION.............................................................................................................. 2 OPERATIONALISATION ............................................................................................................ 3 REAL WORLD IMPORTANCE AND CONTRIBUTION TO SCHOLARLY LITERATURE ........................ 4 THEORY CONNECTION ............................................................................................................. 5 RESEARCHER STANDPOINT ...................................................................................................... 6 METHODS, RESEARCH DATA AND DEMARCATIONS ................................................................. 7 Discourse Analysis ............................................................................................................. 7 Reflective interviews........................................................................................................... 8 ANALYTICAL DESIGN....................................................................................................... 10 OBOTEPHOBIA ....................................................................................................................... 10 (NATIONAL) UNITY ............................................................................................................... 12 ANALYSIS.............................................................................................................................. 13 HOW (BY WHICH SPEECH ACTS) AND BY WHOM (THE SECURITIZING ACTOR) HAS THE EXISTENTIAL THREAT BEEN DESIGNATED?............................................................................. 13 Democratic Party leader is bringing back Milton Obote ................................................ 13 …and organizing death squads........................................................................................ 15 Multipartyism behind past atrocities................................................................................ 16 A vote for Ssemogerere and multipartyism means increased sectarianism..................... 17 WHICH ARE THE PROCEDURES OR RULES THE SECURITIZING ACTOR MAY HAVE MANAGED TO BREAK FREE FROM AND WHICH HE OR SHE OTHERWISE WOULD BE BOUND TO? ..................... 20 WHICH ARE THE SIGNS OF ACCEPTANCE BY THE PEOPLE?...................................................... 22 Polls and election results ................................................................................................. 23 The fear of multipartyism................................................................................................. 24 Manipulation of the rural based and non-enlightened people......................................... 25 The importance of reconciliation and security ................................................................ 26 Sectarianism..................................................................................................................... 28 CONCLUSIONS..................................................................................................................... 29 LIST OF REFERENCES ...................................................................................................... 32
  • 4. 1 BACKGROUND The political system in Uganda - often named as a “no-party democracy” by president Yoweri Museveni – was supported by 90 percent of the voters in the June 2000 referendum. President Museveni’s statement that political party activities support conflicts between ethnical groups, is conflicting with the vision of the endogenous democratization progress in the country. Instead, his vision is that all citizens should work together united within the same political movement - the Movement system.1 The significance of public acceptance of these statements can be questioned; the political opposition did encourage the people to boycott the referendum, and only 50 percent of the voters did participate.2 Since 1986 independent political parties have been prohibited to exercise political activities.3 The Ugandan government often responds to criticism of the Movement system by arguing that such criticism is insensitive to the Ugandan context, and a form of western imperialism.4 The movement presides over what it calls a "No-Party" system - later renamed as the Movement system - (but which is virtually indistinguishable from a state-funded political party) and has consolidated its monopoly on the political power through an exclusive access to state funding and political education programs, as well as an exemption from the stringent constraints placed upon the opposition political parties.5 One goal with the “movementocracy” may have been to reduce identity-based tensions, and the Movement did insist that political parties in Uganda have undermined rather than furthered or defended democracy, and that multipartyism is not the only, nor the best form of democracy for Uganda. It has been repeatedly emphasized that election times for parties are 1 Utrikespolitiska Institutet. Landguiden, Uganda. http://www.landguiden.se/. Printed 23/1-05. 2 Utrikespolitiska institutet. 3 Up until just recently. 4 Human Rights Watch. Hostile to democracy. http://hrw.org/reports/1999/uganda/Uganweb- 05.htm#P505_67990. Printed 24/2-05. 5 Human Rights Watch. World Report 1999. “Uganda Silences Political Parties With Harassment and Oppressive Laws” by Peter Bouckaert, Uganda Researcher for the Africa Division. http://www.hrw.org/press/1999/oct/ug1012.htm. Printed 24/2-05.
  • 5. 2 not a time to educate and unite the people along “national” lines, but another opportunity to divide them along “sectarian” lines.6 When speaking of security politics, fear can be seen as a precondition for the existence of a society. Peoples´ fear and their need of belonging, the need of security and freedom from experienced threats makes a society possible.7 Hence, this insight may lead to an intentional move taken by a political leader to securitize a political system in order to guarantee hegemonic power. RESEARCH DESIGN Purpose The purpose of this paper is to find out whether securitization of the Movement system in Uganda has occurred or not. The explanation model is intentionalistic8 : President Museveni has securitized the Movement system, by the designation of an existential threat – an increase of sectarianism and conflicts between tribal, ethnical and religious groups – with the intention to legitimize a continuous ban on multiparty democracy (and thereby a cancellation of the endogenous progress of democratization) to ensure hegemonic power. Research Question The explanation model leads us to the following research questions: - How has the Movement system been successfully securitized in Uganda? 6 The Movement political philosophy rests on the position that Uganda’s political culture is not particularly conducive to a Western-style democratic system built around political parties and periodic elections contested by candidates sponsored by the parties. What is needed is said to be a social movement that is able to champion the task of mobilizing the people to be part and parcel of decision-making at the various levels where their livelihood is affected. The task of educating the populace generally and politically, of promoting national integration, and building a national civic identity/culture are important goals which such a movement should spearhead. See discussions in Olukoshi, Adebayo O. The Politics of Opposition in Contemporary Africa. Elanders Gotab, Stockholm, Sweden. 1998:180-181. 7 See also discussions in Eriksson, Johan (red.); Utrikespolitiska Institutet, säkerhetspolitiska rådet, Hotbildernas politik, Elanders Gotab AB, Stockholm 2001:ii (Förord). 8 The intentionalistic explanation model is discussed in: Rosing, Hans. Vetenskapens logiska grunder (Elfte upplagan). Lovisa Östra Nylands tryckeri AB. 2002:159-162.
  • 6. 3 o How (by which speech acts) and by whom (the securitizing actor) has the existential threat been designated? o Which are the procedures or rules the securitizing actor may have managed to break free from and which he or she otherwise would be bound to? o Which are the signs of acceptance by the people? Operationalisation The distinction between Politicization and securitization is such that while the former are issues widely recognised as forming part of the political agenda9 , the latter are issues being presented as an existential threat and that are widely accepted as a security issue by the relevant audience10 . As a starting-point, the securitization terminology is transformed into the conception used in this paper, by using the definition by Barry Buzan, Ole Weaver and Jaap de Wilde: “[T]he exact definition and criteria of securitization is constituted by the intersubjective establishment of an existential threat with a saliency sufficient to have substantial political effects. […] If by means of an argument about the priority and urgency of an existential threat the securitizing actor has managed to break free from procedures or rules he or she would otherwise be bound by, we are witnessing a case of securitization […] but the issue is securitized only if and when the audience accepts it as such. […] Securitization is not fulfilled only by breaking rules nor solely by existential threats but by cases of existential threats that legitimize the breaking of rules.”11 But the conception used in this paper is though developed by considering the approach advocated by Charlotta Wagnsson, suggesting to focus on whether an issue is securitized in the eyes of a particular audience – successfully or not.12 Further, Wagnsson suggests each scholar to set her/his own criterion for when an issue is to be regarded as securitized, since the criterion may depend on what audience, and what issue, the scholar focuses upon.13 Finally, and again following Wagnsson´s more dynamic approach of the securitization theory: 9 Wagnsson, Charlotte. Russian Political Language and Public Opinion on the West, NATO and Chechnya - Securitisation Theory Reconsidered. Akademitryck, Edsbruk. 2000:32. 10 Wagnsson, 2000:32. 11 The definition of a “successful” securitization by Buzan, Barry; Weaver, Ole; de Wilde, Jaap. A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, Colorado. 1998:25. 12 Wagnsson, 2000:18. 13 Ibid:19.
