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OC&C FMCG
INDIA INDEX FY 09




BIG PIE
BIGGER BITE         Seizing growth on the rebound
ABOUT OC&C
OC&C Strategy Consultants is a global
consulting firm with extensive expertise in
the FMCG business especially in the personal
care and foods and beverages sectors.
Clients include leading manufacturers,
primary producers, retailers and investment
institutions. The firm advises on group-level
and business unit strategy, profit
improvement and mergers and acquisitions

                                                How the OC&C FMCG Index is compiled

                                                OC&C India continuously tracks top FMCG
                                                companies in India using data compiled
                                                from the company annual reports and
                                                other paid databases. The FMCG Index is a
                                                reflection of the company’s performance,
                                                tracked through sales, profits and capital
                                                employed.

                                                The Index strictly corresponds to the
                                                FMCG operations of the company in
                                                personal care, home care, foods and
                                                beverages. The subsidiaries and export
                                                income from FMCG operations in these
                                                sectors have been included in the study.
                                                Adjustments have been made to the
                                                company financial data to reflect income
                                                and expenses from the FMCG business
                                                only. Therefore, there might be
                                                differences in the company reported
                                                financial data and the figures reported in
                                                the Index. As per the perimeter definition,
                                                the study excludes income from any other
                                                engagements in retail, pharmaceutical,
                                                tobacco etc. The data is compiled from
                                                published sources and OC&C does not
                                                certify the accuracy of information.
BIG PIE
BIGGER BITE
A bigger bite is what every FMCG                                      To decide the way ahead, it is
company should attempt to get of                                      necessary to learn from the last
the growing pie of demand this year.                                  year, examine strategies of the
But not all firms will achieve that.                                  winners, tactical responses to the
Only those which managed to ride                                      slowdown and enumerate steps
out the stormy FY09 met the slow                                      necessary to succeed. Lets start
down with the right responses, and                                    with a quick look in the rear view
have a consistent game plan going                                     mirror.
ahead will take advantage of the
expected surge in demand.


FY 09: A YEAR OF UPS AND DOWNS                                                         Performance of Index 40 Companies
FY09 saw a great start with the industry demonstrating dramatic growth in H1, only
for the charge to be halted by the forces of the slowdown towards the latter half of   FMCG Sales & EBIT (Rs. Crores)
the year.                                                                                                                                  Y-o-Y
                                                                                                                                          Growth
Premiumisation and Innovation initiatives which targeted niches created through
                                                                                                                               91,423
micro segmentation during H1 were replaced with judicious combination of pricing,              Sales                                        21%
cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures in H2.                                                                   75,428

Strategy themes for FY 09
                                                                                                          8,502                         2009
                                                                                                EBIT                  15%
The initiatives bear testimony to the high growth trajectory witnessed in the                             7,399                         2008
beginning of FY09.
Focus on Health and Naturals                Optimising the supply chain using IT
Companies latched on to the growing         Having identified supply chain             FMCG Sales Growth of Index 40 Companies:
                                                                                       FY09 vs FY08
popularity of the ‘Health and Naturals’     excellence as a key competitive
platform. The year witnessed a myriad       advantage, and having ramped up
of new launches such as Amul’s Slim &       technology in the inbound supply                  Giant                              22%
Trim milk & curd, and Nestle’s diet Kit-    chain, larger FMCG companies are
Kat Lite targeted at the weight             focusing on doing so in their outward
conscious, a protein health drink N’rich    supply chain. Mid sized and smaller               Large                              22%
by Ruchi Soya, Nesvita Pro Heart by         companies are presently focusing on
Nestle, Sundrop Zero-Cholesterol            Wave 1 – getting the inbound supply           Mid Sized                   12%
Peanut Butter by Agrotech Foods and         chain in order.
Dabur’s Natural Odomos with skin
friendly ingredients.

