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Retention (in 20 minutes)
JUNE 2019
Brought to you by
Whomever gets closest to the customer wins.
We need to get to value quicker and more deeply or we will fail.
HOW RETENTION IS CHANGING
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First, some background.
Brought to you by
PROFITWELL
Free financial metrics for
subscription businesses.
Churn
tribution
Financial
Unit
Price
Survey
Willingness to
In-App Usage
Drastically reduce churnRETAINTM
Audit proof revenue recognition
RECOGNIZED
Proprietary pricing software for
monetization
PRICE INTELLIGENTLY
We’ve studied more real SaaS data
than anyone else out there.
Brought to you by
Brought to you by
Whomever gets closest to the customer wins.
We need to get to value quicker and more deeply or we will fail.
HOW RETENTION IS CHANGING
Brought to you by
Why now?
It’s all about the benjamins…
…we just don’t like to keep the benjamins…
What percentage of a company’s
budget goes to acquisition?
~63%
What percentage of teams have
an actual retention strategy?
2 out of 10
(~22%)
Acquisition is now table stakes.
WE FOCUS ON THE WRONG FUNDAMENTALS
Impact of Improving Each Pillar of Your Business
Monetization and retention based growth far outpaces acquisition based growth. This impact is getting
greater over time.
%IMPACTONREVENUE
SOURCE: 2016 STUDY ON COMPANY UNIT ECONOMICS
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
ACQUISITION MONETIZATION RETENTION
2.663%
4.85%
2012 - 2014 2015 - 2018
N
1.6k
N = Data from 1.6k subscription commerce companies
PILLAR OF THE BUSINESS
Brought to you by
WE FOCUS ON THE WRONG FUNDAMENTALS
Impact of Improving Each Pillar of Your Business
Monetization and retention based growth far outpaces acquisition based growth. This impact is getting
greater over time.
%IMPACTONREVENUE
SOURCE: 2016 STUDY ON COMPANY UNIT ECONOMICS
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
ACQUISITION MONETIZATION RETENTION
14.588%
16.884%
2.663%
8.83%
10.74%
4.85%
2012 - 2014 2015 - 2018
N
1.6k
PILLAR OF THE BUSINESS
Brought to you by
N = Data from 1.6k subscription commerce companies
WE FOCUS ON THE WRONG FUNDAMENTALS
Impact of Improving Each Pillar of Your Business
Monetization and retention based growth far outpaces acquisition based growth. This impact is getting
greater over time.
%IMPACTONREVENUE
SOURCE: 2016 STUDY ON COMPANY UNIT ECONOMICS
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
ACQUISITION MONETIZATION RETENTION
14.588%
16.884%
2.663%
8.83%
10.74%
4.85%
2012 - 2014 2015 - 2018
N
1.4k
PILLAR OF THE BUSINESS
Brought to you by
N = Data from 1.6k subscription commerce companies
There are clear winners and losers
in this environment.
CLEAR WINNERS AND LOSERS
Comparing Growth Strategies of Companies
Acquisition based growth companies grow at a smaller rate than those with a balanced growth
approach (growth from all three pillars of growth).
YOYGROWTHRATE
SOURCE: 2016 STUDY ON GROWTH
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015
50.81%49.81%47.91%48.91%
25.71%27.1%
31.09%
34.67%
Primarily Acquisition Growth
Balanced Growth
N
512
N = Minimum of 512 companies per segment pulled from the middle 2/3 of companies in terms of
growth rate. This, along with a dampening model was used to control for outlier spikes in growth rate.
TL:DR?
Acquiring customers is just one piece of the
puzzle, but that’s where we put all of our
focus and it’s not going to turn out well.
Brought to you by
Let’s get a baseline of retention
understanding.
Retention is a math formula.
Retention Consists of Three Main Parts
Active Cancellations
A subscriber actively choosing
to end their subscription due to
some sort of dissatisfaction or
lack of use.
Payment Cancellations
A credit card failing due to
expiration, limits, or technical
issues with gateway or
processing company (130+
reasons this happens).
Expansion
A subscriber expanding the
amount of revenue they’re
providing you through upsell/
cross-sell or more usage.
