by Ihtiyor Bobojonov and Aden Aw-Hassan, International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas (ICARDA).
Learn more: http://ccafs.cgiar.org/blog/central-asia-climate-change-makes-or-breaks-farmers-fortunes
Watch video: http://www.youtube.com/v/82RtfTHopUg
Research presented at the Global Science Conference on Climate Smart Agriculture, University of California, Davis. 20-22 March 2013.
Assessing and reporting resilience of native vegetation using VAST Richard Thackway
The use and management of forested landscapes results in their transformation. Land management practices are used to change key ecological criteria include fire regime, soil hydrology, nutrient status, soil biology, overstorey and understorey vegetation structure and species composition. Two case studies in the Cumberland State Forest, Sydney, NSW are presented showing the transformation of the forest over time.
Forecasting Wheat Yield and Production for Punjab Province, Pakistan from Sat...CIMMYT
Remote sensing –Beyond images
Mexico 14-15 December 2013
The workshop was organized by CIMMYT Global Conservation Agriculture Program (GCAP) and funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF), the Mexican Secretariat of Agriculture, Livestock, Rural Development, Fisheries and Food (SAGARPA), the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), CGIAR Research Program on Maize, the Cereal System Initiative for South Asia (CSISA) and the Sustainable Modernization of the Traditional Agriculture (MasAgro)
Presentation of Andre Nassar for the "2nd Workshop on the Impact of New Technologies on the Sustainability of the Sugarcane/Bioethanol Production Cycle"
Apresentação de Marcos S. Buckeridge realizada no "2nd Workshop on the Impact of New Technologies on the Sustainability of the Sugarcane/Bioethanol Production Cycle"
Date / Data : Novr 11th - 12th 2009/
11 e 12 de novembro de 2009
Place / Local: CTBE, Campinas, Brazil
Event Website / Website do evento: http://www.bioetanol.org.br/workshop5
Presentation of Thelma Krug for the "2nd Workshop on the Impact of New Technologies on the Sustainability of the Sugarcane/Bioethanol Production Cycle"
Apresentação de Thelma Krug realizada no "2nd Workshop on the Impact of New Technologies on the Sustainability of the Sugarcane/Bioethanol Production Cycle "
Date / Data : Novr 11th - 12th 2009/
11 e 12 de novembro de 2009
Place / Local: CTBE, Campinas, Brazil
Event Website / Website do evento: http://www.bioetanol.org.br/workshop5
Assessing and reporting resilience of native vegetation using VAST Richard Thackway
The use and management of forested landscapes results in their transformation. Land management practices are used to change key ecological criteria include fire regime, soil hydrology, nutrient status, soil biology, overstorey and understorey vegetation structure and species composition. Two case studies in the Cumberland State Forest, Sydney, NSW are presented showing the transformation of the forest over time.
Forecasting Wheat Yield and Production for Punjab Province, Pakistan from Sat...CIMMYT
Remote sensing –Beyond images
Mexico 14-15 December 2013
The workshop was organized by CIMMYT Global Conservation Agriculture Program (GCAP) and funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF), the Mexican Secretariat of Agriculture, Livestock, Rural Development, Fisheries and Food (SAGARPA), the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), CGIAR Research Program on Maize, the Cereal System Initiative for South Asia (CSISA) and the Sustainable Modernization of the Traditional Agriculture (MasAgro)
Presentation of Andre Nassar for the "2nd Workshop on the Impact of New Technologies on the Sustainability of the Sugarcane/Bioethanol Production Cycle"
Apresentação de Marcos S. Buckeridge realizada no "2nd Workshop on the Impact of New Technologies on the Sustainability of the Sugarcane/Bioethanol Production Cycle"
Date / Data : Novr 11th - 12th 2009/
11 e 12 de novembro de 2009
Place / Local: CTBE, Campinas, Brazil
Event Website / Website do evento: http://www.bioetanol.org.br/workshop5
Presentation of Thelma Krug for the "2nd Workshop on the Impact of New Technologies on the Sustainability of the Sugarcane/Bioethanol Production Cycle"
Apresentação de Thelma Krug realizada no "2nd Workshop on the Impact of New Technologies on the Sustainability of the Sugarcane/Bioethanol Production Cycle "
Date / Data : Novr 11th - 12th 2009/
11 e 12 de novembro de 2009
Place / Local: CTBE, Campinas, Brazil
Event Website / Website do evento: http://www.bioetanol.org.br/workshop5
The effect of land use planning on agricultural productivity capability (case...Innspub Net
