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DID JUSTIN
TRUDEAU
SUPPORT
THE MIDDLE
CLASS IN
CANADA
Paul Young CPA CGA
August 21, 2022
PAUL YOUNG - BIO
• CPA, CGA (1996)
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Customer Success Management
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
• SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
AGENDA
TI General Median Income
Job Quality
TD and Automation
Innovation
Manufacturing
Natural Resources
Cost of Living
Housing
Transition to the green and circular economy
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 3
MEDIAN INCOME
ANALYSIS
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 4
WAGES AND EMPLOYMENT
ANALYSIS
EMPLOYMENT / ANALYSIS
AUTOMATION AND JOBS
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 7
Automation and
Jobs.pdf
• Many jobs could face automation -
https://www.saviom.com/blog/12-jobs-that-
robots-ai-will-replace-in-the-future-and-12-
that-wont/
• There are skills gaps issues -
https://canada.constructconnect.com/dcn/
news/labour/2021/10/no-simple-answer-to-
solve-the-massive-skilled-labour-shortage-
canadata-panel
• Government jobs continue to outpace
other sectors in terms of growth -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-
to-fix-the-goverance-model-for-the-public-
sector-government-249941842
• Canada should be leading the world when
it comes to development of its natural
resources in a sustainable way -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what
-is-next-for-canada-and-worlds-natural-
resources-250492008
TD / AUTOMATION
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 8
pandemic_digitalizati
on.pdf
Mission Accepted: Deploying Digital Transformation
To say the past 12 months have been tough for manufacturers is an understatement.
 COVID-19 lockdowns and restrictions continued to impact operations.
 Buying habits and customer expectations evolved.
 Supply chains started crumbling.
 Hackers recognized manufacturers as a prime target.
My work: https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/digital-economy-adoption-by-small-to-mediumsize-enterprises
TD AND INNOVATION
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 9
Canadas_Innovation_
Challenge.pdf
Blog – New Normal
The new normal is here to stay - Link:
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/blog-small-medium-size-
manufacturers-expecting-growth-paul-young/?published=t
MANUFACTURING –
CANADA
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 10
https://financialpost.com/news/economy/how-canada-can-get-back-some-of-its-former-glory-as-a-maker-of-
things-the-world-wants-to-
buy?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1626082199
This is how you fix the issues:
- eliminate the carbon taxes
- Streamlining of regs
- fix the tax policies
- Support the circular economy through policies that benefit everyone
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/manufacturing-canada-analysis-and-commentary
NATURAL RESOURCES
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 11
https://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2021/06/04/does-canada-need-another-pipeline-feds-ask-days-after-biden-
cancels-keystone-xl-2/#.YLnpxqEpDQy
Canada needs to start putting emphasis on the supply chain as part of maximizing its natural resources.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-maximize-the-natural-resources-for-canada
Natural Resources sector jobs pay between 30-40% higher than the service sector jobs
BMO – CONSUMER
PRICE INDEX
Source –
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/59bcd
ce2-374d-45fa-81bb-461f507a3ef5/
Inflation - USA - BMO
- July 2022.pdf
BMO - Inflation - CPI
- Canada - July 2022.pdf
Canada -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/d
etail/c8a3a857-a963-4582-8aa6-
2e730b652b2c/
BMO - Inflation - July
2022 - Canada.pdf
OECD AND INFLATION
KEY COST AREAS
SUMMARY - INFLATION
SUMMARY - INFLATION
https://www.ctvnews.ca/business/pattie-lovett-reid-why-is-real-estate-so-expensive-in-canada-1.5866760
I have been calling out systemic issues for housing including low adoption of 3D printing, Cost and Availability of land,
lack of rural and urban strategy, housing starts not keeping pace with population growth, ridiculous asks & bids, wage
growth, etc.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/housing-and-homelessness-canada-and-the-world-march-2022-revisedpptx
TD BANK AND INFLATION
TD and Middle
Claass.pdf
MIDDLE CLASS 2015 ELECTION PROMISE
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 18
