This document provides an overview of personal finance basics for engineers. It discusses how behavioral finance concepts like anchoring, mental accounting, and loss aversion affect financial decision making. It emphasizes the importance of cash flow, emergency funds, spending less than you earn, and the power of compound returns over long periods. The document recommends keeping investing simple through low-cost index funds and rebalancing annually.
Personal Finance for Everyone (Stripe 2014)Adam Nash
This is the version of my talk, Personal Finance for Engineers, that I gave on February 20, 2014 at Stripe HQ in San Francisco. It has minor modifications to broaden the language for the whole company.
Personal Finance for Engineers (Github 2014)Adam Nash
This is the version of Personal Finance for Engineers given at the Github HQ in San Francisco on Feb 20, 2014. This version is made extra awesome by the appearance of octocat.
Personal Finance for Everyone (Stripe 2014)Adam Nash
This is the version of my talk, Personal Finance for Engineers, that I gave on February 20, 2014 at Stripe HQ in San Francisco. It has minor modifications to broaden the language for the whole company.
Personal Finance for Engineers (Github 2014)Adam Nash
This is the version of Personal Finance for Engineers given at the Github HQ in San Francisco on Feb 20, 2014. This version is made extra awesome by the appearance of octocat.
Personal Finance for Engineers (AirBnB 2013)Adam Nash
This is the version of Personal Finance for Engineers given on November 19 at AirBnB headquarters in San Francisco. It is largely the same content as the version for Twitter.
Personal Finance for Engineers (Stanford Computer Forum, Apr 2017)Adam Nash
This is the version of my talk, Personal Finance for Engineers, given at the Gates Computer Science Building at Stanford for the Stanford Computer Forum.
Personal Finance for Engineering (Pinterest, 2014)Adam Nash
This is the version of Personal Finance for Engineers, covering behavioral finance, liquidity, savings, compounding, and long term investing. It was given at Pinterest HQ in San Francisco on Jan 23, 2014.
Personal Finance for Engineers (Stanford CS 198, Nov 2015)Adam Nash
This is the version of my talk, Personal Finance for Engineers, that I gave at Stanford University on November 2, 2015 for the CS 198 Section Leader program.
Personal Finance for Engineers (Stanford CS Forum, 2018)Adam Nash
This is the version of my talk, Personal Finance for Engineers, that I gave at Stanford University in the Gates Computer Science building for the Stanford CS Forum on February 8, 2018.
Personal Finance for Engineers (Stanford Society of Women Engineers / SWE, 2016)Adam Nash
This is the version of my talk, Personal Finance for Engineers, given at Stanford on April 26, 2016. It was hosted by the Stanford Society of Women Engineers and the Stanford Society of Latino Engineers.
Personal Finance for Engineers (AirBnB 2013)Adam Nash
This is the version of Personal Finance for Engineers given on November 19 at AirBnB headquarters in San Francisco. It is largely the same content as the version for Twitter.
Personal Finance for Engineers (Stanford Computer Forum, Apr 2017)Adam Nash
This is the version of my talk, Personal Finance for Engineers, given at the Gates Computer Science Building at Stanford for the Stanford Computer Forum.
Personal Finance for Engineering (Pinterest, 2014)Adam Nash
This is the version of Personal Finance for Engineers, covering behavioral finance, liquidity, savings, compounding, and long term investing. It was given at Pinterest HQ in San Francisco on Jan 23, 2014.
Personal Finance for Engineers (Stanford CS 198, Nov 2015)Adam Nash
This is the version of my talk, Personal Finance for Engineers, that I gave at Stanford University on November 2, 2015 for the CS 198 Section Leader program.
Personal Finance for Engineers (Stanford CS Forum, 2018)Adam Nash
This is the version of my talk, Personal Finance for Engineers, that I gave at Stanford University in the Gates Computer Science building for the Stanford CS Forum on February 8, 2018.
Personal Finance for Engineers (Stanford Society of Women Engineers / SWE, 2016)Adam Nash
This is the version of my talk, Personal Finance for Engineers, given at Stanford on April 26, 2016. It was hosted by the Stanford Society of Women Engineers and the Stanford Society of Latino Engineers.
Mr. Dinesh Gautam, Nimbus, was one of the keynote speakers who shared insights on challenges and opportunities in agriculture during Ncell App Camp 2014's seminar's series.