The objective of this study was to analyze the enhancement of agricultural productivity capability with reference to land use planning programs at Azaran watershed in Kashan,Iran.For this purpose, first land use map of 2007 has been generated using Landsat satellite images and Land use map for future(Land use planning) generated using Systemic and Makhdoum (1987) evaluation model. Then, agricultural productivity data of this region in 2007 was collected by related questionnaire and cluster sampling. As result of this study, If land use planning programs will perform, the Gross income in the study region will increase by 36.1% and 36.19% and the Net income will increase 36.19% and 35.1% in a semi-mechanized and a mechanized way respectively. Get the full articles at: http://www.innspub.net/volume-6-number-5-may-2015-jbes/
The triennial conference of the International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE) provides a platform for the Global Futures and Strategic Foresight (GFSF) teams of the CGIAR centers to showcase their work. The first symposium organized by these teams was on ‘Bio-economic modeling to assess options for enhancing food security under climate change in the developing world’ and it took place during the 29th IAAE conference in Brazil in 2012. The teams came again together in 2015 to organize a second symposium on ‘Interpreting results from using bio-economic modeling for global and regional ex ante impact assessment’ at the 30th IAAE conference which took place in Milan on August 8-14, 2015.
Presented by Adam Komarek (IFPRI), Belhouchette H. (CIHEAM-IAMM), Blanco M. (UPM-ETSIA), Chenoune R. (CIHEAM-IAMM), El Ansari L. (CIHEAM-IAMM) and Flichman G. (CIHEAM-IAMM) at the Africa RISING Monitoring and Evaluation Meeting, Arusha, Tanzania, 13-14 November 2014
Vacant Lots to Vibrant Plots: A Review of the Benefits and Limitations of Urb...JBHackk
Urban agriculture has become a popular topic for metropolitan areas to engage in on a program and policy level. It is touted as a means of promoting public health and economic development, building social capital, and repurposing unused land. Food policy councils and other groups that seek to position urban agriculture to policy makers often struggle with how to frame the benefits of and potential problems with urban agriculture. In some cases, the enthusiasm is ahead of the evidence. This review provides an overview of the documented sociocultural, health, environmental, and economic development outcomes of urban agriculture. Demonstrated and potential benefits, as well as risks and limitations, of this growing field will be discussed. We also offer recommendations for further research to strengthen the scholarship on urban agriculture.
In order to be able to adapt to climate change, bean producing smallholders in Central America have to know which type of changes and to which extent and ranges these changes will occur. Adaptation is only possible if global climate predictions are broken down on local levels, to give farmers a direction on what to adapt to, but also to provide detailed information about the extent of climate change impact and the exact location of the affected population to local, national, and regional governments and authorities, and the international cooperation/donors in order to coordinate and focus their interventions in the future. There will be people who will be more affected by climate change than others; some might have to leave the agricultural sector while others will have to change their whole operation. But there will be also new opportunities for those who will adapt quickly making them winners of changes in climate. This technical report seeks to assess the expected impact of climate change on bean production in 4 countries in Central America. We downscaled GCM (Global Climate Models) to a local scale, predicted future bean production using a dynamic crop model called DSSAT (Decision Support for Agro-technology Transfer), we identified based on the DSSAT-results 3 types of focus-spots where impact is predicted to be significant and run DSSAT again with the full range of available GCMs to address uncertainty of model predictions. Alongside this analysis we started a field trial using 10 bean varieties in 5 countries to calibrate DSSAT and run it in post-project-stage again in order to make assumptions on determining factors and possible breeding strategies. Outputs of downscaled climate data show that temperature is predicted to increase in the future, while precipitation will slightly reduce. Crop modeling shows that bean yields will decrease high along the dry corridor in Central America and Hot-Spots with more than 50% yield reduce could be identified in the study area. Based on the results we finally made recommendations for adaptation- and mitigation strategies which will be handed over to decision makers afterwards.
