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SEB January–March 2015
Press Conference
Annika Falkengren
President & CEO
An exceptional environment
Repo rates % Stockholm stock exchange (OMXSPI)
400
450
500
550
600
Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15
Eurozone Sweden USA
Highlights Q1 2015
3
Increased volatility drives
customer demand for risk
management products
Strong asset quality and
resilience
High net inflows of AuM
due to strong sales and
positive equity markets
4.9
4.3
1.3
0.9
% Q1-14 %
Total Operating income 11,612 11,102 5 10,443 11
Total Operating expenses -5,558 -5,791 -4 -5,338 4
Profit before credit losses 6,054 5,311 14 5,105 19
Net credit losses etc. -264 -395 -250
Operating profit 5,790 4,916 18 4,855 19
Q1-15 Q4-14
Financial summary
excl. one-offs gains in Q4-14
4
42%
37%
11%
8% 2%
Operating income by type, Q1 2015 vs. Q1 2014 (SEK bn)
Profit and loss (SEK m)
Net interest
income
Net fee and
commissions
Net financial
income
Net life insurance
income
Q1-14Q1-15 Q1-14Q1-15 Q1-14Q1-15 Q1-14Q1-15
Income distribution Jan-Mar 2015
Net interest income development
SEK bn
5
Net interest income
Jan-Mar 2015 vs. Jan-Mar 2014
Net interest income type
Q1 2013 – Q1 2015
3.5 3.9 4.2
Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15
0.6
0.8
0.3
Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15
0.4
0.2
0.4
Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15
Deposits
Funding & other
Lending
4.8
4.9
Jan-Mar '14 Jan-Mar '15
+3%
Net fee and commission income development
SEK bn
6
Net fee and commissions
Jan-Mar 2015 vs. Jan-Mar 2014
Gross fee and commissions by income type
Q1 2013 – Q1 2015
Custody and mutual funds
Payments, cards, lending, deposits & guarantees
Advisory, secondary markets and derivatives
+15%
3.7
4.3
Jan-Mar '14 Jan-Mar '15
0.6 0.7 0.8
Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15
1.7 1.8
2.3
Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15
2.2 2.6 2.4
Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15
1.0 1.1
0.8
1.2 1.1
0.8
0.7
0.3
1.3
Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15
1.1
1.3
Jan-Mar '14 Jan-Mar '15
Net financial income development
SEK bn
7
NFI and total Markets result Q1 2013 – Q1 2015
Net financial income
Jan-Mar 2015 vs. Jan-Mar 2014
+16%
Net financial income development
Q1 2013 – Q1 2015
Increased volatility in the quarter*
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15
* (VIX S&P 500 volatility)
Operating leverage
excluding one-offs
Average quarterly income (SEK bn)
9.2 9.4 9.8 10.4 11.0 11.6
Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Mar
2015
Average quarterly expenses (SEK bn)
5.8 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.6
Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Mar
2015
Average quarterly profit before credit losses (SEK bn)
Notes: Excluding one-offs (restructuring in 2010, bond buy-back and IT impairment in 2012, sale of MasterCard shares and
Euroline in 2014) Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010
3.4 3.5 4.1
4.8 5.5 6.1
Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Mar
2015
8
Baltic
Merchant Banking
Life & Wealth
Retail Banking
All divisions driving operating leverage
4.6
2.2
Avg
2010
Avg
2011
Avg
2012
Avg
2013
Avg
2014
Jan-Mar
2015
3.1
1.4
Avg
2010
Avg
2011
Avg
2012
Avg
2013
Avg
2014
Jan-Mar
2015
2.9
1.3
Avg
2010
Avg
2011
Avg
2012
Avg
2013
Avg
2014
Jan-Mar
2015
0.9
0.4
Avg
2010
Avg
2011
Avg
2012
Avg
2013
Avg
2014
Jan-Mar
2015
SEB Group
Op profit
CAGR*
+15%
Op Profit
CAGR*
+6% +27%
+11% +40%
Operating income
Operating expensesSEK bn
9
*CAGR on Operating Profit Avg Q 2010-Q1 2015
Op Profit
CAGR*
Op Profit
CAGR*
Op Profit
CAGR*
Business dynamics changing due to market conditions
10
Large corporates sought hedging and risk
management in the volatile market
Credit portfolio, Corporates
(SEK bn)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Mar '12 Dec '12 Sep '13 Jun '14 Mar '15
+2%
Change QoQ
Event-driven
Volatility-driven
Growing asset gathering franchise
11
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 2015
Unit-linked AuM (SEK bn)
+16%
CAGR*
Private Banking AuM (SEK bn)
0
200
400
600
800
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 2015
+23%
CAGR*
Household deposits (SEK bn)
+7%
CAGR*
0
100
200
300
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 2015
*CAGR for the period 2008 – Q1 2015
Retail Sweden Corporates – low lending demand
12
Active full-service customers (thousands)
Corporate lending portfolio (SEK bn)
91
169
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1-15
106
153
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1-15
Retail Sweden – Mortgages and digitalisation
13
Mortgage lending(SEK bn)
272
407
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1-15
Amortisation of new mortgage lending
Loan-to-value > 70%
60% 91%
”Before” ”Today”
Continued resilience and flexibility
14
Net credit loss level 0.05%
NPL coverage ratio 55%
CET1 16.6%
LCR 124%
Liquidity resources ~25%
AssetQualityLiquidityCapital
RoE 13.8%
Going forward
15
Continued disciplined execution
Resilience and long-term perspective
in challenging economic climate
Focus on customer relationships

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SEB's first quarter 2015 results presentation