Gross Churn
Active Cancellations + Expansion Revenue + Payment Failures
Where should you be?
Company Age correlates with lower churn
Brought to you by
Optimizing Retention
Time to value.
You need to understand your customer.
Because you definitely don’t…
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Revenue Drivers
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT
Calculating the expected impact of product on growth
DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP
RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
Differentiable Features
High Value/High WTP
Add-Ons
Low Value/High WTP
Core Features
High Value/Low WTP
Trash Land
Low Value/Low WTP
Brought to you by your friends at
For companies who do customer research,
how much lower do you think their churn is?
-47%
You need to understand your customer.
Brought to you by
Switch up to a value metric.
Value metrics reduce churn considerably
Brought to you by
More tactically experiment with annuals
Longer term contracts greatly reduce cancellations.
Time to Value
Longer term = lower cancellations
Brought to you by
Credit Card Failures
20-40% of your churn
Lower. Always lower.
We’re only recovering 3 out of 10 of these folks
You need to treat these folks as a marketing channel.
It’s a game of inches.
RETAIN
Reduce churn through targeted campaigns
POINTOFFAILURE
NO SIGN-IN NEEDED FORMSSMART RETRIESINTELLIGENT AT RISK
MONITORING
+5%
EXPIRATION TRACKING
+5%
+10%
EMAIL AND IN-APP NOTIFICATIONS
+40%
+15%
Retain scans card & transaction metadata and
delivers pre-dunning notifications at just the
right time to at-risk users.
Utilizing historical and usage data, Retain
monitors when the best time is to ask for an
updated credit card from an expiring user.
Message copy greatly influences recovery.
Retain is constantly adjusting timing and
content of notifications to optimize recovery.
Retain retries a customer's credit card when
there's the highest chance of recovery.
Retain reduces friction immensely by not
requiring a user to login to update their payment
information
Towards the end and beyond the point of
failure, Retain will lock out a delinquent user,
allowing for a long tail of recovery.
LOCKOUT (OPTIONAL)
+8%
DO NOT do pre-dunning emails
+11-18% in active churn
DO NOT use stylized emails
Don’t require a sign-in form
Make sure you’re locking out folks.
RETAIN
Reduce churn through targeted campaigns
POINTOFFAILURE
NO SIGN-IN NEEDED FORMSSMART RETRIESINTELLIGENT AT RISK
MONITORING
+5%
EXPIRATION TRACKING
+5%
+10%
EMAIL AND IN-APP NOTIFICATIONS
+40%
+15%
Retain scans card & transaction metadata and
delivers pre-dunning notifications at just the
right time to at-risk users.
Utilizing historical and usage data, Retain
monitors when the best time is to ask for an
updated credit card from an expiring user.
Message copy greatly influences recovery.
Retain is constantly adjusting timing and
content of notifications to optimize recovery.
Retain retries a customer's credit card when
there's the highest chance of recovery.
Retain reduces friction immensely by not
requiring a user to login to update their payment
information
Towards the end and beyond the point of
failure, Retain will lock out a delinquent user,
allowing for a long tail of recovery.
LOCKOUT (OPTIONAL)
+8%
Payment failures = highest impact lever for you now.
Brought to you by
Enough? Everyone get some value?
Brought to you by
Whomever gets closest to the customer wins.
We need to get to value quicker and more deeply or we will fail.
HOW RETENTION IS CHANGING
Most of you aren’t going to do anything…
How many of you implemented the advice/tactic
from the last great piece of content you consumed?
(N = 53.4k folks who work in tech)
Brought to you by
1 out of 10
(11.1%)
Brought to you by
Brought to you by
You just have to put in the work.
Brought to you by
profitwell.com/#retention-audit
Free Retention Audit
Next Steps
patrick@profitwell.com
profitwell.com/#retention-audit
Brought to you by

SaaStock East Coast 2019 - Patrick Campbell, Founder & CEO, Profitwell

  • 1.
    Brought to youby Retention (in 20 minutes) JUNE 2019
  • 2.
    Brought to youby Whomever gets closest to the customer wins. We need to get to value quicker and more deeply or we will fail. HOW RETENTION IS CHANGING
  • 3.
