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Presentación Colombia –
Inglés
March – 2015
Colombia
Investment Environment and
Business Opportunities in
Colombia
About us
PROCOLOMBIA
We promote exports, tourism, investment and industrial expansion for
internationalization. We integrate the work of the Country Brand within the
strategic planning of Colombia’s promotion worldwide.
Presence in Colombia
25
Regional Offices
8
Information centers
Barranquilla, Bogotá.
Bucaramanga. Cali. Cartagena.
Cúcuta. Medellín. Pereira
Valledupar. Pasto. Palmira. Armenia = Universidad
Gran Colombia – Cámara de Comercio.
Villavicencio. Boyacá = Tunja - Duitama - Sogamoso.
Ibagué. Santa Marta. San Andrés. Aburrá Sur. Neiva.
Barranquilla = Cámara comercio – Universidad del
Norte. Cartagena. Medellín. Bucaramanga. Cali =
Cámara de Comercio. Pereira. Bogotá. Manizales.
Cúcuta.
PROCOLOMBIA around the world
United States. Canada. Mexico. Guatemala. Costa Rica.
Caribbean. Venezuela. Brazil. Ecuador. Chile. Peru. Argentina.
Spain. Germany. Portugal. United Kingdom. France. Turkey.
United Arab Emirates. India. China. South Korea. Russia. Japan.
Singapore. Indonesia.
26 commercial offices
Presence in 30 countries
PROCOLOMBIA Services
PROCOLOMBIA Services
PROCOLOMBIA Services
General Facts
Colombia is the country with
the highest biodiversity per
km2
It is among the 17most megadiverse
countries of the planet.

55%
of the population is less than 30
years old. There are nine cities
with over 500 thousand people.
With an extension of
1,141,000 km2 almost 3 times
the size of California and twice the size of
Texas.
Colombia is the only
country in South America
with access to both, the
Atlantic and the Pacific
ocean.
Times of great economic achievements
GDP Jan - Sep 2014: +5.0%
GDP Jan – Sep 2013: +4.4%
Higher than the Latin American average
growth (1.3%).
Controlled
Inflation 2014: 3.66%
Below target inflation
Unemployment rate 2014: 9.1%
Unemployment rate 2013: 9.6%.
FDI up to Q3 2014: US$11,840
FDIup to Q3: US$ 12,431
Figures in US Millions
1.02 million barrels per
day of oil production
Third largest producer in South America
A competitive location with easy access
to markets around the globe
Mexico City
4H45M
Los Angeles
8H20M
Quito
1H30M
Lima
3H00M
Peru
Ecuador
México
United States
Canada
Brazil
Argentina
Chile
Spain
France
Germany
Over 935 weekly direct international flights.
More than 6,197 weekly domestic flights.
Less than 6 hours to the main capital cities
in Latin America.
More than 20 different airlines
operating in Colombia.
New York
5H35M
Toronto
6H05M
Caracas
1H20M
Santiago
Chile
5H00M
Buenos Aires
6H15M
Sao Paulo
5H45M
Madrid
9H40M
Paris
10H40M
Frankfurt
11H15M
Colombia is within the 30th largest economy in the
world and one of the largest non-OECD economies
150
226
302
300
397
425
373
432
448
387
401
415
595
600
1,089
1,176
1,790
2,324
New Zealand
Denmark
Israel
Norway
Peru
Hong Kong
Chile
Sweden
Belgium
Singapore
Switzerland
Vietnam
Colombia
Malaysia
Australia
Mexico
Brazil
Germany
GDP at PPP – 2015 en
US$ Billion
Note: GDP adapted to Purchasing
Power Parity PPP. Projected data.
Source: FMI . 2014
The highest expected growth in 2014 among Latam’s
major economies
Source: IMF (World Economic Outlook Update – January 2015)
e = estimated
4.8%
2.5%
2.1%
1.7%
1.2%
0.1%
-0.4%
-4.0%
Latin America
and
Caribbean
(Average
growth)
Expected growth of Gross Domestic Product,
2014e
High investment in housing and infrastructure (12% growth)
Growth in private consumption (4.6%)
Solid labor market
Public expenditure
Colombian growth
drivers according to
OECD
Peru and Colombia, the top growing economies in the
coming years
Source: IMF (World Economic Outlook – January 2015)
e = estimated
Gross Domestic Product, average growth
2015e
4.00% 3.80%
3.20%
2.80%
1.30%
0.30%
-1.30%
-7.00%
Low inflation
2.9% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2%
6.2%
69.8%
Peru Colombia Mexico Chile Brasil Venezuela
Average Latin
America and
Caribbean*
3.98%
Inflation, percent variation
2014e
Source: IMF (World Economic Outlook – October
2014)
* The average doesn’t include Venezuela and
Macroeconomic stability and strong economic
performance in the long term
P: Projected
Source: DANE; Banco de la República; Fedesarrrollo July 2014, EIU - Economist
Intelligence Unit . 2014
* 2014 inflation and unemployment rate given by DANE
Inflation
GDP
Unemployment rate
15.6
14.1 13.7
11.8 12.0
11.2 11.3
12.0 11.8
10.8 10.4
9.6
7.0 6.5
5.5
4.9 4.5
5.7
7.7
2.0
3.7
2.4 1.9
9.1 9.0 8.9 8.9 8.6
3.7 3.4 3.6 3.5 3.3
2.5
3.9
5.3
4.7
6.7 6.9
3.5
1.7
4.0
6.6
4.0
4.7 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.6
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014p 2015p 2016p 2017p 2018p
GDP Growth, Inflation and unemployment Rate 2002 –
2018p (%)
Colombia has continuously decreased its poverty
levels
49.7%
30.6%
29.3%
17.7%
9.1% 8.4%
16.3%
29.6%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jun 2014
Poverty
Middle class
Extreme poverty
Source: Poverty: National Administrative Department of Statistics – DANE
Middle class: The gained decade: the evolution of the middle class in Colombia between 2002 and 2011.