• Carbon Tax “The federal government’s own impact analysis shows that Trudeau is increasing costs. Trudeau promised not to do that, but he
lied to us, plain and simple. And Canadians will be left paying the price.” - https://www.rcinet.ca/en/2020/12/23/liberal-plan-to-reduce-
emissions-will-hurt-lower-middle-income-groups-critics/ or https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/terrazzano-trudeaus-second-carbon-
tax-means-higher-costs-for-canadians
• Wealthy “The report, “Measuring Progressivity in Canada’s Tax System,” says while the top 20% of income-earning families in Canada
making more than $206,267 annually pay almost two-thirds of federal and provincial income taxes (63.2%), and more than half of all taxes
(54.7%), their share of total income is only 44.1%.” - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/goldstein-make-the-rich-pay-new-reports-
show-in-canada-we-already-do
• Shrinking middle class - https://theorca.ca/visiting-pod/the-shrinking-middle/
• Middle class continues to follow behind the cost of living - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/primerica-study-finds-income-falling-120400722.html
• Public sector - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/gunter-the-public-sector-fared-very-well-during-lockdown
HOUSING
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 19
HOUSING
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 20
FOOD PRICES
AND
CONSUMER
PRICES
• Produce Price index keeps rising
• Gasoline / transportation continue to
rise due to factors like carbon tax and
fuel standard tax
• Canada needs to build a resilient
supply chain
• Farmers continue to be hammer with
higher costs
•
• https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoung
cga/retail-sales-canada-may-2021
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 21
HOUSEHOLD DEBT
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 22
GREEN AND CIRCULAR ECONOMY
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 23
Blog - RBC report says $2 trillion needed to reach 2050 target of net zero economy
A new report says the country will need roughly $2 trillion to put the economy on a path to net-zero emissions in 30 years, including government spending
on things like skills training and backstops to prod the necessary investments.
The report from RBC Economics estimates governments, businesses and communities would have to spend at least $60 billion annually to cut emissions by
75 per cent of current levels and reach the 2050 target of net zero.
Money will be needed to build out the electricity system to handle the expected rise in electric vehicles, which will also need some subsidies to get them off
assembly lines and onto Canadian roads, the report says.
There will also have to be investment in retrofitting old buildings faster than current federal plans predict, retraining 100,000 workers with new skills for
fast-growing green sectors, and skills training programs to add 200,000 more into the labour force by 2030.
Government:
The government has increased its emissions-reduction targets for 2030 as required by the climate agreement.
Internal government documents suggest the Liberals are acutely aware of the cost to shift the country to net zero and have looked to push banks and other
private sector investors to help with funding and financing.
But the report also warns of moving too fast, too soon. If there was a sudden and severe decline in oil and gas production, government revenues would fall
by about $8 billion annually, which the report says could hamper, not help, the transition.
https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/rbc-report-says-2-trillion-needed-to-reach-2050-target-of-net-zero-economy-274560/
My work: https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-mitigate-the-threats-of-climate-change-october-2021
Net_Zero_Master.pdf
SUMMARY
• % of total employment making above wages has grown since Nov/15. The problem is that there is nearly
over 1M jobs in sectors like hospitality and retail. Both retail and hospitality sector continue to be
transformed as part of the new normal
• The shortages of key skills, especially in areas of STEM –
• Middle class is still facing many issues like high costs of housing.
• Failure of Trudeaunomics - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/failure-of-trudeaunomics-july-2022pptx
• There are many risks impacting the global economy. The ability of all levels of government and the private sector to
mitigate risks will be key to building an inclusive and sustainable economy.
