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1
Scaling Business for
Management
Consultants & Managers
A practical guide on how to scale businesses in
practice fast and efficiently
2
If you have managed to build a successful business that is also profitable, at some point you
will start thinking about scaling your business and drastically growing its size and profits.
3
This will require a different approach than the everyday management of the business.
You need different frameworks to scale fast & efficiently the business.
4
In this course, I will teach you how to find ways to scale the business fast &
efficiently. I will also show you how to prepare the organization for scaling.
5
Target Group What you will learn What you will get
 Management Consultants &
Business Analysts
 Mangers
 CEO
 Directors
 How to scale different areas of
your firm
 How to identify the biggest
bottlenecks preventing you from
scaling
 How to estimate the speed of
scaling
 How to design your scaling process
 Ready made frameworks for
scaling
 Ready made analyses in Excel
 List of Recommended readings
(articles, books)
6
Process of scaling Scaling Sales & Margin
What scaling means
Scaling Recruitment &
Training
Scaling Operations
Useful supporting
techniques
Scaling Training in
Consulting Firm
Scaling Consulting Business
7
This course will help you fast and efficiently
scale your business on the level of top
management consultants
8
What you will see in this presentation is a part of my online course where you
can find case studies showing analyses along with detailed calculations in Excel
Scaling Business for Management
Consultants & Managers
$190
$19
Click here to check my course
9
What scaling means
10
What scaling means –
Introduction
11
Scaling can mean a lot of things. For some, it is simply growing sales. For others, it will be
around scaling profit. In this section, we will discuss what we mean by scaling the business.
12
3 areas you have to scale
What can stop you from
scaling
Scaling definition
Removing bottlenecks –
case studies
Theory of constraints and
bottlenecks
How to increase production
capacity – case study
In this section we will talk about the following things
13
Scaling definition
14
Let’s start with a short definition
 The process of increasing significantly the profit, in a sustainable way
 Scaling should be done by design and not rely on luck
 For most cases, we will look at increasing EBITDA
 Scaling usually will require scaling not only sales but also scaling other
areas
Scaling =
15
After
20
40
100
Before
10
10
10
We will often use the 2x, 4x, or 10x. This will mean that we increase the
size of the business 2, 4, 10 times.
2x
4x
10x
16
Check the video on YouTube for more details
Click here to go to the video
17
3 areas you have to scale
18
There will be 3 areas that you have to scale to scale the profit
Scaling
Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training
Operations
19
On top of that, you have to make sure that you control the costs
Scaling
Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training
Operations
Cost Reduction
20
Let’s see what options we have in those 3 areas
Scaling
Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training
Scaling Products
Scaling Customers
Scaling Brands
Retain Current Employees
Train faster and more
efficiently
Increase the pool of potential
candidates
Scaling Markets
Operations
Improve efficiency of existing
assets
Add assets
Change technology
Add partners Change technology
M&A of firms
Scaling Distribution
Add products that requires
less assets
Outsourcing
21
There are some things that have to be in place before you start scaling
Unit economics
Standardize and implement
best practices
Money for scaling
Big enough problem
Long term thinking
Product-market fit
22
Check the video on YouTube for more details
Click here to go to the video
23
What can stop you from
scaling
24
There will be always something stopping you from scaling. In other words, one
of the areas will be a bottleneck
Scaling
Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training
Operations
25
Let’s imagine that you want to 5x the business. You have to check what growth
you can achieve with the current setup
Scaling
Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training
Operations
2x 4x 10x
26
As you can see it seems that sales are the bottleneck as we can only scale here
2x
2x 4x 10x
Scaling
Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training
Operations
27
If we work on this bottleneck and improve it, a new bottleneck will appear in
Operations where we can only 4x the business
5x 4x 10x
Scaling
Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training
Operations
28
In the next lectures, we will have a look at a case study that will help us
understand this concept
Scaling Beer Business
29
What can stop you from scaling
– Case Introduction
30
Let’s have a look at how a beer producer can scale the business and
eliminate the obstacles, limits that may appear during this process.
31
The company is based in Czech Republic
The company's annual sales in liters of beer
are 300 M
The CEO of the company considers scaling
the business
A few information about the firm
Let’s define what can potentially stop the
company from scaling
32
Below you have the current situation mapped
300
500
600
Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training
Beer business potential in following areas
In million of liters
The scale of the business
we can achieve
xxx Total capacity of the area
33
Let’s have look at the description of possible steps
Scaling sales on current
markets
 Add new products – new flavors
 Add new brands – 0% beer
 Acquire new customers – beer
for women
Description Which Area it Impacts
Additional Capacity in this area
In M of liters of beer
 Sales  350
Scaling markets
 Start selling in different
countries
 Sales  550
Scaling existing operations
 Change production process
 Optimize processes
 Add new partners
 Operations  200
Building new factory
 Build new factory  Operations  300
Scaling recruitment & training
 Recruit new professionals
 Open offices in different city
 Attract new employees
 Recruitment & Training  200
34
What can stop you from scaling
– Solution
35
Just as a reminder we want to help scale a beer producer based in
Czechia. We will look at the step by step scaling of the business
36
A few information about the firm
The company is based in Czech Republic
The company's annual sales in liters of beer
are 300 M
The CEO of the company considers scaling
the business
Let’s define what can potentially stop the
company from scaling
37
From previous lectures we know, that one of the reasons the company
can't scale the business is that it faces a bottleneck
300
500
600
Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training
Beer business potential in following areas
In million of liters
The scale of the business
we can achieve
xxx Total capacity of the area
38
Let’s see how the company should eliminate the bottleneck that affects
the potential development of the following business areas
300
500
600
350
Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training
Beer business potential in following areas
In million of liters
 Add new products – new flavors
 Add new brands – 0% beer
 Acquire new customers – beer
for women
How we can change it?
650
The scale of the business
we can achieve
xxx Total capacity of the area
39
Let’s see how the company should eliminate the bottleneck that affects
the potential development of the following business areas
300
500
600
350
200
Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training
Beer business potential in following areas
In million of liters
 Change production process
 Optimize processes
 Add new partners
How we can change it?
650 700
The scale of the business
we can achieve
xxx Total capacity of the area
40
Let’s see how the company should eliminate the bottleneck that affects
the potential development of the following business areas
Beer business potential in following areas
In million of liters
300
500
600
350
200
200
Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training
 Recruit new professionals
 Open offices in different city
 Attract new employees
How we can change it?
650 700 800
The scale of the business
we can achieve
xxx Total capacity of the area
41
Let’s see how the company should eliminate the bottleneck that affects
the potential development of the following business areas
Beer business potential in following areas
In million of liters
300
500
600
350
200
200
550
Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training
How we can change it?  Start selling in different
countries
1 200 700 800
The scale of the business
we can achieve
xxx Total capacity of the area
42
Let’s see how the company should eliminate the bottleneck that affects
the potential development of the following business areas
300
500
600
350
200
200
550
300
Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training
Beer business potential in following areas
In million of liters
How we can change it?  Build new factory
1 200 1 000 800
The scale of the business
we can achieve
xxx Total capacity of the area
43
What you should concentrate on
– Examples
44
Different firms, industries have to concentrate on different areas. Let’s have a
look at some examples of what is the main obstacle for different types of firms.
45
Let’s have a look a some examples
Scaling
Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training
 Procter and Gamble
 Coca – Cola
 Google
 Facebook
 McKinsey & Company
 Law Firms
 Uber
 Transportation Firms
 Procter and Gamble
 Coca – Cola
 Amazon  Amazon
 Google
 Facebook
 McKinsey & Company
 Law firms
 Uber
 Transportation Firms
FMCG
E–commerce
Marketplaces
Technology
Professional
Services
B2C Services
 Amazon
46
3 areas you have to scale
What can stop you from
scaling
Scaling definition
Removing bottlenecks –
case studies
Theory of constraints and
bottlenecks
How to increase production
capacity – case study
Just as reminder we said that we will talk about the following things
47
3 areas you have to scale
What can stop you from
scaling
Scaling definition
Removing bottlenecks –
case studies
Theory of constraints and
bottlenecks
How to increase production
capacity – case study
We know what scaling means. It’s time to concentrate on ways to
remove bottlenecks
48
In the production case study in which we will try to increase capacity in
different ways, remember that the capacity is a proxy for the scale
Scale of the business
≈
Capacity
49
Removing bottlenecks
50
Bottlenecks are dangerous as their hurt the efficiency of the whole system
51
Example 1
7 5 7
Example 2
5 10 20
Example 3
5 5 3
x Stage capacity
What is the throughput of every system and where is the bottleneck?
52
The are 4 rules that you should follow when it comes to bottlenecks
 Identify what is the bottleneck
 Increase its throughput by lowering the time needed for everything that goes
through the bottleneck
 Add new resources to bottleneck
 Adjust everything to the bottleneck – so it works at the same pace
53
Imagine that you are working in a company working in a content marketing
Research topics for a
post
Write a post Create illustration
Edit and modify
post, add illustration
and schedule
20 5 7 10
# of post that can be done in
a week by 1 person
 Speed up the writing process (faster typing,
better tools, shortcuts for the most popular
words)
xx
20 8 7 10
10 9 10 10
 Make the researcher do also par time
writing and making illustration
 We have almost doubled the production of post with the same resources
 The same principles would apply if all the activities were done only by you – in this case, it would mean that you
should not do too much research and illustration but rather improve the typing speed and match the number of
illustrations and researches to your capacity in writing
 If you have no impact on the process (you are one of the guys above just doing his own part and your boss does not
want to listen to you then simply do less – identify the bottleneck and adjust your speed to his speed.
 On the other hand if you are the bottleneck then speed up because the whole team depends on you.
54
Check the video on YouTube for more details
Click here to go to the video
55
Content marketing agency –
Introduction
56
Your friend Ivan works in a content marketing agency and wants to
improve the work of his team. Help him using the bottleneck framework
57
A few things about Ivan team
He manages 4 people
Every person specializes only in
1 area
You measure your success in
number of posts produced
58
Below you can see the production capacity for each and every stage.
1 person works on 1 stage only
Research topics for a
post
Write a post Create illustration
Edit and modify
post, add illustration
and schedule
20 7 10
# of post that can
be done in a week
by 1 person
xx
5
59
Content marketing agency –
Solution
60
Your friend Ivan works in a content marketing agency and wants to
improve the work of his team. Help him using the bottleneck framework
61
Just as a reminder a few information about the content marketing
agency
He manages 4 people
Every person specializes only in
1 area
You measure your success in
number of posts produced
62
Let’s see how we could increase production of posts
Research topics for a
post
Write a post Create illustration
Edit and modify
post, add illustration
and schedule
20 5 7 10
# of post that can be done in
a week by 1 person
 Speed up the writing process (faster typing,
better tools, shortcuts for the most popular
words)
xx
20 8 7 10
10 9 10 10
 Make the researcher do also par time
writing and making illustration
 We have almost doubled the production of post with the same resources
 The same principles would apply if all the activities were done only by you – in this case it would mean that you
should not do too much research and illustration but rather improve the typing speed and match the number of
illustration and researches to your capacity in writing
 If you have no impact on the process (you are one of the guys above just doing his own part and your boss does not
want to listen to you then simply do less – identify the bottleneck and adjust your speed to his speed.
 On the other hand if you are the bottleneck then speed up because the whole team depends on you.
63
Production Capacity Improvement –
Case Introduction
64
Now imagine that you were asked to increase the production capacity of a factory.
Try also to calculate the financial impact of the proposed scenarios.
65
A few things about the firm
The product has to go through 3
stages
1 ton of product generates USD 30 of
margin after variable costs
You want to see to what level you can
increase production
Try to also estimate the impact on the
annual EBITDA of proposed changes
66
Before we look at specific scenarios, we have to discuss 2 issues
What the production
capacity depends on?
How to calculate
monthly production
capacity
67
What the production capacity
depends on?
68
First let’s see what the production depends on assuming there is just 1
production stage
# of hours when
we were producing
=
Total number of
units produced
Units produced per
1 hour of work
x
Available time in
hours
x
% of Time used for
production
=
Total number of
units produced
Units produced per
1 hour of work
x
# of hours when
we were producing
Available time in
hours
x
% of Time used for
production
=
69
Let’s calculate a simple example
Available time in
hours
x
% of Time used for
production
=
Total number of
units produced
Units produced per
1 hour of work
x
24 x 50%
=
Total number of
units produced
10
x = 120
70
Now let’s imagine that we increase the % of Time used for production to 70%
Available time in
hours
x
% of Time used for
production
=
Total number of
units produced
Units produced per
1 hour of work
x
24 x 50%
=
Total number of
units produced
10
x = 120
24 x 70%
=
Total number of
units produced
10
x = 168
71
The same results can be achieved by increasing units producer per 1 hour of
work
Available time in
hours
x
% of Time used for
production
=
Total number of
units produced
Units produced per
1 hour of work
x
24 x 50%
=
Total number of
units produced
10
x = 120
24 x 70%
=
Total number of
units produced
10
x = 168
24 x 50%
=
Total number of
units produced
14
x = 168
72
Finally let’s see what other names we can use for this drivers of capacity
Available time in
hours
x
% of Time used for
production
=
Total number of
units produced
Units produced per
1 hour of work
x
Available time in
hours
x
Overall Equipment
Efficiency (OEE)
=
Total number of
units produced
Throughput per 1
hour
x
73
How to calculate the capacity for
the whole month
74
We said that the production depends on 3 drivers
Available time in
hours
x
% of Time used for
production
=
Total number of
units produced
Units produced per
1 hour of work
x
Available time in
hours
x
Overall Equipment
Efficiency (OEE)
=
Total number of
units produced
Throughput per 1
hour
x
75
Now let’s see how it looks like for the whole month
Available time in hours
During the month x
Overall Equipment
Efficiency (OEE)
=
Total number of units
produced during the
month
Throughput per 1 hour
x
Available time in hours
During the month =
# of days during the
month when we work x
# of working hours per
day of work
Total number of units
produced during the
month
=
# of days during the
month when we work x
# of working hours per
day of work x
Overall Equipment
Efficiency (OEE)
Throughput per 1 hour
x
76
Let’s have a look at a simple example
800 = 20 x 8 x 50% 10
x
Total number of units
produced during the
month
=
# of days during the
month when we work x
# of working hours per
day of work x
Overall Equipment
Efficiency (OEE)
Throughput per 1 hour
x
77
You can increase production by changing different drivers
800 = 20 x 8 x 50% 10
x
Total number of units
produced during the
month
=
# of days during the
month when we work x
# of working hours per
day of work x
Overall Equipment
Efficiency (OEE)
Throughput per 1 hour
x
1 200 = 30 x 8 x 50% 10
x
1 200 = 20 x 12 x 50% 10
x
1 200 = 20 x 8 x 75% 10
x
1 200 = 20 x 8 x 50% 15
x
4 050 = 30 x 12 x 75% 15
x
78
Production Capacity
Improvement – Scenarios
79
Just as a reminder a few things about the firm
The product has to go through 3
stages
1 ton of product generates USD 30 of
margin after variable costs
You want to see to what level you can
increase production
Try to also estimate the impact on the
annual EBITDA of proposed changes
80
In previous lectures we said that the monthly production depends on 4
drivers
Total number of units
produced during the
month
=
# of days during the
month when we work x
# of working hours per
day of work x
Overall Equipment
Efficiency (OEE)
Throughput per 1 hour
x
81
Let’s instead of hours and throughput per day use hours and throughput
per shift
Total number of units
produced during the
month
=
# of days during the
month when we work x
# of working hours per
day of work x
Overall Equipment
Efficiency (OEE)
Throughput per 1 hour
x
Total number of units
produced during the
month
=
# of days during the
month when we work x # of shifts per day x
Overall Equipment
Efficiency (OEE)
Throughput per 1 shift
x
82
In the case study we have 3 stages not one. So first we have to calculate
the potential capacity per stage
Total # of units going
through Stage 1 =
# of days during the
month when Stage 1
works
x
# of shifts per day for
Stage 1 x OEE for Stage 1
Throughput per 1 shift
for stage 1
x
Total # of units going
through Stage 2 =
# of days during the
month when Stage 2
works
x
# of shifts per day for
Stage 2 x OEE for Stage 2
Throughput per 1 shift
for Stage 2
x
Total # of units going
through Stage 3 =
# of days during the
month when Stage 1
works
x
# of shifts per day for
Stage 3 x OEE for Stage 3
Throughput per 1 shift
for Stage 3
x
Total # of units
Produced =
Minimal # of units
going through every
stage
83
In previous lectures we said that the monthly production depends on
number of drivers
Total # of units going
through Stage 1 = 30 x 2 x 60% 12
x
Total # of units going
through Stage 2 = 30 x 3 x 80% 10
x
Total # of units going
through Stage 3 = 30 x 3 x 60% 10
x
Total # of units
Produced =
Minimal # of units
going through every
stage
84
In previous lectures we said that the monthly production depends on
number of drivers
Total # of units going
through Stage 1 =
Total # of units going
through Stage 2 =
Total # of units going
through Stage 3 =
Total # of units
Produced = 432
432
720
540
85
In the 1st scenario assumes that you will increase OEE for stage 1
The bottleneck is the stage 1 of
production
We want to increase the production
by moving OEE
Assume that you increase OEE from
60% to 70%
The change will require capex of USD
20 K
86
In the 2nd scenario assumes that you will increase the throughput for
stage 1
The bottleneck is the stage 1 of
production
We want to increase the throughput
per shift
Assume that you increase throughput
from 10 to 16
The change will require capex of USD
30 K
87
In the 3rd scenario assumes that you will increase the number of shifts
for stage 1
The bottleneck is the stage 1 of
production
We want to increase the number of
shifts when we work
Assume that you increase the number
of shifts in stage 1
The change will require additional
Opex of USD 20 K
88
In the 4th scenario assumes that you will combine all improvements
The bottleneck is the stage 1 of
production
Combine all improvements from
scenarios 1-3
Remove the bottleneck in stage 3 –
increase throughput
The change will require additional
Opex of USD 20 K & Capex of 80 K
89
For more details and content check my online course where you can find case
studies showing analyses along with detailed calculations in Excel
Scaling Business for Management
Consultants & Managers
$190
$19
Click here to check my course
90
Process of scaling
91
Process of scaling
– Introduction
92
In this section, I will show you what process you
can use to scale your business more efficiently.
