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Agricultural sector in Slovakia
Historical evolution, Current Status and Perspectives
Ing. Miroslav Záhradník
National Agriculture and Food Centre, Research Institute for Animal Production Nitra,
Hlohovecká 2,
951 41 Lužianky – Slovak Republic
www.vuzv.sk
Historical evolution
• depend strongly on natural conditions
• key economic sector until the 20th century.
• Theresian Urbarial Regulation, three-field system, changes
in the surface water regime
• mostly a self-supplying character
• efficiency was low
• not able to supply sufficiency of food for growing population
- massive emigration
1918
1920-
1945
1948-
1989
1989-
present
References: Valach, M. Agriculture and industry in Slovakia – general overview. Slovak University of Agriculture. 2014
Historical evolution
• Slovakia became a less developed part of the newly
established Czechoslovak Republic
• still very dependent on natural conditions
• level of using of the agricultural mechanisation was still low
• very negative impact was caused by the First Vienna
Arbitration (of 2 November 1938)
• Slovakia had lost more than 10 000 km2 of its area including
its most fertile soils, large sources of both surface and ground
water and more than 860 000 inhabitants
1918
1920-
1945
1948-
1989
1989-
present
References: Valach, M. Agriculture and industry in Slovakia – general overview. Slovak University of Agriculture. 2014
Historical evolution
• announced a plan of collectivisation of agricultural
production - the extinction of the private property in agrarian
sector
• Despite of many negative features (small-scale thefts, over-
employment, social harms, massive and often improper
application of chemicals, increase of erosion, etc.) hectare
yields of the most important crops increased threefold in
comparison to the pre-war period.
•T o a large extent, food industry was self-sufficient.
1918
1920-
1945
1948-
1989
1989-
present
References: Valach, M. Agriculture and industry in Slovakia – general overview. Slovak University of Agriculture. 2014
Historical evolution
• Restitution of land to original owners (or to their heirs),
• Economic transition of cooperatives and restructuralization
of agricultural business entities (collapse of the system of
cooperatives in state property),
• Changes in agricultural policy
• private farmers“, and also significant changes in ownership
structures
• most of the land is still farmed by bigger cooperatives
•non-production functions of agriculture are becoming more
important and supported.
1918
1920-
1945
1948-
1989
1989-
present
References: Valach, M. Agriculture and industry in Slovakia – general overview. Slovak University of Agriculture. 2014
Current status
Current status
Current status
Current status
Current status
Current status
Current status
Current status
Current status
AKIS – Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation Systems
 Despite the integration of organisations in relation to
research and advisory, as well as links among the farmer’s
community, was not successfully developed after EU
accession.
 system does not function well where cooperation is not
enhanced from policy maker actors.
 The specific national agreement about integration of
knowledge exchange does not exist among AKIS actors.
• No significant changes materialized with regard to the
effectiveness of the agricultural extension system.
Current status
AKIS – Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation Systems
Barriers and Bottlenecks:
 Significantly understaffed with regard to the numbers of
advisors (also high average age)
 potential and practical overlaps among research institutes
and public organisations on one hand and academic
institutions on the other hand
 disconnection between different type of tools and
programmes
Current status
AKIS – Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation Systems
Current status
AKIS – Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation Systems
Slovak Interactive Innovation projects
AgroBioTech (25 mil. €) innovation transfer
for agriculture and food processors (National
Agricultural and Food Centre (NPPC) as
involved player)
Bioeconomy Cluster (Slovak University
of Agriculture, NPPC and enterprises)
Current status
AKIS – Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation Systems
Slovak Interactive Innovation projects
Increasing private investments via cooperation between
research institutions and the business sector - Total EU budget
200 mil .€
Examples:
R & D centre for precision farming in the mountainous areas using advanced
automated technology
Partnership for research and innovative technologies enhancing the quality,
safety and the added value of special crops
