www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE MARKET REPORT
Q2 2013
NATIONAL ASKING CAP RATES
	
Sector Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Basis Point
(Previous) (Current) Change
Retail 7.25% 7.00% -25
Office 7.70% 7.54% -16
Industrial 8.02% 8.00% -2
NUMBER OF PROPERTIES ADDED TO
MARKET IN Q2
	
Sector Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Percent
(Previous) (Current) Change
Retail 2,392 2,760 15.4%
Office 213 258 21.1%
Industrial 216 204 -5.6%
MEDIAN NATIONAL ASKING VS.
CLOSED CAP RATE SPREAD
MARKET OVERVIEW
Cap rates for single tenant properties remained near historic lows for
retail, office and industrial sectors in the second quarter of 2013 due
to the continued high demand for this asset class. Net lease retail and
office cap rates compressed to their lowest levels since 2006 while
industrial cap rates remained at levels similar to the previous quarter.
The compression for retail and office properties is primarily derived
from the low interest rate environment that existed in the first half of
the second quarter. Retail properties remain at the forefront of investor
demand as evidenced by the premium cap rates compared to office and
industrial properties (54 and 100 basis points respectively).
Although cap rates continued to compress in the second quarter, the
overall supply increased 14% across all three sectors for the first time
in the previous five quarters. However, the majority of properties added
to the market are vintage buildings or properties with lease terms
below ten years as owners attempt to take advantage of the low cap
rate environment. Additionally, shopping center owners added supply to
the market by bifurcating single tenant parcels as a significant arbitrage
opportunity exists due to the cap rate differential between single tenant
properties and retail centers.
Transaction volume in the net lease market remains high as equity
fundraising continues at a strong pace. With substantial capital available
and limited opportunities, institutional funds are exploring different
avenues of capital deployment to reach acquisition goals. Different
strategies include acquiring properties with shorter term leases,
properties tenanted by small or non-investment grade companies with
solid financials or bundling large portfolios of properties priced below
$2 million to take advantage of economies of scale. In addition, the
excess capital raised has caused some significant mergers, acquisitions
and large portfolio purchases recently in the net lease market such as
American Realty Capital Trust IV & American Realty Capital Properties’
$4.5 billion buying spree since May or the merger between Cole Credit
Property Trust II and Spirit Realty Capital.
Throughout the second quarter of 2013 the 10 Year Treasury yield
increased by 32%, creating uncertainty in the net lease market.
Increasing rates will cause investor returns to decrease if cap rates
remain unchanged and will create a more challenging fundraising
environment. Cap rates for properties with rental escalations in the
primary lease term will be in the highest demand as a hedge against
inflation will be provided. Rate volatility will sideline many investors in the
near term as price discovery occurs and the impact that future interest
rates will have on the values of net lease properties remains the central
focus for investors.
	