Documento CEDE # 50. Universidad de los Andes. And RADDAR for 2013 data.
Percentage of people in poverty
2002 – 2014
A rapidly expanding middle class
2.9%
4.1%
4.2%
4.7%
5.5%
Average real growth of consumer
expenditure, 2014 – 2018
Middle class* in Colombia as a
percentage of total population
16%
25%
37%
46%
2002 2012 2020 2025
24.7
6.7
11.6
19.0
Million
inhabitants
* Calculus based on a 4.6% GDP growth
Middle class: Monthly household income between 3.2MW and 13MW
(MW) Minimum wage in Colombia 2014: USD 320.
Source: Fedesarrollo (2013) and Euromonitor
Significant progress in terms of purchasing
power
345.5
445.9
237.4
301.9
218.9
264.2
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014e2015e2016e2017e2018e2019e
Colombia Latinamerica World
Index of GDP per capita at current prices, 1999 – 2019e
1999=100
Source: IMF – World Economic Outlook, October 2014
e = estimated
Economic growth, Investor Confidence and Security
* Figures do not include FDI registered for SabMiller adquisition of Bavaria in 2005 (USD 4,800
MM).
** Perception of insecurity as a key issue affecting industrial growth in the country. Monthly
Industrial Survey -ANDI.
00
05
10
15
20
25
30
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2000
-
I
2000
-
II
2000
-
III
2000
-
IV
2001
-
I
2001
-
II
2001
-
III
2001
-
IV
2002
-
I
2002
-
II
2002
-
III
2002
-
IV
2003
-
I
2003
-
II
2003
-
III
2003
-
IV
2004
-
I
2004
-
II
2004
-
III
2004
-
IV
2005
-
I
2005
-
II
2005
-
III
2005
-
IV
2006
-
I
2006
-
II
2006
-
III
2006
-
IV
2007
-
I
2007
-
II
2007
-
III
2007
-
IV
2008
-
I
2008
-
II
2008
-
III
2008
-
IV
2009
-
I
2009
-
II
2009
-
III
2009
-
IV
2010
-
I
2010
-
II
2010
-
III
2010
-
IV
2011
-
I
2011
-
II
2011
-
III
2011
-
IV
2012
-
I
2012
-
II
2012
-
III
2012
-
IV
2013
-
I
2013
-
II
2013
-
III
2013
-
IV
2014
-
I
2014
-
II
2014
-
III
2014
-
IV
IED - US$ million* Insecurity perception**
Colombia, an investment-grade
country with positive outlook
Source: S&P Ratings; Revista Dinero, Colombian Treasury.
Rating Perspective
Term
Long Term –
Foreign currency
Long Term –
Foreign currency
Long Term –
Foreign currency
BBB
BBB
Baa2
Stable
Positive
Stable
In July 2014, Moody´s was the last rating agency in improving Colombia´s rating due to two key drivers:
1. Positive growth forecast thanks to 4G infrastructure
2. A sound fiscal management that will continue in the future
Colombia tops the region as the best country for doing
business in 2015
19
Colombia, 34*
Peru, 35 *
-1
Mexico, 39 *
+4
-2
Chile, 41 *
+3
Panama, 52 *
Position out of 189 economies
Change in rank 2014 – 2015**
0
Ecuador, 115 *
+3
Brasil, 120 *
Source: Doing Business Report 2015. World Bank
* Position between 189 economies. ** Positive numbers indicate an improvement in the business environment
Colombia is the leader in terms of Investor Protection in
the region and 10th worldwide.
Source: Doing Business 2015 – World Bank
* Índex: 0-10 and 10 = the best score
7.2
6.3 6.2
5.8 5.8 5.8 5.6
4.8 4.7
4.2
Colombia
Brazil
Peru
Chile
Mexico
Argentina
Panama
Uruguay
Ecuador
El
Salvador
Ranking Country
10 Colombia
35 Brazil
40 Peru
56 Chile
62 Mexico
62 Argentina
76 Panama
110 Uruguay
117 Ecuador
154 El Salvador
Investment Protection Index
Doing Business - 2015
Two years in a row as one of the top 20 destinations
for FDI
Top 20 host economies in 2012
USD billion
Top 20 host economies in 2013
USD billion
1
8
1
9
Source: UNCTAD – World Investment Report 2013 and 2014
In 2013 Colombia reached a new record in FDI:
Nearly 10 times of what it received 10 years ago
Source: Balance of Payments - Banco de la República.
