Network effect, open access,
and standards strategy
Toshiya Jitsuzumi, Dr.
Kyushu University
Fruits of the Market


     Maximizing             Maximizing
     corporate              consumers’
       profits                welfare




    Without governmental intervention
Conditions for market dynamism

• Perfect/Sufficient Information

• Inclusiveness

   • No externality

   • No public goods

• Perfect Competition

                       http://www.dot-
                       communications.co.uk/assets/images/HeadersLogos
                       /terms_and_conditions.jpg
Features of the telecom industry




                                                        Network Effect

 http://www.bourncreative.com/wp-
 content/uploads/2012/09/capitalize-on-uniqueness.jpg   Natural Monopoly
Network Services
     Quality of experience (QoE) depends on the variety
     of services: The more the variety is, the better the
     QoE becomes.




http://www.imagine-net-tech.com/images/network.jpg
Network effect (network externality)

                            Indirect effect




Direct effect
Impact on consumers’ demand
Price                     The more the variety is, the
                           better the QoE becomes.

                                          Assume that
                                           the price is
                                            constant




                 Demand
        Demand



                                             Quantity
Impacts of network effect 1
 There is a tipping point in the start-up market.

                                                             Critical Mass




             http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-v1wfeRJ8JD4/UIrYhkWesdI/AAAAAAAABTY/LfO0mTDSaxs/s640/the+tipping+point.jpg
Teledencity
    100
                      USA
                     アメ カ
                        リ
     90               Sweden
                     スウェ   ーデン Early adopters
                     スイス
                      Switzerland
     80
人                    フランス
                      France
口                    ドイツ
                      Germany
     70                           Late adopters
1                    日本
0                     Japan
0    60
人
当    50
た
り    40
電
話    30
機
数
     20

     10

      0
     11
           14
                17
                     20
                          23
                               26
                                    29
                                         32
                                              35
                                                   38
                                                        41
                                                             44
                                                                  47
                                                                       50
                                                                            53
                                                                                 56
                                                                                      59
                                                                                           62
                                                                                                65
                                                                                                      68
                                                                                                           71
                                                                                                                74
                                                                                                                     77
                                                                                                                          80
                                                                                                                               83
                                                                                                                                    86
    19
          19
               19
                    19
                         19
                              19
                                   19
                                        19
                                             19
                                                  19
                                                       19
                                                            19
                                                                 19
                                                                      19
                                                                           19
                                                                                19
                                                                                     19
                                                                                          19
                                                                                               19
                                                                                                    19
                                                                                                         19
                                                                                                              19
                                                                                                                   19
                                                                                                                        19
                                                                                                                             19
                                                                                                                                  19
                                                                                                    Source: Miyajima(1993, pp.151-
                                                                                                    153)
Impacts of network effect 2
   The winner takes all                             Wider
   in a matured market.                            service
                                                   variety


             More                  Potential                    More
            friends                for better                 attractive
                                  profitability                network
 Larger                Larger
installed             installed
  base                  base                        More
                                                  customers

             More
            friends
WTA in the SNS market
100%
                                                                                                                                                                Facebook

                                                                                                                                                                StumbleUpon
 80%                                                                                                                                                            YouTube

                                                                                                                                                                Twitter
 60%                                                                                                                                                            Pinterest

                                                                                                                                                                reddit

 40%                                                                                                                                                            Digg

                                                                                                                                                                MySpace

                                                                                                                                                                LinkedIn
 20%
                                                                                                                                                                NowPublic

                                                                                                                                                                VKontakte
 0%                                                                                                                                                             iWiW
                                                                               Mar-11



                                                                                                          Dec-11
                Jun-09




                                                    Jun-10




                                                                                                 Sep-11



                                                                                                                            Jun-12



                                                                                                                                                       Mar-13
       Mar-09




                                           Mar-10




                                                                                                                   Mar-12
                                  Dec-09




                                                                      Dec-10


                                                                                        Jun-11




                                                                                                                                              Dec-12
                         Sep-09




                                                             Sep-10




                                                                                                                                     Sep-12
                                                                                                                                                                Fark

                                                                                                                                                                orkut
100%




         0%
              20%
                      40%
                             60%
                                   80%
Mar-09
Jun-09
Sep-09
Dec-09
Mar-10
Jun-10
Sep-10
Dec-10
Mar-11
Jun-11
Sep-11
Dec-11
Mar-12
Jun-12
Sep-12
Dec-12
                                                WTA in the social news market




Mar-13
                    Digg
                    reddit
If we want …..

