Public debt management refers to strategies employed by a country's national authority to manage external debt, including loans from other countries. It aims to raise required funding while achieving risk and cost objectives. Sound debt management is important as it can reduce susceptibility to financial crises by facilitating broader financial market development. The World Bank provided a loan to help the Philippines restore creditworthiness by reducing pressure from its excessive debt burden through a debt restructuring program.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is responsible for managing India's public debt, especially debt denominated in the domestic currency. The management of the central government's debt is conducted by RBI under statutory provisions that oblige the central government to delegate its debt management to the RBI.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is responsible for managing India's public debt, especially debt denominated in the domestic currency. The management of the central government's debt is conducted by RBI under statutory provisions that oblige the central government to delegate its debt management to the RBI.
The report highlights the urgent
challenges arising from the world financial and economic crisis and its aftermath, in
particular in the key areas of financial regulation and supervision, multilateral
surveillance, macroeconomic policy coordination, sovereign debt, a global financial
safety net, the international reserve system and governance reform of the Bretton
Woods institutions.
La pandemia di coronavirus (COVID-19) pone sfide di stabilità sanitaria, economica e finanziaria senza precedenti. A seguito dell'epidemia di COVID-19, i prezzi delle attività a rischio sono crollati e la volatilità del mercato è aumentata vertiginosamente, mentre le aspettative di inadempienze diffuse hanno portato a un aumento dei costi di indebitamento. Le decisive azioni di politica monetaria, finanziaria e fiscale volte a contenere le ricadute della pandemia e sono riuscite a stabilizzare gli investitori tra la fine di marzo e l'inizio di aprile. I mercati hanno recuperato alcune delle loro perdite.
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Abstract
The U.S. financial and economic crisis has had severe global repercussions. The run-up to the crisis involved a substantial and widespread underestimation of risks—especially in housing—and growing leverage and liquidity mismatches, in particular through off-balance-sheet vehicles and non-bank entities in less-regulated areas. Against a backdrop of easy global financial conditions, this dynamic fed an unsustainable buildup of financial imbalances, above all in housing markets. The sharp decline in housing prices that started in 2007 weakened several systemically important financial institutions, culminating in the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and revealing major weaknesses in the U.S. regulatory and resolution frameworks. This was followed by the worst global financial panic since the Great Depression, with extreme strains in a broad range of markets, volatility in capital flows and exchange rates, and a cascade of systemic events. Economic activity collapsed globally, with trade contracting sharply and advanced economies as a group registering the steepest decline in production in the postwar period. Emerging markets economies also experienced intense pressure, amid retrenching trade and tighter international financing conditions.
I. Overview ; Outlook and Risks
1. Recent data suggest that the sharp fall in output may now be ending, although economic activity remains weak. Economic indicators point to a decelerating rate of deterioration, particularly in labor and housing markets, both of which are key to economic recovery and financial stability. In tandem, financial conditions have noticeably improved, with narrowing interest-rate spreads and growing confidence in financial stability in the wake of measures deployed by the Administration, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), and the Federal Reserve. That said, both financial and economic indicators remain at stressed or weak levels by historical standards.
2. 4. The staff's outlook remains for a gradual recovery, consistent with past international experience of financial and housing market crises. The combination of financial strains and ongoing adjustments in the housing and labor markets is expected to restrain growth for some time, with a solid recovery projected to emerge only in mid-2010. Against this background, GDP is expected to contract by 2½ percent in 2009, followed by a modest ¾ percent expansion in 2010 on a year-average basis (on a Q4-over-Q4 basis, -1 ½ percent in 2009 and 1 ¾ percent in 2010). Meanwhile, growing economic slack—with unemployment peaking at close to 10 percent in 2010—would push core inflation to very low levels, with the headline CPI expected to decrease by ½ percent in 2009 and increase by 1 percent in 2010. rates, on concerns about fiscal sustainability; and rising corporate distress. Much will also depend on developments abroad, including progress made in strengthening financial institutions and markets.
II. Near-term stabilization
1. Macroeconomic policies are providing welcome support to demand. The fiscal stimulus—well targeted, timely, diversified, and sizeable—is projected to boost annual GDP growth by 1 percent in 2009 and ¼ percent in 2010. This is being appropriately complemented by a highly expansionary monetary stance and “credit easing” measures that are also relieving financial strains. Continued clear communication on the near-term outlook will be essential to anchor inflation expectations, given the prevailing uncertainty. If activity proves weaker than expected, the Fed could undertake additional credit easing, and further strengthen its commitment to maintain a highly accommodative stance. If necessary, additional fiscal stimulus could also be considered, focused on fast-acting measures, although this would need to be complemented by a concomitantly stronger medium-term adjustment.
