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Acquisitions and Joint-Ventures in Brazil: 
Why and how to proceed ? 
Jérôme Kelber 
Paris, 05th June 2014 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 1
Disclaimer 
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Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 
CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 2
NeoFocus is organized to provide professional services to support 
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Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 
Sustainable and profitable growth 
CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 3 
Our professional practices 
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Agenda Page 
1. Why Brazil? 5 
2. Why an acquisition or a joint-venture? 26 
3. Identify the target 40 
4. Conduct the transaction 44 
5. Side benefits 48 
6. Appendix 53 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 
CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 5
11/2009 09/2013 
Source: The Economist 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 6
Brazil has been through 20 years of near-continuous growth 
Real GDP value 2013, 1994-2013 Real GDP growth, 1994-2013 
5 000 
4 500 
4 000 
3 500 
3 000 
2 500 
2 000 
Achievement: sustained and steady growth 
X1,8 
X1,4 
1994 
1995 
1996 
1997 
1998 
1999 
2000 
2001 
2002 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
8,0% 
7,0% 
6,0% 
5,0% 
4,0% 
3,0% 
2,0% 
1,0% 
0,0% 
-1,0% 
1994 
1995 
1996 
1997 
1998 
1999 
2000 
2001 
2002 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
+3,1%/yr 
+2,8%/yr 
Source: IBGE (Instituto Brasileira de Geografia e Estatísticas) 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 7
Brazil today ranks 7th amongst global economies and expects to 
reach 5th by 2020 
Achievement: an economic superpower 
Exemplary economic 
• Inflation target: 
5- 6%/y 
• Primary surplus 
• Floating exchange rate 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 
CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 8 
Strong nominal 
growth 
• 2012: U$ 2,253 bn (x5) 
R$4,402 bn (x3) 
• 2002: U$ 504 bn 
(R$ 1,478 bn) 
• 45% of Latin America 
• 2014 projection: +1,7% 
• > Russia #8, >India #10 
• <UK #6, France #5 
Substantial Forex 
reserves 
• Brazil’s Forex reserves: 
‒ 1999: $36 bn 
‒ 2013: $376 bn 
• EU: $1,356 bn 
• USA: $135 bn 
• France: $54 bn 
policy 
1) FDI: Foreign Direct Investment 
Source: World Bank, IBGE (Instituto Brasileira de Geografia e Estatísticas), Banco central do Brasil, Credit Suisse 
Growing FDI(1) 
• 2013: $65 bn foreign 
direct investments 
into Brazil (Russia: $94 
bn; India: $28 bn) 
• 2014e: $70bn 
• 2002: $17bn, 2007: $35bn 
• #5 destination behind 
China, USA, UK & France
Brazil’s macro-economics are sound 
Achievement: economic and financial stability 
Reassuring 
credit ratings 
• Investment grade 
reached: 
‒ 2008: Standard & 
Poor’s + Fitch: BBB- 
‒ 2009: Moody’s: Baa3 
• 2014: 
‒ Standard & Poor’s 
BBB, then BBB- on 
24/03/2014 
‒ Moody’s BAA2 
Improving 
“Country risk” 
• 2014: EMBI+spread: 
+245 basis points 
(2004: +541, 2002: 
+1445) 
• 2013: decreasing public 
debt (gross: 57,2% of 
GDP, net 33,8% of 
GDP) 
Tamed inflation 
• INPC: 
− 2014e: 4,5% 
− 2013: 5,9% 
− 2012: 5,85% 
− 1995: 2500% 
Early repayment of 
IMF loans 
• 1998: $41 bn IMF loan 
(Asian financial crisis) 
• 2002: $30 bn credit line 
(pre Lula’s election) 
• 2005: $26,3 bn early 
repayment of the 
amounts used 
• Forex reserves: 
‒ 1999: $36 bn 
‒ 2013: $376 bn 
‒ UE $1,356 bn, USA $135 bn, 
France $54 bn 
Source: Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, Fitch, IBGE (Instituto Brasileira de Geografia e Estatisticas), INPC Indice Nacional de Preços ao Consumidor, JP Morgan EMBI Emerging Market Bond Index 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 9
Brazilian population’s own views on Brazil’s current economic 
situation is certainly much more positive than The Economist’s… 
Military régime (01/04/1964 – 15/03/1985) Nova República (15/03/1985 – today) 
Cumulative inflation 1970 - 2000: 602 702 873 063 167% (602 trillion %) 
Between 1985 and 
1995: 12 finance 
ministers 
416% 
65% 
1783% 
1038% 
2781% 
1477% 
480% 
1158% 
15% 
Yearly 
inflation 
3000% 
2500% 
2000% 
1500% 
1000% 
500% 
0% 
Since 1995: 12 
finance ministers 
1970 
1971 
1972 
1973 
1974 
1975 
1976 
1977 
1978 
1979 
1980 
1981 
1982 
1983 
1984 
1985 
1986 
1987 
1988 
1989 
1990 
1991 
1992 
1993 
1994 
1995 
1996 
1997 
1998 
1999 
2000 
Cruzeiro novo 
13/02/1967 
Cruzeiro 
01/11/1942 
Real (Portugal) 
Reis (conto 106) 
Successive 
Brazilian 
currencies 
Real 
01/07/1994 
Cruzeiro real 
01/08/1993 
Cruzeiro 
16/03/1990 
Cruzado novo 
16/01/1989 
Cruzado 
28/02/1986 
1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 
19% 19% 16% 16% 35% 35% 46% 39% 41% 77% 110% 95% 100% 211% 224% 235% 65% 416% 1038% 1783% 1477% 480% 1158% 2781% 1094% 15% 9% 7% 2% 20% 
IGP-DI ((Indicie Geral de Preços de Mercado-Disponibilidade Interna). De 1989 à 1997, IGP-M (Indicie Geral de Preços de Mercado). Nova República ou Sexta República Brasileira 
Source: IPEA (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada), Almanaque Folha, 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 10
Brazil’s economic performance must propel other development 
components, or else growth may slow down 
Strengths 
•Under control, favorable demography 
• Immediate demographic window of opportunity 
•Abundant natural resources 
•Fast growing middle class 
•Strong internal consumption demand 
Challenges/Opportunities 
•Significant degrading of trade balance 
•Domestic added value still too limited 
• Infrastructure must be significantly improved 
•Political, administrative and fiscal systems in need of 
improvements 
•Social inequalities remain strong: 
– education 
– public health 
• Economic growth engines are present and 
sustainable 
• Growth relies in part on the domestic market 
•Economic growth has exerted extra pressure on 
the economic, political and social structures 
• Deep reforms are necessary to avoid holding up 
development 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 11
Demography makes Brazil a major country, without excessive 
pressure in the short term 
Population 
Strength: under control, favorable demography 
•2013: 199 million inhabitants 
• 50% of LatAm (404 M), 40% of the European Union (507 M), 3 x France (66 M) 
•Urbanization: 86% of total population (France: 85%) 
•Density: 23 inhabitants / km² (France: 114) 
248 
million 
in 2050 
Demography 
• 30% <14 year old, 
• 62% <30 yo 
• Mild demographic 
pressure 
• ~1500: ~5 M inhabitants 
• 2013: 897,000 indians, inc. 67 
uncontacted tribes (World’s 
#1) 
• 1960: 62 M 
• 1980: 120 M 
• 2000: 175 M 
Source: IPEA (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada), Motoboy Zona Norte 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 12
The strong decrease of Brazil’s birth rate makes it a young country 
with an immediate but rather short term window of opportunity 
Strength: an immediate demographic window of opportunity 
Age pyramid, by gender, 2000 and 2035e 
Source: IPEA (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada), 
Male Female 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 13
Brazil benefits from abundant natural resources 
Strength: abundant natural resources 
Natural resources 
•“Green gold”: 8% of world’s arable land: 595 M ha, of which 
only 75 M ha are cultivated (13%) 
• 1st exporter of biofuels (2d producer of bioethanol), coffee, orange 
juice, beef and poultry meat, soya, tobacco… 
• n°1 GMO surface in the world 
•“Black gold”: 2,6 M barrels/day (=Kuwait) 
• Should quadruple thanks to the mega pre-salt reserves discovered 
in 2006 off the shores of the Rio state 
•Will make Brazil one of the world’s largest producers (Russia 10,3 
Mb/day, Saudi Arabia 10,0 Mb/day) 
•“Grey gold”: 3rd world producer of iron, natural resources in 
bauxite, gold, manganese, nickel, phosphates, platinum,… 
•“Blue gold”: 12% of world’s fresh water reserves, producing 
93% of Brazil’s electricity 
Source: US Energy Information Administration, Jeune Afrique; Le Temps, Index Mundi, FAO 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 14
Brazil’s economic development has enabled a fast growth of the 
middle class, which now constitutes over half of the population 
Strength: fast growth of the middle class 
A Upper-upper 
B Lower-upper 
C Middle 
D Poor 536 282 802 422 
E Very poor 0 0 536 282 
M people % 
A & B 
C 
D & E 
8,8 12,9 
45,6 55,4 
92,9 83,3 
13,3 
65,9 
96,2 
22,5 
105,5 
63,6 
200 
180 
160 
140 
120 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
0 
1993 1995 2003 2011 
2012: 1US$ = 1,90 R$ 
Source: SAE (Serviço de Analises Estatisticas), FGV/CPS (Fundação Getúlio Vargas – Centro de Políticas Sociais), Quest Investimentos 
Household 
monthly 
income 
(2012) 
Min Max 
Class R$ US$ R$ US$ 
class 
4963 2612 14521 7643 
class 
1731 911 4963 2612 
class 
802 422 1731 911 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 15
B2C: high growth of GDP and income per capita have induced a 
high growth of domestic demand 
Strength: strong domestic consumer demand 
Per capita GDP, US$, 1994-2013 
14 000 
12 000 
10 000 
8 000 
6 000 
4 000 
2 000 
X10 
1994 
1995 
1996 
1997 
1998 
1999 
2000 
2001 
2002 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
Source: IPEA (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada), Motoboy Zona Norte (IPEA), Shopping Cidade Jardim 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 16
Brazil’s domestic demand development strongly impacts its trade 
balance 
Challenge: significant degradation of trade balance 
Trade balance, 12 months accrued, US bn 
2003: 
‒ Exports $73 bn 
‒ Imports $48 bn 
‒ Balance +$25 bn 
Source: SECEX/MDIC, 
2013: 
‒ Exports $242 bn (x3,3 vs 2003) 
‒ Imports $240 bn (x5 vs 2003) 
‒ Balance +$2 bn 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 17
B2B: Brazil’s domestic added value must grow 
Challenge/opportunity: domestic added value still too limited 
Exports by category of value 
Source: SECEX/MDIC 
addition, %, 2013 
Imports by category of value 
addition, %, 2013 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 18
Brazil has created the conditions of a $600 bn+ ambitious 
investment program in infrastructure 
Challenge/opportunity: infrastructure need significant upgrade 
Improving infrastructure 
• Ports (Paranaguá – PR, Santos – SP, Vitória – ES, Suape – PE) 
• 2012 Concessions Act – competition between private and public ports 
• Airports (Cumbica – SP, Viracopos – SP, Manaus – AM, Fortaleza – CE) 
• Concessions for Galeão-RJ (Odebrecht), Cumbica-SP (Ivepar/ACSA S. Afr.) 