     Faster                     More
   penetration                competition



                Open access
                  and/or
             Standards strategy
Open access and interconnection




http://www.tutorialspoint.com/images/interconnect.jpg




                                                        http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Internet_map_1024.jpg
Standards strategy




http://www.adaptelec.com/index.php?main_page=document_general_info&products_id=154
TBL in Japan: Duty to interconnect
 Article 32
 (Interconnection with Telecommunications Circuit Facilities)

 Any telecommunications carrier shall agree to the
 request for interconnection of its telecommunications circuit
 facilities being installed by said telecommunications carrier from other
 telecommunications carriers with telecommunications facilities of said
 other telecommunications carriers, except the cases listed in the following
 items:

 i.   Where there is a risk of hindering the smooth provision of
      telecommunications services
 ii. Where there is a risk that said interconnection may unfairly impair the
      interest of said telecommunications carrier
 iii. Where there are due reasons specified in the applicable ministerial
      ordinance of the MIC in addition to the cases listed in the preceding
      two items
TBL in Japan: Designated Telecom Facilities
Article 33
  • Interconnection with Category I Designated Telecommunications
   Facilities




Article 34
  • Interconnection with Category II Designated Telecommunications
   Facilities
TBL in Japan: Designated Telecom Facilities
Article 35 (Order, Etc. Concerning Interconnections of Telecommunications Facilities)

1.    Where a telecommunications carrier, in spite of other telecommunications carrier's proposal to enter into an
      agreement to interconnect telecommunications facilities of said telecommunications carrier with telecommunications
      facilities of said other telecommunications carrier, does not accept entering into a consultation or where said
      consultation fails to come to an agreement, the Minister shall, upon petition of said telecommunications carrier
      who proposed said agreement, order said other telecommunications carrier to start or reopen the
      consultation, except the cases where it is deemed that such interconnections fall under any item of Article 32 and
      an application for arbitration is filed under the provisions of Article 155 paragraph (1).
2.    Where, in addition to the cases stipulated in the preceding paragraph, in spite of one's proposal to enter into an
      agreement to interconnect telecommunications facilities between telecommunications carriers , the other party does
      not accept entering into a consultation or where said consultation fails to come to an agreement, the Minister
      may, upon request of one of said telecommunications carriers, order the other telecommunications carrier
      to start or reopen the consultation when it is deemed such interconnections especially necessary and appropriate
      to promote the public interest, except the cases where an application for arbitration under the provisions of Article
      155 paragraph (1) is filed.
3.    Where a consultation between the parties concerned about the interconnections to telecommunications facilities of a
      telecommunications carrier fail to come to an agreement with respect to such details as the amount of money to be
      received and paid by them or other details including terms and conditions of interconnections, a telecommunications
      carrier who installs telecommunications facilities to be connected to said telecommunications facilities of the
      telecommunications carrier may apply for an award to the Minister. However, in the cases where the parties filed
      an application for arbitration in accordance with the provisions of Article 155 paragraph (1), this shall not apply.
4.    When consultations between the parties concerned, except the cases stipulated in the preceding paragraph, after an
      order has been issued in accordance with the provisions of paragraph (1) or paragraph (2), fail to come to an
      agreement with respect to such details as the amount of money to be received and to be paid by them or other
      details including terms and conditions of interconnections, the party (or parties) may apply for an award to the
      Minister.
….
TBL in Japan: Technical standards
Article 41 (Maintenance of Telecommunications Facilities)