  • 7. 4 "[S]eemingly securitized issues do not always result in emergency measures and violent deeds. Even if the securitizing actor reach securitization, for example in relation to the general public, they have not necessarily managed to legitimize the use of emergency measures."14 As a result, this paper is mainly focusing on the designation of an existential threat and the acceptance of the people. The third research question - the breaking free from procedures and rules – serves as a complement to the first two questions in order to give more strength to the discussion, rather that being a determining factor, on whether securitization has occurred or not. Real world importance and contribution to scholarly literature Are these questions of importance in the real world?15 The democratization process in Uganda has attracted much attention by governments as well as NGOs. The issue has been highlighted in several reports by the Human Rights Watch16 and Amnesty International17 . The Swedish government has increased its cooperation with Uganda in accordance with the progress of democratization in the country.18 Whereas some argue that the excessive focus on multiparty/competitive elections in the current African democratic practice and discourse is both too narrow and limiting, others take the view that the acid test of Africa’s democratic transition lies in the way succession politics is conducted as evidenced by the manner in which future elections are handled and victory and defeat managed.19 The empirical objective of this paper is to generate knowledge about securitization as a phenomenon in Ugandan politics, or more specifically: knowledge about how the political language used in two election campaigns – the presidential election 1996 and the referendum in 2000 – have designated an existential threat which may have legitimized the violations of political rights through gaining significant public acceptance. By using the securitization approach in security studies the paper will also detect strengths and weaknesses related to the defined criteria (see Theory connection section below). Thus, this research project may 14 Ibid:28. 15 A research question should be consequential for political, social, or economic life, for understanding something that significantly affect many people’s lives, according to King, Gary & Keohane, Robert O. & Verba, Sidney. Designing Social Inquiry. Princeton University Press, New Jersey. 1994:15. 16 Such as World Report 1999. 17 Such as Report 2002, Uganda.http://web.amnesty.org/web/ar2002.nsf/afr/uganda!Open 18 Regeringskansliet. http://www.regeringen.se/sb/d/2575/a/13899. Printed 8/1-05. 19 See discussions in Olukoshi, Adebayo O. The Politics of Opposition in Contemporary Africa. Elanders Gotab, Stockholm, Sweden. 1998:10.
  • 8. 5 contribute to scholarly literature20 in two significant ways: First, by providing the theories of securitization with a relevant African case study that, with its uniqueness, can bring new insights to the security subject and which may result in new, extended research projects within this framework of security analysis. The second contribution may be seen as a validation or test of the usefulness of the methods and techniques related to the securitization theory (see Method section below). Theory connection The theory on securitization, developed by the Copenhagen School, describes it as an extreme version of “politicization”, since it may motivate acts such as human rights violations.21 By using the above definition by Buzan, Weaver and de Wilde, a successful securitization is dependent on the legitimacy of committing such acts as a result of the acceptance of these violations by a significant public. Securitization theory is the authors´ answer to, or solution to, the traditionalists´ criticism on “wideners” approach to security studies22 - a criticism that consisted of the undesirable and uncontrolled “spill over” of the broader range of security issues into other sectors and the elevation of security into a desired condition - and it combines both the state-centered traditional and the wideners’ views on security studies.23 But, as Charlotte Wagnsson put it, the Copenhagen School lacks in clarifying the criteria that should be met for an issue to be regarded as successfully securitized; the acceptance of a “significant” audience.24 She also criticizes the permanent categorization of actors and of the audience suggested by the Copenhagen School and suggests that each scholar sets her/his own criterion for when deciding on an issue as securitized. Wagnsson´s proposal on detaching the sector approach is also adopted in this paper, and thereby avoiding the risk of impeding from discerning security statements that do not fit into any of the sectors identified by the Copenhagen School.25 20 ”Making a contribution” means ”[…] locating a research design within the framework of the existing social scientific literature” and that the investigator understand the “state of the art” so that duplicating will not occur, according to King, Keohane & Verba. 1994:16. 21 Wagnsson, 2000:1. 22 Buzan, Weaver, de Wilde. 1998:2: The “wide” versus “narrow” debate grew out of dissatisfaction with the intense narrowing of the field of security studies imposed by the military and nuclear obsessions of the Cold War. 23 Buzan, Weaver, de Wilde. 1998:1-5. 24 Wagnsson. 2000:18. 25 Ibid. 2000:26.
  • 9. 6 By using the approach and definitions suggested by Buzan, Weaver and de Wilde as the framework when designing this research project, and by considering the dynamics of the political context unique for the topic of this paper, based on the reconsiderations of securitization theory by Wagnsson, hence the theory foundation is defined. The important acceptance criteria will thus be continuously developed and finally defined parallel to the collection, analysis and interpretation of the research data. Researcher standpoint My epistemological position has both realist and interpretist elements (which is in analogy with Chris Hays´ and David Marsh’s position26 ), i.e. there may be “real” processes “out there”, but the political actions and outcomes are affected by how these phenomena is designated or mediated by the discursive construction. This epistemological position makes it possible to investigate – by using discourse analysis as the method - if and how a securitizing actor has securitized the Movement system, by the designation of an existential threat with the intention to legitimize a continuous ban on multiparty democracy. The “real” processes of, for instance, democratization may thus be interpreted by the securitizing actor and the public in similar or in different ways, but the speech acts, as part of the construction of the discourse, will, in turn, be interpreted by the people (voters). This may affect the outcomes in the election and referendum, but may also – depending on the significance of the acceptance - legitimize the violations of political rights. In line with the argument by Wæver, I understand security as not being something "out there" with an objective existence and a priori ontology, something that one should strive to acquire as much of as one possibly can. On the contrary, security is an act that comes into play by the very utterance of the word security.27 My position regarding the “structure-agency” question28 is dialectical. This approach means that individuals are affected, but not limited, by the structures of the society. But the stronger the structure, the lesser room for individuals to act independently; i.e. the essence of this paper is the investigation of the dynamics of how well the speech acts as part of a discourse 26 Marsh, David & Stoker, Gerry. Theory and Methods in Political Science, Second edition. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. 2002:35. 27 Jaeger, Oyvind, Securitizing Russia: Discursive Practices of the Baltic States, http://www.gmu.edu/academic/pcs/Jaeger72PCS.htm 28 Marsh, Stoker. 2002:271: The structure-agency question is debated to be the most important theoretical issue within the human sciences. The issue concerns the ability to shape our destiny (agency) as against the degree our destiny is determined by external forces (structure).
  • 10. 7 (structure) may result in the individuals’ (agencies’) acceptance of the violations of political rights. Methods, Research data and Demarcations This longitudinal case study29 consists of the analysis of two events: The Uganda presidential election 1996 and the referendum on the political system held in year 2000. In Article 69 in the 1995 Constitution, it is provided that the people of Uganda have the right to choose and adopt a political system of their choice through free and fair elections or referenda. More specifically, in Article 271 (3) it was provided that during the last month of the fourth year of the term of the first parliament elected under this constitution, a referendum would be held to determine the political system the people of Uganda wish to adopt.30 The research methods to be used will be both discourse analysis and reflective interviews. The reason to combine these two is to obtain a deepened understanding of the public acceptance and its significance, and hence to enable the distinction between securitization and politicization. Discourse Analysis The discourse analysis material will be limited to include primary and secondary sources of documentation related to daily newspapers, parliamentary debates (official reports, “hansards”) and campaigns before the presidential election 1996 and the referendum in 2000. The focus on discourses in debates and policy statements means that the primary documents will consist of official reports of the Parliament of Uganda from after the announcement of the start of the election campaigns (i.e. that is around one month before the events).31 In case of the 2000 referendum, can be found on the Parliament website.32 29 A time-ordered analysis. Jensen, Jason L., Rodgers, Robert. Public Administration Review. “Cumulating the Intellectual Gold of Case Study Research”. Vol 61, No.2, March/April 2001:238. 30 Sabiti-Makara, Tukahebwa Geoffrey B., Byarugaba Foster E. Voting For Democracy in Uganda - Issues in Recent Elections. LDC Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 2003:255. 31 Presidential candidates were not allowed to address public rallies before the official opening of campaigns. Official campaigns started immediately after the nominations on 27 March 1996, while the polling day was scheduled for 9 May 1996. The official campaigns lasted only 39 days. This means that each candidate only had a single day to campaign in the entire district since there were 39 districts in the country then. Moreover, Museveni took advantage of incumbency to campaign while other candidates were not allowed before the official opening of campaigns. Museveni had reached every county in the country on a crusade that he termed “poverty alleviation campaign”. Sabiti-Makara, Tukahebwa Geoffrey B., Byarugaba Foster E. Voting For Democracy in Uganda - Issues in Recent Elections. LDC Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 2003:43. 32 http://www.parliament.go.ug/hansard/hans_browse.jsp, Reports between 1995 and 1998 are not available on this site, nor at the Parliament library or the Centre For Basic Research (CBR) library.
