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How Much can I Pay for
a New Prospect or
Customer per Order?
Hubert de Cartier – Universem
10h00 – 10h30
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 Co-Founder of Universem
 A big passion for Digital Marketing
 … and Web Analytics
About me …
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51 millions websites added in 2012
Source: Internet 2012 in numbers, Pingdom
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71% of businesses plan to increase
digital marketing budgets this year
Source: 71% of businesses plan to increase digital marketing budgets this year: report
Econsultancy, 2013
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 Determine maximum Cost Per Acquisition
(CPA) for 3 cases:
 A lead generation website
 An e-commerce website
 A SAAS business
Overview
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Solar4You: lead generation case
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 Average solar panel installation: 25,000 €
 Margin on each installation: 10%
 2,500 € for a new contract
 One contact/prospect on twenty leads to
a contract (Offline conversion rate)
125 € for a new prospect
Solar4You: lead generation case
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 125 € per prospect: key information
for running AdWords campaigns!
 Use it for your conversion values and
calculate easily your ROI
 If you have a 3% online conversion rate on,
you can bid up to:
Maximum CPC = 125€ * 3% = 3,75 €
Solar4You: lead generation case
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 The Traffic Estimator by Google Adwords
Solar4You: lead generation case
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Solar4You: lead generation case
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Solar4You: lead generation case
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 On a monthly basis:
Around 700 clicks
Around 20 leads
Around 1 solar panel installation sold!
Solar4You: lead generation case
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 Summary:
Average customer value
* Average margin
* Online conversion rate
* Offline conversion rate
--------------------------------
= Maximum cost for a visit
NB: we consider all visits with same quality
Solar4You: lead generation case
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Bioticas: e-commerce case
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 Average order size: 80€ (excl. VAT)
 Margin on each order: 15%
 12 € margin per order
 Online Conversion rate: 3%
Maximum 0,36 € per visit
Bioticas: e-commerce case
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 Traffic estimator
 Magnesium pills against stress
 Several keywords in France, Belgium
& Luxemburg around anti-stress topic
Bioticas: e-commerce case
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What if we could bid more?
Bioticas: e-commerce case
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 Consider Lifetime Value:
Bioticas: e-commerce case
Customer 1
Customer 2
Customer 3
Y0 Y1 Y2
Y0 Y1 Y2
Y0 Y1 Y2
 1,66 order per customer on a period of 2 years! (+66%)
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 Consider Word of Mouth
Bioticas: e-commerce case
 On average, 10 new customers lead to one more customer (+10%)
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 We can consider a new customer
value as high as
Average order size: 80€
* Lifetime Value: 1,66
* Word of mouth: 1,10
--------------------------
= Total Customer Value: 146,08€
Bioticas: e-commerce case
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 Average order size: 80€ (excl. VAT)
Total customer value: 146,08€
 Margin on each customer: 15%
 21,91 € margin per customer (12€)
 Conversion rate on the website: 3%
Maximum 0,66 € per visit (0,36€)
Bioticas: e-commerce case
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Bidding more leads to more clicks
Bioticas: e-commerce case
+82% CPC max, +105% clicks
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 Summary:
 Focusing only on one order can lead to
missed opportunities
 Post sales promotion are important to
increase Lifetime Value
 Customers’ data are essential for success
Bioticas: e-commerce case
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Mailjet: SAAS business case
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 Software As A Service – SAAS characteristics for
Mailjet:
 Monthly recurring revenues
 Freemium model
 High growth
 3 currencies and 4 languages
Reminder: all data are only there for illustration
Mailjet: SAAS business case
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 From a visit to a good customer: many steps!
1. Lots of visits
2. Freemium users  Signed up on Mailjet
3. Active users  Sent at least one email
4. First time paying users
5. Holy Grail: Recurring customers  !
Mailjet: SAAS business case
10%
50%
30%
70%
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 The conversion funnel:
Mailjet: SAAS business case
10%
50%
30%
70%
Visits
Freemium users
Active users
First time
customers
Recurring
customers
1000
100
50
15
10,5
P27
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 Defining your maximum CPA, parameters:
 Monthly Recurring Revenues (MRR): 50€
 Gross margin: 75%
 Churn rate: 3% as opposed to retention rate (97%)
Mailjet: SAAS business case
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 Example of a cohort analysis for Mailjet
Mailjet: SAAS business case
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Lifetime value = MRR * Gross margin *
Mailjet: SAAS business case
1
Churn rate
Lifetime value = 50€ * 75% *
= 1250€
A customer uses Mailjet 33,33 months on average
1
3%
P30
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 Two key guidelines for SAAS startups:
Lifetime value > 3* CPA
Months to recover CPA < 12 months
 Max CPA for Mailjet = 417€
Inspired by http://www.forentrepreneurs.com/saas-metrics/
Mailjet: SAAS business case
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 With a global conversion rate of 1%, you should
pay less than 4,17€ for each visit on Mailjet.com
 But conversion rates are varying hugely
depending on:
 Traffic source
 Location
 Awareness of your product in the market
 Timing
 …
Mailjet: SAAS business case
P32
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Mailjet: SAAS business case
P33
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CPA and CPC calculation tool
http://toolbox.universem.be
P34
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1. Determine how much you can pay for a new
customer/prospect
2. Measure and calculate your ROI with simple
maths depending on your business model
3. Take actions and enlarge your horizon to find
great ideas for your business while always
using data to confirm your new initiatives.
Conclusions
P35
SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013
Contact me at
contact@universem.be
http://www.universem.be
@Universem
http://www.facebook.com/Universem
Thanks for listening!

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Search University 2013: How Much can I Pay for a New Prospect or Customer per Order?

