This document outlines KBRA's methodology for rating reverse mortgage securitisations. Some key aspects covered include:
1) Reverse mortgages have unique characteristics compared to traditional mortgages, such as no required monthly payments and the loan balance growing over time. KBRA models the timing and amount of loan repayments driven by mortality, morbidity and other prepayment events.
2) KBRA evaluates originators and servicers, focusing on processes for property valuation, ability to meet non-debt obligations, sales/suitability and regulatory compliance for originators, and monitoring repayment events and property liquidation for servicers.
3) Transaction due diligence may include reviews of data integrity, credit underwriting and property
Remaking IT for New U.S. Mortgage Rule ComplianceCognizant
To benefit from the improved housing market, lenders need to play offense by finding new ways to efficiently comply with regulations, tighten controls over the lending process and better engage with customers.
The failure of credit ratings agencies to accurately rate structured financial products like mortgage-backed securities and collateralized debt obligations contributed significantly to the 2008 financial crisis. While some reforms have been implemented, the ratings process remains opaque and problematic. This paper proposes establishing a single, public numerical scale for rating structured credits as a better way to standardize risk measures, increase transparency, and empower investors to evaluate risk more accurately. Such a benchmark scale, treated as a public good, should be developed and supported by a federal financial regulator.
Mortgage Arrears, Strategic Default and RepossessionsAlan McSweeney
These notes are a macro-level analysis of the issues of mortgage default and repossessions.
Arrears in mortgages appear to be closely correlated with the amount of negative equity.
In the last 10 years, there have been many legal and regulatory interventions that have affected the way in which properties whose mortgages are in arrears can be repossessed. The repossession route is still long, slow and expensive. Two thirds of mortgages in arrears have not been subject to any form of restructuring.
The rate of and thus the risk of repossessions is extremely low. The correlation between the number of arrears and the number of repossessions is very low.
IFRS 9 will cause banks to sell non-performing loans in bulk rather than attempting the time-consuming and expensive process of trying to engage with a core of non-engagers that have been in arrears for some time.
A very high proportion of Local Authority mortgages are in arrears. Many of these arrears are more than 20 years old.
Here are the steps to calculate the debt burden ratio:
1. Monthly income before tax: 1500 JD
2. Estimated tax: 20% of 1500 = 300 JD
3. Monthly net income: 1500 - 300 = 1200 JD
4. Monthly debt payments:
- Credit card 1: 50 JD
- Credit card 2: 75 JD
- Car loan: 150 JD
- Total monthly debt payments: 50 + 75 + 150 = 275 JD
5. Debt burden ratio = Total monthly debt payments / Monthly net income
= 275 / 1200
= 23%
Therefore, the debt burden ratio for this applicant is 23%.
The federal banking regulators announced a new policy to encourage commercial real estate loan workouts. The policy aims to allow lenders greater flexibility to restructure commercial real estate loans facing issues like declining property values and lower revenues. This approach seeks to minimize harm to the financial system by avoiding forced liquidations of troubled loans. The policy specifies that loan restructurings can avoid adverse classification if supported by analysis of the borrower's repayment ability despite lower collateral values or debt coverage ratios. The regulators hope this policy will facilitate an orderly disposition of commercial real estate assets and maximize the availability of bank capital.
Mortgage Insurance Data Organization Havlicek Mrotekkylemrotek
Presentation on the organization of mortgage insurance data for loss reserving purposes, presented at the Casualty Actuarial Society\'s 2008 RPM conference in Boston
Accounts receivable and inventory managementluburtusi
This document discusses key aspects of accounts receivable management, credit analysis, and inventory control. It addresses setting credit policies, analyzing credit applicants, managing the billing and collection process, and following up on overdue accounts. It also outlines the five C's model for credit analysis - character, capacity, capital, collateral, and conditions. Finally, it discusses techniques for inventory control like ABC analysis, economic order quantity models, reorder points, and just-in-time systems. Effective accounts receivable and inventory management requires cooperation across sales, finance, accounting, and other functions.
UNIT 1 FINANCIAL CREDIT RISK ANALYTICS (1).pptxVikash Barnwal
Credit analysis is the process of evaluating the creditworthiness of a business or organization. It involves analyzing financial statements, cash flows, collateral, and other factors to assess the entity's ability to repay debt. The key aspects of creditworthiness evaluated are capacity, character, capital, cash flow, collateral, conditions, and control. The credit analysis process involves collecting information on the loan, business, and risks. The information is then analyzed to make a decision on the loan request and design an appropriate loan structure. Credit analysis is important for lenders to evaluate default risk and for investors to assess a debt issuer's ability to meet obligations.
Remaking IT for New U.S. Mortgage Rule ComplianceCognizant
To benefit from the improved housing market, lenders need to play offense by finding new ways to efficiently comply with regulations, tighten controls over the lending process and better engage with customers.
The failure of credit ratings agencies to accurately rate structured financial products like mortgage-backed securities and collateralized debt obligations contributed significantly to the 2008 financial crisis. While some reforms have been implemented, the ratings process remains opaque and problematic. This paper proposes establishing a single, public numerical scale for rating structured credits as a better way to standardize risk measures, increase transparency, and empower investors to evaluate risk more accurately. Such a benchmark scale, treated as a public good, should be developed and supported by a federal financial regulator.
Mortgage Arrears, Strategic Default and RepossessionsAlan McSweeney
These notes are a macro-level analysis of the issues of mortgage default and repossessions.
Arrears in mortgages appear to be closely correlated with the amount of negative equity.
In the last 10 years, there have been many legal and regulatory interventions that have affected the way in which properties whose mortgages are in arrears can be repossessed. The repossession route is still long, slow and expensive. Two thirds of mortgages in arrears have not been subject to any form of restructuring.
The rate of and thus the risk of repossessions is extremely low. The correlation between the number of arrears and the number of repossessions is very low.
IFRS 9 will cause banks to sell non-performing loans in bulk rather than attempting the time-consuming and expensive process of trying to engage with a core of non-engagers that have been in arrears for some time.
A very high proportion of Local Authority mortgages are in arrears. Many of these arrears are more than 20 years old.
Here are the steps to calculate the debt burden ratio:
1. Monthly income before tax: 1500 JD
2. Estimated tax: 20% of 1500 = 300 JD
3. Monthly net income: 1500 - 300 = 1200 JD
4. Monthly debt payments:
- Credit card 1: 50 JD
- Credit card 2: 75 JD
- Car loan: 150 JD
- Total monthly debt payments: 50 + 75 + 150 = 275 JD
5. Debt burden ratio = Total monthly debt payments / Monthly net income
= 275 / 1200
= 23%
Therefore, the debt burden ratio for this applicant is 23%.
The federal banking regulators announced a new policy to encourage commercial real estate loan workouts. The policy aims to allow lenders greater flexibility to restructure commercial real estate loans facing issues like declining property values and lower revenues. This approach seeks to minimize harm to the financial system by avoiding forced liquidations of troubled loans. The policy specifies that loan restructurings can avoid adverse classification if supported by analysis of the borrower's repayment ability despite lower collateral values or debt coverage ratios. The regulators hope this policy will facilitate an orderly disposition of commercial real estate assets and maximize the availability of bank capital.
Mortgage Insurance Data Organization Havlicek Mrotekkylemrotek
Presentation on the organization of mortgage insurance data for loss reserving purposes, presented at the Casualty Actuarial Society\'s 2008 RPM conference in Boston
Accounts receivable and inventory managementluburtusi
This document discusses key aspects of accounts receivable management, credit analysis, and inventory control. It addresses setting credit policies, analyzing credit applicants, managing the billing and collection process, and following up on overdue accounts. It also outlines the five C's model for credit analysis - character, capacity, capital, collateral, and conditions. Finally, it discusses techniques for inventory control like ABC analysis, economic order quantity models, reorder points, and just-in-time systems. Effective accounts receivable and inventory management requires cooperation across sales, finance, accounting, and other functions.
UNIT 1 FINANCIAL CREDIT RISK ANALYTICS (1).pptxVikash Barnwal
Credit analysis is the process of evaluating the creditworthiness of a business or organization. It involves analyzing financial statements, cash flows, collateral, and other factors to assess the entity's ability to repay debt. The key aspects of creditworthiness evaluated are capacity, character, capital, cash flow, collateral, conditions, and control. The credit analysis process involves collecting information on the loan, business, and risks. The information is then analyzed to make a decision on the loan request and design an appropriate loan structure. Credit analysis is important for lenders to evaluate default risk and for investors to assess a debt issuer's ability to meet obligations.