• Road network 
• Programa de Inv. em Logistica (PIL-PAC), concession of 7,000 km of motorways 
• Corredor logístico BR-163 – Rio Tapajos (MT >PA, soya, Bunge, Cargill, Hidrovias 
do Brasil and Cianport) 
• Railway network 
• Concession of 11,000 km of railways (on a total network of 29 000 km1) 
(1) Total railways network length: USA 225 000 km, China 86 000 km, France 30 000 km, Brazil 29 000 km 
Source: Layher Scaffolding, LLX, Brasil Econômico, other 
Porto do Açu, RJ 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 19
Significant progress must still be made on the political, 
administrative, fiscal fronts … 
Challenge: Political, administrative and fiscal systems need improvements 
Political, administrative and fiscal complexity Corruption 
Source: Veja 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 20
… in education as well, as it now slows down the country’s economic 
development… 
Challenge: social inequalities remain strong - Education 
Literacy map of Brazil (2009) Illiteracy by age and gender (2009) 
Source: MTE-Minstério do Trabalho e Emprego PNAD 2009, blog Leticia Pinheiro 
Education 
Private Public 
Total 
Female 
Male 
- 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 21
Brazil’s education sector is highly under dimensioned compared to 
the needs of its economy… 
Challenge: social inequalities remain strong - Education 
PISA 2012 – Students’ performance in mathematics – selected countries 
Brazil 
OECD 
Source: PISA Programme for International Student Assessment 2012, performance of students in mathematics, median, on a selection of countries 
•In 2012, Brazil ranked 
57 out of 65 
participants to PISA 
(math, reading and 
science) 
• Difference of resources 
between socio-economically 
favored and disadvantaged 
schools was one of the largest: 
4th out of 62 
• The percentage of students 
having repeated at least one 
class was one of the highest: 7th 
out of 64 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 22
…and the same applies to public health, a long term instability 
factor 
Challenge: social inequalities remain strong – Public health 
•2013: 
•Health spending: 7,6% of GDP, of which public sector 46% 
(USA: 15,2% / 45%, Germany: 11,1% / 78%, LatAm: 6,7% / 54%) 
•1 nurse per 1000 inhabitants (OECD: 4/1000) 
•Geographic distribution is 
unequal, some regions 
receive much less than 
others, of which the North 
and North-East are prime 
examples 
- This queue is for those who wait. 
- And this one for those who don’t need to wait anymore. 
SUS: Sistema Único de Saúde – Brazil’s Public Health System, created by the constitution of 1988, on which 80% Brazilians depend 
Source: Rede Brasil Atual, TopSeguroSaude.com.br, MundiHoje.com.br 
Salvador (BA) public hospital 
Natal (RN) public hospital 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 23
Brazil’s impressive economic performance is yet to have a positive 
impact on other components of development 
Brazil’s Human Development Index (HDI) 2012 
•Index: 0.73 
•Rank: 85 
HDI trend 1980 - 2012 
1,000 
0,950 
0,900 
0,850 
0,800 
0,750 
0,700 
0,650 
0,600 
0,550 
0,500 
980 
985 
990 
995 
2000 
Source: UNDP (United Ntions Development Programme) 
Components 
•Health: life expectancy at birth (years) 
73,8 
•Education: average education (years) 
7,2 
•Income: GDP per capita (in constant 2005 US$) 
$10 152 
•Inequalities: inequalities-adjusted HDI 
0,531 
•Poverty: multi-dimensional poverty index 
0,011 
•Gender: gender inequality index 
0,447 
2005 
2010 
2015 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 24
France’s Human Development Index (HDI) 
France’s Human Development Index (HDI) 2012 
•Index: 0.893 
•Rank: 20 
HDI trend 1980 - 2012 
1,000 
0,950 
0,900 
0,850 
0,800 
0,750 
0,700 
0,650 
0,600 
0,550 
0,500 
980 
985 
990 
995 
2000 
Source: UNDP (United Ntions Development Programme) 
Components 
•Health: life expectancy at birth (years) 
81,7 
•Education: average education (years) 
10,6 
•Income: GDP per capita (in constant 2005 US$) 
$30 277 
•Inequalities: inequalities-adjusted HDI 
0,812 
•Poverty: multi-dimensional poverty index 
n.d. 
•Gender: gender inequality index 
0,083 
2005 
2010 
2015 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 25
Agenda Page 
1. Why Brazil? 5 
2. Why an acquisition or a joint-venture? 26 
3. Identify the target 40 
4. Conduct the transaction 44 
5. Side benefits 48 
6. Appendix 53 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 
CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 26
Brazil’s economic performance must propel other development 
components, or else growth will slow down 
Weaknesses / Risks 
•Multiple import barriers: 
- Mercosul 
- Protectionism in Brazil 
•Strong labor shortage 
•Long lasting shortage of skilled labor 
•Very high cost of capital 
•Weak innovation ecosystem 
Opportunities / Risks 
•High margins 
•Numerous incentives 
•Social inequalities remain strong 
- Education 
- Public health 
•The combination of protectionist policies 
and strong recent economic 
development have multiplied the 
bottlenecks in Brazil 
•Realization of growth potential has 
therefore been limited 
•Brazilian authorities are aware of the need 
to support local implementation of foreign 
companies to modernize the economy 
•The benefits of a local implantation are 
many 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions et JV au Brésil 27
Brazil is part of Mercosul, a free trade zone with few barriers 
internally, but with substantial import barriers from outside 
Weakness: import barriers 
Mercosul 
•Mercosul 
•Created by the treaty of Asunción on 26/03/1991, signed by Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, 
Uruguay and 6 “associate members” (Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Equador, Peru, 
Venezuela) 
• Zero import duties on goods traded within the area (with a few exceptions) 
• Trade with third party countries is subject to a Common External Tariff (CET), with duty 
rates of 0 to 20% (14% on average). Each state can also decide unilaterally to impose a 
temporary rate of up to 35% 
• Since 2010, member states can also make exceptions to the CET on up to 100 products 
• Every 6 months, 20% of the CET tariffs can be modified 
Pacific Alliance vs Mercosul 
Source: Commission Européenne (http://madb.europa.eu/madb/barriers_result.htm?sectors=none&countries=BR&measures=none) , Wall Street Journal, Quartz qz.com, CommSec 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 28
Access to the Brazilian market by exporters is made difficult by a 
number of measures 
Weakness: import barriers 
Brazil’s protectionism 
•Import restrictions 
• Import duties (see Mercosul) 
• Import licenses 
• Specific domestic standards (e.g. labelling and user guides in Portuguese) 
• Special regimes (telecoms, insurance, sea shipping, textiles and leather) 
• FDI limitations or specific conditions on certain sectors (air transport, agriculture, health, 
rail/road/sea shipping, cash handling, architecture, postal services,…) 
•National preference on 25% of public tenders 
• The « Buy Brazil Act » n°12.349/10 (15/12/2010) amends public tender regulations (federal, 
state and municipal levels): they are open to international bidders provided they have a legal 
entity in Brazil, and preference is given to goods and services produced in Brazil on 25% of the 
public tenders 
•WTO: 
•WTO ranks Brazil as n°1 for new protectionist measures enacted in 2013: 39 measures 
identified in Brazil out of 407 identified in total (India ranks n°2, USA n°3, Argentina n°4) 
• The EU which absorbs 20% of Brazil’s exports, formally sued Brazil at the WTO for its vehicle 
import duty (30%) 
Voitures FIAT à Oliveira (MG) 
Source: SECEX, European Commission (http://madb.europa.eu/madb/barriers_result.htm?sectors=none&countries=BR&measures=none) , february 2014 WTO report, Reuters 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 29
Brazil’s accelerated development created an “economy of shortage” 
in many respects, and particularly in terms of workforce 
14,0% 
12,0% 
10,0% 
8,0% 
6,0% 
4,0% 
2,0% 
0,0% 
Weakness: labor shortage 
Unemployment rate(1), metropolitan areas, 2002-2013 
2002.03 
2002.09 
2003.03 
2003.09 
2004.03 
2004.09 
2005.03 
2005.09 
2006.03 
2006.09 
2007.03 
2007.09 
2008.03 
2008.09 
2009.03 
2009.09 
2010.03 
2010.09 
2011.03 
2011.09 
2012.03 
2012.09 
2013.03 
2013.09 
(1) Taxa de Desemprego (período de referência de 30 dias), das pessoas de 10 anos ou mais de idade, por Regiões Metropolitanas, Frequência: 
Mensal de 2002.03 até 2014.02, Regiões metropolitanas (RMs): Recife, Salvador, Belo Horizonte, Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo e Porto Alegre. 