2. Steps to s
What is the theory of public debt managementSolution1. Sove.pdfJUSTSTYLISH3B2MOHALI
What is the theory of public debt management???
Solution
1. Sovereign debt management is the process of establishing and executing a strategy for
managing the government\'s debt in order to raise the required amount of funding, achieve its
risk and cost objectives, and to meet any other sovereign debt management goals the government
may have set, such as developing and maintaining an efficient market for government securities.
2. In a broader macroeconomic context for public policy, governments should seek to ensure that
both the level and rate of growth in their public debt is fundamentally sustainable, and can be
serviced under a wide range of circumstances while meeting cost and risk objectives. Sovereign
debt managers share fiscal and monetary policy advisors\' concerns that public sector
indebtedness remains on a sustainable path and that a credible strategy is in place to reduce
excessive levels of debt. Debt managers should ensure that the fiscal authorities are aware of the
impact of government financing requirements and debt levels on borrowing costs.1 Examples of
indicators that address the issue of debt sustainability include the public sector debt service ratio,
and ratios of public debt to GDP and to tax revenue.
3. Poorly structured debt in terms of maturity, currency, or interest rate composition and large
and unfunded contingent liabilities have been important factors in inducing or propagating
economic crises in many countries throughout history. For example, irrespective of the exchange
rate regime, or whether domestic or foreign currency debt is involved, crises have often arisen
because of an excessive focus by governments on possible cost savings associated with large
volumes of short-term or floating rate debt. This has left government budgets seriously exposed
to changing financial market conditions, including changes in the country\'s creditworthiness,
when this debt has to be rolled over. Foreign currency debt also poses particular risks, and
excessive reliance on foreign currency debt can lead to exchange rate and/or monetary pressures
if investors become reluctant to refinance the government\'s foreign-currency debt. By reducing
the risk that the government\'s own portfolio management will become a source of instability for
the private sector, prudent government debt management, along with sound policies for
managing contingent liabilities, can make countries less susceptible to contagion and financial
risk.
4. A government\'s debt portfolio is usually the largest financial portfolio in the country. It often
contains complex and risky financial structures, and can generate substantial risk to the
government\'s balance sheet and to the country\'s financial stability. As noted by the Financial
Stability Forum\'s Working Group on Capital Flows, \"recent experience has highlighted the
need for governments to limit the build-up of liquidity exposures and other risks that make their
economies especially vulnerable to exte.
The report highlights the urgent
challenges arising from the world financial and economic crisis and its aftermath, in
particular in the key areas of financial regulation and supervision, multilateral
surveillance, macroeconomic policy coordination, sovereign debt, a global financial
safety net, the international reserve system and governance reform of the Bretton
Woods institutions.
La pandemia di coronavirus (COVID-19) pone sfide di stabilità sanitaria, economica e finanziaria senza precedenti. A seguito dell'epidemia di COVID-19, i prezzi delle attività a rischio sono crollati e la volatilità del mercato è aumentata vertiginosamente, mentre le aspettative di inadempienze diffuse hanno portato a un aumento dei costi di indebitamento. Le decisive azioni di politica monetaria, finanziaria e fiscale volte a contenere le ricadute della pandemia e sono riuscite a stabilizzare gli investitori tra la fine di marzo e l'inizio di aprile. I mercati hanno recuperato alcune delle loro perdite.
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Abstract
The U.S. financial and economic crisis has had severe global repercussions. The run-up to the crisis involved a substantial and widespread underestimation of risks—especially in housing—and growing leverage and liquidity mismatches, in particular through off-balance-sheet vehicles and non-bank entities in less-regulated areas. Against a backdrop of easy global financial conditions, this dynamic fed an unsustainable buildup of financial imbalances, above all in housing markets. The sharp decline in housing prices that started in 2007 weakened several systemically important financial institutions, culminating in the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and revealing major weaknesses in the U.S. regulatory and resolution frameworks. This was followed by the worst global financial panic since the Great Depression, with extreme strains in a broad range of markets, volatility in capital flows and exchange rates, and a cascade of systemic events. Economic activity collapsed globally, with trade contracting sharply and advanced economies as a group registering the steepest decline in production in the postwar period. Emerging markets economies also experienced intense pressure, amid retrenching trade and tighter international financing conditions.