93
In this section we will talk about the following things
Backward logic – definition
How to apply backward
logic to scaling – case study
in Retail
How the process of scaling
can look like
How to apply the process
to burger chain – case
study
94
How to process of scaling can
look like
95
Let’s have a look at the process of scaling
Set a goal Use backward logic
Check capacity of
every area
Identify and remove
bottlenecks
Implement
 Set the goal which
you want to achieve
 When the goal is
known divide it into
sub-goals to make it
easier to define
what has to be
done
 Define by when you
want to achieve it
(deadline)
 Once you know the
goal and by when it
should be achieved
use backward logic
to estimate what it
implies
 Calculate what
should be the pace
of growth to
achieve the goal by
the deadline
 Define what should
be done
 Next, define how it
should be done
 Create a detailed
plan / steps to know
what resources will
be needed
 Check and measure
the capacity of the
following business
areas:
o Sales & Margin
o Operations
o Recruitment &
Training
 This exercise will
help you determine
in which business
area changes
should be made
first
 Identify bottlenecks
of the scaling (what
area is the
bottleneck)
 Create a list of
potential solutions
that will help you
deal with the
bottleneck
 Estimate the best
way (cheapest,
fastest, requiring
fewer assets) to
remove the
bottleneck
 Pick the way to
remove the
bottleneck
 Do the necessary
changes to remove
the bottlenecks
 Once you remove
the current
bottleneck start the
process from the
Check capacity of
every area stage to
find the next
bottleneck
96
Check the video on YouTube for more details
Click here to go to the video
97
Scaling Burger Chain
– Case Introduction
98
Let's imagine that you have to create a plan for how to scale the burger
business. Using information from previous lectures, prepare the draft.
99
Let’s have a look at some basic information that we know about the business
The company is based in Poland
Annual revenues are EUR 50 M and they
want to increase them to EUR 1 000 M
The firm has 20 restaurants all over the
country
The CEO of the company would like to
see the plan of scaling the business
100
Apply the framework that we have discussed
Set a goal
Use backward logic
to define the pace of
growth
Check capacity of
every area
Identify and remove
bottlenecks
Implement
 Set the goal which
you want to achieve
 When the goal is
known divide it into
sub-goals to make it
easier to define
what has to be
done
 Define by when you
want to achieve it
(deadline)
 Once you know the
goal and by when it
should be achieved
use backward logic
to estimate what it
implies
 Calculate what
should be the pace
of growth to
achieve the goal by
the deadline
 Check and measure
the capacity of the
following business
areas:
o Sales & Margin
o Operations
o Recruitment &
Training
 This exercise will
help you determine
in which business
area changes
should be made
first
 Identify bottlenecks
of the scaling (what
area is the
bottleneck)
 Create a list of
potential solutions
that will help you
deal with the
bottleneck
 Estimate the best
way (cheapest,
fastest, requiring
fewer assets) to
remove the
bottleneck
 Pick the way to
remove the
bottleneck
 Do the necessary
changes to remove
the bottlenecks
 Once you remove
the current
bottleneck start the
process from the
Check capacity of
every area stage to
find the next
bottleneck
101
Scaling Burger Chain
– Case Solution
102
Just as a reminder we have to create a plan for how to scale the burger business.
Let’s have a look at how we can adjust the general process to this situation.
103
Let’s have a look at some basic information that we know about the business
The company is based in Poland
Annual revenues are EUR 50 M and they
want to increase them to EUR 1 000 M
The firm has 20 restaurants all over the
country
The CEO of the company would like to
see the plan of scaling the business
104
Apply the framework that we have discussed
Set a goal
Use backward logic
to define the pace of
growth
Check capacity of
every area
Identify and remove
bottlenecks
Implement
 Set the goal which
you want to achieve
 When the goal is
known divide it into
sub-goals to make it
easier to define
what has to be
done
 Define by when you
want to achieve it
(deadline)
 Once you know the
goal and by when it
should be achieved
use backward logic
to estimate what it
implies
 Calculate what
should be the pace
of growth to
achieve the goal by
the deadline
 Check and measure
the capacity of the
following business
areas:
o Sales & Margin
o Operations
o Recruitment &
Training
 This exercise will
help you determine
in which business
area changes
should be made
first
 Identify bottlenecks
of the scaling (what
area is the
bottleneck)
 Create a list of
potential solutions
that will help you
deal with the
bottleneck
 Estimate what the
best way (cheapest,
fastest, requiring
fewer assets) to
remove the
bottleneck
 Pick the way to
remove the
bottleneck
 Do the necessary
changes to remove
the bottlenecks
 Once you remove
the current
bottleneck start the
process from the
Check capacity of
every area stage to
find the next
bottleneck
105
Let’s have a look how the process of scaling burger business should look like
Set a goal
Use backward logic
to define the pace of
growth
Check capacity of
every area
Identify and remove
bottlenecks
Implement
 The main
company’s goal is to
increase revenues
from EUR 50 M to
EUR 1 000 M in 10
years from now
 The firm has to
grow almost 10x.
This means that it
has to add almost
EUR 100 M every
year
 Since 1 restaurant
generated EUR 2.5
M it means that you
have to open every
year 40 restaurants
 Part of the growth
may be achieved by
Increasing revenue
per 1 restaurant
 If you assume
growth per 1
restaurant check
the implications
 Burger chain will
most likely have a
limited capacity in 2
areas
o Operations
o Recruitment &
Training
To identify
bottlenecks:
 Check what stops
you from opening
more restaurants
(too high costs of
opening, lack of
money for Capex,
lack of shopping
malls, lack of
machines, etc.)
 Check what stops
you from hiring
and training
people (lack of
people on the
market, too low
salaries, too many
people per 1
restaurant)
If the problems were in
operations removing
bottleneck could mean
 Revise Capex and
specification of the
store to make it
cheaper
 Find money to
finance growth
 Create new
concepts for
suburbs
 Build own
standalone stores
 Consider Shop in
Shops
 Take over existing
chain
 Find a new supplier
of machines
106
Backward reasoning
107
Imagine that you were supposed to say how much you have to
spend to create a company that has revenue of $ 100 M dollar
Imagine that you were supposed to say how much you have to
spend to create a company that has revenue of $ 100 M dollar
108
You could use for that the so called backward reasoning
CC: Flickr; Cycle Track
109
Imagine that you were supposed to say how much you have to spend to
create a company that has revenue of $ 100 M dollar
Total Costs
$ 400 M
Cost of 1 lead
$ 2 K
# of leads
200 K
÷
% Conversion
10%
x # of customers
20 K
Average revenue
per customer
$ 5 K
Revenues
$ 100 M
x
110
Check the video on YouTube for more details
Click here to go to the video
111
Backward logic based decisions –
Case Introduction
112
Let’s try to put the backward reasoning to practice. In this case study we will
use it to decide what effort has to be done to 10x the current business
113
A few information about the retailer
He has currently 100 stores. Each store
sales are equal to EUR 2 M
He wants to 10x the business up to
Year 5
Estimate what LFL growth he must get
and how many stores he must open
Assuming EUR 1 M per store estimate
the Capex
Estimate how many people he has to
recruit assuming 6 people per store
114
Backward logic based decisions –
When it makes sense to use it
115
Backward logic can be used in many situations. Below some of them
You have a clear goal in the future
but not a clear path towards it
You want to estimate the pace
needed to reach the goal
You want to check the implications
for you or your department
You want to see what are the
limitations preventing you from
reaching the goal
You want to see whether the goal is
not too ambitious
You want to see whether the goal
does not require too big resources
116
Why we need frameworks for
scaling
117
Scaling Sales & Margin
118
Scaling Sales & Margin –
Introduction
119
In this section, we will discuss how
you can Scale Sales & Marketing.
120
Just as a reminder scaling the business requires scaling 3 areas and controlling
costs
Scaling
Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training
Operations
Cost Reduction
121
In this section, we will talk about Scaling Sales & Margin as well as Cost
Reduction
Scaling
Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training
Operations
Cost Reduction
122
In Scaling Sales & Margin we had 5 different options
Scaling
Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training
Scaling Products
Scaling Customers
Scaling Brands
Retain Current Employees
Train faster and more
efficiency
Increase the pool of potential
candidates
Scaling Markets
Operations
Improve efficiency of existing
assets
Add assets
Change technology
Add partners Change technology
M&A of firms
Scaling Distribution
Add products that requires
less assets
Outsourcing
123
We will discuss scaling Sales & Margin but for that, we will use 2 case studies
Cosmetics Firm Retail business
124
In this section we will talk about the following things
Increase sales framework –
Retail & B2B Services
Cost reduction framework
Increase sales framework –
consumer goods
Examples how to use the
frameworks in practice
Increasing margins
framework – Retail & B2C
Services
Case studies of firms
scaling sales
125
General Framework for Scaling
Sales
126
Let’s have a look at scaling sales framework
Scaling sales
Scaling Distribution
Create new istribution
points – exising
channels
Create new distribution
channels
M&A of distribution
firms
Scaling Products
Expande existing
products
Create new (for us) but
known products
Create totally new
products
Scaling Customers
Get bigger share in
exisitng customers
Get new customers in
existing segments
Get new customers in
new segments
Scaling Brands
Create new brands for
exisitng customers
Create new brands for
new customers
M&A of brands
Scaling Markets
Penetrate current
markets
Increase the size of the
market
M&A firms from
existing markets
Acquire ready-made
products
M&A firms from new
markets
Enter organically new
markets
127
Increasing sales framework –
Consumer Goods
128
Let’s have a look at the general framework we can use to increase sales
in consumer goods
Increase sales
Increase Distribution Increase Product Range Price & Discount Policy
Increase demand for
your product
Bigger share on the shelves in
the current distribution
Better penetration of existing
channels
Enter new channels
Enter new markets (regions,
countries)
New products within existing
categories
New categories within
existing brands
New brands
Changing price structure
Changing discount policy
Changing prices formula
Increase consumption per
capita
Shorten the lifespan of the
product
Find new customers
129
Check the video on YouTube for more details
Click here to go to the video
130
Increasing sales framework –
Retail & B2C Services
131
Let’s have a look at the general framework we can use to increase sales
in Retail and B2C Services
Increase sales
New stores LFL / same store growth New Brands New Channels
Build faster more stores
Create new formats within
existing brand
Enter new markets (regions,
countries)
Bring more traffic to existing
stores
Improve % conversion
Increases Average Transaction
Value (ATV)
Create new retail brands for
the same segment but within
the same product range
Create new retail brands for
different segments but within
the same product range
Create totally new retail
concept (different product
and segment)
Own online
Marketplaces and other
online stores
Franchising
Wholesaling
Increase selling space within
existing stores
132
Cost reduction framework
133
Let’s have a look at the general framework we can use to cut costs
Cut costs
Reduce usage Automate
Optimize process and
costs
Renegotiate contracts
Eliminate fully certain
expenses
Change specification – use less
of certain thing
Change specification – use
cheaper substitute
Standardized the process
using the best practice
Automate with software
Automate with machine
Simplify and optimize
processes
Replace Opex with capex
(analyze Opex vs capex
tradeoff)
Make it or buy it analyses and
if needed outsource or buy
outside
Renegotiate contracts with
current suppliers
Change the supplier
Change the form of using (i.e.