The document summarizes several lending programs offered by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, including the Primary Credit program, Borrower-In-Custody (BIC) program, and Seasonal Credit program. The Primary Credit program provides short-term funding to depository institutions. The BIC program allows institutions to pledge loans as collateral for discount window advances. The Seasonal Credit program provides lines of credit for institutions that experience seasonal fluctuations in deposits and loans.
The document discusses credit risk management in banking. It covers traditional lending products like short, mid, and long term loans as well as revolving loans and public debt. It describes the credit analysis process which involves understanding the business, evaluating accounting quality, current profitability, preparing cash flow forecasts, due diligence, and comprehensive risk assessment. It also discusses the credit rating process conducted by agencies and how ratings influence borrowing costs. Further sections cover classifying and managing credit risk, non-performing loans, provisions for bad debts, and the 6 C's of credit evaluation.
This document discusses strategies for using a Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM), also known as a reverse mortgage, in retirement planning. It summarizes that tapping home equity through a HECM can help offset inflation risks and stabilize retirement portfolios. It then presents three scenarios comparing a retiree's outcomes with and without a HECM: 1) No HECM used, 2) Refinancing existing mortgage into a HECM line of credit, and 3) Paying off mortgage and establishing a HECM line of credit. A Monte Carlo analysis shows that using a HECM through either strategy 2 or 3 increases the probability of meeting retirement goals and maintains a higher level of available wealth over 30 years
A great presentation on HECM mortgage products for consumers, realtors and financial planners. Baby boomers need alternatives and they need them now. Call me to discuss if you are in Miami Florida
1) The document summarizes recent guidance from federal regulators on nontraditional mortgage products like interest-only and payment option ARMs.
2) The guidance emphasizes the importance of prudent underwriting standards that consider a borrower's ability to repay, the risks of payment shock, and ensuring borrowers understand product risks.
3) It also stresses the need for portfolio risk management practices like stress testing to evaluate how loan performance may be impacted by economic conditions.
The document provides information about BBVA Compass, including:
1) It discusses the causes of the mortgage crisis and credit crunch, tracing it back to legislative changes in the 1970s that loosened mortgage requirements.
2) It provides an overview of BBVA Compass, noting it has over $65 billion in assets and 717 branches across the Sunbelt region.
3) It highlights BBVA Compass' strong capital and liquidity positions and conservative lending practices that position it well in the current economy.
liquidity concepts, instruments and procedureSamiksha Chawla
This document provides an overview of liquidity concepts, instruments, and theories of liquidity management for commercial banks. It defines liquidity as the ability to meet cash needs and discusses how banks estimate liquidity needs based on past loan and deposit fluctuations. The main types of liquidity risk are funding risk, asset liquidity risk, and interest rate risk. The document then outlines various instruments banks use to manage liquidity, including liquid assets like cash reserves and securities, as well as liquid liabilities like certificates of deposits and interbank borrowing. Finally, it discusses several theories of liquidity management that have developed over time, such as the commercial loan theory, shiftability theory, and anticipated income theory.
The Digital Reserve Network ("DRN") is an open-source financial services suite designed to enable peer-to-peer payments, sustainable lending, and collateral free borrowing. The DRN will leverage a native cryptocurrency – Denarii. The Digital Reserve aims to create a public benefit by engaging in research and implementation of best practices for financial literacy the design and promotion of software or hardware solutions to increase financial accessibility and the flow of capital to disadvantaged or distressed communities.
This document summarizes key concepts related to financial credit and risk analytics from a course on the subject. It defines credit as a promise of future payment for resources provided now. It describes the main types of credit as loans, trade credit, consumer credit, bank credit, revolving credit, open credit, installment credit, mutual credit, and service credit. It defines credit risk as the risk of a borrower defaulting and discusses how creditworthiness is measured using factors like character, capacity, capital, collateral and conditions. It also describes the credit market where large companies issue bonds that individual and institutional investors can purchase, and how credit rating agencies assess and rate the creditworthiness of issuers. The document concludes by identifying default risk
- Third quarter earnings call held on November 14, 2017 to discuss recent financial results
- Home lending segment saw record quarterly volume growth in mortgage servicing rights and loan originations, while structured settlements segment saw stable trends and lower expenses
- Company entered into a restructuring support agreement to significantly reduce debt through a bankruptcy process, extinguishing $449.5M term loan and reducing annual debt servicing costs from $32M to under $5M
This document discusses analyzing the relationship between underwriting techniques used by two credit managers at a mortgage company. It will examine if loans underwritten by one credit manager contain more conditions than the other, and if loans with higher credit grades or lower loan-to-value ratios receive fewer conditions. The analysis will involve comparing quantitative variables like credit grade, loan-to-value ratio, and number of conditions against each other using charts. It aims to determine if risk-based underwriting is consistently applied, or if one credit manager applies conditions inconsistently with risk levels.
The document discusses a micro cap conference presentation by The J.G. Wentworth Company. It provides an overview of the company, which purchases structured settlement payments and offers other financial products directly to consumers. It highlights the company's focus on improving profitability in structured settlements and growing its home lending business. The company achieved record results in home lending in the most recent quarter while reducing costs in structured settlements.
RECOURSE VS NON RECOURSE FOR COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINANCINGLynn Aziz
This document summarizes the key differences between recourse and nonrecourse commercial real estate loans. Recourse loans offer more flexibility in pricing and structure but involve personal liability, while nonrecourse loans eliminate personal liability but impose constraints like escrow accounts. The document examines factors like loan characteristics, flexibility, ongoing management, and liability for investors to consider when determining the best loan type for their needs and investment objectives.
This document discusses loan pricing models, specifically analyzing the "cost-plus pricing" model for banks in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt from 2009-2013. It finds that Egypt has higher non-performing loans and lower bank capital ratios, indicating it is riskier. UAE has the highest capital ratios, suggesting more stability. Regression analysis confirms cost-plus pricing factors like capital requirements and default probabilities affect loan rates differently in each country. The document also examines credit scoring models, identifying borrower risk levels that determine interest rates.
PPT on 2008. US SUB PRIME CRISIS-2.pptxkthegreatks
The document discusses the microeconomic causes and variables that contributed to the 2007-2008 global financial crisis, including poor lending standards, credit derivatives, and the originate-and-distribute model that reduced screening of borrowers. It also examines the impact on the US and global economies, including job losses, declining wealth, and slow recovery for many. Government responses including the Troubled Asset Relief Program aimed to stabilize financial markets and restore confidence.
The j.g. wentworth company business updateinvestorjgwpt
The document provides an overview of The J.G. Wentworth Company, including its business segments, leadership, financial performance, and strategic initiatives. It discusses the company's focus on structured settlements, home lending, and prepaid cards. Key highlights include record loan volumes and adjusted EBITDA in home lending, efforts to improve structured settlements operations, and new product launches in prepaid cards. Biographies of the CEO and leadership team are also provided.
A short presentation about XBRL and credit ratings made at the Workshop on Improving Access to Financial Data on the Web, 5-6 October 2009, Co-organized by W3C and XBRL International, Inc, and hosted by FDIC, Arlington, Virginia USA
http://www.w3.org/2009/03/xbrl/program.html
The document summarizes the key aspects of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's new Ability-to-Repay and Qualified Mortgage rules for mortgage lending that take effect in January 2014. It outlines the minimum underwriting factors lenders must consider to determine a borrower's ability to repay. It also describes qualified mortgages, which provide a safe harbor presumption of compliance if certain conditions are met. Overall, the rules aim to ensure borrowers can afford their mortgages while offering protections for lenders through qualified mortgages.
Fabular Frames and the Four Ratio ProblemMajid Iqbal
Digital, interactive art showing the struggle of a society in providing for its present population while also saving planetary resources for future generations. Spread across several frames, the art is actually the rendering of real and speculative data. The stereographic projections change shape in response to prompts and provocations. Visitors interact with the model through speculative statements about how to increase savings across communities, regions, ecosystems and environments. Their fabulations combined with random noise, i.e. factors beyond control, have a dramatic effect on the societal transition. Things get better. Things get worse. The aim is to give visitors a new grasp and feel of the ongoing struggles in democracies around the world.
Stunning art in the small multiples format brings out the spatiotemporal nature of societal transitions, against backdrop issues such as energy, housing, waste, farmland and forest. In each frame we see hopeful and frightful interplays between spending and saving. Problems emerge when one of the two parts of the existential anaglyph rapidly shrinks like Arctic ice, as factors cross thresholds. Ecological wealth and intergenerational equity areFour at stake. Not enough spending could mean economic stress, social unrest and political conflict. Not enough saving and there will be climate breakdown and ‘bankruptcy’. So where does speculative design start and the gambling and betting end? Behind each fabular frame is a four ratio problem. Each ratio reflects the level of sacrifice and self-restraint a society is willing to accept, against promises of prosperity and freedom. Some values seem to stabilise a frame while others cause collapse. Get the ratios right and we can have it all. Get them wrong and things get more desperate.
