SlideShare a Scribd company logo
JOAKIM SUNDÉN
BODEN
Everyone Loves Music
David P.
      Joyce




W Edwards
 Deming
The White Bead Co.
                       ITIL




        WE LISTEN TO
        OUR PEOPLE
CMMI5




                  ISO9000


                            Only at their annual appraisal
We Are Recruiting!
 3 willing workers. Must be willing to put in best
efforts. Continuation of job is based on performance.
No experience in making beads necessary. Educational
                   requirements-nil.
  1 inspector. Must be able to distinguish red from
  white. Must be able to count to 20. No experience
                      necessary.
1 chief inspector. Same qualifications as inspector.
       Must be able to speak in a loud voice.

          ABOVE AVERAGE WORKERS
             ONLY NEED APPLY
FINISHED FILES ARE THE RESULT OF YEARS
 OF SCIENTIFIC STUDY COMBINED WITH
   THE EXPERIENCE OF MANY YEARS.
Lessons learned

• Did incentives work?
• Did the motivational posters help?
• Did have a CMMI standard process work?
• What could managers do to improve things
  for the workers?
• What are the red beads in your company?
Lessons learned
•   It’s the system not the workers

•   It’s management thinking that designed the system

•   Arbitrary numerical targets were completely ineffective

•   Rewarding or punishing the workers had no effect

•   Rigid and precise procedures are not sufficient to produce
    quality

•   Keeping the ‘best’ workers did not work

•   Management tampering creates more problems than it solves

•   Posters and slogans are at best useless and can be insulting
    and create resentment

•   The biggest source of variation was in the system
Theory of Variation
The First Principle of the Theory of
              Variation

We Should Expect Things
       to Vary,
   They Always Do
My performance
✓
Performance




  ✗
                    Time
Statistical Process Control
                          Charts
               Upper Control Limit
✓                                           Average


               Lower Control Limit
Performance




  ✗
                                     Time
The Second Principle of the Theory of
             Variation

 Understanding Variation
      Will Tell us
    What to Expect
Signal or Noise?
                                 Velocity

40
                 Reward!                Manager           Tough management
                                        repents...             works!
30


20
                           No more Mr Nice Guy!

10
     1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Signal or Noise?
                                 Velocity

40


30                                                                    Control
                                                                       Limits

20


10
     1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
What to expect
                                 Velocity

40


30

                                                                      Average
20


10
     1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Expectations...
                                 Velocity

40


30


20


10
     1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Setting a Target
              Upper Control Limit
✓                                            Average


              Lower Control Limit
Performance




  ✗
                                    Time
“I recently asked a colleague [CIO] whether he would
prefer to deliver a project somewhat late and
overbudget, but rich with business benefits, or one that is
on time and underbudget but of scant value to the
business.

He thought it was a tough call, and then went for the on-
time scenario. Delivering on time and within budget is
part of his IT department’s performance metrics.

Chasing after the elusive business value, over which he
thought he had little control anyway, is not.”

                        Cutter Sr. Consultant Helen Pukszta
If you give a manager
a numerical target, he’ll
make it, even if he has to
destroy the company in
      the process.
The Third Principle of the Theory of
              Variation

 Work on the Causes of
        Variation,
Which are Always Found in
       the System
Majority of Performance is
  Down to the System
          A bad system will
         defeat a good person
              every time.


               System      95%
             Individual     5%
System Conditions
Work Design   Business Cases
Policies      Funding
Measures      Poor requirements
Structure
Roles         Inspection
Procedures    Compliance
Information
Job skills
Knowledge
The Fourth Principle of the Theory of
             Variation


 Understanding Variation
Tells you When Something
       has Happened
Special Cause vs
              Common Cause
                                 Velocity


50

40

30

20

10
     1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Did we improve?
                                Change
                              introduced
                             after sprint 8


30

20

10

 0
     1   2   3   4   5   6     7    8     9   10 11 12 13 14 15 16
SPC for comparison
             Team B

 Team A




             Team C
Joakim Sundén
  Twitter: @joakimsunden
joakim.sunden@spotify.com
  www.joakimsunden.com

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Red Beads Experiment

  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 7.
  • 8. David P. Joyce W Edwards Deming
  • 9. The White Bead Co. ITIL WE LISTEN TO OUR PEOPLE CMMI5 ISO9000 Only at their annual appraisal
  • 10. We Are Recruiting! 3 willing workers. Must be willing to put in best efforts. Continuation of job is based on performance. No experience in making beads necessary. Educational requirements-nil. 1 inspector. Must be able to distinguish red from white. Must be able to count to 20. No experience necessary. 1 chief inspector. Same qualifications as inspector. Must be able to speak in a loud voice. ABOVE AVERAGE WORKERS ONLY NEED APPLY
  • 11. FINISHED FILES ARE THE RESULT OF YEARS OF SCIENTIFIC STUDY COMBINED WITH THE EXPERIENCE OF MANY YEARS.
  • 12.
  • 13. Lessons learned • Did incentives work? • Did the motivational posters help? • Did have a CMMI standard process work? • What could managers do to improve things for the workers? • What are the red beads in your company?
  • 14. Lessons learned • It’s the system not the workers • It’s management thinking that designed the system • Arbitrary numerical targets were completely ineffective • Rewarding or punishing the workers had no effect • Rigid and precise procedures are not sufficient to produce quality • Keeping the ‘best’ workers did not work • Management tampering creates more problems than it solves • Posters and slogans are at best useless and can be insulting and create resentment • The biggest source of variation was in the system
  • 16. The First Principle of the Theory of Variation We Should Expect Things to Vary, They Always Do
  • 18. Statistical Process Control Charts Upper Control Limit ✓ Average Lower Control Limit Performance ✗ Time
  • 19. The Second Principle of the Theory of Variation Understanding Variation Will Tell us What to Expect
  • 20. Signal or Noise? Velocity 40 Reward! Manager Tough management repents... works! 30 20 No more Mr Nice Guy! 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
  • 21. Signal or Noise? Velocity 40 30 Control Limits 20 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
  • 22. What to expect Velocity 40 30 Average 20 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
  • 23. Expectations... Velocity 40 30 20 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
  • 24. Setting a Target Upper Control Limit ✓ Average Lower Control Limit Performance ✗ Time
  • 25. “I recently asked a colleague [CIO] whether he would prefer to deliver a project somewhat late and overbudget, but rich with business benefits, or one that is on time and underbudget but of scant value to the business. He thought it was a tough call, and then went for the on- time scenario. Delivering on time and within budget is part of his IT department’s performance metrics. Chasing after the elusive business value, over which he thought he had little control anyway, is not.” Cutter Sr. Consultant Helen Pukszta
  • 26. If you give a manager a numerical target, he’ll make it, even if he has to destroy the company in the process.
  • 27. The Third Principle of the Theory of Variation Work on the Causes of Variation, Which are Always Found in the System
  • 28. Majority of Performance is Down to the System A bad system will defeat a good person every time. System 95% Individual 5%
  • 29. System Conditions Work Design Business Cases Policies Funding Measures Poor requirements Structure Roles Inspection Procedures Compliance Information Job skills Knowledge
  • 30. The Fourth Principle of the Theory of Variation Understanding Variation Tells you When Something has Happened
  • 31. Special Cause vs Common Cause Velocity 50 40 30 20 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
  • 32. Did we improve? Change introduced after sprint 8 30 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
  • 33. SPC for comparison Team B Team A Team C
  • 34. Joakim Sundén Twitter: @joakimsunden joakim.sunden@spotify.com www.joakimsunden.com