The Biggest question currently haunting the great Indian democracy is that who it will be to finally steal the show?

1. A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
20th January 2014 | 1

2. Monday Mood of India
Executive Summary
The biggest question currently haunting the great Indian democracy is that who it will
be to finally steal the show? Is it going to be a tough fight between two horses? Will a
dark horse emerge? Or would it be simply a one-sided, smiling victory for a single
party? With just about two months to go into the 14th Lok Sabha Elections, the answers
of such many questions are blowing in the wind. More interestingly, the situation is
changing rapidly. As a result, what was last week a direct fight between the BJP and
the AAP is now again back to its old self, with BJP led NDA emerging as a
confident winner.
The trend has been reflected in the results revealed in the current Monday Mood of
India- 2, the unique, weekly opinion survey poll by Foreseegame.com. The last
Monday Mood of India, dated 13th January, 2014, stated that it was going to be a race
between NDA and AAP. Last week, the newly emerged factor of AAP made an
impressive entry and hit the Third Front and UPA hard. The emerging AAP even sent
out warning signals to the BJP in states like Haryana. This week, however, the game is
leveled with Narendra Modi and NDA back in the lead.
So how does the picture look now? Is it going to be a strong and accountable
government at the helm? Or is it going to churn out further surprises? The results
revealed in Monday Mood of India- 2 are leaning towards the former. In this second
set of questions, the Indian electorates have confirmed Narendra Modi as their choicest
Prime Minister of India. 62% of the participants chose Modi, whereas, Arvind
Kejriwal’s vote share has declined to just 9% as compared to last week’s 22%. It is a
straight 13% loss for Kejriwal which does not speak too well about his future.
Meanwhile, Mamata Banerjee has increased her vote to 15% as compared to last
week’s 3%. So the loss of Arvind Kejriwal is a straight gain for Mamata Banerjee. And
at the same time it speaks of those Indian voters who want to have a Prime Minister
other than Narendra Modi. Rahul Gandhi’s future too is bleak as his popularity as PM
has gone down by further 2% as compared to his last week’s position. And which party
is the Indian electorate going to choose as the next government? Well, here too BJP led
NDA has emerged as the straight winner. As compared to last week’s 47%, this week
58% of the participants have chosen NDA as their favourite government, whereas Aam
Aadmi Party has got 28% vote which is 9% down than its last week vote share. UPA
this time has managed to retain its 10% vote.
The swing is clear. The sudden magic spelled by Arvind Kejriwal and his Aam Aadmi
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
20th January 2014 | 2

3. Executive Summary
Party has faded down considerably and the fact is reflected in Kejriwal’s personal vote
bank. Only 9% of the participants have chosen him as the next Prime Minister despite
his promise of a corruption less government. It indicates that the people of India wants
a strong and accountable government able to take the country forward towards the
road of development and not flowery promises. The picture will be certainly getting
more interesting as 2014 Lok Sabha poll draws closer.
Foreseegame.com is a unique portal of consumer engagement, which provides a
platform for two way communication and engagement between the brand and the
consumers through games of foresights. Microsec research is the research wing of
Microsec Capital having experienced analysts across the sectors. We used the online
feedback from the users of www.foreseegame.com. The users have been registered
only on the basis of unique mobile numbers and hence, it provides authenticity and
genuineness of the participants. The participation is being monitored by Google.
About 34,000 participants have contributed from all parts of India; however the
limitation of this sample is that it is from the group of people who are users of internet.
The Take Away Points:
1. Narendra Modi has once again gone ahead in the race. Compared to last week’s
Monday Mood result, his vote percentage is up by 4% this week. But his prime
contender for throne, Arvind Kejriwal’s result is not so promising. This week Kejriwal
has managed to get only 9% vote in his favour compared to last week’s 22%. Rahul
Gandhi’s bad spell continues as he is further down by 2%. Meanwhile, Mamata
Banerjee has increased her vote to 15% as compared to last week’s 3%. So the loss of
Arvind Kejriwal is a straight gain for Mamata Banerjee. And at the same time it speaks
of those Indian voters who want to have a Prime Minister other than Narendra Modi.
As before, Nitish Kumar and Mulayam Singh Yadav is nowhere in the race.
The choice of Prime Minister suggests that the people of India has favoured a strong
and accountable government. Narendra Modi has once again been successful to weave
his magic whereas Arvind Kejriwal is faltering. The pro-BJP vote has remained with
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
20th January 2014 | 3