Industrial research and development centre for Short Rotation Coppice
Current status
National cattle inventories
467125
463358
471091
467820
465543
204386
201307
202589
198978
201795
159260
154105
150272
144875
143083
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Cattle total Cows total Dairy cows
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
5692,10 5772,7 6112,2 6334,2 6315,2
Annual milk yields per cow in litres
Current status
20
Dairy production systems in Slovakia
indicator Intensive Extensive Semi-intensive
Cost per feeding day >7 € <4 € 5-6 €
Herd size (dairy cows) >200 1-100 <200
Geographical location Southern low lands Mountainous and foothill areas Uplands and foothills
Feeding management
All-year round silage
based TMR
Dairy cows and heifer on
seasonal pastures with
minimum concentrate feed
Heifer on seasonal pastures (for
dairy cows additional only)
Management target 20 kg lifetime daily yield
Long productive life-span,
healthy cows, with good
locomotion
Various combinations
Technology level High level of innovation Low cost technology Various combinations
Prevailing breed Holstein Pinzgau, Simmental-Fleckvieh Various cross-breds
Milk sale - processing Industry Own processing, direct sale Various combinations
Source: Udržateľné systémy chov dojníc na Slovensku (2016)
Current status
Development of the length of productive life
and lifetime yield of Slovak Holstein cows
Source: Breeding Services of Slovak Republic, state enterprise BS SR, Results of cattle performance recording in
Slovakia, (2009-2016)
year AFC (days)
Length of
productive life
(days)
Number of
lactations
Llifetime
yield (kg)
Lifetime yield
per day (kg)
2009-10 829 827 2,25 16747 10,11
2010-11 823 862 2,31 17553 10,42
2011-12 815 907 2,39 18615 10,81
2012-13 815 908 2,32 18710 10,32
2013-14 808 910 2,39 19829 11,54
2014-15 799 931 2,44 20683 11,96
2016 787 946 2,52 21644 12,46
Current status
Economic impact of different AFC in Slovak
Holstein dairy herds in 2014/2015
Source: BS SR, 2015, own calculations, Note: * baseline AFC=24 months, 28 EUR/100 kg milk*
AFC (months) Lifetime yield (kg) Differences in income on a per cow basis *
21 19 937 - 375,76 €
22 20 051 - 343,84 €
23 20 948 - 92,68 €
24 21 279 0,00 €
26 20 907 - 104,16 €
28 20 529 - 210,00 €
30 19 698 - 442,68 EUR
Current status
Relation between AFC and lifetime yield in
Slovak Holstein dairy herds
Source: Huba et al, 2017
AFC (days) Number of lactations Lifetime yield (kg)
Yield per
lactation (kg)
Lifetime yield per
day (kg)
22 2,31 21 119 9583 14,33
23 2,44 21 847 9259 13,86
24 2,53 22 202 8950 13,29
26 2,54 21 696 8686 12,34
27 2,49 21 559 8551 11,98
29 2,52 20 537 8378 11,05
Current status
Summary of lifetime performance in relation to early
growth and fertility in typical UK Holstein/Friesian
dairy heifers
Source: Adapted from Wathes et al. (2008)
Top performers
Average
performers
Poor
performers
Worst
performers
Calf growth rates from birth to 9 months High Average Poor Variable
Nulliparous heifer fertility
Excellent 1.1 S/C Good 1.5 S/C Poor 2.5 S/C Very poor 3 S/C
Age at first calving
21 to 23 m. 24 to 25 m. 26 to 30 m. > 30 m.
Total milk production in first lactation >8000 l >7500 l >6000 l <6500 l
Fertility parameters in first lactation Average Good Average Poor
Age at second calving 38 months 38 months 41 months 50 months
Survival from first calving to 5 years 80% 60% 50% 30%
Total milk yield over 5 years from birth 24 000 l 22 000 l 17 000 l 8000 l
Perspectives
Proposed action:
 speed-up the process of the cross-sectional research and academia knowledge
transfer along with the active participation of industry to ensure that research is
brought to the market more often
 linking the priorities at national level with the ESFRI strengthening the national
involvement in pan-European facilities within European research infrastructure
ecosystem
 interact on the multidisciplinary approach to practical and acceptable agri production
systems with defined sustainability KPI and to understand the mechanisms of
knowledge sharing and innovation among farmers
 need for and the added value of joint approaches in particular vis-à-vis the large
existing and emerging science nations
 mainstreaming interaction in promoting effective knowledge transfer mechanism and
creating added value for data sharing models
 active participation in the co-creation of innovative solutions to bridge the gap
between science and solving the practical problems by matching industry needs with
research activities
Perspectives
Slovak University of Agriculture in Nitra, National Forest Centre, Slovak Academy
of Science and the National Agricultural and Food Centre (NPPC) represent the
national agri-research system.