Share of all countries with positive cumulative investment, The information includes reinvested
profits or investments in the oil sector
Note: the list of the top countries investing in Colombia does not include Panama.
Top Investing Countries in
Colombia 2000– 2014 III Q
FDI Inflows. 2008 –2014 III Q
US$ million
United States
• US$ 27,277 million
• 17.6 %
England
• US$ 16.633 million
• 8.7%
Spain
• US$ 9,990 million
• 5.9%
Chile
• US$ 4,546 million
• 2%
3,107
7,468 7,095
8,111
6,085 6,427
5,236
7,180 7,945
8,089
6,347 5,413
Average
2008-2010
2011 2012 2013 2013
Jan-Sep
2014
Jan-Sep
11,840
12,432
16,200
15,039
14,648
8,343
FDI record in sectors different from oil and mining
(January-September 2014*)
Oil and mining
Other sectors
Important multinationals have recently chosen
Colombia as a location for new projects
The multinational Unilever, opened one of its most advanced
detergent plant worldwide, through which it seeks to supply
domestic and foreign markets
Hewlett Packard, the North American multinational in
information technology, opened a global service center in
Medellin.
Japanese fiber optic cable manufacturer, Furukawa, opened a
production plant in Palmira, Valle del Cauca in order to take
advantage of Colombia’s FTA´s.
Mexichem invested a total of US$ 24 million to increase its
production capacity in Colombia.
Hero Motors invested in a production plant in Cauca, for
covering Colombian market with a possibility of reaching
Brazilian market from Colombia.
Some examples of high profile Colombian
“multilatinas”
One of the largest food companies in
Colombia, Nutresa has presence in
12 countries in Latam, with
manufacturing plants in 8 of them.
Recently, the company signed an
agreement to acquire 100% of the
shares in Tresmontes Lucchetti
S. A. in Chile for USD 758
million.
SURA Brand is currently well known in the
insurance, pension and investment fund
business through its operations in Mexico, Peru,
Uruguay and Chile.
In 2011, the group bought ING assets in Latin
America for USD $ 3,614 million.
It is the largest financial conglomerate in
Colombia. The Group has subsidiaries in El
Salvador, Panama, and Puerto Rico.
In 2012, Bancolombia acquired 100% of the
ordinary shares and 90.9% of the preferred
shares of HSBC Bank in Panama.
Some examples of high profile Colombian
“multilatinas”
Carvajal SA, is a conglomerate with
presence in 15 countries and
recognized for its role in the field of
packaging, stationery, design and
advertising.
In 2013, Carvajal S.A made an
investment of $ 23.7 million for the
construction of a manufacturing and
distribution center in Peru.
Colombiana SA is one of the country's leading
companies in the production and marketing of
sweets, chocolate and biscuits.
The company has strengthened its international
strategy with the opening of 11 branches
throughout the Americas and has a production
plant in Guatemala to supply the American
market.
Tecnoquímicas is specialized in heath products
and services, personal care and household
cleaning, processed foods, and agricultural and
veterinary products in Colombia and Latin America.
The company has direct presence in Central
America through its 3 production plants in El
Salvador.
Total trade increased fourfold in the last 10
years.
24,915
25,151
24,671
27,008
33,475
42,395
50,553
62,888
77,295
65,683
80,502
111,628
118,758
118,219
118,824
200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014
Total International Trade (X+M)
United States
• Exports: US$
14,106million
• Imports: US$ 18,193
million
China
• Exports: US$ 5,755
million
• Imports: US$ 11,790
million
Mexico
Exports: US $914
million
Imports: US$ 5,273
million
India
• Exports: US $2,739
million
• Imports: US$ 1,369
million
Exports and Imports.
2000 – 2014 US$ million
Top commercial partners 2014
Source: DANE.
Traditional and non traditional exports are included
Colombia shows a remarkable growth of its
exports.
Source: DANE
Traditional and Non – traditional products are included
Exports. 2000 – 2014
FOB Values US$ millions
Top export non – traditional products
2014
United States
25.7%
China
10.5%
Panama
6.6%
Spain
6%
Fresh Flowers
2.5%
Plastic in primary
forms
1.9%
Banana
1.5%
13,158 13,127
21,190
37,626
56,954
58,822
54,795
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Imports also have increased rapidly.
* Countries and product participations are updated to October 2014, the
proportion won´t change drastically at the end of the year.