The document summarizes several lending programs offered by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, including the Primary Credit program, Borrower-In-Custody (BIC) program, and Seasonal Credit program. The Primary Credit program provides short-term funding to depository institutions. The BIC program allows institutions to pledge loans as collateral for discount window advances. The Seasonal Credit program provides lines of credit for institutions that experience seasonal fluctuations in deposits and loans.
The document discusses credit risk management in banking. It covers traditional lending products like short, mid, and long term loans as well as revolving loans and public debt. It describes the credit analysis process which involves understanding the business, evaluating accounting quality, current profitability, preparing cash flow forecasts, due diligence, and comprehensive risk assessment. It also discusses the credit rating process conducted by agencies and how ratings influence borrowing costs. Further sections cover classifying and managing credit risk, non-performing loans, provisions for bad debts, and the 6 C's of credit evaluation.
This document discusses strategies for using a Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM), also known as a reverse mortgage, in retirement planning. It summarizes that tapping home equity through a HECM can help offset inflation risks and stabilize retirement portfolios. It then presents three scenarios comparing a retiree's outcomes with and without a HECM: 1) No HECM used, 2) Refinancing existing mortgage into a HECM line of credit, and 3) Paying off mortgage and establishing a HECM line of credit. A Monte Carlo analysis shows that using a HECM through either strategy 2 or 3 increases the probability of meeting retirement goals and maintains a higher level of available wealth over 30 years
A great presentation on HECM mortgage products for consumers, realtors and financial planners. Baby boomers need alternatives and they need them now. Call me to discuss if you are in Miami Florida
1) The document summarizes recent guidance from federal regulators on nontraditional mortgage products like interest-only and payment option ARMs.
2) The guidance emphasizes the importance of prudent underwriting standards that consider a borrower's ability to repay, the risks of payment shock, and ensuring borrowers understand product risks.
3) It also stresses the need for portfolio risk management practices like stress testing to evaluate how loan performance may be impacted by economic conditions.
The document provides information about BBVA Compass, including:
1) It discusses the causes of the mortgage crisis and credit crunch, tracing it back to legislative changes in the 1970s that loosened mortgage requirements.
2) It provides an overview of BBVA Compass, noting it has over $65 billion in assets and 717 branches across the Sunbelt region.
3) It highlights BBVA Compass' strong capital and liquidity positions and conservative lending practices that position it well in the current economy.
liquidity concepts, instruments and procedureSamiksha Chawla
This document provides an overview of liquidity concepts, instruments, and theories of liquidity management for commercial banks. It defines liquidity as the ability to meet cash needs and discusses how banks estimate liquidity needs based on past loan and deposit fluctuations. The main types of liquidity risk are funding risk, asset liquidity risk, and interest rate risk. The document then outlines various instruments banks use to manage liquidity, including liquid assets like cash reserves and securities, as well as liquid liabilities like certificates of deposits and interbank borrowing. Finally, it discusses several theories of liquidity management that have developed over time, such as the commercial loan theory, shiftability theory, and anticipated income theory.
The Digital Reserve Network ("DRN") is an open-source financial services suite designed to enable peer-to-peer payments, sustainable lending, and collateral free borrowing. The DRN will leverage a native cryptocurrency – Denarii. The Digital Reserve aims to create a public benefit by engaging in research and implementation of best practices for financial literacy the design and promotion of software or hardware solutions to increase financial accessibility and the flow of capital to disadvantaged or distressed communities.
This document summarizes key concepts related to financial credit and risk analytics from a course on the subject. It defines credit as a promise of future payment for resources provided now. It describes the main types of credit as loans, trade credit, consumer credit, bank credit, revolving credit, open credit, installment credit, mutual credit, and service credit. It defines credit risk as the risk of a borrower defaulting and discusses how creditworthiness is measured using factors like character, capacity, capital, collateral and conditions. It also describes the credit market where large companies issue bonds that individual and institutional investors can purchase, and how credit rating agencies assess and rate the creditworthiness of issuers. The document concludes by identifying default risk
- Third quarter earnings call held on November 14, 2017 to discuss recent financial results
- Home lending segment saw record quarterly volume growth in mortgage servicing rights and loan originations, while structured settlements segment saw stable trends and lower expenses
- Company entered into a restructuring support agreement to significantly reduce debt through a bankruptcy process, extinguishing $449.5M term loan and reducing annual debt servicing costs from $32M to under $5M
This document discusses analyzing the relationship between underwriting techniques used by two credit managers at a mortgage company. It will examine if loans underwritten by one credit manager contain more conditions than the other, and if loans with higher credit grades or lower loan-to-value ratios receive fewer conditions. The analysis will involve comparing quantitative variables like credit grade, loan-to-value ratio, and number of conditions against each other using charts. It aims to determine if risk-based underwriting is consistently applied, or if one credit manager applies conditions inconsistently with risk levels.
The document discusses a micro cap conference presentation by The J.G. Wentworth Company. It provides an overview of the company, which purchases structured settlement payments and offers other financial products directly to consumers. It highlights the company's focus on improving profitability in structured settlements and growing its home lending business. The company achieved record results in home lending in the most recent quarter while reducing costs in structured settlements.
RECOURSE VS NON RECOURSE FOR COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINANCINGLynn Aziz
This document summarizes the key differences between recourse and nonrecourse commercial real estate loans. Recourse loans offer more flexibility in pricing and structure but involve personal liability, while nonrecourse loans eliminate personal liability but impose constraints like escrow accounts. The document examines factors like loan characteristics, flexibility, ongoing management, and liability for investors to consider when determining the best loan type for their needs and investment objectives.
This document discusses loan pricing models, specifically analyzing the "cost-plus pricing" model for banks in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt from 2009-2013. It finds that Egypt has higher non-performing loans and lower bank capital ratios, indicating it is riskier. UAE has the highest capital ratios, suggesting more stability. Regression analysis confirms cost-plus pricing factors like capital requirements and default probabilities affect loan rates differently in each country. The document also examines credit scoring models, identifying borrower risk levels that determine interest rates.
PPT on 2008. US SUB PRIME CRISIS-2.pptxkthegreatks
The document discusses the microeconomic causes and variables that contributed to the 2007-2008 global financial crisis, including poor lending standards, credit derivatives, and the originate-and-distribute model that reduced screening of borrowers. It also examines the impact on the US and global economies, including job losses, declining wealth, and slow recovery for many. Government responses including the Troubled Asset Relief Program aimed to stabilize financial markets and restore confidence.
The j.g. wentworth company business updateinvestorjgwpt
The document provides an overview of The J.G. Wentworth Company, including its business segments, leadership, financial performance, and strategic initiatives. It discusses the company's focus on structured settlements, home lending, and prepaid cards. Key highlights include record loan volumes and adjusted EBITDA in home lending, efforts to improve structured settlements operations, and new product launches in prepaid cards. Biographies of the CEO and leadership team are also provided.
A short presentation about XBRL and credit ratings made at the Workshop on Improving Access to Financial Data on the Web, 5-6 October 2009, Co-organized by W3C and XBRL International, Inc, and hosted by FDIC, Arlington, Virginia USA
http://www.w3.org/2009/03/xbrl/program.html
The document summarizes the key aspects of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's new Ability-to-Repay and Qualified Mortgage rules for mortgage lending that take effect in January 2014. It outlines the minimum underwriting factors lenders must consider to determine a borrower's ability to repay. It also describes qualified mortgages, which provide a safe harbor presumption of compliance if certain conditions are met. Overall, the rules aim to ensure borrowers can afford their mortgages while offering protections for lenders through qualified mortgages.
Similar to RMBS_ Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology.pdf (20)
Fabular Frames and the Four Ratio ProblemMajid Iqbal
Digital, interactive art showing the struggle of a society in providing for its present population while also saving planetary resources for future generations. Spread across several frames, the art is actually the rendering of real and speculative data. The stereographic projections change shape in response to prompts and provocations. Visitors interact with the model through speculative statements about how to increase savings across communities, regions, ecosystems and environments. Their fabulations combined with random noise, i.e. factors beyond control, have a dramatic effect on the societal transition. Things get better. Things get worse. The aim is to give visitors a new grasp and feel of the ongoing struggles in democracies around the world.
