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Case studies to illustrate what environmental risk assessment can deliver for impact and socioeconomic analysis  Mark Crane and Hans-Christian Stolzenberg 11 th  March 2010 Workshop on health & environmental impacts in REACH SEA context
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Project background and scope (I) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Project background and scope (II) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Project objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Only “headlines” presented today
Ecology/ecotoxicology constraints (I) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ecology/ecotoxicology constraints (II) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Usually cannot translate lab test results into ecological impacts
Ecology/ecotoxicology constraints (III) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ecology/ecotoxicology constraints (IV) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],A few lab test results will be all we have for most substances
What could be done with “lots” of data? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Issues shown by Ni ERA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What more could be done with “standard” data? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
MCCP v LCCP aquatic toxicity MCCPs: Aquatic NOEC: 1 µg/L  HC5: 5.53 (0.078-36.25) µg/L LCCPs: Aquatic NOEC: 2.9 µg/L  HC5: 6.39 (0.004-70.89) µg/L
MCCP v LCCP sediment toxicity MCCPs: Sediment NOEC: 5 mg/kg  Based on worm data (below) LCCPs: Sediment NOEC: 571 mg/kg  Based on aquatic data and equilibrium partitioning estimate Can this be correct in light of MCCPs data? Comparisons between alternatives do not appear to be fair. Similar issues with agricultural soils and secondary poisoning via earthworms data.
MCCP v LCCP sediment PECs and toxicity
Fair & consistent comparisons using Multi-criteria Analysis? Input data: Local compartment MCCPs LCCPs (C 18-20  liquid) 90 th ile PEC  Toxicity value  RCR 90 th ile PEC  Toxicity value  RCR Surface water (µg l -1 ) 8.7 5.43 (HC5) 1.6 0.027 6.39 (HC5) 0.0042 Sediments (mg kg -1 ) 200 202.5 (EC10) 0.99 240 202.5 (EC10) 1.19 Agricultural soils (30 day average; mg kg -1 ) 10 50.8 (EC10) 0.2 10 50.8 (EC10) 0.2 Secondary poisoning via earthworms (mg kg -1 ) 13 10 (NOAEL) 1.3 19 10 (NOAEL) 1.9
Multi-criteria Analysis Results Criterion Weight No MCCPs Restriction Restriction (substitution by LCCPs) Cumulative weight Cost 80 100 0 30.8 Surface water risks 100 0 100 38.5 Sediment risks 40 100 0 15.4 Agricultural soil risks 0 0 0 0 Secondary poisoning (via earthworms) risks 40 100 0 15.4 TOTAL 260 62 38 100
Multi-criteria Analysis Sensitivity
Conclusions (I) ,[object Object]
Conclusions (II) ,[object Object]
Conclusions (III) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions (IV) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions (V) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions (VI) ,[object Object]
Recommendations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Questions to explore (I) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Questions to explore (II) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Contact us for further information ,[object Object],[object Object]

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Presentation To Seac (11th March 2010) V2

  • 1. Case studies to illustrate what environmental risk assessment can deliver for impact and socioeconomic analysis Mark Crane and Hans-Christian Stolzenberg 11 th March 2010 Workshop on health & environmental impacts in REACH SEA context
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. MCCP v LCCP aquatic toxicity MCCPs: Aquatic NOEC: 1 µg/L HC5: 5.53 (0.078-36.25) µg/L LCCPs: Aquatic NOEC: 2.9 µg/L HC5: 6.39 (0.004-70.89) µg/L
  • 14. MCCP v LCCP sediment toxicity MCCPs: Sediment NOEC: 5 mg/kg Based on worm data (below) LCCPs: Sediment NOEC: 571 mg/kg Based on aquatic data and equilibrium partitioning estimate Can this be correct in light of MCCPs data? Comparisons between alternatives do not appear to be fair. Similar issues with agricultural soils and secondary poisoning via earthworms data.
  • 15. MCCP v LCCP sediment PECs and toxicity
  • 16. Fair & consistent comparisons using Multi-criteria Analysis? Input data: Local compartment MCCPs LCCPs (C 18-20 liquid) 90 th ile PEC Toxicity value RCR 90 th ile PEC Toxicity value RCR Surface water (µg l -1 ) 8.7 5.43 (HC5) 1.6 0.027 6.39 (HC5) 0.0042 Sediments (mg kg -1 ) 200 202.5 (EC10) 0.99 240 202.5 (EC10) 1.19 Agricultural soils (30 day average; mg kg -1 ) 10 50.8 (EC10) 0.2 10 50.8 (EC10) 0.2 Secondary poisoning via earthworms (mg kg -1 ) 13 10 (NOAEL) 1.3 19 10 (NOAEL) 1.9
  • 17. Multi-criteria Analysis Results Criterion Weight No MCCPs Restriction Restriction (substitution by LCCPs) Cumulative weight Cost 80 100 0 30.8 Surface water risks 100 0 100 38.5 Sediment risks 40 100 0 15.4 Agricultural soil risks 0 0 0 0 Secondary poisoning (via earthworms) risks 40 100 0 15.4 TOTAL 260 62 38 100
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.