Mass Premiumisation                         Acquisitions                               FMCG EBIT Growth of Index 40 Companies:
                                                                                       FY09 vs FY08
To serve the discerning Indian              Armed with an acquisition war chest,
customer, a flurry of activity was seen     Indian FMCG companies went global,
in the premium segment across               scouting for value buys. M&A activities           Giant                   12%
product categories. Prominent new           were driven towards portfolio
launches included Pond’s Age Miracle        enhancement (Dabur – Fem), acquiring              Large                      15%
and Axe Special Edition in Personal         complementary brands (Emami –
Care, Wheel Gold in Fabric Care,            Zandu), accessing newer markets
Tropicana 100% by Pepsico, TiON and         (Marico acquiring brands in South            Mid Sized                                         32%
Qua by Tata Tea, Saint Juices by Parle      Africa and Egypt), backward (KS Oils
Agro in beverages, Kingfisher Blue by       acquired plantations in Malaysia) and
UB and Jura Island Single Malt in           forward integration (LT Foods acquired     Size clusters: Giants with FMCG sales > Rs. 3000 Cr., Large
alcohol and Gelato in ice creams .          a distribution company in USA).            between Rs. 1000-3000 Cr., Midsized between Rs. 250-1000 Cr.
LEADING FMCG COMPANIES
Companies have been ranked in order of a combined score on sales, EBIT and capital employed. All companies are independently
scored on their relative standing on the mentioned financial parameters. The scores, thus obtained, are multiplied to arrive at the
final Index.
                                                                                                                                                        (All figures in RS. Crores)
                                                                                      FY2009                                                         FY2008
 FY09                                                                                                        Capital                                                         Capital
 Rank Company                                                              Sales            EBIT           employed                       Sales            EBIT            employed
    1      Hindustan Unilever                                              16,191           1,576                 4,012                  13,675            1,163                 2,801
    2      Nestle India                                                   -4,324              774                  1,151                  3,504              629                    919
    3      Britannia                                                         3,112            269                    997                  2,584              234                   963
    4      Dabur                                                           2,396              432                  1,192                  2,083               371                   811
    5      Adani Wilmar                                                     5,756             186                    756                  3,378               152                   341
    6      Reckitt Benckiser                                                1,497             322                    183                   1,313             282                   483
    7      Marico                                                           1,760             243                   649                   1,565              186                   628
    8      Colgate Palmolive                                                1,695            309                     382                   1,473             293                   354
    9      Cadbury India                                                    1,589             207                    527                  1,293              145                   433
   10      GSK (Cons. Healthcare)                                           1,543             291                    823                   1,278             250                    677
   11      K S Oils                                                         3.127             261                  1,933                 2,044               220                 1,050
   12      Parle Biscuits                                                  2,093              143                   886                    1,532             194                    801
   13      Tata Tea                                                        4,848              552                 4,525                  4,309               617                 3,169
   14      Godrej Consumer Products                                        1,084              195                    633                     887             180                    316
   15      United Spirits                                                   3,748             655                 5,069                   2,844              614                 3,217
   16      Wipro (Consumer)                                                   659             220                     231                    533              176                    151
   17      Gokul Refoils                                                    2,726               79                  606                   2,052              124                   456
   18      REI Agro                                                        2,446             429                  3,617                    1,732             301                 2,892
   19      KRBL                                                            1,304              159                   984                   1,007              130                  1,141
   20      Temptation Foods                                                   867               72                   357                     327               28                   187
   21      Hatsun Agro Products                                            1,009                41                   290                    860                43                   188
   22      Agrotech Foods                                                     774               22                   135                  1,006                20                   124
   23      United Breweries                                                 1,594              191                 1,716                   1,282             136                  1,159
   24      Heritage Foods                                                     593              40                    195                     588               23                  270
   25      Nirma                                                            2,637             373                 3,905                   2,332              265                 4,110
   26      Tata Coffee                                                      1,079             138                 1,284                     888                44                1,226
   27      L T Foods                                                          694               95                   661                     576               64                   581
   28      Goodricke                                                          294               28                    116                    237               14                   107
   29      JayShree Tea                                                       354               42                   263                     296                5                  329
   30      Ruchi Soya                                                     12,463              205                 3,128                  11,535              364                 3,231
   31      Jyothy Laboraties                                                  469               68                   378                     375               63                   351
   32      Vimal Oil and Foods                                                618               12                    111                    634               16                    96
   33      ITC                                                             2,980            -483                  3,031                   2,510             -264                 2,695
   34      McLeod Russell                                                     828             181                 1,736                      655               89                1,705
   35      Anik                                                               276               36                   104                     242               53                   411
   36      Radico Khaitan                                                     696               57                  980                     809                73                  828
   37      Rasoya Proteins                                                    288               16                   150                     281               14                     91
   38      Henkel India                                                       466               36                  544                      392               35                   519
   39      Mohan Meakin                                                       283                9                    116                    270                8                   107
   40      CCL Products                                                       264               39                   376                     244               44                  364