Stunning art in the small multiples format brings out the spatiotemporal nature of societal transitions, against backdrop issues such as energy, housing, waste, farmland and forest. In each frame we see hopeful and frightful interplays between spending and saving. Problems emerge when one of the two parts of the existential anaglyph rapidly shrinks like Arctic ice, as factors cross thresholds. Ecological wealth and intergenerational equity areFour at stake. Not enough spending could mean economic stress, social unrest and political conflict. Not enough saving and there will be climate breakdown and ‘bankruptcy’. So where does speculative design start and the gambling and betting end? Behind each fabular frame is a four ratio problem. Each ratio reflects the level of sacrifice and self-restraint a society is willing to accept, against promises of prosperity and freedom. Some values seem to stabilise a frame while others cause collapse. Get the ratios right and we can have it all. Get them wrong and things get more desperate.
Vicinity Jobs’ data includes more than three million 2023 OJPs and thousands of skills. Most skills appear in less than 0.02% of job postings, so most postings rely on a small subset of commonly used terms, like teamwork.
Laura Adkins-Hackett, Economist, LMIC, and Sukriti Trehan, Data Scientist, LMIC, presented their research exploring trends in the skills listed in OJPs to develop a deeper understanding of in-demand skills. This research project uses pointwise mutual information and other methods to extract more information about common skills from the relationships between skills, occupations and regions.
A toxic combination of 15 years of low growth, and four decades of high inequality, has left Britain poorer and falling behind its peers. Productivity growth is weak and public investment is low, while wages today are no higher than they were before the financial crisis. Britain needs a new economic strategy to lift itself out of stagnation.
Scotland is in many ways a microcosm of this challenge. It has become a hub for creative industries, is home to several world-class universities and a thriving community of businesses – strengths that need to be harness and leveraged. But it also has high levels of deprivation, with homelessness reaching a record high and nearly half a million people living in very deep poverty last year. Scotland won’t be truly thriving unless it finds ways to ensure that all its inhabitants benefit from growth and investment. This is the central challenge facing policy makers both in Holyrood and Westminster.
What should a new national economic strategy for Scotland include? What would the pursuit of stronger economic growth mean for local, national and UK-wide policy makers? How will economic change affect the jobs we do, the places we live and the businesses we work for? And what are the prospects for cities like Glasgow, and nations like Scotland, in rising to these challenges?
Economic Risk Factor Update: June 2024 [SlideShare]Commonwealth
May’s reports showed signs of continued economic growth, said Sam Millette, director, fixed income, in his latest Economic Risk Factor Update.
For more market updates, subscribe to The Independent Market Observer at https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Independent Study - College of Wooster Research (2023-2024) FDI, Culture, Glo...AntoniaOwensDetwiler
"Does Foreign Direct Investment Negatively Affect Preservation of Culture in the Global South? Case Studies in Thailand and Cambodia."
Do elements of globalization, such as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), negatively affect the ability of countries in the Global South to preserve their culture? This research aims to answer this question by employing a cross-sectional comparative case study analysis utilizing methods of difference. Thailand and Cambodia are compared as they are in the same region and have a similar culture. The metric of difference between Thailand and Cambodia is their ability to preserve their culture. This ability is operationalized by their respective attitudes towards FDI; Thailand imposes stringent regulations and limitations on FDI while Cambodia does not hesitate to accept most FDI and imposes fewer limitations. The evidence from this study suggests that FDI from globally influential countries with high gross domestic products (GDPs) (e.g. China, U.S.) challenges the ability of countries with lower GDPs (e.g. Cambodia) to protect their culture. Furthermore, the ability, or lack thereof, of the receiving countries to protect their culture is amplified by the existence and implementation of restrictive FDI policies imposed by their governments.
My study abroad in Bali, Indonesia, inspired this research topic as I noticed how globalization is changing the culture of its people. I learned their language and way of life which helped me understand the beauty and importance of cultural preservation. I believe we could all benefit from learning new perspectives as they could help us ideate solutions to contemporary issues and empathize with others.
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Ensuring robust asset quality is not just a mere aspect but a critical cornerstone for the stability and success of financial institutions worldwide. It serves as the bedrock upon which profitability is built and investor confidence is sustained. Therefore, in this presentation, we delve into a comprehensive exploration of strategies that can aid financial institutions in achieving and maintaining superior asset quality.
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University of North Carolina at Charlotte degree offer diploma Transcripttscdzuip
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An accounting information system (AIS) refers to tools and systems designed for the collection and display of accounting information so accountants and executives can make informed decisions.
RMBS_ Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology.pdf
1. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 1 March 9, 2018
Analytical Contacts
Edward DeVito, Managing Director
+1 (646) 731-2319
edward.devito@kbra.com
Jack Kahan, Senior Managing Director
+1 (646)731-2426
jack.kahan@kbra.com
Kali Sirugudi, Senior Director
+44 208 148 1050
kali.sirugudi@kbra.com
Reverse Mortgage
Securitisation Global
Rating Methodology
Structured Finance: RMBS | Methodology
2. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 2 March 9, 2018
Table of Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 3
Overview ...................................................................................................................................................... 3
Reverse Mortgage Originator Review Summary.................................................................................................. 4
Reverse Mortgage Servicer Review Summary .................................................................................................... 4
Transaction Due Diligence ............................................................................................................................... 5
Collateral Cashflow Analysis ............................................................................................................................ 5
Overview ................................................................................................................................................... 5
Requested Data Elements......................................................................................................................... 5
Key Considerations & Assumptions ............................................................................................................ 6
Other Transaction Counterparties..................................................................................................................... 9
Assessment of Securitisation Structure ............................................................................................................. 9
Legal Structure – Evaluation of Bankruptcy Remoteness.................................................................................. 9
Transaction Documents ............................................................................................................................... 9
Representations, Warranties and Enforcement Mechanisms.............................................................................. 9
Surveillance .................................................................................................................................................. 9
Appendix A: Originator Review Process ............................................................................................................11
Appendix B: Servicer Review Process...............................................................................................................13
Appendix C: Modelling Example ......................................................................................................................14
Note: Minor textual adjustments and clarifications were made to this document since its publication date, most recently
on November 16, 2020. These changes had no impact on the overall methodological framework or outstanding ratings.
3. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 3 March 9, 2018
Introduction
This report describes the Kroll Bond Rating Agency LLC and its rating affiliates’ (collectively, “KBRA”) methodology for
the rating and ongoing surveillance of reverse mortgage transactions.1
This methodology is a general framework, and
as such, it does not specifically address country or jurisdiction-specific risks. These will be considered in conjunction
with our rating analysis and highlighted, as relevant, in KBRA’s transaction reports.
KBRA employs judgement in the application of its rating methodologies. This may result in situations where certain
aspects of the methodology are not employed, de-emphasised, or modified to address additional considerations in the
analytical process where deemed appropriate.
Overview
This reverse mortgage methodology was developed with the goal of producing and maintaining credit ratings that
perform in accordance with KBRA’s published rating definitions. It includes both qualitative and quantitative elements
that are encompassed within the following components:
(i) Periodic projection of collateral repayment probabilities as determined through a range of mortality, morbidity
and voluntary prepayment assumptions (each a “Repayment Event”),
(ii) Application of these probabilities to assumed net property sales proceeds based on a range of stressed home
price scenarios, among other assumptions, in each period,
(iii) Sufficiency of cash flows to generate payments to the rated debt,
(iv) Analysis of reverse mortgage seller and servicer operations and performance history,
(v) Analysis of the transaction legal structure.
KBRA’s reverse mortgage methodology addresses the significant differences between a traditional “forward” mortgage
and a reverse mortgage. In order to place KBRA’s reverse mortgage methodology into proper context, please note the
following key differences:
▪ Reverse mortgages are typically utilised to release the amount of home equity that has accumulated in relation to
the value of a property with very little or no debt encumbering it, whereas a typical traditional mortgage is primarily
utilised to obtain debt against the value of the property for purchase or refinance. Borrowers are typically older,
with a minimum age of 62 in the U.S. for FHA-guaranteed loans.
▪ Under the terms of a reverse mortgage, no mortgage payments are due until a Repayment Event occurs for the last
surviving borrower. Accrued interest is added to the balance of the loan over time (i.e. negative amortisation) and
becomes due following the Repayment Event. Typically, the borrower remains responsible for timely payment of
taxes and insurance on the property (depending on jurisdiction) and for keeping the property in good repair over
the life of the loan. This payment profile can introduce liquidity risks into the transaction, for which KBRA employs
scenario analysis regarding the timing of the receipt of proceeds to account for this risk.
▪ The ability of borrowers to access significant home equity, and loan terms which don’t require periodic payment,
make these loans attractive to older individuals on fixed incomes. These borrowers benefit from receipt of a lump-
sum deposit, drawable amounts, or other equity distribution methods afforded by a reverse mortgage. KBRA has
incorporated the unique motivations and behaviour of this type of borrower into its analysis.