This is a keynote given on Oct 21, 2011 to kick off the 2011 Trend Micro Engineering Summit at the Tech Museum in San Jose. The focus is on how to build a culture of innovation, inspiration, and distributed decision making at technology companies.
Unicorn Media Index: Who Ranks Where Across News, Social and SearchTim Marklein
This report by Big Valley Marketing analyzes 75 top unicorns to benchmark their visibility and momentum across news, social and search channels. This is relevant because many founders believe unicorn status provides advantages for recruiting top talent, and demonstrates a startup’s viability for customers and prospects.
The study also showcases a new Earned Media Index™ for benchmarking earned media performance – often the most impactful but least-invested, under-measured part of the marketing and communications mix.
We conclude that unicorn status and valuation alone do not dictate media performance. We also learn a lot about category performance, company success factors, IPO impact and channel dynamics. We look forward to your feedback as we continue to study this important class of startups…
This is the guest lecture I gave at Singularity University on June 28, 2012 on the topic "The Future of Social Networking". It covers a high level review of the history of social networking, what differentiates it as a disruptive platform, and ideas for how mobile will accelerate it as a disruptive platform in the future.
These are the slides from a talk given on March 4, 2012 at the Harvard Business School Entrepreneurship Conference. It summarizes ten key lessons in being a great product leader from over a decade of experience in consumer software.
It is based on a lecture given on the same topic on August 31, 2011 at LinkedIn.
Stanford CS 007-01 (2020): Personal Finance for Engineers / IntroductionAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 1st session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" given on September 15, 2020. This seminar covers a survey of the students enrolled in the course, with an overview of the topics to be covered over the course of the series.
Learning Objective: Examine the methods that minorities can use for achieving financial success
A growing minority population presents opportunities for financial success. Financial success is about changing your perspective on wealth, how you grow it, how you maintain it, and how you preserve it. It first starts with getting vested into helping change the trajectory of your future. Wealth transfer is happening. So what can be done to deliver financial education and financial planning to minorities? How do we position ourselves to be a part of it and benefit from it? This seminar will help you to understand the behavioral pitfalls we fall into as a community; the personal, social, and mental roadblocks to obtaining wealth; and how we are a part of that ride to investing.
At the end of this seminar, participants will be able to:
a. Recognize financial fundamentals to building wealth.
b. Identify the factors that lead to lower wealth accumulation among members of underrepresented groups.
c. Identify personal habits and values that can impact a strong financial future.
d. Create an action plan for achieving financial goals.
Stanford CS 007-01 (2019): Personal Finance for Engineers / IntroductionAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 1st session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" given on September 23, 2019. This seminar covers a survey of the students enrolled in the course, with an overview of the topics to be covered over the course of the series.
Dr. Barbara O'Neill will present this 90-minute webinar on behalf of the Military Families Learning Network. 1.5 CEUs will be available to AFC-credentialed participants. Americans have always been fascinated by millionaires and their ranks have actually been increasing in recent years despite the financial crisis. The “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire?” game show and “MegaMillions” lotteries draw big crowds. Most people become wealthy the “old fashioned way,” however, through hard work and regular saving/investing. This webinar will provide a solid path to wealth accumulation by presenting 20 research-based wealth accumulation factors and online financial planning resources. Webinar participants will learn about the following topics:
Twenty research-based factors that are associated with wealth accumulation
The awesome power of compound interest over time
The impact of lifestyle choices (e.g., health habits) upon personal finances
Research-based characteristics of millionaires
Resources for educators and consumers (e.g., online financial calculators)
Stanford CS 007-05 (2021): Personal Finance for Engineers / Assets & Net WorthAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 5th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" taught on October 19, 2021. This seminar focuses on liquidity, emergency funds, assets & liabilities, and net worth.
Similar to Personal Finance for Engineers (Stanford 2014) (14)
Stanford CS 007-03 (2022): Personal Finance for Engineers / CompensationAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 3rd session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" given on October 11, 2022. This seminar covers compensation, equity & comparing offers.
Stanford CS 007-02 (2022): Personal Finance for Engineers / Behavioral FinanceAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 2nd session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers," given on October 4, 2022. This seminar covers the topic of Behavioral Finance.
Stanford CS 007-01 (2022): Personal Finance for Engineers / IntroductionAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 1st session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" given on September 27, 2022. This seminar covers a survey of the students enrolled in the course, with an overview of the topics to be covered over the course of the series.