owing something instead of
leasing)
134
Check the video on YouTube for more details
Click here to go to the video
135
Increasing margins framework –
Retail & B2C Services
136
Let’s have a look at the general framework we can use to increase
margins in Retail & B2C Services
Increase gross margin
Improve space
productivity
Renegotiate contracts Price & Discount Policy Private Labels (PL)
Increase the space devoted to
more profitable products
Change the store layout to
have the best sellers in the
best places
Cross-selling of higher margin
products
Renegotiate contracts with
current suppliers
Change the supplier
Get additional money / back
margin from suppliers
Changing price structure
Changing discount policy
Sell more in 1st price (full
prices)
Increase the share of the PL In
a specific category
Introduce PL in new categories
Promote PL outside your retail
channels
137
How to increase the profitability for
cosmetics producer – Problem
138
Imagine that you are working for a cosmetics producers. And you have
to increase his profitability
2 brands. 1 stong in Poland the
other in Romania
No e-commerce
Penetration in some regions is
stronger than in others
Has 2 Head Quarters (in Romania
and in Poland) and 4 factories
Every factory has different supplier
base and buys independently
139
Divide your answer into 2 fields
Increase sales Cut costs
140
How to increase the profitability for
cosmetics producer – Sales Increase
141
Let’s have a look how we can increase sales in the cosmetics
Increase sales of
cosmetics
Increase distribution Increase Product Range Price & Discount Policy
Increase demand for
your cosmetics
Add e-commerce
Improve sales in the regions in
which you are under-
represented
Enter other new channels or
enter new markets (regions,
countries)
Increase your shelf space
within the existing partners
Consider introducing the
Polish brand in Romania and
Romanian brand in Poland
Add new products within
existing categories
Add new categories within
existing brands
Changing price structure. Look
at the prices vs competitors
Changing discount policy used
toward channels
Changing pricing for specific
channels
Increase consumption per
capita
Find new segments of
customers i.e. different age
groups / men
Find new customers
142
How to increase the profitability for
cosmetics producer – Cost Reduction
143
Let’s have a look how you can cut costs in a cosmetics producer
Cut costs
Improve factories Standardize the product
Reduce head offices
costs
Renegotiate contracts
Optimize process in the
factories using best practices
lean manufacturing, TOC
Consider consolidating the
production in smaller number
of factories
Automate production if
necessary
Check how similar the
products are
Standardize materials or
products
Create 1 universal version for
all markets
Go through the Head Offices
costs and organizational chart
and check the overlaps
Consolidate some functions in
1 place and reduce FTE
Get best practices and
implement them in both
Consolidate purchases of main
materials in 1 -2 places
Consolidate suppliers
Renegotiate contracts with
current suppliers or get new
ones
Simplify and optimize
processes at the head-office
144
How to increase the profitability of
a retail chain – Problem
145
Imagine that you are working for a fashion discounter that operates a
retail chain in Easter Europe
Sells mainly cheap fashion, toys and
small items for the home
No e-commerce
Competes with other low cost
discounters and hypermarkets
146
Let’s have a look at some KPIs for the firm you are advising and their
competitor
Size
Profitability
Pace of growth
Cash
generation
Debt level
 Revenues
 % EBITDA
 % Gross Margin
 # of new stores
 LFL Growth
 Cash to EBITDA ratio,
 Inventory in DOS
 Payables in DOS
 Debt to EBITDA ratio
Your Customer Competitor 1 Competitor 2
 USD 2 000 M
 8%
 45%
 30
 2%
 50%
 140
 70
 5.5
 USD 1 000 M
 15%
 55%
 10
 5%
 55%
 90
 150
 1
 USD 3 000 M
 17%
 57%
 100
 5%
 40%
 120
 200
 2
Costs
 Head office as % of Sales
 Average # of employees per
managers and directors
 # of managers and directors
 11%
 4
 80
 7%
 6
 30
 8%
 10
 70
147
Divide your answer into 2 fields
Increase sales & Margin Cut costs
148
How to increase the profitability of a
retail chain – Solution – Sales Increase
149
Just as a reminder you are working for a fashion discounter that
operates a retail chain in Easter Europe
Sells mainly cheap fashion, toys and
small items for the home
No e-commerce
Competes with other low cost
discounters and hypermarkets
150
Let’s first start by analyzing the sales and margin increase
Increase sales & Margin Cut costs
151
Let’s have a look at some KPIs for the firm you are advising and their
competitor
Size
Profitability
Pace of growth
Cash
generation
Debt level
 Revenues
 % EBITDA
 % Gross Margin
 # of new stores
 LFL Growth
 Cash to EBITDA ratio,
 Inventory in DOS
 Payables in DOS
 Debt to EBITDA ratio
Your Customer Competitor 1 Competitor 2
 USD 2 000 M
 8%
 45%
 30
 2%
 50%
 140
 70
 5.5
 USD 1 000 M
 15%
 55%
 10
 5%
 55%
 90
 150
 1
 USD 3 000 M
 17%
 57%
 100
 5%
 40%
 120
 200
 2
Costs
 Head office as % of Sales
 Average # of employees per
managers and directors
 # of managers and directors
 11%
 4
 80
 7%
 6
 30
 8%
 10
 70
152
Let’s have a look how we can increase sales and margin for our
customer
Increase sales & margin
Open more new stores
Find ways to increase LFL
sales
Expand some categories Gross Margin
Build faster more stores in
existing markets – 2x or 3x
Enter new markets (regions,
countries)
Create new formats if needed
Bring more traffic to existing
stores
Improve % conversion
Increases Average Transaction
Value (ATV)
Check sales and margin
densities per category
Consider expanding some
categories
Consider totally new
categories for the same target
group
Renegotiate with suppliers
Do value engineering
Look for cheaper suppliers
Consolidate some products or
suppliers
Increase selling space within
existing stores
153
How to increase the profitability of a
retail chain – Solution – Cost Reduction
154
Just as a reminder you are working for a fashion discounter that
operates a retail chain in Easter Europe
Sells mainly cheap fashion, toys and
small items for the home
No e-commerce
Competes with other low cost
discounters and hypermarkets
155
Let’s first have a look at how to cut costs
Increase sales & Margin Cut costs
156
Let’s have a look at some KPIs for the firm you are advising and their
competitor
Size
Profitability
Pace of growth
Cash
generation
Debt level
 Revenues
 % EBITDA
 % Gross Margin
 # of new stores
 LFL Growth
 Cash to EBITDA ratio,
 Inventory in DOS
 Payables in DOS
 Debt to EBITDA ratio
Your Customer Competitor 1 Competitor 2
 USD 2 000 M
 8%
 45%
 30
 2%
 50%
 140
 70
 5.5
 USD 1 000 M
 15%
 55%
 10
 5%
 55%
 90
 150
 1
 USD 3 000 M
 17%
 57%
 100
 5%
 40%
 120
 200
 2
Costs
 Head office as % of Sales
 Average # of employees per
managers and directors
 # of managers and directors
 11%
 4
 80
 7%
 6
 30
 8%
 10
 70
157
Let’s have a look how we could cut costs in the Retailer
Cut costs
Reduce Head-office costs
Improve inventory
management
Reduce Store costs Renegotiate contracts
Decrease the number of
directors and managers
Simplify the structure
Simplify and optimize
processes in the Head-office
Check why they keep so high
level of stock and change the
algorithm / policies
Sell deadweight stock (non-
rotating)
Keep more stock in the central
warehouse
Simplify and optimize
processes in the stores
Replace Opex with capex
(analyze Opex vs capex
tradeoff)
Destock the stores
Renegotiate contracts to
increase the payment terms
Make the supplier do certain
things currently done by you
Look for optimal size of
logistic delivery batches
158
Scaling Sales and Margin
– Amazon
159
Let’s see how Amazon has scaled Sales & Margin
Scaling Sales & Margin
Scaling Distribution
Get Walmart distribution
experts
Expand warehouse &
Fulfilment centers
M&A of Whole Foods –
grocery retail chain
Scaling Products
Increase number of
products across 17
marketplaces
Add constantly new
categories
Switching form e-
commerce to
marketplaces
Scaling Customers
Simplify online shopping
– 1-click buy
Suggested products using
AI & Review system for
products
Amazon Prime &
shortening delivery time
Scaling Brands
M&A of competitors
Introduce private labels
brands: Amazon Basics,
Presto, Solimo etc.
Amazon positioned as a
search engine
Digital brands: Amazon
Kindle, Audible
B2B brands: AWS,
Amazon Direct Publishing,
Merch by Amazon
Scaling Markets
Create separate sites for
different markets and
localized offer
Aggressive marketing
campaigns
Sell products outside the
markets on which they
are present
Invest in Google AdWords
to re-direct traffic to
Amazon
Remove obstacles &
frictions in online world
Alexa / Amazon Echo –
new way to order fast
Offer subscription of
products
Create sub-marketplace
i.e. Handmade
Sell digital products
Create own retail chains
i.e. Amazon Go, Amazon
Books
M&A other firms i.e.
Zappos
M&A of other firms i.e.
Twitch, IMDb
Cross-selling of products –
Kindle & Audible
Enter B2C services – most
likely healthcare
160
Check the video on YouTube for more details
Click here to go to the video
161
Scaling Sales & Margin–
Beer Producer
162
Beer production is dominated by 3 groups: Heineken, Carlsberg and
AB InBev. They have used similar tactics in scaling operations.
163
Let’s see how beer producers have scaled Sales & Margin.
Scaling Sales and Margin
Scaling Distribution
Bigger share on the
shelves
Increase Weighted &
Numeric Distribution
Create own logistics to
reach more customers
Scaling Products
Different tastes of beer
adjusted to local taste
Low alcohol beer
Non-alcoholic beverages
Scaling Customers
Convince customers to
drink more beer
Create low-calories beers,
and low alcohol beer
Convince to drink beer in
the winter (warm beer)
Scaling Brands
Expand the reach of the
main local brands
Introduce international
brands they own
M&A small craft beer
brands
Create brands that
pretend to be craft beers
Scaling Markets
Penetrate markets they
operate on
Increase the general beer
consumption
Alter the law – make it
more difficult to drink
vodka, wine etc.
M&A firms from existing
markets
M&A firms from new
markets
Create beer aimed at
wine consumers (fruit
based)
Beer aimed at women
(usually lighter, sweeter)
Copy craft beers
Introduce other alcoholic
products (i.e. cider)
Direct distribution to
HORECA
Special deals with Cinema
chains, events organizers,
164
Scaling Operations
165
Scaling Operations
– Introduction
166
In many cases, the firms have to be very creative when it comes to Scaling
Operations. In this section, we will look again at frameworks and case studies.
167
In this section we will talk about the following things
Scaling Operations –
Amazon
Scaling Operations –
Beer Producer
General Framework for
Scaling Operations
Scaling Operations –
Chicken Meat Producer
Scaling Operations –
Airlines
168
General Framework for Scaling
Operations
169
Let’s have a look at the scaling operations framework
Scaling operations
Improve the
efficiency of existing
assets
Optimize processes
Remove bottleneck
Automate
Add assets
Create assets
Buy / rent assets
Use partners assets
Change technology
Switch to more
available materials
Find technology that
requires different
assets
Find cheaper
technology
Add partners
Recruit new partners
Create ecosystem that
helps the growth of
partners
Make it easier to
become a partner
Take over partners
Take over the area
(Vertical Integration)
Add products that
requires less assets
Modified products
requiring less assets
Digital Products
Products Delivered by
others
M&A firms
Reduce Inventory Services
170
Scaling Operations
– Amazon
171
Automate store work
(Amazon Go)
Amazon Lockers, Drones,
self driving, zeppelins
Let’s see how Amazon has scaled its operations
Scaling Operations
Improve efficiency
of existing assets
Improvement of
fulfilment & warehouse
processes
KPI system that measures
efficiency and set goals
Automate work (Amazon
Robotics)
Add assets
Add constantly new
fulfillment centers
Buy & Rent trucks, planes
etc.
Use partners assets for
the last mile – Amazon
Flex
Change technology
Automate warehouse
work (Amazon Robotics)
Add partners
Switch from e-commerce
to marketplace
Make it easier to sell –
Fulfillment by Amazon
Providing short-term
business loans to sellers –
Amazon Lending
Make easier self
publishing – Amazon
Direct Publishing
Optimization of process
of adding new partners –
Amazon Marketplace
Add products that
requires less assets
Amazon Kindle / Audible
Amazon Video
Amazon Prime
Advertising on Amazon
M&A of Twitch, Audible
Acquisition Of Whole
Foods, Zappos
Vertical Integration –
Amazon Web Service
172
Check the video on YouTube for more details
Click here to go to the video
173
Scaling Operations –
Beer Producer
174
Beer production is dominated by 3 groups: Heineken, Carlsberg and
AB InBev. They have used similar tactics in scaling operations.
175
Let’s have a look at the scaling operations framework
Scaling Operations
Improve efficiency
of existing assets
Optimize brewing
process
Remove bottlenecks in
the supply chain
Automate
Add assets
M&A of main players
on other markets
Expand acquired assets
(factories)
Create own distribution
systems
Change technology
In some cases they
switch from malt to
barley
Adopt new packaging
types
Automation
Add partners
Help partners develop
supporting business
Partners include: malt
producers, farmers,
drivers
Help partners lower
costs i.e. buying groups
Take over malt
production
Take over packaging
production
Add products that
requires less assets
Low alcohol light beers
Non-alcoholic
beverages
Investments in assets
in other part of value
chain
Reduce Inventory in
the supply chain
Heat and energy re-
usage
In some cases take over
barley production
Speed up brewing
process
176
Scaling Operations –
Chicken Producer
177
Now let’s see how meat producers scale their operations. As
an example, we will use here a chicken meat producer
178
Let’s have a look at how chicken producer scale their operations
Scaling operations
Improve efficiency
of existing assets
Find optimal life of a
chicken
Automate
Speed up meat growth
Add assets
Organic growth of
factories, farms
M&A of factories,
farms, etc.
Create own distribution
systems
Change technology
New races of chickens
New feed mixtures
Automation
Add partners
Help partners develop
supporting businesses
Main partners: chicken
farms and grain farms
Help partners lower
costs i.e. buying groups
Take over chicken
breeding
Take over growing
grain
Add products that
requires less assets
Chicken meat /
sausages with additives
Chicken meat / with
vegetables
Investments in assets
in other part of value
chain
Utilize the space
efficiently
Growing meat in labs
Keep the chickens close
to the factory
Ready made dishes
using chicken meat
179
Scaling Operations in Airlines –
Case Introduction
180
Let's imagine that an airline company is considering scaling the
business. Help them estimate what it will mean for them.
181
The airlines hubs are located in Easter
Europe
The company operates around 120
destinations
Annual revenues are EUR 50 M and they
want to increase them to EUR 5 000 M
A few information about the firm
You were asked to estimate what they will
need to do to scale the business
182
For more details and content check my online course where you can find case
studies showing analyses along with detailed calculations in Excel
Scaling Business for Management
Consultants & Managers
$190
$19
Click here to check my course
183
Scaling Recruitment & Training
184
Scaling Recruitment & Training –
Introduction
185
Let’s have a look how the process of Scaling
Recruitment & Training should look like.
186
In this section we will talk about the following things
Scaling Recruitment &
Training – Amazon
Scaling Recruitment &
Training –
Retailers
General Framework for
Scaling Recruitment &
Training
187
General Framework for Scaling
Recruitment & Training
188
Let’s have a look at the general framework for Scaling Recruitment &
Training
Scaling Recruitment &
Training
Retain Current
Employees
Train faster and
more efficiently
Increase the pool
of potential
candidates
Change
technology
M&A of firms Outsourcing
Development
programs
Pay according to
qualification &
merits
Pay above the
market
Online training
courses
Working across
departments
Coaching &
mentoring
Build offices /
factories in
different cities
Remote work
Allow people to
work half-time
Use assets to
increase
productivity
Replace employees
with software
Replace employees
with machine
M&A of firms
instead of organic
growth
Acqui-hiring
Temporary
employment
agencies
Employee leasing
Full outsourcing
Hire minorities
Fire the wrong
people
A mix of
experienced and
new employees
Go to countries
that are beyond
the general interest
Bonus system
189
Check the video on YouTube for more details
Click here to go to the video
190
Scaling Recruitment & Training –
Amazon
191
Let’s look at how Amazon has scaled recruitment and training
Scaling Recruitment &
Training
Retain Current
Employees
Train faster and
more efficiently
Increase the pool
of potential
candidates
Change
technology
M&A of firms Outsourcing
Development
Programs
2-pizza team rule
Corporate startup
culture
Hire the right people
- Bar Raiser program
Standard programs
Coaching and
mentoring program
Opening Amazon
offices all around the
world
Second Head Office
project
Mobile hiring events
(Mobile Office)
Automate warehouse
work
Automate store work
(Amazon Go)
Amazon Lockers,
drones, self driving,
zeppelins
M&A of Zappos,
Twitch, Audible
Acqui-hiring of
startups
Outsource Logistics
Amazon Flex
Shifting work to
partners Amazon
Prep Centers
Flexible hours
Opportunities
coming form
constant growth
192
Scaling Recruitment & Training –
Retailers
193
Let’s have a look at what top retailers are doing
when it comes to scaling recruitment & training.
194
Let’s see how retailers have scaled recruitment and training
Scaling Recruitment &
Training
Retain Current
Employees
Train faster and
more efficiently
Increase the pool
of potential
candidates
Change
technology
M&A of firms Outsourcing
Mainly accept for
entry level
positions
High bonuses paid
after high season
Stress Internal
Promotions
Internal Training
Firms
Provide simple
supporting
materials
Balanced mixed of
new & experienced
Pay employees for
referring potential
candidates
Hire minorities
Offer part-time
opportunites
Mobile apps &
tools to increase
productivity
Replace employees
with software
Replace employees
with machine
M&A of
e-commerce firms
M&A of big data
firms
Temporary
employment
agencies
Employee leasing
Full outsourcing i.e.
maintenance
Shared Service
Centrers
Internal Academy
for future
managers
Online training and
mobile apps
Finance additional
education
195
Check the video on YouTube for more details
Click here to go to the video
196
Useful supporting techniques
197
Useful supporting techniques –
Introduction
198
In scaling 2 nice techniques can prove very useful: 10x using first
principals and Enabling Investment. We will discuss them in this section.
199
In this section we will talk about the following things
Reduce water using 10x
framework
Decrease cost using 10x
framework
10 x current solution using
first principals
Enabling Investments –
Examples
Enabling Investments –
General concept
200
10 x current solution using first
principles
201
One of the ways in which you can come up with new business ideas is to use the 10x framework
where you resort to so called first principles. This is favorite method of Elon Musk.
202
There are 3 main ways in which you can improve existing business. This will
help you come up with the proper business idea
Improving existing
business
Make it faster Make it better Make it cheaper
Ikea
Dell
MacDonald
Uber
Apple
203
Let’s see how you can use this technique
Identify what you
want to improve
Identify the business
drivers of the
business
Estimate the impact
of the drivers on
your business
Select what and how
you would like to
change
Implement the
changes
 Think about
whether you want
your product,
service to be
cheaper, faster or
better
 Select one or up to
two features you
want to improve
 Learn what are the
drivers of your
business
 Identify how drivers
affect your business
and your results
 Prepare the
calculation in Excel
 See what has to
change in terms of
each and every
driver to achieve
the goal of 10x the
specific feature
(cost, speed,
customer
satisfaction)
 Choose a few
drivers that you
want to change to
make your product
cheaper, better or
faster
 Decide how you
would like to
change them
 Implement the
selected changes to
your business
 Remember to
monitor the
progress of changes
during and after the
implementation to
be sure that you
have achieved your
goal
204
Check the video on YouTube for more details
Click here to go to the video
205
In the next lectures we will have a look at 2 case studies
Reduce water consumption Decrease cost per 1 seat
206
Reduce water using 10x
framework – Case Introduction
207
Let’s imagine that you want to drastically reduce the
usage of water. Use the 10x framework to achieve this.