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 24
Blog – How is the Middle Class doing in Canada – August 2022
Housing affordability is at 41 years low
Carbon tax and climate change at all costs continue to impact the cost of living
Liberals could have made Canada a mining giant but chose to focus solely on policies to support their
social agenda
Farmers are very concern with changes to fertilizer rules
Canada GDP per capita trails countries like Australia and Qatar
Productivity -
Canada.pdf
Trade and Canada
-.pdf
Lithium and Canada -
Champagne.pdf
Lumber Production
and Canada.pdf
Richest Countries -
Analysis.pdf
Food and
Farmers.pdf
Rising Costs and
Small Businesses.pdf
GDP per capita -
Canada - Slice.pdf
Lithium and
Australia.pdf
Lithium and Canada -
Champagne.pdf
Lumber Production
and Canada.pdf
Richest Countries -
Analysis.pdf
Productivity -
Canada.pdf
Trade and Canada
-.pdf
Housing Affordability
- Trudeau and Singh - 20221808.pdf
Rent and Cost of
Living.pdf
Top jobs.pdf
Employment and
Canada - Wages.pdf
Mortgages and
Canada.pdf
Skills gap.pdf Retirement and
CAnada.pdf
mining and
Canada.pdf
Business
automation.pdf
LNG and Canada -
Projects.pdf
Bottomline_TD.pdf Retail Sales and
Bloomberg.pdf
Manufacturing Sales
- Canada - Bloomberg.pdf
Oil - USA and Canada
- Reuters.pdf
TD and Middle
Claass.pdf
1. Job quality / Canada – https://www.talentcanada.ca/two-months-of-job-losses-a-sign-of-
shifting-economy-economist-suggests/
2. Mortgages - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/mortgage-lenders-results-show-pockets-of-
concern-in-canada-1.1807855
3. Retirement - https://www.benefitscanada.com/news/bencan/28-of-canadian-gen-xers-have-
nothing-saving-for-retirement-survey-finds/
4. LNG - https://www.enr.com/articles/54550-canadas-first-two-gas-export-terminal-projects-get-
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Middlec Class and Canada -August 2022.pptx

  • 1. DID JUSTIN TRUDEAU SUPPORT THE MIDDLE CLASS IN CANADA Paul Young CPA CGA August 21, 2022
  • 2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO • CPA, CGA (1996) • Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2) • SME – Customer Success Management • SME – Risk Management • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • SME – Emerging Technology • SME – Business Process Change • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – Macro/Micro Indicators • SME – Supply Chain Management • SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform • SME – Internal Controls and Auditing Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/ SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
  • 3. AGENDA TI General Median Income Job Quality TD and Automation Innovation Manufacturing Natural Resources Cost of Living Housing Transition to the green and circular economy PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 3
  • 7. AUTOMATION AND JOBS PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 7 Automation and Jobs.pdf • Many jobs could face automation - https://www.saviom.com/blog/12-jobs-that- robots-ai-will-replace-in-the-future-and-12- that-wont/ • There are skills gaps issues - https://canada.constructconnect.com/dcn/ news/labour/2021/10/no-simple-answer-to- solve-the-massive-skilled-labour-shortage- canadata-panel • Government jobs continue to outpace other sectors in terms of growth - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how- to-fix-the-goverance-model-for-the-public- sector-government-249941842 • Canada should be leading the world when it comes to development of its natural resources in a sustainable way - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what -is-next-for-canada-and-worlds-natural- resources-250492008
  • 8. TD / AUTOMATION PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 8 pandemic_digitalizati on.pdf Mission Accepted: Deploying Digital Transformation To say the past 12 months have been tough for manufacturers is an understatement.  COVID-19 lockdowns and restrictions continued to impact operations.  Buying habits and customer expectations evolved.  Supply chains started crumbling.  Hackers recognized manufacturers as a prime target. My work: https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/digital-economy-adoption-by-small-to-mediumsize-enterprises
  • 9. TD AND INNOVATION PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 9 Canadas_Innovation_ Challenge.pdf Blog – New Normal The new normal is here to stay - Link: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/blog-small-medium-size- manufacturers-expecting-growth-paul-young/?published=t