Notes:
1. All financial figures viz .sales, EBIT, capital employed correspond to the FMCG operations as per the perimeter definition. Therefore, mentioned figures would not include operations of
   companies in sectors like tobacco, pharmaceuticals, retail etc. For example, tobacco sales are excluded for ITC Ltd.
2. The current list of 40 companies are estimated to contribute to 80% of personal care, home care, foods and beverages industry that is catered to by companies with FMCG sales over Rs.
   250Cr. The study has excluded companies whose financial data was not available in public domain or could not be sourced for analysis. The excluded companies are Procter & Gamble
   India, Coca-Cola India, PepsiCo India, Frito-Lay India, Kellogg’s India, Diageo India, Perfetti Van Melle India , Johnson & Johnson India, CavinKare, Amway India, Heinz India, Amul
   (GCMMF), Parle Agro etc.
3. The financial data has been sourced from published annual reports and paid databases and corresponds to FY 2009. Performance figures have been annualised for HUL and Jyothy
   Laboratories
RESPONSE TO THE
SLOWDOWN                                                                                     With falling demand & rising input prices in H2 of FY09,
                                                                                             companies organised their efforts towards sustenance of
                                                                                             demand and margins.

                                                                                             Driving Affordability: To prevent downtrading, companies
                                                                                             introduced lower price points, lower priced SKU’s and smaller packs
                                                                                             (P&G, Henkel, Amul).

                                                                                             The Importance of ‘Bharat’: Buoyed by four years of steady
                                                                                             rainfall, rural demand remained strong and outgrew growth in
                                                                                             urban demand. Rural focus manifested in the form of new product
                                                                                             launches (Raag by Adani Wilmar), beefing up rural distribution
                                                                                             through innovative methods (use of the postal dept. by Emami,
                                                                                             usage of super distributors by Marico), designing rural specific
                                                                                             promotional campaigns (Lifebuoy’s Swasthya Chetna) and media
                                                                                             mix (GCPL).
                                                                                             Trimming Operational Costs: Overheads built on assumptions of
                                                                                             high growth were the first to face the axe followed by
                                                                                             rationalisation of distribution channel, consolidation of sales force,
                                                                                             and outsourcing of non core activities, accompanied with
                                                                                             improvements in sourcing.




Efforts to Sustain Demand and Margins¹

                   Cash                                    Debtor Turnover                     Inventory Turnover                    Marketing Spend
                   % of Sales                              # of Days                           # of Days²                            % of Sales


                                  8.4%                                 26                                             48                           7.6%
        Overall
                             5.5%                                      25                                              52                        6.7%

                                6.6%                                20                                                49                         6.7%
           Giant
                          3.6%                                      20                                                     55                  5.8%                       2009
                                                                                                                                                                          2008
                                    9.4%                                27                                       39                                     10.5%
          Large
                                6.9%                                     29                                      40                                   9.5%

                                              15.3%                                  60                                     62               4.2%
      Mid Sized
                                    9.0%                                        47                                          60              3.8%