I. Overview ; Outlook and Risks
1. Recent data suggest that the sharp fall in output may now be ending, although economic activity remains weak. Economic indicators point to a decelerating rate of deterioration, particularly in labor and housing markets, both of which are key to economic recovery and financial stability. In tandem, financial conditions have noticeably improved, with narrowing interest-rate spreads and growing confidence in financial stability in the wake of measures deployed by the Administration, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), and the Federal Reserve. That said, both financial and economic indicators remain at stressed or weak levels by historical standards.
2. 4. The staff's outlook remains for a gradual recovery, consistent with past international experience of financial and housing market crises. The combination of financial strains and ongoing adjustments in the housing and labor markets is expected to restrain growth for some time, with a solid recovery projected to emerge only in mid-2010. Against this background, GDP is expected to contract by 2½ percent in 2009, followed by a modest ¾ percent expansion in 2010 on a year-average basis (on a Q4-over-Q4 basis, -1 ½ percent in 2009 and 1 ¾ percent in 2010). Meanwhile, growing economic slack—with unemployment peaking at close to 10 percent in 2010—would push core inflation to very low levels, with the headline CPI expected to decrease by ½ percent in 2009 and increase by 1 percent in 2010. rates, on concerns about fiscal sustainability; and rising corporate distress. Much will also depend on developments abroad, including progress made in strengthening financial institutions and markets.
II. Near-term stabilization
1. Macroeconomic policies are providing welcome support to demand. The fiscal stimulus—well targeted, timely, diversified, and sizeable—is projected to boost annual GDP growth by 1 percent in 2009 and ¼ percent in 2010. This is being appropriately complemented by a highly expansionary monetary stance and “credit easing” measures that are also relieving financial strains. Continued clear communication on the near-term outlook will be essential to anchor inflation expectations, given the prevailing uncertainty. If activity proves weaker than expected, the Fed could undertake additional credit easing, and further strengthen its commitment to maintain a highly accommodative stance. If necessary, additional fiscal stimulus could also be considered, focused on fast-acting measures, although this would need to be complemented by a concomitantly stronger medium-term adjustment.
2. Steps to s
What is the theory of public debt managementSolution1. Sove.pdfJUSTSTYLISH3B2MOHALI
What is the theory of public debt management???
Solution
1. Sovereign debt management is the process of establishing and executing a strategy for
managing the government\'s debt in order to raise the required amount of funding, achieve its
risk and cost objectives, and to meet any other sovereign debt management goals the government
may have set, such as developing and maintaining an efficient market for government securities.
2. In a broader macroeconomic context for public policy, governments should seek to ensure that
both the level and rate of growth in their public debt is fundamentally sustainable, and can be
serviced under a wide range of circumstances while meeting cost and risk objectives. Sovereign
debt managers share fiscal and monetary policy advisors\' concerns that public sector
indebtedness remains on a sustainable path and that a credible strategy is in place to reduce
excessive levels of debt. Debt managers should ensure that the fiscal authorities are aware of the
impact of government financing requirements and debt levels on borrowing costs.1 Examples of
indicators that address the issue of debt sustainability include the public sector debt service ratio,
and ratios of public debt to GDP and to tax revenue.
3. Poorly structured debt in terms of maturity, currency, or interest rate composition and large
and unfunded contingent liabilities have been important factors in inducing or propagating
economic crises in many countries throughout history. For example, irrespective of the exchange
rate regime, or whether domestic or foreign currency debt is involved, crises have often arisen
because of an excessive focus by governments on possible cost savings associated with large
volumes of short-term or floating rate debt. This has left government budgets seriously exposed
to changing financial market conditions, including changes in the country\'s creditworthiness,
when this debt has to be rolled over. Foreign currency debt also poses particular risks, and
excessive reliance on foreign currency debt can lead to exchange rate and/or monetary pressures
if investors become reluctant to refinance the government\'s foreign-currency debt. By reducing
the risk that the government\'s own portfolio management will become a source of instability for
the private sector, prudent government debt management, along with sound policies for
managing contingent liabilities, can make countries less susceptible to contagion and financial
risk.