Top imports by origin 2014
Imports 2000 – 2014
CIF Values - US$ million
11,757
21,204
39,666
32,891
54,233
59,397
64,028
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
United States
28.7%
China
18%
Mexico
8.1%
Germany
3.9%
Oil & its derivatives
11.7%
Vehicles
7.5%
Telecommunications
and sound
7%
Colombia has access to more than 45 countries and
1,500 million consumers through its network of FTAs.
Source: Colombian Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Tourism.
*These are Partial Scope Agreements (PSA)
- - - The dotted line refers to member countries of The Pacific Alliance
other than Colombia. – Chile, Peru and México.
Canada
United States
Mexico
Guatemala
Honduras
El Salvador
Ecuador
Brazil
Peru
Argentina
Paraguay
Uruguay
Liechtenstein
Switzerland
Island Norway
European
Union
Turkey
Israel
Japan
Panama
Chile
Bolivia
Costa Rica
Venezuela*
Pacific
Alliance
South Korea
Cuba*
Nicaragua*
In force
Signed
In negotiation
Colombia: A gateway to the Pacific Alliance
Source: MCIT, 2013
GDP of USD 2,123 billion
The members generate 35% of
the region´s GDP
Population of 214 million
Almost Brazil´s Population
47% of the regional FDI
Total FDI of US$ 85,488
million (2013)
FTAs with 60 countries
Access to benefits of
markets that represent
85.7% of the World GDP
Mexico
Colombia
Peru
Chile
MILA is the first cross border initiative to integrate equities
markets, without any sort of merger or global corporate
integration, using only technological tools along with
Listed companies: 590
1,591,120 1,726,300
1,967,814
254,403
306,694
314,207
583,609
561,815
597,522
1,062,682
1,153,248
1,313,200
2012 2013 2014
Foreigns non resident in Colombia Cruise visitors
Resident Colombians abroad Llegadas zonas integración fronteriza
Total 2012
3,491,814
Total 2013
3,748,957
Total 2014
4,192,743
Colombia is more attractive for
international travelers
Inbound tourist 2012 - 2014
Source: Migration Colombia and MinCIT. PROCOLOMBIA calculation
Main origin countries 2014
United States
• 376,410 visitors
• 19.1%
Venezuela
• 272,700 visitors
• 13.9%
Ecuador
• 126,714 visitors
• 6,4%
Brazil
• 124,712 visitors
• 6.3%
Sectors of opportunity – Energy: A diversified source base
and a pivotal location in the Americas
Source: World Economic Forum 2014 and UPME
* UPME (Colombian Planning Unit of Mines and Energy)
0.66
0.67
0.67
0.7
0.71
0.72
0.72
0.72
0.73
0.75
Latvia
Costa Rica
Spain
Colombia
Denmark
Switzerland
Sweden
France
New Zealand
Norway
The Global Energy Architecture Performance
Index 2014
Colombia was ranked first in
Latin America and seventh in the
world according to the “Energy
Architecture Performance Index
2014”. WEF, 2014.
103 Power Generation projects in
different stages: Installed capacity of
4,974 MW*
13 power transmission projects in
different stages*
High potential in Biofuels and
alternative energies
Source: Ministry of Transport
Fourth Generation of PPP’S (4g) –
Roads: US$ 24 Bill.
-Intervention of 8.000 Km of Roads
- 1.300 Km of new Roads
- 40 new concessions
Ports: US$ 2,1 Bill.
(2015-2018)
Improvement of the
Magdalena river
navigability:
US$ 1.3 Bill.
Airports: interventions US$ 1.8
Bill (10 projects) and
constructions US$ 2.3 Bill (2
projects). (2015-2018)
Step Rail Ways Concession
Program (feasibility study –
step 2) US$ 4.2 Bill.
Opportunities to
develop air, road, river
and airport
infrastructure
Sectors of opportunity – Infrastructure: A major drive for
growth
Opportunity sectors – Manufactures for the local
and foreign markets.
Medellín
2.441,123 hab.
Cali
2.344,734 hab.
Barranquilla
1.212,943 hab.
Bogotá
7.776,845 hab.
Cartagena
990,179 hab.
Cúcuta
643,666 hab.
Ibagué
512,631 hab.
Bucaramanga
527,451 hab.
Soledad
599,012 hab.
Building materials, cars and parts, clothing,
cosmetics and cleanness products, electric
machines, others.
Colombia has a business network of
more than 3,700 industrial
companies with export experience
More than 400.000 graduates and
specialists in engineering related areas
between 2000 and 2011
9 cities with more than 500 thousand
citizens
Source: MinTic and IDC
Sectors of opportunity – Services
IT, BPO, ITO, Shared Services, Apps
Colombia is one the three major
providers of IT services in the
region.
2 years in a row showing double-
digit sales growth
Some foreign players in Colombia
The broadband connections
increased from 2,2 to 8,8 millions
between 2010 and 2014
In the next 4 years, the
broadband connections will
be tripled reaching 27
million connections
Free Trade Zones: Reduced income tax and sales
allowed to the local market
Caribbean Region
Andean Region
Pacific Region
Guajira
Magdalena
Atlántico
Bolívar
Valle del
Cauca
Cauca
Norte de
Santander
Santander
Boyacá
Cundinamarca
Huila
Antioquia
Caldas
Risaralda
Quindío
FTZ requested or approved prior to December 31, 2012. 15%
Income tax.