Economics of climate change adaptation ethiopia essp2
Ethiopian Development Research Institute and International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI/EDRI), Tenth International Conference on Ethiopian Economy, July 19-21, 2012. EEA Conference Hall
Crop productivity assessment through Remote Sensing: Radiation-driven and Wat...NENAwaterscarcity
Workshop on Operationalizing the Regional Collaborative Platform to Address ‘Water Consumption, Water Productivity and Drought Management’ in Agriculture, 27 - 29 October 2015, Cairo, Egypt
The Accelerating Impact of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa (AICCRA) project works to deliver a climate-smart African future driven by science and innovation in agriculture.
AICCRA does this by enhancing access to climate information services and climate-smart agricultural technology to millions of smallholder farmers in Africa.
With better access to climate technology and advisory services—linked to information about effective response measures—farmers can better anticipate climate-related events and take preventative action that help communities better safeguard their livelihoods and the environment.
AICCRA is supported by a grant from the International Development Association (IDA) of the World Bank, which is used to enhance research and capacity-building activities by the CGIAR centers and initiatives as well as their partners in Africa.
About IDA: IDA helps the world’s poorest countries by providing grants and low to zero-interest loans for projects and programmes that boost economic growth, reduce poverty, and improve poor people’s lives.
IDA is one of the largest sources of assistance for the world’s 76 poorest countries, 39 of which are in Africa.
Annual IDA commitments have averaged about $21 billion over circa 2017-2020, with approximately 61 percent going to Africa.
This presentation was given on 27 October 2021 by Mengpin Ge, Global Climate Program Associate at WRI, during the webinar "Achieving NDC Ambition in Agriculture" organized by CCAFS, FAO and WRI.
Find the recording and more information here: https://bit.ly/AchievingNDCs
This presentation was given on 27 October 2021 by Sabrina Rose, Policy Consultant at CCAFS, during the webinar "Achieving NDC Ambition in Agriculture" organized by CCAFS, FAO and WRI.
Find the recording and more information here: https://bit.ly/AchievingNDCs
This presentation was given on 27 October 2021 by Krystal Crumpler, Climate Change and Agricultural Specialist at FAO, during the webinar "Achieving NDC Ambition in Agriculture" organized by CCAFS, FAO and WRI.
Find the recording and more information here: https://bit.ly/AchievingNDCs
This presentation was meant to be included in the 2021 CLIFF-GRADS Welcome Webinar and presented by Ciniro Costa Jr. (CCAFS).
The webinar recording can be found here: https://youtu.be/UoX6aoC4fhQ
The multilevel CSA monitoring set of standard core uptake and outcome indicators + expanded indicators linked to a rapid and reliable ICT based data collection instrument to systematically
assess and monitor:
- CSA Adoption/ Access to CIS
- CSA effects on food security and livelihoods household level)
- CSA effects on farm performance
The effect of land use planning on agricultural productivity capability (case...Innspub Net
The objective of this study was to analyze the enhancement of agricultural productivity capability with reference to land use planning programs at Azaran watershed in Kashan,Iran.For this purpose, first land use map of 2007 has been generated using Landsat satellite images and Land use map for future(Land use planning) generated using Systemic and Makhdoum (1987) evaluation model. Then, agricultural productivity data of this region in 2007 was collected by related questionnaire and cluster sampling. As result of this study, If land use planning programs will perform, the Gross income in the study region will increase by 36.1% and 36.19% and the Net income will increase 36.19% and 35.1% in a semi-mechanized and a mechanized way respectively. Get the full articles at: http://www.innspub.net/volume-6-number-5-may-2015-jbes/
The triennial conference of the International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE) provides a platform for the Global Futures and Strategic Foresight (GFSF) teams of the CGIAR centers to showcase their work. The first symposium organized by these teams was on ‘Bio-economic modeling to assess options for enhancing food security under climate change in the developing world’ and it took place during the 29th IAAE conference in Brazil in 2012. The teams came again together in 2015 to organize a second symposium on ‘Interpreting results from using bio-economic modeling for global and regional ex ante impact assessment’ at the 30th IAAE conference which took place in Milan on August 8-14, 2015.
