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SEB January – June 2015
Press Conference
Annika Falkengren
President & CEO
Repricing of risk
Swedish credit spreads
5y covered bonds vs. 5y Sovereign
Stock exchanges
MSCI World and OMXSPI, Indexed to 100 2007
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
OMXSPI MSCI World
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2007
2008
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2
Highlights Q2 2015
3
High customer activity
Continued strong asset
quality and improved
performance
Strengthened resilience in
uncertain markets
Profit & Loss, (SEK m)
H1-15
Underlying One-off
H1
2014
% vs.
Underlying
Total Operating income 23,598 -902 22,696 21,520 10
whereof NII 9,660 -82 9,578 9,761 -1
whereof NFI 2,841 -820 2,021 1,924 48
Total Operating expenses -11,164 -11,164 -10,857 3
Profit before credit losses 12,434 -902 11,532 10,663 17
Net credit losses etc. -490 -490 -557 -12
Operating profit 11,944 -902 11,042 10,106 18
H1-15
Reported
4
Financial summary
Key figures Underlying H1 2015 Rep H1 2015 H1 2014
Return on Equity, % 14.2 12.9 13.1
Cost /income ratio 0.47 0.49 0.50
Earnings per share, SEK 4.33 3.92 3.67
CET1 ratio B3, % 17.2 16.0
Leverage ratio B3, % 4.4 4.0
Credit loss level, % 0.06 0.08
Net interest income development
SEK bn, excluding one-off
5
Net interest income
Jan-Jun 2015 vs. Jan-Jun 2014
Net interest income type
Q2 2013 – Q2 2015
3.6 4.0 4.4
Q2-13 Q2-14 Q2-15
0.6 0.7
0.1
Q2-13 Q2-14 Q2-15
0.5
0.2 0.2
Q2-13 Q2-14 Q2-15
Deposits
Funding & other
Lending
9.8 9.7
Jan-Jun '14 Jan-Jun'15
-1%
Net fee and commission income development
SEK bn
6
Net fee and commissions
Jan-Jun 2015 vs. Jan-Jun 2014
Gross fee and commissions by income type
Q2 2013 – Q2 2015
Custody and mutual funds
Payments, cards, lending, deposits & guarantees
Advisory, secondary markets and derivatives
0.8
1.3
2.0
Q2-13 Q2-14 Q2-15
1.7 1.8
2.2
Q2-13 Q2-14 Q2-15
2.5 2.6 2.5
Q2-13 Q2-14 Q2-15
+14%
7.9
9.1
Jan-Jun '14 Jan-Jun '15
1.1
0.8
1.2 1.1
0.8
0.7
0.3
1.3
1.6
Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14 Q2-14 Q3-14 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15
Net financial income development
SEK bn, excluding one-off
7
NFI and total Markets result Q1 2013 – Q1 2015
Net financial income
Jan-Jun 2015 vs. Jan-Jun 2014
Net financial income development
Q2 2013 – Q2 2015
Increased volatility in the quarter*
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14Mar-15 Jun-15
* (VIX S&P 500 volatility)
+48%
1.9
2.8
Jan-Jun '14 Jan-Jun '15
Average quarterly income (SEK bn)
9.2 9.4 9.8 10.4 11.0
11.8
Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Jun
2015
Average quarterly expenses (SEK bn)
5.8 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.6
Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Jun
2015
Average quarterly profit before credit losses (SEK bn)
Notes: Excluding one-offs (restructuring in 2010, bond buy-back and IT impairment in 2012, sale of MasterCard shares and
Euroline in 2014, Swiss withholding tax in 2015) Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010
3.4 3.5 4.1
4.8 5.5
6.2
Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Jun 2015
Operating leverage
excluding one-offs
8
5.7
3.1
1.5
1.2
0.7
Divisional performance
Excluding one-off
Operating profit Jan-Jun 2015 vs. Jan-Jun 2014 (SEK bn)
9