Atualizado em: 27/03/2014 
Source: IPEA (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada), IBGE 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 30
Skilled and experienced workforce is not sufficiently available to 
cover the needs of the economy 
Weakness: lasting shortage of skilled workforce 
Manpower - Global Talent Survey (2013, extract) 
% of companies meeting difficulties in recruiting in 42 countries 
85% 
68% 
61% 
Brazil (n°2): 68% 
World average: 35% 
France (n°26): 33% 
41% 
41% 
39% 
38% 
37% 
35% 
35% 
35% 
34% 
33% 
32% 
30% 
28% 
22% 
21% 
17% 
13% 
90% 
80% 
70% 
60% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
Japan 
Brazil 
India 
Argentina 
Austria 
U.S. 
Mexico 
Switzerland 
Germany 
Global average 
China 
Canada 
France 
Poland 
Colombia 
Peru 
Belgium 
Norway 
Italy 
UK 
Spain 
Ireland 
North Am. South Am. Europe+ME Asia 
Source: Manpower, MTE-Minstério do Trabalho e Emprego, MBAatlântico, Policia Federal 
3% 
3% 
Work permits granted to 
foreigners, per year 
Year Number 
2009 42 914 
2010 56 006 
2011 70 524 
2012 73 022 
• 88% technical or higher 
education 
• Number of foreigners living in 
Brazil: 942 000 (+84% since 
2000: 510 000) 
• Active population 2012: 95,3 
million 
• 2013: simplification of work 
permit attribution conditions 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 31
The high cost of capital favors FDI1 but penalizes the capitalization 
and growth of Brazilian companies 
Weakness: high cost of capital 
Very high 
interest rates. 
• Day to day interest rate 
of the Central Bank: 
(SELIC): 10,65% (2014) 
• => Commercial interest 
rates (per annum) 
• 35-45% (for 
businesses) 
• 45-100% (for 
households) 
SELIC2 rates (day to day, annual equivalent, 1996-2014) 
% Max 45% 
50 
45 
40 
35 
30 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
(11/09/1998) 
Today 
10,75% 
((27/02/2014) 
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janvier-11 
janvier-12 
janvier-13 
janvier-14 
(1) FDI: Foreign Direct Investments 
(2) (2) The SELIC rate is a day to day rate target fixed by COPOM (Comitê de Politica Monetaria do Banco Central do Brasil). It is the rate on which the Central 
Bank of Brazil bases its loans to banks and is used in Brazilian economy as a reference index to determine interest rates 
Source: Banco Central do Brasil, Istoe. Illustrations Fundação Amazônia Paraense, charge Cicerex 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 32
Brazil ranks #64 / 142 countries for its capability to generate 
innovation 
Weakness: a weak innovation ecosystem 
•The « Global Innovation Index » measures the 
capacity of a country to innovate through the 
evaluation of an exhaustive set of components 
contributing to innovation generation 
•Institutions: 
• Political, legal, « ease of doing business » 
•Human capital and research activities 
• Education, higher education, R&D activities (public and private) 
•Infrastructure 
• Accessibility of IT & communication technologies, other 
infrastructure 
•Market sophistication 
• Credit, investment, trade, competition 
•Business sophistication 
• Knowledge workers, university/industry links, knowledge 
importation 
•Innovation production 
• Knowledge creation, impact and diffusion 
• Innovation production: immaterial assets, innovative products 
and services, online creativity 
Global Innovation Index 2013 
5-USA 
14-Israel 
15-Germany 
20-France 
22-Japan 
26-Spain 
29-Italy 
28-Czech Republic 
Brazil 
35-China 
46-Chile 
52-Uruguay 
54-Serbia 
55-Greece 
56-Argentina 
57-Thailand 
58-South Africa 
60-Colombia 
62-Russian Fed. 
32-Malaysia 
114-Venezuela, Bolivarian… 
63-Mexico 
64-Brazil 
65-Bosnia 
66-India 
68-Turkey 
69-Peru 
71-Ukraine 
85-Indonesia 
92-Morocco 
North Am. South Am. Europe+ME Asia 
70 
60 
50 
40 
30 
20 
10 
0 
2-Sweden 
3-Ukraine 
1-Switzerland 
Source: www.globalinnovationindex.org 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 33
Due to its history, Brazil developed a very specific culture, making 
it a complex environment to operate in 
Risk: strong and sometimes invisible local specificities 
Different contexts and environments… 
Institutions 
Natural 
environment 
Economy 
Family 
circle 
History Religion 
Source: Geert Hofstede, NeoFocus 
…result in different cultures 
• Geert Hofstede’s cultural profiling model 
Power distance 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
0 
Long term 
orientation 
Brazil 
France 
Uncertainty Assertiveness 
avoidance 
Power 
distance Individualism Assertive 
ness 
Uncertainty 
avoidance 
Individualism 
Long term 
orientation 
Brazil 69 38 49 76 65 
France 68 71 43 86 39 
Social circle 
Professional 
circle 
Society 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 34
In 2013, Brazil ranked #72 / 177 amongst least corrupted countries, on 
par with South Africa, Serbia and Bosnia 
Risk: corruption still present 
Corruption Perception Index 2013 
Source: Transparency International. 
• 2013 ranking (extract): 
‒ Denmark n°1 (score: 91) 
‒ Canada: n°9 (score: 81) 
‒ Germany: n°12 (score: 78) 
‒ UK: n°14 (score: 76) 
‒ US: n°19 (score: 73) 
‒ France: n°22 (score: 71) 
‒ Spain: n°40 (score: 59) 
‒ Cuba: n°63 (score: 46) 
‒ Italy: n°69 (score: 43) 
‒ China: n°80 (score: 40) 
‒ Morocco: n°91 (score: 37) 
‒ India, Colombia: n°94 (score: 36) 
‒ Argentina: n°106 (score: 34) 
‒ Russia: n°127 (score: 28) 
‒ Ukraine, Iran: n°144 (score: 25) 
‒ Venezuela: n°160 (score: 20) 
‒ Afghanistan, North Korea, Somalia: n°175 (score:8) 
• The « Corruption Perceptions Index » each year measures the 
perceived level of corruption of 177 countries. 69% of the 
World’s countries score less than 50 (0=totally corrupt, 100 
totally « clean ») 
• Corruption is estimated based on the perception of country 
analysts, members of the business community and members 
of the public in each country 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 35
An efficient and well organized Brazilian company can generate 
very high margins, protected by high entry barriers 
Opportunity: very high margins 
Being on the right side of the entry barriers… 
…provides opportunities for high margins 
•The cost structures of importers on one hand 
and local producers on the other are very 
different, greatly favoring local producers 
Selling 
price 
Margin 
Margin 
Costs 
Importer Local 
producer 
Taxes 
Margin 
Costs 
(Source: CommSec, Quartz qz.com, NeoFocus 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 36
Brazilian authorities actively support investment projects in their 
country at federal, state and municipal levels 
Opportunity: very significant incentives 
Example: APEX Brasil - Agência Brasileira de Promoção de Exportações e Investimentos 
Source: ApexBrasil (Agência Brasileira de Promoção de Exportações e 
Investimentos, Brazilian Trade and Investment Promotion Agency) 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 37
The winning entry strategy in Brazil: transform an existing Brazilian 
company by providing locally rare or expensive resources 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 
Advantage of the acquisition / 
partnership strategy 
CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 38 
Innovative 
products, 
technology 
Individual and 
collective 
competencies 
Financial 
resources 
•A local entity makes it possible to avoid 
import barriers 
• No discrimination of foreign shareholders 
• « Be Brazilian » - just like everyone else 
•Efficiency 
• Leverage existing strengths of the target (e.g. 