FTZ filed after December 31, 2012. Income tax of 15% + 9% tax
CREE.
FTZ filed after December 31, 2014: income tax 15% + CREE 9% +
additional CREE tariff 5% for 2015. The additional CREE tariff
increases per year
Free Trade Zone
“Special Standing
Uniempresarial” (FTZ)
Permanent Free Trade
Zone
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2 Colombia Presentation.pdf

  • 1. Presentación Colombia – Inglés March – 2015 Colombia Investment Environment and Business Opportunities in Colombia
  • 2. About us PROCOLOMBIA We promote exports, tourism, investment and industrial expansion for internationalization. We integrate the work of the Country Brand within the strategic planning of Colombia’s promotion worldwide.
  • 3. Presence in Colombia 25 Regional Offices 8 Information centers Barranquilla, Bogotá. Bucaramanga. Cali. Cartagena. Cúcuta. Medellín. Pereira Valledupar. Pasto. Palmira. Armenia = Universidad Gran Colombia – Cámara de Comercio. Villavicencio. Boyacá = Tunja - Duitama - Sogamoso. Ibagué. Santa Marta. San Andrés. Aburrá Sur. Neiva. Barranquilla = Cámara comercio – Universidad del Norte. Cartagena. Medellín. Bucaramanga. Cali = Cámara de Comercio. Pereira. Bogotá. Manizales. Cúcuta.
  • 4. PROCOLOMBIA around the world United States. Canada. Mexico. Guatemala. Costa Rica. Caribbean. Venezuela. Brazil. Ecuador. Chile. Peru. Argentina. Spain. Germany. Portugal. United Kingdom. France. Turkey. United Arab Emirates. India. China. South Korea. Russia. Japan. Singapore. Indonesia. 26 commercial offices Presence in 30 countries
  • 8. General Facts Colombia is the country with the highest biodiversity per km2 It is among the 17most megadiverse countries of the planet.  55% of the population is less than 30 years old. There are nine cities with over 500 thousand people. With an extension of 1,141,000 km2 almost 3 times the size of California and twice the size of Texas. Colombia is the only country in South America with access to both, the Atlantic and the Pacific ocean.
  • 9. Times of great economic achievements GDP Jan - Sep 2014: +5.0% GDP Jan – Sep 2013: +4.4% Higher than the Latin American average growth (1.3%). Controlled Inflation 2014: 3.66% Below target inflation Unemployment rate 2014: 9.1% Unemployment rate 2013: 9.6%. FDI up to Q3 2014: US$11,840 FDIup to Q3: US$ 12,431 Figures in US Millions 1.02 million barrels per day of oil production Third largest producer in South America
  • 10. A competitive location with easy access to markets around the globe Mexico City 4H45M Los Angeles 8H20M Quito 1H30M Lima 3H00M Peru Ecuador México United States Canada Brazil Argentina Chile Spain France Germany Over 935 weekly direct international flights. More than 6,197 weekly domestic flights. Less than 6 hours to the main capital cities in Latin America. More than 20 different airlines operating in Colombia. New York 5H35M Toronto 6H05M Caracas 1H20M Santiago Chile 5H00M Buenos Aires 6H15M Sao Paulo 5H45M Madrid 9H40M Paris 10H40M Frankfurt 11H15M
  • 11. Colombia is within the 30th largest economy in the world and one of the largest non-OECD economies 150 226 302 300 397 425 373 432 448 387 401 415 595 600 1,089 1,176 1,790 2,324 New Zealand Denmark Israel Norway Peru Hong Kong Chile Sweden Belgium Singapore Switzerland Vietnam Colombia Malaysia Australia Mexico Brazil Germany GDP at PPP – 2015 en US$ Billion Note: GDP adapted to Purchasing Power Parity PPP. Projected data. Source: FMI . 2014
  • 12. The highest expected growth in 2014 among Latam’s major economies Source: IMF (World Economic Outlook Update – January 2015) e = estimated 4.8% 2.5% 2.1% 1.7% 1.2% 0.1% -0.4% -4.0% Latin America and Caribbean (Average growth) Expected growth of Gross Domestic Product, 2014e High investment in housing and infrastructure (12% growth) Growth in private consumption (4.6%) Solid labor market Public expenditure Colombian growth drivers according to OECD
  • 13. Peru and Colombia, the top growing economies in the coming years Source: IMF (World Economic Outlook – January 2015) e = estimated Gross Domestic Product, average growth 2015e 4.00% 3.80% 3.20% 2.80% 1.30% 0.30% -1.30% -7.00%
  • 14. Low inflation 2.9% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 6.2% 69.8% Peru Colombia Mexico Chile Brasil Venezuela Average Latin America and Caribbean* 3.98% Inflation, percent variation 2014e Source: IMF (World Economic Outlook – October 2014) * The average doesn’t include Venezuela and
