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NumXL 1.55 LYNX
    What’s New?
NumXL 1.55 LYNX
            New Functions


Trend Analysis – Linear, Polynomial, Power,
Exponential and Logarithm
Spectral Analysis – Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT)
Histogram, Empirical Distribution function (EDF)
Descriptive Statistics – IQR
Spearman, Kendall & Pearson Correlation (XCF)
Stationarity Test – Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF)
Triple exponential (Winter’s) smoothing
Trend Analysis


New function – NxTrend
Support for 5 trend curve functions: Linear,
Polynomial, exponential, logarithm and Power
Support for fixed intercept (constant) and float, i.e.
computed by algorithm
Support for 4 output types: forecast, upper limit,
lower limit and Adjusted R-Squared.
Trend Analysis – Cont’d
Histogram


Calculate number of bins using Sturges’s rule, square-
root, Scott’s choice or Freedman-Diaconis choice.
Calculate the center, upper and lower limit of any
given histogram bin
Calculate the density and cumulative probability using
sample empirical distribution
Histogram – Cont’d
 0.2
0.18
0.16
0.14                                                                                                                 0.2
                                                                                            EDF - PDF
0.12
 0.1                                                                                                                0.15

0.08
                                                                                                                     0.1
0.06
0.04                                                                                                                0.05
0.02
                                                                                                                      0
  0
                                                                                           -3.0     -2.0     -1.0          0.0   1.0   2.0   3.0
                            0.3




                                        1.7

                                              2.4
       -1.9

              -1.1

                     -0.4




                                  1.0




                                                                           1
                                                    EDF - CDF
                                                                         0.8

                                                                         0.6

                                                                         0.4

                                                                         0.2

                                                                          0
                                                    -3.0   -2.0   -1.0         0.0   1.0      2.0      3.0
Correlation


Compute the correlation (XCF) between two series
using 3 methods: Pearson (default), Kendall and
Spearman

Statistical test (XCFTest) for correlation significance
using the 3 methods above
The XCFTest function returns 3 types of output:
     P-Value, Test stat and Critical value.
Smoothing


Triple exponential smoothing function (TESMTH)
using Winters’s method.
TESMTH compliments the existing smoothing
functions introduced in 1.54:
  Brown’s simple exponential (SESMTH)
  Holt-Winter’s double exponential (DESMTH)
  Brown’s linear exponential smoothing (LESMTH)
1200000
                                                                                                                  1400000




                                                 1000000




             200000


         0
                      400000
                               600000
                                        800000
Jan-74

Apr-74

Jul-74

Oct-74

Jan-75

Apr-75

Jul-75

Oct-75

Jan-76

Apr-76

Jul-76

Oct-76

Jan-77

Apr-77

Jul-77

Oct-77
                                                            Triple exponential smoothing (L=12)
                                                                                                  NG Demand - Residential




Jan-78

Apr-78

Jul-78

Oct-78

Jan-79

Apr-79
                                                                                                                            Smoothing – Cont’d




Jul-79

Oct-79

Jan-80
Spectral Analysis


Calculate discrete Fourier transform (DFT), and its
inverse.
DFT function returns amplitude and phase
DFT uses Cooley-Tukey radix-2 decimation-in-time fast
Fourier transform (FFT).
Stationarity Test


ADFTest – The augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF)
test for unit-root in the presence of:
  No intercept (or constant)
  Intercept
  Intercept and trend
  Intercept, trend and squared trend
Support for explicit Lag length, optimal
selection and testing-down option.

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NumXL 1.55 LYNX release notes

  • 1. NumXL 1.55 LYNX What’s New?
  • 2. NumXL 1.55 LYNX New Functions Trend Analysis – Linear, Polynomial, Power, Exponential and Logarithm Spectral Analysis – Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT) Histogram, Empirical Distribution function (EDF) Descriptive Statistics – IQR Spearman, Kendall & Pearson Correlation (XCF) Stationarity Test – Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) Triple exponential (Winter’s) smoothing
  • 3. Trend Analysis New function – NxTrend Support for 5 trend curve functions: Linear, Polynomial, exponential, logarithm and Power Support for fixed intercept (constant) and float, i.e. computed by algorithm Support for 4 output types: forecast, upper limit, lower limit and Adjusted R-Squared.
  • 5. Histogram Calculate number of bins using Sturges’s rule, square- root, Scott’s choice or Freedman-Diaconis choice. Calculate the center, upper and lower limit of any given histogram bin Calculate the density and cumulative probability using sample empirical distribution
  • 6. Histogram – Cont’d 0.2 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.2 EDF - PDF 0.12 0.1 0.15 0.08 0.1 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.02 0 0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 0.3 1.7 2.4 -1.9 -1.1 -0.4 1.0 1 EDF - CDF 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0
  • 7. Correlation Compute the correlation (XCF) between two series using 3 methods: Pearson (default), Kendall and Spearman Statistical test (XCFTest) for correlation significance using the 3 methods above The XCFTest function returns 3 types of output: P-Value, Test stat and Critical value.
  • 8. Smoothing Triple exponential smoothing function (TESMTH) using Winters’s method. TESMTH compliments the existing smoothing functions introduced in 1.54: Brown’s simple exponential (SESMTH) Holt-Winter’s double exponential (DESMTH) Brown’s linear exponential smoothing (LESMTH)
  • 9. 1200000 1400000 1000000 200000 0 400000 600000 800000 Jan-74 Apr-74 Jul-74 Oct-74 Jan-75 Apr-75 Jul-75 Oct-75 Jan-76 Apr-76 Jul-76 Oct-76 Jan-77 Apr-77 Jul-77 Oct-77 Triple exponential smoothing (L=12) NG Demand - Residential Jan-78 Apr-78 Jul-78 Oct-78 Jan-79 Apr-79 Smoothing – Cont’d Jul-79 Oct-79 Jan-80
  • 10. Spectral Analysis Calculate discrete Fourier transform (DFT), and its inverse. DFT function returns amplitude and phase DFT uses Cooley-Tukey radix-2 decimation-in-time fast Fourier transform (FFT).
  • 11. Stationarity Test ADFTest – The augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test for unit-root in the presence of: No intercept (or constant) Intercept Intercept and trend Intercept, trend and squared trend Support for explicit Lag length, optimal selection and testing-down option.