  • 11. 8 Official reports regarding the 1996 election has been collected on site in Kampala, with help from the Centre of Basic Research (CBR) and the Makerere University. Secondary documents will mainly consist of the relevant daily newspapers - The New Vision and The Monitor. The choice of these two can be explained by the objective to avoid twisted interpretations since there were significant differences regarding the news coverage on the Movement and on the Boycotting political parties during the referendum.33 The aim of discourse analysis is to expose and explain the role of discourses and how they contribute to political processes – here, securitization. Thus, the designation and association of an existential threat of multipartyism and the justifications for the Movement system in Uganda can be investigated by applying the discourse analysis in the study of the topic securitization. There are two important, and interconnected, arguments behind the use of the method here. The first is that discourse is to be seen as a result of hegemonic speeches aiming to establish a political as well as a moral-intellectual leadership in society. The second argument is that such speeches always do involve the construction of social antagonisms by positing a threatening outside through the exclusion of social identities.34 By explaining and clarifying the analyzing tool and the procedures carefully (see Analytical Design section below) the reliability (or intersubjectivity) will increase.35 When making inferences (drawing conclusions), the problems with generalization when using case study research can be reduced by studying two events – i.e. the 1996 election and the 2000 referendum - and to increase the amount of observations36 . Additionally, by studying two events a comparison over time can be made. Reflective interviews The reflective interviews are theme based, in order to obtain the combination of freedom and control in the interviews. By using the Thomsson model, the key was to interpret, understand and reflect upon the respondent stories and thus being able to ask follow-up questions during 33 The New Vision carried almost three times more coverage of the Boycotting political parties than about the Movement; while The Monitor did the opposite. Coverage by both papers of the Multiparty is about equal. Africa Action. Africa Policy E-Journal, Referendum 2000, NGO Monitoring Cluster. http://www.africaaction.org/docs00/ugan0004.htm. Printed 28/2-05. 34 Those arguments goes well in line with the Laclau and Mouffe (Anglo Saxon School) strand of discourse analysis. See Torfing, Jacob, New Theories of Discourse, Oxford, Blackwell, 1999. 35 Burnham, Peter, Gilland, Karin, Grant, Wyn & Layton-Henry, Zig. Research Methods in Politics. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. 2004:260. 36 The ”crucial maxim” according to King, Keohane, Verba. 1994:47.
  • 12. 9 the interviews.37 The sampling technique used was the snowball method38 . By asking the staff at the Centre of Basic Research and at the Makerere University in Kampala to name individuals, then out of these a more suitable choice of respondents was made.39 Each interview loop was ended by transcribing the tapes and coding in accordance with the overaching themes, see below the Analytical Design section. The amount of respondents were limited to 4, because of reasons related to time. Furthermore, the respondents were found in different electoral districts: Kampala, Jinja, Bweyongerere and Mukono. Thus, all districts are from the Southern parts of Uganda, which may have affected the results. Finding respondents throughout the country and in the rural areas40 would have required interpreters which in turn would have made the reflective interviews hard to accomplish. Five different interview themes were used during the interviews: voting, democracy, freedom, rights and identity. The idea behind the identification of the interview themes has been to avoid direct questions related to security, or the overaching themes discussed below, and thereby enable an unbiased inquiry of the respondents associations related to the political logic in question, see section below. Still, with these five themes, connections can be made to the election and the referendum. Thus, this approach allows room to interpret, understand and reflect upon the respondent stories - the very key of reflective interviews. In order to increase validity in qualitative interviews, a critical view by controlling (try to obstruct a twisted interpretation), to question (“what” and “why” to be answered before the question of “how”) and to theorize (to decide whether a method investigates what it should be investigating, a theoretical idea of what is investigated is required) was adopted.41 Under the analysis section of this paper, references are indicated only as “#1-4” together with the name of the district/city of the residence of the respondent, and the date of the interview. This is in order to protect and to guarantee the security and integrity of the respondents. Only with the purpose to check the validity and reliability of the results in this paper, the transcribed material can be presented – but not copied - upon request and with the permission of the author. 37 Thomsson, Heléne. Reflexiva intervjuer. Studentlitteratur, Lund. 2002:59. 38 The problem may be when to stop; the ”snowball” gets larger and larger. Burnham, etc. 2004:207. 39 How to find respondents is discussed in Thomsson. 2002:63. 40 The level of acceptance of political measures may be significantly different among people in the true rural areas of Uganda compared to people in urban areas. 41 Kvale, Steinar. Den kvalitativa forskningsintervjun. Studentlitteratur, Lund. 1997:218-221.
  • 13. 10 ANALYTICAL DESIGN With the purpose of structuring the analysis, the identification of an analytical tool to capture and organize most of the language in question is of significance. The initial, exploratory reading of president Museveni´s (and his top leadership within the Movement/NRM) speeches before the presidential election 1996 and the 2000 referendum, indicate that a major part of the statements related to security could be arranged within two overaching themes, linked to the violent past in Uganda: One which can be described as “Obotephobia” – referring to fears of the previous president Milton Obote - and a second related to (national) unity. The distinction is purely analytical, but might clarify what kind of political logic is at work in situations related to these elections. These overaching themes constituted the "glasses" used during the continued reading of the texts, but also as the "hearing aid" when performing the interviews. The latter contribute to a deeper understanding on how the respondents associate this political logic on discussions related to the five chosen interview themes, see section above. Before entering into the analyzing section of this paper, the two overaching themes - Obotephobia and (national) unity - requires a presentation in order to enhance the understanding of the Ugandan context, although it is impossible to grasp its complete extent and complexity in this paper. Obotephobia The former Ugandan president, Milton Obote, who lives in exile in Zambia since the overthrow of his second government in 1985, still played a relevant role in the political discourse during the 1996 election and the 2000 referendum campaigns. The atrocities carried out by the state against its population during Obote´s second regime (“Obote II”), 1980-1986, is by many people seen as possibly the worst in Ugandan history.42 Obote is, for example, held responsible by the Baganda – the people of the Buganda kingdom in the Southern Uganda - for the killings in the “Luweero Triangle“.43 After the allegedly rigged elections in 1980, which brought Obote back to power, the army (again) was dominated by northern 42 See Hammargren, Henrik; Muhereza, Frank; Ottosson, Åse; Ssenkumba, John. Peace, Democracy and Human Rights in Uganda - a string of fragile pearls. A draft report for Sida, June 1999:2. 43 Luweero was for long a part of Buganda Kingdom and is also widely regarded as the centre of Uganda’s liberation struggle of the early 1980s. See also Sabiti-Makara, Tukahebwa Geoffrey B., Byarugaba Foster E. Voting For Democracy in Uganda - Issues in Recent Elections. LDC Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 2003:189.
  • 14. 11 Uganda nationalities and, supported by the political leaders, an exercise of genocide started in the districts of Arua and Moyo and thousands of people ran into exile. 44 At that time, Uganda had a multiparty political system but the opposition parties were allegedly preoccupied with seeking and protecting their own private positions and privileges that they could not be counted on to defend the population effectively against state terror. The crisis during this particular period centered on broad questions of democracy such as the imbalance in the social composition of military organs, but also the ineptitude on the part of the politico-military leadership.45 Thus, in this case, although there were no evidences of a constitutional state governed by law, the appearance of a multiparty democracy was not enough to bring peace to the Ugandan people and that experience may have affected the Ugandans in their approach to multipartyism today, and in the future.46 Also worth to mention when discussing the impact on large parts of the Ugandan people when using the name of the former president Obote in the political language is the “unitary” constitution introduced during Obote´s first government twenty years earlier. The constitution abrogated all of Buganda´s federal powers - the largest single ethnic group in Uganda, and still the most central and influential in national politics - after that the government used its armed forces against the kingdom in the Southern Uganda. This can be seen as another case of ethnic contradictions, but also as a situation were a constituted multiparty democracy may have been expected to prevent the undemocratic measures taken by the government.47 The word “Obotephobia”, as used here, thus reflects people’s fear of chaos, state terror, an uncontrolled army and a regime unable to protect the Ugandan people, or groups of people, from atrocities – even under a constituted multiparty democracy. 44 On the question of why Uganda has been politically unstable since 1966, there are interpretations of the root- cause which are based on political personalities especially of Obote and the former president Idi Amin, the nature and training of the Army, the external factors of destabilization, religious-political groupings, racial and developmental differences between north and south, and the political ignorance of the masses. See Hansen, Holger Bernt, Twaddle, Michael. Religion & Politics in East Africa. Fountain Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 1995:106, 115. 45 See Makubuya, E. Khiddu; Mwaka, V.M.; Okoth, P.G. Uganda: Thirty Years of Independence 1962-1992. Makerere University Printery, Kampala, Uganda. 1994:151. 46 See also discussions in Olukoshi, Adebayo O. The Politics of Opposition in Contemporary Africa. Elanders Gotab, Stockholm, Sweden. 1998:182. 47 See also discussions in Mamdani, Mahmood. Politics and Class Formation in Uganda. (First Printing.) Monthly Review Press, New York.1976:245-246.
