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What Is Public Debt Management? Lovie Espayos
What Is Public Debt Management? According to the International Monetary Fund,  public debt management refers to strategies employed by a country's national authority to manage external debt. This includes loans given to a government by other countries.   Sovereign debt management is the process of establishing and executing a strategy for managing the government's debt  in order to raise the required amount of funding, achieve its risk and cost objectives, and to meet any other sovereign debt management goals the government may have set, such as developing and maintaining an efficient market for government securities.
Why is it Important?   Several debt market crises have highlighted the importance of sound debt management practices and the need for an efficient and sound capital market.  Although government debt management policies may not have been the sole or even the main cause of these crises,  the maturity structure, and interest rate and currency composition of the government's debt portfolio, together with substantial obligations in respect of contingent liabilities  have often contributed to the severity of the crisis.  Risky debt structures are often the consequence of inappropriate economic policies--fiscal, monetary and exchange rate--but the feedback effects undoubtedly go in both directions. However, there are limits to what sound debt management policies can deliver. Sound debt management policies are no panacea or substitute for sound fiscal and monetary management. If macroeconomic policy settings are poor, sound sovereign debt management may not by itself prevent any crisis.  Sound debt management policies reduce susceptibility to contagion and financial risk by playing a catalytic role for broader financial market development and financial deepening.  Experience supports the argument, for example, that developed domestic debt markets can substitute for bank financing (and vice versa) when this source dries up, helping economies to weather financial shocks
Debt Management Program in the Philippines The first debt and debt service reduction operation the World Bank financed was the  Debt Management Program Loan to the Philippines , approved in 1990.  Its main objective was to  help restore the Philippines' creditworthiness by reducing the destabilizing pressures exerted by an excessive debt-service burden . The government, having inherited a huge debt service obligation, formulated a debt restructuring program for the country and a request for debt-relief from creditors, with assistance from the Bank and the IMF. 
Background   In the ten years after 1986, when the Marcos regime fell,  the Philippines has carried out a remarkable program of economic liberalization and modernization, initiated in the midst of a deep economic and political crisis that started in the late 1970s.  The crisis had serious macroeconomic manifestations--including  high inflation, large current account deficits, and huge arrears in external debt.   But its source was the misallocation of resources embedded in the model of development then applied in the country, a model based on pervasive state intervention and overprotection of industry. Reaching a path of sustainable growth required both macroeconomic stabilization and deep structural reforms. By the mid-1990s, this transformation was well underway, aided by greater political stability. 
The main objective of the loan was to help  restore the country's creditworthiness by reducing the destabilizing pressures that an excessive debt-service burden exerted on macroeconomic management.   The loan was consistent with the Bank's strategy of helping the Philippines to achieve a sustainable path of growth by making investments more efficient.  It complemented ongoing Bank support to improve the government's investment planning and procurement, liberalizing trade and banking, and continuing with privatization.  Project goals  
Implementation   The debt reduction exercise started with a 1990 pilot program, which was supported by the Bank loan. The intention was to follow with a second, larger, debt and debt service reduction operation. However, the pilot program encountered  two major problems--one related to the design of the Bank support and the other to the operation's success in increasing capital inflows.     ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The risk that debt will have to be rolled over at an unusually high cost or, in extreme cases, cannot be rolled over at all. To the extent that rollover risk is limited to the risk that debt might have to be rolled over at higher interest rates, including changes in credit spreads, it may be considered a type of market risk. However, because the inability to roll over debt and/or exceptionally large increases in government funding costs can lead to, or exacerbate, a debt crisis and thereby cause real economic losses, in addition to the purely financial effects of higher interest rates, it is often treated separately. Managing this risk is particularly important for emerging market countries. Rollover Risk Refers to the risks associated with changes in market prices, such as interest rates, exchange rates, commodity prices, on the cost of the government's debt servicing. For both domestic and foreign currency debt, changes in interest rates affect debt servicing costs on new issues when fixed-rate debt is refinanced, and on floating-rate debt at the rate reset dates. Hence, short- duration debt (short-term or floating-rate) is usually considered to be more risky than long-term, fixed rate debt. (Excessive concentration in very long-term, fixed rate debt also can be risky as future financing requirements are uncertain.) Debt denominated in or indexed to foreign currencies also adds volatility to debt servicing costs as measured in domestic currency owing to exchange rate movements. Bonds with embedded put options can exacerbate market and rollover risks. Market Risk Description Risk Box 1. Risks Encountered in Sovereign Debt Management  