208
You don’t know what is your water
consumption currently
You want to estimate both direct
and indirect water consumption
Direct involves bathing, drinking
water, using water for cleaning
A few information about the problem
Indirect involves the usage of water
for producing products for you
209
Just as a reminder below the 10x framework that I recommend using
Identify what you
want to improve
Identify the business
drivers of the
business
Estimate the impact
of the drivers on
your business
Select what and how
you would like to
change
Implement the
changes
 Think about
whether you want
your product,
service to be
cheaper, faster or
better
 Select one or up to
two features you
want to improve
 Learn what are the
drivers of your
business
 Identify how drivers
affect your business
and your results
 Prepare the
calculation in Excel
 See what has to
change in terms of
each and every
driver to achieve
the goal of 10x the
specific feature
(cost, speed,
customer
satisfaction)
 Choose a few
drivers that you
want to change to
make your product
cheaper, better or
faster
 Decide how you
would like to
change them
 Implement the
selected changes to
your business
 Remember to
monitor the
progress of changes
during and after the
implementation to
be sure that you
have achieved your
goal
210
Reduce water using 10x
framework – Drivers
211
Just as a reminder you want to drastically reduce the
usage of water. Use the 10x framework to achieve this
212
You don’t know what is your water
consumption currently
You want to estimate both direct
and indirect water consumption
Direct involves bathing, drinking
water, using water for cleaning
A few information about the situation
Indirect involves the usage of water
for producing products for you
213
The general 10x framework using first principles looks like this
Identify what you
want to improve
Identify the business
drivers of the
business
Estimate the impact
of the drivers on
your business
Select what and how
you would like to
change
Implement the
changes
 Think about
whether you want
your business to be
cheaper, faster or
better
 Select one or up to
two features you
want to improve
 Learn what are the
drivers of your
business
 Identify how drivers
affect your business
and your results
 Prepare the
calculation in Excel
 See what has to
change in terms of
each and every
driver to achieve
the goal of 10x the
specific feature
(cost, speed,
customer
satisfaction)
 Choose a few
drivers that you
want to change to
make your business
cheaper, better or
faster
 Decide how you
would like to
change them
 Implement the
selected changes to
your business
 Remember to
monitor the
progress of changes
during and after the
implementation to
be sure that you
have achieved your
goal
214
Let’s apply it to our case study
 We want to reduce
water consumption
expressed in liters
of water
 We will look at
direct and indirect
consumption
 The main drivers
affecting your water
consumptions are:
o Frequency of
consumption
o # of liters
consumed /
used per
consumption
 We will look at
drivers for different
categories: Bathing,
Drinking water,
Water used for
growing vegetables,
producing meat,
clothing, cleaning
dishes
Identify what you
want to improve
Identify the business
drivers of the
business
Estimate the impact
of the drivers on
your business
Select what and how
you would like to
change
Implement the
changes
215
Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on
Bathing
Drinking water
Water used for growing
vegetables
Total water
consumption
Water used for
producing meat
Water used for
producing clothing's
Water used for cleaning
the dishes
Other sources
+
216
Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on
# of times you take a
bath
Water usage per 1
bathing
x
Bathing
Drinking water
Water used for growing
vegetables
Total water
consumption
Water used for
producing meat
Water used for
producing clothing's
Water used for cleaning
the dishes
Other sources
+
217
Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on
# of days
# of liters that you drink
per day
x
Bathing
Drinking water
Water used for growing
vegetables
Total water
consumption
Water used for
producing meat
Water used for
producing clothing's
Water used for cleaning
the dishes
Other sources
+
218
Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on
# of days
Amount of vegetables
eaten per day
Water required to grow
1kg of vegetables
x
Bathing
Drinking water
Water used for growing
vegetables
Total water
consumption
Water used for
producing meat
Water used for
producing clothing's
Water used for cleaning
the dishes
Other sources
+
219
Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on
# of days
Amount of meat eaten
per day
Water required to
produce 1 kg of meat
x
Bathing
Drinking water
Water used for growing
vegetables
Total water
consumption
Water used for
producing meat
Water used for
producing clothing's
Water used for cleaning
the dishes
Other sources
+
220
Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on
# of pieces of clothing
bought a month
Water required to
produce 1 piece
x
Bathing
Drinking water
Water used for growing
vegetables
Total water
consumption
Water used for
producing meat
Water used for
producing clothing's
Water used for cleaning
the dishes
Other sources
+
221
Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on
# cleanings per month
Water usage per 1
cleaning
x
Bathing
Drinking water
Water used for growing
vegetables
Total water
consumption
Water used for
producing meat
Water used for
producing clothing's
Water used for cleaning
the dishes
Other sources
+
222
Let’s have a look at the following options
Currently
 You use water for all needed activities
 You don't make any changes to your behavior or habits
Description of the options
Option 1 – change of
frequencies
 You limit the frequency of performed activities
Option 2 – change of
frequencies, mix
 You limit the frequency of performed activities
 You change your behavior by reducing the meat and increasing the vegetables consumption
Option 3 – change of
frequencies, mix & method
 You limit the frequency of performed activities
 You change your behavior by reducing the meat and increasing the vegetables consumption
 You change the bathing method by pouring less water into the bathtub or showering faster
Option 4 – change of
frequencies, mix, method &
technology
 You limit the frequency of performed activities
 You change your behavior by reducing the meat and increasing the vegetables consumption
 You change the bathing method by pouring less water into the bathtub or showering faster
 You use brand new technologies (i.e. meat grown artificially, atomizing shower system like Nebia)
223
Reduce water using 10x
framework – Summary
224
Just as a reminder you want to drastically reduce the
usage of water. Use the 10x framework to achieve this
225
You don’t know what is your water
consumption currently
You want to estimate both direct
and indirect water consumption
Direct involves bathing, drinking
water, using water for cleaning
A few information about the situation
Indirect involves the usage of water
for producing products for you
226
We looked at 4 options that can help us get to the target
Currently
 You use water for all needed activities
 You don't make any changes to your behavior or habits
Description of the options
Option 1 – change of
frequencies
 You limit the frequency of performed activities
Option 2 – change of
frequencies, mix
 You limit the frequency of performed activities
 You change your behavior by reducing the meat and increasing the vegetables consumption
Option 3 – change of
frequencies, mix & method
 You limit the frequency of performed activities
 You change your behavior by reducing the meat and increasing the vegetables consumption
 You change the bathing method by pouring less water into the bathtub or showering faster
Option 4 – change of
frequencies, mix, method &
technology
 You limit the frequency of performed activities
 You change your behavior by reducing the meat and increasing the vegetables consumption
 You change the bathing method by pouring less water into the bathtub or showering faster
 You use brand new technologies (i.e. meat grown artificially, atomizing shower system like Nebia)
227
The general 10x framework using first principles looks like this
Identify what you
want to improve
Identify the business
drivers of the
business
Estimate the impact
of the drivers on
your business
Select what and how
you would like to
change
Implement the
changes
 Think about
whether you want
your business to be
cheaper, faster or
better
 Select one or up to
two features you
want to improve
 Learn what are the
drivers of your
business
 Identify how drivers
affect your business
and your results
 Prepare the
calculation in Excel
 See what has to
change in terms of
each and every
driver to achieve
the goal of 10x the
specific feature
(cost, speed,
customer
satisfaction)
 Choose a few
drivers that you
want to change to
make your business
cheaper, better or
faster
 Decide how you
would like to
change them
 Implement the
selected changes to
your business
 Remember to
monitor the
progress of changes
during and after the
implementation to
be sure that you
have achieved your
goal
228
Let’s summarize what we have done
 We want to reduce
water consumption
expressed in liters
of water
 We will look at
direct and indirect
consumption
 The main drivers
affecting your water
consumptions are:
o # of water liters
consumed
o Time of
consumption
o Frequency of
consumption
 We will look at
exact drivers for
different categories:
Bathing, Drinking
water, Water used
for growing
vegetables,
producing meat,
clothing, cleaning
dishes
Identify what you
want to improve
Identify the business
drivers of the
business
Estimate the impact
of the drivers on
your business
Select what and how
you would like to
change
Implement the
changes
 The biggest impact
comes from
reducing meat
consumption and
buying fewer
clothes
 We would
implement Option 3
 Option 4 requires in
most cases a
cheaper technology
 To get to 10x we
most likely have to
further reduce
certain activities
229
Let’s summarize what every option helps us achieve
77
30 28 23
9
Current water consumption Option 1 - change of
frequencies
Option 2 - change of
frequencies, mix
Option 3 - change of
frequencies, mix & method
Option 4 - change of
frequencies, mix, method &
technology
Monthly water consumption
In thousands of liters
230
We can also look at the incremental impact of every option
77
47
2
5
14
9
Current water
consumption
Option 1 - change of
frequencies
Option 2 - change of
frequencies, mix
Option 3 - change of
frequencies, mix &
method
Option 4 - change of
frequencies, mix, method
& technology
Target water
consumption
Monthly water consumption and incremental reduction delivered by options
In thousands of liters
231
Let’s also look at the reduction by type of usage. The biggest impact is
from reducing the meat consumption and buying less clothes
5
0 2
42
19
1 0
68
Bathing Drinking Water Water Used for
growing vegetables
Water used for
producing meat
Water used for
producing clothing
Water for cleaning
the dishes
Other sources Total
Monthly reduction in water consumptions by type of usage
In thousands of liters
232
Decrease cost using 10x
framework – Case Introduction
233
Let’s imagine that you are an owner of a bus company and you want to find
a way to make the cost per 1 seat cheaper. Use the 10x framework
234
They have 300 buses
Currently they use 1-floor diesel
buses
They want to dominate the
European market
A few information about the firm
To achieve that they need to lower
the cost per 1 seat
235
The general 10x framework using first principles looks like this
Identify what you
want to improve
Identify the business
drivers of the
business
Estimate the impact
of the drivers on
your business
Select what and how
you would like to
change
Implement the
changes
 Think about
whether you want
your business to be
cheaper, faster or
better
 Select one or up to
two features you
want to improve
 Learn what are the
drivers of your
business
 Identify how drivers
affect your business
and your results
 Prepare the
calculation in Excel
 See what has to
change in terms of
each and every
driver to achieve
the goal of 10x the
specific feature
(cost, speed,
customer
satisfaction)
 Choose a few
drivers that you
want to change to
make your business
cheaper, better or
faster
 Decide how you
would like to
change them
 Implement the
selected changes to
your business
 Remember to
monitor the
progress of changes
during and after the
implementation to
be sure that you
have achieved your
goal
236
Decrease cost using 10x
framework – Drivers
237
Just as a reminder you are an owner of a bus company and you want to
find a way to make the cost per 1 seat cheaper. Use the 10x framework
238
They have 300 buses
Currently they use 1-floor diesel
buses
They want to dominate the
European market
A few information about the firm
To achieve that they need to lower
the cost per 1 seat
239
The general 10x framework using first principles looks like this
Identify what you
want to improve
Identify the business
drivers of the
business
Estimate the impact
of the drivers on
your business
Select what and how
you would like to
change
Implement the
changes
 Think about
whether you want
your business to be
cheaper, faster or
better
 Select one or up to
two features you
want to improve
 Learn what are the
drivers of your
business
 Identify how drivers
affect your business
and your results
 Prepare the
calculation in Excel
 See what has to
change in terms of
each and every
driver to achieve
the goal of 10x the
specific feature
(cost, speed,
customer
satisfaction)
 Choose a few
drivers that you
want to change to
make your business
cheaper, better or
faster
 Decide how you
would like to
change them
 Implement the
selected changes to
your business
 Remember to
monitor the
progress of changes
during and after the
implementation to
be sure that you
have achieved your
goal
240
Let’s apply it to our case study
 You are the owner
of a bus company
that transports
people from city A
to B
 You want to lower
the cost per seat
10x
 The main drivers
affecting your
business are:
o Number of
customers
o Cost per km /
hour
o Duration or the
distance of the
trip
 We will look at 4
main groups of
costs: driver costs,
fuel, maintenance
cost and leasing
cost
Identify what you
want to improve
Identify the business
drivers of the
business
Estimate the impact
of the drivers on
your business
Select what and how
you would like to
change
Implement the
changes
241
Profit from any trip will depend on 2 things: revenue and costs
Profit from the trip
Revenue from tickets
sales
Costs of the trip
-
242
Revenues will depend on 2 things as well: price of a ticket and number of seats
Profit from the trip
Revenue from tickets
sales
Costs of the trip
x
Price for 1 ticket
# of seats
(potential customers)
% Utilization
x
243
We have 4 main cost positions
Profit from the trip
Revenue from ticket
sales
Costs of the trip
- Cost of the driver
Cost of fuel
Cost of maintenance
Cost of leasing
+
244
Let’s have a look what the cost of the driver depends on
Profit from the trip
Revenue from ticket
sales
Costs of the trip
- Cost of the driver
Cost of fuel
Cost of maintenance
Cost of leasing
+
Average salary per hour
# of drivers
# hours (duration of the
trip)
x
245
Let’s have a look what the cost of the fuel depends on
Profit from the trip
Revenue from ticket
sales
Costs of the trip
- Cost of the driver
Cost of fuel
Cost of maintenance
Cost of leasing
+ Cost of fuel per 1 km
# km (trip length)
x
246
Let’s have a look what the cost of the maintenance depends on
Profit from the trip
Revenue from ticket
sales
Costs of the trip
- Cost of the driver
Cost of fuel
Cost of maintenance
Cost of leasing
+
Average cost of
maintenance per 1 km
# km (trip length)
x
247
Let’s have a look what the cost of leasing depends on
Profit from the trip
Revenue from ticket
sales
Costs of the trip
- Cost of the driver
Cost of fuel
Cost of maintenance
Cost of leasing
+
Purchasing price of the
bus
# of km that the bus will
be used
÷
# km (trip length)
x
248
In our drive to lower the costs 10x we will consider 3 scenarios
Currently
 For transporting people you use a standard, one-floor bus driven by gasoline
Description of the options
Option 1 – change bus model
 You change the bus model from one-floor to two-floor bus to increase the number of potential
customers
 Your bus still uses gas / petrol
Option 2 – change bus model
and power supply
 You change the bus model from one-floor to two-floor bus to increase the number of potential
customers
 Your also switch to electric engine
Option 3 – change bus model,
power supply and self driving
 You change the bus model from one-floor to two-floor bus to increase the number of potential
customers
 Your also switch to electric engine
 The bus is self-driven
249
Decrease cost using 10x
framework – Summary
250
Just as a reminder you are an owner of a bus company and you want to
find a way to make the cost per 1 seat cheaper. Use the 10x framework
251
They have 300 buses
Currently they use 1-floor diesel
buses
They want to dominate the
European market
A few information about the firm
To achieve that they need to lower
the cost per 1 seat
252
In our drive to lower the costs 10x we considered 3 scenarios
Currently
 For transporting people you use a standard, one-floor bus driven by gasoline
Description of the options
Option 1 – change bus model
 You change the bus model from one-floor to two-floor bus to increase the number of potential
customers
 Your bus still uses gas / petrol
Option 2 – change bus model
and power supply
 You change the bus model from one-floor to two-floor bus to increase the number of potential
customers
 Your also switch to electric engine
Option 3 – change bus model,
power supply and self driving
 You change the bus model from one-floor to two-floor bus to increase the number of potential
customers
 Your also switch to electric engine
 The bus is self-driven
253
After we did the calculations in Excel we will do from the suggested
changes
 You are the owner
of a bus company
that transports
people from city A
to B
 You would like to
change your
business and make
it cheaper
 The main drivers
affecting your
business are:
o Number of
customers
o Cost of fuel
o Cost of the
driver
o Cost of
maintenance
o Cost of
mortgage
 We have identified
3 options that help
us get closer to 10x
cheaper cost per
seat
 We will implement
option 2
 This will help us go
down from EUR 7.4
per seat to EUR 2.3
per seat
 Moving to self-
driving buses will be
done when the
technology is
available. This will
help us go down to
EUR 1.1 per seat
 In our case
implementing the
change would mean
ordering new buses
and slowly but
surely changing the
whole fleet
Identify what you
want to improve
Identify the business
drivers of the
business
Estimate the impact
of the drivers on
your business
Select what and how
you would like to
change
Implement the
changes
254
Let’s summarize what every option helps us achieve
7,4
4,2
2,3
1,1
Currently Option 1 - change bus model Option 2 - change bus model and
power supply
Option 3 - change bus model, power
supply and self driving
Cost pe 1 seat
In EUR per seat per average trip
255
Enabling Investments –
Introduction
256
In many cases your demand is limited by something that you cannot control
directly. In this cases you may be interested in enabling investments
257
Enabling investments help you drive the demand or sales by removing
the main bottleneck – lack of the demand
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Yours sales Market sales
Market sales and yours sales
In thousand
258
Enabling investment can be done in different places depending on
where the bottleneck is
Enabling Investments
Demand side Supply side Distribution side
Increase the demand from
current customers
Increase the number of potential
customers
Find new applications for your
products
Kill substitutes
Increase throughput of
bottlenecks
Increase the availability of
required resources and materials
Increase availability of potential
employees
Increase the throughput of the
distribution system
Create your own distribution –
existing channels
Create your own distribution –
new channels
259
In the next lectures we will have a look at 2 case studies
Retail chain for kids’ products Tesla
260
Enabling Investments –
Examples
261
Let’s have a look how a retail chain for kids’ products can do
enabling investments to support the sales of its products
262
Let’s have a look how retail chain for kids products managed to apply
this strategy
Enabling Investments
Demand side Supply side Distribution side
Increased funding for programs
and services for expectant
families
Investments in businesses related
to children, e.g. kindergartens
Start selling your products to
older age groups
Develop care programs for
children whose parents work
professionally
Set-up recruitment and training
program for employees
Start cooperation with local
manufacturers
Automate warehouses and stores
Create new concepts to be able
to enter new regions
Expand into online and
marketplace
Create own vending chain or
lockers for parcels chains
263
Let’s have a look how Tesla was doing enabling
investments to support the sales of its cars
264
Let’s have a look how Tesla managed to apply this strategy
Enabling Investments
Demand side Supply side Distribution side
Convince governments and
regulators to support electric cars
usage
Develop infrastructure to
facilitate the use of electric cars,
e.g. supercharger network
Invest in solar production
capacity (Solar City, Powerwall,
Solar Roofs)
Provide car insurance for Tesla
cars
Build the cars from a scratch to
simplify it
Eliminate a large number of
intermediaries and create own
components for the car
Build own factory for batteries
Own retail chain to sell cars
Service centers combined with
sales centers
Tesla Rangers – mobile
technicians who can service
vehicles from your house
Automate the work in the
factories (fewer employees
needed)
265
For more details and content check my online course where you can find case
studies showing analyses along with detailed calculations in Excel
Scaling Business for Management
Consultants & Managers
$190
$19
Click here to check my course
266
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Scaling Business for Management Consultants & Managers: A Practical Guide

  • 1. 1 Scaling Business for Management Consultants & Managers A practical guide on how to scale businesses in practice fast and efficiently
  • 2. 2 If you have managed to build a successful business that is also profitable, at some point you will start thinking about scaling your business and drastically growing its size and profits.