▪ Typically, reverse mortgages are considered legally repaid in full upon receipt of the net sales proceeds of the
property upon sale, regardless of the amount of the loan balance plus accrued interest. Depending on the
jurisdiction, this is accomplished through: (i) a “No Negative Equity Guaranty” or similar mechanism which
contractually stipulates that absent a default, net property sales proceeds are the defined capped amount due for
repayment of the loan (typical in European jurisdictions and in U.S. non-guaranteed “Proprietary” jumbo reverse
mortgages), or (ii) via a third-party guarantee, such as a Federal Housing Administration (FHA)-guaranteed Home
Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) in the U.S. Limiting the repayment amount to the net sales proceeds can
provide peace of mind to the borrower, and like most actuarially-based financial products, is predicated on the
statistically high degree of certainty that, across an entire book of business, the low loan to values and expected
Repayment Event timing will be such that the loan balance plus accrued interest will be repaid. In the event the
property sale generates more proceeds than needed to pay off the loan, the borrower’s legal heirs will generally
receive this equity. Notwithstanding this feature, KBRA subjects the pool to a number of stresses in order to model
outcomes across a range of home price and Repayment Event scenarios.
▪ Since no periodic mortgage payments are due, the concept of a loan-level “Probability of Default” (PD) seen in a
traditional Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) transaction does not apply in a reverse mortgage
1
The term “Reverse Mortgage” is generally utilised in the U.S., and the term “Equity Release Mortgage” in European jurisdictions. For
purposes of consistency in this methodology, we will employ the term “Reverse Mortgage” regardless of jurisdiction.
4. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 4 March 9, 2018
transaction.2
Accordingly, KBRA accounts for the fact that the main drivers of PD in an RMBS transaction such as
home price declines, unemployment level, credit history or ability-to-repay metrics, are not necessarily direct drivers
of reverse mortgage loan defaults. Instead, the relevant reverse mortgage concept is probability (or in the case of
co-borrowers, the joint probability) of repayment which is driven by various Repayment Events:
o Mortality – The Probability of a borrower becoming deceased, which is typically based on relevant actuarial
tables.
o Morbidity – A Repayment Event caused by the borrower moving to long term care, usually based on medical
reasons, the rate of which is estimated by observed historical data either from the issuer or other proxy
sources.
o Other Prepayment – Repayment of the loan through other means including full prepayment due to borrower’s
sale of the property, the refinancing of the reverse mortgage, or curtailment payments.
▪ In a traditional RMBS transaction, Loss Severity (LS) typically occurs due to the borrower defaulting on the loan,
which is often correlated with a negative economic environment and depressed home prices. Because reverse
mortgage Repayment Events are primarily due to actuarially-driven events (e.g. mortality), repayment timing is
less correlated with economic stress. As such, KBRA may stress repayments independent of stressed home price
scenarios.
Still, one of the main drivers of loss in a reverse mortgage transaction is the amount of proceeds upon property
liquidation. While estimating liquidation values will depend on the same drivers associated with forward mortgages,
including prevailing home prices at the time of liquidation, the integrity of the property value at issuance, and property
condition, the latter factor may have a greater influence on loss severity in reverse mortgage transactions than forward
mortgage transactions.
KBRA believes that property condition issues tend to be more prevalent for reverse mortgagors because although they
are required to maintain the property in good repair, this may not occur in practice and it can be difficult for lenders to
enforce. This is because unlike traditional borrowers, reverse mortgagors are typically senior citizens living on fixed
incomes and tend not to be incentivised by the resale value due to a decreasing equity interest in the property over
time. This may result in the adjustment of initial valuations if KBRA deems necessary.
▪ KBRA assesses that the primary risks to investors in a reverse mortgage transaction are: (i) negative carry
generated by the cost of funds associated with the debt issuance backed by a pool of assets that does not require
the related obligors to make periodic payments and (ii) ultimate repayment of principal in the face of a negatively
amortising loan balance on an asset that may experience depreciation due to market cycles or condition issues
specific to the subject property. KBRA’s methodology for evaluating these risks is to evaluate scenarios for
repayment-driven cash flows over time. These cash flows are then applied against the issuer-proposed liability
structure to determine the sufficiency of credit enhancement underlying the notes to support a given rating in a
manner that is consistent with KBRA’s rating definitions.
▪ Given the nature of reverse mortgages, many transactions may contain other structural support, such as reserve
funds, liquidity facilities, or differing principal and interest repayment timing entitlements to address the irregular
asset cash flows and debt service requirements of the issued debt.
Reverse Mortgage Originator Review Summary
As part of the rating process KBRA will consider materials provided by the issuer and/or reverse mortgage originator in
conjunction with an operational review which will be conducted by KBRA on-site or virtually. For repeat issuers, such
reviews may be supplemented or updated over time. As noted, the traditional drivers of default which underpin the
underwriting process for traditional RMBS such as borrower credit or ability-to-repay metrics are not key factors in the
reverse mortgage underwriting process and receive comparatively less emphasis. KBRA finds that in evaluating a reverse
mortgage originator, the processes and controls in place for: (i) Property Valuation, (ii) Assessment of ability to meet
future non-debt service obligations (which varies by jurisdiction), (iii) Sales Process/Suitability, and (iv) Regulatory
Compliance are of high importance. Additional detail can be found in Appendix A.
Reverse Mortgage Servicer Review Summary
Unlike a typical RMBS securitisation, in a reverse mortgage transaction, the servicer has no ongoing regular monthly
principal and interest payment collection responsibilities pursuant to an amortisation schedule. In addition, although the
servicer is responsible for foreclosure or Real Estate Owned (REO) sales, these will typically be much less frequent than
in a typical RMBS because the majority of repayments are generated by the liquidation of the property by the borrower’s
2
Borrowers can be in technical default for non-payment of taxes, failing to maintain insurance coverage, and failure to maintain the
property. These items will vary by jurisdiction.
5. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 5 March 9, 2018
estate. Depending on the jurisdiction, the servicer may or may not be responsible for advancing delinquent taxes and
insurance3
.
The primary duties of a reverse mortgage servicer are: (i) Review to ensure that taxes and insurance are paid as
required (if applicable in the relevant jurisdiction) (ii) Monitoring to ensure that Repayment Events are discovered in a
timely manner (iii) Upon such discovery, either: (a) notifying and working with a borrower’s estate to obtain prompt
repayment, and in the event that heirs to the estate are uncooperative or cannot be located, taking such legal action
as needed to repossess the property and sell it, and/or, if it is in the US, (b) filing a claim with the Department of
Housing and Urban Development (HUD), for HECM loans, or other third-parties as applicable, and (iv) Investor
Reporting. The implications of any lapses in the servicer’s duties can vary by jurisdiction, and KBRA will consider the
varying impacts in its analysis and highlight what it deems to be the relevant factors in the specific transaction’s
published rating report. Additional detail can be found in Appendix B.
Transaction Due Diligence
Depending on the jurisdiction and nature of the transaction (seasoned vs. new origination) the level and types of
diligence for the collateral will vary. To the extent applicable, KBRA will provide a general description of the diligence
scope in a transaction’s published rating report. The typical third-party diligence may include a Data Integrity Review,
a review of underwriting for Credit, and a review of Property Valuations, as discussed in more detail below. In the US,
a one or more third-party review firms will typically perform all three scope items. In Europe, it is typical for only the
Data Integrity Review to be performed. Any independent third-party firms performing any portion of diligence must
demonstrate appropriate experience and be otherwise acceptable to KBRA. If less than 100% of loans are reviewed, the
sample size will typically be a statistically valid sample acceptable to KBRA.
Data Integrity Review: A “tape-to-file” review of all critical data fields as determined by KBRA indicating substantive
discrepancies between the originator’s data and any re-calculated loan file information. As noted above, this data
integrity review is typically the only third-party review performed in European jurisdictions, typically by a ‘big four’
accounting firm.
Credit: A review of the loans’ compliance with the originator’s underwriting guidelines identifying exceptions made by
the originator with mitigating factors or material exceptions to the originator’s guidelines. The firm may be asked to test
for any additional exceptions that may render claims to any third-party insurance or other similar coverage to be denied,
cancelled, or rescinded. This type of third-party review is customarily conducted in the US.
Property Valuations: In the case of newly originated loans, a review of the original property valuation, typically via
the ordering of a cascade of additional valuations acceptable to KBRA. The third-party review firm will be expected to
identify any material variance between reconciliation values and the original property value or any material deficiencies
in the original valuation. For more seasoned loans, KBRA may request or accept updated property valuations in lieu of
original valuation reviews. KBRA will consider both the updated value and the reliability of the valuation method in its
analysis. Given the risk of deferred property maintenance and/or lack of property improvements, KBRA may request a
reasonably sized sample of interior inspections to assess the interior condition of the portfolio, depending on the
seasoning of the loans and the practical ability to gain entry to borrower-occupied properties. This third-party review is
customarily only conducted in the US.