Stanford CS 007-10 (2021): Personal Finance for Engineers / Additional Topics...Adam Nash
These are the slides from the 10th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" offered on December 7, 2021. This seminar covers student requested additional topics for the course, including bitcoin / cryptocurrency, derivatives, futures, options, private equity & venture capital.
Stanford CS 007-09 (2021): Personal Finance for Engineers / Real EstateAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 9th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" offered on November 30, 2021. This seminar covers real estate and related financial decisions: buying, renting, rent vs. buy, real estate investment, rental properties & tax advantages.
Stanford CS 007-08 (2021): Personal Finance for Engineers / Financial Plannin...Adam Nash
These are the slides from the 8th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" offered on November 16, 2021. This seminar covers financial planning, financial goals, couples & life insurance.
Stanford CS 007-07 (2021): Personal Finance for Engineers / InvestingAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 7th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" given on November 9, 2021. This seminar covers compounding, types of investments, diversification, how to invest, and the four keys to good investing (all boring).
Stanford CS 007-06 (2021): Personal Finance for Engineers / DebtAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 6th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" on October 26, 2021. This seminar focuses on compounding, mortgages, auto loans, student loans, credit cards and credit scores.
Stanford CS 007-04 (2021): Personal Finance for Engineers / Savings & BudgetsAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 4th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" given on October 12, 2021. This seminar covers savings rates, income & expenses & budgeting.
Stanford CS 007-2 (2021): Personal Finance for Engineers / Behavioral FinanceAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 2nd session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers," given on September 28, 2021. This seminar covers the topic of Behavioral Finance.
Stanford CS 007-01 (2021): Personal Finance for Engineers / IntroductionAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 1st session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" given on September 21, 2021. This seminar covers a survey of the students enrolled in the course, with an overview of the topics to be covered over the course of the series.
Stanford CS 007-10 (2020): Personal Finance for Engineers / Additional Topics...Adam Nash
These are the slides from the 10th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" offered in November 2020. This seminar covers student requested additional topics for the course, including bitcoin / cryptocurrency, derivatives, futures, options, private equity & venture capital.
Stanford CS 007-09 (2020): Personal Finance for Engineers / Real EstateAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 9th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" offered in November 2020. This seminar covers real estate and related financial decisions: buying, renting, rent vs. buy, real estate investment, rental properties & tax advantages.
Stanford CS 007-08 (2020): Personal Finance for Engineers / Financial Plannin...Adam Nash
These are the slides from the 8th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" offered on November 3, 2020. This seminar covers financial planning, financial goals, couples & life insurance.
Stanford CS 007-07 (2020): Personal Finance for Engineers / InvestingAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 7th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" given on October 27, 2020. This seminar covers compounding, types of investments, diversification, how to invest, and the four keys to good investing (all boring).
Stanford CS 007-06 (2020): Personal Finance for Engineers / DebtAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 6th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" This seminar focuses on compounding, mortgages, auto loans, student loans, credit cards and credit scores.
Stanford CS 007-05 (2020): Personal Finance for Engineers / Assets & Net WorthAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 5th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" This seminar focuses on liquidity, emergency funds, assets & liabilities, and net worth.
Stanford CS 007-2 (2020): Personal Finance for Engineers / Behavioral FinanceAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 2nd session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers," given on September 22, 2020. This seminar covers the topic of Behavioral Finance.
Stanford CS 007-10 (2019): Personal Finance for Engineers / Additional TopicsAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 10th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" offered in December 2019. This seminar covers student requested additional topics for the course, including bitcoin / cryptocurrency, derivatives, futures, options, private equity & venture capital.
Stanford CS 007-09 (2019): Personal Finance for Engineers / Real EstateAdam Nash
These are the slides from the 9th session of the Stanford University class, CS 007 "Personal Finance for Engineers" offered in November 2019. This seminar covers real estate and related financial decisions: buying, renting, rent vs. buy, real estate investment, rental properties & tax advantages.
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingGRAPE
We study the link between the evolving age structure of the working population and unemployment. We build a large new Keynesian OLG model with a realistic age structure, labor market frictions, sticky prices, and aggregate shocks. Once calibrated to the European economy, we quantify the extent to which demographic changes over the last three decades have contributed to the decline of the unemployment rate. Our findings yield important implications for the future evolution of unemployment given the anticipated further aging of the working population in Europe. We also quantify the implications for optimal monetary policy: lowering inflation volatility becomes less costly in terms of GDP and unemployment volatility, which hints that optimal monetary policy may be more hawkish in an aging society. Finally, our results also propose a partial reversal of the European-US unemployment puzzle due to the fact that the share of young workers is expected to remain robust in the US.