RoBE 14.1% (14.3) 14.0% (21.0) 23.1% (17.7) 24.1% (22.1) 15.3%* (15.5)
Business
Equity
(SEK bn)
61.9 (51.7) 34.3 (24.4) 9.8 (8.7) 8.4 (8.2) 8.2 (9.2)
H1 2015
H1 2014
Merchant Banking Retail Banking Wealth Life Baltic
*RoBE excl RHC in Baltic Division is 18.9%
Client segments affected by central bank activities
Higher corporate Nordic IPO activity…
(Deal value, Jan – Jun 2015,EUR m)
693
626
594
444
439
SEB
Peer 1
Peer 2
Peer 3
Peer 4
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15
SWE 10y SWE 5y
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Dec
'09
Jun
'10
Dec
'10
Jun
'11
Dec
'11
Jun
'12
Dec
'12
Jun
'13
Dec
'13
Jun
'14
Dec
'14
Jun
'15
…and Institutional demand for risk mgmt
(Swap interest rates, Bloomberg)
Corporate credit portfolio
(SEK bn)
10
Investments in digital solutions
11
Innovation Lab EPICENTER
The traditional role of a bank has evolved
post-Lehman
12
US Treasury volumes vs. dealer inventory
Indexed to 100 in 2001
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
US Treasuries
outstanding
US Dealer
inventory
Source: DB Research, SIFMA, NY Fed, US Treasury
US corporate bond volumes vs. dealer inventory
Indexed to 100 in 2001
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
US dealer
inventory
US Corp. Bonds
outstanding
Continued resilience and flexibility
13
Net credit loss level 0.06%
NPL coverage ratio 58%
CET1 17.2%
LCR 123%
Liquidity resources ~25%
AssetQualityLiquidityCapital
RoE 12.9%
RoE 14.2%(excl one-off)
Going forward
14
Continued disciplined execution
Resilience and long-term perspective
in challenging economic climate
Focus on customer relationships

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SEB's second quarter 2015 results presentation

  • 1. SEB January – June 2015 Press Conference Annika Falkengren President & CEO
  • 2. Repricing of risk Swedish credit spreads 5y covered bonds vs. 5y Sovereign Stock exchanges MSCI World and OMXSPI, Indexed to 100 2007 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 OMXSPI MSCI World 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 2007 2008 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2
  • 3. Highlights Q2 2015 3 High customer activity Continued strong asset quality and improved performance Strengthened resilience in uncertain markets
  • 4. Profit & Loss, (SEK m) H1-15 Underlying One-off H1 2014 % vs. Underlying Total Operating income 23,598 -902 22,696 21,520 10 whereof NII 9,660 -82 9,578 9,761 -1 whereof NFI 2,841 -820 2,021 1,924 48 Total Operating expenses -11,164 -11,164 -10,857 3 Profit before credit losses 12,434 -902 11,532 10,663 17 Net credit losses etc. -490 -490 -557 -12 Operating profit 11,944 -902 11,042 10,106 18 H1-15 Reported 4 Financial summary Key figures Underlying H1 2015 Rep H1 2015 H1 2014 Return on Equity, % 14.2 12.9 13.1 Cost /income ratio 0.47 0.49 0.50 Earnings per share, SEK 4.33 3.92 3.67 CET1 ratio B3, % 17.2 16.0 Leverage ratio B3, % 4.4 4.0 Credit loss level, % 0.06 0.08
  • 5. Net interest income development SEK bn, excluding one-off 5 Net interest income Jan-Jun 2015 vs. Jan-Jun 2014 Net interest income type Q2 2013 – Q2 2015 3.6 4.0 4.4 Q2-13 Q2-14 Q2-15 0.6 0.7 0.1 Q2-13 Q2-14 Q2-15 0.5 0.2 0.2 Q2-13 Q2-14 Q2-15 Deposits Funding & other Lending 9.8 9.7 Jan-Jun '14 Jan-Jun'15 -1%