4. A government\'s debt portfolio is usually the largest financial portfolio in the country. It often
contains complex and risky financial structures, and can generate substantial risk to the
government\'s balance sheet and to the country\'s financial stability. As noted by the Financial
Stability Forum\'s Working Group on Capital Flows, \"recent experience has highlighted the
need for governments to limit the build-up of liquidity exposures and other risks that make their
economies especially vulnerable to exte.
1. GLOBAL IMBALANCES1.1 Cheap But Flighty How Global Imbalanc.docxSONU61709
1. GLOBAL IMBALANCES
1.1 Cheap But Flighty: How Global Imbalances Create Financial Fragility
by Toni Ahnert and Enrico Perotti
Bank of Canada Working Paper 2015-33
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/wp2015-33.pdf
August 2015
How a wealth shift to emerging countries may lead to instability in developed countries. Investors exposed to expropriation risk are willing to pay a safety premium to invest in countries with good property rights. Domestic intermediaries compete for such cheap funding by carving out safe claims, which requires demandable debt. While foreign inflows allow countries to expand their domestic credit, risk-intolerant foreign investors withdraw even under minimal uncertainty. We show that more foreign funding causes larger and more frequent runs. Beyond some scale, even risk-tolerant domestic investors are induced to withdraw to avoid dilution. As excess liquidation causes social losses, a domestic planner may seek prudential measures on the scale of foreign inflows.
Topics to study:
· Investment / risk - relationship
· Global Imbalances
· Factors to attract foreign investment
· Safety-seeking foreign funding
1. An increasing scale of foreign funding may induce runs even by risk-tolerant investors since they seek to avoid dilution.
2. Result supports a mandate for introducing a macroprudential regulator to oversee the nature of foreign inflows because the socially preferred funding structure would involve less credit volume and more stability than the private choice.
3. Global imbalances shaped the credit boom and, ultimately, the financial crisis
4. The accumulation of wealth in countries with a weak protection of property rights creates a demand for absolute safety provided by intermediaries in developed countries.
5. The safety-seeking nature of foreign flows creates risk.
1.2 Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis: Products of Common Causes
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley, and Harvard University.
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/rogoff/files/global_imbalances_and_financial_crisis_0.pdf
November 2009
This paper makes a case that the global imbalances of the 2000s and the recent global financial crisis are intimately connected. Both have their origins in economic policies followed in a number of countries in the 2000s and in distortions that influenced the transmission of these policies through U.S. and ultimately through global financial markets. In the U.S., the interaction among the Fed’s monetary stance, global real interest rates, credit market distortions, and financial innovation created the toxic mix of conditions making the U.S. the epicenter of the global financial crisis. Outside the U.S., exchange rate and other economic policies followed by emerging markets such as China contributed to the United States’ ability to borrow cheaply abroad and thereby finance its unsustainable housing bubble.
Topics to st ...
Q120 years In the late 1990s the gold price reached its lowe.docxmakdul
Q1:
20 years: In the late 1990s the gold price reached its lowest level in real terms for two decades. The reasons why it was so weak during the so-called “Clinton boom” from 1995 to 2001 come surprisingly from MMT (modern monetary theory), a theory that in many points opposes gold, in particularly because its proponents are in love with fiat, “the lawful act to declare paper as money”. However, they do not like excessive private debt, which is an idea common to Austrian economists.
But much of the stage was set in 2008 for gold’s rise in 2009 – and for the next few years – when the global financial crisis was entering its darkest days. To recap what happened in the last quarter of 2008, the U.S. Treasury seized control of mortgage lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in September 2008 and said it offered a $200 billion cash injection for firms dealing with mortgage default losses. The most immediate reason for gold’s woes is the strong dollar. Gold is priced in dollars, so if the American currency goes up, investors mark down the yellow metal accordingly. An added factor is that the dollar is rising because of the revival of the American economy, which is bringing the prospect of higher interest rates.
6 menthes: In December, the price of gold was at the top level and that due to at the end of December the price of gold was decreased suddenly. The big news of course is that the Fed hiked rates another 25 basis points. So far, stock market speculators don’t seem to care. They should. The present value of all future earnings depends on the interest rate, and every upwards tick is a substantial downward revision of earnings in out years. However, the bull is so strongly entrenched that it may take a while for this to sink in. We also think of the companies who were borrowing to buy their own shares, and for that matter borrowing to pay dividends.