4. Executive Summary
Modi whereas, the anti-BJP vote has been snatched by Mamata Banerjee to a big
extent. The gain for her is at the cost of AAP, Third Front and Congress.
2. The vote swing this week has changed considerably as compared to last week. The
BJP led NDA has successfully slowed down the victory march of AAP by eating away
9% of the latter’s vote share. The other political parties too have lost further 2% vote
to NDA. NDA, therefore, is up by 11% compared to last week. UPA, however, has
managed to retain its marginal 10% vote.
3. The state-wise break up shows that Narendra Modi as the future Prime Minister and
BJP led NDA is marching ahead in almost all the states compared to last week’s report.
And the states where it is lagging behind, the difference is marginal. So in all
probability, the people of India is getting ready to have a BJP led NDA government at
the helm.
Let us wait for the next Monday Mood result to know the further change / swing.
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
20th January 2014 | 4

5. The Comparison Zone
The Next Prime Minister of India
Graph 1: Survey Results as on 20th January, 2014
Narendra Modi has once
again gone ahead in the race.
Compared to last week’s
Monday Mood result, his vote
percentage is up by 6% this
week.
But
his
prime
contender for throne, Arvind
Kejriwal’s result is not so
promising.
This
week
Kejriwal has managed to gain
only 9% vote in his favour
compared to last week’s 22%.
Rahul Gandhi’s bad spell
continues as he is further
down by 2%. Interestingly
Mamata
Banerjee
has
managed to increase her vote
percentage by 12% compared
to
last
week.
Arvind
Kejriwal’s loss is her direct
gain.
The choice of Prime Minister
suggests that the people of
India has favoured a strong
and accountable government.
Narendra Modi has once
again been successful to
weave his magic whereas
Arvind Kejriwal is faltering
as he has lost 13% vote
compared to last week. The
pro-BJP vote has remained
with Modi whereas, the antiBJP vote has been snatched
by Mamata Banerjee to a big
extent. The gain for her is
once again at the cost of AAP,
Third Front and Congress.
2%
2%
Narendra Modi
9%
2%
Rahul Gandhi
Mamata Banerjee
15%
Nitish Kumar
62%
8%
Arvind Kejriwal
Mulayam Singh Yadav
None of the above
Graph 2: Survey Results as on 13th January, 2014
2%
4%
Narendra Modi
Rahul Gandhi
Mamata Banerjee
22%
Nitish Kumar
56%
3%
3%
10%
Arvind Kejriwal
Mulayam Singh
Yadav
None of the above
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
20th January 2014 | 5

6. The Share of Vote: NDA, UPA & AAP
The vote swing this week
has changed considerably
as compared to last week.
The BJP led NDA has
successfully slowed down
the victory march of AAP
by eating away 9% of its
vote share. The other
political parties too have
lost further 2% vote to
NDA. NDA, therefore, is up
by 11% compared to last
week. UPA, however, has
managed to retain its
marginal 10% vote.
Graph 3: Survey Results as on 20th January, 2014
4%
Congress Led UPA
10%
BJP Led NDA
28%
Aam Aadmi Party
Any other
58%
Graph 4: Survey Results as on 13th January, 2014
6%
BJP Led NDA
10%
47%
Aam Aadmi Party
Congress Led UPA
37%
Any other
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
20th January 2014 | 6

7. The Comparison Zone as on 20th January, 2014
The Next Prime Minister: State-wise choice
State
Andaman Nicobar
Andhra Pradesh
Arunachal Pradesh
Assam
Bihar
Chhattisgarh
Daman & Diu
Dadra & Nagar Haveli
Goa
Gujarat
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Jharkhand
Karnataka
Kerala
Lakshwadweep
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
Manipur
Meghalaya
Mizoram
Nagaland
NCR
Orissa
Pondicherry
Punjab
Rajasthan
Sikkim
Tamil Nadu
Tripura
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarakhand
West Bengal
Narendra Modi (%) Rahul Gandhi (%) Arvind Kejriwal (%) Others (%)
44
67
38
66
2
10
2
7
20
11
40
15
34
13
21
12
78
5
6
57
44
53
50
69
33
62
97
66
71
40
57
65
62
64
38
75
57
66
46
9
47
73
56
75
70
74
71
61
7
1
0
15
9
1
10
0
8
13
21
0
15
10
18
0
25
21
4
11
0
6
7
19
8
8
5
2
9
25
41
29
26
13
65
18
2
14
9
17
14
12
14
0
13
0
7
9
14
0
34
9
13
7
15
12
16
6
11
11
13
18
10
9
1
10
0
12
7
22
29
8
14
18
50
0
14
21
28
91
13
11
13
10
8
9
11
24
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
20th January 2014 | 7