Presented by Adam Komarek (IFPRI), Belhouchette H. (CIHEAM-IAMM), Blanco M. (UPM-ETSIA), Chenoune R. (CIHEAM-IAMM), El Ansari L. (CIHEAM-IAMM) and Flichman G. (CIHEAM-IAMM) at the Africa RISING Monitoring and Evaluation Meeting, Arusha, Tanzania, 13-14 November 2014
Vacant Lots to Vibrant Plots: A Review of the Benefits and Limitations of Urb...JBHackk
Urban agriculture has become a popular topic for metropolitan areas to engage in on a program and policy level. It is touted as a means of promoting public health and economic development, building social capital, and repurposing unused land. Food policy councils and other groups that seek to position urban agriculture to policy makers often struggle with how to frame the benefits of and potential problems with urban agriculture. In some cases, the enthusiasm is ahead of the evidence. This review provides an overview of the documented sociocultural, health, environmental, and economic development outcomes of urban agriculture. Demonstrated and potential benefits, as well as risks and limitations, of this growing field will be discussed. We also offer recommendations for further research to strengthen the scholarship on urban agriculture.
In order to be able to adapt to climate change, bean producing smallholders in Central America have to know which type of changes and to which extent and ranges these changes will occur. Adaptation is only possible if global climate predictions are broken down on local levels, to give farmers a direction on what to adapt to, but also to provide detailed information about the extent of climate change impact and the exact location of the affected population to local, national, and regional governments and authorities, and the international cooperation/donors in order to coordinate and focus their interventions in the future. There will be people who will be more affected by climate change than others; some might have to leave the agricultural sector while others will have to change their whole operation. But there will be also new opportunities for those who will adapt quickly making them winners of changes in climate. This technical report seeks to assess the expected impact of climate change on bean production in 4 countries in Central America. We downscaled GCM (Global Climate Models) to a local scale, predicted future bean production using a dynamic crop model called DSSAT (Decision Support for Agro-technology Transfer), we identified based on the DSSAT-results 3 types of focus-spots where impact is predicted to be significant and run DSSAT again with the full range of available GCMs to address uncertainty of model predictions. Alongside this analysis we started a field trial using 10 bean varieties in 5 countries to calibrate DSSAT and run it in post-project-stage again in order to make assumptions on determining factors and possible breeding strategies. Outputs of downscaled climate data show that temperature is predicted to increase in the future, while precipitation will slightly reduce. Crop modeling shows that bean yields will decrease high along the dry corridor in Central America and Hot-Spots with more than 50% yield reduce could be identified in the study area. Based on the results we finally made recommendations for adaptation- and mitigation strategies which will be handed over to decision makers afterwards.
Economics of climate change adaptation ethiopia essp2
Ethiopian Development Research Institute and International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI/EDRI), Tenth International Conference on Ethiopian Economy, July 19-21, 2012. EEA Conference Hall
Crop productivity assessment through Remote Sensing: Radiation-driven and Wat...NENAwaterscarcity
Workshop on Operationalizing the Regional Collaborative Platform to Address ‘Water Consumption, Water Productivity and Drought Management’ in Agriculture, 27 - 29 October 2015, Cairo, Egypt
The Accelerating Impact of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa (AICCRA) project works to deliver a climate-smart African future driven by science and innovation in agriculture.
AICCRA does this by enhancing access to climate information services and climate-smart agricultural technology to millions of smallholder farmers in Africa.