  • 15. 12 (National) Unity Allegedly, the main causes of division in Uganda stem from tribal, ethnic and religious rivalries and Uganda is by some scholars considered as being among the most severely divided societies.48 Even though the problem of ethnic rivalries began way back during the pre-colonial era, colonialism arguably intensified the tensions between Uganda kingdoms and added another dimension of religious conflicts – between Catholics and Protestants.49 The antagonisms between South – privileged by colonial rule in terms of political and economic influence as well as development in physical and social infrastructure - and the largely left undeveloped and uneducated North, and between religiously aligned political parties50 were violently exploited by the rulers and competing elites in the post-colonial period – and thus during the rule under multipartyism.51 Expulsions of non-nationals, with the aim of fighting class struggles, are also evident in the Ugandan history, both during the Obote regime (Kenyan workers) and the Idi Amin era (Asian bourgeoisie).52 Another phenomenon affecting the national unity of Ugandans is that the country did not emerge after independence with one ruling petty bourgeoisie, a section of it controlling the state power. Instead, two separate petty bourgeoisies came forth - one Buganda and one non- Buganda – with the kulaks at the core of the former and the governing bureaucracy at the core of the latter.53 This fact constitutes one of the features of the African democracy discourse - 48 In pre-colonial times, thirty different ethnic groups inhabited the area which later was designed and named Uganda by the colonialists. 49 See Halsteen, Ulrik, Human Rights in a Ugandan context – A discussion of liberal human rights and Ugandan political discourse in the 1990s, Roskilde University, 2000:43. 50 Catholics (44 percent of the population) are traditional allies of the Democratic Party, DP, and the Church of Uganda (Anglican, 39 percent of the population) allies of the Uganda People’s Congress, UPC, and the churches have in this respect been a dividing force. But in some areas the churches however do join hands, as in the Joint Christian Council where the Roman Catholics, the Church of Uganda and the orthodox church come together. Hammargren, Muhereza, Ottosson, Ssenkumba, 1999:20. 51 One explosive political problem that the post colonial government handled constitutionally was the long- standing dispute between the Bunyoro and Buganda kingdoms over the “lost counties” issue - tracts of land that belonged to Bunyoro before the onset of colonialism, but which were given to Buganda for assisting the British to defeat Bunyoro. This “democratic” solution of the problem provoked more antagonism between Buganda and Bunyoro. See discussions in Sahli, M.A. Mohamed & Markakis, John. Ethnicity and the State in Eastern Africa. Elanders Gotab, Stockholm. 1998:182-183. 52 See Mamdani, Mahmood. Politics and Class Formation in Uganda. (First Printing.) Monthly Review Press, New York.1976:316. 53 The formation of the petty bourgeoisie in Uganda included three distinct social groups: the kulaks in the agricultural sector, the traders in the commercial sector, and the bureaucrats within the state apparatus. Economically these social groups were unequally developed which gave rise to the most advanced section of the petty bourgeoisie, the kulaks, who were primarily situated in Buganda. See discussions in Mamdani, Mahmood. Politics and Class Formation in Uganda. (First Printing.) Monthly Review Press, New York.1976:228-229.
  • 16. 13 the basic African social structure, which, it has been argued in some quarters, does not embody the social forces that are compatible with (western) democratic forms of rule.54 Thus, the word (national) unity, reflects the extensive need of an end to the violence related to sectarianism in Uganda - a frequent phenomenon in the history of the country, during times of a multiparty political system as well as during colonialism and one-party rule. Speeches involving these two overaching themes of Obotephobia and (national) unity - constituting the existential threats - can thus be seen as articulations that strongly may contribute to the construction of incentives used to legitimize the existence of the Movement system. ANALYSIS How (by which speech acts) and by whom (the securitizing actor) has the existential threat been designated? Democratic Party leader is bringing back Milton Obote The organization of the pro-multiparty Inter-Political Forces Cooperation (IPFC) - a political allied force during the 1996 presidential election campaigns - grouped the old rivals Democratic Party (DP) and Milton Obote´s Uganda People’s Congress (UPC). Since the DP leader Paul Kawanga Ssemogerere – the main challenger of the president title and maybe the keenest advocate for multipartyism - was picked as the IPFC candidate, president Yoweri Museveni started saying “[…] the IPFC was a ploy to return Obote to power”.55 The pro- Museveni camp’s publication Naked Truth two weeks earlier publicized details of allegedly Obote-written speeches which the DP candidate Paul Ssemogerere was supposed to read at his rallies, and there were tens of pamphlets in the Luganda language56 with photos of Milton Obote meeting Ssemogerere as leader of the Opposition in Obote II regime.57 Museveni continues using the theme of candidate Ssemogerere to bring back old leaders during the campaigns. On a campaign rally at Ntwetwe sub-county in Kiboga district, the 54 One perspective, focusing on the social classes, suggests that the low level of capitalist development that is the lot of virtually all African countries, and the associated absence of strong social classes, including especially the problems posed by a weak but avaricious bourgeoisie which is based on the state. See Olukoshi, Adebayo O. The Politics of Opposition in Contemporary Africa. Elanders Gotab, Stockholm, Sweden. 1998:176. 55 The Monitor, Museveni “killed” Ssemogerere with Obote in Buganda, May 6, 1996. 56 Luganda is spoken by Baganda, the people of Buganda kingdom. 57 The Monitor, The secret dirty campaign that doesn’t happen at rallies, April 24, 1996.
  • 17. 14 western neighbor of Luweero district, he displayed a copy of the newspaper New Vision, which had said: “Ssemogerere to bring Obote back”, after Ssemogerere earlier told he would invite back former president, and told the rally that Ssemogerere would “[…] invite back Idi Amin as well”. Museveni continued saying “[…] returning Obote could lead Uganda into political turmoil” and that “Obote committed numerous crimes and when we [the Movement] granted amnesty we were discriminative”.58 These cases are examples of where people of Buganda and Kiboga districts are the targeted audience. Showing photos of Obote seem to have one obvious reason: to demonstrate that a vote for IPFC, and multiparty democracy, means new atrocities (such as in Luweero). By using names such as the former president Idi Amin creates a charged audience, not at least in areas such as the Kiboga district since Amin´s Uganda is regarded as an era of “Nubi rule” - with its defining characteristics of Islam and Arabic language - Museveni direct his designations of existential threats to a broader audience and also brings the element of religion into the political discourse.59 These two different speeches also reflect a seemingly well thought out construction of the articulations, depending on the targeted audience, with the aim of designating an existential threat. One element in president Museveni´s language is the repeated statements on the (older) candidate Ssememogerere incapability of running the country and as being a weak person. Commenting the IPFC coalition, Museveni told rallies in Luweero and Mukono, that “[t]hey are using Dr Ssemogerere as a soft, weak door which they will easily crash down to capture power in the country”60 . Referring to the horrible killings in the Luweero district during the Obote II government in the 1980s, he continued saying: “A new enemy is coming. This enemy used to be here but now is back in another color”.61 Museveni clarified that the leaders of the past who used state machinery to kill Ugandans since 1966 to 198662 , were now coming back as “lizards”: “These were originally snakes but now are using Ssemogerere and are coming back to destroy Uganda in a lizard’s skin”.63 58 The New Vision, Invite Amin back also – Museveni, April 4, 1996. 59 The Nubi sided with Obote before the Amin era. 60 The New Vision, ”Past killers only using Ssemogerere”, April 2, 1996. 61 Ibid. 62 During this period, Obote I, Idi Amin and Obote II governments were completely dominating. 63 Ibid.
