2013 Next Big Thing
How we think.
How we act.
DESIGNIT
thing(s).thenextbig
2013 Act as one
2010 2020
2013 Act as one
Context
2013 Act as one
San Francisco / Silicon Valley / Bay Area
2013 Act as one
“A perfect storm for innovation”
2013 Act as one
Academia
Venture
Capital
Incubators
Big firms
Start-ups
Cross-
fertilization
2013 Act as one
2013 Act as one
At a glance:
$11.2 B
2012 VC Investment in
Silicon Valley
64 %Foreign workers
17IPO’s in 2012
2013 Act as one
Circle of (entrepreneurs) life:
2013 Act as one
01
Idea
02
Funding
03
Success
failure
04
Invest in new
company
05
Rinse and
repeat
06
Become a
partner at a
VC firm
00 yrs 10 yrs 20 yrs
2013 Act as one
1995
Netscape
IPO
2001
Loudcloud /
Opsware IPO
2005-09
SuperAngels
2009
Andreesen
Horowitz
launched
2013
Andreesen
Horowitz has
$2.7B under
management
1994
Netscape
founded
2013 Open Day
5 key trends.
2013 Act as one
5 key trends
Internet of things
3D printing
Crowdsourcing
Wearables
Robotics
2013 Act as one
Internet of things
Key players
Cisco, GE, IBM, Siemens
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
2013 Act as one
At a glance:
75 b
Connected devices by 2020
9 x
The number of currently
connected devices
$14 t
Cisco’s analysis of potential
value creation from IOT
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
What it means for us:
Smart about sensors
Data science / automation
Data analytics & visualization
Data alchemy
Connected experiences / mobile
Software
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
Connecting the dots:
Phase 1 will connect the dots at an
infrastructure and technology level.
We need to make sense of the data,
creating focused, meaningful products,
experiences & services for companies
and consumers.
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
3D printing
5 key trends
Key players
Autodesk, Stratasys, Fuel 3D
2013 Act as one
2013 Act as one
At a glance:
20 %
3D printer output as
final product today
50 %
Estimated final product
by 2020
x 3
Market size will
triple by 2018
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
Prototyping
Customized prosthetics
Art / jewelery
Dental and skeletal implants
Architectural scale models
Battery technology
Currently used for:
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
Focus on high-value areas of ID
Experiment with 3D for clients
Create joint cases with key players
Reassess our assets - leverage them
Redefine our client facing value-add
4D self-assembling objects
What it means for us:
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
Crowdsourcing
5 key trends
Key players
Kaggle, OpenIDEO, Fiverr, xPrize, P&G
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
2013 Act as one
5 key trends
Quote
“No matter who you are, most of the smart
people work for someone else”
Bill Joy - Cofounder, Sun Microsystems
2013 Act as one
At a glance:
6.3 m
No. of people involved in
crowdsourcing in the US
Increase in revenues
from 2011
75 %$376 m
Revenue generated
by crowdsourcing in 2012
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
Micro tasks
Ideation / creative work
Expertise based tasks
Freelance work
High-value competitions
Currently used for:
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
GoldCorp
125 teams
400 mb of data
$500k invested
IRR = x 50-75
2 Stories.
Linux
1.0 in 3 yrs
2.6.8 valued at 1.14B
Total 2008 revenues
estimated at $35.7B
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
Local motors. RallyFighter.
2013 Act as one
Think outside the organization
Tap into trends and support with data
The bestAI engine on the planet
Allows us to move up the value chain
Always-on human networks. 24/7/365
What it means for us:
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
Wearables
5 key trends
Key players
Nike, Google, Intel, Jawbone.
2013 Act as one
2013 Act as one
2013 Act as one
At a glance:
$750 m $5.8 b
Estimated market size
by 2018
171 m
Estimated number of units
shipping in 2016
5 key trends
Value of the wearable
computing market in 2012
2013 Act as one
Healthcare
Sports / fitness
Military / industrial
Smart clothing
Automotive
Currently used for:
2013 Act as one
2013 Act as one
Growth in quantified-self movement
Part of a larger ecosystem
Mobile partner apps
Abig data opportunity
Interdisciplinary design challenge
What it means for us:
2013 Act as one
Robotics
5 key trends
Key players
Rethink Robotics, Ekso Bionics, iRobot,
Intuitive Surgical, Romotive, 3D Robotics
2013 Act as one
Morgan Quigley - Founder ROS.
2013 Act as one
At a glance:
159,000
Number of industrial robots
sold in 2012
10.5 %
Annual growth rate
through 2016 (est.)
70 %
Of robots sold toJapan,
China, the United States,
Korea and Germany.
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
2013 Act as one
In the news:
Leading roboticists talked about
recent projects...at a White House
hosted Google+ Hangout Friday”
Source: The robotreport.com
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
Healthcare
Industrial automation
Military
Consumer telepresence
Home service automation
Currently used for:
5 key trends
2013 Act as one
5 key trends
< In summary >
2013 Act as one
Everything’s connected.
5 key trends
Scalability
Linear vs. exponential
Physical + digital
Network effects
Thinking + doing
Transparency / accessibility

nextbigthing2014

  • 1.
    2013 Next BigThing How we think. How we act. DESIGNIT thing(s).thenextbig
  • 2.
    2013 Act asone 2010 2020
  • 3.
    2013 Act asone Context
  • 4.
    2013 Act asone San Francisco / Silicon Valley / Bay Area
  • 5.