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYCDOT TECH
Pi coins is not launched yet in any exchange 💱 this means it's not swappable, the current pi displaying on coin market cap is the iou version of pi. And you can learn all about that on my previous post.
RIGHT NOW THE ONLY WAY you can sell pi coins is through verified pi merchants. A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges and crypto whales. Looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale or ico offerings, the only way to get my coins is from buying from miners. So a merchant facilitates the transactions between the miners and these exchanges holding pi.
I and my friends has sold more than 6000 pi coins successfully with this method. I will be happy to share the contact of my personal pi merchant. The one i trade with, if you have your own merchant you can trade with them. For those who are new.
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram.
I wouldn't advise you selling all percentage of the pi coins. Leave at least a before so its a win win during open mainnet. Have a nice day pioneers ♥️
#kyc #mainnet #picoins #pi #sellpi #piwallet
#pinetwork
Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...Vighnesh Shashtri
In India, financial inclusion remains a critical challenge, with a significant portion of the population still unbanked. Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) have emerged as key players in bridging this gap by providing financial services to those often overlooked by traditional banking institutions. This article delves into how NBFCs are fostering financial inclusion and empowering the unbanked.
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...beulahfernandes8
The financial landscape in India has witnessed a significant development with the recent collaboration between Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank.
The launch of the co-branded credit card, the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card, marks a major milestone for both entities.
This strategic move aims to redefine and elevate the banking experience for customers.
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Quotidiano Piemontese
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024
Una ricerca de il Club degli Investitori, in collaborazione con ToTeM Torino Tech Map e con il supporto della ESCP Business School e di Growth Capital
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesDOT TECH
The rate at which pi will be listed is practically unknown. But due to speculations surrounding it the predicted rate is tends to be from 30$ — 50$.
So if you are interested in selling your pi network coins at a high rate tho. Or you can't wait till the mainnet launch in 2026. You can easily trade your pi coins with a merchant.
A merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive quantities till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptxmikemetalprod
Indepth analysis of the BYD 2024
BYD (Build Your Dreams) is a Chinese automaker and battery manufacturer that has snowballed over the past two decades to become a significant player in electric vehicles and global clean energy technology.
This SWOT analysis examines BYD's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats as it competes in the fast-changing automotive and energy storage industries.
Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Shenzhen, BYD started as a battery company before expanding into automobiles in the early 2000s.
Initially manufacturing gasoline-powered vehicles, BYD focused on plug-in hybrid and fully electric vehicles, leveraging its expertise in battery technology.
Today, BYD is the world’s largest electric vehicle manufacturer, delivering over 1.2 million electric cars globally. The company also produces electric buses, trucks, forklifts, and rail transit.
On the energy side, BYD is a major supplier of rechargeable batteries for cell phones, laptops, electric vehicles, and energy storage systems.
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Cardnickysharmasucks
The unveiling of the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card marks a notable milestone in the Indian financial landscape, showcasing a successful partnership between two leading institutions, Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank. This co-branded credit card not only offers users a plethora of benefits but also reflects a commitment to innovation and adaptation. With a focus on providing value-driven and customer-centric solutions, this launch represents more than just a new product—it signifies a step towards redefining the banking experience for millions. Promising convenience, rewards, and a touch of luxury in everyday financial transactions, this collaboration aims to cater to the evolving needs of customers and set new standards in the industry.
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024DOT TECH
The best way to sell your pi coins safely is trading with an exchange..but since pi is not launched in any exchange, and second option is through a VERIFIED pi merchant.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and pioneers and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive amounts before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade pi coins with.
@Pi_vendor_247
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxmarketing367770
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview
If you're dreaming of owning a home in California's rural or suburban areas, a USDA loan might be the perfect solution. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) offers these loans to help low-to-moderate-income individuals and families achieve homeownership.
Key Features of USDA Loans:
Zero Down Payment: USDA loans require no down payment, making homeownership more accessible.
Competitive Interest Rates: These loans often come with lower interest rates compared to conventional loans.
Flexible Credit Requirements: USDA loans have more lenient credit score requirements, helping those with less-than-perfect credit.
Guaranteed Loan Program: The USDA guarantees a portion of the loan, reducing risk for lenders and expanding borrowing options.
Eligibility Criteria:
Location: The property must be located in a USDA-designated rural or suburban area. Many areas in California qualify.
