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Current Demographic Trends in
SPU’s Service Area
Luis Hillon
Economic Services
February 2 2017
Seattle Is Getting Whiter
Seattle Times, October 27, 2014
2
In 2013, 67 percent of the city’s
population was non-Hispanic white
— that’s up from 65.2 percent the
previous year. The uptick means
Seattle is now whiter than it was
back in 2010
Not really
3
HISPANIC OR LATINO AND RACE 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Total population 684,443 668,337 652,429 634,541 620,778 610,710
Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 6.30% 6.20% 6.40% 7.30% 6.10% 6.00%
White alone 66.00% 66.20% 67.00% 65.20% 65.90% 66.10%
Black or African American alone 7.20% 6.90% 6.90% 7.10% 7.30% 7.90%
Asian alone 14.00% 13.90% 13.30% 14.60% 15.40% 14.50%
Two or more races 5.50% 5.40% 5.40% 4.90% 4.40% 4.30%
One year change doesn’t indicate a trend
American Community Survey – Margin of error
Baseline – Compare to similar geographies
Analysis of the Residential Mobility of
Racial Minorities
4
In 1980 the
black
population
was
strongly
concentrated
in southern
parts of
Seattle, but
since then
they have
migrated
further
south.
Segregation within Integration: Exploring Micro-Level Segregation in Seattle’s
Integrated Tracts Using Spatial and Qualitative Analysis.
Micro-Level Segregation
5
Seattle Housing Authority
Columbia City was named the most
diverse ZIP code in the country.
Population Growth
Washington added more than 425,000 residents from 2010 to
2015, and people of color account for nearly three-quarters of
that. Latinos made the largest population gains statewide of any
group — an increase of about 117,000.
In King County, Asians — not Hispanics — increased in number
far more than any other group. Asians now make up nearly 17
percent of King’s population
6
Total population 45,286 8.00% 27,610 4.50% 148,929 12.70% 48,920 3.70%
Pop. of color 24,240 13.40% 11,152 5.40% 193,802 69.00% 40,009 8.40%
White, non-Hispanic pop. 21,046 5.50% 16,458 4.10% -44,873 -5.00% 8,911 1.10%
Pop. under 18 yrs. of age 5,686 6.50% 6,917 7.40% 17,170 5.70% 4,723 1.50%
Pop. of color under 18 896 2.10% 1,399 3.20% 59,062 63.80% 10,150 6.70%
White, non-Hispanic pop. under 18 4,790 10.70% 5,518 11.20% -41,892 -19.90% -5,427 -3.20%
Population Growth in Seattle Pop. Growth in Remainder of King Co.
2000–2010 2010 to 2011–2013
Census ACS
2000–2010 2010 to 2011–2013
Census ACS
Age by Nativity and Citizenship
Status (Hispanic or Latino)
Latinos under 18 only
represents 1.6% of the
Seattle’s population
and 24% of Latinos
Latino immigrant
families with children
have the higher risk of
marginalization
7
Total: 42,490
Native 28,694
Foreign born: 13,796
Naturalized U.S. citizen 4,229
Not a U.S. citizen 9,567
Under 18 years: 10,319
Native 9,519
Foreign born: 800
Naturalized U.S. citizen 181
Not a U.S. citizen 619
18 years and over: 32,171
Native 19,175
Foreign born: 12,996
Naturalized U.S. citizen 4,048
Not a U.S. citizen 8,948
Hispanic or Latino by Specific
Origin
2015 Seattle Error
Total: 653,017
Not Hispanic or Latino 610,527 +/-2,428
Hispanic or Latino: 42,490 +/-2,426
Mexican 25,577 +/-2,078
Puerto Rican 2,791 +/-561
Cuban 1,320 +/-454
Central American: 4,935 +/-816
Guatemalan 1,041 +/-311
Salvadoran 2,238 +/-761
South American: 3,535 +/-502
Chilean 657 +/-240
Colombian 893 +/-266
Peruvian 617 +/-232
Other Hispanic or Latino: 3,897 +/-565
Spaniard 1,859 +/-404
60% from Mexico
25 categories of origin
between Latinos
16,913 are not from
Mexico
13,796 foreign born
8
Is Seattle Diverse?
• King County is more diverse
• Gentrification is affecting many of Seattle’s
traditional diverse neighborhoods
• Inclusion remains challenge. More than
diversity and numerical representation,
inclusion requires authentic and
empowered participation and a true sense
of belonging
• Inclusion provides shared opportunities
9
Economic Cycles or 3 Bubbles
10
1. Dotcom Bubble
2. Real Estate Bubble
3. Tech Bubble
Low inventory single
family houses
The Number of Households Has Increased at
the Highest and Lowest Income Levels
11
While the number of households at
middle income level has declined
• Multi-Family Growth: 158,000 units ACS 2014 (3+)
□ 2005 – 2015: 47,000 multi-family and mixed used permits
□ 2015 – 2018: 19,000 permits
12
Source: K&M Real Estate Market Review 2016 report
Increase in Multifamily and
Mixed Use Buildings
How do these Trends Affect the
Latino Community in Seattle?
67.3% lived in multifamily
units in 2010. 64.5% in
2015 (48% white)
75.2 % were renters in
2010. 73.5 in 2015 (50%
White).