  • 15. Macroeconomic stability and strong economic performance in the long term P: Projected Source: DANE; Banco de la República; Fedesarrrollo July 2014, EIU - Economist Intelligence Unit . 2014 * 2014 inflation and unemployment rate given by DANE Inflation GDP Unemployment rate 15.6 14.1 13.7 11.8 12.0 11.2 11.3 12.0 11.8 10.8 10.4 9.6 7.0 6.5 5.5 4.9 4.5 5.7 7.7 2.0 3.7 2.4 1.9 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.9 8.6 3.7 3.4 3.6 3.5 3.3 2.5 3.9 5.3 4.7 6.7 6.9 3.5 1.7 4.0 6.6 4.0 4.7 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.6 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014p 2015p 2016p 2017p 2018p GDP Growth, Inflation and unemployment Rate 2002 – 2018p (%)
  • 16. Colombia has continuously decreased its poverty levels 49.7% 30.6% 29.3% 17.7% 9.1% 8.4% 16.3% 29.6% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jun 2014 Poverty Middle class Extreme poverty Source: Poverty: National Administrative Department of Statistics – DANE Middle class: The gained decade: the evolution of the middle class in Colombia between 2002 and 2011. Documento CEDE # 50. Universidad de los Andes. And RADDAR for 2013 data. Percentage of people in poverty 2002 – 2014
  • 17. A rapidly expanding middle class 2.9% 4.1% 4.2% 4.7% 5.5% Average real growth of consumer expenditure, 2014 – 2018 Middle class* in Colombia as a percentage of total population 16% 25% 37% 46% 2002 2012 2020 2025 24.7 6.7 11.6 19.0 Million inhabitants * Calculus based on a 4.6% GDP growth Middle class: Monthly household income between 3.2MW and 13MW (MW) Minimum wage in Colombia 2014: USD 320. Source: Fedesarrollo (2013) and Euromonitor
  • 18. Significant progress in terms of purchasing power 345.5 445.9 237.4 301.9 218.9 264.2 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014e2015e2016e2017e2018e2019e Colombia Latinamerica World Index of GDP per capita at current prices, 1999 – 2019e 1999=100 Source: IMF – World Economic Outlook, October 2014 e = estimated
  • 19. Economic growth, Investor Confidence and Security * Figures do not include FDI registered for SabMiller adquisition of Bavaria in 2005 (USD 4,800 MM). ** Perception of insecurity as a key issue affecting industrial growth in the country. Monthly Industrial Survey -ANDI. 00 05 10 15 20 25 30 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2000 - I 2000 - II 2000 - III 2000 - IV 2001 - I 2001 - II 2001 - III 2001 - IV 2002 - I 2002 - II 2002 - III 2002 - IV 2003 - I 2003 - II 2003 - III 2003 - IV 2004 - I 2004 - II 2004 - III 2004 - IV 2005 - I 2005 - II 2005 - III 2005 - IV 2006 - I 2006 - II 2006 - III 2006 - IV 2007 - I 2007 - II 2007 - III 2007 - IV 2008 - I 2008 - II 2008 - III 2008 - IV 2009 - I 2009 - II 2009 - III 2009 - IV 2010 - I 2010 - II 2010 - III 2010 - IV 2011 - I 2011 - II 2011 - III 2011 - IV 2012 - I 2012 - II 2012 - III 2012 - IV 2013 - I 2013 - II 2013 - III 2013 - IV 2014 - I 2014 - II 2014 - III 2014 - IV IED - US$ million* Insecurity perception**
  • 20. Colombia, an investment-grade country with positive outlook Source: S&P Ratings; Revista Dinero, Colombian Treasury. Rating Perspective Term Long Term – Foreign currency Long Term – Foreign currency Long Term – Foreign currency BBB BBB Baa2 Stable Positive Stable In July 2014, Moody´s was the last rating agency in improving Colombia´s rating due to two key drivers: 1. Positive growth forecast thanks to 4G infrastructure 2. A sound fiscal management that will continue in the future
  • 21. Colombia tops the region as the best country for doing business in 2015 19 Colombia, 34* Peru, 35 * -1 Mexico, 39 * +4 -2 Chile, 41 * +3 Panama, 52 * Position out of 189 economies Change in rank 2014 – 2015** 0 Ecuador, 115 * +3 Brasil, 120 * Source: Doing Business Report 2015. World Bank * Position between 189 economies. ** Positive numbers indicate an improvement in the business environment
  • 22. Colombia is the leader in terms of Investor Protection in the region and 10th worldwide. Source: Doing Business 2015 – World Bank * Índex: 0-10 and 10 = the best score 7.2 6.3 6.2 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.6 4.8 4.7 4.2 Colombia Brazil Peru Chile Mexico Argentina Panama Uruguay Ecuador El Salvador Ranking Country 10 Colombia 35 Brazil 40 Peru 56 Chile 62 Mexico 62 Argentina 76 Panama 110 Uruguay 117 Ecuador 154 El Salvador Investment Protection Index Doing Business - 2015
  • 23. Two years in a row as one of the top 20 destinations for FDI Top 20 host economies in 2012 USD billion Top 20 host economies in 2013 USD billion 1 8 1 9 Source: UNCTAD – World Investment Report 2013 and 2014