The structure of research in the field of agriculture under the NPPC is composed by
following institutes:
• Soil Science and Conservation Research Institute
• Research Institute of Plant Production
• Research Institute for Animal Production Nitra
• Agroecology Research Institute
• Grassland and Mountain Agriculture Research Institute
• Food Research Institute
• Research Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics
• Agricultural Technical and Testing Institute
Perspectives
EkonMOD milk – the decision support tool
for dairy farm management
"Bringing tailored decision support tools for dairy farm
management to remove bottlenecks to the delivery of practice-
oriented research to end-users“
• Applied research agenda, practice-oriented research
• Golden Sickle award 2015 in the category Science and
research
• Concept of new a communication platform between the
farmers and the research not commonly used in Slovakia
Perspectives
EkonMOD milk – the decision support tool
for dairy farm management
Rationale of the tool:
• better understand the dynamics of the herd structure
• improve economically sensible decision-making abilities
This approach could contribute to the successful deployment of
the existing scientific and practical knowledge
Perspectives
EkonMOD milk – the decision support tool
for dairy farm management
Background information:
• detailed and long run cooperation with dairy
farmsDevelopment is being debated with farmers
continuously
• Sensitivity analysis belongs to the basics of any farm
• Making this process more clear and simple to actualize
Perspectives
EkonMOD milk – the decision support tool
for dairy farm management
• introductionary modules distributed via web page for free
• first responses from the dairy farmers are positive
• willing to widen our services in the terms of online data
uploads and comparison with peer operations
Perspectives
Perspectives
Number of replacement for each age at calving
in a 300 cow herd
Months 24 26 28 30 32 35
Replacement heifers 170 185 199 213 227 249
Note: Total heifer inventory numbers for varying herd sizes at a 35% replacement per year for first lactation
cows and 25 % replacement per year for cows at remaining lactation stages. Other rearing parameters are
taken from the following assumption: 4% stillbirths, 100 % dairy cow natality, 5 % mortality of calves,
selection of calves 4 %, 50 % ratio of heifers born, heifer selection 20 %, culled cows that die before disposal
20 %.
Perspectives
Number of replacement heifers for various
culling rates
Culling Rate Increase in heifer pool numbers over 24 month calving age ^)
25/35* 170 (20 surplus heifers) (32^) = 202** (2 deficit heifers)
26/36* 176 (17 surplus heifers) (45^) = 221** (6 deficit heifers)
27/36* 180 (15 surplus heifers) (46^) = 226** (8 deficit heifers)
27/37* 182 (14 surplus heifers) (47^) = 229** (9 deficit heifers)
27/38* 184 (13 surplus heifers) (48^) = 232** (11 deficit heifers)
Note: Calving at 24 Months of Age. *Culling rates for second and following lactations/culling rates for first calving
heifers. Other rearing parameters are taken from the following assumption: 4% stillbirths, 100 % dairy cow natality, 5
% mortality of calves, selection of calves 4 %, 50 % ratio of heifers born, heifer selection 20 %, culled cows that die
before disposal 20 %. **Increase in heifer replacement numbers for various culling rates in 300 cow herd: First calf
heifers calving at 30 months.
Perspectives
Economic impact of changed input variables
Perspectives
AFC and heifers (calves) rearing period
Real data What-if scenario 1 What-if scenario 2
Dairy cows numbers 423 423 423
Culling (1. lactations) 36% 36% 36%
Culling (remaining lactations) 30% 30% 30%
Dairy cow natality 95% 95% 95%
Stillbirths 7% 7% 4%
Calves mortality 11% 11% 5%
Calves selection 14% 14% 9%
ratio of heifers born 50% 50% 50%
Heifer selection 20% 20% 18%
culled cows that die before disposal 20% 20% 20%
AFC (days) 789 days 733 days 733 days
Number of heifers needed for replacement 290 269 269
Replacement heifers surplus or deficit -31 -21 3
Perspectives
Economic analysis – EkonMOD milk results I.