    Brought to youby First, some background.
  • 4.
    Brought to youby PROFITWELL Free financial metrics for subscription businesses.
  • 5.
    Churn tribution Financial Unit Price Survey Willingness to In-App Usage Drasticallyreduce churnRETAINTM Audit proof revenue recognition RECOGNIZED Proprietary pricing software for monetization PRICE INTELLIGENTLY
  • 6.
    We’ve studied morereal SaaS data than anyone else out there. Brought to you by
  • 7.
    Brought to youby Whomever gets closest to the customer wins. We need to get to value quicker and more deeply or we will fail. HOW RETENTION IS CHANGING
  • 8.
    Brought to youby Why now?
  • 9.
    It’s all aboutthe benjamins…
  • 10.
    …we just don’tlike to keep the benjamins…
  • 11.
    What percentage ofa company’s budget goes to acquisition?
  • 12.
  • 13.
    What percentage ofteams have an actual retention strategy?
  • 14.
    2 out of10 (~22%)
  • 15.
    Acquisition is nowtable stakes.
  • 16.
    WE FOCUS ONTHE WRONG FUNDAMENTALS Impact of Improving Each Pillar of Your Business Monetization and retention based growth far outpaces acquisition based growth. This impact is getting greater over time. %IMPACTONREVENUE SOURCE: 2016 STUDY ON COMPANY UNIT ECONOMICS 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% ACQUISITION MONETIZATION RETENTION 2.663% 4.85% 2012 - 2014 2015 - 2018 N 1.6k N = Data from 1.6k subscription commerce companies PILLAR OF THE BUSINESS Brought to you by
  • 17.
    WE FOCUS ONTHE WRONG FUNDAMENTALS Impact of Improving Each Pillar of Your Business Monetization and retention based growth far outpaces acquisition based growth. This impact is getting greater over time. %IMPACTONREVENUE SOURCE: 2016 STUDY ON COMPANY UNIT ECONOMICS 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% ACQUISITION MONETIZATION RETENTION 14.588% 16.884% 2.663% 8.83% 10.74% 4.85% 2012 - 2014 2015 - 2018 N 1.6k PILLAR OF THE BUSINESS Brought to you by N = Data from 1.6k subscription commerce companies
  • 18.
    WE FOCUS ONTHE WRONG FUNDAMENTALS Impact of Improving Each Pillar of Your Business Monetization and retention based growth far outpaces acquisition based growth. This impact is getting greater over time. %IMPACTONREVENUE SOURCE: 2016 STUDY ON COMPANY UNIT ECONOMICS 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% ACQUISITION MONETIZATION RETENTION 14.588% 16.884% 2.663% 8.83% 10.74% 4.85% 2012 - 2014 2015 - 2018 N 1.4k PILLAR OF THE BUSINESS Brought to you by N = Data from 1.6k subscription commerce companies
  • 19.
    There are clearwinners and losers in this environment.
  • 20.
    CLEAR WINNERS ANDLOSERS Comparing Growth Strategies of Companies Acquisition based growth companies grow at a smaller rate than those with a balanced growth approach (growth from all three pillars of growth). YOYGROWTHRATE SOURCE: 2016 STUDY ON GROWTH 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 50.81%49.81%47.91%48.91% 25.71%27.1% 31.09% 34.67% Primarily Acquisition Growth Balanced Growth N 512 N = Minimum of 512 companies per segment pulled from the middle 2/3 of companies in terms of growth rate. This, along with a dampening model was used to control for outlier spikes in growth rate.
  • 21.
  • 22.
    Acquiring customers isjust one piece of the puzzle, but that’s where we put all of our focus and it’s not going to turn out well.
  • 23.
    Brought to youby Let’s get a baseline of retention understanding.
  • 24.
    Retention is amath formula.
  • 25.
    Retention Consists ofThree Main Parts Active Cancellations A subscriber actively choosing to end their subscription due to some sort of dissatisfaction or lack of use. Payment Cancellations A credit card failing due to expiration, limits, or technical issues with gateway or processing company (130+ reasons this happens). Expansion A subscriber expanding the amount of revenue they’re providing you through upsell/ cross-sell or more usage. Gross Churn
  • 26.