  • 10. MANUFACTURING – CANADA PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 10 https://financialpost.com/news/economy/how-canada-can-get-back-some-of-its-former-glory-as-a-maker-of- things-the-world-wants-to- buy?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1626082199 This is how you fix the issues: - eliminate the carbon taxes - Streamlining of regs - fix the tax policies - Support the circular economy through policies that benefit everyone https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/manufacturing-canada-analysis-and-commentary
  • 11. NATURAL RESOURCES PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 11 https://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2021/06/04/does-canada-need-another-pipeline-feds-ask-days-after-biden- cancels-keystone-xl-2/#.YLnpxqEpDQy Canada needs to start putting emphasis on the supply chain as part of maximizing its natural resources. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-maximize-the-natural-resources-for-canada Natural Resources sector jobs pay between 30-40% higher than the service sector jobs
  • 12. BMO – CONSUMER PRICE INDEX Source – https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/59bcd ce2-374d-45fa-81bb-461f507a3ef5/ Inflation - USA - BMO - July 2022.pdf BMO - Inflation - CPI - Canada - July 2022.pdf Canada - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/d etail/c8a3a857-a963-4582-8aa6- 2e730b652b2c/ BMO - Inflation - July 2022 - Canada.pdf
  • 16. SUMMARY - INFLATION https://www.ctvnews.ca/business/pattie-lovett-reid-why-is-real-estate-so-expensive-in-canada-1.5866760 I have been calling out systemic issues for housing including low adoption of 3D printing, Cost and Availability of land, lack of rural and urban strategy, housing starts not keeping pace with population growth, ridiculous asks & bids, wage growth, etc. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/housing-and-homelessness-canada-and-the-world-march-2022-revisedpptx
  • 17. TD BANK AND INFLATION TD and Middle Claass.pdf
  • 18. MIDDLE CLASS 2015 ELECTION PROMISE PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 18 • Carbon Tax “The federal government’s own impact analysis shows that Trudeau is increasing costs. Trudeau promised not to do that, but he lied to us, plain and simple. And Canadians will be left paying the price.” - https://www.rcinet.ca/en/2020/12/23/liberal-plan-to-reduce- emissions-will-hurt-lower-middle-income-groups-critics/ or https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/terrazzano-trudeaus-second-carbon- tax-means-higher-costs-for-canadians • Wealthy “The report, “Measuring Progressivity in Canada’s Tax System,” says while the top 20% of income-earning families in Canada making more than $206,267 annually pay almost two-thirds of federal and provincial income taxes (63.2%), and more than half of all taxes (54.7%), their share of total income is only 44.1%.” - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/goldstein-make-the-rich-pay-new-reports- show-in-canada-we-already-do • Shrinking middle class - https://theorca.ca/visiting-pod/the-shrinking-middle/ • Middle class continues to follow behind the cost of living - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/primerica-study-finds-income-falling-120400722.html • Public sector - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/gunter-the-public-sector-fared-very-well-during-lockdown
  • 21. FOOD PRICES AND CONSUMER PRICES • Produce Price index keeps rising • Gasoline / transportation continue to rise due to factors like carbon tax and fuel standard tax • Canada needs to build a resilient supply chain • Farmers continue to be hammer with higher costs • • https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoung cga/retail-sales-canada-may-2021 PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 21
  • 23. GREEN AND CIRCULAR ECONOMY PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 23 Blog - RBC report says $2 trillion needed to reach 2050 target of net zero economy A new report says the country will need roughly $2 trillion to put the economy on a path to net-zero emissions in 30 years, including government spending on things like skills training and backstops to prod the necessary investments. The report from RBC Economics estimates governments, businesses and communities would have to spend at least $60 billion annually to cut emissions by 75 per cent of current levels and reach the 2050 target of net zero. Money will be needed to build out the electricity system to handle the expected rise in electric vehicles, which will also need some subsidies to get them off assembly lines and onto Canadian roads, the report says. There will also have to be investment in retrofitting old