-31 heifers
-21 heifers
3 heifers
7 % 7 %
4 %
11 % 11 %
5 %
14 % 14 %
9 %
20 % 20 %
18 %
29 903 EUR
40 864 EUR
62 794 EUR
Real data What-if scenario 1 What-if scenario 2
Replacement heifer deficit or surplus stillbirths
Calves mortality Calves selection
Perspectives
Economic analysis – EkonMOD milk results II.
789 days
733 days 733 days
290 heifers 269 heifers 269 heifers
29 903 EUR
40 864 EUR
62 794 EUR
Real data What-if scenario 1 What-if scenario 2
AFC (days) Number of heifers needed for replacement Economic result
Perspectives
Perspectives
Sensitivity analysis - BW and AFC
Real data What-if scenario 3 What-if scenario 4
Dairy cow mature BW 700 kg 700 kg 700 kg
Milk price (expected) 0,28 € 0,28 € 0,28 €
Daily milk yield (expected) 18,5 kg 18,5 kg 18,5 kg
Cost per feeding day of a cow 8 € 8 € 8 €
Cost per feeding day of high-pregnant cow 3,50 € 3,50 € 3,50 €
Herd size 432 432 432
Average number of heifer calving per year 172 172 172
Target share of mature cow BW 85% 85% 85%
AFC 789 days 733 days 733 days
BW at first calving 560 kg (80 %) 560 kg (80%) 585 kg (84%)
Target AFC 733 days 733 days 733 days
Economic loss per cow -35 € - 25 € - 6 €
Perspectives
Economic analysis – EkonMOD milk results III.
789 days 733 days 733 days
-14987 €
-8428 €
-2408 €
80 % 80 %
84 %
Real data What-if scenario 3 What-if scenario 4
AFC Economic loss per farm BW at first calving
Perspectives
Perspectives
Perspectives
Perspectives
GGE referring to various milk yield per year
(litres)
Average milk yield per year (litres) 3500 4500 5500 6500 7500 8500
Total methane emissions from
cattle (CH4 tonnes/year)
23,629 23,759 24,194 24,678 25,510 25,914
Note: Total methane emissions from dairy farm for varying milk output levels in 100 dairy cow herd
Perspectives
total methane emissions for various milk yields
Perspectives
GGE referring to various modifications in farm
management
Input parameter change result
Cow liveweight (kg) + 20 +0,165 (CH4 tonnes/year)
Milk fat content (%) -0,2 -0,241 (CH4 tonnes/year)
Calving inter-val (days) - 25 -0,011 (CH4 tonnes/year)
Cows on pasture - 30 -0,201 (CH4 tonnes/year)
-0,078 (NH3 tonnes/year)
Pasture season duration (days) - 50 -0,067 (CH4 tonnes/year)
-0,043 (NH3 tonnes/year)
Cows producing manure in deep-bedding to cows
producing slurry into reservoir (tank) ratio (20:80)
50:50 -0,700 (CH4 tonnes/year)
-0,238 (NH3 tonnes/year)
+49,5 (N2O kg/year)
Note: Total GGE from dairy farm for 8500 litres average milk output per cow in a 100 dairy cow herd
Perspectives
Perspectives
EkonMOD milk – the decision support tool
for dairy farm management
• Monitoring the KPI routinely is important so critical areas can be
revised sooner and minimize the negative effect to cash flow
• Nowadays testing the SAP HANA and SAS visual analytics
„The further incorporation of BI tools and visual analytics combining
the research results with market data developments could be vital
for making more informed tactical and cost-effective choices at the
unique dairy farm-level, with respect to the volatile global milk
price“
Perspectives
Perspectives
Perspectives
Perspectives
Perspectives
EkonMOD milk – the decision support tool
for dairy farm management
.
The versatility of the core application offers potential use in
numerous areas including the adaptation for the use in the pig, sheep
and goat sector. The NPPC Teaming activity resulted in developing the
parallel adaptation for pig farms - EkonMOD pig and the first
modifications for beef cattle and sheep breeders
Thank you!