Collateral Cashflow Analysis
Overview
Requested Data Elements
KBRA may request portfolio-level and loan-level data from the originator as a starting point in its credit analysis. The
portfolio-level data elements may include the following:
1. Monthly loan repayment data by product, borrower type, property type, region, and reason for repayment.
Repayment data may delineate repayments due to: (i) Mortality, (ii) Morbidity, (iii) Voluntary sale or move-out of
the property, and (iv) Involuntary sale of the property via legal action and foreclosure.
3
In certain jurisdictions non-payment of taxes may not create a senior lien, lessening the need for the servicer to advance these
amounts. There is no concept of delinquent principal or interest advances in a reverse mortgage transaction because the borrower
does not make regular monthly payments.
6. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 6 March 9, 2018
2. Repayment timeframes from:
a. Date of mortality/morbidity/voluntary
b. Date of repayment notice/demand to date of repayment, delineated by the repayment reasons noted in (1) above.
3. For properties liquidated by legal means, all costs and expenses broken out by legal and property transaction costs.
4. The originator’s source of actuarial data for mortality and morbidity assumptions used during loan underwriting.
To the extent this information is either not provided or partially provided, KBRA may employ proxy data from similar
originators/products or may otherwise apply assumptions it deems appropriate with respect to the relevant variables.
KBRA will typically receive a data tape with all loan, borrower and property attributes necessary to model the transaction.
These requirements will vary by transaction and jurisdiction but generally include the following categories.
▪ Borrower and co-borrower attributes including date of birth, gender, place of residence and status (e.g. Active,
Deceased, Moved-to-care etc.)
▪ Loan attributes including original and current balance, interest rate, past draws (if not fully drawn at closing),
capacity for future draws, origination date, index and margin on adjustable-rate loans.
▪ Property attributes including location (jurisdiction, city, county, postal-code as applicable), type, initial value, current
value, interim indexed values (if applicable).
Key Considerations & Assumptions
KBRA will calculate collateral cash flow vectors for a given rating category that result from the product of: (i) the stressed
probability and timing, based on mortality, morbidity, and/or voluntary prepayment, of the liquidation and remittance
of net property sale proceeds in any period and (ii) the stressed amount of resulting net sales proceeds in any period.
These rating level specific cash flows are then applied against the capital structure and liability payment provisions of
the transaction. Adjustments to the collateral cashflows after calculating or to the inputs of such calculation can be
made for certain risks that are not otherwise captured by the following primary credit factors:
1. Mortality/Morbidity: In general, the longer the period until the Repayment Event, the greater the capitalised interest
on the loan balance. Assuming the loan balance does not exceed the net sales proceeds of the property at the
repayment event (the “crossover point”), longer durations until repayment create higher future repayment value
because a greater amount of accrued interest is ultimately owed to the trust. However, a longer duration until the
Repayment Event will also increase the debt service requirement on the rated certificates.
KBRA utilises verifiable third-party4 mortality data and originator-provided historical morbidity data, or a reasonable
proxy, to determine expected-case probabilities (or in the case of co-borrowers, the joint probabilities) of these
Repayment Events over time. The mortality tables employed are typically based upon the age and gender of the
borrower(s) at the time of analysis.
Given ongoing developments in healthcare and standard of living in most developed countries, it is generally observed
that life expectancy improves each year and is expected to do so over the future at varying rates depending on
jurisdiction of residence, age, and gender. Accordingly, KBRA may, assume long-term improvement in mortality rates
and life expectancy in its analysis depending on the characteristics of the borrowers in the pool and prevailing medical
trends in the relevant jurisdiction. When utilized, this is accomplished by applying an estimated “Age Setback”, or a
decrease in the borrower’s age for the purpose of applying actuarial tables to approximate mortality improvements.
Age Setback Hypothetical Example
KBRA’s age setback assumptions may depend on the availability of published mortality improvement factors as well as
the age, gender, and place of residence of the borrower. In the given hypothetical example, the male borrower’s initial
4
Data sources will vary by jurisdiction and may include central statistics offices, life insurance companies, and actuarial societies or
similar sources. To the extent they differ, these sources may be cross-referenced against the originator’s sources used in the original
underwriting of the loans. To the extent that such data is not available in a given jurisdiction, KBRA may elect to use data from an
alternative jurisdiction as a proxy.
Borrower Actual Age
Age Set Back Factor
at Rating Category
Adjusted Age for
Mortality Calculation
Male 72 7 65
Female 68 8 60
7. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 7 March 9, 2018
mortality probability will be treated as that of a 65-year-old vs. a 72-year-old (e.g. less probable). Age setbacks for
higher and lower rating categories may be adjusted accordingly, consistent with higher mortality improvement (i.e. life
expectancy increases) in less stressful economic environments and lower mortality improvement (i.e. life expectancy
decreases) in more stressful economic environments.
Morbidity and Voluntary Prepayments
KBRA may also apply an additional prepayment factor or rate to account for Repayment Events driven by morbidity and
voluntary prepayments unrelated to mortality and/or morbidity. This factor or rate will typically be based on the
originator’s empirical experience or proxy data for similar originators or products. KBRA generally use a uniform CPR
assumption for all rating categories or may vary CPR assumptions by rating category depending on the nature of the
collateral and the information provided by the originator.
2. Home Price Declines: Upon a Repayment Event, KBRA assesses the loan proceeds at liquidation as the lesser of the
accrued loan balance (original loan balance plus accrued interest) or the assumed property net sale proceeds5
. The
property net sale proceeds will be a function of KBRA’s home price scenario stresses. The home price scenarios
stresses are primarily comprised by four components:
a. Peak-to-trough decline – The percentage decrease in property value from the value at transaction cut-off to
the lowest stressed value. This magnitude will be rating category and jurisdiction specific, typically coinciding
with KBRA’s peak-to-trough decline stresses associated with other residential mortgage products in the related
jurisdiction. The severity of KBRA’s property value declines may also be impacted by a high pool concentration
within a limited geographical area, or other factors that KBRA deems relevant.
b. Peak-to-trough timing – The length of time from a transaction closing to the home price scenario trough.
KBRA will generally assume the home price scenario trough is experienced during the initial years of the
transaction, depending on the age of the borrowers within the pool and the historical and current home price
market dynamics in the related jurisdiction.
c. Return-to-peak timing – The length of time from the home price scenario trough that KBRA assumes it will
take for the property to return to its original value prior to the imposition of the home price decline assumption.
This time period is typically aligned with observed growth rates in the jurisdiction’s housing market, with
shorter time periods associated with lower rating categories.
d. Future home price growth rate – The annual growth rate of home prices KBRA assumes once its home price
scenario has returned to peak. This growth rate is typically aligned with observed growth rates in the
jurisdiction’s housing market, with higher growth rates associated with lower rating categories. A hypothetical
example of a home price decline and recovery scenario is presented below. Where necessary KBRA will include
any specific house price decline assumptions in the relevant transaction rating reports.
5
In certain cases, the loan originator may provide an option for the borrower to “protect” a portion of the equity in their home such
that the protected amount is not due upon a repayment event, subject to certain LTV tests, among other provisions. In these cases,
KBRA will account for the relevant equity protection amount in its net proceeds calculations.
8. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 8 March 9, 2018
3. Property Valuations: For newly originated pools, the original appraised value (or other valuation type acceptable to
KBRA) forms the starting point for the House Price Index (HPI) decline assumptions. For seasoned loans where new
appraisals have not been obtained, KBRA may employ original appraised values that are adjusted up to the
applicable analysis date based on an appropriate HPI. However, these starting values may be subject to discounts
depending on the nature of the HPI, the type of alternative value obtained (if any) and whether interior inspections
have been performed on a statistically significant sample of the pool (if seasoned). KBRA may apply an initial
discount to the appraised value to account for the likelihood of deferred maintenance and lack of property
upgrades/improvements that would be expected for older reverse-mortgage borrowers.
4. Delays in Receipt of Sale Proceeds: KBRA incorporates various lag factors into its assumptions for receipt of proceeds
following a Repayment Event.
Notification Lag: Depending on the jurisdiction, mechanisms of varying sophistication may be available to monitor the
occupancy status of the borrower. In the US, deaths are generally a matter of public record and a servicer may access
databases on a periodic basis to determine if a borrower has died. However, this is not the case in all countries and the
servicer may have to depend on a manual screening of published death notices or rely on exception-based mechanisms
(e.g. if the borrower does not proactively return an annual certification or similar document) to trigger the repayment
process. Depending on the jurisdiction, this lag can be between one to six months on average.
