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Financial Modeling:
Network Operator
Business Case


                                             Telesystem Innovations




     Making Broadband Wireless Reality
            TSI Proprietary & Confidential                 1
Overview of Financial Modeling




                                 2
The Process for Financial Modeling – Step 1

    > Network Architecture
      – Number of Sites/Cells
          > Coverage constraints (link budget, propagation model)
          > Capacity constraints (subscriber profile and distribution, traffic
            model)
      – Site configuration
          > Omni, sectored
          > Frequency plan
      – Backhaul and Backbone Connection
          > Backhaul from sites to central office
          > Connection to communication backbones




      Result: Determine main components of capital expenses incurred by an
      operator – i.e. Capex Model
                                                                     3
3
The Process for Financial Modeling – Step 2

    > Operational Assumptions
       –   Staffing Requirements
       –   Peering bandwidth, backhaul expenses
       –   Site leasing expenses (antenna & leasehold space)
       –   Equipment maintenance costs
       –   Spectrum license expenses
       –   Billing expenses
       –   Marketing expenses
       –   Other expenses


      Result: Determine main components of operational expenses – i.e.
      Opex Model




                                                                 4
4
The Process for Financial Modeling – Step 3

    > Market Assumptions
       – Total Addressable Market (TAM)
           > Adoption rate of new technology
           > Ability of operator to sign-up new clients
       – Subscriber Profile
           > Business vs. residential
           > Voice vs. data
           > Usage rates
       – Pricing



      Result: Determine main revenue drivers – i.e. Revenue Model




                                                                    5
5
The Process for Financial Modeling – Step 4

    > Output
       –   Annual revenue (revenue model)
       –   Annual cash flows (revenue, opex and capex models)
       –   Net present value
       –   Breakeven period
       –   Ratio analysis – key metrics of profitability


    > Scenario Analysis
       – What-if…?


    > Sensitivity Analysis
       – Stress-test key assumptions
       – Monte-Carlo simulation for statistical analysis of output

                                                               6
6
TSI Advantage

> Experience                                        Equipment Description            Cost        Comment
                                                    Backhaul Equipment             $ 10,500      Data Backhaul from POP to Super POP
    – Years of Service Provider                     802.16 Cell Site               $ 64,500      6-Sector cell at $10,000/sector + $4500 Aggregation switch
      experience in international                   Equipment Installation
                                                    Peering Point Routers
                                                                                   $ 5,000
                                                                                   $ 19,500
                                                                                                 Installation cost per POP and Super POP
                                                                                                 1 PPR required at Super POP
      markets - familiarity with actual             Aggregation Switch             $ 4,500       1 Aggregation switch required at super POP

      operational challenges and cost               Backbone Switch
                                          Capital Expenditure
                                                    Network Mgt. System
                                                                                   $ 10,000
                                                                                   $250,000
                                                                                   Year 1
                                                                                                 1 Backbone switch required at super POP
                                                                                                 1 NMS required for network Year 4
                                                                                                     Year 2         Year 3                     Year 5
      models                                       Total Annual CPE Cost $
                                             Total Annual POP/Super POP $
                                                                                3,920,000 $
                                                                                1,098,500 $
                                                                                                 3,528,000 $
                                                                                                       -   $
                                                                                                               3,616,200 $
                                                                                                                 483,500 $
                                                                                                                                 1,926,846 $
                                                                                                                                   127,500 $
                                                                                                                                                1,051,584
                                                                                                                                                  120,000

    – Vendor experience – developed                       Equipment Cost
                                                            Total CAPEX $       5,018,500 $      3,528,000 $   4,099,700 $       2,054,346 $    1,171,584

      4G base stations, UEs/CPEs,         Operational Costs
                                                               NOC Costs
                                                                                    Year 1
                                                                                  200,740
                                                                                                     Year 2
                                                                                                   205,759
                                                                                                                   Year 3
                                                                                                                 210,902
                                                                                                                                     Year 4
                                                                                                                                   216,175
                                                                                                                                                    Year 5
                                                                                                                                                  221,579
      ASN/Gateways and designed                               Roof Rights          72,000           72,000        86,400           100,800        115,200

      complete end-to-end networks                     Peering bandwidth
                                                      Backhaul bandwidth
                                                                                  505,774
                                                                                  611,520
                                                                                                 1,036,837
                                                                                                   705,600
                                                                                                               2,125,516
                                                                                                               1,128,960
                                                                                                                                 2,995,649
                                                                                                                                 2,069,760
                                                                                                                                                3,628,820
                                                                                                                                                2,352,000
                                                        Operating Budget        3,294,840        3,385,172     4,352,042         4,768,722      5,128,323
> Accuracy                                                    Total OPEX
                                          Total OPEX as % of Net Revenue
                                                                                4,684,874
                                                                                      62%
                                                                                                 5,405,367
                                                                                                       30%
                                                                                                               7,903,820
                                                                                                                     21%
                                                                                                                                10,151,106
                                                                                                                                       20%
                                                                                                                                               11,445,922
                                                                                                                                                      19%