Income Limits: Applicants must meet income guidelines, which vary by region and household size.
Primary Residence: The home must be used as the borrower's primary residence.
Application Process:
Find a USDA-Approved Lender: Not all lenders offer USDA loans, so it's essential to choose one approved by the USDA.
Pre-Qualification: Determine your eligibility and the amount you can borrow.
Property Search: Look for properties in eligible rural or suburban areas.
Loan Application: Submit your application, including financial and personal information.
Processing and Approval: The lender and USDA will review your application. If approved, you can proceed to closing.
USDA loans are an excellent option for those looking to buy a home in California's rural and suburban areas. With no down payment and flexible requirements, these loans make homeownership more attainable for many families. Explore your eligibility today and take the first step toward owning your dream home.
If you are looking for a pi coin investor. Then look no further because I have the right one he is a pi vendor (he buy and resell to whales in China). I met him on a crypto conference and ever since I and my friends have sold more than 10k pi coins to him And he bought all and still want more. I will drop his telegram handle below just send him a message.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network for other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, usdt , Ethereum and other currencies And this is done easily with the help from a pi merchant.
What is a pi merchant ?
Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
where can I find a legit pi merchant onlineDOT TECH
Yes. This is very easy what you need is a recommendation from someone who has successfully traded pi coins before with a merchant.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold thousands of pi coins before the open mainnet.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with
@Pi_vendor_247
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
2. wealthfront.com |
Caveats & Preface
• I am not a financial planner
• This presentation is not financial advice
• You would be extremely foolish to make investment
decisions based solely on the content of this
presentation or discussion
• The opinions in this deck are intended purely to provoke
discussion & further education
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Why Personal Finance?
• Poorly covered in traditional education, even
top tier universities
• Not technically difficult, but signal:noise ratio
is terrible
• Massive impact on your life
- Money is one of the top 3 reasons
for marital problems
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Fast Five Finance Basics
1. Behavioral Finance Basics
2. Liquidity is Undervalued
3. Cash Flow Matters
4. The Magic of Compounding
5. Good Investing is Boring
4
5. How many of you think
you are rational with
your money?
(show of hands)
6. You are NOT rational
ANCHORING MENTAL ACCOUNTING CONFIRMATION &
HINDSIGHT BIAS
GAMBLER’S FALLACY
OVERCONFIDENCEHERD BEHAVIOR OVERREACTION &
AVAILABILITY BIAS
LOSS AVERSION
(PROSPECT THEORY)
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Anchoring
• People estimate answers to new /
novel problems with a bias towards
reference points
• Example: 1974 Study
• Most common examples:
• Price you bought a stock at
• High point for a stock
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Mental Accounting
• Money is fungible, but people put it
in separate “mental accounts”
• Lost movie tickets example
• “Found Money” problem
• Vacation fund & credit card debt
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Confirmation & Hindsight Bias
• We selectively seek information
that support pre-existing
theories, and ignore / dispute
information that disproves them.
• We overestimate our ability to
predict the future based on the
“obviousness” of the past.
(example: real estate)
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Gambler’s Fallacy
• We see patterns in independent,
random chains of events
• We believe that, based on series
of previous events, an outcome is
more likely than odds actually
suggest
• Coin flip example
• It’s because with human behavior,
there are no “independent” events
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Herd Behavior
• We have a tendency to mimic the
actions of the larger group
• Crowd psychology is a major
contributor to bubbles (believed)
• Easier to be “wrong with everyone”
than “right and alone”
• No one gets fired for buying IBM?
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Overconfidence
• In one study, 74% of investment
managers believe they deliver
above average returns.
• Positively correlated with High IQ...
• Learn humility early
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Overreaction & Availability Bias
• Overreact to recent events
• Overweight recent trends
• Studies demonstrate that checking
stock prices daily leads to more
trading and worse results on
average
• Worse in high tech, because we
are immersed in “game changers”
13
14. Choice B:
You have a 100% chance of gaining $500.
You have $1,000 and you must
pick one of the following choices:
Choice A:
You have a 50% chance of gaining $1,000,
and a 50% chance of gaining $0.
15. Choice B:
You have a 100% chance of losing $500.
Now, you have $2,000 and you must
pick one of the following choices:
Choice A:
You have a 50% chance of losing $1,000,
and a 50% chance of losing $0.
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Loss Aversion (aka Prospect Theory)
• We hate losses more than we love
winning
• Average loss aversion is 3:1 (!)