market share, distribution network, suppliers, 
partners, skills,…) 
• Faster than organic growth 
• Improves chances of success 
•Consistent with the necessary 
modernization of the Brazilian economy 
•Will be well received by Brazilian companies 
•Will be encouraged by Brazilian authorities 
•Difficult to replicate by local companies 
• Brazilian companies often have little experience 
abroad
French companies are in a particularly good position to seize these 
opportunities due to their excellent relationships – past and present 
Brazil is a « priority action country » for France 
•4 heads of state meetings in 2008 and 2009 
•Bilateral strategic partnership signed 12/2008 
•Economic and trade cooperation 
•Defense cooperation (€6 bn) 
•Other partnerships in space, nuclear power, renewable 
energies, science & education 
•Dilma Rousseff visited France in 2012, François Hollande Brazil in 
2013 
•Launch of the Brazil-France Economic Forum (permanent, 
public institutions + private companies, meeting in Paris on 
20/05/2014) 
Source: Ouest France, AFP 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 39
Agenda Page 
1. Why Brazil? 5 
2. Why an acquisition or a joint-venture? 26 
3. Identify the target 40 
4. Conduct the transaction 44 
5. Side benefits 48 
6. Appendix 53 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 
CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 40
Brazil’s fast, recent development has generated a 
“shortage economy” 
The target of your 
dreams does not exist 
Consider a 
transformation process 
•Development challenges related to 
Brazil’s economy 
‒ Fewer companies 
‒ Less developed 
•Rocky history of Brazil’s economy 
‒ Fewer companies 
‒ Very resilient 
•Recent success of Brazil’s 
economy 
‒ The ideal target has already 
been acquired or is being 
courted by virtually everybody 
•Imagine a business model 
•Adapt this business model to the 
specificities of the Brazilian 
environment 
•Identify assets and skills that must 
be found in Brazil and those that 
can be brought in at a later stage 
•Envisage several acquisitions 
•The integration plan is 
fundamental to the success of the 
acquisition or partnership 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 41
Identifying a suitable Brazilian company for an acquisition or 
partnership is a long and complex process 
Identifying a target is a 
complex process 
Practical solutions 
exist, although they are 
often tedious 
•Size and complexity of Brazil 
•Numerous criteria to consider: 
− Business quality 
− Company governance 
− Compliance with rules & 
regulations (accounts, fiscal, 
labor…) 
− Openness of shareholders to 
enter into a discussion 
•Few formal information sources, 
often only in Portuguese 
•Set realistic goals 
•Use time to your advantage: 
‒ Give yourself time! 
‒ Examine several targets in 
parallel 
‒ Keep watch of “inaccessible” 
targets 
•Use local networks (trade 
associations, personal networks) 
•Validate information locally 
obtained from informal sources 
(interviews) 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 42
Local presence and partners are a must 
Brazilian specificities are 
numerous and often invisible 
•Brazil’s history and “melting pot” of populations resulted 
in Brazil’s very own culture 
•Brazilians are patriots and they are extremely proud of 
their nation 
•Nothing moves without direct, personal, frequent, often 
informal contacts 
•The “group”, the “community” are all-important in Brazil: 
it is paramount to integrate into Brazilian society in 
order to succeed 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 43
Agenda Page 
1. Why Brazil? 5 
2. Why an acquisition or a joint-venture? 26 
3. Identify the target 40 
4. Conduct the transaction 44 
5. Side benefits 48 
6. Appendix 53 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 
CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 44
Conducting a transaction in Brazil requires entering and integrating 
into the Brazilian business environment 
How to succeed in an 
acquisition or 
partnership? 
Be supported by 
experienced local 
professionals 
•In Brazil, everything is possible… 
•…the Brazilian way! 
•Brazilian companies are mainly 
family-owned and little 
accustomed to international 
business practices 
•For the past few years they have 
often been courted by buyers / 
partners from all over the World 
•Establishing trust is a pre-requisite to 
entering fruitful discussions 
•Motivations and objectives of your 
Brazilian interlocutors differ from your 
own: 
•They may prove difficult to 
understand without local assistance 
•They may prove difficult to explain 
to your shareholders, board, other 
decision-makers 
•Local professional assistance will be 
key in tackling these hurdles 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 45
A structured process enables you to keep in control of project 
steering, improves chances of success and diminishes risks 
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5 
External due 
diligence 
Initial 
contacts 
Acquisition 
business 
Due 
diligence Negotiation 
Signature Integration 
Crucial 
Lawyer: Only written 
words remain 
Brazilian culture 
plan 
Must include sensitivity analyses to model the 
possible volatility of economic parameters 
Fundamental « Compliance » is often not a key quality of 
Brazilian businesses 
Identification Business 
model 
French buyer often has the advantage of the vision of the future business 
model, but it needs local adaptation 
Establish trust first, aim for cooperation 
Show advantages for the two parties 
Deciphering the target’s environment provides very important keys and cues 
Make use of time: allow ample time, scrutinize multiple targets in parallel, keep watch of “inaccessible” targets 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 46
The main hurdles associated with realization of an acquisition or 
partnership can be avoided through careful preparation 
Main problems in the due 
diligence of Brazilian targets 
Main causes of failure when 
investing in Brazil 
•Significant fiscal, environment or social risks 
•A degree of informality in operations 
(unregistered operations, several books of 
accounts) 
•Significant undocumented transactions by 
partners / shareholders 
• Insufficient internal controls, which cause 
financial documents to be irrelevant 
•Debatable accounting practices, requiring 
significant adjustments of EBITDA and net 
assets 
•Unforeseen fiscal and social problems 
•Excessive legal and administrative red tape 
• Information at hand proves unreliable 
•Market volatility 
• Insufficient due diligence prior to 
investment 
•Underestimating time required to complete 
transaction 
•Overestimating synergies or production 
gains 
• Insufficient quality of acquired target’s 
management 
Source: pwc do Brasil, « Doing deals in Brazil », 2011 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 47
Agenda Page 
1. Why Brazil? 5 
2. Why an acquisition or a joint-venture? 26 
3. Identify the target 40 
4. Conduct the transaction 44 
5. Side benefits 48 
6. Appendix 53 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 
CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 48
Brazil’s and Europe’s macro-economics are complementary and 
propitious to fruitful partnerships 
Maps to same scale 
Brazil 
•Developing economy 
•Young population 
•Strongly needs 
investments 
•Workforce shortage, 
particularly skilled 
workforce 
•Innovation and technology 
shortage 
•… 
Europe 
•Mature economy 
•Growing share of senior 
citizens 
•Slow growth, requiring little 
investment 
•High unemployment, 
including within highly 
skilled workforce 
•Dense innovation and 
technology network (R&D, 
investors, incentives…) 
•… 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 49
« France-Brésil: bâtir un avenir économique en commun » 
par Jean-Charles Naouri – Les Echos, 16 mai 2014 
Le 20 mai se tiendra à Paris le Forum économique France-Brésil ouvert par Mauro Borges, ministre du Développement, de l'Industrie et du Commerce du Brésil, 
et Laurent Fabius, ministre des Affaires étrangères, du Développement international et du Tourisme. Alors même que le partenariat franco-brésilien connaît une 
phase de développement important, il constitue une chance de renforcer durablement les échanges entre les entrepreneurs des deux pays. 
Le dynamisme et l'esprit de conquête des entrepreneurs brésiliens pourraient s'exprimer pleinement sur le marché français qui présente toutes les 
caractéristiques d'une porte d'accès privilégiée au marché européen, premier du monde avec 500 millions de consommateurs, près de 18.000 milliards de dollars 
de PIB courant et une économie qui renoue avec la croissance. 
L'attractivité de la France pour les investissements étrangers repose sur un ensemble de facteurs qualitatifs mis en avant par les classements internationaux: des 
ingénieurs hautement qualifiés et parmi les plus innovants du monde, d'excellentes infrastructures de transport, la sécurité juridique des contrats, un accès au 
crédit facilité avec des taux d'intérêt particulièrement bas, le crédit impôt-recherche qui place la France en tête des dispositifs d'incitation fiscale à la R&D dans les 
pays de l'OCDE, enfin des coûts d'implantation et d'exploitation avantageux pour les entreprises étrangères. 
Grâce aux jeunes issus de l'immigration, la France compte la seconde communauté lusophone d'Europe. Elément non négligeable d'attractivité, elle se situe au 
2e rang mondial s'agissant de la qualité de vie selon le classement mondial International living. 
Afin de prendre toute la place qui leur revient dans la chaîne mondiale de la valeur ajoutée, les entrepreneurs brésiliens trouveront en France les partenaires pour 
concevoir et mettre en oeuvre les technologies du futur, qu'il s'agisse, entre autres, de l'avion électrique, des infrastructures intelligentes, des énergies durables, 
de la mobilité urbaine et interurbaine ou des immenses potentialités de la chimie du végétal. 
Pays continent, 7e économie mondiale, le Brésil exerce une attraction considérable attestée par la forte présence des entreprises étrangères. Les Français sont 
les 5e investisseurs étrangers avec 600 entreprises présentes employant plus de 600.000 salariés. L'économie brésilienne a bénéficié ces dernières années d'une 
croissance soutenue, en dépit des aléas survenus depuis 2008: le PIB a progressé en moyenne de 3,7 % en réel et 11 % en nominal par an au cours des 10 
dernières années. 
Au contraire des précédents cycles, cette croissance n'a pas généré de déséquilibres grâce à une gouvernance économique avisée et à l'action de la banque 
centrale: l'hyperinflation a été jugulée ; les finances publiques sont maîtrisées ; le chômage est contenu (5 % à fin mars 2014) ; le secteur bancaire est sain et les 
réserves en devises représentent plus de 12 mois d'importations de biens et de services. Le mouvement actuel de prévention envers les émergents doit donc 
être, s'agissant du Brésil, largement relativisé. 
A ces fondamentaux robustes s'ajoutent d'autres facteurs favorables: des ressources naturelles abondantes, un faible coût de l'énergie, une industrie de qualité, 
une agriculture compétitive et une démographie dynamique. São Paulo est une place financière active dotée d'outils flexibles de financement des entreprises. 
Enfin, les dirigeants brésiliens ont manifesté leur volonté de continuer les réformes sociales ambitieuses qui ont permis la croissance rapide des classes 
moyennes et d'accélérer les réformes structurelles. 
Le Forum économique France-Brésil a été conçu par les deux gouvernements comme un espace de dialogue durable. Il revient aux chefs d'entreprise de nos 
deux pays de l'investir et de l'utiliser comme une plate-forme favorisant une croissance rapide et volontariste de nos coopérations. 