Contact:
Ing. Miroslav Záhradník
National Agricultural and Food Centre
Research Institute for Animal Production Nitra
Slovakia
Tel. ++421 37 6546371
Mail: zahradnik@vuzv.sk

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SRagri_dairyfocus

  • 1. Agricultural sector in Slovakia Historical evolution, Current Status and Perspectives Ing. Miroslav Záhradník National Agriculture and Food Centre, Research Institute for Animal Production Nitra, Hlohovecká 2, 951 41 Lužianky – Slovak Republic www.vuzv.sk
  • 2. Historical evolution • depend strongly on natural conditions • key economic sector until the 20th century. • Theresian Urbarial Regulation, three-field system, changes in the surface water regime • mostly a self-supplying character • efficiency was low • not able to supply sufficiency of food for growing population - massive emigration 1918 1920- 1945 1948- 1989 1989- present References: Valach, M. Agriculture and industry in Slovakia – general overview. Slovak University of Agriculture. 2014
  • 3. Historical evolution • Slovakia became a less developed part of the newly established Czechoslovak Republic • still very dependent on natural conditions • level of using of the agricultural mechanisation was still low • very negative impact was caused by the First Vienna Arbitration (of 2 November 1938) • Slovakia had lost more than 10 000 km2 of its area including its most fertile soils, large sources of both surface and ground water and more than 860 000 inhabitants 1918 1920- 1945 1948- 1989 1989- present References: Valach, M. Agriculture and industry in Slovakia – general overview. Slovak University of Agriculture. 2014
  • 4. Historical evolution • announced a plan of collectivisation of agricultural production - the extinction of the private property in agrarian sector • Despite of many negative features (small-scale thefts, over- employment, social harms, massive and often improper application of chemicals, increase of erosion, etc.) hectare yields of the most important crops increased threefold in comparison to the pre-war period. •T o a large extent, food industry was self-sufficient. 1918 1920- 1945 1948- 1989 1989- present References: Valach, M. Agriculture and industry in Slovakia – general overview. Slovak University of Agriculture. 2014
  • 5. Historical evolution • Restitution of land to original owners (or to their heirs), • Economic transition of cooperatives and restructuralization of agricultural business entities (collapse of the system of cooperatives in state property), • Changes in agricultural policy • private farmers“, and also significant changes in ownership structures • most of the land is still farmed by bigger cooperatives •non-production functions of agriculture are becoming more important and supported. 1918 1920- 1945 1948- 1989 1989- present References: Valach, M. Agriculture and industry in Slovakia – general overview. Slovak University of Agriculture. 2014
  • 14. Current status AKIS – Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation Systems  Despite the integration of organisations in relation to research and advisory, as well as links among the farmer’s community, was not successfully developed after EU accession.  system does not function well where cooperation is not enhanced from policy maker actors.  The specific national agreement about integration of knowledge exchange does not exist among AKIS actors. • No significant changes materialized with regard to the effectiveness of the agricultural extension system.