                   Cash is King - Companies                The Mid-sized companies             Tightening of the belt                Rise in marketing spend
                   followed a cautious                     felt the heat, having to            through better inventory              across categories
                   approach holding on                     offer additional credit to          management                            indicative of the thrust on
                   to cash                                 push sales                                                                demand generation




1. The above analysis is for 37 companies
2. REI Agro and KRBL Limited, both large rice trading companies have been excluded from the Inventory Turnover Analysis on account of the high inventory held by them. Including these
   two companies skews the average Inventory Days of ‘Large’ to 87 and 86 days and ‘Overall’ to 61 and 64 days respectively in 2009 and 2008 respectively
WHAT NEXT?
The economy has responded very well to the stimulus package and
restored consumer confidence. In the first two quarters of FY10,
the Indian FMCG industry has grown by c.15% . This growth has
been largely volume led, with lower price points being exploited
heavily. Rural demand continued to be strong, with volume growth
of c.20% compared to a 6-7% growth in the Metros. The impact of
poor monsoons on rural consumption will be muted primarily on
account of friendly government policies

Most companies have managed healthy margins with the ‘Large’
faring better than the ‘Giants’. However rise in prices of key inputs
such as sugar, milk etc. and raised ad spends are likely to result in
margin pressures. Crude prices are back to $ 80+ per barrel
leading to inflationary pressures as well.

The slowdown last year forced companies to trim excess flab and
get into the best shape possible. Being at their fittest, now is the
perfect time for companies to step on the gas and zoom ahead.
Companies should now set ambitious and long term goals, setting
the stage for an endgame play!




Prepare to Win, Think Endgame!
 Companies need to think Endgame and not incremental planning… a giant leap versus
 baby steps!

 HOW?              :       Imagine the future and work back from there!
 WHY?              :       Endgame delivers superior financial results as well as coveted goals
 WHAT?             :       Endgame ‘is NOT’: 10 to 15% Better
                           Endgame ‘IS’: Typical endgame goals -
                             Increase your market share at least 10 percentage points
                             Achieve a Relative Market Share - RMS¹ of 2
                             Grow at twice the rate of the competitors
                             Recover all share loss of the last 4 years




1. Your size relative to the market leader or, if you are the leader, the next largest company
TAKE THE FIRST STEP
TOWARDS YOUR
ENDGAME...

   Widen Reach           Grab Market Share
   Strengthen            Seize the opportunity to take market
   traditional trade     share (specifically Relative Market Share)
   to offer a better     through innovative offerings backed by a
   consumer              solid marketing budget
   experience – enjoy                                            1
   increased reach,
   bargaining power                              Outsource
   and stability
                                                 De-resource the
                                                 business –
                                                 evaluate
                                                 outsourcing
                  4                              non-core
                                                 functions to
   Improve Realisation                           reduce
                                                 overheads and
   Decommoditise!!
                                                 improve
   Move from volume-led to value-led             efficiency
   growth
                                         3                       2
Offices                                                        www.occstrategy.com
Abu Dhabi                                Mumbai
T +971 2631 6111                         T +91 22 6619 1166
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T +1 617 896 9900                        T +91 11 4051 6666
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T +971 4368 1725                         T +1 212 803 7280
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T +49 211 86 07 0                        T +33 1 58 56 18 00
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Hong Kong                                Shanghai
T +853 2201 170                          T +86 21 6115 0310
London
T +44 20 7010 8000




For further information please contact
naimish.dave@occstrategy.in




                                                               © OC&C Strategy Consultants 2010.
                                                               Trademarks and logos are registered trademarks
                                                               of OC&C Strategy Consultants and its licensors.