  • 18. 15 The above examples reveal a pattern of the political language used by Museveni and his camp during the presidential election campaigns in 1996: It continuously threatens the Ugandan people of bringing the old leadership fashion back in power. Only ten years after the atrocities carried through during the 1980s, why would they risk the stability gained during the recent last years? At a campaign rally at Nkumba, Mpigi district in the Buganda region, Museveni told that multiparty advocates, led by candidate Ssemogerere, want to return Uganda People’s Congress into power: “I was together with Ssemogerere in DP [and] when I used to tell them Obote had taken away peace from Uganda, DP used to say let us pray to God. As UPC was killing people, DP used to be a spectator. Now the same people want to return again”.64 In the same district, Museveni told a rally that “[p]residents are supposed to be his Excellency, but in the 1960s, 70s, and the 80s, it was these presidents who ordered people to go and kill others extra judiciary. The state which was supposed to prevent crime promoted it instead”.65 …and organizing death squads The Naked truth continued telling a story about members of IPFC “[…] organizing death squads against non-Baganda landlords and pro-Museveni supporters […]”.66 Here, an exclusion mechanism is used – “non-Baganda” - and may allude on the antagonisms between the privileged South – to a large extent identified with the Buganda kingdom - and the undeveloped North. A statement like this may reawaken the memories of past atrocities among the people of the northern districts. But the probably most evident designation of existential threat during the presidential campaign was directed primarily to the people of Buganda and was manifested in April 29, 1996, by posters displayed with the text: “THINK. Don’t forget the past: Over one million Ugandans, our brothers, sisters, family and friends lost their lives. Your vote could bring it back: In 10 years under Museveni, peace and development has come to our country. Let ´s keep it. VOTE MUSEVENI. Peace. Unity. Democracy. Modernization.”67 In the middle of the advertisement, a big picture of the skulls of Luweero Triangle, was displayed.68 64 The New Vision, Museveni: Prayers won’t stop killings, April 6, 1996. 65 Sunday Vision, Museveni attacks football analogy, April 7, 1996. 66 The Monitor, The secret dirty campaign that doesn’t happen at rallies, April 24, 1996. 67 The poster was also a full side page in the New Vision, April 29, 1996, page 21. 68 The Monitor, Museveni”killed” Ssemogerere with Obote in Buganda, May 6, 1996.
  • 19. 16 One reflection is that the Obotephobia element in the political discourse seems to be primary directed to the Baganda and the groups of people with a social relation to the victims of the Obote II guerilla war during the 1980s, while speeches containing the national unity elements seems to be more generally directed to Uganda excluding Buganda. Multipartyism behind past atrocities But how evident are the relation between the designations of existential threats and the political system? According to Museveni himself, as saying before the 2000 referendum on political system, the “real” referendum was in 1996 presidential and parliamentary elections because that is when “[…] the historical struggle between the two ideas [multipartyism and Movement] were put to Ugandans”.69 All presidential candidates, except Museveni, advocated multipartyism, and if Museveni had lost the presidential election, consequently this would have resulted in a shift of the political system as well, after the following parliamentary elections. Actually, it is not a daring statement that the presidential election 1996 was all about one single political question: No-party democracy or multiparty democracy – the NRM (Movement) or the IPFC – Museveni or Ssemogerere. In the “referendum debates” - continuously published in the New Vision before the Referendum 2000 - the Movement National Referendum Committee states that: “While under the multiparty system people used to be detained without trial, bodies turning up on the roadside in the morning, insecurity of person and property, all these are now a distant memory”.70 A connection between the killings during the Obote II regime and the political system, multiparty, is made. Thus, a political, democratic system, are blamed of having enabled political coalitions that have sanctioned these killings: “The lovers of democracy gave full support to Amin, the consequences of which support we need not go into […]”71 The boycotting of the referendum by the DP and the UPC, i.e. the two major parties promoting multipartyism, came to shape a large part of the political debate. Addressing a rally at Kawempe three days before the referendum was held, Museveni said the multipartyists “[…] are trying to usurp rights of citizens to choose” and that “[…] these leaders want to 69 The Monitor, Museveni says Referendum won in 1996, July 5, 2000. 70 The New Vision, The Movement government has transformed Uganda, (Referendum debate – Movement View, May 10, 2000. 71 The New Vision, NRM loves democracy, people too, May 31, 2000.
  • 20. 17 plunge this country into darkness”. Again, Museveni brought the Obotephobia element into his speech, by saying “[…] even in the 1980 election […] Obote rigged and usurped power” and that “[…] Obote thought the army was all he needed to rule the country […] and Ssemogerere also thinks he only needs DP (Democratic Party) to rule and has also failed”.72 The construction of a logical connection between multipartyism and the violent past, seemingly rigorously planted into the 1996 presidential election campaigns, is still inherent in the political discourse as shaped by the Movement and Museveni before the 2000 referendum. When addressing a public rally at Lugogo, after having met the leaders of the Kampala district, Museveni told the rally why the Movement is a stable political force able to steer Uganda into the future: “Obote and Amin thought they could cook using only one stone to balance the pot and failed […] We are using five stones”, and he named the five stones as the people, local councils, the army, the economy and foreign friends.73 The designation of an existential threat by an explicit cause-effect connection between multipartyism and anarchy was not only present in the speech acts, but also in the free copy campaign folders distributed before the referendum. “Multipartyism has never done Uganda good. It has been the cause of the turmoil that has taken the country backwards.”74 A vote for Ssemogerere and multipartyism means increased sectarianism In a speech during the referendum campaign, president Museveni warned the residents of Tororo that not to forget 1966 when Milton Obote misplaced the key of freedom by using the army to overthrow the constitution and that “[i]it’s the Movement which looked for the misplaced key and brought it back to you” and that “[…] Ssesemogerere could plunge the country into total chaos if entrusted with leadership”.75 An important journalist supporting the Museveni camp during the 1996 presidential election, the New Vision special correspondent, writes that “[w]e [the country led by the Movement government] have made great strides from ethnic and religious based politics to patriotic and all-embracing politics” and that “[i]t is now a question of either returning to the old politics or endorsing the new politics of uniting all Ugandans”.76 At a massive campaign rally of about 72 The New Vision, Museveni attacks partyists, June 26, 2000. 73 The New Vision, Movement stable, says Museveni, June 23, 2000. 74 The Monitor, Referendum 2000, Choosing a political system for Uganda – Where are we now?, May 2, 2000. 75 The New Vision, “UPC, DP messed up Uganda’s politics”, June 12, 2000. 76 The New Vision, Why Museveni will win, April 22, 1996.
  • 21. 18 20.000 in Gulu77 , Museveni said that “[t]he fact that atrocious killers like Joseph Kony are intimidating the Acholi people to vote for Ssemogerere means the country’s new political process has brought all thugs of the past and present together” and continued saying “[…] since they have decided to help us by isolating themselves as one gang, let us beat them on May 9 […]”.78 By a continued use of a language, seemingly aimed to threaten of religious fragmentation, Museveni addressed a rally at Boma grounds in Mbara municipality that “[c]andidate Mayanja Kibirige would introduce sharia law in Uganda if elected president […]”, a claim that was dismissed by the candidate.79 The (national) unity element is significantly present also in the 2000 referendum debate when the Movement side claims “[i]n the past, under multipartyism, political party differences could not bring together a UPC member and a DP supporter in one village […]”80 . Later, the Movement Referendum Committee states that each sides of the parties in a local council “[w]ould oppose the other for the sake of opposition, hence harmony and unity would be stifled”81 and that “[…] there is no way a person can be expelled from the Movement like parties expel members […] This is what is meant by the Movement being all-inclusive and non-partisan”82 . The last statement may bring the thoughts of the Ugandans to the expulsions of Kenyan workers and Asian bourgeoisie during the Obote and Amin era of multipartyism. Referring to the implementation of the Local Councils (LC)83 - the corner stone of the Movement decentralization process in the country - “[t]here are Federalists, Multipartyists, Movementists, Protestants, Muslims and Catholics and so on in one council. As a result, there is political harmony and unity in the villages. There is no ruling party or an opposition party in these councils. Therefore, friction is minimized.”84 77 Gulu is a district in the North where the Lords Resistance Army (LRA), lead by Joseph Kony, is highly present. 78 The New Vision, Uganda’s future at stake – Museveni, May 1, 1996. 79 The New Vision, Mayanja refutes Sharia claim, April 18, 1996. 80 The New Vision, The Movement allows everyone to participate, June 7, 2000. This is repeated in e.g. The New Vision, Why should Ugandans vote for the Movement?, June 21, 2000. 81 The New Vision, Why should Ugandans vote for the Movement?, June 21, 2000. 82 The New Vision, The Movement allows everyone to participate, June 7, 2000. 83 Starts at the village level (LC1), and progress through the parish (LC2) to the sub-county (LC3), county (LC4), and district (LC5). 84 The New Vision, The Movement allows everyone to participate, June 7, 2000.