  • 3. 3 This will require a different approach than the everyday management of the business. You need different frameworks to scale fast & efficiently the business.
  • 4. 4 In this course, I will teach you how to find ways to scale the business fast & efficiently. I will also show you how to prepare the organization for scaling.
  • 5. 5 Target Group What you will learn What you will get  Management Consultants & Business Analysts  Mangers  CEO  Directors  How to scale different areas of your firm  How to identify the biggest bottlenecks preventing you from scaling  How to estimate the speed of scaling  How to design your scaling process  Ready made frameworks for scaling  Ready made analyses in Excel  List of Recommended readings (articles, books)
  • 6. 6 Process of scaling Scaling Sales & Margin What scaling means Scaling Recruitment & Training Scaling Operations Useful supporting techniques Scaling Training in Consulting Firm Scaling Consulting Business
  • 7. 7 This course will help you fast and efficiently scale your business on the level of top management consultants
  • 8. 8 What you will see in this presentation is a part of my online course where you can find case studies showing analyses along with detailed calculations in Excel Scaling Business for Management Consultants & Managers $190 $19 Click here to check my course
  • 10. 10 What scaling means – Introduction
  • 11. 11 Scaling can mean a lot of things. For some, it is simply growing sales. For others, it will be around scaling profit. In this section, we will discuss what we mean by scaling the business.
  • 12. 12 3 areas you have to scale What can stop you from scaling Scaling definition Removing bottlenecks – case studies Theory of constraints and bottlenecks How to increase production capacity – case study In this section we will talk about the following things
  • 14. 14 Let’s start with a short definition  The process of increasing significantly the profit, in a sustainable way  Scaling should be done by design and not rely on luck  For most cases, we will look at increasing EBITDA  Scaling usually will require scaling not only sales but also scaling other areas Scaling =
  • 15. 15 After 20 40 100 Before 10 10 10 We will often use the 2x, 4x, or 10x. This will mean that we increase the size of the business 2, 4, 10 times. 2x 4x 10x
  • 16. 16 Check the video on YouTube for more details Click here to go to the video
  • 17. 17 3 areas you have to scale
  • 18. 18 There will be 3 areas that you have to scale to scale the profit Scaling Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training Operations
  • 19. 19 On top of that, you have to make sure that you control the costs Scaling Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training Operations Cost Reduction
  • 20. 20 Let’s see what options we have in those 3 areas Scaling Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training Scaling Products Scaling Customers Scaling Brands Retain Current Employees Train faster and more efficiently Increase the pool of potential candidates Scaling Markets Operations Improve efficiency of existing assets Add assets Change technology Add partners Change technology M&A of firms Scaling Distribution Add products that requires less assets Outsourcing
  • 21. 21 There are some things that have to be in place before you start scaling Unit economics Standardize and implement best practices Money for scaling Big enough problem Long term thinking Product-market fit
  • 22. 22 Check the video on YouTube for more details Click here to go to the video
  • 23. 23 What can stop you from scaling
  • 24. 24 There will be always something stopping you from scaling. In other words, one of the areas will be a bottleneck Scaling Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training Operations
  • 25. 25 Let’s imagine that you want to 5x the business. You have to check what growth you can achieve with the current setup Scaling Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training Operations 2x 4x 10x
  • 26. 26 As you can see it seems that sales are the bottleneck as we can only scale here 2x 2x 4x 10x Scaling Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training Operations
  • 27. 27 If we work on this bottleneck and improve it, a new bottleneck will appear in Operations where we can only 4x the business 5x 4x 10x Scaling Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training Operations
  • 28. 28 In the next lectures, we will have a look at a case study that will help us understand this concept Scaling Beer Business
  • 29. 29 What can stop you from scaling – Case Introduction
  • 30. 30 Let’s have a look at how a beer producer can scale the business and eliminate the obstacles, limits that may appear during this process.
  • 31. 31 The company is based in Czech Republic The company's annual sales in liters of beer are 300 M The CEO of the company considers scaling the business A few information about the firm Let’s define what can potentially stop the company from scaling
  • 32. 32 Below you have the current situation mapped 300 500 600 Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training Beer business potential in following areas In million of liters The scale of the business we can achieve xxx Total capacity of the area
  • 33. 33 Let’s have look at the description of possible steps Scaling sales on current markets  Add new products – new flavors  Add new brands – 0% beer  Acquire new customers – beer for women Description Which Area it Impacts Additional Capacity in this area In M of liters of beer  Sales  350 Scaling markets  Start selling in different countries  Sales  550 Scaling existing operations  Change production process  Optimize processes  Add new partners  Operations  200 Building new factory  Build new factory  Operations  300 Scaling recruitment & training  Recruit new professionals  Open offices in different city  Attract new employees  Recruitment & Training  200
  • 34. 34 What can stop you from scaling – Solution
  • 35. 35 Just as a reminder we want to help scale a beer producer based in Czechia. We will look at the step by step scaling of the business
  • 36. 36 A few information about the firm The company is based in Czech Republic The company's annual sales in liters of beer are 300 M The CEO of the company considers scaling the business Let’s define what can potentially stop the company from scaling
  • 37. 37 From previous lectures we know, that one of the reasons the company can't scale the business is that it faces a bottleneck 300 500 600 Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training Beer business potential in following areas In million of liters The scale of the business we can achieve xxx Total capacity of the area
  • 38. 38 Let’s see how the company should eliminate the bottleneck that affects the potential development of the following business areas 300 500 600 350 Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training Beer business potential in following areas In million of liters  Add new products – new flavors  Add new brands – 0% beer  Acquire new customers – beer for women How we can change it? 650 The scale of the business we can achieve xxx Total capacity of the area
  • 39. 39 Let’s see how the company should eliminate the bottleneck that affects the potential development of the following business areas 300 500 600 350 200 Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training Beer business potential in following areas In million of liters  Change production process  Optimize processes  Add new partners How we can change it? 650 700 The scale of the business we can achieve xxx Total capacity of the area
  • 40. 40 Let’s see how the company should eliminate the bottleneck that affects the potential development of the following business areas Beer business potential in following areas In million of liters 300 500 600 350 200 200 Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training  Recruit new professionals  Open offices in different city  Attract new employees How we can change it? 650 700 800 The scale of the business we can achieve xxx Total capacity of the area
  • 41. 41 Let’s see how the company should eliminate the bottleneck that affects the potential development of the following business areas Beer business potential in following areas In million of liters 300 500 600 350 200 200 550 Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training How we can change it?  Start selling in different countries 1 200 700 800 The scale of the business we can achieve xxx Total capacity of the area
  • 42. 42 Let’s see how the company should eliminate the bottleneck that affects the potential development of the following business areas 300 500 600 350 200 200 550 300 Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training Beer business potential in following areas In million of liters How we can change it?  Build new factory 1 200 1 000 800 The scale of the business we can achieve xxx Total capacity of the area
  • 43. 43 What you should concentrate on – Examples
  • 44. 44 Different firms, industries have to concentrate on different areas. Let’s have a look at some examples of what is the main obstacle for different types of firms.
  • 45. 45 Let’s have a look a some examples Scaling Sales & Margin Operations Recruitment & Training  Procter and Gamble  Coca – Cola  Google  Facebook  McKinsey & Company  Law Firms  Uber  Transportation Firms  Procter and Gamble  Coca – Cola  Amazon  Amazon  Google  Facebook  McKinsey & Company  Law firms  Uber  Transportation Firms FMCG E–commerce Marketplaces Technology Professional Services B2C Services  Amazon
  • 46. 46 3 areas you have to scale What can stop you from scaling Scaling definition Removing bottlenecks – case studies Theory of constraints and bottlenecks How to increase production capacity – case study Just as reminder we said that we will talk about the following things
  • 47. 47 3 areas you have to scale What can stop you from scaling Scaling definition Removing bottlenecks – case studies Theory of constraints and bottlenecks How to increase production capacity – case study We know what scaling means. It’s time to concentrate on ways to remove bottlenecks
  • 48. 48 In the production case study in which we will try to increase capacity in different ways, remember that the capacity is a proxy for the scale Scale of the business ≈ Capacity
  • 50. 50 Bottlenecks are dangerous as their hurt the efficiency of the whole system
  • 51. 51 Example 1 7 5 7 Example 2 5 10 20 Example 3 5 5 3 x Stage capacity What is the throughput of every system and where is the bottleneck?
  • 52. 52 The are 4 rules that you should follow when it comes to bottlenecks  Identify what is the bottleneck  Increase its throughput by lowering the time needed for everything that goes through the bottleneck  Add new resources to bottleneck  Adjust everything to the bottleneck – so it works at the same pace
  • 53. 53 Imagine that you are working in a company working in a content marketing Research topics for a post Write a post Create illustration Edit and modify post, add illustration and schedule 20 5 7 10 # of post that can be done in a week by 1 person  Speed up the writing process (faster typing, better tools, shortcuts for the most popular words) xx 20 8 7 10 10 9 10 10  Make the researcher do also par time writing and making illustration  We have almost doubled the production of post with the same resources  The same principles would apply if all the activities were done only by you – in this case, it would mean that you should not do too much research and illustration but rather improve the typing speed and match the number of illustrations and researches to your capacity in writing  If you have no impact on the process (you are one of the guys above just doing his own part and your boss does not want to listen to you then simply do less – identify the bottleneck and adjust your speed to his speed.  On the other hand if you are the bottleneck then speed up because the whole team depends on you.
  • 54. 54 Check the video on YouTube for more details Click here to go to the video
  • 55. 55 Content marketing agency – Introduction
  • 56. 56 Your friend Ivan works in a content marketing agency and wants to improve the work of his team. Help him using the bottleneck framework
  • 57. 57 A few things about Ivan team He manages 4 people Every person specializes only in 1 area You measure your success in number of posts produced
  • 58. 58 Below you can see the production capacity for each and every stage. 1 person works on 1 stage only Research topics for a post Write a post Create illustration Edit and modify post, add illustration and schedule 20 7 10 # of post that can be done in a week by 1 person xx 5
  • 60. 60 Your friend Ivan works in a content marketing agency and wants to improve the work of his team. Help him using the bottleneck framework
  • 61. 61 Just as a reminder a few information about the content marketing agency He manages 4 people Every person specializes only in 1 area You measure your success in number of posts produced
  • 62. 62 Let’s see how we could increase production of posts Research topics for a post Write a post Create illustration Edit and modify post, add illustration and schedule 20 5 7 10 # of post that can be done in a week by 1 person  Speed up the writing process (faster typing, better tools, shortcuts for the most popular words) xx 20 8 7 10 10 9 10 10  Make the researcher do also par time writing and making illustration  We have almost doubled the production of post with the same resources  The same principles would apply if all the activities were done only by you – in this case it would mean that you should not do too much research and illustration but rather improve the typing speed and match the number of illustration and researches to your capacity in writing  If you have no impact on the process (you are one of the guys above just doing his own part and your boss does not want to listen to you then simply do less – identify the bottleneck and adjust your speed to his speed.  On the other hand if you are the bottleneck then speed up because the whole team depends on you.
  • 63. 63 Production Capacity Improvement – Case Introduction
  • 64. 64 Now imagine that you were asked to increase the production capacity of a factory. Try also to calculate the financial impact of the proposed scenarios.
  • 65. 65 A few things about the firm The product has to go through 3 stages 1 ton of product generates USD 30 of margin after variable costs You want to see to what level you can increase production Try to also estimate the impact on the annual EBITDA of proposed changes
  • 66. 66 Before we look at specific scenarios, we have to discuss 2 issues What the production capacity depends on? How to calculate monthly production capacity
  • 67. 67 What the production capacity depends on?