  • 1. SEB January–March 2015 Press Conference Annika Falkengren President & CEO
  • 2. An exceptional environment Repo rates % Stockholm stock exchange (OMXSPI) 400 450 500 550 600 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Eurozone Sweden USA
  • 3. Highlights Q1 2015 3 Increased volatility drives customer demand for risk management products Strong asset quality and resilience High net inflows of AuM due to strong sales and positive equity markets
  • 4. 4.9 4.3 1.3 0.9 % Q1-14 % Total Operating income 11,612 11,102 5 10,443 11 Total Operating expenses -5,558 -5,791 -4 -5,338 4 Profit before credit losses 6,054 5,311 14 5,105 19 Net credit losses etc. -264 -395 -250 Operating profit 5,790 4,916 18 4,855 19 Q1-15 Q4-14 Financial summary excl. one-offs gains in Q4-14 4 42% 37% 11% 8% 2% Operating income by type, Q1 2015 vs. Q1 2014 (SEK bn) Profit and loss (SEK m) Net interest income Net fee and commissions Net financial income Net life insurance income Q1-14Q1-15 Q1-14Q1-15 Q1-14Q1-15 Q1-14Q1-15 Income distribution Jan-Mar 2015
  • 5. Net interest income development SEK bn 5 Net interest income Jan-Mar 2015 vs. Jan-Mar 2014 Net interest income type Q1 2013 – Q1 2015 3.5 3.9 4.2 Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15 0.6 0.8 0.3 Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15 0.4 0.2 0.4 Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15 Deposits Funding & other Lending 4.8 4.9 Jan-Mar '14 Jan-Mar '15 +3%
  • 6. Net fee and commission income development SEK bn 6 Net fee and commissions Jan-Mar 2015 vs. Jan-Mar 2014 Gross fee and commissions by income type Q1 2013 – Q1 2015 Custody and mutual funds Payments, cards, lending, deposits & guarantees Advisory, secondary markets and derivatives +15% 3.7 4.3 Jan-Mar '14 Jan-Mar '15 0.6 0.7 0.8 Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15 1.7 1.8 2.3 Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15 2.2 2.6 2.4 Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15
  • 7. 1.0 1.1 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.3 1.3 Q1-13 Q1-14 Q1-15 1.1 1.3 Jan-Mar '14 Jan-Mar '15 Net financial income development SEK bn 7 NFI and total Markets result Q1 2013 – Q1 2015 Net financial income Jan-Mar 2015 vs. Jan-Mar 2014 +16% Net financial income development Q1 2013 – Q1 2015 Increased volatility in the quarter* 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 * (VIX S&P 500 volatility)
  • 8. Operating leverage excluding one-offs Average quarterly income (SEK bn) 9.2 9.4 9.8 10.4 11.0 11.6 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Mar 2015 Average quarterly expenses (SEK bn) 5.8 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.6 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Mar 2015 Average quarterly profit before credit losses (SEK bn) Notes: Excluding one-offs (restructuring in 2010, bond buy-back and IT impairment in 2012, sale of MasterCard shares and Euroline in 2014) Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010 3.4 3.5 4.1 4.8 5.5 6.1 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Mar 2015 8
  • 9. Baltic Merchant Banking Life & Wealth Retail Banking All divisions driving operating leverage 4.6 2.2 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Mar 2015 3.1 1.4 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Mar 2015 2.9 1.3 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Mar 2015 0.9 0.4 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Mar 2015 SEB Group Op profit CAGR* +15% Op Profit CAGR* +6% +27% +11% +40% Operating income Operating expensesSEK bn 9 *CAGR on Operating Profit Avg Q 2010-Q1 2015 Op Profit CAGR* Op Profit CAGR* Op Profit CAGR*
  • 10. Business dynamics changing due to market conditions 10 Large corporates sought hedging and risk management in the volatile market Credit portfolio, Corporates (SEK bn) 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 Mar '12 Dec '12 Sep '13 Jun '14 Mar '15 +2% Change QoQ Event-driven Volatility-driven
  • 11. Growing asset gathering franchise 11 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 2015 Unit-linked AuM (SEK bn) +16% CAGR* Private Banking AuM (SEK bn) 0 200 400 600 800 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 2015 +23% CAGR* Household deposits (SEK bn) +7% CAGR* 0 100 200 300 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 2015 *CAGR for the period 2008 – Q1 2015
  • 12. Retail Sweden Corporates – low lending demand 12 Active full-service customers (thousands) Corporate lending portfolio (SEK bn) 91 169 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1-15 106 153 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1-15
  • 13. Retail Sweden – Mortgages and digitalisation 13 Mortgage lending(SEK bn) 272 407 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1-15 Amortisation of new mortgage lending Loan-to-value > 70% 60% 91% ”Before” ”Today”
  • 14. Continued resilience and flexibility 14 Net credit loss level 0.05% NPL coverage ratio 55% CET1 16.6% LCR 124% Liquidity resources ~25% AssetQualityLiquidityCapital RoE 13.8%
  • 15. Going forward 15 Continued disciplined execution Resilience and long-term perspective in challenging economic climate Focus on customer relationships