  • 22. 19 The characteristic pattern of the discourse and its inner logic, in order to ensure the survival of the one-party Movement system, seems to be that multipartyism will lead to a war between different ethnical, religious and tribal groups rather then to protect minorities. The Movement view is that a movement system allows people of different political opinion to solve their local problems together and also that “[i]n practice, interests of marginalized groups are never represented under parties”.85 In the referendum debate, the committee states that “[t]he Movement system […] has brought political harmony and unity in the villages [and that] it would not be possible to bring villagers of different parties to sit together on one council as each side would oppose the other for the sake of opposition, hence, harmony and unity would be stifled”.86 When analyzing the political discourse and the speeches that dominated the 1996 presidential election and the 2000 referendum, the preconditions for a political-rhetorical process to deal with collective fear seems all to be present: The problem framing for a new reality description, and, how the threat is linked to the security of individuals and thereby being existential in its nature. The Obotephobia and the (national) unity elements constitute the political discourse framework of an explicitly logical connection between the presidential (Multipartyists) candidates in 1996 election, and the multiparty side in the referendum four years later, and the survival of Ugandans. The frequent designation of existential threats by President Museveni, the Movement Referendum Committee, and other political leaders within the Movement camp, seems to have constituted a corner stone of the political discourse during the presidential election 1996 and the 2000 referendum. The repeated reminders of the atrocities in the past, as a result of the former president Obote and his regimes during the 60´s and the 80´s, the designated links of the 1996 UPC and DP coalition – IPFC - and their wish to bring Obote back in order to plunge Uganda into anarchy and chaos are threats directed to each and every citizen of the country. In the context of the Ugandan history and the peoples´ fears of having an uncontrolled army, anarchy, insecurity of person and property, these threats have the potential of being existential among the people. 85 The New Vision, Why should Ugandans vote for the Movement?, June 21, 2000. 86 The New Vision, Why should Ugandans vote for the Movement?, June 21, 2000.
  • 23. 20 The importance of security and (national) unity is relevant. The frequent speech acts blaming multipartyism being a political system that enhance ethnic, religious and tribal fragmentation and that will stifle the harmony and unity, that has been brought by the one-party Movement system, are also a strong contributor to the designation of an existential threat. The Obotephobia element and the (national) unity element are linked in forming a political discourse that leaves the people alone with two alternatives only: One is that of a continuous Movement politics which provides security, harmony, unity and an army under control. The other alternative means the opposite: state founded killings, violence between ethnic, religious and tribal groups, and anarchy. The complete reduction of the political, multiparty alternatives during the elections 1996 and 2000 as being politics of a fig-tree-leaf syndrome in order to bring Milton Obote back to the country and to continue with the murdering of the citizens (“These were originally snakes but now are using Ssemogerere and are coming back to destroy Uganda in a lizard’s skin”). Another reflection is that it is not possible to make a clear distinction between the discourse in the presidential election 1996 and the 2000 referendum; the presidential candidates in 1996 Ssemeogerere and Myanja are being addressed as multipartyists and the insight on the effects of the political system (parliamentary elections where to be followed the same year) if a multiparty candidate had been elected president. So, when analyzing the political discourse during the 1996 election and the referendum four years later, it should be interpreted as a consistent process: The seemingly conscious plantation in 1996, by Museveni and his camp, of a language in which signs of equality between the candidates, and a multiparty system, with the violent past are resulting in the designation of existential threats – which here are categorized as elements of Obotephobia and (national) unity - directed to the people and citizens of Uganda, and it continues during the 2000 referendum. But even if the general logic of securitization seems to be quite clear at this stage, still it may only be considered as a securitization move, unless the audiences accept it as an existential threat, which is discussed below. But before doing that, we shall take a look into potential procedures Museveni may have managed to break free from. Which are the procedures or rules the securitizing actor may have managed to break free from and which he or she otherwise would be bound to? During the 2000 referendum, a major happening was covering the front pages on the newspapers after June 7th . It arose after the first Act (The Referendum and Other Provisions
  • 24. 21 Act, 1999) was nullified having been successfully challenged by the DP President, Kawanga Ssemogerere on the grounds that it was passed without a quorum contrary to the provisions of Article 88 of the Constitution of the Republic of Uganda 1995.87 Instead of await the Constitutional Court’s ruling on the act (which later ruled that it had been passed improperly, since there was no quorum in parliament at the time it was passed), Museveni and the Movement allegedly did intimidate MPs into passing a new referendum act. By calling the 136 Movement MPs to a Caucus, Museveni allegedly ordered them to pass the new referendum law, and suspended the rules of Parliament which required three days notice of motions and lengthy committee procedures, by back-dating the law to July 1999.88 This action undertaken by Museveni, was compared by oppositional politicians and media to the 1966 “pigeon hole” constitution undertaken by Milton Obote and when MPs, as they arrived to the parliament, where told to pass the new constitution without having even read it.89 The Movement-dominated parliament suspended the rules of procedure and passed the Bill in a record 3 hours on 7 June 2000 in order to ensure that nothing stops the June 29th referendum elections.90 This seemingly desperate measure undertaken by president Museveni in order to ensure that the 2000 referendum actually could take place as planned, reflects the political importance of the event on June 29. The main political challengers DP and UPC – the mainstream multipartyists - were boycotting the referendum. The reason behind the positioning on this third side – the Movement (“bus”) and the Multiparty side (“dove”) were the other two sides – is the DP and UPC view on multiparty democracy as a fundamental human right which never can be subjected for a vote. Participation would simply have legitimized a (continuous) one- party democracy promoted by the Movement. The friction between democracy and a state governed by law is very evident during the referendum 2000. The Movement side pressuring the importance of an inclusive democracy in 87 Sabiti-Makara, Tukahebwa Geoffrey B., Byarugaba Foster E. Voting For Democracy in Uganda - Issues in Recent Elections. LDC Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 2003:265. 88 Sunday Monitor, Insight: Museveni, Kategaya vs. Obote, Nkangi, June 18, 2000. 89 Obote unilaterally abolished the semi-federal independence constitution of 1962. The parliament was surrounded by soldiers and tanks and Obote told the MPs that they could find their copies of the April 1966 constitution in their pigeon holes, mail boxes, on the way out. Sunday Monitor, Insight: Museveni, Kategaya vs. Obote, Nkangi, June 18, 2000. 90 Sabiti-Makara, Tukahebwa Geoffrey B., Byarugaba Foster E. Voting For Democracy in Uganda - Issues in Recent Elections. LDC Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 2003:265.
  • 25. 22 which a united people, in harmony, can participate within the different levels of decentralized councils, confident of that the participation mechanism itself would obstruct the fragmentation and insecurity. Therefore, according to Movementists, the right of minorities does not have to be protected by law. The existential threats designated by Museveni and the Movement camp, as have been scrutinized and rendered above, are telling the Ugandans that they should fear multipartyism as the since it brings back the violent conflicts of the past. But can the passing of the new referendum law in three hours undertaken by Museveni be seen as an emergency act in the Ugandan context? This is not obvious. The knowledge and the significance of the Ugandan Constitution among the Ugandans are different depending on the level of education and the living conditions. When the Movement (NRM) government did design the Uganda Constitutional Commission, the bishops called on all Ugandans to take it as a moral duty to actively participate in the making of the new Constitution. The past political tensions of 1961-1962 occurred during and immediately after the discussions preceding the Independence Constitution of 1962. The “pigeon-hole” constitution of 1966 led the country into chaos in subsequent years. Hence, the importance of a national constitution in the Uganda context can hardly be overemphasized.91 But, as elections are not real opportunities to choose between policy alternatives but might be seen as tests of loyalty, this has created a gap between electoral victory and political legitimacy which can also explain part of the indifference and cynism that have come to afflict many Ugandan voters.92 “Those who understand the constitution do care”, as one of the respondents expressed. “People care, people react. But as long as the avenues are not very open, there is a limit to which people can react.”93 Which are the signs of acceptance by the people? The dramatizing of scenes of old terror seems to be evident, as well as breaking free from procedures and rules. But were those designations of threats interpreted as existential threats and were the measures accepted by the Ugandan people? Nine years after the presidential election, one of the interview respondents summarizing the situation during the election campaigns: “In 1996 during the presidential election, they drum up a threat of war. They show 91 Hansen, Holger Bernt, Twaddle, Michael. Religion & Politics in East Africa. Fountain Publishers, Kampala, Uganda. 1995:117. 92 Hammargren, Henrik; Muhereza, Frank; Ottosson, Åse; Ssenkumba, John. Peace, Democracy and Human Rights in Uganda - a string of fragile pearls. A draft report for Sida, June 1999:13. 93 Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005.