  • 24. In 2013 Colombia reached a new record in FDI: Nearly 10 times of what it received 10 years ago Source: Balance of Payments - Banco de la República. Share of all countries with positive cumulative investment, The information includes reinvested profits or investments in the oil sector Note: the list of the top countries investing in Colombia does not include Panama. Top Investing Countries in Colombia 2000– 2014 III Q FDI Inflows. 2008 –2014 III Q US$ million United States • US$ 27,277 million • 17.6 % England • US$ 16.633 million • 8.7% Spain • US$ 9,990 million • 5.9% Chile • US$ 4,546 million • 2% 3,107 7,468 7,095 8,111 6,085 6,427 5,236 7,180 7,945 8,089 6,347 5,413 Average 2008-2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-Sep 2014 Jan-Sep 11,840 12,432 16,200 15,039 14,648 8,343 FDI record in sectors different from oil and mining (January-September 2014*) Oil and mining Other sectors
  • 25. Important multinationals have recently chosen Colombia as a location for new projects The multinational Unilever, opened one of its most advanced detergent plant worldwide, through which it seeks to supply domestic and foreign markets Hewlett Packard, the North American multinational in information technology, opened a global service center in Medellin. Japanese fiber optic cable manufacturer, Furukawa, opened a production plant in Palmira, Valle del Cauca in order to take advantage of Colombia’s FTA´s. Mexichem invested a total of US$ 24 million to increase its production capacity in Colombia. Hero Motors invested in a production plant in Cauca, for covering Colombian market with a possibility of reaching Brazilian market from Colombia.
  • 26. Some examples of high profile Colombian “multilatinas” One of the largest food companies in Colombia, Nutresa has presence in 12 countries in Latam, with manufacturing plants in 8 of them. Recently, the company signed an agreement to acquire 100% of the shares in Tresmontes Lucchetti S. A. in Chile for USD 758 million. SURA Brand is currently well known in the insurance, pension and investment fund business through its operations in Mexico, Peru, Uruguay and Chile. In 2011, the group bought ING assets in Latin America for USD $ 3,614 million. It is the largest financial conglomerate in Colombia. The Group has subsidiaries in El Salvador, Panama, and Puerto Rico. In 2012, Bancolombia acquired 100% of the ordinary shares and 90.9% of the preferred shares of HSBC Bank in Panama.
  • 27. Some examples of high profile Colombian “multilatinas” Carvajal SA, is a conglomerate with presence in 15 countries and recognized for its role in the field of packaging, stationery, design and advertising. In 2013, Carvajal S.A made an investment of $ 23.7 million for the construction of a manufacturing and distribution center in Peru. Colombiana SA is one of the country's leading companies in the production and marketing of sweets, chocolate and biscuits. The company has strengthened its international strategy with the opening of 11 branches throughout the Americas and has a production plant in Guatemala to supply the American market. Tecnoquímicas is specialized in heath products and services, personal care and household cleaning, processed foods, and agricultural and veterinary products in Colombia and Latin America. The company has direct presence in Central America through its 3 production plants in El Salvador.
  • 28. Total trade increased fourfold in the last 10 years. 24,915 25,151 24,671 27,008 33,475 42,395 50,553 62,888 77,295 65,683 80,502 111,628 118,758 118,219 118,824 200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014 Total International Trade (X+M) United States • Exports: US$ 14,106million • Imports: US$ 18,193 million China • Exports: US$ 5,755 million • Imports: US$ 11,790 million Mexico Exports: US $914 million Imports: US$ 5,273 million India • Exports: US $2,739 million • Imports: US$ 1,369 million Exports and Imports. 2000 – 2014 US$ million Top commercial partners 2014 Source: DANE. Traditional and non traditional exports are included
  • 29. Colombia shows a remarkable growth of its exports. Source: DANE Traditional and Non – traditional products are included Exports. 2000 – 2014 FOB Values US$ millions Top export non – traditional products 2014 United States 25.7% China 10.5% Panama 6.6% Spain 6% Fresh Flowers 2.5% Plastic in primary forms 1.9% Banana 1.5% 13,158 13,127 21,190 37,626 56,954 58,822 54,795 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
  • 30. Imports also have increased rapidly. * Countries and product participations are updated to October 2014, the proportion won´t change drastically at the end of the year. Top imports by origin 2014 Imports 2000 – 2014 CIF Values - US$ million 11,757 21,204 39,666 32,891 54,233 59,397 64,028 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 United States 28.7% China 18% Mexico 8.1% Germany 3.9% Oil & its derivatives 11.7% Vehicles 7.5% Telecommunications and sound 7%
