This document discusses using machine learning to predict students' skill levels based on an online collaborative learning course. It describes the course, which focused on remote group work and using ICT tools. Student data was collected through questionnaires and used to train a random forest model in Microsoft Azure Machine Learning. The model aimed to classify students as having acquired or not acquired teamwork skills based on their course experiences and evaluations. Evaluation results showed the model could accurately predict students' skill levels with over 80% accuracy, demonstrating the potential of using machine learning to help improve students' skills.
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Unequal outcomes: the role of school effectiveness in shaping learning trajectories
by
Jack Rossiter, Education Research Officer, young Lives
University of Oxford
CIES International Conference
Atlanta, 9 March 2017
An accurate ability evaluation method for every student with small problem it...Hideo Hirose
To enhance the chance of use of the item response theory (IRT) in universities, we developed a test evaluation system via the Web for university teachers, and we have been evaluating students' abilities by using the IRT system in midterm and final examinations for two years.
We show a surprising aspect regarding the adoption of the IRT system in university tests. That is, the IRT can not only give us the problem difficulty information but also can provide the accurate student ability evaluation, even if the number of problems is small. Therefore, we can include high and low level test items together so that we can assess a variety of students' abilities accurately and fairly; we do not worry about providing easier problems that will make the lecture level decline; in other words, we do not care about finding the most appropriate problem levels to each student. We can provide all level problems uniformly distributed to all students, and we can still assess the students' abilities accurately. Consequently, students do not raise claims about their scores; they seem to be satisfied with it.
We show these results, in this paper, by a theoretical background, a simulation study, and our empirical results.
Indian statistical institute entrance examSampat Bhore
Careerpathways developed this useful online career test to help students to identify areas of study that may suit their skills
and preferences Online Aptitude Test, Online Career Counseling, career aptitude test, online career Test.
http://www.careerpathways.ae/
what is machine learning ?
Machine Learning is the science of teaching machines to learn and behave like people, and to refine their learning over time in an autonomous manner, using evidence and knowledge from experiments and real-world experiences.
We Learnbay offers top trending courses in the area of data science courses such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, deep learning and data science and so on.
Gain knowledge about real life application of mathematics. You will also become a master to solve mathematics assignment problems from Dream Assignment experts.
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Complex skill mastery requires not only acquiring individual basic component skills, but also practicing integrating such basic skills. However, traditional approaches to knowledge modeling, such as Bayesian Knowledge Tracing, only trace knowledge of each decomposed basic component skill. This risks early assertion of mastery or ineffective remediation failing to address skill integration. We propose a diagnostic Bayesian network based on a hierarchical integration graph for learner knowledge modeling. We assess the value of such a model from four aspects: performance prediction, parameter plausibility, expected instructional effectiveness, and real-world recommendation helpfulness. Our experiments with a Java programming dataset and a user study based on a Java programming tutor show that proposed model significantly improves two popular multiple skill knowledge tracing models on all these four aspects. Our work serves as a first step towards building skill application context sensitive learner model for modeling and promoting students’ robust learning.
Title: A Machine Learning Approach to Performance and Dropout prediction in Computer Science: Bangladesh Perspective
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Présentation d'une communication acceptée dans Iceri2019
1. Predicting the student skills’ level based
on an online collaborative learning
T. Daouas - B. Rojas Medina - M.J. García Meseguer
2. Introduction
• Collaborative Learning:
Knowledge joint construction between peers / teacher
• Predictive modeling for teaching and learning:
Student success / Academic achievement
• Computational techniques:
Involved to predict student performance
• How can we improve the performance of students' skills?
ICERI'2019 2
3. Online Collaborative Course
• Course name “Tools of Collaborative Work” (TCW)
• List of works reflecting activities of a team in a company
• Using tools of collaborative work at a distance
• 2 learning objectives: Remote group work and Use of maximum of ICT tools
• Online base of ICT tools in disposal
ICERI'2019 3
Team Work is the
evaluated Skill
4. ICERI'2019 4
Sequential Steps
• Each team had a project work:
A theme of ICT domain to be developed
• Same Scenario for all teams:
Using ICT
tools
5. Machine Learning Problem
ICERI'2019 5
• ML one of areas of AI: Enable computer to learn knowledge and then
apply it to perform tasks (human reasoning)
• Supervised learning in Classification Problem: Existing data to train
the model. Classifying students to 2 classes : Acquired /Not Acquired Skills
• Random Forests Algorithm:
– Only depend on small parameters’ number easy to calibrate
– Known for accuracy and ability to process data sets composed
of few observations and many variables
6. ICERI'2019 6
Microsoft Azure Machine Learning
• Design, test and evaluate the model
• Simple and powerful creation environment
• no coding is required
• Creation of an Experiment followings steps
7. Tom Mitchell, 1997
1. Define problem
ICERI'2019 7
• Not all students after the course acquire required skills
• Q: How can we improve student skills’ level ?