  • 68. 68 First let’s see what the production depends on assuming there is just 1 production stage # of hours when we were producing = Total number of units produced Units produced per 1 hour of work x Available time in hours x % of Time used for production = Total number of units produced Units produced per 1 hour of work x # of hours when we were producing Available time in hours x % of Time used for production =
  • 69. 69 Let’s calculate a simple example Available time in hours x % of Time used for production = Total number of units produced Units produced per 1 hour of work x 24 x 50% = Total number of units produced 10 x = 120
  • 70. 70 Now let’s imagine that we increase the % of Time used for production to 70% Available time in hours x % of Time used for production = Total number of units produced Units produced per 1 hour of work x 24 x 50% = Total number of units produced 10 x = 120 24 x 70% = Total number of units produced 10 x = 168
  • 71. 71 The same results can be achieved by increasing units producer per 1 hour of work Available time in hours x % of Time used for production = Total number of units produced Units produced per 1 hour of work x 24 x 50% = Total number of units produced 10 x = 120 24 x 70% = Total number of units produced 10 x = 168 24 x 50% = Total number of units produced 14 x = 168
  • 72. 72 Finally let’s see what other names we can use for this drivers of capacity Available time in hours x % of Time used for production = Total number of units produced Units produced per 1 hour of work x Available time in hours x Overall Equipment Efficiency (OEE) = Total number of units produced Throughput per 1 hour x
  • 73. 73 How to calculate the capacity for the whole month
  • 74. 74 We said that the production depends on 3 drivers Available time in hours x % of Time used for production = Total number of units produced Units produced per 1 hour of work x Available time in hours x Overall Equipment Efficiency (OEE) = Total number of units produced Throughput per 1 hour x
  • 75. 75 Now let’s see how it looks like for the whole month Available time in hours During the month x Overall Equipment Efficiency (OEE) = Total number of units produced during the month Throughput per 1 hour x Available time in hours During the month = # of days during the month when we work x # of working hours per day of work Total number of units produced during the month = # of days during the month when we work x # of working hours per day of work x Overall Equipment Efficiency (OEE) Throughput per 1 hour x
  • 76. 76 Let’s have a look at a simple example 800 = 20 x 8 x 50% 10 x Total number of units produced during the month = # of days during the month when we work x # of working hours per day of work x Overall Equipment Efficiency (OEE) Throughput per 1 hour x
  • 77. 77 You can increase production by changing different drivers 800 = 20 x 8 x 50% 10 x Total number of units produced during the month = # of days during the month when we work x # of working hours per day of work x Overall Equipment Efficiency (OEE) Throughput per 1 hour x 1 200 = 30 x 8 x 50% 10 x 1 200 = 20 x 12 x 50% 10 x 1 200 = 20 x 8 x 75% 10 x 1 200 = 20 x 8 x 50% 15 x 4 050 = 30 x 12 x 75% 15 x
  • 79. 79 Just as a reminder a few things about the firm The product has to go through 3 stages 1 ton of product generates USD 30 of margin after variable costs You want to see to what level you can increase production Try to also estimate the impact on the annual EBITDA of proposed changes
  • 80. 80 In previous lectures we said that the monthly production depends on 4 drivers Total number of units produced during the month = # of days during the month when we work x # of working hours per day of work x Overall Equipment Efficiency (OEE) Throughput per 1 hour x
  • 81. 81 Let’s instead of hours and throughput per day use hours and throughput per shift Total number of units produced during the month = # of days during the month when we work x # of working hours per day of work x Overall Equipment Efficiency (OEE) Throughput per 1 hour x Total number of units produced during the month = # of days during the month when we work x # of shifts per day x Overall Equipment Efficiency (OEE) Throughput per 1 shift x
  • 82. 82 In the case study we have 3 stages not one. So first we have to calculate the potential capacity per stage Total # of units going through Stage 1 = # of days during the month when Stage 1 works x # of shifts per day for Stage 1 x OEE for Stage 1 Throughput per 1 shift for stage 1 x Total # of units going through Stage 2 = # of days during the month when Stage 2 works x # of shifts per day for Stage 2 x OEE for Stage 2 Throughput per 1 shift for Stage 2 x Total # of units going through Stage 3 = # of days during the month when Stage 1 works x # of shifts per day for Stage 3 x OEE for Stage 3 Throughput per 1 shift for Stage 3 x Total # of units Produced = Minimal # of units going through every stage
  • 83. 83 In previous lectures we said that the monthly production depends on number of drivers Total # of units going through Stage 1 = 30 x 2 x 60% 12 x Total # of units going through Stage 2 = 30 x 3 x 80% 10 x Total # of units going through Stage 3 = 30 x 3 x 60% 10 x Total # of units Produced = Minimal # of units going through every stage
  • 84. 84 In previous lectures we said that the monthly production depends on number of drivers Total # of units going through Stage 1 = Total # of units going through Stage 2 = Total # of units going through Stage 3 = Total # of units Produced = 432 432 720 540
  • 85. 85 In the 1st scenario assumes that you will increase OEE for stage 1 The bottleneck is the stage 1 of production We want to increase the production by moving OEE Assume that you increase OEE from 60% to 70% The change will require capex of USD 20 K
  • 86. 86 In the 2nd scenario assumes that you will increase the throughput for stage 1 The bottleneck is the stage 1 of production We want to increase the throughput per shift Assume that you increase throughput from 10 to 16 The change will require capex of USD 30 K
  • 87. 87 In the 3rd scenario assumes that you will increase the number of shifts for stage 1 The bottleneck is the stage 1 of production We want to increase the number of shifts when we work Assume that you increase the number of shifts in stage 1 The change will require additional Opex of USD 20 K
  • 88. 88 In the 4th scenario assumes that you will combine all improvements The bottleneck is the stage 1 of production Combine all improvements from scenarios 1-3 Remove the bottleneck in stage 3 – increase throughput The change will require additional Opex of USD 20 K & Capex of 80 K
  • 89. 89 For more details and content check my online course where you can find case studies showing analyses along with detailed calculations in Excel Scaling Business for Management Consultants & Managers $190 $19 Click here to check my course
  • 92. 92 In this section, I will show you what process you can use to scale your business more efficiently.
  • 93. 93 In this section we will talk about the following things Backward logic – definition How to apply backward logic to scaling – case study in Retail How the process of scaling can look like How to apply the process to burger chain – case study
  • 94. 94 How to process of scaling can look like
  • 95. 95 Let’s have a look at the process of scaling Set a goal Use backward logic Check capacity of every area Identify and remove bottlenecks Implement  Set the goal which you want to achieve  When the goal is known divide it into sub-goals to make it easier to define what has to be done  Define by when you want to achieve it (deadline)  Once you know the goal and by when it should be achieved use backward logic to estimate what it implies  Calculate what should be the pace of growth to achieve the goal by the deadline  Define what should be done  Next, define how it should be done  Create a detailed plan / steps to know what resources will be needed  Check and measure the capacity of the following business areas: o Sales & Margin o Operations o Recruitment & Training  This exercise will help you determine in which business area changes should be made first  Identify bottlenecks of the scaling (what area is the bottleneck)  Create a list of potential solutions that will help you deal with the bottleneck  Estimate the best way (cheapest, fastest, requiring fewer assets) to remove the bottleneck  Pick the way to remove the bottleneck  Do the necessary changes to remove the bottlenecks  Once you remove the current bottleneck start the process from the Check capacity of every area stage to find the next bottleneck
  • 96. 96 Check the video on YouTube for more details Click here to go to the video
  • 97. 97 Scaling Burger Chain – Case Introduction
  • 98. 98 Let's imagine that you have to create a plan for how to scale the burger business. Using information from previous lectures, prepare the draft.
  • 99. 99 Let’s have a look at some basic information that we know about the business The company is based in Poland Annual revenues are EUR 50 M and they want to increase them to EUR 1 000 M The firm has 20 restaurants all over the country The CEO of the company would like to see the plan of scaling the business
  • 100. 100 Apply the framework that we have discussed Set a goal Use backward logic to define the pace of growth Check capacity of every area Identify and remove bottlenecks Implement  Set the goal which you want to achieve  When the goal is known divide it into sub-goals to make it easier to define what has to be done  Define by when you want to achieve it (deadline)  Once you know the goal and by when it should be achieved use backward logic to estimate what it implies  Calculate what should be the pace of growth to achieve the goal by the deadline  Check and measure the capacity of the following business areas: o Sales & Margin o Operations o Recruitment & Training  This exercise will help you determine in which business area changes should be made first  Identify bottlenecks of the scaling (what area is the bottleneck)  Create a list of potential solutions that will help you deal with the bottleneck  Estimate the best way (cheapest, fastest, requiring fewer assets) to remove the bottleneck  Pick the way to remove the bottleneck  Do the necessary changes to remove the bottlenecks  Once you remove the current bottleneck start the process from the Check capacity of every area stage to find the next bottleneck
  • 102. 102 Just as a reminder we have to create a plan for how to scale the burger business. Let’s have a look at how we can adjust the general process to this situation.
  • 103. 103 Let’s have a look at some basic information that we know about the business The company is based in Poland Annual revenues are EUR 50 M and they want to increase them to EUR 1 000 M The firm has 20 restaurants all over the country The CEO of the company would like to see the plan of scaling the business
  • 104. 104 Apply the framework that we have discussed Set a goal Use backward logic to define the pace of growth Check capacity of every area Identify and remove bottlenecks Implement  Set the goal which you want to achieve  When the goal is known divide it into sub-goals to make it easier to define what has to be done  Define by when you want to achieve it (deadline)  Once you know the goal and by when it should be achieved use backward logic to estimate what it implies  Calculate what should be the pace of growth to achieve the goal by the deadline  Check and measure the capacity of the following business areas: o Sales & Margin o Operations o Recruitment & Training  This exercise will help you determine in which business area changes should be made first  Identify bottlenecks of the scaling (what area is the bottleneck)  Create a list of potential solutions that will help you deal with the bottleneck  Estimate what the best way (cheapest, fastest, requiring fewer assets) to remove the bottleneck  Pick the way to remove the bottleneck  Do the necessary changes to remove the bottlenecks  Once you remove the current bottleneck start the process from the Check capacity of every area stage to find the next bottleneck
  • 105. 105 Let’s have a look how the process of scaling burger business should look like Set a goal Use backward logic to define the pace of growth Check capacity of every area Identify and remove bottlenecks Implement  The main company’s goal is to increase revenues from EUR 50 M to EUR 1 000 M in 10 years from now  The firm has to grow almost 10x. This means that it has to add almost EUR 100 M every year  Since 1 restaurant generated EUR 2.5 M it means that you have to open every year 40 restaurants  Part of the growth may be achieved by Increasing revenue per 1 restaurant  If you assume growth per 1 restaurant check the implications  Burger chain will most likely have a limited capacity in 2 areas o Operations o Recruitment & Training To identify bottlenecks:  Check what stops you from opening more restaurants (too high costs of opening, lack of money for Capex, lack of shopping malls, lack of machines, etc.)  Check what stops you from hiring and training people (lack of people on the market, too low salaries, too many people per 1 restaurant) If the problems were in operations removing bottleneck could mean  Revise Capex and specification of the store to make it cheaper  Find money to finance growth  Create new concepts for suburbs  Build own standalone stores  Consider Shop in Shops  Take over existing chain  Find a new supplier of machines
  • 107. 107 Imagine that you were supposed to say how much you have to spend to create a company that has revenue of $ 100 M dollar Imagine that you were supposed to say how much you have to spend to create a company that has revenue of $ 100 M dollar
  • 108. 108 You could use for that the so called backward reasoning CC: Flickr; Cycle Track
  • 109. 109 Imagine that you were supposed to say how much you have to spend to create a company that has revenue of $ 100 M dollar Total Costs $ 400 M Cost of 1 lead $ 2 K # of leads 200 K ÷ % Conversion 10% x # of customers 20 K Average revenue per customer $ 5 K Revenues $ 100 M x
  • 110. 110 Check the video on YouTube for more details Click here to go to the video
  • 111. 111 Backward logic based decisions – Case Introduction
  • 112. 112 Let’s try to put the backward reasoning to practice. In this case study we will use it to decide what effort has to be done to 10x the current business
  • 113. 113 A few information about the retailer He has currently 100 stores. Each store sales are equal to EUR 2 M He wants to 10x the business up to Year 5 Estimate what LFL growth he must get and how many stores he must open Assuming EUR 1 M per store estimate the Capex Estimate how many people he has to recruit assuming 6 people per store
  • 114. 114 Backward logic based decisions – When it makes sense to use it
  • 115. 115 Backward logic can be used in many situations. Below some of them You have a clear goal in the future but not a clear path towards it You want to estimate the pace needed to reach the goal You want to check the implications for you or your department You want to see what are the limitations preventing you from reaching the goal You want to see whether the goal is not too ambitious You want to see whether the goal does not require too big resources
  • 116. 116 Why we need frameworks for scaling
  • 118. 118 Scaling Sales & Margin – Introduction
  • 119. 119 In this section, we will discuss how you can Scale Sales & Marketing.
  • 120. 120 Just as a reminder scaling the business requires scaling 3 areas and controlling costs Scaling Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training Operations Cost Reduction
  • 121. 121 In this section, we will talk about Scaling Sales & Margin as well as Cost Reduction Scaling Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training Operations Cost Reduction
  • 122. 122 In Scaling Sales & Margin we had 5 different options Scaling Sales & Margin Recruitment & Training Scaling Products Scaling Customers Scaling Brands Retain Current Employees Train faster and more efficiency Increase the pool of potential candidates Scaling Markets Operations Improve efficiency of existing assets Add assets Change technology Add partners Change technology M&A of firms Scaling Distribution Add products that requires less assets Outsourcing
  • 123. 123 We will discuss scaling Sales & Margin but for that, we will use 2 case studies Cosmetics Firm Retail business
  • 124. 124 In this section we will talk about the following things Increase sales framework – Retail & B2B Services Cost reduction framework Increase sales framework – consumer goods Examples how to use the frameworks in practice Increasing margins framework – Retail & B2C Services Case studies of firms scaling sales
  • 125. 125 General Framework for Scaling Sales
  • 126. 126 Let’s have a look at scaling sales framework Scaling sales Scaling Distribution Create new istribution points – exising channels Create new distribution channels M&A of distribution firms Scaling Products Expande existing products Create new (for us) but known products Create totally new products Scaling Customers Get bigger share in exisitng customers Get new customers in existing segments Get new customers in new segments Scaling Brands Create new brands for exisitng customers Create new brands for new customers M&A of brands Scaling Markets Penetrate current markets Increase the size of the market M&A firms from existing markets Acquire ready-made products M&A firms from new markets Enter organically new markets
  • 127. 127 Increasing sales framework – Consumer Goods
  • 128. 128 Let’s have a look at the general framework we can use to increase sales in consumer goods Increase sales Increase Distribution Increase Product Range Price & Discount Policy Increase demand for your product Bigger share on the shelves in the current distribution Better penetration of existing channels Enter new channels Enter new markets (regions, countries) New products within existing categories New categories within existing brands New brands Changing price structure Changing discount policy Changing prices formula Increase consumption per capita Shorten the lifespan of the product Find new customers
  • 129. 129 Check the video on YouTube for more details Click here to go to the video
  • 130. 130 Increasing sales framework – Retail & B2C Services
  • 131. 131 Let’s have a look at the general framework we can use to increase sales in Retail and B2C Services Increase sales New stores LFL / same store growth New Brands New Channels Build faster more stores Create new formats within existing brand Enter new markets (regions, countries) Bring more traffic to existing stores Improve % conversion Increases Average Transaction Value (ATV) Create new retail brands for the same segment but within the same product range Create new retail brands for different segments but within the same product range Create totally new retail concept (different product and segment) Own online Marketplaces and other online stores Franchising Wholesaling Increase selling space within existing stores
  • 133. 133 Let’s have a look at the general framework we can use to cut costs Cut costs Reduce usage Automate Optimize process and costs Renegotiate contracts Eliminate fully certain expenses Change specification – use less of certain thing Change specification – use cheaper substitute Standardized the process using the best practice Automate with software Automate with machine Simplify and optimize processes Replace Opex with capex (analyze Opex vs capex tradeoff) Make it or buy it analyses and if needed outsource or buy outside Renegotiate contracts with current suppliers Change the supplier Change the form of using (i.e. owing something instead of leasing)
  • 134. 134 Check the video on YouTube for more details Click here to go to the video
  • 135. 135 Increasing margins framework – Retail & B2C Services
  • 136. 136 Let’s have a look at the general framework we can use to increase margins in Retail & B2C Services Increase gross margin Improve space productivity Renegotiate contracts Price & Discount Policy Private Labels (PL) Increase the space devoted to more profitable products Change the store layout to have the best sellers in the best places Cross-selling of higher margin products Renegotiate contracts with current suppliers Change the supplier Get additional money / back margin from suppliers Changing price structure Changing discount policy Sell more in 1st price (full prices) Increase the share of the PL In a specific category Introduce PL in new categories Promote PL outside your retail channels