  • 31. Colombia has access to more than 45 countries and 1,500 million consumers through its network of FTAs. Source: Colombian Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Tourism. *These are Partial Scope Agreements (PSA) - - - The dotted line refers to member countries of The Pacific Alliance other than Colombia. – Chile, Peru and México. Canada United States Mexico Guatemala Honduras El Salvador Ecuador Brazil Peru Argentina Paraguay Uruguay Liechtenstein Switzerland Island Norway European Union Turkey Israel Japan Panama Chile Bolivia Costa Rica Venezuela* Pacific Alliance South Korea Cuba* Nicaragua* In force Signed In negotiation
  • 32. Colombia: A gateway to the Pacific Alliance Source: MCIT, 2013 GDP of USD 2,123 billion The members generate 35% of the region´s GDP Population of 214 million Almost Brazil´s Population 47% of the regional FDI Total FDI of US$ 85,488 million (2013) FTAs with 60 countries Access to benefits of markets that represent 85.7% of the World GDP Mexico Colombia Peru Chile MILA is the first cross border initiative to integrate equities markets, without any sort of merger or global corporate integration, using only technological tools along with Listed companies: 590
  • 33. 1,591,120 1,726,300 1,967,814 254,403 306,694 314,207 583,609 561,815 597,522 1,062,682 1,153,248 1,313,200 2012 2013 2014 Foreigns non resident in Colombia Cruise visitors Resident Colombians abroad Llegadas zonas integración fronteriza Total 2012 3,491,814 Total 2013 3,748,957 Total 2014 4,192,743 Colombia is more attractive for international travelers Inbound tourist 2012 - 2014 Source: Migration Colombia and MinCIT. PROCOLOMBIA calculation Main origin countries 2014 United States • 376,410 visitors • 19.1% Venezuela • 272,700 visitors • 13.9% Ecuador • 126,714 visitors • 6,4% Brazil • 124,712 visitors • 6.3%
  • 34. Sectors of opportunity – Energy: A diversified source base and a pivotal location in the Americas Source: World Economic Forum 2014 and UPME * UPME (Colombian Planning Unit of Mines and Energy) 0.66 0.67 0.67 0.7 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.75 Latvia Costa Rica Spain Colombia Denmark Switzerland Sweden France New Zealand Norway The Global Energy Architecture Performance Index 2014 Colombia was ranked first in Latin America and seventh in the world according to the “Energy Architecture Performance Index 2014”. WEF, 2014. 103 Power Generation projects in different stages: Installed capacity of 4,974 MW* 13 power transmission projects in different stages* High potential in Biofuels and alternative energies
  • 35. Source: Ministry of Transport Fourth Generation of PPP’S (4g) – Roads: US$ 24 Bill. -Intervention of 8.000 Km of Roads - 1.300 Km of new Roads - 40 new concessions Ports: US$ 2,1 Bill. (2015-2018) Improvement of the Magdalena river navigability: US$ 1.3 Bill. Airports: interventions US$ 1.8 Bill (10 projects) and constructions US$ 2.3 Bill (2 projects). (2015-2018) Step Rail Ways Concession Program (feasibility study – step 2) US$ 4.2 Bill. Opportunities to develop air, road, river and airport infrastructure Sectors of opportunity – Infrastructure: A major drive for growth
  • 36. Opportunity sectors – Manufactures for the local and foreign markets. Medellín 2.441,123 hab. Cali 2.344,734 hab. Barranquilla 1.212,943 hab. Bogotá 7.776,845 hab. Cartagena 990,179 hab. Cúcuta 643,666 hab. Ibagué 512,631 hab. Bucaramanga 527,451 hab. Soledad 599,012 hab. Building materials, cars and parts, clothing, cosmetics and cleanness products, electric machines, others. Colombia has a business network of more than 3,700 industrial companies with export experience More than 400.000 graduates and specialists in engineering related areas between 2000 and 2011 9 cities with more than 500 thousand citizens
  • 37. Source: MinTic and IDC Sectors of opportunity – Services IT, BPO, ITO, Shared Services, Apps Colombia is one the three major providers of IT services in the region. 2 years in a row showing double- digit sales growth Some foreign players in Colombia The broadband connections increased from 2,2 to 8,8 millions between 2010 and 2014 In the next 4 years, the broadband connections will be tripled reaching 27 million connections
  • 38. Free Trade Zones: Reduced income tax and sales allowed to the local market Caribbean Region Andean Region Pacific Region Guajira Magdalena Atlántico Bolívar Valle del Cauca Cauca Norte de Santander Santander Boyacá Cundinamarca Huila Antioquia Caldas Risaralda Quindío FTZ requested or approved prior to December 31, 2012. 15% Income tax. FTZ filed after December 31, 2012. Income tax of 15% + 9% tax CREE. FTZ filed after December 31, 2014: income tax 15% + CREE 9% + additional CREE tariff 5% for 2015. The additional CREE tariff increases per year Free Trade Zone “Special Standing Uniempresarial” (FTZ) Permanent Free Trade Zone