Judicial vs. Non-Judicial Liquidation: Once the servicer is aware of a mortality or morbidity event, a notice for
repayment is typically sent to the borrower’s heirs. In cases where the heirs are cooperative and promptly list the
property for sale without need for legal intervention by the servicer, KBRA typically assumes marketing time periods
that have been observed in the market, and adjusts these upward and downward for higher and lower rating categories.
In cases where legal action is required, these timelines are extended. The expected case percentage of loans that go
through judicial vs. non-judicial repayment is typically based on the originator’s observed historical experience, and
adjusted by rating category. A hypothetical example of these estimates is presented below.
5. Sales expense: When estimating the net sales proceeds to be received from the borrower’s estate at repayment,
KBRA estimates estate agent/transaction costs of 3-6% of the property value. For the assumed percentage of
liquidated properties that go through legal action, KBRA assumes an additional 2-5% in legal expenses are incurred.
These amounts may be adjusted based on actual observed expense levels in the relevant jurisdiction. In addition,
these amounts are subject to floors as these costs tend to be a higher percentage of smaller loan amounts.
6. Interest Rate Stresses: KBRA will typically impose a range of interest rate stresses on any floating rate transaction
assets or liabilities. The forward rate scenarios will vary based on the historical behaviour of the index employed,
particularly minimum-to-maximum movements. The magnitude of peak levels, duration of ramping, and ongoing
post-peak levels are subject to adjustment on a case-by-case basis. A hypothetical example of a forward increasing
rate scenario is provided below.
KBRA also runs flat and downward rate stresses to determine the impact of a decreased amount of accrued interest
flowing into the transaction. In determining the nature of the up/down/flat interest rate stresses to apply, KBRA
generally observes the historical movementof the relevant index and the duration of such movements. Any interest rate
scenarios will be subject to relevant structural features in the transaction (e.g. swaps, caps).
A (sf) Rating Level
6%
5
2
Post-Peak Level 3%
Upward Stress
Max Rate
Ramp Up (years)
Peak Duration (years)
9. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 9 March 9, 2018
Asset/Liability Modelling: The above assumptions will produce a cash flow vector for each loan, which are aggregated
for all borrowers to arrive at pool-level cash flows. These outputs are then applied against the transaction liability
structure to determine if the rated classes receive principal and interest payments consistent with the transaction
structure, KBRA’s rating definitions and the terms of the documents. Please see Appendix C Modelling Example.
Other Transaction Counterparties
Given the prevalence of reserve funds, liquidity facilities, interest rate cap and swap providers as well as typical collection
and remittance accounts in reverse mortgage transactions, KBRA will employ its Global Structured Finance Counterparty
Methodology to the extent deemed applicable. In doing so, KBRA will consider each counterparty in the securitisation
and assess the potential credit risk it poses to the transaction structure. These assessments will be a function of the
supported rating levels, the reliance of the structure on a given counterparty, and the duration of the exposure, among
other things.
Assessment of Securitisation Structure
Legal Structure – Evaluation of Bankruptcy Remoteness
As part of the rating process, KBRA will typically review the sale of the assets to the trust to determine the risk (if any)
that the assets would be considered part of the estate of the seller in a bankruptcy or insolvency proceeding. In addition,
KBRA will typically also evaluate the corporate structure of the issuing entity to make sure it is organised in a manner
that minimises the risk of the trust being consolidated with an affiliated entity in the event of a bankruptcy or insolvency
proceeding involving such affiliate. As part of its assessment, KBRA will typically also review legal analysis and/or
opinions provided by counsel to the issuing entity and the asset seller.
Transaction Documents
KBRA will review the transaction agreements to evaluate the transaction’s overall structure, including the perfection of
security interests in the relevant jurisdiction, payment waterfall, and performance triggers, as applicable. KBRA will also
generally review the servicing standards and other obligations of the seller, servicer, trustee and other transaction
parties. The content of the transaction documents will be evaluated in conjunction with the overall transaction analysis,
including KBRA’s originator and servicer evaluations and KBRA’s assessment of the credit enhancement provided by the
structure.
Representations, Warranties and Enforcement Mechanisms
The loan originator(s) or the loan seller, as applicable, make certain Representations and Warranties (R&W) regarding
the underlying reverse mortgage loans that are sold to the securitisation trust. In the event a breach of any of these
R&Ws, upon notification, the party that made the R&W is generally obligated to either cure such breach, substitute
another loan for the defective loan or repurchase the defective mortgage loan in accordance with the provisions of the
transaction documents. KBRA will typically review the R&W to assess if they are consistent with market standards and
review the related repurchase or enforcement mechanisms available in the event of a breach of representations or
warranties, events of default, or violation of other document provisions. Based on this review, KBRA may adjust its
reverse mortgage rating assumptions as deemed necessary.
Surveillance
KBRA views the assignment of an initial rating to a reverse mortgage transaction as the beginning of a process that
continues until the rating is withdrawn, either due to full payment/redemption of the security or other reasons. KBRA’s
reverse mortgage surveillance process incorporates the following key components:
Periodic Performance Data Monitoring: Generally, when performance data is released, KBRA will assess the
information and identify whether factors exist that could indicate a substantive change in performance outside of
expectations (such as substantively slower or faster repayment rates) and further analysis is needed. Depending on the
specific performance observations, KBRA may contact the sponsor and/or servicer to attempt to obtain additional
performance data, re-analyze the updated collateral pool information to determine updated cash flow assumptions, or
take other action as it deems necessary in connection with its evaluation. KBRA will review its ratings in related
transactions at least annually.
Servicer Updates and Market Trends: As necessary, KBRA will update its review of the loan servicer over time. Any
developments regarding the servicer that affect our expectations for loan performance, particularly those relating to
collections or default management, will be considered in our ongoing transaction analysis. KBRA will also consider trends
10. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 10 March 9, 2018
in the related housing and mortgage markets, as applicable, that may inform its approach to rating and surveillance of
individual reverse mortgage transactions.
In order for KBRA to conduct its ongoing surveillance monitoring of a given transaction, KBRA expects that periodic loan
and securities level data will be made available by a representative of the trust on an ongoing basis, and that such
representative(s) will be available to provide information to facilitate the annual rating review process. Failure to provide
surveillance information may result in the ratings being withdrawn, a rating adjustment being applied, and/or the rating
placed on Watch.
11. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 11 March 9, 2018
Appendix A: Originator Review Process
As noted, the traditional drivers of default that underpin the underwriting process for traditional RMBS such as borrower
credit or ability-to-repay metrics are not key factors in the reverse mortgage underwriting process and receive
comparatively less emphasis. KBRA finds that in evaluating a reverse mortgage originator or aggregator, the processes
and controls in place for: (i) Property Valuation, (ii) Assessment of ability to meet future non-debt service obligations,
(iii) Sales Process/Suitability, and (iv) Regulatory Compliance are of primary importance. In the case of aggregators,
KBRA evaluates the aggregator’s processes for evaluating it’s sellers capabilities for handling the points noted in (i) –
(iv) above.
In cases where the originator, aggregator and/or servicer are the same entity, the origination, aggregation and servicing
review scope will be adjusted to eliminate any overlap or redundancy of topics. In the event the originator or aggregator
and servicer are separate entities, or the transaction also includes a back-up servicer or other relevant transaction
participant, KBRA will perform a discrete review of these entities. The outcome of the review may result in positive or
negative adjustments to KBRA’s analysis.
Property Valuation: KBRA will assess the originator’s appraisal/valuation process in light of the unique risks presented
by reverse mortgages. Full interior appraisals are the best means to ensure the property is in reasonable repair and
that no deferred maintenance is evident at the time of origination. This is key because as noted, reverse mortgage
borrowers may not have the same willingness or ability to keep the property in good repair or to invest in upgrades or
remodelling over time in order to keep the property at the same standard as similar properties on the market. Like
traditional mortgage lending, sound appraisal processes typically include independence from the origination function,
an adequate panel of approved appraisers (or an approved appraisal management company), a well-defined appraisal
review process and ideally, licensed appraisers on staff at the originator or personnel with intimate knowledge of the
originator’s lending footprint. In the case of aggregators, KBRA will assess the entity’s processes for evaluating its sellers
with respect to the above issues.