  • 6. Net fee and commission income development SEK bn 6 Net fee and commissions Jan-Jun 2015 vs. Jan-Jun 2014 Gross fee and commissions by income type Q2 2013 – Q2 2015 Custody and mutual funds Payments, cards, lending, deposits & guarantees Advisory, secondary markets and derivatives 0.8 1.3 2.0 Q2-13 Q2-14 Q2-15 1.7 1.8 2.2 Q2-13 Q2-14 Q2-15 2.5 2.6 2.5 Q2-13 Q2-14 Q2-15 +14% 7.9 9.1 Jan-Jun '14 Jan-Jun '15
  • 7. 1.1 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.3 1.3 1.6 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14 Q2-14 Q3-14 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Net financial income development SEK bn, excluding one-off 7 NFI and total Markets result Q1 2013 – Q1 2015 Net financial income Jan-Jun 2015 vs. Jan-Jun 2014 Net financial income development Q2 2013 – Q2 2015 Increased volatility in the quarter* 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14Mar-15 Jun-15 * (VIX S&P 500 volatility) +48% 1.9 2.8 Jan-Jun '14 Jan-Jun '15
  • 8. Average quarterly income (SEK bn) 9.2 9.4 9.8 10.4 11.0 11.8 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Jun 2015 Average quarterly expenses (SEK bn) 5.8 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.6 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Jun 2015 Average quarterly profit before credit losses (SEK bn) Notes: Excluding one-offs (restructuring in 2010, bond buy-back and IT impairment in 2012, sale of MasterCard shares and Euroline in 2014, Swiss withholding tax in 2015) Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010 3.4 3.5 4.1 4.8 5.5 6.2 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Jan-Jun 2015 Operating leverage excluding one-offs 8
  • 9. 5.7 3.1 1.5 1.2 0.7 Divisional performance Excluding one-off Operating profit Jan-Jun 2015 vs. Jan-Jun 2014 (SEK bn) 9 RoBE 14.1% (14.3) 14.0% (21.0) 23.1% (17.7) 24.1% (22.1) 15.3%* (15.5) Business Equity (SEK bn) 61.9 (51.7) 34.3 (24.4) 9.8 (8.7) 8.4 (8.2) 8.2 (9.2) H1 2015 H1 2014 Merchant Banking Retail Banking Wealth Life Baltic *RoBE excl RHC in Baltic Division is 18.9%
  • 10. Client segments affected by central bank activities Higher corporate Nordic IPO activity… (Deal value, Jan – Jun 2015,EUR m) 693 626 594 444 439 SEB Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 SWE 10y SWE 5y 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Dec '09 Jun '10 Dec '10 Jun '11 Dec '11 Jun '12 Dec '12 Jun '13 Dec '13 Jun '14 Dec '14 Jun '15 …and Institutional demand for risk mgmt (Swap interest rates, Bloomberg) Corporate credit portfolio (SEK bn) 10
  • 11. Investments in digital solutions 11 Innovation Lab EPICENTER
  • 12. The traditional role of a bank has evolved post-Lehman 12 US Treasury volumes vs. dealer inventory Indexed to 100 in 2001 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 US Treasuries outstanding US Dealer inventory Source: DB Research, SIFMA, NY Fed, US Treasury US corporate bond volumes vs. dealer inventory Indexed to 100 in 2001 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 US dealer inventory US Corp. Bonds outstanding
  • 13. Continued resilience and flexibility 13 Net credit loss level 0.06% NPL coverage ratio 58% CET1 17.2% LCR 123% Liquidity resources ~25% AssetQualityLiquidityCapital RoE 12.9% RoE 14.2%(excl one-off)
  • 14. Going forward 14 Continued disciplined execution Resilience and long-term perspective in challenging economic climate Focus on customer relationships