Özlem Bolat
Ferhan Ercengiz
   About Cheesecake Dream
   Investment Opportunity
   Vision
   Mision
   Prices
   Value Proposition
   Business Model
   Competitive Analysis
   Product Comparison
   Market Size
   Market Assessment
   Café Market
   Swot Analysis
   Competition
   Expected Market Share
   Market Segmentation
   Survey
   Sales Process
   Organizational Chart
   Gantt Chart
   Income Table
   Cash Flow
   Exit Strategy
 CheeseCake  Dream is a café that serves
 delicious desserts and is specialized on
 cheesecakes. The targeted segment is
 high/middle level families, students, young
 adults, working people and anyone who
 needs to relax and have joy.
 Cheesecake  Dream offers 20% equity share
 of its business to a partner for 0.4M TL.

 The investment in Cheesecake Dream
 expected to have a profit potential of
 4.8M TL (NPV) or in other words 12 times
 of its value in 5 years. This will correspond
 to 1208% at the NPV or annual ROI of
 187%
 We want to satisfy every single customer
 that arrives to our cafe by providing special
 desserts and cozy environment.
 In5 years we expect to open 5 stores and
 increase our brand value to 25M TL.
 Cheesecakes   – 8-15 TL
 Cakes – 7-10 TL
 Specialities – 2-15 TL
 Ice Cream Specials – 8-15 TL
 Milkshakes – 10-15 TL
 Hot Drinks – 4-10 TL
 Iced and Frozen Drinks – 8-13 TL
 Soft Drinks – 4-8 TL
 Customers will get the best quality of
 desserts in a relaxing and enjoyable
 environment. They will feel special.
 Ourbusiness model is “service model”. In
 Cheesecake Dream, we serve
 desserts, hot&cold beverages.
 There  are lots of Coffee
  Stores, Traditional Cafes or Boutique Cafes
  that serve cheesecakes, desserts and
  coffee.
 However we want to differentiate in the
  market with our special recipe cheesecakes
  and elegant environment.
 There are some cafe's which have the
  similar environment but do not have special
  recipe cheesecakes. So we hold a niche
  position in cafe&dessert market.
When compared to..         Advantages            Disadvantages



                      * Specialized products
  Coffee Stores                                  * Higher prices
                       * High quality service
 (Sbucks, Nero..)                                * Few locations
                      * Elegant environment



 Traditional Cafes
                      * Specialized products     * Higher prices
  (Mado, Özsüt,
                      * Elegant environment      * Few locations
     Saray..)

  Boutique Cafes     * Differentiated products          -
Cafe & Restaurant Sector in Turkey
Total Cafe & Restaurant market size for 2011                           13.6 billion TL
İstanbul Cafe & Restaurant market size                                 7.3 billion TL
Total Cafe market size                                                 2.7 billion TL
İstanbul Cafe market size                                              1.46 billion TL
Nişantaşı Cafe & Restaurant market size                                192 M TL
Nişantaşı Cafe market size (Target)                                    38.4 M TL
Our targetted share of market size in Nişantaşı 2 M TL
• Türkiye Gıda ve İçecek Sanayi Dernekleri Federasyonu – 2011 raporu
 Demand   of new tastes in dessert market.
 Desire of comfort and relaxation in the
  stressful city.
 Youth’s need for trendy places.
   Cafe market in Turkey is expanding and
    dynamic.

   There are many cafes and many more are being
    opened. Customers’ interest in cheesecake is
    increasing by time.

   Creative approaches can contribute to the
    market and new strategies can attract more
    customers.

   Cheesecake Dream is trying to step forward
    among its competitors by introducing unique
    tastes.
STRENGTHS:                             WEAKNESSES:

-   Special recipies                   -   Lack of extensive market know-
-   Elegant and cozy environment           how
-   Growing market                     -   High price range
-   High service quality               -   Lack of advertisement
                                       -   Risk of unsustainable brand
                                           loyalty
                                       -   Difficulty of finding exclusive
                                           chefs

OPPORTUNITIES:                         THREATS:

-   Increasing demand on different     -   High competition
    tastes                             -   Threat of new entrants
-   Being in a dynamic city
-   Being located in elite territory
 In 2016, Cheescake Dream aims to reach
  900 customers per day in five stores.
  Yearly revenue will be 18 - 22M TL.
 Cheesecake Dream will have the market
  value of 24 - 25M TL in 2016
SECTOR                  Customer well funded?   Compelling reason to buy?