Jean-Charles Naouri est représentant spécial du ministre des Affaires étrangères pour les relations économiques avec le Brésil, PDG du Groupe 
Casino et Président de Grupo Pão de Açúcar. 
Source: Les Echos - http://www.lesechos.fr/economie-france/conjoncture/0203490661540-france-bresil-batir-un-avenir-economique-en-commun-671239.php 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 50
A successful acquisition or partnership in Brazil may also endow 
the buyer with new, typically Brazilian qualities 
A few Brazilian qualities 
•Optimistic 
« Deus é brasileiro » 
•Entrepreneurial spirit 
« Tchau, e boas vendas ! » 
•Voluntary 
« Tudo é possível », « Jogo de cintura », « Jeitinho » 
•Creative 
« Na pratica, a teoria é outra » 
•Cooperative 
« Uma mão lava outra » 
•Cordial 
« Agua no feijão que chegou mais um » 
« Mais vale amigo na praça que dinheiro na caixa » 
« Beyond Brazilian oil’s potential, the 
most positive aspect of our 
acquisitions in Brazil is the impact 
Brazilian culture has had on our 
entire group » 
Thierry Pilenko, CEO, Technip 
Source: Popular Brazilian sayings, Technip 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 51
42, avenue Montaigne 
75008 Paris 
France 
Tél: +33 (0) 1 42 27 13 00 
www.neofocus.fr 
Thank you 
Contact: 
Jérôme Kelber 
jerome.kelber@neofocus.fr 
Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 52

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NeoFocus-Acquisitions and JV in Brazil: why and how to proceed?

  • 1. Acquisitions and Joint-Ventures in Brazil: Why and how to proceed ? Jérôme Kelber Paris, 05th June 2014 Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 1
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is specifically intended for Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Paris Ile de France and is published with their permission. Under no circumstances whatsoever this document, or any part of this document, should be communicated to third parties or copied without the prior consent of NeoFocus. The concepts and tools presented in this document are derived from our expertise and are proprietary to NeoFocus. We require our clients to commit to keep them strictly confidential. The acceptance of this document is an explicit commitment to maintain such level of confidentiality. The examples and data presented in this document are from public sources, interviews, or strictly illustrative. Although they have been collected with all the necessary professional care, they represent the best of our knowledge: in particular NeoFocus does not guarantee the accuracy or exhaustiveness of its estimates. The actions and deliverables presented should be adapted to the specificities of each project. This document is intended as a support for presentation and should not be used without the corresponding oral comments. Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 2
  • 3. NeoFocus is organized to provide professional services to support our customers’ growth initiatives Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 Sustainable and profitable growth CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 3 Our professional practices Organic growth External growth Portfolio management Profitability expansion Strategy practice . • Strategic Advisory • Strategic Consulting • Strategic Training Specialized practices . • Competition Law Cases / Antitrust • Innovation Booster Our customers’ growth projects Our assistance Corporate finance practice • M&A • Joint Ventures • Restructuring Local teams Experts
  • 4. Our international network allows us to conduct worldwide projects with integrated local teams Our international network of local professionals Paris Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 Inside access to international markets CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 4 New York New Delhi Tokyo Shanghai Chennai São Paulo Geneva Team Language Fluency: French English German Spanish Italian Portuguese Hindi Tamil Mandarin Japanese Cantonese Russian Team Business Experience: North America China Western Europe India Russia South Africa Brazil Argentina Australia SE Asia Japan
  • 5. Agenda Page 1. Why Brazil? 5 2. Why an acquisition or a joint-venture? 26 3. Identify the target 40 4. Conduct the transaction 44 5. Side benefits 48 6. Appendix 53 Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 5
  • 6. 11/2009 09/2013 Source: The Economist Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 6
  • 7. Brazil has been through 20 years of near-continuous growth Real GDP value 2013, 1994-2013 Real GDP growth, 1994-2013 5 000 4 500 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 Achievement: sustained and steady growth X1,8 X1,4 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 8,0% 7,0% 6,0% 5,0% 4,0% 3,0% 2,0% 1,0% 0,0% -1,0% 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 +3,1%/yr +2,8%/yr Source: IBGE (Instituto Brasileira de Geografia e Estatísticas) Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 7
  • 8. Brazil today ranks 7th amongst global economies and expects to reach 5th by 2020 Achievement: an economic superpower Exemplary economic • Inflation target: 5- 6%/y • Primary surplus • Floating exchange rate Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 8 Strong nominal growth • 2012: U$ 2,253 bn (x5) R$4,402 bn (x3) • 2002: U$ 504 bn (R$ 1,478 bn) • 45% of Latin America • 2014 projection: +1,7% • > Russia #8, >India #10 • <UK #6, France #5 Substantial Forex reserves • Brazil’s Forex reserves: ‒ 1999: $36 bn ‒ 2013: $376 bn • EU: $1,356 bn • USA: $135 bn • France: $54 bn policy 1) FDI: Foreign Direct Investment Source: World Bank, IBGE (Instituto Brasileira de Geografia e Estatísticas), Banco central do Brasil, Credit Suisse Growing FDI(1) • 2013: $65 bn foreign direct investments into Brazil (Russia: $94 bn; India: $28 bn) • 2014e: $70bn • 2002: $17bn, 2007: $35bn • #5 destination behind China, USA, UK & France
  • 9. Brazil’s macro-economics are sound Achievement: economic and financial stability Reassuring credit ratings • Investment grade reached: ‒ 2008: Standard & Poor’s + Fitch: BBB- ‒ 2009: Moody’s: Baa3 • 2014: ‒ Standard & Poor’s BBB, then BBB- on 24/03/2014 ‒ Moody’s BAA2 Improving “Country risk” • 2014: EMBI+spread: +245 basis points (2004: +541, 2002: +1445) • 2013: decreasing public debt (gross: 57,2% of GDP, net 33,8% of GDP) Tamed inflation • INPC: − 2014e: 4,5% − 2013: 5,9% − 2012: 5,85% − 1995: 2500% Early repayment of IMF loans • 1998: $41 bn IMF loan (Asian financial crisis) • 2002: $30 bn credit line (pre Lula’s election) • 2005: $26,3 bn early repayment of the amounts used • Forex reserves: ‒ 1999: $36 bn ‒ 2013: $376 bn ‒ UE $1,356 bn, USA $135 bn, France $54 bn Source: Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, Fitch, IBGE (Instituto Brasileira de Geografia e Estatisticas), INPC Indice Nacional de Preços ao Consumidor, JP Morgan EMBI Emerging Market Bond Index Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 9
  • 10. Brazilian population’s own views on Brazil’s current economic situation is certainly much more positive than The Economist’s… Military régime (01/04/1964 – 15/03/1985) Nova República (15/03/1985 – today) Cumulative inflation 1970 - 2000: 602 702 873 063 167% (602 trillion %) Between 1985 and 1995: 12 finance ministers 416% 65% 1783% 1038% 2781% 1477% 480% 1158% 15% Yearly inflation 3000% 2500% 2000% 1500% 1000% 500% 0% Since 1995: 12 finance ministers 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Cruzeiro novo 13/02/1967 Cruzeiro 01/11/1942 Real (Portugal) Reis (conto 106) Successive Brazilian currencies Real 01/07/1994 Cruzeiro real 01/08/1993 Cruzeiro 16/03/1990 Cruzado novo 16/01/1989 Cruzado 28/02/1986 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 19% 19% 16% 16% 35% 35% 46% 39% 41% 77% 110% 95% 100% 211% 224% 235% 65% 416% 1038% 1783% 1477% 480% 1158% 2781% 1094% 15% 9% 7% 2% 20% IGP-DI ((Indicie Geral de Preços de Mercado-Disponibilidade Interna). De 1989 à 1997, IGP-M (Indicie Geral de Preços de Mercado). Nova República ou Sexta República Brasileira Source: IPEA (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada), Almanaque Folha, Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 10
  • 11. Brazil’s economic performance must propel other development components, or else growth may slow down Strengths •Under control, favorable demography • Immediate demographic window of opportunity •Abundant natural resources •Fast growing middle class •Strong internal consumption demand Challenges/Opportunities •Significant degrading of trade balance •Domestic added value still too limited • Infrastructure must be significantly improved •Political, administrative and fiscal systems in need of improvements •Social inequalities remain strong: – education – public health • Economic growth engines are present and sustainable • Growth relies in part on the domestic market •Economic growth has exerted extra pressure on the economic, political and social structures • Deep reforms are necessary to avoid holding up development Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 11
  • 12. Demography makes Brazil a major country, without excessive pressure in the short term Population Strength: under control, favorable demography •2013: 199 million inhabitants • 50% of LatAm (404 M), 40% of the European Union (507 M), 3 x France (66 M) •Urbanization: 86% of total population (France: 85%) •Density: 23 inhabitants / km² (France: 114) 248 million in 2050 Demography • 30% <14 year old, • 62% <30 yo • Mild demographic pressure • ~1500: ~5 M inhabitants • 2013: 897,000 indians, inc. 67 uncontacted tribes (World’s #1) • 1960: 62 M • 1980: 120 M • 2000: 175 M Source: IPEA (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada), Motoboy Zona Norte Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 12
  • 13. The strong decrease of Brazil’s birth rate makes it a young country with an immediate but rather short term window of opportunity Strength: an immediate demographic window of opportunity Age pyramid, by gender, 2000 and 2035e Source: IPEA (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada), Male Female Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 13