(1) Any telecommunications carrier installing telecommunications circuit facilities shall maintain its
    telecommunications facilities (except those specified in the applicable ministerial ordinance of the
    MIC as those having a minor influence on the users' benefit in the cases of damage or failure, etc.
    thereof) for use of its telecommunications business in compliance with the technical conditions
    specified in the applicable ministerial ordinance of the MIC.
(2) Any telecommunications carrier providing universal telecommunications services shall maintain its
    telecommunications facilities (except telecommunications facilities stipulated in the preceding
    paragraph) for use of its telecommunications business for providing said universal
    telecommunications services in compliance with the technical conditions specified in the
    applicable ministerial ordinance of the MIC.
(3) The technical conditions of the preceding two paragraphs shall be so specified as to ensure the
    following matters:
      i)   The provision of telecommunications service shall not be extremely hindered by damage or
           failure of telecommunications facilities.
      ii) Quality of telecommunications services shall maintain an appropriate level.
      iii) Secrecy of communications shall not be violated.
      iv) Telecommunications facilities of users or other telecommunications carriers connected shall
           not be damaged or impaired, nor shall functions thereof be impaired.
      v) The demarcation of responsibilities between the telecommunications facilities of a
           telecommunications carrier and those of others shall be clearly stipulated.
TBL in Japan: Technical standards
Article 42
  • Self-Confirmation of Compliance of Telecommunications Facilities
   by Telecommunications Carriers


Article 43
  • Order to Comply with Technical Conditions
Accelerated penetration of mobile service

                Mobile phone penetration
                PHS penetration




                                     At the end of Fiscal Year
      Source: MIC(www.soumu.go.jp/joho_tsusin/eidsystem/ market01_01.html)