Q2:
a. Credit risk: is the type of risk of evasion on a debt that may emerge from a borrower failing to do needed payments. Firstly, the risk is that of the lender which includes lost principal and interest, interruption to cash flows, together with improved collection costs. This loss may be complete or partial. In an efficient market, higher points of credit risk will always be related with huge borrowing costs in an efficient market type. Following this measures of borrowing costs which includes yield spreads can be used to surmise credit risk levels grounded on assessments by current market participants. A good existing example is what happens in local retail shop where buyer in this case will lend money or take goods on credit suggesting to pay later but unfortunately fail to respect that deal.
There actually two kinds of risks associated with bonds that is interest risk and credit risk. They can have very dissimilar impacts on various assets within the bond market. As earlier learnt that interest is the vulnerability of a bond or fixed income asset class to movements in the prevailing rates
b. In ...
A financial crisis is defined as any situation where one or more significant financial assets such as stocks, real estate, or deposits (and usually unexpectedly) loses a substantial amount of their nominal value.
Ex: financial market crashes, Increase Borrowing by banks and investors
Remarks by Dr Michael Atingi-Ego, Deputy Governor, Bank of Uganda at the Conference on Reshaping the tax system to support the Financial Sector Development Strategy (FSDS)
Kampala, Uganda, 14th–15th December 2022
The two-day conference was convened by Uganda's Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development, and co-hosted by ICTD's DIGITAX Research Programme and TaxDev.
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingGRAPE
We study the link between the evolving age structure of the working population and unemployment. We build a large new Keynesian OLG model with a realistic age structure, labor market frictions, sticky prices, and aggregate shocks. Once calibrated to the European economy, we quantify the extent to which demographic changes over the last three decades have contributed to the decline of the unemployment rate. Our findings yield important implications for the future evolution of unemployment given the anticipated further aging of the working population in Europe. We also quantify the implications for optimal monetary policy: lowering inflation volatility becomes less costly in terms of GDP and unemployment volatility, which hints that optimal monetary policy may be more hawkish in an aging society. Finally, our results also propose a partial reversal of the European-US unemployment puzzle due to the fact that the share of young workers is expected to remain robust in the US.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
what is the future of Pi Network currency.DOT TECH
The future of the Pi cryptocurrency is uncertain, and its success will depend on several factors. Pi is a relatively new cryptocurrency that aims to be user-friendly and accessible to a wide audience. Here are a few key considerations for its future:
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram if u want to sell PI COINS.
1. Mainnet Launch: As of my last knowledge update in January 2022, Pi was still in the testnet phase. Its success will depend on a successful transition to a mainnet, where actual transactions can take place.
2. User Adoption: Pi's success will be closely tied to user adoption. The more users who join the network and actively participate, the stronger the ecosystem can become.
3. Utility and Use Cases: For a cryptocurrency to thrive, it must offer utility and practical use cases. The Pi team has talked about various applications, including peer-to-peer transactions, smart contracts, and more. The development and implementation of these features will be essential.
4. Regulatory Environment: The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is evolving globally. How Pi navigates and complies with regulations in various jurisdictions will significantly impact its future.
5. Technology Development: The Pi network must continue to develop and improve its technology, security, and scalability to compete with established cryptocurrencies.
6. Community Engagement: The Pi community plays a critical role in its future. Engaged users can help build trust and grow the network.
7. Monetization and Sustainability: The Pi team's monetization strategy, such as fees, partnerships, or other revenue sources, will affect its long-term sustainability.
It's essential to approach Pi or any new cryptocurrency with caution and conduct due diligence. Cryptocurrency investments involve risks, and potential rewards can be uncertain. The success and future of Pi will depend on the collective efforts of its team, community, and the broader cryptocurrency market dynamics. It's advisable to stay updated on Pi's development and follow any updates from the official Pi Network website or announcements from the team.
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...beulahfernandes8
The financial landscape in India has witnessed a significant development with the recent collaboration between Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank.
The launch of the co-branded credit card, the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card, marks a major milestone for both entities.
This strategic move aims to redefine and elevate the banking experience for customers.
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network for other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, usdt , Ethereum and other currencies And this is done easily with the help from a pi merchant.
What is a pi merchant ?
Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docxBuy bitget
t's important to note that buying verified Coinbase accounts is not recommended and may violate Coinbase's terms of service. Instead of searching to "buy verified Coinbase accounts," follow the proper steps to verify your own account to ensure compliance and security.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.DOT TECH
Well as we all know pi isn't launched yet. But you can still sell your pi coins effortlessly because some whales in China are interested in holding massive pi coins. And they are willing to pay good money for it. If you are interested in selling I will leave a contact for you. Just telegram this number below. I sold about 3000 pi coins to him and he paid me immediately.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024DOT TECH
The best way to sell your pi coins safely is trading with an exchange..but since pi is not launched in any exchange, and second option is through a VERIFIED pi merchant.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and pioneers and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive amounts before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade pi coins with.
@Pi_vendor_247
2. What Is Public Debt Management? According to the International Monetary Fund, public debt management refers to strategies employed by a country's national authority to manage external debt. This includes loans given to a government by other countries. Sovereign debt management is the process of establishing and executing a strategy for managing the government's debt in order to raise the required amount of funding, achieve its risk and cost objectives, and to meet any other sovereign debt management goals the government may have set, such as developing and maintaining an efficient market for government securities.
3. Why is it Important? Several debt market crises have highlighted the importance of sound debt management practices and the need for an efficient and sound capital market. Although government debt management policies may not have been the sole or even the main cause of these crises, the maturity structure, and interest rate and currency composition of the government's debt portfolio, together with substantial obligations in respect of contingent liabilities have often contributed to the severity of the crisis. Risky debt structures are often the consequence of inappropriate economic policies--fiscal, monetary and exchange rate--but the feedback effects undoubtedly go in both directions. However, there are limits to what sound debt management policies can deliver. Sound debt management policies are no panacea or substitute for sound fiscal and monetary management. If macroeconomic policy settings are poor, sound sovereign debt management may not by itself prevent any crisis. Sound debt management policies reduce susceptibility to contagion and financial risk by playing a catalytic role for broader financial market development and financial deepening. Experience supports the argument, for example, that developed domestic debt markets can substitute for bank financing (and vice versa) when this source dries up, helping economies to weather financial shocks
4. Debt Management Program in the Philippines The first debt and debt service reduction operation the World Bank financed was the Debt Management Program Loan to the Philippines , approved in 1990. Its main objective was to help restore the Philippines' creditworthiness by reducing the destabilizing pressures exerted by an excessive debt-service burden . The government, having inherited a huge debt service obligation, formulated a debt restructuring program for the country and a request for debt-relief from creditors, with assistance from the Bank and the IMF.
5. Background In the ten years after 1986, when the Marcos regime fell, the Philippines has carried out a remarkable program of economic liberalization and modernization, initiated in the midst of a deep economic and political crisis that started in the late 1970s. The crisis had serious macroeconomic manifestations--including high inflation, large current account deficits, and huge arrears in external debt. But its source was the misallocation of resources embedded in the model of development then applied in the country, a model based on pervasive state intervention and overprotection of industry. Reaching a path of sustainable growth required both macroeconomic stabilization and deep structural reforms. By the mid-1990s, this transformation was well underway, aided by greater political stability.
6. The main objective of the loan was to help restore the country's creditworthiness by reducing the destabilizing pressures that an excessive debt-service burden exerted on macroeconomic management. The loan was consistent with the Bank's strategy of helping the Philippines to achieve a sustainable path of growth by making investments more efficient. It complemented ongoing Bank support to improve the government's investment planning and procurement, liberalizing trade and banking, and continuing with privatization. Project goals
7.