This includes a range of different types of risks, including transaction errors in the various stages of executing and recording transactions; inadequacies or failures in internal controls, or in systems and services; reputation risk; legal risk; security breaches; or natural disasters that affect business activity. Operational Risk Refers to the potential loss that the government, as a counterparty, could suffer as a result of failure to settle, for whatever reason other than default, by another counterparty. Settlement Risk The risk of non performance by borrowers on loans or other financial assets or by a counterparty on financial contracts. This risk is particularly relevant in cases where debt management includes the management of liquid assets. It may also be relevant in the acceptance of bids in auctions of securities issued by the government as well as in relation to contingent liabilities, and in derivative contracts entered into by the debt manager. Credit Risk There are two types of liquidity risk. One refers to the cost or penalty investors face in trying to exit a position when the number of transactors has markedly decreased or because of the lack of depth of a particular market. This risk is particularly relevant in cases where debt management includes the management of liquid assets or the use of derivatives contracts. The other form of liquidity risk, for a borrower, refers to a situation where the volume of liquid assets can diminish quickly in the face of unanticipated cash flow obligations and/or a possible difficulty in raising cash through borrowing in a short period of time. Liquidity Risk
1.  Increasing the vulnerability of the government's financial position by increasing risk, even though it may lead to lower costs and a lower deficit in the short run.  Debt managers should avoid exposing their portfolios to risks of large or catastrophic losses, even with low probabilities, in an effort to capture marginal cost savings that would appear to be relatively "low risk." Maturity structure. A government faces an intertemporal tradeoff between short-term and long-term costs that should be managed prudently.  For example, excessive reliance on short-term or floating-rate paper to take advantage of lower short-term interest rates may leave a government vulnerable to volatile and possibly increasing debt service costs if interest rates increase, and the risk of default in the event that a government cannot roll over its debts at any cost. It could also affect the achievement of a central bank's monetary objectives. Some Pitfalls in Debt Management
Excessive unhedged foreign exchange exposures. This can take many forms, but the predominant is directly issuing excessive amounts of foreign currency denominated debt and foreign exchange indexed debt. This practice may leave governments vulnerable to volatile and possibly increasing debt service costs if their exchange rates depreciate, and the risk of default if they cannot roll over their debts. Debt with embedded put options. If poorly managed, these increase uncertainty to the issuer, effectively shortening the portfolio duration, and creating greater exposure to market/rollover risk. Implicit contingent liabilities, such as implicit guarantees provided to financial institutions. If poorly managed, they tend to be associated with significant moral hazard.
2.  Debt management practices that distort private vs. government decisions, as well as understate the true interest cost . Debt collateralized by shares of state-owned enterprises (SOE) or other assets. In addition to understating the underlying interest cost, they may distort decisions regarding asset management. Debt collateralized by specific sources of future tax revenue. If a future stream of revenue is committed for specific debt payments, a government may be less willing to undertake changes, which affect this revenue, even if the changes would improve the tax system. Tax-exempt or reduced tax debt. This practice is used to encourage the placement of government debt.  The impact on the deficit is ambiguous, since it will depend upon the taxation of competing assets and whether the after-tax rate of return on taxable and tax-exempt government paper are equalized.
3.  Misreporting of contingent or guaranteed debt liabilities.   This may understate the actual level of the government's liabilities. Inadequate coordination or procedures with regard to borrowings by lower levels of government, which may be guaranteed by the central government, or by state-owned enterprises. Repeated debt forgiveness for lower levels of government or for state-owned enterprises. Guaranteeing loans, which have a high probability of being called (without appropriate budgetary provisions). 4.  Use of non-market financing channels.  In some cases the practice can be unambiguously distortion. Special arrangements with the central bank for concessional credit, including zero/low interest overdrafts or special treasury bills. Forced borrowing from suppliers either through expenditure arrears or through the issuance of promissory notes, and tied borrowing arrangements. These practices tend to raise the price of government expenditures.
5.  Improper oversight and/or recording of debt contracting and payment, and/or of debt holders.  Government control over the tax base and/or the supply of outstanding debt is reduced.   Inadequate controls regarding the amount of debt outstanding.  In some countries a breakdown in internal operations and poor documentation led to more debt being issued than had been officially authorized.