Latino single family
renters have the higher
risk of marginalization
13

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Seattle Demographic Trends

  • 1. Current Demographic Trends in SPU’s Service Area Luis Hillon Economic Services February 2 2017
  • 2. Seattle Is Getting Whiter Seattle Times, October 27, 2014 2 In 2013, 67 percent of the city’s population was non-Hispanic white — that’s up from 65.2 percent the previous year. The uptick means Seattle is now whiter than it was back in 2010
  • 3. Not really 3 HISPANIC OR LATINO AND RACE 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Total population 684,443 668,337 652,429 634,541 620,778 610,710 Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 6.30% 6.20% 6.40% 7.30% 6.10% 6.00% White alone 66.00% 66.20% 67.00% 65.20% 65.90% 66.10% Black or African American alone 7.20% 6.90% 6.90% 7.10% 7.30% 7.90% Asian alone 14.00% 13.90% 13.30% 14.60% 15.40% 14.50% Two or more races 5.50% 5.40% 5.40% 4.90% 4.40% 4.30% One year change doesn’t indicate a trend American Community Survey – Margin of error Baseline – Compare to similar geographies
  • 4. Analysis of the Residential Mobility of Racial Minorities 4 In 1980 the black population was strongly concentrated in southern parts of Seattle, but since then they have migrated further south. Segregation within Integration: Exploring Micro-Level Segregation in Seattle’s Integrated Tracts Using Spatial and Qualitative Analysis.
  • 5. Micro-Level Segregation 5 Seattle Housing Authority Columbia City was named the most diverse ZIP code in the country.
  • 6. Population Growth Washington added more than 425,000 residents from 2010 to 2015, and people of color account for nearly three-quarters of that. Latinos made the largest population gains statewide of any group — an increase of about 117,000. In King County, Asians — not Hispanics — increased in number far more than any other group. Asians now make up nearly 17 percent of King’s population 6 Total population 45,286 8.00% 27,610 4.50% 148,929 12.70% 48,920 3.70% Pop. of color 24,240 13.40% 11,152 5.40% 193,802 69.00% 40,009 8.40% White, non-Hispanic pop. 21,046 5.50% 16,458 4.10% -44,873 -5.00% 8,911 1.10% Pop. under 18 yrs. of age 5,686 6.50% 6,917 7.40% 17,170 5.70% 4,723 1.50% Pop. of color under 18 896 2.10% 1,399 3.20% 59,062 63.80% 10,150 6.70% White, non-Hispanic pop. under 18 4,790 10.70% 5,518 11.20% -41,892 -19.90% -5,427 -3.20% Population Growth in Seattle Pop. Growth in Remainder of King Co. 2000–2010 2010 to 2011–2013 Census ACS 2000–2010 2010 to 2011–2013 Census ACS
  • 7. Age by Nativity and Citizenship Status (Hispanic or Latino) Latinos under 18 only represents 1.6% of the Seattle’s population and 24% of Latinos Latino immigrant families with children have the higher risk of marginalization 7 Total: 42,490 Native 28,694 Foreign born: 13,796 Naturalized U.S. citizen 4,229 Not a U.S. citizen 9,567 Under 18 years: 10,319 Native 9,519 Foreign born: 800 Naturalized U.S. citizen 181 Not a U.S. citizen 619 18 years and over: 32,171 Native 19,175 Foreign born: 12,996 Naturalized U.S. citizen 4,048 Not a U.S. citizen 8,948
  • 8. Hispanic or Latino by Specific Origin 2015 Seattle Error Total: 653,017 Not Hispanic or Latino 610,527 +/-2,428 Hispanic or Latino: 42,490 +/-2,426 Mexican 25,577 +/-2,078 Puerto Rican 2,791 +/-561 Cuban 1,320 +/-454 Central American: 4,935 +/-816 Guatemalan 1,041 +/-311 Salvadoran 2,238 +/-761 South American: 3,535 +/-502 Chilean 657 +/-240 Colombian 893 +/-266 Peruvian 617 +/-232 Other Hispanic or Latino: 3,897 +/-565 Spaniard 1,859 +/-404 60% from Mexico 25 categories of origin between Latinos 16,913 are not from Mexico 13,796 foreign born 8
  • 9. Is Seattle Diverse? • King County is more diverse • Gentrification is affecting many of Seattle’s traditional diverse neighborhoods • Inclusion remains challenge. More than diversity and numerical representation, inclusion requires authentic and empowered participation and a true sense of belonging • Inclusion provides shared opportunities 9
  • 10. Economic Cycles or 3 Bubbles 10 1. Dotcom Bubble 2. Real Estate Bubble 3. Tech Bubble Low inventory single family houses
  • 11. The Number of Households Has Increased at the Highest and Lowest Income Levels 11 While the number of households at middle income level has declined
  • 12. • Multi-Family Growth: 158,000 units ACS 2014 (3+) □ 2005 – 2015: 47,000 multi-family and mixed used permits □ 2015 – 2018: 19,000 permits 12 Source: K&M Real Estate Market Review 2016 report Increase in Multifamily and Mixed Use Buildings
  • 13. How do these Trends Affect the Latino Community in Seattle? 67.3% lived in multifamily units in 2010. 64.5% in 2015 (48% white) 75.2 % were renters in 2010. 73.5 in 2015 (50% White). Latino single family renters have the higher risk of marginalization 13