 Students                       NO                        NO
 Working
                                YES                       NO
Professionals
 Young Adults               YES / NO                      NO

 A Class Families               YES                       NO

Middle Class Families           NO                        NO
Would you like to try new tastes?                   Do you think that our prices are sensible?
6                                                       7
                             5                                                   6    6
5                                                       6
                                                                             5
                         4       4                      5
4
                    3                                   4
3                                                                        3
            2   2                                 2     3
2                                                                                         2
                                                        2
        1                             1     1               1       1                         1
1                                                       1
0                                                       0
    1   2   3   4   5    6   7   8    9     10   NOT        1   2   3    4   5   6    7   8   9   10     NOT
                                                 SURE                                                    SURE




   Only 5 people voted below                              Most of the people find prices
    5, meaning that most people are                         sensible.
    open    to   taste    different
    desserts.
Would you come to our café frequently?                    How strong would you recomment our
7                                                                                café?
                           6
6                                                           6
                                                                                  5   5
5                                                           5
                       4       4                                                                          4
4                                                           4
                   3                3             3                       3   3           3
3                                                           3
                                                                                              2
2                                                           2
               1                        1
1                                                           1
0                                                           0
    1     2    3   4   5   6   7    8   9   10   NOT              1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10 NOT
                                                 SURE                                                    SURE




   People would like to visit                                 High percent of attendees are
    Cheesecake Dream frequently.                                willing to advice Cheesecake
                                                                Dream to others.
                                                               Small part of the attendees do
                                                                not find Cheesecake Dream
                                                                attractive enough to tell others.
 According   to 5th question:

    Customers look for lower prices
    Brand value is important to them
    There is some hesitation to try unknown tastes
Ferhan Ercengiz
                                                      Özlem Bolat
                                                 Co-founders & Owners




 Ferhan Ercengiz                Özlem Bolat                                Özlem Bolat         Ferhan Ercengiz
                                                  Özlem Bolat                                                        Ferhan Ercengiz
   Operations &              Sales & Marketing                           Supply Chain &     Financial Operations
                                                 R & D Manager                                                     Purchasing Manager
Personnel Manager                Manager                                Logistics Manager         Manager




                                                 John Fernandez
                John Fernandez                     Master Chef
                  Master Chef

                    Hasan Kaya
                       Chef                        Hasan Kaya
                                                      Chef
                    Ahmet Balta
                      Waiter

                     Neşe Kural
                      Waitress

                    Leyla Bozan
                     Waitress

                      Ayşe Kurt
                      Waitress

                      Bilal Kara
                    Cleaning Staff

                     Mehmet Taş
                    Cleaning Staff
2011       2012        2013        2014        2015


Total Net Sales                           2.345.125    3.117.206   3.739.450 4.905.274 6.387.849
Cost of Goods Sold                        770.150      927.048     1.460.275   1.752.330   2.262.090
Gross Profit                              1.574.975    2.190.158   2.279.174   3.152.943   4.125.759
General Cost                              1.058.480    1.058.480   1.058.480   1.058.480   1.058.480
Replacement Cost                          0            0           0           0           0
Operating Profit (EBITDA)                 516.495      1.131.678   1.220.694   2.094.463 3.067.279
Depreciation                              -45.000      -50.000     -55.000     -60.000     -65.000
Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT)   471.495      1.081.678   1.165.694   2.034.463 3.002.279
Financial Income/Expense                  0            -19.671     162.270     326.876     616.237
Profit Before Tax                         471.495      1.062.008   1.327.965   2.361.339   3.618.516
Total Tax                                 94.299       212.402     265.593     472.268     723.703
Profit After Tax                          377.196      849.606     1.062.372   1.889.072   2.894.813




Depreciation                              44.000       48.000      52.000      56.000      60.000
(Gross Profit)/Net Sales                  67%          70%         61%         64%         65%
Profit Before Tax/Net Sales               20%          34%         36%         48%         57%
(Profit Before Tax+Depr.)/Net Sales       22%          36%         37%         49%         58%
2011       2012        2013        2014        2015
EBITDA                                 516.495       1.131.678   1.220.694   2.094.463   3.067.279


Tax                                    94.299        212.402     265.593     472.268     723.703
Bank Loan                              200.000       0           0           0           0
Fixed Investments                      20.000        20.000      20.000      20.000      20.000


Free Cash Flow                         202.196       879.606     1.097.372   1.929.072   2.939.813


                                                                                         18.373.82
Terminal Value                                                                           9


Discount Rate                          1,25          1,25        1,25        1,25        1,25
Cumulated Discount Rate                1,12          1,40        1,75        2,18        2,73