    – Integration of advanced
      technical (link budgets, capacity
      plans) and financial models to
      generate accurate business                            $70,000,000


      cases                                                 $60,000,000

                                                            $50,000,000

> Reliability
                                              Dollars ($)
                                                            $40,000,000

    – Experience and accuracy allows                        $30,000,000

      TSI to provide reliable solutions                     $20,000,000


      which enables our customers to                        $10,000,000


      make the right decisions                                      $-

                                                            $(10,000,000)
                                                                            1                2                 3                   4                 5

                                                                                                     Year of Operation

                                                                                       Revenue         Operating Profit      Cash Flow




                                                                                                                            7
Telesystem Innovations
       the leading
            Broadband
               Wireless
                                          solution experts

        Contact Us:
        Sales@tsiwireless.com
        www.tsiwireless.com
        +1 613.600.4400

                  TSI Proprietary & Confidential      8

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Network operator financial model

  • 1. Financial Modeling: Network Operator Business Case Telesystem Innovations Making Broadband Wireless Reality TSI Proprietary & Confidential 1
  • 3. The Process for Financial Modeling – Step 1 > Network Architecture – Number of Sites/Cells > Coverage constraints (link budget, propagation model) > Capacity constraints (subscriber profile and distribution, traffic model) – Site configuration > Omni, sectored > Frequency plan – Backhaul and Backbone Connection > Backhaul from sites to central office > Connection to communication backbones Result: Determine main components of capital expenses incurred by an operator – i.e. Capex Model 3 3
  • 4. The Process for Financial Modeling – Step 2 > Operational Assumptions – Staffing Requirements – Peering bandwidth, backhaul expenses – Site leasing expenses (antenna & leasehold space) – Equipment maintenance costs – Spectrum license expenses – Billing expenses – Marketing expenses – Other expenses Result: Determine main components of operational expenses – i.e. Opex Model 4 4
  • 5. The Process for Financial Modeling – Step 3 > Market Assumptions – Total Addressable Market (TAM) > Adoption rate of new technology > Ability of operator to sign-up new clients – Subscriber Profile > Business vs. residential > Voice vs. data > Usage rates – Pricing Result: Determine main revenue drivers – i.e. Revenue Model 5 5
  • 6. The Process for Financial Modeling – Step 4 > Output – Annual revenue (revenue model) – Annual cash flows (revenue, opex and capex models) – Net present value – Breakeven period – Ratio analysis – key metrics of profitability > Scenario Analysis – What-if…? > Sensitivity Analysis – Stress-test key assumptions – Monte-Carlo simulation for statistical analysis of output 6 6
  • 7. TSI Advantage > Experience Equipment Description Cost Comment Backhaul Equipment $ 10,500 Data Backhaul from POP to Super POP – Years of Service Provider 802.16 Cell Site $ 64,500 6-Sector cell at $10,000/sector + $4500 Aggregation switch experience in international Equipment Installation Peering Point Routers $ 5,000 $ 19,500 Installation cost per POP and Super POP 1 PPR required at Super POP markets - familiarity with actual Aggregation Switch $ 4,500 1 Aggregation switch required at super POP operational challenges and cost Backbone Switch Capital Expenditure Network Mgt. System $ 10,000 $250,000 Year 1 1 Backbone switch required at super POP 1 NMS required for network Year 4 Year 2 Year 3 Year 5 models Total Annual CPE Cost $ Total Annual POP/Super POP $ 3,920,000 $ 1,098,500 $ 3,528,000 $ - $ 3,616,200 $ 483,500 $ 1,926,846 $ 127,500 $ 1,051,584 120,000 – Vendor experience – developed Equipment Cost Total CAPEX $ 5,018,500 $ 3,528,000 $ 4,099,700 $ 2,054,346 $ 1,171,584 4G base stations, UEs/CPEs, Operational Costs NOC Costs Year 1 200,740 Year 2 205,759 Year 3 210,902 Year 4 216,175 Year 5 221,579 ASN/Gateways and designed Roof Rights 72,000 72,000 86,400 100,800 115,200 complete end-to-end networks Peering bandwidth Backhaul bandwidth 505,774 611,520 1,036,837 705,600 2,125,516 1,128,960 2,995,649 2,069,760 3,628,820 2,352,000 Operating Budget 3,294,840 3,385,172 4,352,042 4,768,722 5,128,323 > Accuracy Total OPEX Total OPEX as % of Net Revenue 4,684,874 62% 5,405,367 30% 7,903,820 21% 10,151,106 20% 11,445,922 19% – Integration of advanced technical (link budgets, capacity plans) and financial models to generate accurate business $70,000,000 cases $60,000,000 $50,000,000 > Reliability Dollars ($) $40,000,000 – Experience and accuracy allows $30,000,000 TSI to provide reliable solutions $20,000,000 which enables our customers to $10,000,000 make the right decisions $- $(10,000,000) 1 2 3 4 5 Year of Operation Revenue Operating Profit Cash Flow 7
  • 8. Telesystem Innovations the leading Broadband Wireless solution experts Contact Us: Sales@tsiwireless.com www.tsiwireless.com +1 613.600.4400 TSI Proprietary & Confidential 8