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OC&C India FMCG Index 09

  • 1. OC&C FMCG INDIA INDEX FY 09 BIG PIE BIGGER BITE Seizing growth on the rebound
  • 2. ABOUT OC&C OC&C Strategy Consultants is a global consulting firm with extensive expertise in the FMCG business especially in the personal care and foods and beverages sectors. Clients include leading manufacturers, primary producers, retailers and investment institutions. The firm advises on group-level and business unit strategy, profit improvement and mergers and acquisitions How the OC&C FMCG Index is compiled OC&C India continuously tracks top FMCG companies in India using data compiled from the company annual reports and other paid databases. The FMCG Index is a reflection of the company’s performance, tracked through sales, profits and capital employed. The Index strictly corresponds to the FMCG operations of the company in personal care, home care, foods and beverages. The subsidiaries and export income from FMCG operations in these sectors have been included in the study. Adjustments have been made to the company financial data to reflect income and expenses from the FMCG business only. Therefore, there might be differences in the company reported financial data and the figures reported in the Index. As per the perimeter definition, the study excludes income from any other engagements in retail, pharmaceutical, tobacco etc. The data is compiled from published sources and OC&C does not certify the accuracy of information.
  • 3. BIG PIE BIGGER BITE A bigger bite is what every FMCG To decide the way ahead, it is company should attempt to get of necessary to learn from the last the growing pie of demand this year. year, examine strategies of the But not all firms will achieve that. winners, tactical responses to the Only those which managed to ride slowdown and enumerate steps out the stormy FY09 met the slow necessary to succeed. Lets start down with the right responses, and with a quick look in the rear view have a consistent game plan going mirror. ahead will take advantage of the expected surge in demand. FY 09: A YEAR OF UPS AND DOWNS Performance of Index 40 Companies FY09 saw a great start with the industry demonstrating dramatic growth in H1, only for the charge to be halted by the forces of the slowdown towards the latter half of FMCG Sales & EBIT (Rs. Crores) the year. Y-o-Y Growth Premiumisation and Innovation initiatives which targeted niches created through 91,423 micro segmentation during H1 were replaced with judicious combination of pricing, Sales 21% cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures in H2. 75,428 Strategy themes for FY 09 8,502 2009 EBIT 15% The initiatives bear testimony to the high growth trajectory witnessed in the 7,399 2008 beginning of FY09. Focus on Health and Naturals Optimising the supply chain using IT Companies latched on to the growing Having identified supply chain FMCG Sales Growth of Index 40 Companies: FY09 vs FY08 popularity of the ‘Health and Naturals’ excellence as a key competitive platform. The year witnessed a myriad advantage, and having ramped up of new launches such as Amul’s Slim & technology in the inbound supply Giant 22% Trim milk & curd, and Nestle’s diet Kit- chain, larger FMCG companies are Kat Lite targeted at the weight focusing on doing so in their outward conscious, a protein health drink N’rich supply chain. Mid sized and smaller Large 22% by Ruchi Soya, Nesvita Pro Heart by companies are presently focusing on Nestle, Sundrop Zero-Cholesterol Wave 1 – getting the inbound supply Mid Sized 12% Peanut Butter by Agrotech Foods and chain in order. Dabur’s Natural Odomos with skin friendly ingredients. Mass Premiumisation Acquisitions FMCG EBIT Growth of Index 40 Companies: FY09 vs FY08 To serve the discerning Indian Armed with an acquisition war chest, customer, a flurry of activity was seen Indian FMCG companies went global, in the premium segment across scouting for value buys. M&A activities Giant 12% product categories. Prominent new were driven towards portfolio launches included Pond’s Age