http://www.pembina.org/event/fenestration-west-technical-conference-2017 Fenestration West Technical Conference 2017 Feb. 21, 2017

1. Net Zero Energy Ready
Trends for construction & retrofits
Tom-Pierre Frappé-Sénéclauze
@tompierrefs
FEN-BC Conference, 21 February 2017

2. Leading Canada’s transition to
a clean energy future
The Pembina Institute advocates for strong, effective policies to
support Canada’s clean energy transition.
@tompierrefs

3. Research pembina.org/buildings

4. Convening
Thought Leader Forum: 80+ organizations, 100+ participants:
2015: Can we get new buildings ‘net-zero ready’ by 2030?
2016: How do we accelerate deep retrofits?
@tompierrefs

5. Advocacy
A subset of the 100+ signatories: local governments, organizations, businesses, etc.
Call to Action on Climate and Energy in the Building Sector (2016)

6. Net zero energy buildings:
Market and policy trends
New buildings
— Market evolution
— Policy commitments and implementation
Existing buildings
— Market evolution
— Targets for the sector
— Policy recommendations

7. Net-Zero Energy buildings: rapid
growth in North America
Figure: NBI
NZE: A home or building that produces as much
energy as it consumes on an annual basis.
NZE-ready*
• A home designed to be NZE, but where the
renewables have NOT yet been installed.
• A building with ultra-low energy use.
* Working definition; no consensus yet

8. Certifications
Source: J.Draper, Postmedia network

9. 0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CumulativeSquareFootage(Millions)
Cumulative Square Footage
Dual Certified - Projected
PHIUS - Projected
PHI - Projected
PHIUS - New
PHI - New
PHIUS - Cumulative
PHI - Cumulative
Passive House in North America
Data: PHI, PHIUS and Passive House Canada
Vancouver:
14 projects
600 units
25% of all sqft

10. Net Zero Ready Commitments
B.C.
— Code to require Net Zero Ready
by 2032
Feds
— Net Zero Ready code released in
2020 for broad adoption by 2030

11. How do we get there?
✔ Energy Step Code
❓ Incentive program for high
performance buildings
❓ Training and education
❓ Energy use benchmarking
and disclosure (by 2019)

12. What about existing buildings?

13. Certified Energy Advisor audits
Data: Gov. of B.C.
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Post-auditspermonth
%ofeligiblestockretrofitted
ecoENERGY v.i
ecoENERGY v.i / LSBC v.i
LSBC v.ii
LSBC v.iii
LSBC v.iii /
ecoENERGY v.ii
LSBC v.iv
HERO
Bonus
v.i &
ERS
Average energy
reduction: ~ 25%

14. Reference
case
CLP + Fed.
Carbon price
-33%
BC 2020
target
-30% from
2005, based
on federal
target
-80%
BC 2050
target
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
AnnualemissionsinMtCO2e
CIMS modeling by Navius
(+ forestry credits)
B.C. Emissions

15. Proposed building sector targets
40-50%
by 2030
80-100%
by 2050

16. Buildings emissions
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Buildingsemissions(Mt)
NZEr building code
Shallow retrofits
Low carbon pathway
Base case
Retrofit 3% of buildings each year,
with average savings of 25%.
+
Electrify one out of two.

17. Homes MURBs ICI
Current stock 1 million
25,000
(575,000 units)
60,000
(100 million m2)
3% 2,500 per month
800 per year
(17,000 units)
1,800 per year
(3 million m2)
3% per year…

18. How does that compare?
Data: Gov. of B.C.
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Post-auditspermonth
%ofeligiblestockretrofitted
ecoENERGY v.i
ecoENERGY v.i / LSBC v.i
LSBC v.ii
LSBC v.iii
LSBC v.iii /
ecoENERGY v.ii
LSBC v.iv
HERO
Bonus
v.i &
ERS
Average energy
reduction: ~ 25%

19. Five guiding principles
1. Drive electrification and fuel switch
2. Ensure all replacements go to high efficiency
3. Liberate energy information
4. Market co-benefits and connect to values
5. Unlock capital from institutional investors

20. Call to Action on Climate and
Energy in the Building Sector
A subset of the 100+ signatories: local governments, organizations, businesses, etc.

21. Question to you…
1. Drive electrification and fuel switch
2. Ensure all replacements go to high efficiency
3. Liberate energy information
4. Market co-benefits and connect to values
5. Unlock capital from institutional investors
How can the fenestration industry help ensure that a client
coming for window/doors replacements leaves with best-in-class
fenestration and a retrofit plan leading to a net-zero ready home?

22. Regulatory tools
1. Labelling at time of renovation and/or sale
2. Annual benchmarking and disclosure
3. High efficiency standards for equipment
4. Retrofit code

23. Thanks!
Tom-Pierre Frappé-Sénéclauze
tompierrefs@pembina.org tw: @tompierrefs
pembina.org
twitter.com/pembina facebook.com/pembina.institute

24. Building stock evolution
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
BuildingFloorArea(million
m2)
Pre-2000 construction
2000-2010 construction
Net-zero energy ready
Current code and high performance

25. Building stock evolution
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
BuildingFloorArea(million
m2)
Pre-2000 construction
2000-2010 construction
Net-zero energy ready
1/3
2/3 1/2
1/2
TODAY

26. Building sector emissions: 11%
7
MtCO2
e
Commercial
(other than offices), VALUE
Office, 1.0
Institutional, VALUE
Apartments, 0.7
Ground oriented, 3.5
Data: NRCan CEUD 2014 & SCIEU 2009

28. 2050 targets
Env. & Climate Change Canada overall: -80% (below 2005)
Stationary sources -87%
Trottier, current technology scenario overall: -65% (below 2015)
residential - 87%
commercial - 76%
Trottier, new technology scenario overall: -65%(below 2015)
residential -89%
commercial -88%
Deep decarbonization pathways overall: -89% (below 2015)
residential -99%
commercial -99%
... B.C.
buildings:
-80% to 100%
By 2050
i.e. near total
decarbonization

29. Sources: University of Massachusetts & energy efficiency industrial forum
$1M
spent
5.3 jobs
in energy sector
13-18 jobs
in energy efficiency sector