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Presentation1

  • 1. What Is Public Debt Management? Lovie Espayos
  • 2. What Is Public Debt Management? According to the International Monetary Fund, public debt management refers to strategies employed by a country's national authority to manage external debt. This includes loans given to a government by other countries. Sovereign debt management is the process of establishing and executing a strategy for managing the government's debt in order to raise the required amount of funding, achieve its risk and cost objectives, and to meet any other sovereign debt management goals the government may have set, such as developing and maintaining an efficient market for government securities.
  • 3. Why is it Important? Several debt market crises have highlighted the importance of sound debt management practices and the need for an efficient and sound capital market. Although government debt management policies may not have been the sole or even the main cause of these crises, the maturity structure, and interest rate and currency composition of the government's debt portfolio, together with substantial obligations in respect of contingent liabilities have often contributed to the severity of the crisis. Risky debt structures are often the consequence of inappropriate economic policies--fiscal, monetary and exchange rate--but the feedback effects undoubtedly go in both directions. However, there are limits to what sound debt management policies can deliver. Sound debt management policies are no panacea or substitute for sound fiscal and monetary management. If macroeconomic policy settings are poor, sound sovereign debt management may not by itself prevent any crisis. Sound debt management policies reduce susceptibility to contagion and financial risk by playing a catalytic role for broader financial market development and financial deepening. Experience supports the argument, for example, that developed domestic debt markets can substitute for bank financing (and vice versa) when this source dries up, helping economies to weather financial shocks
  • 4. Debt Management Program in the Philippines The first debt and debt service reduction operation the World Bank financed was the Debt Management Program Loan to the Philippines , approved in 1990. Its main objective was to help restore the Philippines' creditworthiness by reducing the destabilizing pressures exerted by an excessive debt-service burden . The government, having inherited a huge debt service obligation, formulated a debt restructuring program for the country and a request for debt-relief from creditors, with assistance from the Bank and the IMF. 
  • 5. Background In the ten years after 1986, when the Marcos regime fell, the Philippines has carried out a remarkable program of economic liberalization and modernization, initiated in the midst of a deep economic and political crisis that started in the late 1970s. The crisis had serious macroeconomic manifestations--including high inflation, large current account deficits, and huge arrears in external debt. But its source was the misallocation of resources embedded in the model of development then applied in the country, a model based on pervasive state intervention and overprotection of industry. Reaching a path of sustainable growth required both macroeconomic stabilization and deep structural reforms. By the mid-1990s, this transformation was well underway, aided by greater political stability. 
  • 6. The main objective of the loan was to help restore the country's creditworthiness by reducing the destabilizing pressures that an excessive debt-service burden exerted on macroeconomic management. The loan was consistent with the Bank's strategy of helping the Philippines to achieve a sustainable path of growth by making investments more efficient. It complemented ongoing Bank support to improve the government's investment planning and procurement, liberalizing trade and banking, and continuing with privatization.  Project goals  
  • 7.
  • 8. The risk that debt will have to be rolled over at an unusually high cost or, in extreme cases, cannot be rolled over at all. To the extent that rollover risk is limited to the risk that debt might have to be rolled over at higher interest rates, including changes in credit spreads, it may be considered a type of market risk. However, because the inability to roll over debt and/or exceptionally large increases in government funding costs can lead to, or exacerbate, a debt crisis and thereby cause real economic losses, in addition to the purely financial effects of higher interest rates, it is often treated separately. Managing this risk is particularly important for emerging market countries. Rollover Risk Refers to the risks associated with changes in market prices, such as interest rates, exchange rates, commodity prices, on the cost of the government's debt servicing. For both domestic and foreign currency debt, changes in interest rates affect debt servicing costs on new issues when fixed-rate debt is refinanced, and on floating-rate debt at the rate reset dates. Hence, short- duration debt (short-term or floating-rate) is usually considered to be more risky than long-term, fixed rate debt. (Excessive concentration in very long-term, fixed rate debt also can be risky as future financing requirements are uncertain.) Debt denominated in or indexed to foreign currencies also adds volatility to debt servicing costs as measured in domestic currency owing to exchange rate movements. Bonds with embedded put options can exacerbate market and rollover risks. Market Risk Description Risk Box 1. Risks Encountered in Sovereign Debt Management  