With better access to climate technology and advisory services—linked to information about effective response measures—farmers can better anticipate climate-related events and take preventative action that help communities better safeguard their livelihoods and the environment.
AICCRA is supported by a grant from the International Development Association (IDA) of the World Bank, which is used to enhance research and capacity-building activities by the CGIAR centers and initiatives as well as their partners in Africa.
About IDA: IDA helps the world’s poorest countries by providing grants and low to zero-interest loans for projects and programmes that boost economic growth, reduce poverty, and improve poor people’s lives.
IDA is one of the largest sources of assistance for the world’s 76 poorest countries, 39 of which are in Africa.
Annual IDA commitments have averaged about $21 billion over circa 2017-2020, with approximately 61 percent going to Africa.
This presentation was given on 27 October 2021 by Mengpin Ge, Global Climate Program Associate at WRI, during the webinar "Achieving NDC Ambition in Agriculture" organized by CCAFS, FAO and WRI.
Find the recording and more information here: https://bit.ly/AchievingNDCs
This presentation was given on 27 October 2021 by Sabrina Rose, Policy Consultant at CCAFS, during the webinar "Achieving NDC Ambition in Agriculture" organized by CCAFS, FAO and WRI.
Find the recording and more information here: https://bit.ly/AchievingNDCs
This presentation was given on 27 October 2021 by Krystal Crumpler, Climate Change and Agricultural Specialist at FAO, during the webinar "Achieving NDC Ambition in Agriculture" organized by CCAFS, FAO and WRI.
Find the recording and more information here: https://bit.ly/AchievingNDCs
This presentation was meant to be included in the 2021 CLIFF-GRADS Welcome Webinar and presented by Ciniro Costa Jr. (CCAFS).
The webinar recording can be found here: https://youtu.be/UoX6aoC4fhQ
The multilevel CSA monitoring set of standard core uptake and outcome indicators + expanded indicators linked to a rapid and reliable ICT based data collection instrument to systematically
assess and monitor:
- CSA Adoption/ Access to CIS
- CSA effects on food security and livelihoods household level)
- CSA effects on farm performance
Presented by Harsh Rajpal, Code Partners Pte. Ltd., on 30 June 2021 at the Asian Development Bank (ADB) Webinar on Sustainable Protein Case Study: Outputs and Synthesis of Results.
Presented by Ciniro Costa Jr., CCAFS, on 28 June 2021 at the Asian Development Bank (ADB) Webinar on Sustainable Protein Case Study: Outputs and Synthesis of Results.
Presented by Marion de Vries, Wageningen Livestock Research at Wageningen University, on 28 June 2021 at the Asian Development Bank (ADB) Webinar on Sustainable Protein Case Study: Outputs and Synthesis of Results.
Presented by Issac Emery, Informed Sustainability Consulting, on 29 June 2021 at the second day of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) Webinar on Sustainable Protein Case Study: Outputs and Synthesis of Results.
Presented by Hongmin Dong and Sha Wei, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS), on 28 June 2021 at the Asian Development Bank (ADB) Webinar on Sustainable Protein Case Study: Outputs and Synthesis of Results.
Presented by Lini Wollenberg, CCAFS, on 28 June 2021 at the Asian Development Bank (ADB) Webinar on Sustainable Protein Case Study: Outputs and Synthesis of Results.
Presentation by Han Soethoudt, Jan Broeze, and Heike Axmann of Wageningen University & Resaearch (WUR).
WUR and Olam Rice Nigeria conducted a controlled experiment in Nigeria in which mechanized rice harvesting and threshing were introduced on smallholder farms. The result of the study shows that mechanization considerably reduces losses, has a positive impact on farmers’ income, and the climate.
Learn more: https://www.wur.nl/en/news-wur/show-day/Mechanization-helps-Nigerian-farms-reduce-food-loss-and-increase-income.htm
Presentation on the rapid evidence review findings and key take away messages.
Current evidence for biodiversity and agriculture to achieve and bridging gaps in research and investment to reach multiple global goals.
