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Efficient EnterprisesPowering American Industry Michael Lubell American Physical Society & Department of Physics, CCNY March 19,2010
What We Will Cover Climate change science: a primer Energy policy: a prudent approach Energy efficiency: now and in the future Climate change R&D: a way forward Electricity production: an observation
The Greenhouse EffectSimplified Picture
The Greenhouse EffectMore Complete Picture
Climate ChangeWhat We Know Well: Settled Science Absorption of IR by greenhouse gas molecules Increase of atmospheric CO2 due to human activity
Climate ChangeWhat We Know Less Well Temperature of the Earth and correlation with CO2
Climate ChangeWhat We Know Even Less Well Climate models Global Local Predictability Confidence
Climate ChangeBut What We Also Know Well Dwell time of CO in the atmosphere
Climate ChangeBut What We Also Do Know Well Dwell time of CO2 in the atmosphere: hundreds of years Compare ozone hole and dwell time of Freon
Climate ChangeBut What We Also Know Well Dwell time of CO2 in the atmosphere: hundreds of years Compare ozone hole and dwell time of Freon: decades
And Even with the Ozone Hole… Note: 1 Dobson Unit  = 0.01 mm
Energy PolicyClimate Change & Energy Security
Energy PolicyClimate Change & Energy Security Energy Efficiency Prudent policy It costs the economy nothing to deploy existing technologies But we must invest in research to develop future technologies
A Promotional Announcement
www.aps.org/EnergyEfficiencyReport/
Energy PolicyClimate Change & Energy Security Climate change R&D White House roadmap: $15 billion/yr federal R&D investment needed to achieve 83% target reduction by 2050 Unfortunately existing climate bills virtually ignore research  We will never reach the target!
Energy PolicyClimate Change & Energy Security Some ideas for funding climate change R&D Five percent of total carbon allowances issued annually should be dedicated to funding basic research and long-term applied research to help achieve the 83% carbon reduction goals. The Secretary of Energy should prepare a long-term  research plan and provide annual updates to assure targets are met. To the maximum extent practicable, multiyear projects should be fully funded at their initiation with reviews of projects taking place annually.
Energy PolicyClimate Change & Energy Security Some ideas for funding climate change R&D Funds should be used for competitively awarded research in the following areas: New lower, or zero, carbon emission energy resources and technologies, including increased efficiency. Improved methods for capturing and sequestering greenhouse gases. Climate change research, including its modeling and monitoring. The economic, behavioral and social factors affecting consumer energy use.
One More Issue – Renewables in Brief Sources of electric power: load classification Coal: base load Nuclear: base load Hydro: base load Natural gas: “peaker” as currently used Wind: intermittent Solar: intermittent Fundamental requirements for wind and solar scale-up Grid Electricity storage
What We Covered Climate change science: a primer Energy policy: a prudent approach Energy efficiency: now and in the future Climate change R&D: a way forward Electricity production: an observation

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Efficient Enterprises Power American Industry

  • 1. Efficient EnterprisesPowering American Industry Michael Lubell American Physical Society & Department of Physics, CCNY March 19,2010
  • 2. What We Will Cover Climate change science: a primer Energy policy: a prudent approach Energy efficiency: now and in the future Climate change R&D: a way forward Electricity production: an observation
  • 4. The Greenhouse EffectMore Complete Picture
  • 5. Climate ChangeWhat We Know Well: Settled Science Absorption of IR by greenhouse gas molecules Increase of atmospheric CO2 due to human activity
  • 6. Climate ChangeWhat We Know Less Well Temperature of the Earth and correlation with CO2
  • 7. Climate ChangeWhat We Know Even Less Well Climate models Global Local Predictability Confidence
  • 8. Climate ChangeBut What We Also Know Well Dwell time of CO in the atmosphere
  • 9. Climate ChangeBut What We Also Do Know Well Dwell time of CO2 in the atmosphere: hundreds of years Compare ozone hole and dwell time of Freon
  • 10. Climate ChangeBut What We Also Know Well Dwell time of CO2 in the atmosphere: hundreds of years Compare ozone hole and dwell time of Freon: decades
  • 11. And Even with the Ozone Hole… Note: 1 Dobson Unit = 0.01 mm
  • 12. Energy PolicyClimate Change & Energy Security
  • 13. Energy PolicyClimate Change & Energy Security Energy Efficiency Prudent policy It costs the economy nothing to deploy existing technologies But we must invest in research to develop future technologies
  • 16. Energy PolicyClimate Change & Energy Security Climate change R&D White House roadmap: $15 billion/yr federal R&D investment needed to achieve 83% target reduction by 2050 Unfortunately existing climate bills virtually ignore research  We will never reach the target!
  • 17. Energy PolicyClimate Change & Energy Security Some ideas for funding climate change R&D Five percent of total carbon allowances issued annually should be dedicated to funding basic research and long-term applied research to help achieve the 83% carbon reduction goals. The Secretary of Energy should prepare a long-term research plan and provide annual updates to assure targets are met. To the maximum extent practicable, multiyear projects should be fully funded at their initiation with reviews of projects taking place annually.
  • 18. Energy PolicyClimate Change & Energy Security Some ideas for funding climate change R&D Funds should be used for competitively awarded research in the following areas: New lower, or zero, carbon emission energy resources and technologies, including increased efficiency. Improved methods for capturing and sequestering greenhouse gases. Climate change research, including its modeling and monitoring. The economic, behavioral and social factors affecting consumer energy use.
  • 19. One More Issue – Renewables in Brief Sources of electric power: load classification Coal: base load Nuclear: base load Hydro: base load Natural gas: “peaker” as currently used Wind: intermittent Solar: intermittent Fundamental requirements for wind and solar scale-up Grid Electricity storage
  • 20. What We Covered Climate change science: a primer Energy policy: a prudent approach Energy efficiency: now and in the future Climate change R&D: a way forward Electricity production: an observation