Non-Debt Service Obligations: While a borrower’s ability to repay the loan in regular instalments is not analysed in
the same manner in reverse mortgage transactions as for a traditional RMBS, it is important that the originator
underwrite the borrower’s ability to remit taxes and insurance and maintain the property using either the loan proceeds,
retirement savings, and/or private or government pensions/social security.6
Sales Process/Suitability of Product: Because of its unique attributes, it is important that lenders follow applicable
law and exercise due care in determining that a reverse mortgage represents the most appropriate of what are typically
a number of options (including traditional forward mortgages) that may be utilised by the borrower to address their
financial situation. Failure to properly qualify the borrower from a suitability perspective can lead to unexpected early
prepayments, increased technical defaults (e.g. non-payment of taxes, insurance, or property maintenance),
borrower/heir complaints, or losses upon the sale of the property. Depending on jurisdiction, reverse mortgage
originators may employ a direct-to-consumer sales model (e.g. television, radio, or internet based advertisements) or
originate via agents or intermediaries such as brokers or financial planners. Proper qualification and monitoring of these
third-party intermediaries is critical to ensure the product is sold in a manner consistent with the originator’s
requirements.
Regulatory Compliance: The sales and borrower suitability processes are important for determining credit risk, but
are also linked to regulatory compliance risk. Although consumer protection laws and remedies vary by jurisdiction, it
is clear that regulatory fines, lawsuits, and/or negative headlines are real risks if the reverse mortgage product is
improperly sold or otherwise originated in a manner inconsistent with relevant regulations. Prudent originators will have
clearly defined compliance and disclosure practices, ideally including, but not limited to:
▪ Clear disclosure of the loan terms, including the fact that taxes and insurance must be kept current and the property
maintained in good repair,
▪ Illustration of the loan repayment mechanics including the index and margin at which interest accrues (if applicable),
the fact that the loan is negatively amortising, and the rules/restrictions around making future draws or repayments,
▪ Full explanation of the No Negative Equity guarantee or relevant insurance provisions. Ideally, the borrower (and
potentially his or her heirs) should be made aware that any equity in the property at the time the loan is taken out
may no longer be available to heirs at the time the loan is paid off,
6
These ongoing responsibilities have been the cause of headline risk and/or concerns regarding incomplete disclosures to the borrower,
particularly in the U.S. In European jurisdictions, certain credit concerns such as non-payment of property taxes may, on a relative
basis, be less material as property taxes tend to be lower than in the US, and/or non-payment may not result in a senior (to the
mortgage) tax lien on the property. KBRA will incorporate the specific risks of each jurisdiction into its credit analysis.
12. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 12 March 9, 2018
▪ Depending on jurisdiction, best practice may include an affirmative disclosure to the borrower to seek independent
legal advice, and/or notify heirs or a responsible party regarding entry into the loan agreement.
Different jurisdictions may have consumer protection laws that are more or less prescriptive, and/or which have or could
lead to higher or lower fines levied against originators in the event of breaches or lawsuits. KBRA analyses these risks
specific to the jurisdiction in question and will evaluate any relevant and material financial risks the originator’s business
practices may present.
KBRA’s reverse mortgage originator advance materials request may include but is not limited to, the following items:
▪ Financial statements
▪ Target markets, borrowers, and product types
▪ Historical and expected loan volumes by product type and geographic region
▪ Full policies and procedures including marketing, origination, servicing, valuation, underwriting, quality control, and
risk management
▪ Results of internal and external audits
▪ Systems, vendors, and information technology architecture, safeguards and encryption
▪ Originators historical portfolio performance including repayments by repayment type (mortality, morbidity, other,
etc.)
In addition to the key areas noted above, during its review, KBRA enquire regarding a variety of enterprise-wide topics,
including a) corporate structure, business plan, and market factors, b) management and organisation, c) closing,
funding, post-closing, and d) quality control and audit procedures. The results of KBRA’s reverse mortgage originator
review may result in positive or negative qualitative adjustments to KBRA’s reverse mortgage rating assumptions.
13. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 13 March 9, 2018
Appendix B: Servicer Review Process
In evaluating a reverse mortgage servicer, KBRA places particular emphasis on the servicer’s processes and controls
with respect to:
▪ Monitoring of property tax and insurance payments, and process for force-placing insurance automatically in the
event of a lapse in coverage. In the US, third-party providers for the monitoring of taxes and insurance are readily
available. Certain non-US jurisdictions may employ more manual processes. KBRA will evaluate the servicer’s
processes in consideration of market standards in the relevant jurisdiction.
▪ Monitoring of occupancy. Because there are no borrower or heir reporting requirements related to the
occurrence of a Repayment Event, it is important for servicers to have means of monitoring the occupancy
status of the property. As with monitoring of taxes and insurance, the automation level of such monitoring is
likely to vary by jurisdiction. Regardless of the system employed, the servicer should demonstrate the means
to effectively determine the occupancy status of the property at regular intervals. It is also important for the
servicer to identify any non-borrower occupants as early as possible as such occupants can delay the property
liquidation process.
▪ Default management. In the event that the borrower or their heirs are unwilling or unable to liquidate the
property and remit the net sale proceeds to the servicer, the servicer will need to employ a workout strategy
to maximise the net present value of proceeds. Accordingly, the servicer should have expertise and decision
tools in place to evaluate discounted payoffs, deeds-in-lieu, and foreclosure alternatives. Prudent and
experienced servicers will balance the application of loss mitigation strategies with appropriate and respectful
interaction with the borrower’s heirs.
In addition to the above considerations, KBRA may also enquire of the servicer the same or similar advance materials
requests and enterprise-wide topics discussed in the Originator Review section above. The results of KBRA’s reverse
mortgage servicer review may result in positive or negative qualitative adjustments to KBRA’s reverse mortgage rating
assumptions, and/or the requirement for a back-up servicer to be put in place.
14. Reverse Mortgage Securitisation Global Rating Methodology 14 March 9, 2018
Appendix C: Modelling Example
Modelling Example
As noted, the KBRA’s collateral cashflow analysis produces a series of projected collateral repayments using the product
of the above mortality, morbidity and voluntary prepayment assumptions (each a “Repayment Event”) and the expected
net property proceeds in a given period. The table below shows indicative cash flows for a single borrower who enters
the pool at age 75.
Notes:
[1] Source: [Third-Party Statistical Data Repository]. Each percentage is the probability of the borrower’s mortality in that period. Joint
probabilities are employed for co-borrowers.
[2] Adjustment is based on [Rating Category (sf)] Age Setback Factor of [x] months.
[3] Combined Mortality/Morbidity assumes [Rating Category (sf)] Morbidity factor of [x%]. (e.g., Non-Mortality related payments are
equal to Mortality-driven repayments x 1.x %). KBRA may alternatively use a range of CPR assumptions for combined morbidity and
voluntary repayments.
[4] Net Property Value assumes closing costs of [x%] of the property value.
The effect of the mobility assumptions in [3] is to increase the mortality probability in any period as illustrated below.
These assumptions will produce a cash flow vector for each loan as depicted above. These cash flows are aggregated
for all borrowers to arrive at pool-level cash flows.
These outputs are then applied against the transaction liability structure. Generally, classes that experience full
repayment of principal and interest in accordance with the specific principal and interest entitlements in the transaction
structure, will be considered to have passed the stresses associated with a given rating level. Certain securities, by their
terms, permit the deferral of interest provided any such deferrals are paid in full by the legal final maturity date. Should
a security with these characteristics experience deferrals, the magnitude and duration of such deferrals will be
considered in determining whether or not the security passes a given rating scenario.
Age Mortality Rate [1]
Adjusted
Mortality Rate [2]
Combined
Mortality/Mobility
Rate [3]
Property Value
Net Property
Value [4] Loan Balance
Projected
Cash Flows
Projected
Cash Flows -
No Mobility
Factor
75 3.7% 1.9% 3.9% 133,333 126,667 83,792 3,263 1,632
76 4.0% 2.1% 4.2% 106,667 101,333 87,144 3,630 1,852
77 4.3% 2.3% 4.4% 80,000 76,000 90,630 3,370 1,759
78 4.5% 2.5% 4.7% 80,000 76,000 94,255 3,574 1,912
79 4.8% 2.7% 5.0% 80,000 76,000 98,025 3,768 2,073
80 5.0% 2.9% 5.2% 85,333 81,067 101,946 4,210 2,390
81 5.2% 3.2% 5.4% 90,667 86,133 106,024 4,653 2,735
82 5.4% 3.4% 5.6% 96,000 91,200 110,265 5,083 3,108
83 5.6% 3.6% 5.7% 101,333 96,267 114,676 5,484 3,505
84 5.6% 3.9% 5.8% 106,667 101,333 119,263 5,841 3,923
85 5.6% 4.1% 5.8% 112,000 106,400 124,033 6,130 4,354
86 5.6% 4.3% 5.7% 117,333 111,467 128,995 6,333 4,789
87 5.4% 4.5% 5.5% 122,667 116,533 134,154 6,432 5,219
88 5.2% 4.6% 5.3% 128,000 121,600 139,521 6,406 5,632
89 4.9% 4.7% 4.9% 133,333 126,667 145,101 6,249 6,010