  • 14. Brazil benefits from abundant natural resources Strength: abundant natural resources Natural resources •“Green gold”: 8% of world’s arable land: 595 M ha, of which only 75 M ha are cultivated (13%) • 1st exporter of biofuels (2d producer of bioethanol), coffee, orange juice, beef and poultry meat, soya, tobacco… • n°1 GMO surface in the world •“Black gold”: 2,6 M barrels/day (=Kuwait) • Should quadruple thanks to the mega pre-salt reserves discovered in 2006 off the shores of the Rio state •Will make Brazil one of the world’s largest producers (Russia 10,3 Mb/day, Saudi Arabia 10,0 Mb/day) •“Grey gold”: 3rd world producer of iron, natural resources in bauxite, gold, manganese, nickel, phosphates, platinum,… •“Blue gold”: 12% of world’s fresh water reserves, producing 93% of Brazil’s electricity Source: US Energy Information Administration, Jeune Afrique; Le Temps, Index Mundi, FAO Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 14
  • 15. Brazil’s economic development has enabled a fast growth of the middle class, which now constitutes over half of the population Strength: fast growth of the middle class A Upper-upper B Lower-upper C Middle D Poor 536 282 802 422 E Very poor 0 0 536 282 M people % A & B C D & E 8,8 12,9 45,6 55,4 92,9 83,3 13,3 65,9 96,2 22,5 105,5 63,6 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1993 1995 2003 2011 2012: 1US$ = 1,90 R$ Source: SAE (Serviço de Analises Estatisticas), FGV/CPS (Fundação Getúlio Vargas – Centro de Políticas Sociais), Quest Investimentos Household monthly income (2012) Min Max Class R$ US$ R$ US$ class 4963 2612 14521 7643 class 1731 911 4963 2612 class 802 422 1731 911 Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 15
  • 16. B2C: high growth of GDP and income per capita have induced a high growth of domestic demand Strength: strong domestic consumer demand Per capita GDP, US$, 1994-2013 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 X10 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: IPEA (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada), Motoboy Zona Norte (IPEA), Shopping Cidade Jardim Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 16
  • 17. Brazil’s domestic demand development strongly impacts its trade balance Challenge: significant degradation of trade balance Trade balance, 12 months accrued, US bn 2003: ‒ Exports $73 bn ‒ Imports $48 bn ‒ Balance +$25 bn Source: SECEX/MDIC, 2013: ‒ Exports $242 bn (x3,3 vs 2003) ‒ Imports $240 bn (x5 vs 2003) ‒ Balance +$2 bn Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 17
  • 18. B2B: Brazil’s domestic added value must grow Challenge/opportunity: domestic added value still too limited Exports by category of value Source: SECEX/MDIC addition, %, 2013 Imports by category of value addition, %, 2013 Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 18
  • 19. Brazil has created the conditions of a $600 bn+ ambitious investment program in infrastructure Challenge/opportunity: infrastructure need significant upgrade Improving infrastructure • Ports (Paranaguá – PR, Santos – SP, Vitória – ES, Suape – PE) • 2012 Concessions Act – competition between private and public ports • Airports (Cumbica – SP, Viracopos – SP, Manaus – AM, Fortaleza – CE) • Concessions for Galeão-RJ (Odebrecht), Cumbica-SP (Ivepar/ACSA S. Afr.) • Road network • Programa de Inv. em Logistica (PIL-PAC), concession of 7,000 km of motorways • Corredor logístico BR-163 – Rio Tapajos (MT >PA, soya, Bunge, Cargill, Hidrovias do Brasil and Cianport) • Railway network • Concession of 11,000 km of railways (on a total network of 29 000 km1) (1) Total railways network length: USA 225 000 km, China 86 000 km, France 30 000 km, Brazil 29 000 km Source: Layher Scaffolding, LLX, Brasil Econômico, other Porto do Açu, RJ Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 19
  • 20. Significant progress must still be made on the political, administrative, fiscal fronts … Challenge: Political, administrative and fiscal systems need improvements Political, administrative and fiscal complexity Corruption Source: Veja Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 20
  • 21. … in education as well, as it now slows down the country’s economic development… Challenge: social inequalities remain strong - Education Literacy map of Brazil (2009) Illiteracy by age and gender (2009) Source: MTE-Minstério do Trabalho e Emprego PNAD 2009, blog Leticia Pinheiro Education Private Public Total Female Male - Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 21
  • 22. Brazil’s education sector is highly under dimensioned compared to the needs of its economy… Challenge: social inequalities remain strong - Education PISA 2012 – Students’ performance in mathematics – selected countries Brazil OECD Source: PISA Programme for International Student Assessment 2012, performance of students in mathematics, median, on a selection of countries •In 2012, Brazil ranked 57 out of 65 participants to PISA (math, reading and science) • Difference of resources between socio-economically favored and disadvantaged schools was one of the largest: 4th out of 62 • The percentage of students having repeated at least one class was one of the highest: 7th out of 64 Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 22
  • 23. …and the same applies to public health, a long term instability factor Challenge: social inequalities remain strong – Public health •2013: •Health spending: 7,6% of GDP, of which public sector 46% (USA: 15,2% / 45%, Germany: 11,1% / 78%, LatAm: 6,7% / 54%) •1 nurse per 1000 inhabitants (OECD: 4/1000) •Geographic distribution is unequal, some regions receive much less than others, of which the North and North-East are prime examples - This queue is for those who wait. - And this one for those who don’t need to wait anymore. SUS: Sistema Único de Saúde – Brazil’s Public Health System, created by the constitution of 1988, on which 80% Brazilians depend Source: Rede Brasil Atual, TopSeguroSaude.com.br, MundiHoje.com.br Salvador (BA) public hospital Natal (RN) public hospital Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 23
  • 24. Brazil’s impressive economic performance is yet to have a positive impact on other components of development Brazil’s Human Development Index (HDI) 2012 •Index: 0.73 •Rank: 85 HDI trend 1980 - 2012 1,000 0,950 0,900 0,850 0,800 0,750 0,700 0,650 0,600 0,550 0,500 980 985 990 995 2000 Source: UNDP (United Ntions Development Programme) Components •Health: life expectancy at birth (years) 73,8 •Education: average education (years) 7,2 •Income: GDP per capita (in constant 2005 US$) $10 152 •Inequalities: inequalities-adjusted HDI 0,531 •Poverty: multi-dimensional poverty index 0,011 •Gender: gender inequality index 0,447 2005 2010 2015 Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 24
  • 25. France’s Human Development Index (HDI) France’s Human Development Index (HDI) 2012 •Index: 0.893 •Rank: 20 HDI trend 1980 - 2012 1,000 0,950 0,900 0,850 0,800 0,750 0,700 0,650 0,600 0,550 0,500 980 985 990 995 2000 Source: UNDP (United Ntions Development Programme) Components •Health: life expectancy at birth (years) 81,7 •Education: average education (years) 10,6 •Income: GDP per capita (in constant 2005 US$) $30 277 •Inequalities: inequalities-adjusted HDI 0,812 •Poverty: multi-dimensional poverty index n.d. •Gender: gender inequality index 0,083 2005 2010 2015 Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 25
  • 26. Agenda Page 1. Why Brazil? 5 2. Why an acquisition or a joint-venture? 26 3. Identify the target 40 4. Conduct the transaction 44 5. Side benefits 48 6. Appendix 53 Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 26
  • 27. Brazil’s economic performance must propel other development components, or else growth will slow down Weaknesses / Risks •Multiple import barriers: - Mercosul - Protectionism in Brazil •Strong labor shortage •Long lasting shortage of skilled labor •Very high cost of capital •Weak innovation ecosystem Opportunities / Risks •High margins •Numerous incentives •Social inequalities remain strong - Education - Public health •The combination of protectionist policies and strong recent economic development have multiplied the bottlenecks in Brazil •Realization of growth potential has therefore been limited •Brazilian authorities are aware of the need to support local implementation of foreign companies to modernize the economy •The benefits of a local implantation are many Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions et JV au Brésil 27
  • 28. Brazil is part of Mercosul, a free trade zone with few barriers internally, but with substantial import barriers from outside Weakness: import barriers Mercosul •Mercosul •Created by the treaty of Asunción on 26/03/1991, signed by Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay and 6 “associate members” (Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Equador, Peru, Venezuela) • Zero import duties on goods traded within the area (with a few exceptions) • Trade with third party countries is subject to a Common External Tariff (CET), with duty rates of 0 to 20% (14% on average). Each state can also decide unilaterally to impose a temporary rate of up to 35% • Since 2010, member states can also make exceptions to the CET on up to 100 products • Every 6 months, 20% of the CET tariffs can be modified Pacific Alliance vs Mercosul Source: Commission Européenne (http://madb.europa.eu/madb/barriers_result.htm?sectors=none&countries=BR&measures=none) , Wall Street Journal, Quartz qz.com, CommSec Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 28
  • 29. Access to the Brazilian market by exporters is made difficult by a number of measures Weakness: import barriers Brazil’s protectionism •Import restrictions • Import duties (see Mercosul) • Import licenses • Specific domestic standards (e.g. labelling and user guides in Portuguese) • Special regimes (telecoms, insurance, sea shipping, textiles and leather) • FDI limitations or specific conditions on certain sectors (air transport, agriculture, health, rail/road/sea shipping, cash handling, architecture, postal services,…) •National preference on 25% of public tenders • The « Buy Brazil Act » n°12.349/10 (15/12/2010) amends public tender regulations (federal, state and municipal levels): they are open to international bidders provided they have a legal entity in Brazil, and preference is given to goods and services produced in Brazil on 25% of the public tenders •WTO: •WTO ranks Brazil as n°1 for new protectionist measures enacted in 2013: 39 measures identified in Brazil out of 407 identified in total (India ranks n°2, USA n°3, Argentina n°4) • The EU which absorbs 20% of Brazil’s exports, formally sued Brazil at the WTO for its vehicle import duty (30%) Voitures FIAT à Oliveira (MG) Source: SECEX, European Commission (http://madb.europa.eu/madb/barriers_result.htm?sectors=none&countries=BR&measures=none) , february 2014 WTO report, Reuters Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 29