  • 15. Current status AKIS – Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation Systems Barriers and Bottlenecks:  Significantly understaffed with regard to the numbers of advisors (also high average age)  potential and practical overlaps among research institutes and public organisations on one hand and academic institutions on the other hand  disconnection between different type of tools and programmes
  • 16. Current status AKIS – Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation Systems
  • 17. Current status AKIS – Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation Systems Slovak Interactive Innovation projects AgroBioTech (25 mil. €) innovation transfer for agriculture and food processors (National Agricultural and Food Centre (NPPC) as involved player) Bioeconomy Cluster (Slovak University of Agriculture, NPPC and enterprises)
  • 18. Current status AKIS – Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation Systems Slovak Interactive Innovation projects Increasing private investments via cooperation between research institutions and the business sector - Total EU budget 200 mil .€ Examples: R & D centre for precision farming in the mountainous areas using advanced automated technology Partnership for research and innovative technologies enhancing the quality, safety and the added value of special crops Industrial research and development centre for Short Rotation Coppice
  • 19. Current status National cattle inventories 467125 463358 471091 467820 465543 204386 201307 202589 198978 201795 159260 154105 150272 144875 143083 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Cattle total Cows total Dairy cows 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5692,10 5772,7 6112,2 6334,2 6315,2 Annual milk yields per cow in litres
  • 20. Current status 20 Dairy production systems in Slovakia indicator Intensive Extensive Semi-intensive Cost per feeding day >7 € <4 € 5-6 € Herd size (dairy cows) >200 1-100 <200 Geographical location Southern low lands Mountainous and foothill areas Uplands and foothills Feeding management All-year round silage based TMR Dairy cows and heifer on seasonal pastures with minimum concentrate feed Heifer on seasonal pastures (for dairy cows additional only) Management target 20 kg lifetime daily yield Long productive life-span, healthy cows, with good locomotion Various combinations Technology level High level of innovation Low cost technology Various combinations Prevailing breed Holstein Pinzgau, Simmental-Fleckvieh Various cross-breds Milk sale - processing Industry Own processing, direct sale Various combinations Source: Udržateľné systémy chov dojníc na Slovensku (2016)
  • 21. Current status Development of the length of productive life and lifetime yield of Slovak Holstein cows Source: Breeding Services of Slovak Republic, state enterprise BS SR, Results of cattle performance recording in Slovakia, (2009-2016) year AFC (days) Length of productive life (days) Number of lactations Llifetime yield (kg) Lifetime yield per day (kg) 2009-10 829 827 2,25 16747 10,11 2010-11 823 862 2,31 17553 10,42 2011-12 815 907 2,39 18615 10,81 2012-13 815 908 2,32 18710 10,32 2013-14 808 910 2,39 19829 11,54 2014-15 799 931 2,44 20683 11,96 2016 787 946 2,52 21644 12,46
  • 22. Current status Economic impact of different AFC in Slovak Holstein dairy herds in 2014/2015 Source: BS SR, 2015, own calculations, Note: * baseline AFC=24 months, 28 EUR/100 kg milk* AFC (months) Lifetime yield (kg) Differences in income on a per cow basis * 21 19 937 - 375,76 € 22 20 051 - 343,84 € 23 20 948 - 92,68 € 24 21 279 0,00 € 26 20 907 - 104,16 € 28 20 529 - 210,00 € 30 19 698 - 442,68 EUR
  • 23. Current status Relation between AFC and lifetime yield in Slovak Holstein dairy herds Source: Huba et al, 2017 AFC (days) Number of lactations Lifetime yield (kg) Yield per lactation (kg) Lifetime yield per day (kg) 22 2,31 21 119 9583 14,33 23 2,44 21 847 9259 13,86 24 2,53 22 202 8950 13,29 26 2,54 21 696 8686 12,34 27 2,49 21 559 8551 11,98 29 2,52 20 537 8378 11,05
  • 24. Current status Summary of lifetime performance in relation to early growth and fertility in typical UK Holstein/Friesian dairy heifers Source: Adapted from Wathes et al. (2008) Top performers Average performers Poor performers Worst performers Calf growth rates from birth to 9 months High Average Poor Variable Nulliparous heifer fertility Excellent 1.1 S/C Good 1.5 S/C Poor 2.5 S/C Very poor 3 S/C Age at first calving 21 to 23 m. 24 to 25 m. 26 to 30 m. > 30 m. Total milk production in first lactation >8000 l >7500 l >6000 l <6500 l Fertility parameters in first lactation Average Good Average Poor Age at second calving 38 months 38 months 41 months 50 months Survival from first calving to 5 years 80% 60% 50% 30% Total milk yield over 5 years from birth 24 000 l 22 000 l 17 000 l 8000 l