8. The Comparison Zone as on 13th January, 2014
The Next Prime Minister: State-wise choice
State
Andaman Nicobar
Andhra Pradesh
Arunachal Pradesh
Assam
Bihar
Chandigarh
Chhattisgarh
Daman & Diu
Dadra & Nagar
Haveli
Goa
Gujarat
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Jharkhand
Karnataka
Kerala
Lakshwadweep
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
Manipur
Meghalaya
Mizoram
Nagaland
NCR
Orissa
Pondicherry
Punjab
Rajasthan
Sikkim
Tamil Nadu
Tripura
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarakhand
West Bengal
Narendra Modi (%) Rahul Gandhi (%) Arvind Kejriwal (%)
11
2
86
54
10
28
14
2
83
52
4
35
71
6
12
59
4
32
70
5
19
69
3
25
60
59
67
31
53
78
59
65
42
27
67
60
50
17
17
20
50
41
29
51
69
40
61
46
63
77
57
4
15
10
1
10
0
8
8
13
0
13
12
17
17
0
10
8
14
38
7
8
13
9
17
9
1
11
31
18
15
66
24
21
18
15
33
55
12
13
25
50
83
70
36
13
4
26
7
33
14
21
16
20
20
Others (%)
1
8
1
8
11
5
6
3
5
8
8
2
13
1
15
12
12
18
8
15
8
16
0
0
6
32
29
16
16
14
16
16
12
2
12
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
20th January 2014 | 8

9. The Comparison Zone as on 20th January, 2014
Vote for the Party: State-wise choice
State
BJP Led NDA (%) Congress Led UPA (%) AAP (%) Others (%)
42
3
54
1
Andaman Nicobar
57
11
24
9
Andhra Pradesh
39
2
58
0
Arunachal Pradesh
61
8
29
2
Assam
80
4
15
1
Bihar
56
7
36
1
Chhattisgarh
Dadra & Nagar
45
1
51
3
Haveli
59
0
41
0
Daman & Diu
51
12
36
2
Goa
68
12
17
4
Gujarat
25
3
72
1
Haryana
49
19
26
6
Himachal Pradesh
93
1
6
0
Jammu & Kashmir
58
11
27
4
Jharkhand
56
15
27
2
Karnataka
37
14
46
3
Kerala
67
0
33
0
Lakshwadweep
62
14
22
2
Madhya Pradesh
57
12
25
6
Maharashtra
70
20
10
0
Manipur
63
0
25
13
Meghalaya
100
0
0
0
Mizoram
58
17
25
0
Nagaland
54
5
40
2
NCR
45
18
24
13
Orissa
7
0
93
0
Pondicherry
47
6
43
4
Punjab
72
10
14
4
Rajasthan
50
7
43
0
Sikkim
62
9
23
5
Tamil Nadu
48
8
40
4
Tripura
70
6
20
4
Uttar Pradesh
69
2
29
0
Uttarakhand
57
10
28
5
West Bengal
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
20th January 2014 | 9

10. The Comparison Zone as on 13th January, 2014
Vote for the Party: State-wise choice
State
BJP Led NDA (%) Congress Led UPA (%)
Andaman Nicobar
8
1
Andhra Pradesh
40
10
Arunachal Pradesh
10
3
Assam
46
5
Bihar
58
3
Chhattisgarh
51
6
Dadra & Nagar Haveli
42
5
Daman & Diu
39
0
Goa
52
7
Gujarat
57
13
Haryana
23
1
Himachal Pradesh
38
12
Jammu & Kashmir
80
1
Jharkhand
51
9
Karnataka
43
14
Kerala
23
17
Lakshwadweep
20
0
Madhya Pradesh
52
9
Maharashtra
48
13
Manipur
55
0
Meghalaya
40
0
Mizoram
17
0
Nagaland
18
9
NCR
38
4
Orissa
38
17
Pondicherry
30
37
Punjab
24
5
Rajasthan
63
10
Sikkim
20
0
Tamil Nadu
49
12
Tripura
35
13
Uttar Pradesh
65
7
Uttarakhand
67
3
West Bengal
48
11
AAP (%) Others (%)
91
0
41
9
86
1
46
3
26
13
27
16
33
20
36
25
35
6
26
4
75
1
43
7
18
1
33
7
39
4
59
1
80
0
36
3
33
6
45
0
60
0
83
0
64
9
57
1
30
15
33
0
68
3
21
6
80
0
31
8
48
4
23
5
29
1
34
7
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
20th January 2014 | 10