Sector Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Basis Point
(Previous) (Current) Change
Retail 31 25 -6
Office 81 66 -15
Industrial 46 53 +7
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE MARKET REPORT
Q2 2013
SELECTED SINGLE TENANT SALES COMPARABLES
Sale
Date Sector Tenant City State Price
Price
Per SF
Cap
Rate
Lease Term
Remaining
Jun-13 Medical Harvard Vanguard Concord MA $24,365,523 $495 6.55% 17
May-13 Retail Home Depot (GL) Plainwell MI $13,389,430 $138 6.15% 13
May-13 Industrial GSA - IRS Ogden UT $12,625,000 $126 8.61% 6
May-13 Retail Walgreens Mounds MN $11,283,333 $779 6.00% 25
Apr-13 Retail Walgreens St. Paul MN $11,205,585 $756 5.77% 25
May-13 Retail LA Fitness Mesa AZ $11,100,000 $193 7.77% 13
May-13 Retail Academy Sports Valdosta GA $9,790,000 $137 7.51% 15
Jun-13 Retail Shopko Sussex WI $9,225,000 $115 8.75% 16
Apr-13 Retail Best Buy Littleton CO $7,300,000 $158 9.70% 9
May-13 Retail Walgreens Indio CA $5,640,000 $389 6.26% 18
May-13 Retail Regions Bank (GL) Coconut Creek FL $5,100,000 -- 5.07% 15
May-13 Industrial FedEx Chilllicothe OH $5,061,862 $116 7.15% 10
NET LEASED CAP RATE TRENDS
8.75%
7.75%
6.75%
7.25%
8.25%
Q4
2005
Q1
2006
Q2
2006
Q3
2006
Q4
2006
Q1
2007
Q2
2007
Q3
2007
Q4
2007
Q1
2008
Q2
2008
Q3
2008
Q4
2008
Q1
2009
Q2
2009
Q3
2009
Q4
2009
Q1
2010
Q2
2010
Q3
2010
Q4
2010
Retail Office Industrial
Q1
2011
Q2
2011
Q3
2011
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE MARKET REPORT
Q2 2013
Tenant 2010-2013 2005-2009 2000-2004 Pre 2000
Walgreens 5.53% 5.96% 6.75% 7.40%
CVS 5.78% 5.88% 7.00% 7.75%
Rite Aid N/A 8.10% 9.00% 9.15%
Advance Auto Parts 6.64% 7.06% 8.50% 8.37%
AutoZone 5.25% 5.83% 6.26% 8.50%
O’Reilly Auto Parts 6.00% 6.50% 7.10% 8.50%
Dollar General 6.85% 8.00% 8.68% 9.25%
Family Dollar 8.00% 8.50% 8.70% 9.00%
McDonald’s 4.00% 4.13% 4.55% 4.75%
FedEx 6.58% 7.25% 7.63% 8.32%
GSA 6.75% 7.50% 7.75% 9.90%
Chase 4.85% 5.17% 5.50% 5.70%
PNC Bank 4.90% 5.25% 5.50% 5.75%
Bank of America 5.10% 5.38% 5.60% 5.75%
Wells Fargo 4.90% 4.98% 5.10% 5.41%
7-Eleven 5.50% 5.85% 6.26% 6.58%
DaVita 6.00% 7.32% 7.95% 9.23%
Fresenius 6.00% 7.65% 8.00% 9.50%
MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES BY YEAR BUILT
FOR MORE INFORMATION
AUTHOR
John Feeney | Research Director
john@bouldergroup.com
CONTRIBUTORS
Randy Blankstein | President
rblank@bouldergroup.com
Jimmy Goodman | Partner
jimmy@bouldergroup.com
Chad Gans | Research Analyst
chad@bouldergroup.com
© 2013. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the information and we
make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose nor under any circumstances shall
any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly disclaims any liability arising from the use of such
information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed without the express written consent of The Boulder Group.

