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Report on “ Colonial Origins of Comparative Development…”   by D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson,  J. Robinson Maxim Ananyev New Economic School  MAE, class 2012
Does the  difference in institutions  cause large  difference in per capita income  between countries?
Institutions matter.
Two (somewhat) contradicting opinions : Good institutions cause economic growth OR Rich countries develop better institutions
How to isolate the impact of institutions? Look at the countries, where the institutions had been established exogenously  i.e.  former colonies
Types of colonies  ,[object Object],[object Object]
AJR Historical Hypothesis Mortality Settlements Modern institutions Early institutions
Low mortality rate – key determinant of where to settle Where should the pilgrims go? Guyana United States Where to send convicts? Gambia River Australia
Settler colonies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Non-settlers colonies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Persistence of bad institutions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
OLS: Wealth and Institutions y – current per-capita GDP R – current institutions
Institutions and wealth
This data may not prove anything ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
It is better to look at settlers mortality rates The main causes of settler mortality  - malaria and yellow fever – did not hurt local population as much They did not influence local economy – only the institutions imposed by the foreigners.
Least-squares estimates R -  current institutions C -  early institutions S  -  settlements M - mortality rate
In Simple English: Current institutions  depend on  early institutions. Early institutions  depend on the  European settlements European settlements  depend on  mortality rate
Current institutions depend on early institutions Dependant variable is protection against expropriation risk in 1985 - 1995
Early institutions depend on European settlements Dependant variable is  constraint on executive in 1900
European settlements depend on mortality rate Dependant variable is  European settlements in 1900
Current institutions depend on mortality rate Dependant variable is protection against expropriation risk in 1985 - 1995
Robustness ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusion This findings reveal that colonial regime is one of the important factors that determine modern institutions and  wealth of nations.

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Colonial Origins of Comparative Development Institutions

  • 1. Report on “ Colonial Origins of Comparative Development…” by D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson, J. Robinson Maxim Ananyev New Economic School MAE, class 2012
  • 2. Does the difference in institutions cause large difference in per capita income between countries?
  • 4. Two (somewhat) contradicting opinions : Good institutions cause economic growth OR Rich countries develop better institutions
  • 5. How to isolate the impact of institutions? Look at the countries, where the institutions had been established exogenously i.e. former colonies
  • 6.
  • 7. AJR Historical Hypothesis Mortality Settlements Modern institutions Early institutions
  • 8. Low mortality rate – key determinant of where to settle Where should the pilgrims go? Guyana United States Where to send convicts? Gambia River Australia
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. OLS: Wealth and Institutions y – current per-capita GDP R – current institutions
  • 14.
  • 15. It is better to look at settlers mortality rates The main causes of settler mortality - malaria and yellow fever – did not hurt local population as much They did not influence local economy – only the institutions imposed by the foreigners.
  • 16. Least-squares estimates R - current institutions C - early institutions S - settlements M - mortality rate
  • 17. In Simple English: Current institutions depend on early institutions. Early institutions depend on the European settlements European settlements depend on mortality rate
  • 18. Current institutions depend on early institutions Dependant variable is protection against expropriation risk in 1985 - 1995
  • 19. Early institutions depend on European settlements Dependant variable is constraint on executive in 1900
  • 20. European settlements depend on mortality rate Dependant variable is European settlements in 1900
  • 21. Current institutions depend on mortality rate Dependant variable is protection against expropriation risk in 1985 - 1995
  • 22.
  • 23. Conclusion This findings reveal that colonial regime is one of the important factors that determine modern institutions and wealth of nations.