This presentation was given at an internal workshop in April 2020 and was presented by Le Hoang Anh, Hoang Thi Thien Huong, Le Thi Thanh Huyen, and Nguyen Thi Lien Huong.
Delivering information for national low-emission development strategies: acti...
Stochastic bio-economic modeling approach to assess climate change impacts in Central Asia
1. Stochastic bio-economic modeling
approach to assess climate change
impacts in Central Asia
Ihtiyor Bobojonov1, Aden Aw-Hassan2
Background
Agricultural production forms the backbone of Central Asian (CA) economies. The contribution of agriculture to GDP is lowest at 11% in Kazakhstan and highest at
38% in Kyrgyzstan. Land degradation inherited from the Soviet times is still a major problem in all CA countries where land salinization affected about 12% of the total
irrigated area in Kyrgyzstan, 50-60% in Uzbekistan and even more than 90% in Turkmenistan. Climate change is adding additional dimension to the existing problems
in the region and aggravating the uncertainty in agricultural production and rural poverty.
Objective
The study objectives were to elaborate risk aspects into whole farm context instead of analyzing climate change impacts on isolated farm activities, and to provide more
accurate estimates of climate change impacts at sub-national levels than those available at regional or global scales in the literature.
Figure 2: Expected Utility change, in percent
Methodology
compared to the baseline scenario* Bio-economic farm model with risk component was
developed to assess climate change impacts on farm
a) A1b scenario for the period 2071-2100 income volatility in Central Asia: Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan,
Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. Integrated modeling Figure 1: Model components
framework, combining economic analysis with results of
Household Crop experiment CC projection
climate module, crop growth simulations, was applied surveys in CA data downscaling
(Figure 1). Climate change impacts on yields were
obtained by CropSyst and DSSAT crop simulations Long term CropSyst, DSSAT
price and simulations
calibrated with the experimental data from representative yield data
agro-ecological zones (AEZ) using downscaled climate
data. Expected Utility model was developed to assess the Stochastic
b) A2 scenario for the period 2071-2100 climate change impacts on farm income volatility in ten
optimization model
representative farms from different AEZs in the four Certainty equivalent, crop areas,
countries. The model was calibrated for three main crops input use levels
such as cotton, wheat and potatoes as the main
agricultural activities in CA. Elaboration of yield-price
covariance in the stochastic farm model enables the
consideration of natural hedging effect of climate change
on agricultural producers’ welfare.
c) A1b scenario for the period 2071-2100,
30% reduction of irrigation water Results Conclusions
The farm revenues in many AEZs is expected to stay close Adoption of more efficient irrigation methods
to currently observed levels in the near future scenarios could be one of the most effective adaptation
(2010-2040). Very significant changes are observed for late measures to reduce farmers’ vulnerability under
future scenarios (2071-2100) as presented in Figure 2. The climate change in arid and semiarid regions of
direction of the change differ depending on agro-ecological Central Asia.
zones and socio-economic aspects of the farming systems. Governments should establish policies for creating
The revenues in Uzbekistan are expected to decline in the incentives for adoption of these technologies
late future (2070-2100) due to increasing temperatures and especially through improving farm advisory services
d) A2 scenario for the period 2071-2100, risk of increasing water deficit, especially if availability of and raising the awareness on climate change effects.
30% reduction of irrigation water irrigation water from transboundary rivers decline. The availability of the insurance programs also may
Farmers in sub-humid zones of Kazakhstan are expected to play an important role to cope with increasing
benefit from increasing temperature and precipitation. Sub- sequence of weather extremes.
humid and humid areas in Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan will The analysis of changing occurrence of weather
benefit while arid and semiarid regions will be negatively extremes in the future need to be further investigated
affected. in order to improve the results of this study.
1 International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas (ICARDA), present affiliation: Leibniz Institute of
Agricultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO)
*The spatial distribution is extrapolated from the 2 Corresponding author, International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas (ICARDA), a-aw-hassan@cgiar.org
representative farm level only for better visualization purposes Presented at the Global Science Conference on Climate-Smart Agriculture. UC Davis, 20-22 March, 2013