  • 26. 23 you that they have all the powers to start a war. It was just to click the trigger and there is a war in this country. That is if you choose anybody else [than Museveni]. If Museveni looses power, war will start immediately. They sing war on radio, they re-enact scenes of the old terror that we suffered during those days, road drops where people have been terrorized. They put them on TV, they dramatizing those things, and everywhere you see armed men passing around.”94 Polls and election results Polls before the 1996 presidential election revealed that on the question which candidate would best handle the “national issues” such as peace, security, national unity, poverty, constitution, health, human rights, democracy and corruption, Museveni led in all categories. On the question which candidate will restore multiparty politics, Ssemogerere was garnering 75% and Museveni only 17% of the voters. But on the question on which candidate could keep the army in check, Museveni pulled 75%, and not a single respondent, 0%, thought candidates Ssemogerere or Mayanja could discipline the army.95 Three weeks later, just a week before the election day, respondents mentioned peace and security as the number one factor that will influence candidates´ chances of being voted, and, in most districts, Museveni was the candidate to ensure these factors. Except districts such as Apac, Gulu and Lira – areas in which it occurred battling armed opposition groups – Museveni was leading with a whopping percentage.96 The results above can be seen as an indicator of the success of Museveni´s promotion and upholding of a constitution of the people, to provide security, and to plan for smooth change to avoid chaos in order to modernize Uganda. It may also be seen as the result of a securitization of the Movement system, or a combination of both. The question here is whether these results would have been the same without the speech acts and the political language used? The 2000 referendum was won by the Movement by receiving as much as 91,5% of the votes. Again, except the districts of Apac, Gulu, Lira, and Kitgum, Museveni did win a major victory over the multiparty side. But, this time only 45% voted, which in fact can be seen as a 94 Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005. 95 A country-wide opinion poll of nearly 1700 randomly selected Ugandans was interviewed. The Monitor, Polls say Museveni will win elections by 62%, April 19, 1996. 96 The poll had a confidence level of 95%. The Monitor, Can Ssemogerere ambush Museveni as polls give Kaguta 56-60% of the vote?, May 7, 1996.
  • 27. 24 huge defeat for Museveni and the Movement system. Another factor that might have had an impact on the low turn-up was the heavy rains in Kampala district, and the fact that voters did not see a reason to vote since they thought the Movement would win anyway, or, that it was little at stake (political system) compared to a presidential election.97 The very low participation by the people in the referendum might be a determining factor in answering the question whether securitization of the Movement system did occur or not during the referendum. If half of the people entitled to vote were boycotting the referendum, it can reflect a situation where an important part of the population was not enough effected by the designations of the existential threats so that they felt they had to vote for the Movement system. Rather, the speeches could have had an opposite effect preventing those from voting. Likewise, Museveni breaking free from rules – in this case the Constitution - and enforcing the passing of the new referendum act, could have strengthening the opposition. How many of the 65% that actually did boycott the referendum and how many of these were prevented to vote is not known and we can only speculate. However, what is important when determining whether we are witnessing a securitization or just a “move” is what audience we focus upon in this particular case: The Ugandan people as a whole, all the entitled Ugandan voters, the 45% of the audience of which more than nine out of ten voted for the Movement system, or the people who voted for Museveni in the 1996 election? The answer to the securitization question may be different depending on the audience. Different groups of the Ugandan rural and urban people certainly were affected in different ways by the political language and the campaigns. In order to get a deeper understanding of how the Ugandan people interpret the courses of events during 1996 and 2000, the results from the interviews need to be analyzed.98 The fear of multipartyism As have been discussed earlier the construction of a logical connection between multipartyism and the violent past seems to have been a significant part of the political discourse during both the election and the referendum. One respondent explains his view on multipartyism by saying: “When we go to parties, then people are going to use them in an unhealthy way. That one is a fact.”99 The meaning behind the expression “unhealthy way” is here understood as 97 See discussions in The Monitor, July 5 and June 30, 2000, and The Sunday Monitor, July 2, 2000. 98 Not to forget that the interviews was performed 9 years after the 1996 election and 5 years after the 2000 referendum - a fact that should be considered when discussing the relevance of the designations of existential threats. 99 Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005.
  • 28. 25 bringing different people against each other which will lead to sectarianism and political turmoil. He continued saying “[o]ur leaders here have always misused the parties […] Museveni kept arguing, and his argument was bought by many, that you see, when we go into these political differences, that is why we have these troubles.”100 The last sentence can be seen as a feed back on the interpretation of the existential threats concerning multipartyism that has been continuously designated by Museveni: “[…] his argument was bought by many […]”. The logical connection between the multiparty systems and political turmoil seems to be well rooted in people’s minds: “In 1986 when the Movement took power, you could not stand anywhere and start campaigning against Museveni or let’s go multiparty or that kind of thing. Because actually, at that time, people still were arguing that multiparty was the cause behind that turmoil, which was just recent.”101 Another respondent explains that “Museveni strictly pins that multipartyism is really bad and he has brainwashed so many people of how politics is and what you gain out of politics.”102 The utterances above reveal two important things: First, multiparty system is understood to be accepted by many Ugandans as a cause behind the past atrocities. Secondly, it is understood that Museveni continuously argues this causal connection. Manipulation of the rural based and non-enlightened people One important factor in the discussions on securitization is the targeted audience. It may not be an unfamiliar thought that it is easier for the securitizing actor to win acceptance of the logic behind the designation of existential threats among non-enlightened, often rural based people, than among the educated, often urban people. One respondent says that “[i]n our kind of society, the people with the vote, are mainly the rural based. And they are the less enlightened. We, the ones who went to school, we are able to assess issues, vote on specifically issues, but unfortunately, we are a minority, we are very few. So, it becomes very easy to manipulate people.”103 Another respondent mean that “[p]eople in the rural areas, they don’t even understand what a referendum is. What they are after, when they are electing, is who the leader is. Now, they know Museveni. People fear, there is some bit of fear actually, of the system. You know when you are campaigning to be president and you know you are 100 Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005. 101 Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005. 102 Respondent #4, Mukono, May 18, 2005. 103 Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005.
  • 29. 26 campaigning against somebody that is the incumbent president, there is a lot of fear […] You have to talk with reservation, because of fear of the security around them and so.”104 It seems as manipulation, or the designation of existential threats, is understood to have been most successful in the rural areas and among the non-enlightened Ugandans. The last sentence also reveals an interpretation of an existing – and existential - fear of the ruling governance, the movement system, which forces them to vote for the incumbent leader. But there is also another utterance which needs some attention: “In 1996 though, the Movement are still very strong and solid. With or without intimidation, the parties could not have been able to win.”105 First, it is understood as if the confidence of the Movement among the people has been weakened in between 1996 and 2000. Secondly, the element of intimidation seems to be a constituted part of the campaigns. One question to ask is how continuous intimidations by designations of existential threats did affect on the apprehensions of the strength and solidity of the Movement? The importance of reconciliation and security Earlier discussions on the Ugandans fears of having an uncontrolled army and a state of anarchy, as a result of past atrocities and genocide, may explain the importance of security and reconciliation among the people, as well as it may constitute a “specification of requirement” during the construction of a political language which aims to threat people. One of the respondents brings up Obote when discussing the 1996 election, meaning “[t]he idea of Obote was introduced by the Movement itself into this hard debate […]” and explains that “[i]t was exactly the same that happen during the 2000 referendum.”106 An awareness of a conscious construction of articulations by the Movement seems to exist. Another respondent reveals the impact of involving Obote in the speech acts during the 1996 election: “`Oh, here is the man [DP candidate Ssemogerere], he wants to bring back Obote!´ You remember the atrocities which were committed by Obote? And the Baganda [the people of the Buganda kingdom] is saying: let him come, we should not accept him entering Kampala. And he will die there, I’m telling you. Because, attacking the palace of the King, the Baganda will never forgive him.”107 The feedback on the interpretations of the impact of using the element of Obotephobia in the political language is important: It may not have been understood as 104 Respondent #2, Jinja, May 14, 2005. 105 Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005. 106 Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005. 107 Respondent #4, Mukono, May 18, 2005.