  • 1. P0 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013 How Much can I Pay for a New Prospect or Customer per Order? Hubert de Cartier – Universem 10h00 – 10h30
  • 2. P1 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Co-Founder of Universem  A big passion for Digital Marketing  … and Web Analytics About me …
  • 3. P2 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013 51 millions websites added in 2012 Source: Internet 2012 in numbers, Pingdom
  • 4. P3 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013 71% of businesses plan to increase digital marketing budgets this year Source: 71% of businesses plan to increase digital marketing budgets this year: report Econsultancy, 2013
  • 5. P4 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Determine maximum Cost Per Acquisition (CPA) for 3 cases:  A lead generation website  An e-commerce website  A SAAS business Overview
  • 7. P6 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Average solar panel installation: 25,000 €  Margin on each installation: 10%  2,500 € for a new contract  One contact/prospect on twenty leads to a contract (Offline conversion rate) 125 € for a new prospect Solar4You: lead generation case
  • 8. P7 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  125 € per prospect: key information for running AdWords campaigns!  Use it for your conversion values and calculate easily your ROI  If you have a 3% online conversion rate on, you can bid up to: Maximum CPC = 125€ * 3% = 3,75 € Solar4You: lead generation case
  • 9. P8 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  The Traffic Estimator by Google Adwords Solar4You: lead generation case
  • 10. P9 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013 Solar4You: lead generation case
  • 12. P11 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  On a monthly basis: Around 700 clicks Around 20 leads Around 1 solar panel installation sold! Solar4You: lead generation case
  • 13. P12 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Summary: Average customer value * Average margin * Online conversion rate * Offline conversion rate -------------------------------- = Maximum cost for a visit NB: we consider all visits with same quality Solar4You: lead generation case
  • 15. P14 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Average order size: 80€ (excl. VAT)  Margin on each order: 15%  12 € margin per order  Online Conversion rate: 3% Maximum 0,36 € per visit Bioticas: e-commerce case
  • 16. P15 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Traffic estimator  Magnesium pills against stress  Several keywords in France, Belgium & Luxemburg around anti-stress topic Bioticas: e-commerce case
  • 17. P16 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013 What if we could bid more? Bioticas: e-commerce case
  • 18. P17 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Consider Lifetime Value: Bioticas: e-commerce case Customer 1 Customer 2 Customer 3 Y0 Y1 Y2 Y0 Y1 Y2 Y0 Y1 Y2  1,66 order per customer on a period of 2 years! (+66%)
  • 19. P18 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Consider Word of Mouth Bioticas: e-commerce case  On average, 10 new customers lead to one more customer (+10%)
  • 20. P19 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  We can consider a new customer value as high as Average order size: 80€ * Lifetime Value: 1,66 * Word of mouth: 1,10 -------------------------- = Total Customer Value: 146,08€ Bioticas: e-commerce case
  • 21. P20 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Average order size: 80€ (excl. VAT) Total customer value: 146,08€  Margin on each customer: 15%  21,91 € margin per customer (12€)  Conversion rate on the website: 3% Maximum 0,66 € per visit (0,36€) Bioticas: e-commerce case
  • 22. P21 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013 Bidding more leads to more clicks Bioticas: e-commerce case +82% CPC max, +105% clicks
  • 23. P22 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Summary:  Focusing only on one order can lead to missed opportunities  Post sales promotion are important to increase Lifetime Value  Customers’ data are essential for success Bioticas: e-commerce case
  • 25. P24 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Software As A Service – SAAS characteristics for Mailjet:  Monthly recurring revenues  Freemium model  High growth  3 currencies and 4 languages Reminder: all data are only there for illustration Mailjet: SAAS business case
  • 26. P25 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  From a visit to a good customer: many steps! 1. Lots of visits 2. Freemium users  Signed up on Mailjet 3. Active users  Sent at least one email 4. First time paying users 5. Holy Grail: Recurring customers  ! Mailjet: SAAS business case 10% 50% 30% 70%
  • 27. P26 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  The conversion funnel: Mailjet: SAAS business case 10% 50% 30% 70% Visits Freemium users Active users First time customers Recurring customers 1000 100 50 15 10,5
  • 28. P27 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Defining your maximum CPA, parameters:  Monthly Recurring Revenues (MRR): 50€  Gross margin: 75%  Churn rate: 3% as opposed to retention rate (97%) Mailjet: SAAS business case
  • 29. P28 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Example of a cohort analysis for Mailjet Mailjet: SAAS business case
  • 30. P29 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013 Lifetime value = MRR * Gross margin * Mailjet: SAAS business case 1 Churn rate Lifetime value = 50€ * 75% * = 1250€ A customer uses Mailjet 33,33 months on average 1 3%
  • 31. P30 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  Two key guidelines for SAAS startups: Lifetime value > 3* CPA Months to recover CPA < 12 months  Max CPA for Mailjet = 417€ Inspired by http://www.forentrepreneurs.com/saas-metrics/ Mailjet: SAAS business case
  • 32. P31 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013  With a global conversion rate of 1%, you should pay less than 4,17€ for each visit on Mailjet.com  But conversion rates are varying hugely depending on:  Traffic source  Location  Awareness of your product in the market  Timing  … Mailjet: SAAS business case
  • 34. P33 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013 CPA and CPC calculation tool http://toolbox.universem.be
  • 35. P34 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013 1. Determine how much you can pay for a new customer/prospect 2. Measure and calculate your ROI with simple maths depending on your business model 3. Take actions and enlarge your horizon to find great ideas for your business while always using data to confirm your new initiatives. Conclusions
  • 36. P35 SEARCH UNIVERSITY 2013 Contact me at contact@universem.be http://www.universem.be @Universem http://www.facebook.com/Universem Thanks for listening!