  • 30. Brazil’s accelerated development created an “economy of shortage” in many respects, and particularly in terms of workforce 14,0% 12,0% 10,0% 8,0% 6,0% 4,0% 2,0% 0,0% Weakness: labor shortage Unemployment rate(1), metropolitan areas, 2002-2013 2002.03 2002.09 2003.03 2003.09 2004.03 2004.09 2005.03 2005.09 2006.03 2006.09 2007.03 2007.09 2008.03 2008.09 2009.03 2009.09 2010.03 2010.09 2011.03 2011.09 2012.03 2012.09 2013.03 2013.09 (1) Taxa de Desemprego (período de referência de 30 dias), das pessoas de 10 anos ou mais de idade, por Regiões Metropolitanas, Frequência: Mensal de 2002.03 até 2014.02, Regiões metropolitanas (RMs): Recife, Salvador, Belo Horizonte, Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo e Porto Alegre. Atualizado em: 27/03/2014 Source: IPEA (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada), IBGE Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 30
  • 31. Skilled and experienced workforce is not sufficiently available to cover the needs of the economy Weakness: lasting shortage of skilled workforce Manpower - Global Talent Survey (2013, extract) % of companies meeting difficulties in recruiting in 42 countries 85% 68% 61% Brazil (n°2): 68% World average: 35% France (n°26): 33% 41% 41% 39% 38% 37% 35% 35% 35% 34% 33% 32% 30% 28% 22% 21% 17% 13% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Japan Brazil India Argentina Austria U.S. Mexico Switzerland Germany Global average China Canada France Poland Colombia Peru Belgium Norway Italy UK Spain Ireland North Am. South Am. Europe+ME Asia Source: Manpower, MTE-Minstério do Trabalho e Emprego, MBAatlântico, Policia Federal 3% 3% Work permits granted to foreigners, per year Year Number 2009 42 914 2010 56 006 2011 70 524 2012 73 022 • 88% technical or higher education • Number of foreigners living in Brazil: 942 000 (+84% since 2000: 510 000) • Active population 2012: 95,3 million • 2013: simplification of work permit attribution conditions Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 31
  • 32. The high cost of capital favors FDI1 but penalizes the capitalization and growth of Brazilian companies Weakness: high cost of capital Very high interest rates. • Day to day interest rate of the Central Bank: (SELIC): 10,65% (2014) • => Commercial interest rates (per annum) • 35-45% (for businesses) • 45-100% (for households) SELIC2 rates (day to day, annual equivalent, 1996-2014) % Max 45% 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 (11/09/1998) Today 10,75% ((27/02/2014) janvier-96 janvier-97 janvier-98 janvier-99 janvier-00 janvier-01 janvier-02 janvier-03 janvier-04 janvier-05 janvier-06 janvier-07 janvier-08 janvier-09 janvier-10 janvier-11 janvier-12 janvier-13 janvier-14 (1) FDI: Foreign Direct Investments (2) (2) The SELIC rate is a day to day rate target fixed by COPOM (Comitê de Politica Monetaria do Banco Central do Brasil). It is the rate on which the Central Bank of Brazil bases its loans to banks and is used in Brazilian economy as a reference index to determine interest rates Source: Banco Central do Brasil, Istoe. Illustrations Fundação Amazônia Paraense, charge Cicerex Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 32
  • 33. Brazil ranks #64 / 142 countries for its capability to generate innovation Weakness: a weak innovation ecosystem •The « Global Innovation Index » measures the capacity of a country to innovate through the evaluation of an exhaustive set of components contributing to innovation generation •Institutions: • Political, legal, « ease of doing business » •Human capital and research activities • Education, higher education, R&D activities (public and private) •Infrastructure • Accessibility of IT & communication technologies, other infrastructure •Market sophistication • Credit, investment, trade, competition •Business sophistication • Knowledge workers, university/industry links, knowledge importation •Innovation production • Knowledge creation, impact and diffusion • Innovation production: immaterial assets, innovative products and services, online creativity Global Innovation Index 2013 5-USA 14-Israel 15-Germany 20-France 22-Japan 26-Spain 29-Italy 28-Czech Republic Brazil 35-China 46-Chile 52-Uruguay 54-Serbia 55-Greece 56-Argentina 57-Thailand 58-South Africa 60-Colombia 62-Russian Fed. 32-Malaysia 114-Venezuela, Bolivarian… 63-Mexico 64-Brazil 65-Bosnia 66-India 68-Turkey 69-Peru 71-Ukraine 85-Indonesia 92-Morocco North Am. South Am. Europe+ME Asia 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2-Sweden 3-Ukraine 1-Switzerland Source: www.globalinnovationindex.org Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 33
  • 34. Due to its history, Brazil developed a very specific culture, making it a complex environment to operate in Risk: strong and sometimes invisible local specificities Different contexts and environments… Institutions Natural environment Economy Family circle History Religion Source: Geert Hofstede, NeoFocus …result in different cultures • Geert Hofstede’s cultural profiling model Power distance 100 80 60 40 20 0 Long term orientation Brazil France Uncertainty Assertiveness avoidance Power distance Individualism Assertive ness Uncertainty avoidance Individualism Long term orientation Brazil 69 38 49 76 65 France 68 71 43 86 39 Social circle Professional circle Society Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 34
  • 35. In 2013, Brazil ranked #72 / 177 amongst least corrupted countries, on par with South Africa, Serbia and Bosnia Risk: corruption still present Corruption Perception Index 2013 Source: Transparency International. • 2013 ranking (extract): ‒ Denmark n°1 (score: 91) ‒ Canada: n°9 (score: 81) ‒ Germany: n°12 (score: 78) ‒ UK: n°14 (score: 76) ‒ US: n°19 (score: 73) ‒ France: n°22 (score: 71) ‒ Spain: n°40 (score: 59) ‒ Cuba: n°63 (score: 46) ‒ Italy: n°69 (score: 43) ‒ China: n°80 (score: 40) ‒ Morocco: n°91 (score: 37) ‒ India, Colombia: n°94 (score: 36) ‒ Argentina: n°106 (score: 34) ‒ Russia: n°127 (score: 28) ‒ Ukraine, Iran: n°144 (score: 25) ‒ Venezuela: n°160 (score: 20) ‒ Afghanistan, North Korea, Somalia: n°175 (score:8) • The « Corruption Perceptions Index » each year measures the perceived level of corruption of 177 countries. 69% of the World’s countries score less than 50 (0=totally corrupt, 100 totally « clean ») • Corruption is estimated based on the perception of country analysts, members of the business community and members of the public in each country Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 35
  • 36. An efficient and well organized Brazilian company can generate very high margins, protected by high entry barriers Opportunity: very high margins Being on the right side of the entry barriers… …provides opportunities for high margins •The cost structures of importers on one hand and local producers on the other are very different, greatly favoring local producers Selling price Margin Margin Costs Importer Local producer Taxes Margin Costs (Source: CommSec, Quartz qz.com, NeoFocus Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 36
  • 37. Brazilian authorities actively support investment projects in their country at federal, state and municipal levels Opportunity: very significant incentives Example: APEX Brasil - Agência Brasileira de Promoção de Exportações e Investimentos Source: ApexBrasil (Agência Brasileira de Promoção de Exportações e Investimentos, Brazilian Trade and Investment Promotion Agency) Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 37
  • 38. The winning entry strategy in Brazil: transform an existing Brazilian company by providing locally rare or expensive resources Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 Advantage of the acquisition / partnership strategy CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 38 Innovative products, technology Individual and collective competencies Financial resources •A local entity makes it possible to avoid import barriers • No discrimination of foreign shareholders • « Be Brazilian » - just like everyone else •Efficiency • Leverage existing strengths of the target (e.g. market share, distribution network, suppliers, partners, skills,…) • Faster than organic growth • Improves chances of success •Consistent with the necessary modernization of the Brazilian economy •Will be well received by Brazilian companies •Will be encouraged by Brazilian authorities •Difficult to replicate by local companies • Brazilian companies often have little experience abroad
  • 39. French companies are in a particularly good position to seize these opportunities due to their excellent relationships – past and present Brazil is a « priority action country » for France •4 heads of state meetings in 2008 and 2009 •Bilateral strategic partnership signed 12/2008 •Economic and trade cooperation •Defense cooperation (€6 bn) •Other partnerships in space, nuclear power, renewable energies, science & education •Dilma Rousseff visited France in 2012, François Hollande Brazil in 2013 •Launch of the Brazil-France Economic Forum (permanent, public institutions + private companies, meeting in Paris on 20/05/2014) Source: Ouest France, AFP Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 39
  • 40. Agenda Page 1. Why Brazil? 5 2. Why an acquisition or a joint-venture? 26 3. Identify the target 40 4. Conduct the transaction 44 5. Side benefits 48 6. Appendix 53 Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 40
  • 41. Brazil’s fast, recent development has generated a “shortage economy” The target of your dreams does not exist Consider a transformation process •Development challenges related to Brazil’s economy ‒ Fewer companies ‒ Less developed •Rocky history of Brazil’s economy ‒ Fewer companies ‒ Very resilient •Recent success of Brazil’s economy ‒ The ideal target has already been acquired or is being courted by virtually everybody •Imagine a business model •Adapt this business model to the specificities of the Brazilian environment •Identify assets and skills that must be found in Brazil and those that can be brought in at a later stage •Envisage several acquisitions •The integration plan is fundamental to the success of the acquisition or partnership Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 41