Net Lease Marker Report Q2 2013

  • 1.
    www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASEMARKET REPORT Q2 2013 NATIONAL ASKING CAP RATES Sector Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Basis Point (Previous) (Current) Change Retail 7.25% 7.00% -25 Office 7.70% 7.54% -16 Industrial 8.02% 8.00% -2 NUMBER OF PROPERTIES ADDED TO MARKET IN Q2 Sector Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Percent (Previous) (Current) Change Retail 2,392 2,760 15.4% Office 213 258 21.1% Industrial 216 204 -5.6% MEDIAN NATIONAL ASKING VS. CLOSED CAP RATE SPREAD MARKET OVERVIEW Cap rates for single tenant properties remained near historic lows for retail, office and industrial sectors in the second quarter of 2013 due to the continued high demand for this asset class. Net lease retail and office cap rates compressed to their lowest levels since 2006 while industrial cap rates remained at levels similar to the previous quarter. The compression for retail and office properties is primarily derived from the low interest rate environment that existed in the first half of the second quarter. Retail properties remain at the forefront of investor demand as evidenced by the premium cap rates compared to office and industrial properties (54 and 100 basis points respectively). Although cap rates continued to compress in the second quarter, the overall supply increased 14% across all three sectors for the first time in the previous five quarters. However, the majority of properties added to the market are vintage buildings or properties with lease terms below ten years as owners attempt to take advantage of the low cap rate environment. Additionally, shopping center owners added supply to the market by bifurcating single tenant parcels as a significant arbitrage opportunity exists due to the cap rate differential between single tenant properties and retail centers. Transaction volume in the net lease market remains high as equity fundraising continues at a strong pace. With substantial capital available and limited opportunities, institutional funds are exploring different avenues of capital deployment to reach acquisition goals. Different strategies include acquiring properties with shorter term leases, properties tenanted by small or non-investment grade companies with solid financials or bundling large portfolios of properties priced below $2 million to take advantage of economies of scale. In addition, the excess capital raised has caused some significant mergers, acquisitions and large portfolio purchases recently in the net lease market such as American Realty Capital Trust IV & American Realty Capital Properties’ $4.5 billion buying spree since May or the merger between Cole Credit Property Trust II and Spirit Realty Capital. Throughout the second quarter of 2013 the 10 Year Treasury yield increased by 32%, creating uncertainty in the net lease market. Increasing rates will cause investor returns to decrease if cap rates remain unchanged and will create a more challenging fundraising environment. Cap rates for properties with rental escalations in the primary lease term will be in the highest demand as a hedge against inflation will be provided. Rate volatility will sideline many investors in the near term as price discovery occurs and the impact that future interest rates will have on the values of net lease properties remains the central focus for investors. Sector Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Basis Point (Previous) (Current) Change Retail 31 25 -6 Office 81 66 -15 Industrial 46 53 +7
  • 2.
    www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASEMARKET REPORT Q2 2013 SELECTED SINGLE TENANT SALES COMPARABLES Sale Date Sector Tenant City State Price Price Per SF Cap Rate Lease Term Remaining Jun-13 Medical Harvard Vanguard Concord MA $24,365,523 $495 6.55% 17 May-13 Retail Home Depot (GL) Plainwell MI $13,389,430 $138 6.15% 13 May-13 Industrial GSA - IRS Ogden UT $12,625,000 $126 8.61% 6 May-13 Retail Walgreens Mounds MN $11,283,333 $779 6.00% 25 Apr-13 Retail Walgreens St. Paul MN $11,205,585 $756 5.77% 25 May-13 Retail LA Fitness Mesa AZ $11,100,000 $193 7.77% 13 May-13 Retail Academy Sports Valdosta GA $9,790,000 $137 7.51% 15 Jun-13 Retail Shopko Sussex WI $9,225,000 $115 8.75% 16 Apr-13 Retail Best Buy Littleton CO $7,300,000 $158 9.70% 9 May-13 Retail Walgreens Indio CA $5,640,000 $389 6.26% 18 May-13 Retail Regions Bank (GL) Coconut Creek FL $5,100,000 -- 5.07% 15 May-13 Industrial FedEx Chilllicothe OH $5,061,862 $116 7.15% 10 NET LEASED CAP RATE TRENDS 8.75% 7.75% 6.75% 7.25% 8.25% Q4 2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Retail Office Industrial Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013
  • 3.
    www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASEMARKET REPORT Q2 2013 Tenant 2010-2013 2005-2009 2000-2004 Pre 2000 Walgreens 5.53% 5.96% 6.75% 7.40% CVS 5.78% 5.88% 7.00% 7.75% Rite Aid N/A 8.10% 9.00% 9.15% Advance Auto Parts 6.64% 7.06% 8.50% 8.37% AutoZone 5.25% 5.83% 6.26% 8.50% O’Reilly Auto Parts 6.00% 6.50% 7.10% 8.50% Dollar General 6.85% 8.00% 8.68% 9.25% Family Dollar 8.00% 8.50% 8.70% 9.00% McDonald’s 4.00% 4.13% 4.55% 4.75% FedEx 6.58% 7.25% 7.63% 8.32% GSA 6.75% 7.50% 7.75% 9.90% Chase 4.85% 5.17% 5.50% 5.70% PNC Bank 4.90% 5.25% 5.50% 5.75% Bank of America 5.10% 5.38% 5.60% 5.75% Wells Fargo 4.90% 4.98% 5.10% 5.41% 7-Eleven 5.50% 5.85% 6.26% 6.58% DaVita 6.00% 7.32% 7.95% 9.23% Fresenius 6.00% 7.65% 8.00% 9.50% MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES BY YEAR BUILT FOR MORE INFORMATION AUTHOR John Feeney | Research Director john@bouldergroup.com CONTRIBUTORS Randy Blankstein | President rblank@bouldergroup.com Jimmy Goodman | Partner jimmy@bouldergroup.com Chad Gans | Research Analyst chad@bouldergroup.com © 2013. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the information and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose nor under any circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly disclaims any liability arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed without the express written consent of The Boulder Group.