    Active Cancellations +Expansion Revenue + Payment Failures
  • 27.
  • 28.
    Company Age correlateswith lower churn
  • 29.
    Brought to youby Optimizing Retention
  • 30.
  • 31.
    You need tounderstand your customer.
  • 32.
  • 33.
    -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -0.5 -0.4 -0.3-0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Revenue Drivers 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT Calculating the expected impact of product on growth DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE Differentiable Features High Value/High WTP Add-Ons Low Value/High WTP Core Features High Value/Low WTP Trash Land Low Value/Low WTP Brought to you by your friends at
  • 36.
    For companies whodo customer research, how much lower do you think their churn is?
  • 37.
  • 38.
    You need tounderstand your customer.
  • 39.
    Brought to youby Switch up to a value metric.
  • 41.
    Value metrics reducechurn considerably
  • 44.
    Brought to youby More tactically experiment with annuals
  • 45.
    Longer term contractsgreatly reduce cancellations.
  • 46.
  • 47.
    Longer term =lower cancellations
  • 50.
    Brought to youby Credit Card Failures
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53.
    We’re only recovering3 out of 10 of these folks
  • 54.
    You need totreat these folks as a marketing channel.
  • 55.
    It’s a gameof inches.
  • 56.
    RETAIN Reduce churn throughtargeted campaigns POINTOFFAILURE NO SIGN-IN NEEDED FORMSSMART RETRIESINTELLIGENT AT RISK MONITORING +5% EXPIRATION TRACKING +5% +10% EMAIL AND IN-APP NOTIFICATIONS +40% +15% Retain scans card & transaction metadata and delivers pre-dunning notifications at just the right time to at-risk users. Utilizing historical and usage data, Retain monitors when the best time is to ask for an updated credit card from an expiring user. Message copy greatly influences recovery. Retain is constantly adjusting timing and content of notifications to optimize recovery. Retain retries a customer's credit card when there's the highest chance of recovery. Retain reduces friction immensely by not requiring a user to login to update their payment information Towards the end and beyond the point of failure, Retain will lock out a delinquent user, allowing for a long tail of recovery. LOCKOUT (OPTIONAL) +8%
  • 57.
    DO NOT dopre-dunning emails
  • 58.
  • 59.
    DO NOT usestylized emails
  • 62.
    Don’t require asign-in form
  • 64.
    Make sure you’relocking out folks.
  • 66.
    RETAIN Reduce churn throughtargeted campaigns POINTOFFAILURE NO SIGN-IN NEEDED FORMSSMART RETRIESINTELLIGENT AT RISK MONITORING +5% EXPIRATION TRACKING +5% +10% EMAIL AND IN-APP NOTIFICATIONS +40% +15% Retain scans card & transaction metadata and delivers pre-dunning notifications at just the right time to at-risk users. Utilizing historical and usage data, Retain monitors when the best time is to ask for an updated credit card from an expiring user. Message copy greatly influences recovery. Retain is constantly adjusting timing and content of notifications to optimize recovery. Retain retries a customer's credit card when there's the highest chance of recovery. Retain reduces friction immensely by not requiring a user to login to update their payment information Towards the end and beyond the point of failure, Retain will lock out a delinquent user, allowing for a long tail of recovery. LOCKOUT (OPTIONAL) +8%
  • 67.
    Payment failures =highest impact lever for you now.
  • 68.
    Brought to youby Enough? Everyone get some value?
  • 69.
    Brought to youby Whomever gets closest to the customer wins. We need to get to value quicker and more deeply or we will fail. HOW RETENTION IS CHANGING
  • 70.
    Most of youaren’t going to do anything…
  • 71.
    How many ofyou implemented the advice/tactic from the last great piece of content you consumed? (N = 53.4k folks who work in tech) Brought to you by
  • 72.
    1 out of10 (11.1%) Brought to you by
  • 73.
    Brought to youby You just have to put in the work.
  • 74.
    Brought to youby profitwell.com/#retention-audit Free Retention Audit
  • 75.