• We need to know student level
“A computer program is said to learn from
experience E with respect to some class of
tasks T and performance measure P, if its
performance at tasks in T, as measured by P,
improves with experience E.”
T: Predicting if student acquire team work skills
P: Accuracy of the prediction
E: Student evaluation at end of the course
8. ICERI'2019 8
2. Recover necessary Data
Students gathered not belonging to teams
a) Fill in a questionnaire reflecting the team work skill
b) Choose one classmate knowing him the most who will fill for
him the same questionnaire. (2 evaluations per student)
c) Discussions between both students to adjust evaluations
d) Student fill in an on line form with definitive evaluation
9. ICERI'2019 9
3. Prepare the Data
20-22
Age
87-32
Degree
License-Master
81-38
Gender
F-M
Student
number
119
First experience in team work
First experience in distance learning 1
Student answers on questionnaire:
“Never” –
“Sometimes” –
“Almost Always” –
“Always” –
10. ICERI'2019 10
4. Explore the Data
• Data codification in numbers between 0 and 1
• MAML system use information to compare with prediction
• CSV (Comma-Separeted Values) Format
“Never” –
“Sometimes” –
“Almost Always” –
“Always” –
0,05
0,3
0,75
1
AVG >= 0,6
AS
NAS
Yes
No
12. ICERI'2019 12
• Scored Probability (SP): probability that a student belongs to the
positive Class (NAS)
• Scored label: Predicted Class
• If SP >= 0.5, predicted as Class NAS. Otherwise, as Class AS
Scoring (Prediction) Results
13. ICERI'2019 13
• Indicates how successful the scoring of a dataset has been
Evaluation Results
Correctly classified
student to AS
Incorrectly classified
student to NAS
Incorrectly classified
student to AS
Correctly classified
student to NAS
Proportion of correctly
Classified students
True positive
rate of classifier
Proportion of positive
Classified correctly
Harmonic mean
of Precision and Recall
Area under the curve
14. ICERI'2019 14
• Thanks to MAML:
– Playing with parameters (threshold and others)
– Calibrate them
– See immediate results
• Predicting two other skill acquisition:
– ICT use
– Interculturality
Research to persue
SKILLS
15. Acknowledgements
• Thanks to my Colleagues and friends
• Tunisia For All Association
– Non-governmental organization
– Ongoing moral and financial support
– URL : tunisiaforall.org
• ICERI Organizers
Bélen Rojas Medina Maria José Garcia Meseguer
The paper title I’ll present is Predicting the student skill’s level based on an online collaborative learning.
In this paper we deal with collaborative learning, where knowledge is considered a joint construction between peers basicly, although teacher is involded too.
We are interested in Predictive modeling for teaching and learning, in order to predict student success in terms of academic achievement.
For this purpose, computational techniques are involved in order to predict student performance.
We have undertaken this work trying to respond to the question: How can we improve the performance of students' skills?
The course name is Tools of Collaborative Work. In this course students had to perform a list of works that are reflecting activities of team in a company using tools of collaborative work at a distance mode.
Globally, there are 2 learning objectives in this course: Learning of a remote group work and learning to use a maximum of ICT tools.
This course in given on an online platform having an online base of all the ICT tools that student could use in order to perform their activities. In this study Team Work is the evaluated skill.
At the begining of the course, each team should have a project work consisting of a theme in the ICT domain to be developed. All teams had to follow the same scenario. The scenario is a list of sequantial taks as following: Constituting teams of 4 members respecting the condition of mixing genders in every team.
Each team should then realize a logo representing the team and the theme to be developped. They should get organized allocating tasks to different members, they should then do a session of brainstorming about the theme, then participate together to write a draft document about the theme. Then organize an online meeting and finally prepare a slide show. All theses activities should be done using tools of collaborative work at a distance mode, that are available in the online platform.