  • 137. 137 How to increase the profitability for cosmetics producer – Problem
  • 138. 138 Imagine that you are working for a cosmetics producers. And you have to increase his profitability 2 brands. 1 stong in Poland the other in Romania No e-commerce Penetration in some regions is stronger than in others Has 2 Head Quarters (in Romania and in Poland) and 4 factories Every factory has different supplier base and buys independently
  • 139. 139 Divide your answer into 2 fields Increase sales Cut costs
  • 140. 140 How to increase the profitability for cosmetics producer – Sales Increase
  • 141. 141 Let’s have a look how we can increase sales in the cosmetics Increase sales of cosmetics Increase distribution Increase Product Range Price & Discount Policy Increase demand for your cosmetics Add e-commerce Improve sales in the regions in which you are under- represented Enter other new channels or enter new markets (regions, countries) Increase your shelf space within the existing partners Consider introducing the Polish brand in Romania and Romanian brand in Poland Add new products within existing categories Add new categories within existing brands Changing price structure. Look at the prices vs competitors Changing discount policy used toward channels Changing pricing for specific channels Increase consumption per capita Find new segments of customers i.e. different age groups / men Find new customers
  • 142. 142 How to increase the profitability for cosmetics producer – Cost Reduction
  • 143. 143 Let’s have a look how you can cut costs in a cosmetics producer Cut costs Improve factories Standardize the product Reduce head offices costs Renegotiate contracts Optimize process in the factories using best practices lean manufacturing, TOC Consider consolidating the production in smaller number of factories Automate production if necessary Check how similar the products are Standardize materials or products Create 1 universal version for all markets Go through the Head Offices costs and organizational chart and check the overlaps Consolidate some functions in 1 place and reduce FTE Get best practices and implement them in both Consolidate purchases of main materials in 1 -2 places Consolidate suppliers Renegotiate contracts with current suppliers or get new ones Simplify and optimize processes at the head-office
  • 144. 144 How to increase the profitability of a retail chain – Problem
  • 145. 145 Imagine that you are working for a fashion discounter that operates a retail chain in Easter Europe Sells mainly cheap fashion, toys and small items for the home No e-commerce Competes with other low cost discounters and hypermarkets
  • 146. 146 Let’s have a look at some KPIs for the firm you are advising and their competitor Size Profitability Pace of growth Cash generation Debt level  Revenues  % EBITDA  % Gross Margin  # of new stores  LFL Growth  Cash to EBITDA ratio,  Inventory in DOS  Payables in DOS  Debt to EBITDA ratio Your Customer Competitor 1 Competitor 2  USD 2 000 M  8%  45%  30  2%  50%  140  70  5.5  USD 1 000 M  15%  55%  10  5%  55%  90  150  1  USD 3 000 M  17%  57%  100  5%  40%  120  200  2 Costs  Head office as % of Sales  Average # of employees per managers and directors  # of managers and directors  11%  4  80  7%  6  30  8%  10  70
  • 147. 147 Divide your answer into 2 fields Increase sales & Margin Cut costs
  • 148. 148 How to increase the profitability of a retail chain – Solution – Sales Increase
  • 149. 149 Just as a reminder you are working for a fashion discounter that operates a retail chain in Easter Europe Sells mainly cheap fashion, toys and small items for the home No e-commerce Competes with other low cost discounters and hypermarkets
  • 150. 150 Let’s first start by analyzing the sales and margin increase Increase sales & Margin Cut costs
  • 151. 151 Let’s have a look at some KPIs for the firm you are advising and their competitor Size Profitability Pace of growth Cash generation Debt level  Revenues  % EBITDA  % Gross Margin  # of new stores  LFL Growth  Cash to EBITDA ratio,  Inventory in DOS  Payables in DOS  Debt to EBITDA ratio Your Customer Competitor 1 Competitor 2  USD 2 000 M  8%  45%  30  2%  50%  140  70  5.5  USD 1 000 M  15%  55%  10  5%  55%  90  150  1  USD 3 000 M  17%  57%  100  5%  40%  120  200  2 Costs  Head office as % of Sales  Average # of employees per managers and directors  # of managers and directors  11%  4  80  7%  6  30  8%  10  70
  • 152. 152 Let’s have a look how we can increase sales and margin for our customer Increase sales & margin Open more new stores Find ways to increase LFL sales Expand some categories Gross Margin Build faster more stores in existing markets – 2x or 3x Enter new markets (regions, countries) Create new formats if needed Bring more traffic to existing stores Improve % conversion Increases Average Transaction Value (ATV) Check sales and margin densities per category Consider expanding some categories Consider totally new categories for the same target group Renegotiate with suppliers Do value engineering Look for cheaper suppliers Consolidate some products or suppliers Increase selling space within existing stores
  • 153. 153 How to increase the profitability of a retail chain – Solution – Cost Reduction
  • 154. 154 Just as a reminder you are working for a fashion discounter that operates a retail chain in Easter Europe Sells mainly cheap fashion, toys and small items for the home No e-commerce Competes with other low cost discounters and hypermarkets
  • 155. 155 Let’s first have a look at how to cut costs Increase sales & Margin Cut costs
  • 156. 156 Let’s have a look at some KPIs for the firm you are advising and their competitor Size Profitability Pace of growth Cash generation Debt level  Revenues  % EBITDA  % Gross Margin  # of new stores  LFL Growth  Cash to EBITDA ratio,  Inventory in DOS  Payables in DOS  Debt to EBITDA ratio Your Customer Competitor 1 Competitor 2  USD 2 000 M  8%  45%  30  2%  50%  140  70  5.5  USD 1 000 M  15%  55%  10  5%  55%  90  150  1  USD 3 000 M  17%  57%  100  5%  40%  120  200  2 Costs  Head office as % of Sales  Average # of employees per managers and directors  # of managers and directors  11%  4  80  7%  6  30  8%  10  70
  • 157. 157 Let’s have a look how we could cut costs in the Retailer Cut costs Reduce Head-office costs Improve inventory management Reduce Store costs Renegotiate contracts Decrease the number of directors and managers Simplify the structure Simplify and optimize processes in the Head-office Check why they keep so high level of stock and change the algorithm / policies Sell deadweight stock (non- rotating) Keep more stock in the central warehouse Simplify and optimize processes in the stores Replace Opex with capex (analyze Opex vs capex tradeoff) Destock the stores Renegotiate contracts to increase the payment terms Make the supplier do certain things currently done by you Look for optimal size of logistic delivery batches
  • 158. 158 Scaling Sales and Margin – Amazon
  • 159. 159 Let’s see how Amazon has scaled Sales & Margin Scaling Sales & Margin Scaling Distribution Get Walmart distribution experts Expand warehouse & Fulfilment centers M&A of Whole Foods – grocery retail chain Scaling Products Increase number of products across 17 marketplaces Add constantly new categories Switching form e- commerce to marketplaces Scaling Customers Simplify online shopping – 1-click buy Suggested products using AI & Review system for products Amazon Prime & shortening delivery time Scaling Brands M&A of competitors Introduce private labels brands: Amazon Basics, Presto, Solimo etc. Amazon positioned as a search engine Digital brands: Amazon Kindle, Audible B2B brands: AWS, Amazon Direct Publishing, Merch by Amazon Scaling Markets Create separate sites for different markets and localized offer Aggressive marketing campaigns Sell products outside the markets on which they are present Invest in Google AdWords to re-direct traffic to Amazon Remove obstacles & frictions in online world Alexa / Amazon Echo – new way to order fast Offer subscription of products Create sub-marketplace i.e. Handmade Sell digital products Create own retail chains i.e. Amazon Go, Amazon Books M&A other firms i.e. Zappos M&A of other firms i.e. Twitch, IMDb Cross-selling of products – Kindle & Audible Enter B2C services – most likely healthcare
  • 160. 160 Check the video on YouTube for more details Click here to go to the video
  • 161. 161 Scaling Sales & Margin– Beer Producer
  • 162. 162 Beer production is dominated by 3 groups: Heineken, Carlsberg and AB InBev. They have used similar tactics in scaling operations.
  • 163. 163 Let’s see how beer producers have scaled Sales & Margin. Scaling Sales and Margin Scaling Distribution Bigger share on the shelves Increase Weighted & Numeric Distribution Create own logistics to reach more customers Scaling Products Different tastes of beer adjusted to local taste Low alcohol beer Non-alcoholic beverages Scaling Customers Convince customers to drink more beer Create low-calories beers, and low alcohol beer Convince to drink beer in the winter (warm beer) Scaling Brands Expand the reach of the main local brands Introduce international brands they own M&A small craft beer brands Create brands that pretend to be craft beers Scaling Markets Penetrate markets they operate on Increase the general beer consumption Alter the law – make it more difficult to drink vodka, wine etc. M&A firms from existing markets M&A firms from new markets Create beer aimed at wine consumers (fruit based) Beer aimed at women (usually lighter, sweeter) Copy craft beers Introduce other alcoholic products (i.e. cider) Direct distribution to HORECA Special deals with Cinema chains, events organizers,
  • 166. 166 In many cases, the firms have to be very creative when it comes to Scaling Operations. In this section, we will look again at frameworks and case studies.
  • 167. 167 In this section we will talk about the following things Scaling Operations – Amazon Scaling Operations – Beer Producer General Framework for Scaling Operations Scaling Operations – Chicken Meat Producer Scaling Operations – Airlines
  • 168. 168 General Framework for Scaling Operations
  • 169. 169 Let’s have a look at the scaling operations framework Scaling operations Improve the efficiency of existing assets Optimize processes Remove bottleneck Automate Add assets Create assets Buy / rent assets Use partners assets Change technology Switch to more available materials Find technology that requires different assets Find cheaper technology Add partners Recruit new partners Create ecosystem that helps the growth of partners Make it easier to become a partner Take over partners Take over the area (Vertical Integration) Add products that requires less assets Modified products requiring less assets Digital Products Products Delivered by others M&A firms Reduce Inventory Services
  • 171. 171 Automate store work (Amazon Go) Amazon Lockers, Drones, self driving, zeppelins Let’s see how Amazon has scaled its operations Scaling Operations Improve efficiency of existing assets Improvement of fulfilment & warehouse processes KPI system that measures efficiency and set goals Automate work (Amazon Robotics) Add assets Add constantly new fulfillment centers Buy & Rent trucks, planes etc. Use partners assets for the last mile – Amazon Flex Change technology Automate warehouse work (Amazon Robotics) Add partners Switch from e-commerce to marketplace Make it easier to sell – Fulfillment by Amazon Providing short-term business loans to sellers – Amazon Lending Make easier self publishing – Amazon Direct Publishing Optimization of process of adding new partners – Amazon Marketplace Add products that requires less assets Amazon Kindle / Audible Amazon Video Amazon Prime Advertising on Amazon M&A of Twitch, Audible Acquisition Of Whole Foods, Zappos Vertical Integration – Amazon Web Service
  • 172. 172 Check the video on YouTube for more details Click here to go to the video
  • 174. 174 Beer production is dominated by 3 groups: Heineken, Carlsberg and AB InBev. They have used similar tactics in scaling operations.
  • 175. 175 Let’s have a look at the scaling operations framework Scaling Operations Improve efficiency of existing assets Optimize brewing process Remove bottlenecks in the supply chain Automate Add assets M&A of main players on other markets Expand acquired assets (factories) Create own distribution systems Change technology In some cases they switch from malt to barley Adopt new packaging types Automation Add partners Help partners develop supporting business Partners include: malt producers, farmers, drivers Help partners lower costs i.e. buying groups Take over malt production Take over packaging production Add products that requires less assets Low alcohol light beers Non-alcoholic beverages Investments in assets in other part of value chain Reduce Inventory in the supply chain Heat and energy re- usage In some cases take over barley production Speed up brewing process
  • 177. 177 Now let’s see how meat producers scale their operations. As an example, we will use here a chicken meat producer
  • 178. 178 Let’s have a look at how chicken producer scale their operations Scaling operations Improve efficiency of existing assets Find optimal life of a chicken Automate Speed up meat growth Add assets Organic growth of factories, farms M&A of factories, farms, etc. Create own distribution systems Change technology New races of chickens New feed mixtures Automation Add partners Help partners develop supporting businesses Main partners: chicken farms and grain farms Help partners lower costs i.e. buying groups Take over chicken breeding Take over growing grain Add products that requires less assets Chicken meat / sausages with additives Chicken meat / with vegetables Investments in assets in other part of value chain Utilize the space efficiently Growing meat in labs Keep the chickens close to the factory Ready made dishes using chicken meat
  • 179. 179 Scaling Operations in Airlines – Case Introduction
  • 180. 180 Let's imagine that an airline company is considering scaling the business. Help them estimate what it will mean for them.
  • 181. 181 The airlines hubs are located in Easter Europe The company operates around 120 destinations Annual revenues are EUR 50 M and they want to increase them to EUR 5 000 M A few information about the firm You were asked to estimate what they will need to do to scale the business
  • 182. 182 For more details and content check my online course where you can find case studies showing analyses along with detailed calculations in Excel Scaling Business for Management Consultants & Managers $190 $19 Click here to check my course
  • 184. 184 Scaling Recruitment & Training – Introduction
  • 185. 185 Let’s have a look how the process of Scaling Recruitment & Training should look like.
  • 186. 186 In this section we will talk about the following things Scaling Recruitment & Training – Amazon Scaling Recruitment & Training – Retailers General Framework for Scaling Recruitment & Training
  • 187. 187 General Framework for Scaling Recruitment & Training
  • 188. 188 Let’s have a look at the general framework for Scaling Recruitment & Training Scaling Recruitment & Training Retain Current Employees Train faster and more efficiently Increase the pool of potential candidates Change technology M&A of firms Outsourcing Development programs Pay according to qualification & merits Pay above the market Online training courses Working across departments Coaching & mentoring Build offices / factories in different cities Remote work Allow people to work half-time Use assets to increase productivity Replace employees with software Replace employees with machine M&A of firms instead of organic growth Acqui-hiring Temporary employment agencies Employee leasing Full outsourcing Hire minorities Fire the wrong people A mix of experienced and new employees Go to countries that are beyond the general interest Bonus system
  • 189. 189 Check the video on YouTube for more details Click here to go to the video
  • 190. 190 Scaling Recruitment & Training – Amazon
  • 191. 191 Let’s look at how Amazon has scaled recruitment and training Scaling Recruitment & Training Retain Current Employees Train faster and more efficiently Increase the pool of potential candidates Change technology M&A of firms Outsourcing Development Programs 2-pizza team rule Corporate startup culture Hire the right people - Bar Raiser program Standard programs Coaching and mentoring program Opening Amazon offices all around the world Second Head Office project Mobile hiring events (Mobile Office) Automate warehouse work Automate store work (Amazon Go) Amazon Lockers, drones, self driving, zeppelins M&A of Zappos, Twitch, Audible Acqui-hiring of startups Outsource Logistics Amazon Flex Shifting work to partners Amazon Prep Centers Flexible hours Opportunities coming form constant growth
  • 192. 192 Scaling Recruitment & Training – Retailers
  • 193. 193 Let’s have a look at what top retailers are doing when it comes to scaling recruitment & training.
  • 194. 194 Let’s see how retailers have scaled recruitment and training Scaling Recruitment & Training Retain Current Employees Train faster and more efficiently Increase the pool of potential candidates Change technology M&A of firms Outsourcing Mainly accept for entry level positions High bonuses paid after high season Stress Internal Promotions Internal Training Firms Provide simple supporting materials Balanced mixed of new & experienced Pay employees for referring potential candidates Hire minorities Offer part-time opportunites Mobile apps & tools to increase productivity Replace employees with software Replace employees with machine M&A of e-commerce firms M&A of big data firms Temporary employment agencies Employee leasing Full outsourcing i.e. maintenance Shared Service Centrers Internal Academy for future managers Online training and mobile apps Finance additional education
  • 195. 195 Check the video on YouTube for more details Click here to go to the video
  • 197. 197 Useful supporting techniques – Introduction
  • 198. 198 In scaling 2 nice techniques can prove very useful: 10x using first principals and Enabling Investment. We will discuss them in this section.
  • 199. 199 In this section we will talk about the following things Reduce water using 10x framework Decrease cost using 10x framework 10 x current solution using first principals Enabling Investments – Examples Enabling Investments – General concept
  • 200. 200 10 x current solution using first principles
  • 201. 201 One of the ways in which you can come up with new business ideas is to use the 10x framework where you resort to so called first principles. This is favorite method of Elon Musk.
  • 202. 202 There are 3 main ways in which you can improve existing business. This will help you come up with the proper business idea Improving existing business Make it faster Make it better Make it cheaper Ikea Dell MacDonald Uber Apple
  • 203. 203 Let’s see how you can use this technique Identify what you want to improve Identify the business drivers of the business Estimate the impact of the drivers on your business Select what and how you would like to change Implement the changes  Think about whether you want your product, service to be cheaper, faster or better  Select one or up to two features you want to improve  Learn what are the drivers of your business  Identify how drivers affect your business and your results  Prepare the calculation in Excel  See what has to change in terms of each and every driver to achieve the goal of 10x the specific feature (cost, speed, customer satisfaction)  Choose a few drivers that you want to change to make your product cheaper, better or faster  Decide how you would like to change them  Implement the selected changes to your business  Remember to monitor the progress of changes during and after the implementation to be sure that you have achieved your goal
  • 204. 204 Check the video on YouTube for more details Click here to go to the video
  • 205. 205 In the next lectures we will have a look at 2 case studies Reduce water consumption Decrease cost per 1 seat
  • 206. 206 Reduce water using 10x framework – Case Introduction
  • 207. 207 Let’s imagine that you want to drastically reduce the usage of water. Use the 10x framework to achieve this.