  • 9. This includes a range of different types of risks, including transaction errors in the various stages of executing and recording transactions; inadequacies or failures in internal controls, or in systems and services; reputation risk; legal risk; security breaches; or natural disasters that affect business activity. Operational Risk Refers to the potential loss that the government, as a counterparty, could suffer as a result of failure to settle, for whatever reason other than default, by another counterparty. Settlement Risk The risk of non performance by borrowers on loans or other financial assets or by a counterparty on financial contracts. This risk is particularly relevant in cases where debt management includes the management of liquid assets. It may also be relevant in the acceptance of bids in auctions of securities issued by the government as well as in relation to contingent liabilities, and in derivative contracts entered into by the debt manager. Credit Risk There are two types of liquidity risk. One refers to the cost or penalty investors face in trying to exit a position when the number of transactors has markedly decreased or because of the lack of depth of a particular market. This risk is particularly relevant in cases where debt management includes the management of liquid assets or the use of derivatives contracts. The other form of liquidity risk, for a borrower, refers to a situation where the volume of liquid assets can diminish quickly in the face of unanticipated cash flow obligations and/or a possible difficulty in raising cash through borrowing in a short period of time. Liquidity Risk
  • 10. 1.  Increasing the vulnerability of the government's financial position by increasing risk, even though it may lead to lower costs and a lower deficit in the short run.  Debt managers should avoid exposing their portfolios to risks of large or catastrophic losses, even with low probabilities, in an effort to capture marginal cost savings that would appear to be relatively "low risk." Maturity structure. A government faces an intertemporal tradeoff between short-term and long-term costs that should be managed prudently. For example, excessive reliance on short-term or floating-rate paper to take advantage of lower short-term interest rates may leave a government vulnerable to volatile and possibly increasing debt service costs if interest rates increase, and the risk of default in the event that a government cannot roll over its debts at any cost. It could also affect the achievement of a central bank's monetary objectives. Some Pitfalls in Debt Management
  • 11. Excessive unhedged foreign exchange exposures. This can take many forms, but the predominant is directly issuing excessive amounts of foreign currency denominated debt and foreign exchange indexed debt. This practice may leave governments vulnerable to volatile and possibly increasing debt service costs if their exchange rates depreciate, and the risk of default if they cannot roll over their debts. Debt with embedded put options. If poorly managed, these increase uncertainty to the issuer, effectively shortening the portfolio duration, and creating greater exposure to market/rollover risk. Implicit contingent liabilities, such as implicit guarantees provided to financial institutions. If poorly managed, they tend to be associated with significant moral hazard.
  • 12. 2.  Debt management practices that distort private vs. government decisions, as well as understate the true interest cost . Debt collateralized by shares of state-owned enterprises (SOE) or other assets. In addition to understating the underlying interest cost, they may distort decisions regarding asset management. Debt collateralized by specific sources of future tax revenue. If a future stream of revenue is committed for specific debt payments, a government may be less willing to undertake changes, which affect this revenue, even if the changes would improve the tax system. Tax-exempt or reduced tax debt. This practice is used to encourage the placement of government debt. The impact on the deficit is ambiguous, since it will depend upon the taxation of competing assets and whether the after-tax rate of return on taxable and tax-exempt government paper are equalized.
  • 13. 3.  Misreporting of contingent or guaranteed debt liabilities.   This may understate the actual level of the government's liabilities. Inadequate coordination or procedures with regard to borrowings by lower levels of government, which may be guaranteed by the central government, or by state-owned enterprises. Repeated debt forgiveness for lower levels of government or for state-owned enterprises. Guaranteeing loans, which have a high probability of being called (without appropriate budgetary provisions). 4.  Use of non-market financing channels.  In some cases the practice can be unambiguously distortion. Special arrangements with the central bank for concessional credit, including zero/low interest overdrafts or special treasury bills. Forced borrowing from suppliers either through expenditure arrears or through the issuance of promissory notes, and tied borrowing arrangements. These practices tend to raise the price of government expenditures.
  • 14. 5.  Improper oversight and/or recording of debt contracting and payment, and/or of debt holders. Government control over the tax base and/or the supply of outstanding debt is reduced. Inadequate controls regarding the amount of debt outstanding. In some countries a breakdown in internal operations and poor documentation led to more debt being issued than had been officially authorized.