Discounted Cash Flow                   180.850       629.395     628.172     883.412     1.077.022
Discounted (NPV) Cumulated Cash Flow   180.850       810.245     1.438.417   2.321.829   3.398.851


NPV OF ACCUMULATED CASH (TL)           3.398.851
NPV OF TERMINAL VALUE (TL)             6.731.388
TOTAL NPV (TL)                         10.130.239
DISCOUNT RATE (%)                      25
 The  investor is offered three options for
 exit. The first and preferable one is for
 the investor to buy Cheesecake Dream at
 the value calculated above. The second
 option is an IPO in İMKB, and the third one
 is to purchase the investor’s 20% shares by
 Cheesecake Dream at the book value of
 Cheesecake Dream.
İs Plani Ornegi

İs Plani Ornegi

  • 1.
  • 2.
    About Cheesecake Dream  Investment Opportunity  Vision  Mision  Prices  Value Proposition  Business Model  Competitive Analysis  Product Comparison  Market Size  Market Assessment  Café Market  Swot Analysis  Competition  Expected Market Share  Market Segmentation  Survey  Sales Process  Organizational Chart  Gantt Chart  Income Table  Cash Flow  Exit Strategy
  • 3.
     CheeseCake Dream is a café that serves delicious desserts and is specialized on cheesecakes. The targeted segment is high/middle level families, students, young adults, working people and anyone who needs to relax and have joy.
  • 4.
     Cheesecake Dream offers 20% equity share of its business to a partner for 0.4M TL.  The investment in Cheesecake Dream expected to have a profit potential of 4.8M TL (NPV) or in other words 12 times of its value in 5 years. This will correspond to 1208% at the NPV or annual ROI of 187%
  • 5.
     We wantto satisfy every single customer that arrives to our cafe by providing special desserts and cozy environment.
  • 6.
     In5 yearswe expect to open 5 stores and increase our brand value to 25M TL.
  • 7.
     Cheesecakes – 8-15 TL  Cakes – 7-10 TL  Specialities – 2-15 TL  Ice Cream Specials – 8-15 TL  Milkshakes – 10-15 TL  Hot Drinks – 4-10 TL  Iced and Frozen Drinks – 8-13 TL  Soft Drinks – 4-8 TL
  • 8.
     Customers willget the best quality of desserts in a relaxing and enjoyable environment. They will feel special.
  • 9.
     Ourbusiness modelis “service model”. In Cheesecake Dream, we serve desserts, hot&cold beverages.
  • 10.
     There are lots of Coffee Stores, Traditional Cafes or Boutique Cafes that serve cheesecakes, desserts and coffee.  However we want to differentiate in the market with our special recipe cheesecakes and elegant environment.  There are some cafe's which have the similar environment but do not have special recipe cheesecakes. So we hold a niche position in cafe&dessert market.
  • 11.
    When compared to.. Advantages Disadvantages * Specialized products Coffee Stores * Higher prices * High quality service (Sbucks, Nero..) * Few locations * Elegant environment Traditional Cafes * Specialized products * Higher prices (Mado, Özsüt, * Elegant environment * Few locations Saray..) Boutique Cafes * Differentiated products -
  • 12.
    Cafe & RestaurantSector in Turkey Total Cafe & Restaurant market size for 2011 13.6 billion TL İstanbul Cafe & Restaurant market size 7.3 billion TL Total Cafe market size 2.7 billion TL İstanbul Cafe market size 1.46 billion TL Nişantaşı Cafe & Restaurant market size 192 M TL Nişantaşı Cafe market size (Target) 38.4 M TL Our targetted share of market size in Nişantaşı 2 M TL • Türkiye Gıda ve İçecek Sanayi Dernekleri Federasyonu – 2011 raporu
  • 13.
     Demand of new tastes in dessert market.  Desire of comfort and relaxation in the stressful city.  Youth’s need for trendy places.
  • 14.
    Cafe market in Turkey is expanding and dynamic.  There are many cafes and many more are being opened. Customers’ interest in cheesecake is increasing by time.  Creative approaches can contribute to the market and new strategies can attract more customers.  Cheesecake Dream is trying to step forward among its competitors by introducing unique tastes.
  • 15.
    STRENGTHS: WEAKNESSES: - Special recipies - Lack of extensive market know- - Elegant and cozy environment how - Growing market - High price range - High service quality - Lack of advertisement - Risk of unsustainable brand loyalty - Difficulty of finding exclusive chefs OPPORTUNITIES: THREATS: - Increasing demand on different - High competition tastes - Threat of new entrants - Being in a dynamic city - Being located in elite territory