Network effect

  • 1.
    Network effect, openaccess, and standards strategy Toshiya Jitsuzumi, Dr. Kyushu University
  • 2.
    Fruits of theMarket Maximizing Maximizing corporate consumers’ profits welfare Without governmental intervention
  • 3.
    Conditions for marketdynamism • Perfect/Sufficient Information • Inclusiveness • No externality • No public goods • Perfect Competition http://www.dot- communications.co.uk/assets/images/HeadersLogos /terms_and_conditions.jpg
  • 4.
    Features of thetelecom industry Network Effect http://www.bourncreative.com/wp- content/uploads/2012/09/capitalize-on-uniqueness.jpg Natural Monopoly
  • 5.
    Network Services Quality of experience (QoE) depends on the variety of services: The more the variety is, the better the QoE becomes. http://www.imagine-net-tech.com/images/network.jpg
  • 6.
    Network effect (networkexternality) Indirect effect Direct effect
  • 7.
    Impact on consumers’demand Price The more the variety is, the better the QoE becomes. Assume that the price is constant Demand Demand Quantity
  • 8.
    Impacts of networkeffect 1 There is a tipping point in the start-up market. Critical Mass http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-v1wfeRJ8JD4/UIrYhkWesdI/AAAAAAAABTY/LfO0mTDSaxs/s640/the+tipping+point.jpg
  • 9.
    Teledencity 100 USA アメ カ リ 90 Sweden スウェ ーデン Early adopters スイス Switzerland 80 人 フランス France 口 ドイツ Germany 70 Late adopters 1 日本 0 Japan 0 60 人 当 50 た り 40 電 話 30 機 数 20 10 0 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 74 77 80 83 86 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 Source: Miyajima(1993, pp.151- 153)
  • 10.
    Impacts of networkeffect 2 The winner takes all Wider in a matured market. service variety More Potential More friends for better attractive profitability network Larger Larger installed installed base base More customers More friends
  • 11.
    WTA in theSNS market 100% Facebook StumbleUpon 80% YouTube Twitter 60% Pinterest reddit 40% Digg MySpace LinkedIn 20% NowPublic VKontakte 0% iWiW Mar-11 Dec-11 Jun-09 Jun-10 Sep-11 Jun-12 Mar-13 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-12 Dec-09 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-12 Sep-09 Sep-10 Sep-12 Fark orkut
  • 12.
    100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 WTA in the social news market Mar-13 Digg reddit
  • 13.
    If we want….. Faster More penetration competition Open access and/or Standards strategy
  • 14.
    Open access andinterconnection http://www.tutorialspoint.com/images/interconnect.jpg http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Internet_map_1024.jpg
  • 15.
  • 16.
    TBL in Japan:Duty to interconnect Article 32 (Interconnection with Telecommunications Circuit Facilities) Any telecommunications carrier shall agree to the request for interconnection of its telecommunications circuit facilities being installed by said telecommunications carrier from other telecommunications carriers with telecommunications facilities of said other telecommunications carriers, except the cases listed in the following items: i. Where there is a risk of hindering the smooth provision of telecommunications services ii. Where there is a risk that said interconnection may unfairly impair the interest of said telecommunications carrier iii. Where there are due reasons specified in the applicable ministerial ordinance of the MIC in addition to the cases listed in the preceding two items
  • 17.
    TBL in Japan:Designated Telecom Facilities Article 33 • Interconnection with Category I Designated Telecommunications Facilities Article 34 • Interconnection with Category II Designated Telecommunications Facilities
  • 18.
    TBL in Japan:Designated Telecom Facilities Article 35 (Order, Etc. Concerning Interconnections of Telecommunications Facilities) 1. Where a telecommunications carrier, in spite of other telecommunications carrier's proposal to enter into an agreement to interconnect telecommunications facilities of said telecommunications carrier with telecommunications facilities of said other telecommunications carrier, does not accept entering into a consultation or where said consultation fails to come to an agreement, the Minister shall, upon petition of said telecommunications carrier who proposed said agreement, order said other telecommunications carrier to start or reopen the consultation, except the cases where it is deemed that such interconnections fall under any item of Article 32 and an application for arbitration is filed under the provisions of Article 155 paragraph (1). 2. Where, in addition to the cases stipulated in the preceding paragraph, in spite of one's proposal to enter into an agreement to interconnect telecommunications facilities between telecommunications carriers , the other party does not accept entering into a consultation or where said consultation fails to come to an agreement, the Minister may, upon request of one of said telecommunications carriers, order the other telecommunications carrier to start or reopen the consultation when it is deemed such interconnections especially necessary and appropriate to promote the public interest, except the cases where an application for arbitration under the provisions of Article 155 paragraph (1) is filed. 3. Where a consultation between the parties concerned about the interconnections to telecommunications facilities of a telecommunications carrier fail to come to an agreement with respect to such details as the amount of money to be received and paid by them or other details including terms and conditions of interconnections, a telecommunications carrier who installs telecommunications facilities to be connected to said telecommunications facilities of the telecommunications carrier may apply for an award to the Minister. However, in the cases where the parties filed an application for arbitration in accordance with the provisions of Article 155 paragraph (1), this shall not apply. 4. When consultations between the parties concerned, except the cases stipulated in the preceding paragraph, after an order has been issued in accordance with the provisions of paragraph (1) or paragraph (2), fail to come to an agreement with respect to such details as the amount of money to be received and to be paid by them or other details including terms and conditions of interconnections, the party (or parties) may apply for an award to the Minister. ….
  • 19.
    TBL in Japan:Technical standards Article 41 (Maintenance of Telecommunications Facilities) (1) Any telecommunications carrier installing telecommunications circuit facilities shall maintain its telecommunications facilities (except those specified in the applicable ministerial ordinance of the MIC as those having a minor influence on the users' benefit in the cases of damage or failure, etc. thereof) for use of its telecommunications business in compliance with the technical conditions specified in the applicable ministerial ordinance of the MIC. (2) Any telecommunications carrier providing universal telecommunications services shall maintain its telecommunications facilities (except telecommunications facilities stipulated in the preceding paragraph) for use of its telecommunications business for providing said universal telecommunications services in compliance with the technical conditions specified in the applicable ministerial ordinance of the MIC. (3) The technical conditions of the preceding two paragraphs shall be so specified as to ensure the following matters: i) The provision of telecommunications service shall not be extremely hindered by damage or failure of telecommunications facilities. ii) Quality of telecommunications services shall maintain an appropriate level. iii) Secrecy of communications shall not be violated. iv) Telecommunications facilities of users or other telecommunications carriers connected shall not be damaged or impaired, nor shall functions thereof be impaired. v) The demarcation of responsibilities between the telecommunications facilities of a telecommunications carrier and those of others shall be clearly stipulated.
  • 20.
    TBL in Japan:Technical standards Article 42 • Self-Confirmation of Compliance of Telecommunications Facilities by Telecommunications Carriers Article 43 • Order to Comply with Technical Conditions
  • 21.
    Accelerated penetration ofmobile service Mobile phone penetration PHS penetration At the end of Fiscal Year Source: MIC(www.soumu.go.jp/joho_tsusin/eidsystem/ market01_01.html)