  • 42. Identifying a suitable Brazilian company for an acquisition or partnership is a long and complex process Identifying a target is a complex process Practical solutions exist, although they are often tedious •Size and complexity of Brazil •Numerous criteria to consider: − Business quality − Company governance − Compliance with rules & regulations (accounts, fiscal, labor…) − Openness of shareholders to enter into a discussion •Few formal information sources, often only in Portuguese •Set realistic goals •Use time to your advantage: ‒ Give yourself time! ‒ Examine several targets in parallel ‒ Keep watch of “inaccessible” targets •Use local networks (trade associations, personal networks) •Validate information locally obtained from informal sources (interviews) Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 42
  • 43. Local presence and partners are a must Brazilian specificities are numerous and often invisible •Brazil’s history and “melting pot” of populations resulted in Brazil’s very own culture •Brazilians are patriots and they are extremely proud of their nation •Nothing moves without direct, personal, frequent, often informal contacts •The “group”, the “community” are all-important in Brazil: it is paramount to integrate into Brazilian society in order to succeed Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 43
  • 44. Agenda Page 1. Why Brazil? 5 2. Why an acquisition or a joint-venture? 26 3. Identify the target 40 4. Conduct the transaction 44 5. Side benefits 48 6. Appendix 53 Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 44
  • 45. Conducting a transaction in Brazil requires entering and integrating into the Brazilian business environment How to succeed in an acquisition or partnership? Be supported by experienced local professionals •In Brazil, everything is possible… •…the Brazilian way! •Brazilian companies are mainly family-owned and little accustomed to international business practices •For the past few years they have often been courted by buyers / partners from all over the World •Establishing trust is a pre-requisite to entering fruitful discussions •Motivations and objectives of your Brazilian interlocutors differ from your own: •They may prove difficult to understand without local assistance •They may prove difficult to explain to your shareholders, board, other decision-makers •Local professional assistance will be key in tackling these hurdles Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 45
  • 46. A structured process enables you to keep in control of project steering, improves chances of success and diminishes risks Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5 External due diligence Initial contacts Acquisition business Due diligence Negotiation Signature Integration Crucial Lawyer: Only written words remain Brazilian culture plan Must include sensitivity analyses to model the possible volatility of economic parameters Fundamental « Compliance » is often not a key quality of Brazilian businesses Identification Business model French buyer often has the advantage of the vision of the future business model, but it needs local adaptation Establish trust first, aim for cooperation Show advantages for the two parties Deciphering the target’s environment provides very important keys and cues Make use of time: allow ample time, scrutinize multiple targets in parallel, keep watch of “inaccessible” targets Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 46
  • 47. The main hurdles associated with realization of an acquisition or partnership can be avoided through careful preparation Main problems in the due diligence of Brazilian targets Main causes of failure when investing in Brazil •Significant fiscal, environment or social risks •A degree of informality in operations (unregistered operations, several books of accounts) •Significant undocumented transactions by partners / shareholders • Insufficient internal controls, which cause financial documents to be irrelevant •Debatable accounting practices, requiring significant adjustments of EBITDA and net assets •Unforeseen fiscal and social problems •Excessive legal and administrative red tape • Information at hand proves unreliable •Market volatility • Insufficient due diligence prior to investment •Underestimating time required to complete transaction •Overestimating synergies or production gains • Insufficient quality of acquired target’s management Source: pwc do Brasil, « Doing deals in Brazil », 2011 Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 47
  • 48. Agenda Page 1. Why Brazil? 5 2. Why an acquisition or a joint-venture? 26 3. Identify the target 40 4. Conduct the transaction 44 5. Side benefits 48 6. Appendix 53 Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 48
  • 49. Brazil’s and Europe’s macro-economics are complementary and propitious to fruitful partnerships Maps to same scale Brazil •Developing economy •Young population •Strongly needs investments •Workforce shortage, particularly skilled workforce •Innovation and technology shortage •… Europe •Mature economy •Growing share of senior citizens •Slow growth, requiring little investment •High unemployment, including within highly skilled workforce •Dense innovation and technology network (R&D, investors, incentives…) •… Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 49
  • 50. « France-Brésil: bâtir un avenir économique en commun » par Jean-Charles Naouri – Les Echos, 16 mai 2014 Le 20 mai se tiendra à Paris le Forum économique France-Brésil ouvert par Mauro Borges, ministre du Développement, de l'Industrie et du Commerce du Brésil, et Laurent Fabius, ministre des Affaires étrangères, du Développement international et du Tourisme. Alors même que le partenariat franco-brésilien connaît une phase de développement important, il constitue une chance de renforcer durablement les échanges entre les entrepreneurs des deux pays. Le dynamisme et l'esprit de conquête des entrepreneurs brésiliens pourraient s'exprimer pleinement sur le marché français qui présente toutes les caractéristiques d'une porte d'accès privilégiée au marché européen, premier du monde avec 500 millions de consommateurs, près de 18.000 milliards de dollars de PIB courant et une économie qui renoue avec la croissance. L'attractivité de la France pour les investissements étrangers repose sur un ensemble de facteurs qualitatifs mis en avant par les classements internationaux: des ingénieurs hautement qualifiés et parmi les plus innovants du monde, d'excellentes infrastructures de transport, la sécurité juridique des contrats, un accès au crédit facilité avec des taux d'intérêt particulièrement bas, le crédit impôt-recherche qui place la France en tête des dispositifs d'incitation fiscale à la R&D dans les pays de l'OCDE, enfin des coûts d'implantation et d'exploitation avantageux pour les entreprises étrangères. Grâce aux jeunes issus de l'immigration, la France compte la seconde communauté lusophone d'Europe. Elément non négligeable d'attractivité, elle se situe au 2e rang mondial s'agissant de la qualité de vie selon le classement mondial International living. Afin de prendre toute la place qui leur revient dans la chaîne mondiale de la valeur ajoutée, les entrepreneurs brésiliens trouveront en France les partenaires pour concevoir et mettre en oeuvre les technologies du futur, qu'il s'agisse, entre autres, de l'avion électrique, des infrastructures intelligentes, des énergies durables, de la mobilité urbaine et interurbaine ou des immenses potentialités de la chimie du végétal. Pays continent, 7e économie mondiale, le Brésil exerce une attraction considérable attestée par la forte présence des entreprises étrangères. Les Français sont les 5e investisseurs étrangers avec 600 entreprises présentes employant plus de 600.000 salariés. L'économie brésilienne a bénéficié ces dernières années d'une croissance soutenue, en dépit des aléas survenus depuis 2008: le PIB a progressé en moyenne de 3,7 % en réel et 11 % en nominal par an au cours des 10 dernières années. Au contraire des précédents cycles, cette croissance n'a pas généré de déséquilibres grâce à une gouvernance économique avisée et à l'action de la banque centrale: l'hyperinflation a été jugulée ; les finances publiques sont maîtrisées ; le chômage est contenu (5 % à fin mars 2014) ; le secteur bancaire est sain et les réserves en devises représentent plus de 12 mois d'importations de biens et de services. Le mouvement actuel de prévention envers les émergents doit donc être, s'agissant du Brésil, largement relativisé. A ces fondamentaux robustes s'ajoutent d'autres facteurs favorables: des ressources naturelles abondantes, un faible coût de l'énergie, une industrie de qualité, une agriculture compétitive et une démographie dynamique. São Paulo est une place financière active dotée d'outils flexibles de financement des entreprises. Enfin, les dirigeants brésiliens ont manifesté leur volonté de continuer les réformes sociales ambitieuses qui ont permis la croissance rapide des classes moyennes et d'accélérer les réformes structurelles. Le Forum économique France-Brésil a été conçu par les deux gouvernements comme un espace de dialogue durable. Il revient aux chefs d'entreprise de nos deux pays de l'investir et de l'utiliser comme une plate-forme favorisant une croissance rapide et volontariste de nos coopérations. Jean-Charles Naouri est représentant spécial du ministre des Affaires étrangères pour les relations économiques avec le Brésil, PDG du Groupe Casino et Président de Grupo Pão de Açúcar. Source: Les Echos - http://www.lesechos.fr/economie-france/conjoncture/0203490661540-france-bresil-batir-un-avenir-economique-en-commun-671239.php Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 50
  • 51. A successful acquisition or partnership in Brazil may also endow the buyer with new, typically Brazilian qualities A few Brazilian qualities •Optimistic « Deus é brasileiro » •Entrepreneurial spirit « Tchau, e boas vendas ! » •Voluntary « Tudo é possível », « Jogo de cintura », « Jeitinho » •Creative « Na pratica, a teoria é outra » •Cooperative « Uma mão lava outra » •Cordial « Agua no feijão que chegou mais um » « Mais vale amigo na praça que dinheiro na caixa » « Beyond Brazilian oil’s potential, the most positive aspect of our acquisitions in Brazil is the impact Brazilian culture has had on our entire group » Thierry Pilenko, CEO, Technip Source: Popular Brazilian sayings, Technip Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 51
  • 52. 42, avenue Montaigne 75008 Paris France Tél: +33 (0) 1 42 27 13 00 www.neofocus.fr Thank you Contact: Jérôme Kelber jerome.kelber@neofocus.fr Company confidential - © NeoFocus Strategy & Finance 2014 CCI Paris IDF - 20140605 - Acquisitions and JV in Brazil 52