buildings faster than current federal plans predict, retraining 100,000 workers with new skills for fast-growing green sectors, and skills training programs to add 200,000 more into the labour force by 2030. Government: The government has increased its emissions-reduction targets for 2030 as required by the climate agreement. Internal government documents suggest the Liberals are acutely aware of the cost to shift the country to net zero and have looked to push banks and other private sector investors to help with funding and financing. But the report also warns of moving too fast, too soon. If there was a sudden and severe decline in oil and gas production, government revenues would fall by about $8 billion annually, which the report says could hamper, not help, the transition. https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/rbc-report-says-2-trillion-needed-to-reach-2050-target-of-net-zero-economy-274560/ My work: https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-mitigate-the-threats-of-climate-change-october-2021 Net_Zero_Master.pdf
  • 24. SUMMARY • % of total employment making above wages has grown since Nov/15. The problem is that there is nearly over 1M jobs in sectors like hospitality and retail. Both retail and hospitality sector continue to be transformed as part of the new normal • The shortages of key skills, especially in areas of STEM – • Middle class is still facing many issues like high costs of housing. • Failure of Trudeaunomics - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/failure-of-trudeaunomics-july-2022pptx • There are many risks impacting the global economy. The ability of all levels of government and the private sector to mitigate risks will be key to building an inclusive and sustainable economy. PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 24 Blog – How is the Middle Class doing in Canada – August 2022 Housing affordability is at 41 years low Carbon tax and climate change at all costs continue to impact the cost of living Liberals could have made Canada a mining giant but chose to focus solely on policies to support their social agenda Farmers are very concern with changes to fertilizer rules Canada GDP per capita trails countries like Australia and Qatar Productivity - Canada.pdf Trade and Canada -.pdf Lithium and Canada - Champagne.pdf Lumber Production and Canada.pdf Richest Countries - Analysis.pdf Food and Farmers.pdf Rising Costs and Small Businesses.pdf GDP per capita - Canada - Slice.pdf Lithium and Australia.pdf Lithium and Canada - Champagne.pdf Lumber Production and Canada.pdf Richest Countries - Analysis.pdf Productivity - Canada.pdf Trade and Canada -.pdf Housing Affordability - Trudeau and Singh - 20221808.pdf Rent and Cost of Living.pdf Top jobs.pdf Employment and Canada - Wages.pdf Mortgages and Canada.pdf Skills gap.pdf Retirement and CAnada.pdf mining and Canada.pdf Business automation.pdf LNG and Canada - Projects.pdf Bottomline_TD.pdf Retail Sales and Bloomberg.pdf Manufacturing Sales - Canada - Bloomberg.pdf Oil - USA and Canada - Reuters.pdf TD and Middle Claass.pdf 1. Job quality / Canada – https://www.talentcanada.ca/two-months-of-job-losses-a-sign-of- shifting-economy-economist-suggests/ 2. Mortgages - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/mortgage-lenders-results-show-pockets-of- concern-in-canada-1.1807855 3. Retirement - https://www.benefitscanada.com/news/bencan/28-of-canadian-gen-xers-have- nothing-saving-for-retirement-survey-finds/ 4. LNG - https://www.enr.com/articles/54550-canadas-first-two-gas-export-terminal-projects-get- new-boosts

Editor's Notes

  1. https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220311/dq220311a-eng.htm
  2. https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/37720595-ae8e-4dad-a992-47f701de6446/
  3. Summary: Inflation continues to be an issue for many Canadians. Green inflation continues to key part of the rise of inflation More and more people are being left out of the housing market https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/cost-of-living-canada-december-2021
  4. Summary: Inflation continues to be an issue for many Canadians. Green inflation continues to key part of the rise of inflation More and more people are being left out of the housing market https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/cost-of-living-canada-december-2021
  5. Summary: Inflation continues to be an issue for many Canadians. Green inflation continues to key part of the rise of inflation More and more people are being left out of the housing market https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/cost-of-living-canada-december-2021