  • 25. Perspectives Proposed action:  speed-up the process of the cross-sectional research and academia knowledge transfer along with the active participation of industry to ensure that research is brought to the market more often  linking the priorities at national level with the ESFRI strengthening the national involvement in pan-European facilities within European research infrastructure ecosystem  interact on the multidisciplinary approach to practical and acceptable agri production systems with defined sustainability KPI and to understand the mechanisms of knowledge sharing and innovation among farmers  need for and the added value of joint approaches in particular vis-à-vis the large existing and emerging science nations  mainstreaming interaction in promoting effective knowledge transfer mechanism and creating added value for data sharing models  active participation in the co-creation of innovative solutions to bridge the gap between science and solving the practical problems by matching industry needs with research activities
  • 26. Perspectives Slovak University of Agriculture in Nitra, National Forest Centre, Slovak Academy of Science and the National Agricultural and Food Centre (NPPC) represent the national agri-research system. The structure of research in the field of agriculture under the NPPC is composed by following institutes: • Soil Science and Conservation Research Institute • Research Institute of Plant Production • Research Institute for Animal Production Nitra • Agroecology Research Institute • Grassland and Mountain Agriculture Research Institute • Food Research Institute • Research Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics • Agricultural Technical and Testing Institute
  • 27. Perspectives EkonMOD milk – the decision support tool for dairy farm management "Bringing tailored decision support tools for dairy farm management to remove bottlenecks to the delivery of practice- oriented research to end-users“ • Applied research agenda, practice-oriented research • Golden Sickle award 2015 in the category Science and research • Concept of new a communication platform between the farmers and the research not commonly used in Slovakia
  • 28. Perspectives EkonMOD milk – the decision support tool for dairy farm management Rationale of the tool: • better understand the dynamics of the herd structure • improve economically sensible decision-making abilities This approach could contribute to the successful deployment of the existing scientific and practical knowledge
  • 29. Perspectives EkonMOD milk – the decision support tool for dairy farm management Background information: • detailed and long run cooperation with dairy farmsDevelopment is being debated with farmers continuously • Sensitivity analysis belongs to the basics of any farm • Making this process more clear and simple to actualize
  • 30. Perspectives EkonMOD milk – the decision support tool for dairy farm management • introductionary modules distributed via web page for free • first responses from the dairy farmers are positive • willing to widen our services in the terms of online data uploads and comparison with peer operations
  • 32. Perspectives Number of replacement for each age at calving in a 300 cow herd Months 24 26 28 30 32 35 Replacement heifers 170 185 199 213 227 249 Note: Total heifer inventory numbers for varying herd sizes at a 35% replacement per year for first lactation cows and 25 % replacement per year for cows at remaining lactation stages. Other rearing parameters are taken from the following assumption: 4% stillbirths, 100 % dairy cow natality, 5 % mortality of calves, selection of calves 4 %, 50 % ratio of heifers born, heifer selection 20 %, culled cows that die before disposal 20 %.
  • 33. Perspectives Number of replacement heifers for various culling rates Culling Rate Increase in heifer pool numbers over 24 month calving age ^) 25/35* 170 (20 surplus heifers) (32^) = 202** (2 deficit heifers) 26/36* 176 (17 surplus heifers) (45^) = 221** (6 deficit heifers) 27/36* 180 (15 surplus heifers) (46^) = 226** (8 deficit heifers) 27/37* 182 (14 surplus heifers) (47^) = 229** (9 deficit heifers) 27/38* 184 (13 surplus heifers) (48^) = 232** (11 deficit heifers) Note: Calving at 24 Months of Age. *Culling rates for second and following lactations/culling rates for first calving heifers. Other rearing parameters are taken from the following assumption: 4% stillbirths, 100 % dairy cow natality, 5 % mortality of calves, selection of calves 4 %, 50 % ratio of heifers born, heifer selection 20 %, culled cows that die before disposal 20 %. **Increase in heifer replacement numbers for various culling rates in 300 cow herd: First calf heifers calving at 30 months.