    2013 Act asone “A perfect storm for innovation”
  • 6.
    2013 Act asone Academia Venture Capital Incubators Big firms Start-ups Cross- fertilization
  • 7.
  • 8.
    2013 Act asone At a glance: $11.2 B 2012 VC Investment in Silicon Valley 64 %Foreign workers 17IPO’s in 2012
  • 9.
    2013 Act asone Circle of (entrepreneurs) life:
  • 10.
    2013 Act asone 01 Idea 02 Funding 03 Success failure 04 Invest in new company 05 Rinse and repeat 06 Become a partner at a VC firm 00 yrs 10 yrs 20 yrs
  • 11.
    2013 Act asone 1995 Netscape IPO 2001 Loudcloud / Opsware IPO 2005-09 SuperAngels 2009 Andreesen Horowitz launched 2013 Andreesen Horowitz has $2.7B under management 1994 Netscape founded
  • 12.
    2013 Open Day 5key trends.
  • 13.
    2013 Act asone 5 key trends Internet of things 3D printing Crowdsourcing Wearables Robotics
  • 14.
    2013 Act asone Internet of things Key players Cisco, GE, IBM, Siemens 5 key trends
  • 15.
  • 16.
    2013 Act asone At a glance: 75 b Connected devices by 2020 9 x The number of currently connected devices $14 t Cisco’s analysis of potential value creation from IOT 5 key trends
  • 17.
    2013 Act asone 5 key trends
  • 18.
    2013 Act asone What it means for us: Smart about sensors Data science / automation Data analytics & visualization Data alchemy Connected experiences / mobile Software 5 key trends
  • 19.
    2013 Act asone Connecting the dots: Phase 1 will connect the dots at an infrastructure and technology level. We need to make sense of the data, creating focused, meaningful products, experiences & services for companies and consumers. 5 key trends
  • 20.
    2013 Act asone 3D printing 5 key trends Key players Autodesk, Stratasys, Fuel 3D
  • 21.
  • 22.
    2013 Act asone At a glance: 20 % 3D printer output as final product today 50 % Estimated final product by 2020 x 3 Market size will triple by 2018 5 key trends
  • 23.
    2013 Act asone Prototyping Customized prosthetics Art / jewelery Dental and skeletal implants Architectural scale models Battery technology Currently used for: 5 key trends
  • 24.
    2013 Act asone Focus on high-value areas of ID Experiment with 3D for clients Create joint cases with key players Reassess our assets - leverage them Redefine our client facing value-add 4D self-assembling objects What it means for us: 5 key trends
  • 25.
    2013 Act asone Crowdsourcing 5 key trends Key players Kaggle, OpenIDEO, Fiverr, xPrize, P&G 5 key trends
  • 26.
  • 27.
    2013 Act asone 5 key trends Quote “No matter who you are, most of the smart people work for someone else” Bill Joy - Cofounder, Sun Microsystems
  • 28.
    2013 Act asone At a glance: 6.3 m No. of people involved in crowdsourcing in the US Increase in revenues from 2011 75 %$376 m Revenue generated by crowdsourcing in 2012 5 key trends
  • 29.
    2013 Act asone Micro tasks Ideation / creative work Expertise based tasks Freelance work High-value competitions Currently used for: 5 key trends
  • 30.
    2013 Act asone GoldCorp 125 teams 400 mb of data $500k invested IRR = x 50-75 2 Stories. Linux 1.0 in 3 yrs 2.6.8 valued at 1.14B Total 2008 revenues estimated at $35.7B 5 key trends
  • 31.
    2013 Act asone Local motors. RallyFighter.
  • 32.
    2013 Act asone Think outside the organization Tap into trends and support with data The bestAI engine on the planet Allows us to move up the value chain Always-on human networks. 24/7/365 What it means for us: 5 key trends
  • 33.
    2013 Act asone Wearables 5 key trends Key players Nike, Google, Intel, Jawbone.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
    2013 Act asone At a glance: $750 m $5.8 b Estimated market size by 2018 171 m Estimated number of units shipping in 2016 5 key trends Value of the wearable computing market in 2012
  • 37.
    2013 Act asone Healthcare Sports / fitness Military / industrial Smart clothing Automotive Currently used for:
  • 38.
  • 39.
    2013 Act asone Growth in quantified-self movement Part of a larger ecosystem Mobile partner apps Abig data opportunity Interdisciplinary design challenge What it means for us:
  • 40.
    2013 Act asone Robotics 5 key trends Key players Rethink Robotics, Ekso Bionics, iRobot, Intuitive Surgical, Romotive, 3D Robotics
  • 41.
    2013 Act asone Morgan Quigley - Founder ROS.
  • 42.
    2013 Act asone At a glance: 159,000 Number of industrial robots sold in 2012 10.5 % Annual growth rate through 2016 (est.) 70 % Of robots sold toJapan, China, the United States, Korea and Germany. 5 key trends
  • 43.
  • 44.
    2013 Act asone In the news: Leading roboticists talked about recent projects...at a White House hosted Google+ Hangout Friday” Source: The robotreport.com 5 key trends
  • 45.
    2013 Act asone Healthcare Industrial automation Military Consumer telepresence Home service automation Currently used for: 5 key trends
  • 46.
    2013 Act asone 5 key trends < In summary >
  • 47.
    2013 Act asone Everything’s connected. 5 key trends Scalability Linear vs. exponential Physical + digital Network effects Thinking + doing Transparency / accessibility