• Affects views on wide range of
situations, including taxes, holding
on to losing stocks, “sunk cost”
mistakes
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It’s OK to Not Be Rational
• The key is that humans are predictably irrational
• Know your own flaws, and you can set up systems to
account for them
• Self-awareness is key
(yes, my Mom is a psychologist...)
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Liquidity
• Almost universally undervalued
• Strictly defined - it’s the
quantification of how much money
you can get, and how fast.
• Liquidity is the power to take
advantage of great investment
opportunities
• Liquidity is also, in the end, the
only thing that matters when you
need to pay for something.
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Liquidity & Returns
• In almost all cases, liquidity is inversely
correlated with returns
• Examples:
- Cash = very liquid
- Private equity = very illiquid
• Common mistake: Safety != Liquidity
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Practical Outcome: Emergency Funds
• Standard recommendation is that you
have 3-6 months of living expenses in
cash / cash-equivalents.
• That number increases if you are in
highly volatile industry / career.
• Worth considering length of time for
potential job search.
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Cash Flow
• The ultimate secret to personal finance is
quite simple:
- Spend less than you make
(on an ongoing basis)
• Very easy to measure, but few people do.
Annual budget is a great idea.
• Don’t forget to model in annual expenses
& “personal spending”
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Savings Targets
• What’s the right number? 3%? 6%?10%? 20%?
- There is no question - the more you save, the more
secure you are. Income comes & goes, but expenses
/ lifestyle are sticky!
• A lot of models assume working 40 years, and
producing savings to generate 80% of working
income.
- These models don’t actually match anyone’s real
world experience.
- There are a lot of models out there, and rules of
thumb, but it’s important to run the numbers yourself.
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The Magic of Compounding
• Not convinced that Albert Einstein said it was the
greatest force in the universe.
• It’s the key to almost all long term financial planning.
• Exponentials are bad in algorithmic cost, good in
savings returns.
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Simple Model
• Rule of 72
• In Excel, for each year, just use
=POWER(1+rate, year)
• 4% over 20 years is 2.19x
• 8% over 20 years is 4.66x
• Careful: it works on debt just as well as savings...
in reverse!
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The Benefits of An Early Start
• Compounding really takes off over long time periods
Years Return at 8%
10 2.16x
20 4.66x
30 10.06x
40 21.72x
50 46.9x
In most retirement planning
models, money saved between
ages 25 - 35 produces more
money than all savings between
35 - 65!
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The Dangers of Debt
• Bankruptcy is literally when you can’t pay your debts.
You can’t go bankrupt if you don’t have debt.
• You will never find an investment that pays 8%
guaranteed, let alone 20%+
• You will find *tons* of credit offers out there that will
charge you that.
• “Bad” debt is toxic, your best return is to pay it off.
But emergency fund takes precedence.
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Good Investing is Boring
• No one wants to be average, but with investing,
average is actually well above average.
• You will beat most mutual funds, and a large majority of
your peers with simple, low-cost index funds.
• Asset allocation explains ~90% of the variance between
fund performance
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Basic Asset Allocation
• Different types of assets (stocks, bonds, etc) have
different volatility & return characteristics
• There is an efficient frontier of combinations that
can maximize return for a given volatility
• Complication: historical performance does not
predict future performance
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Simple Operating Model
• 2 hours of work per year.
• Pick an asset allocation that is appropriate for your
emotional character & time frame & goals.
• For each asset class, pick the cheapest index fund with
the lowest drift and best liquidity.
• Rebalance every year.
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Recommended Books
• WSJ Guide to Understanding Money & Investing
• The Millionaire Next Door
• A Random Walk Down Wall Street
• The Essays of Warren Buffett
• Common Stocks & Uncommon Profits
• The Intelligent Investor
• Devil Take the Hindmost
• When Genius Failed
• Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk
• http://blog.adamnash.com/2007/02/14/personal-finance-
education-series-2-recommended-books/
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Disclosure
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Text
Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a solicitation
or offer, or recommendation, to buy or sell any security. Financial
advisory services are only provided to investors who become
Wealthfront clients pursuant to a written agreement, which
investors are urged to read and carefully consider in determining
whether such agreement is suitable for their individual facts and
circumstances. Past performance is no guarantee of future
results, and any hypothetical returns, expected returns, or
probability projections may not reflect actual future
performance. Investors should review Wealthfront’s website for
additional information about advisory services.