  • 34. Perspectives Economic impact of changed input variables
  • 35. Perspectives AFC and heifers (calves) rearing period Real data What-if scenario 1 What-if scenario 2 Dairy cows numbers 423 423 423 Culling (1. lactations) 36% 36% 36% Culling (remaining lactations) 30% 30% 30% Dairy cow natality 95% 95% 95% Stillbirths 7% 7% 4% Calves mortality 11% 11% 5% Calves selection 14% 14% 9% ratio of heifers born 50% 50% 50% Heifer selection 20% 20% 18% culled cows that die before disposal 20% 20% 20% AFC (days) 789 days 733 days 733 days Number of heifers needed for replacement 290 269 269 Replacement heifers surplus or deficit -31 -21 3
  • 36. Perspectives Economic analysis – EkonMOD milk results I. -31 heifers -21 heifers 3 heifers 7 % 7 % 4 % 11 % 11 % 5 % 14 % 14 % 9 % 20 % 20 % 18 % 29 903 EUR 40 864 EUR 62 794 EUR Real data What-if scenario 1 What-if scenario 2 Replacement heifer deficit or surplus stillbirths Calves mortality Calves selection
  • 37. Perspectives Economic analysis – EkonMOD milk results II. 789 days 733 days 733 days 290 heifers 269 heifers 269 heifers 29 903 EUR 40 864 EUR 62 794 EUR Real data What-if scenario 1 What-if scenario 2 AFC (days) Number of heifers needed for replacement Economic result
  • 39. Perspectives Sensitivity analysis - BW and AFC Real data What-if scenario 3 What-if scenario 4 Dairy cow mature BW 700 kg 700 kg 700 kg Milk price (expected) 0,28 € 0,28 € 0,28 € Daily milk yield (expected) 18,5 kg 18,5 kg 18,5 kg Cost per feeding day of a cow 8 € 8 € 8 € Cost per feeding day of high-pregnant cow 3,50 € 3,50 € 3,50 € Herd size 432 432 432 Average number of heifer calving per year 172 172 172 Target share of mature cow BW 85% 85% 85% AFC 789 days 733 days 733 days BW at first calving 560 kg (80 %) 560 kg (80%) 585 kg (84%) Target AFC 733 days 733 days 733 days Economic loss per cow -35 € - 25 € - 6 €
  • 40. Perspectives Economic analysis – EkonMOD milk results III. 789 days 733 days 733 days -14987 € -8428 € -2408 € 80 % 80 % 84 % Real data What-if scenario 3 What-if scenario 4 AFC Economic loss per farm BW at first calving
  • 44. Perspectives GGE referring to various milk yield per year (litres) Average milk yield per year (litres) 3500 4500 5500 6500 7500 8500 Total methane emissions from cattle (CH4 tonnes/year) 23,629 23,759 24,194 24,678 25,510 25,914 Note: Total methane emissions from dairy farm for varying milk output levels in 100 dairy cow herd
  • 45. Perspectives total methane emissions for various milk yields
  • 46. Perspectives GGE referring to various modifications in farm management Input parameter change result Cow liveweight (kg) + 20 +0,165 (CH4 tonnes/year) Milk fat content (%) -0,2 -0,241 (CH4 tonnes/year) Calving inter-val (days) - 25 -0,011 (CH4 tonnes/year) Cows on pasture - 30 -0,201 (CH4 tonnes/year) -0,078 (NH3 tonnes/year) Pasture season duration (days) - 50 -0,067 (CH4 tonnes/year) -0,043 (NH3 tonnes/year) Cows producing manure in deep-bedding to cows producing slurry into reservoir (tank) ratio (20:80) 50:50 -0,700 (CH4 tonnes/year) -0,238 (NH3 tonnes/year) +49,5 (N2O kg/year) Note: Total GGE from dairy farm for 8500 litres average milk output per cow in a 100 dairy cow herd
  • 48. Perspectives EkonMOD milk – the decision support tool for dairy farm management • Monitoring the KPI routinely is important so critical areas can be revised sooner and minimize the negative effect to cash flow • Nowadays testing the SAP HANA and SAS visual analytics „The further incorporation of BI tools and visual analytics combining the research results with market data developments could be vital for making more informed tactical and cost-effective choices at the unique dairy farm-level, with respect to the volatile global milk price“
  • 53. Perspectives EkonMOD milk – the decision support tool for dairy farm management . The versatility of the core application offers potential use in numerous areas including the adaptation for the use in the pig, sheep and goat sector. The NPPC Teaming activity resulted in developing the parallel adaptation for pig farms - EkonMOD pig and the first modifications for beef cattle and sheep breeders
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  • 59. Thank you! Contact: Ing. Miroslav Záhradník National Agricultural and Food Centre Research Institute for Animal Production Nitra Slovakia Tel. ++421 37 6546371 Mail: zahradnik@vuzv.sk