Miracle enhancement (Dabur – Fem), acquiring Large 15% and Axe Special Edition in Personal complementary brands (Emami – Care, Wheel Gold in Fabric Care, Zandu), accessing newer markets Tropicana 100% by Pepsico, TiON and (Marico acquiring brands in South Mid Sized 32% Qua by Tata Tea, Saint Juices by Parle Africa and Egypt), backward (KS Oils Agro in beverages, Kingfisher Blue by acquired plantations in Malaysia) and UB and Jura Island Single Malt in forward integration (LT Foods acquired Size clusters: Giants with FMCG sales > Rs. 3000 Cr., Large alcohol and Gelato in ice creams . a distribution company in USA). between Rs. 1000-3000 Cr., Midsized between Rs. 250-1000 Cr.
  • 4. LEADING FMCG COMPANIES Companies have been ranked in order of a combined score on sales, EBIT and capital employed. All companies are independently scored on their relative standing on the mentioned financial parameters. The scores, thus obtained, are multiplied to arrive at the final Index. (All figures in RS. Crores) FY2009 FY2008 FY09 Capital Capital Rank Company Sales EBIT employed Sales EBIT employed 1 Hindustan Unilever 16,191 1,576 4,012 13,675 1,163 2,801 2 Nestle India -4,324 774 1,151 3,504 629 919 3 Britannia 3,112 269 997 2,584 234 963 4 Dabur 2,396 432 1,192 2,083 371 811 5 Adani Wilmar 5,756 186 756 3,378 152 341 6 Reckitt Benckiser 1,497 322 183 1,313 282 483 7 Marico 1,760 243 649 1,565 186 628 8 Colgate Palmolive 1,695 309 382 1,473 293 354 9 Cadbury India 1,589 207 527 1,293 145 433 10 GSK (Cons. Healthcare) 1,543 291 823 1,278 250 677 11 K S Oils 3.127 261 1,933 2,044 220 1,050 12 Parle Biscuits 2,093 143 886 1,532 194 801 13 Tata Tea 4,848 552 4,525 4,309 617 3,169 14 Godrej Consumer Products 1,084 195 633 887 180 316 15 United Spirits 3,748 655 5,069 2,844 614 3,217 16 Wipro (Consumer) 659 220 231 533 176 151 17 Gokul Refoils 2,726 79 606 2,052 124 456 18 REI Agro 2,446 429 3,617 1,732 301 2,892 19 KRBL 1,304 159 984 1,007 130 1,141 20 Temptation Foods 867 72 357 327 28 187 21 Hatsun Agro Products 1,009 41 290 860 43 188 22 Agrotech Foods 774 22 135 1,006 20 124 23 United Breweries 1,594 191 1,716 1,282 136 1,159 24 Heritage Foods 593 40 195 588 23 270 25 Nirma 2,637 373 3,905 2,332 265 4,110 26 Tata Coffee 1,079 138 1,284 888 44 1,226 27 L T Foods 694 95 661 576 64 581 28 Goodricke 294 28 116 237 14 107 29 JayShree Tea 354 42 263 296 5 329 30 Ruchi Soya 12,463 205 3,128 11,535 364 3,231 31 Jyothy Laboraties 469 68 378 375 63 351 32 Vimal Oil and Foods 618 12 111 634 16 96 33 ITC 2,980 -483 3,031 2,510 -264 2,695 34 McLeod Russell 828 181 1,736 655 89 1,705 35 Anik 276 36 104 242 53 411 36 Radico Khaitan 696 57 980 809 73 828 37 Rasoya Proteins 288 16 150 281 14 91 38 Henkel India 466 36 544 392 35 519 39 Mohan Meakin 283 9 116 270 8 107 40 CCL Products 264 39 376 244 44 364 Notes: 1. All financial figures viz .sales, EBIT, capital employed correspond to the FMCG operations as per the perimeter definition. Therefore, mentioned figures would not include operations of companies in sectors like tobacco, pharmaceuticals, retail etc. For example, tobacco sales are excluded for ITC Ltd. 2. The current list of 40 companies are estimated to contribute to 80% of personal care, home care, foods and beverages industry that is catered to by companies with FMCG sales over Rs. 250Cr. The study has excluded companies whose financial data was not available in public domain or could not be sourced for analysis. The excluded companies are Procter & Gamble India, Coca-Cola India, PepsiCo India, Frito-Lay India, Kellogg’s India, Diageo India, Perfetti Van Melle India , Johnson & Johnson India, CavinKare, Amway India, Heinz India, Amul (GCMMF), Parle Agro etc. 3. The financial data has been sourced from published annual reports and paid databases and corresponds to FY 2009. Performance figures have been annualised for HUL and Jyothy Laboratories