Machine Learning is one of the areas of Artificial Intelligence that enables computer to learn knowledge and then apply it to perform tasks performed by human reasoning.
In our case study we are in a supervised one, it means that we have data available in order to test the accuracy and precision of prediction model.
We are concerned by a classification problem, because we would like to design a model that classifies students into 2 classes, those who acquired skills at the end of the course and those who did not. Machine Learning Algorithm used is Random Forests Algorithm which has many advantages, the main ones are that it only depends on small number of parameters that are easy to calibrate and that it is known for its accuracy and its ability to process data sets composed of few observations and many variables.
There are many tools available during these recent years, we used Microsoft Azure Machine Learning which is a tool allowing to design, to test and to evaluate a ML model. It is very simple and powerful environment and we do not need coding to use it.
Using it, we create what is called and experiment following some steps: We begin by importing the data available, then we preprocess the data. When the data is ready, we should split the amount of data into 2 sets: one set for training the model (generally with bigger percentage like 75% or 80% and a second set for testing the model and comparing it with predicted results. Training set is used with the algorithm in question in order to train le model and the last step is the scoring of the model and analysing model metrics.
The first step in developing the model is to define the problem. Indeed, not all students would acquire the skills after the end of the course. Our question was: How can we improve the level of student skills? In order to respond to this question, we need to know the level of the student after the course.
In 1997 Tom Mitchell sets the following definition saying A computer program is said to learn from experience E with respect to some class of tasks T and performance measure P, if its performance at tasks in T, as meseared by P improves with experence E. In our case T is predicting if student acquire team work skills. P is the accuracy of the prediction done by the model and E is the evaluation of student at the end of the course.
At the end of the course, the students are gathered to liven up a last session in face-to-face. Every student is present individually and not belonging to a team.
In this session, every student fill in a questionnaire reflecting the team work skill, then he should choose one classmate knowing him the most, this classmate will fill for him the same questionnaire, so every student will have 2 evaluations, one from himself and one from his classmate.
Both students will discuss together in order to adjust evaluations and finally student will fill an on line form with definitive evaluation.
The assessement has been done with 119 students from 4 consecutive years’ study. They have an age between 20 and 22. They are 87 from licence degree and 32 from Master degree and 81 are girls and 38 are boys. It was their first experience in team work, nevetheless they had before an on line course on a Learning Management System.
Students should answer on the questionnaire by Never, Sometimes, Almost Always or Always.
Data should be codified in numbers in order to be used. For response Always we affect number 1, for Almost Always we affect 0,75, for sometimes we affect 0,3 and for Never we affect 0,05. For each student we calcule the average of all responses and we verify if the average is superior than 0,6 then we consider that the sudent aqcuired skills, if not we consider that he did not. These data is used by the MAML system in order to compare it with the predicted one. Data should be in a CSV format in order to be uploaded into MAML.
On MAML studio we implement some necessary operations respecting a sequential mode. First, we import the data in CSV format. Second we use the select Columns operation in order to select the features we want to use in the data. Third we clean missing data by deleting rows having missing data. Then comes the splitting data into 2 sets, a training set and a testing set. We will use the training set to train the model with the Decision forest algorithm to have as a result a trained model. And we use the testing set to compare data with the predicted one with the operation score model. Finally, we evaluate the model with metrics.
After designing and running the model, we can find results in score Model and in Evaluate Model.
In Scoring results we have 2 added columns. Scored probability is the probability that student belongs to the positive class wich is Not Acquired skill. For example for the student in the first line, the probability that he belongs to the NAS Class is equal to 0,418.
The Scored label is the predicted class by the model.
By default, MAML uses a threshold equal to 0,5. if predicted probability is superior than 0,5 the predicted class will be NAS.
All these metrics could be discussed in order to improve the model results, but we can just see that:
There are only 4 students that are not well predicted
The accuracy represents a high percentage
And the area under the curve is high too, indicating a good performance.
Thanks to MAML it is easy to keep playing with parameters (threshold and others) in order to calibrate them and see results immediately.
We will do the same work to predict 2 other skills which are the use of ICT tools and interculturality.
I would like to thank my 2 colleagues and friends co-authors in this paper Belen Medina from conecta 13 in Granada and Maria Jose Meseguer from the university of Castilla La mancha in Albacete.
I would like to thank Tunisia For All, a non-governmental organisation for its ongoing moral and financial support.
And finaly, I thank the conference organizers for being always ready to respond to our requests.