  • 30. 27 constituting an existential threat among the Baganda – a targeted audience for the speech acts of this kind. Another respondent brings up the necessity of reconciliation in the country: “[…] Given our kind of history, we have been through a lot, […] people are so weak and they are really looking more towards reconciliation than retribution. I can say Museveni has contributed amazingly to the progress in this in this country, in all aspects. With the respect to unity, initially, there was this move towards creating a nation of unity and reconciliation.”108 The understanding is evidently that security and reconciliation is regarded as a demand of priority among the Ugandans. But, the understanding is also that the Movement and Museveni actually has contributed to an increased stability and enhanced unity in the country. A third respondent can verify the statements by explaining that “[t]he common man in the village is after a few things: you want security […] In those days, they used to suffer a lot, but they can now see the difference. Security is very important. You know the voters, all they want is security, and they want an army which is tamed and which can be controlled properly.”109 A reflective question is that under preconditions before the 1996 election and the 2000 referendum as described so far, how can it be possible to convince a majority of the people that security and reconciliation can be gained through a multiparty system - especially since such a system is understood to be accepted by many Ugandans as a cause behind the past atrocities? “Multipartyism is not primary, it is secondary. It is not the most important, but when we’re talking politically, it [multipartyism] is a necessary condition. Reconciliation, that is primary.”110 The understanding seems to be that there is no logical connection between a multiparty system and an enhanced reconciliation and the latter one is more important than the system. This statement may reveal an acceptance of the constructed logic behind the speech acts performed by Museveni and the Movement. The respondent continues by saying: “[…] they were associating multiparty with the previous regimes where there were lot of terror and such things, putting skulls…the skulls of Luweero…that one definitely affected especially the rural people. If you do a mistake, voting for multipartyism, do you want to die 108 Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005. 109 Respondent #2, Jinja, May 14, 2005. 110 Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005.
  • 31. 28 again? You know that kind of propaganda. People have seen a lot of blood shed, and nobody wants to get into that again. All they want is tranquility and reconciliation.”111 The interpretation of that the threat of “skulls of Luweero” did affect mainly the rural people is interesting. The acceptance of existential threats designated by Museveni and the Movement may have been most evident among the rural based people. This may be a fact that needs to serve as an input into the conclusive discussions on whether securitization has occurred or not since the determination depends on the audience in question. Sectarianism As discussed earlier in this paper, one characteristic pattern of the logic behind the political discourse seems to be that a multiparty system will result in an increased sectarianism. One respondent talks about an “unhealthy sectarianism” as a phenomenon when people “[…] who starts using their ideological, religious, ethnical or tribal identity against other people with other identities” and explains that “[t]hose differences, cleavages, ethnic, religious kind of thing, are there in the society. The people who are greedy, who are unscrupulous, selfish, use them [the differences] in an unhealthy way. But these differences being there is actually healthy.”112 The Movement claims the importance of an inclusive one-party democracy where the mechanism of participation itself would obstruct the fragmentation and insecurity. The respondent continues by saying that “[n]ot even the multiparty actually can help us to build the stability in this country, they cannot. Our people are so selfish, whoever gets to the top want to remain there and wants to take advantage over the others […] The state doesn’t belong to anybody, so whoever is there owns it and uses it to the very maximum and as long as he is there, he has control of it.”113 It seems like the understanding is that some people uses the “healthy” differences in an “unhealthy” way, something that is described as a mechanism in the Ugandan society. A mechanism that is understood not can be solved by a multiparty system. A question is whether the people would prefer the “all-inclusive” and “non-partisan” Movement system as the political system able to prevent increased sectarianism? Different groups of the Ugandan rural and urban people certainly were affected in different ways by the political language and the campaigns. It seems as if the designation of existential 111 Respondent #1, Bweyongerere, May 8, 2005. 112 Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005. 113 Respondent #3, Kampala, May 17, 2005.
  • 32. 29 threats, are understood to have been most successful in the rural areas and among the non- enlightened Ugandans. A fear of the ruling governance, the movement system, which forces them to vote for the incumbent leader, seems also to exist among rural people. One conclusion might be that securitization among the rural and non-enlightened people have occurred during the 1996 election and the 2000 referendum. CONCLUSIONS On the question by which speech acts and by whom the existential threat been designated, the answer is yes. President Museveni and his leadership within the Movement are continuously during the presidential election campaigns 1996 and during the 2000 referendum delivering speech acts with a seemingly evident aim of designating existential threats. The many examples of those articulations are in detail presented in the analysis section in this paper. The various speech acts shape a reality description where the threat is linked to the security of individuals and thereby being existential in its nature. They all can be arranged within the overaching themes – “Obotephobia” and (national) unity – and they include threats concerning the comeback of former president Milton Obote, the multiparty leaders organizing death squads, multiparty system as a cause behind past atrocities and increased sectarianism and ethnic fragmentation. The construction of the political discourse during the campaigns leaves the people alone with two alternatives only: One is that of a continuous Movement politics which is told to provide security, harmony, unity and an army under control. The other alternative means the opposite: state founded killings, violence between ethnic, religious and tribal groups, and anarchy. Bearing the Ugandan context and its history in mind, the substances of the threats are not surprising and the interpretation cannot be other than that they are constructed with the very aim of being existential among the Ugandan people. Another conclusion to be made is that different speech acts are directed at different audiences. As speeches including the Obotephobia element are more frequently directed to people of Buganda and nearby areas than for instance the northern parts of Uganda, speeches including the element of national unity are primary directed to non-Baganda citizens.
  • 33. 30 On the question whether the securitizing actor – president Museveni and the leadership within the Movement – managed to break free from procedures or rules, the answer is a doubtful yes. The comparisons made between the passing of the new referendum act and the “pigeon-hole” constitution reveals much about the excitement and attention to that emergency measure taken by Museveni just shortly before the referendum. Since the referendum actually was held, it could be seen as Museveni and the Movement actually managed to break free from procedures that otherwise would have at least delayed the referendum. On the other hand, the extensive boycotting of the referendum – which may have been as big as close to half of the entitled voters – can be seen partly as a result of a widespread non-acceptance of the passing of the new referendum act. Anyway, when drawing conclusions, there should be little room for speculations, so what is important here is actually the fact that Museveni seems to have put his credibility at stake in order to ensure the performance of the referendum since bringing significance to the constitutional process has been one important task for the Movement in fostering the Ugandan people in democratic procedures. Finally, on the question of which are the signs of acceptance by the people, the answer is depending on what the audience we intend to focus upon. If we focus on enlightened and educated people, primary in the urban areas of Uganda, the conclusion is that there are few signs of acceptance. The ability to assess political issues at stake and to criticize and see through the speech acts seem to be better among this audience compared to non-enlightened people mainly in the rural areas. But, the research also indicates that there may be certain logics that are valid even among the enlightened group. One is that reconciliation is primary and multipartyism secondary, which may reveal an understanding that there exists no connection between the introduction of a multiparty system and the achievement of reconciliation, and, where the latter is considered as the most important. A conclusion is that the logic behind this belief may be affected by the political discourse constructed by Museveni and the Movement, achieving national unity through a broad participation by an inclusive movement system as the only way forward and not by considering a constitutional protection of the rights of minorities through a multiparty democracy and a state governed by law. Rather, multiparty system is repeatedly told to be the cause behind past atrocities and increased sectarianism. In this sense, a conclusion can be that a securitization of the Movement system may have occurred even among the enlightened people in Uganda and the consequence is that it has prevented parties such as DP and UPC to gain enough support during the presidential election 1996, but also during the 2000 referendum.
  • 34. 31 If we focus on the non-enlightened, uneducated people, primary based in the rural areas of the country, the conclusion is that one can assume that a securitization of the Movement system did occur during the election 1996 and the referendum 2000. Polls and interviews are indicating that among this audience, security is of absolute importance and that the logic behind the existential threats directed at these people have been generally accepted by the audience. The launch of campaigns of securitization by Museveni and the Movement leadership, such as the “skulls of Luweero”, the organization of death squads against landlords, bodies turning up on roadsides during multiparty rule, etc., seem to have gained support from the audience. The impact of the securitization of the Movement system, in the eyes of a large part of the Ugandan people, during the end of the 1990´s, on the Ugandan democratization process during the first five years of the new millennium may be the scope for another research project.
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