8. The risk that debt will have to be rolled over at an unusually high cost or, in extreme cases, cannot be rolled over at all. To the extent that rollover risk is limited to the risk that debt might have to be rolled over at higher interest rates, including changes in credit spreads, it may be considered a type of market risk. However, because the inability to roll over debt and/or exceptionally large increases in government funding costs can lead to, or exacerbate, a debt crisis and thereby cause real economic losses, in addition to the purely financial effects of higher interest rates, it is often treated separately. Managing this risk is particularly important for emerging market countries. Rollover Risk Refers to the risks associated with changes in market prices, such as interest rates, exchange rates, commodity prices, on the cost of the government's debt servicing. For both domestic and foreign currency debt, changes in interest rates affect debt servicing costs on new issues when fixed-rate debt is refinanced, and on floating-rate debt at the rate reset dates. Hence, short- duration debt (short-term or floating-rate) is usually considered to be more risky than long-term, fixed rate debt. (Excessive concentration in very long-term, fixed rate debt also can be risky as future financing requirements are uncertain.) Debt denominated in or indexed to foreign currencies also adds volatility to debt servicing costs as measured in domestic currency owing to exchange rate movements. Bonds with embedded put options can exacerbate market and rollover risks. Market Risk Description Risk Box 1. Risks Encountered in Sovereign Debt Management
9. This includes a range of different types of risks, including transaction errors in the various stages of executing and recording transactions; inadequacies or failures in internal controls, or in systems and services; reputation risk; legal risk; security breaches; or natural disasters that affect business activity. Operational Risk Refers to the potential loss that the government, as a counterparty, could suffer as a result of failure to settle, for whatever reason other than default, by another counterparty. Settlement Risk The risk of non performance by borrowers on loans or other financial assets or by a counterparty on financial contracts. This risk is particularly relevant in cases where debt management includes the management of liquid assets. It may also be relevant in the acceptance of bids in auctions of securities issued by the government as well as in relation to contingent liabilities, and in derivative contracts entered into by the debt manager. Credit Risk There are two types of liquidity risk. One refers to the cost or penalty investors face in trying to exit a position when the number of transactors has markedly decreased or because of the lack of depth of a particular market. This risk is particularly relevant in cases where debt management includes the management of liquid assets or the use of derivatives contracts. The other form of liquidity risk, for a borrower, refers to a situation where the volume of liquid assets can diminish quickly in the face of unanticipated cash flow obligations and/or a possible difficulty in raising cash through borrowing in a short period of time. Liquidity Risk
10. 1. Increasing the vulnerability of the government's financial position by increasing risk, even though it may lead to lower costs and a lower deficit in the short run. Debt managers should avoid exposing their portfolios to risks of large or catastrophic losses, even with low probabilities, in an effort to capture marginal cost savings that would appear to be relatively "low risk." Maturity structure. A government faces an intertemporal tradeoff between short-term and long-term costs that should be managed prudently. For example, excessive reliance on short-term or floating-rate paper to take advantage of lower short-term interest rates may leave a government vulnerable to volatile and possibly increasing debt service costs if interest rates increase, and the risk of default in the event that a government cannot roll over its debts at any cost. It could also affect the achievement of a central bank's monetary objectives. Some Pitfalls in Debt Management
11. Excessive unhedged foreign exchange exposures. This can take many forms, but the predominant is directly issuing excessive amounts of foreign currency denominated debt and foreign exchange indexed debt. This practice may leave governments vulnerable to volatile and possibly increasing debt service costs if their exchange rates depreciate, and the risk of default if they cannot roll over their debts. Debt with embedded put options. If poorly managed, these increase uncertainty to the issuer, effectively shortening the portfolio duration, and creating greater exposure to market/rollover risk. Implicit contingent liabilities, such as implicit guarantees provided to financial institutions. If poorly managed, they tend to be associated with significant moral hazard.
12. 2. Debt management practices that distort private vs. government decisions, as well as understate the true interest cost . Debt collateralized by shares of state-owned enterprises (SOE) or other assets. In addition to understating the underlying interest cost, they may distort decisions regarding asset management. Debt collateralized by specific sources of future tax revenue. If a future stream of revenue is committed for specific debt payments, a government may be less willing to undertake changes, which affect this revenue, even if the changes would improve the tax system. Tax-exempt or reduced tax debt. This practice is used to encourage the placement of government debt. The impact on the deficit is ambiguous, since it will depend upon the taxation of competing assets and whether the after-tax rate of return on taxable and tax-exempt government paper are equalized.
13. 3. Misreporting of contingent or guaranteed debt liabilities. This may understate the actual level of the government's liabilities. Inadequate coordination or procedures with regard to borrowings by lower levels of government, which may be guaranteed by the central government, or by state-owned enterprises. Repeated debt forgiveness for lower levels of government or for state-owned enterprises. Guaranteeing loans, which have a high probability of being called (without appropriate budgetary provisions). 4. Use of non-market financing channels. In some cases the practice can be unambiguously distortion. Special arrangements with the central bank for concessional credit, including zero/low interest overdrafts or special treasury bills. Forced borrowing from suppliers either through expenditure arrears or through the issuance of promissory notes, and tied borrowing arrangements. These practices tend to raise the price of government expenditures.
14. 5. Improper oversight and/or recording of debt contracting and payment, and/or of debt holders. Government control over the tax base and/or the supply of outstanding debt is reduced. Inadequate controls regarding the amount of debt outstanding. In some countries a breakdown in internal operations and poor documentation led to more debt being issued than had been officially authorized.