  • 5. RESPONSE TO THE SLOWDOWN With falling demand & rising input prices in H2 of FY09, companies organised their efforts towards sustenance of demand and margins. Driving Affordability: To prevent downtrading, companies introduced lower price points, lower priced SKU’s and smaller packs (P&G, Henkel, Amul). The Importance of ‘Bharat’: Buoyed by four years of steady rainfall, rural demand remained strong and outgrew growth in urban demand. Rural focus manifested in the form of new product launches (Raag by Adani Wilmar), beefing up rural distribution through innovative methods (use of the postal dept. by Emami, usage of super distributors by Marico), designing rural specific promotional campaigns (Lifebuoy’s Swasthya Chetna) and media mix (GCPL). Trimming Operational Costs: Overheads built on assumptions of high growth were the first to face the axe followed by rationalisation of distribution channel, consolidation of sales force, and outsourcing of non core activities, accompanied with improvements in sourcing. Efforts to Sustain Demand and Margins¹ Cash Debtor Turnover Inventory Turnover Marketing Spend % of Sales # of Days # of Days² % of Sales 8.4% 26 48 7.6% Overall 5.5% 25 52 6.7% 6.6% 20 49 6.7% Giant 3.6% 20 55 5.8% 2009 2008 9.4% 27 39 10.5% Large 6.9% 29 40 9.5% 15.3% 60 62 4.2% Mid Sized 9.0% 47 60 3.8% Cash is King - Companies The Mid-sized companies Tightening of the belt Rise in marketing spend followed a cautious felt the heat, having to through better inventory across categories approach holding on offer additional credit to management indicative of the thrust on to cash push sales demand generation 1. The above analysis is for 37 companies 2. REI Agro and KRBL Limited, both large rice trading companies have been excluded from the Inventory Turnover Analysis on account of the high inventory held by them. Including these two companies skews the average Inventory Days of ‘Large’ to 87 and 86 days and ‘Overall’ to 61 and 64 days respectively in 2009 and 2008 respectively
  • 6. WHAT NEXT? The economy has responded very well to the stimulus package and restored consumer confidence. In the first two quarters of FY10, the Indian FMCG industry has grown by c.15% . This growth has been largely volume led, with lower price points being exploited heavily. Rural demand continued to be strong, with volume growth of c.20% compared to a 6-7% growth in the Metros. The impact of poor monsoons on rural consumption will be muted primarily on account of friendly government policies Most companies have managed healthy margins with the ‘Large’ faring better than the ‘Giants’. However rise in prices of key inputs such as sugar, milk etc. and raised ad spends are likely to result in margin pressures. Crude prices are back to $ 80+ per barrel leading to inflationary pressures as well. The slowdown last year forced companies to trim excess flab and get into the best shape possible. Being at their fittest, now is the perfect time for companies to step on the gas and zoom ahead. Companies should now set ambitious and long term goals, setting the stage for an endgame play! Prepare to Win, Think Endgame! Companies need to think Endgame and not incremental planning… a giant leap versus baby steps! HOW? : Imagine the future and work back from there! WHY? : Endgame delivers superior financial results as well as coveted goals WHAT? : Endgame ‘is NOT’: 10 to 15% Better Endgame ‘IS’: Typical endgame goals - Increase your market share at least 10 percentage points Achieve a Relative Market Share - RMS¹ of 2 Grow at twice the rate of the competitors Recover all share loss of the last 4 years 1. Your size relative to the market leader or, if you are the leader, the next largest company
  • 7. TAKE THE FIRST STEP TOWARDS YOUR ENDGAME... Widen Reach Grab Market Share Strengthen Seize the opportunity to take market traditional trade share (specifically Relative Market Share) to offer a better through innovative offerings backed by a consumer solid marketing budget experience – enjoy 1 increased reach, bargaining power Outsource and stability De-resource the business – evaluate outsourcing 4 non-core functions to Improve Realisation reduce overheads and Decommoditise!! improve Move from volume-led to value-led efficiency growth 3 2
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