  • 208. 208 You don’t know what is your water consumption currently You want to estimate both direct and indirect water consumption Direct involves bathing, drinking water, using water for cleaning A few information about the problem Indirect involves the usage of water for producing products for you
  • 209. 209 Just as a reminder below the 10x framework that I recommend using Identify what you want to improve Identify the business drivers of the business Estimate the impact of the drivers on your business Select what and how you would like to change Implement the changes  Think about whether you want your product, service to be cheaper, faster or better  Select one or up to two features you want to improve  Learn what are the drivers of your business  Identify how drivers affect your business and your results  Prepare the calculation in Excel  See what has to change in terms of each and every driver to achieve the goal of 10x the specific feature (cost, speed, customer satisfaction)  Choose a few drivers that you want to change to make your product cheaper, better or faster  Decide how you would like to change them  Implement the selected changes to your business  Remember to monitor the progress of changes during and after the implementation to be sure that you have achieved your goal
  • 210. 210 Reduce water using 10x framework – Drivers
  • 211. 211 Just as a reminder you want to drastically reduce the usage of water. Use the 10x framework to achieve this
  • 212. 212 You don’t know what is your water consumption currently You want to estimate both direct and indirect water consumption Direct involves bathing, drinking water, using water for cleaning A few information about the situation Indirect involves the usage of water for producing products for you
  • 213. 213 The general 10x framework using first principles looks like this Identify what you want to improve Identify the business drivers of the business Estimate the impact of the drivers on your business Select what and how you would like to change Implement the changes  Think about whether you want your business to be cheaper, faster or better  Select one or up to two features you want to improve  Learn what are the drivers of your business  Identify how drivers affect your business and your results  Prepare the calculation in Excel  See what has to change in terms of each and every driver to achieve the goal of 10x the specific feature (cost, speed, customer satisfaction)  Choose a few drivers that you want to change to make your business cheaper, better or faster  Decide how you would like to change them  Implement the selected changes to your business  Remember to monitor the progress of changes during and after the implementation to be sure that you have achieved your goal
  • 214. 214 Let’s apply it to our case study  We want to reduce water consumption expressed in liters of water  We will look at direct and indirect consumption  The main drivers affecting your water consumptions are: o Frequency of consumption o # of liters consumed / used per consumption  We will look at drivers for different categories: Bathing, Drinking water, Water used for growing vegetables, producing meat, clothing, cleaning dishes Identify what you want to improve Identify the business drivers of the business Estimate the impact of the drivers on your business Select what and how you would like to change Implement the changes
  • 215. 215 Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on Bathing Drinking water Water used for growing vegetables Total water consumption Water used for producing meat Water used for producing clothing's Water used for cleaning the dishes Other sources +
  • 216. 216 Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on # of times you take a bath Water usage per 1 bathing x Bathing Drinking water Water used for growing vegetables Total water consumption Water used for producing meat Water used for producing clothing's Water used for cleaning the dishes Other sources +
  • 217. 217 Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on # of days # of liters that you drink per day x Bathing Drinking water Water used for growing vegetables Total water consumption Water used for producing meat Water used for producing clothing's Water used for cleaning the dishes Other sources +
  • 218. 218 Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on # of days Amount of vegetables eaten per day Water required to grow 1kg of vegetables x Bathing Drinking water Water used for growing vegetables Total water consumption Water used for producing meat Water used for producing clothing's Water used for cleaning the dishes Other sources +
  • 219. 219 Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on # of days Amount of meat eaten per day Water required to produce 1 kg of meat x Bathing Drinking water Water used for growing vegetables Total water consumption Water used for producing meat Water used for producing clothing's Water used for cleaning the dishes Other sources +
  • 220. 220 Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on # of pieces of clothing bought a month Water required to produce 1 piece x Bathing Drinking water Water used for growing vegetables Total water consumption Water used for producing meat Water used for producing clothing's Water used for cleaning the dishes Other sources +
  • 221. 221 Now let’s see what the water consumption depends on # cleanings per month Water usage per 1 cleaning x Bathing Drinking water Water used for growing vegetables Total water consumption Water used for producing meat Water used for producing clothing's Water used for cleaning the dishes Other sources +
  • 222. 222 Let’s have a look at the following options Currently  You use water for all needed activities  You don't make any changes to your behavior or habits Description of the options Option 1 – change of frequencies  You limit the frequency of performed activities Option 2 – change of frequencies, mix  You limit the frequency of performed activities  You change your behavior by reducing the meat and increasing the vegetables consumption Option 3 – change of frequencies, mix & method  You limit the frequency of performed activities  You change your behavior by reducing the meat and increasing the vegetables consumption  You change the bathing method by pouring less water into the bathtub or showering faster Option 4 – change of frequencies, mix, method & technology  You limit the frequency of performed activities  You change your behavior by reducing the meat and increasing the vegetables consumption  You change the bathing method by pouring less water into the bathtub or showering faster  You use brand new technologies (i.e. meat grown artificially, atomizing shower system like Nebia)
  • 223. 223 Reduce water using 10x framework – Summary
  • 224. 224 Just as a reminder you want to drastically reduce the usage of water. Use the 10x framework to achieve this
  • 225. 225 You don’t know what is your water consumption currently You want to estimate both direct and indirect water consumption Direct involves bathing, drinking water, using water for cleaning A few information about the situation Indirect involves the usage of water for producing products for you
  • 226. 226 We looked at 4 options that can help us get to the target Currently  You use water for all needed activities  You don't make any changes to your behavior or habits Description of the options Option 1 – change of frequencies  You limit the frequency of performed activities Option 2 – change of frequencies, mix  You limit the frequency of performed activities  You change your behavior by reducing the meat and increasing the vegetables consumption Option 3 – change of frequencies, mix & method  You limit the frequency of performed activities  You change your behavior by reducing the meat and increasing the vegetables consumption  You change the bathing method by pouring less water into the bathtub or showering faster Option 4 – change of frequencies, mix, method & technology  You limit the frequency of performed activities  You change your behavior by reducing the meat and increasing the vegetables consumption  You change the bathing method by pouring less water into the bathtub or showering faster  You use brand new technologies (i.e. meat grown artificially, atomizing shower system like Nebia)
  • 227. 227 The general 10x framework using first principles looks like this Identify what you want to improve Identify the business drivers of the business Estimate the impact of the drivers on your business Select what and how you would like to change Implement the changes  Think about whether you want your business to be cheaper, faster or better  Select one or up to two features you want to improve  Learn what are the drivers of your business  Identify how drivers affect your business and your results  Prepare the calculation in Excel  See what has to change in terms of each and every driver to achieve the goal of 10x the specific feature (cost, speed, customer satisfaction)  Choose a few drivers that you want to change to make your business cheaper, better or faster  Decide how you would like to change them  Implement the selected changes to your business  Remember to monitor the progress of changes during and after the implementation to be sure that you have achieved your goal
  • 228. 228 Let’s summarize what we have done  We want to reduce water consumption expressed in liters of water  We will look at direct and indirect consumption  The main drivers affecting your water consumptions are: o # of water liters consumed o Time of consumption o Frequency of consumption  We will look at exact drivers for different categories: Bathing, Drinking water, Water used for growing vegetables, producing meat, clothing, cleaning dishes Identify what you want to improve Identify the business drivers of the business Estimate the impact of the drivers on your business Select what and how you would like to change Implement the changes  The biggest impact comes from reducing meat consumption and buying fewer clothes  We would implement Option 3  Option 4 requires in most cases a cheaper technology  To get to 10x we most likely have to further reduce certain activities
  • 229. 229 Let’s summarize what every option helps us achieve 77 30 28 23 9 Current water consumption Option 1 - change of frequencies Option 2 - change of frequencies, mix Option 3 - change of frequencies, mix & method Option 4 - change of frequencies, mix, method & technology Monthly water consumption In thousands of liters
  • 230. 230 We can also look at the incremental impact of every option 77 47 2 5 14 9 Current water consumption Option 1 - change of frequencies Option 2 - change of frequencies, mix Option 3 - change of frequencies, mix & method Option 4 - change of frequencies, mix, method & technology Target water consumption Monthly water consumption and incremental reduction delivered by options In thousands of liters
  • 231. 231 Let’s also look at the reduction by type of usage. The biggest impact is from reducing the meat consumption and buying less clothes 5 0 2 42 19 1 0 68 Bathing Drinking Water Water Used for growing vegetables Water used for producing meat Water used for producing clothing Water for cleaning the dishes Other sources Total Monthly reduction in water consumptions by type of usage In thousands of liters
  • 232. 232 Decrease cost using 10x framework – Case Introduction
  • 233. 233 Let’s imagine that you are an owner of a bus company and you want to find a way to make the cost per 1 seat cheaper. Use the 10x framework
  • 234. 234 They have 300 buses Currently they use 1-floor diesel buses They want to dominate the European market A few information about the firm To achieve that they need to lower the cost per 1 seat
  • 235. 235 The general 10x framework using first principles looks like this Identify what you want to improve Identify the business drivers of the business Estimate the impact of the drivers on your business Select what and how you would like to change Implement the changes  Think about whether you want your business to be cheaper, faster or better  Select one or up to two features you want to improve  Learn what are the drivers of your business  Identify how drivers affect your business and your results  Prepare the calculation in Excel  See what has to change in terms of each and every driver to achieve the goal of 10x the specific feature (cost, speed, customer satisfaction)  Choose a few drivers that you want to change to make your business cheaper, better or faster  Decide how you would like to change them  Implement the selected changes to your business  Remember to monitor the progress of changes during and after the implementation to be sure that you have achieved your goal
  • 236. 236 Decrease cost using 10x framework – Drivers
  • 237. 237 Just as a reminder you are an owner of a bus company and you want to find a way to make the cost per 1 seat cheaper. Use the 10x framework
  • 238. 238 They have 300 buses Currently they use 1-floor diesel buses They want to dominate the European market A few information about the firm To achieve that they need to lower the cost per 1 seat
  • 239. 239 The general 10x framework using first principles looks like this Identify what you want to improve Identify the business drivers of the business Estimate the impact of the drivers on your business Select what and how you would like to change Implement the changes  Think about whether you want your business to be cheaper, faster or better  Select one or up to two features you want to improve  Learn what are the drivers of your business  Identify how drivers affect your business and your results  Prepare the calculation in Excel  See what has to change in terms of each and every driver to achieve the goal of 10x the specific feature (cost, speed, customer satisfaction)  Choose a few drivers that you want to change to make your business cheaper, better or faster  Decide how you would like to change them  Implement the selected changes to your business  Remember to monitor the progress of changes during and after the implementation to be sure that you have achieved your goal
  • 240. 240 Let’s apply it to our case study  You are the owner of a bus company that transports people from city A to B  You want to lower the cost per seat 10x  The main drivers affecting your business are: o Number of customers o Cost per km / hour o Duration or the distance of the trip  We will look at 4 main groups of costs: driver costs, fuel, maintenance cost and leasing cost Identify what you want to improve Identify the business drivers of the business Estimate the impact of the drivers on your business Select what and how you would like to change Implement the changes
  • 241. 241 Profit from any trip will depend on 2 things: revenue and costs Profit from the trip Revenue from tickets sales Costs of the trip -
  • 242. 242 Revenues will depend on 2 things as well: price of a ticket and number of seats Profit from the trip Revenue from tickets sales Costs of the trip x Price for 1 ticket # of seats (potential customers) % Utilization x
  • 243. 243 We have 4 main cost positions Profit from the trip Revenue from ticket sales Costs of the trip - Cost of the driver Cost of fuel Cost of maintenance Cost of leasing +
  • 244. 244 Let’s have a look what the cost of the driver depends on Profit from the trip Revenue from ticket sales Costs of the trip - Cost of the driver Cost of fuel Cost of maintenance Cost of leasing + Average salary per hour # of drivers # hours (duration of the trip) x
  • 245. 245 Let’s have a look what the cost of the fuel depends on Profit from the trip Revenue from ticket sales Costs of the trip - Cost of the driver Cost of fuel Cost of maintenance Cost of leasing + Cost of fuel per 1 km # km (trip length) x
  • 246. 246 Let’s have a look what the cost of the maintenance depends on Profit from the trip Revenue from ticket sales Costs of the trip - Cost of the driver Cost of fuel Cost of maintenance Cost of leasing + Average cost of maintenance per 1 km # km (trip length) x
  • 247. 247 Let’s have a look what the cost of leasing depends on Profit from the trip Revenue from ticket sales Costs of the trip - Cost of the driver Cost of fuel Cost of maintenance Cost of leasing + Purchasing price of the bus # of km that the bus will be used ÷ # km (trip length) x
  • 248. 248 In our drive to lower the costs 10x we will consider 3 scenarios Currently  For transporting people you use a standard, one-floor bus driven by gasoline Description of the options Option 1 – change bus model  You change the bus model from one-floor to two-floor bus to increase the number of potential customers  Your bus still uses gas / petrol Option 2 – change bus model and power supply  You change the bus model from one-floor to two-floor bus to increase the number of potential customers  Your also switch to electric engine Option 3 – change bus model, power supply and self driving  You change the bus model from one-floor to two-floor bus to increase the number of potential customers  Your also switch to electric engine  The bus is self-driven
  • 249. 249 Decrease cost using 10x framework – Summary
  • 250. 250 Just as a reminder you are an owner of a bus company and you want to find a way to make the cost per 1 seat cheaper. Use the 10x framework
  • 251. 251 They have 300 buses Currently they use 1-floor diesel buses They want to dominate the European market A few information about the firm To achieve that they need to lower the cost per 1 seat
  • 252. 252 In our drive to lower the costs 10x we considered 3 scenarios Currently  For transporting people you use a standard, one-floor bus driven by gasoline Description of the options Option 1 – change bus model  You change the bus model from one-floor to two-floor bus to increase the number of potential customers  Your bus still uses gas / petrol Option 2 – change bus model and power supply  You change the bus model from one-floor to two-floor bus to increase the number of potential customers  Your also switch to electric engine Option 3 – change bus model, power supply and self driving  You change the bus model from one-floor to two-floor bus to increase the number of potential customers  Your also switch to electric engine  The bus is self-driven
  • 253. 253 After we did the calculations in Excel we will do from the suggested changes  You are the owner of a bus company that transports people from city A to B  You would like to change your business and make it cheaper  The main drivers affecting your business are: o Number of customers o Cost of fuel o Cost of the driver o Cost of maintenance o Cost of mortgage  We have identified 3 options that help us get closer to 10x cheaper cost per seat  We will implement option 2  This will help us go down from EUR 7.4 per seat to EUR 2.3 per seat  Moving to self- driving buses will be done when the technology is available. This will help us go down to EUR 1.1 per seat  In our case implementing the change would mean ordering new buses and slowly but surely changing the whole fleet Identify what you want to improve Identify the business drivers of the business Estimate the impact of the drivers on your business Select what and how you would like to change Implement the changes
  • 254. 254 Let’s summarize what every option helps us achieve 7,4 4,2 2,3 1,1 Currently Option 1 - change bus model Option 2 - change bus model and power supply Option 3 - change bus model, power supply and self driving Cost pe 1 seat In EUR per seat per average trip
  • 256. 256 In many cases your demand is limited by something that you cannot control directly. In this cases you may be interested in enabling investments
  • 257. 257 Enabling investments help you drive the demand or sales by removing the main bottleneck – lack of the demand 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Yours sales Market sales Market sales and yours sales In thousand
  • 258. 258 Enabling investment can be done in different places depending on where the bottleneck is Enabling Investments Demand side Supply side Distribution side Increase the demand from current customers Increase the number of potential customers Find new applications for your products Kill substitutes Increase throughput of bottlenecks Increase the availability of required resources and materials Increase availability of potential employees Increase the throughput of the distribution system Create your own distribution – existing channels Create your own distribution – new channels
  • 259. 259 In the next lectures we will have a look at 2 case studies Retail chain for kids’ products Tesla
  • 261. 261 Let’s have a look how a retail chain for kids’ products can do enabling investments to support the sales of its products
  • 262. 262 Let’s have a look how retail chain for kids products managed to apply this strategy Enabling Investments Demand side Supply side Distribution side Increased funding for programs and services for expectant families Investments in businesses related to children, e.g. kindergartens Start selling your products to older age groups Develop care programs for children whose parents work professionally Set-up recruitment and training program for employees Start cooperation with local manufacturers Automate warehouses and stores Create new concepts to be able to enter new regions Expand into online and marketplace Create own vending chain or lockers for parcels chains
  • 263. 263 Let’s have a look how Tesla was doing enabling investments to support the sales of its cars
  • 264. 264 Let’s have a look how Tesla managed to apply this strategy Enabling Investments Demand side Supply side Distribution side Convince governments and regulators to support electric cars usage Develop infrastructure to facilitate the use of electric cars, e.g. supercharger network Invest in solar production capacity (Solar City, Powerwall, Solar Roofs) Provide car insurance for Tesla cars Build the cars from a scratch to simplify it Eliminate a large number of intermediaries and create own components for the car Build own factory for batteries Own retail chain to sell cars Service centers combined with sales centers Tesla Rangers – mobile technicians who can service vehicles from your house Automate the work in the factories (fewer employees needed)
  • 265. 265 For more details and content check my online course where you can find case studies showing analyses along with detailed calculations in Excel Scaling Business for Management Consultants & Managers $190 $19 Click here to check my course