  • 16.
     In 2016,Cheescake Dream aims to reach 900 customers per day in five stores. Yearly revenue will be 18 - 22M TL.  Cheesecake Dream will have the market value of 24 - 25M TL in 2016
  • 17.
    SECTOR Customer well funded? Compelling reason to buy? Students NO NO Working YES NO Professionals Young Adults YES / NO NO A Class Families YES NO Middle Class Families NO NO
  • 19.
    Would you liketo try new tastes? Do you think that our prices are sensible? 6 7 5 6 6 5 6 5 4 4 5 4 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NOT 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NOT SURE SURE  Only 5 people voted below  Most of the people find prices 5, meaning that most people are sensible. open to taste different desserts.
  • 20.
    Would you cometo our café frequently? How strong would you recomment our 7 café? 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NOT 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NOT SURE SURE  People would like to visit  High percent of attendees are Cheesecake Dream frequently. willing to advice Cheesecake Dream to others.  Small part of the attendees do not find Cheesecake Dream attractive enough to tell others.
  • 21.
     According to 5th question:  Customers look for lower prices  Brand value is important to them  There is some hesitation to try unknown tastes
  • 23.
    Ferhan Ercengiz Özlem Bolat Co-founders & Owners Ferhan Ercengiz Özlem Bolat Özlem Bolat Ferhan Ercengiz Özlem Bolat Ferhan Ercengiz Operations & Sales & Marketing Supply Chain & Financial Operations R & D Manager Purchasing Manager Personnel Manager Manager Logistics Manager Manager John Fernandez John Fernandez Master Chef Master Chef Hasan Kaya Chef Hasan Kaya Chef Ahmet Balta Waiter Neşe Kural Waitress Leyla Bozan Waitress Ayşe Kurt Waitress Bilal Kara Cleaning Staff Mehmet Taş Cleaning Staff
  • 25.
    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total Net Sales 2.345.125 3.117.206 3.739.450 4.905.274 6.387.849 Cost of Goods Sold 770.150 927.048 1.460.275 1.752.330 2.262.090 Gross Profit 1.574.975 2.190.158 2.279.174 3.152.943 4.125.759 General Cost 1.058.480 1.058.480 1.058.480 1.058.480 1.058.480 Replacement Cost 0 0 0 0 0 Operating Profit (EBITDA) 516.495 1.131.678 1.220.694 2.094.463 3.067.279 Depreciation -45.000 -50.000 -55.000 -60.000 -65.000 Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) 471.495 1.081.678 1.165.694 2.034.463 3.002.279 Financial Income/Expense 0 -19.671 162.270 326.876 616.237 Profit Before Tax 471.495 1.062.008 1.327.965 2.361.339 3.618.516 Total Tax 94.299 212.402 265.593 472.268 723.703 Profit After Tax 377.196 849.606 1.062.372 1.889.072 2.894.813 Depreciation 44.000 48.000 52.000 56.000 60.000 (Gross Profit)/Net Sales 67% 70% 61% 64% 65% Profit Before Tax/Net Sales 20% 34% 36% 48% 57% (Profit Before Tax+Depr.)/Net Sales 22% 36% 37% 49% 58%
  • 26.
    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 EBITDA 516.495 1.131.678 1.220.694 2.094.463 3.067.279 Tax 94.299 212.402 265.593 472.268 723.703 Bank Loan 200.000 0 0 0 0 Fixed Investments 20.000 20.000 20.000 20.000 20.000 Free Cash Flow 202.196 879.606 1.097.372 1.929.072 2.939.813 18.373.82 Terminal Value 9 Discount Rate 1,25 1,25 1,25 1,25 1,25 Cumulated Discount Rate 1,12 1,40 1,75 2,18 2,73 Discounted Cash Flow 180.850 629.395 628.172 883.412 1.077.022 Discounted (NPV) Cumulated Cash Flow 180.850 810.245 1.438.417 2.321.829 3.398.851 NPV OF ACCUMULATED CASH (TL) 3.398.851 NPV OF TERMINAL VALUE (TL) 6.731.388 TOTAL NPV (TL) 10.130.239 DISCOUNT RATE (%) 25
  • 27.
     The investor is offered three options for exit. The first and preferable one is for the investor to buy Cheesecake Dream at the value calculated above. The second option is an IPO in İMKB, and the third one is to purchase the investor’s 20% shares by Cheesecake Dream at the book value of Cheesecake Dream.

Editor's Notes

  • #5 InTurkey, cafesector is highlycompetitive but CheesecakeDreamwilldifferentiatewithitsspecialportfolio of desserts.
  • #15 Innovative approaches can kalksın