Steven Kandarian, Chief Investment Officer at MetLife, summarized the company's defensive positioning in response to weaknesses identified in certain asset sectors early in 2007. MetLife repositioned its portfolio for an anticipated recession by reducing leverage and increasing liquidity. The document then provides an overview of MetLife's views on the 2009 market outlook and themes, including details on spreads, alternative investments, portfolio income sources, and the composition and performance of specific asset classes like RMBS, CMBS, and corporate bonds in MetLife's portfolio.
Presentation referenced by Richard Yamarone of the Bloomberg Economic BRIEF, at the 2012 Texas Financial Market Roundtable sponsored by Professor Lewis Spellman at the McCombs School of Business, The University of Texas at Austin. Mr. Yamarone is the author of "The Trader's Guide to Key Economic Indicators."
By David J. Spielman, Fatima Zaidi, and Kathleen Flaherty. Presented at the ASTI-FARA conference Agricultural R&D: Investing in Africa's Future: Analyzing Trends, Challenges, and Opportunities - Accra, Ghana on December 5-7, 2011. http://www.asti.cgiar.org/2011conf
Many of your employees may not feel well but they aren't physically ill. Instead, what they lack is "financial wellness," a hot topic in many companies these days. In a nutshell, they're worried about making ends meet today as well as in the future, and that can take a toll on their productivity. Should you try to do anything about it? And, if so, what?
Presentation referenced by Richard Yamarone of the Bloomberg Economic BRIEF, at the 2012 Texas Financial Market Roundtable sponsored by Professor Lewis Spellman at the McCombs School of Business, The University of Texas at Austin. Mr. Yamarone is the author of "The Trader's Guide to Key Economic Indicators."
By David J. Spielman, Fatima Zaidi, and Kathleen Flaherty. Presented at the ASTI-FARA conference Agricultural R&D: Investing in Africa's Future: Analyzing Trends, Challenges, and Opportunities - Accra, Ghana on December 5-7, 2011. http://www.asti.cgiar.org/2011conf
Many of your employees may not feel well but they aren't physically ill. Instead, what they lack is "financial wellness," a hot topic in many companies these days. In a nutshell, they're worried about making ends meet today as well as in the future, and that can take a toll on their productivity. Should you try to do anything about it? And, if so, what?
Get Affordable Dental Treatment with MetLife Orthodontics InsuranceMarina Jolie
Orthodontics insurance Plan reimburses the total expense of dental treatments. It finances for all types of treatments that you opt for your teeth like teeth filling, putting braces, adjustments of braces, teeth cleaning and various types of dental surgeries etc.
Objective Capital Precious Metals, Diamonds and Gemstones Investment Summit
Panel Discussion: Outlook for the Precious Metals Markets
20 May 2010
by David Wilson - Societe Generale
Bill Fisher - RX Exploration
David Hargreaves - Fair Trade Gemstones
Objective Capital Precious Metals, Diamonds and Gemstones Investment Summit
Focus on Gold: Challenges of gold mining in the US – reopening the Drumlummon Mine in Montana
20 May 2010
by David Wilson - Societe Generale
1. Elemental Economics - Introduction to mining.pdfNeal Brewster
After this first you should: Understand the nature of mining; have an awareness of the industry’s boundaries, corporate structure and size; appreciation the complex motivations and objectives of the industries’ various participants; know how mineral reserves are defined and estimated, and how they evolve over time.
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxmarketing367770
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview
If you're dreaming of owning a home in California's rural or suburban areas, a USDA loan might be the perfect solution. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) offers these loans to help low-to-moderate-income individuals and families achieve homeownership.
Key Features of USDA Loans:
Zero Down Payment: USDA loans require no down payment, making homeownership more accessible.
Competitive Interest Rates: These loans often come with lower interest rates compared to conventional loans.
Flexible Credit Requirements: USDA loans have more lenient credit score requirements, helping those with less-than-perfect credit.
Guaranteed Loan Program: The USDA guarantees a portion of the loan, reducing risk for lenders and expanding borrowing options.
Eligibility Criteria:
Location: The property must be located in a USDA-designated rural or suburban area. Many areas in California qualify.
Income Limits: Applicants must meet income guidelines, which vary by region and household size.
Primary Residence: The home must be used as the borrower's primary residence.
Application Process:
Find a USDA-Approved Lender: Not all lenders offer USDA loans, so it's essential to choose one approved by the USDA.
Pre-Qualification: Determine your eligibility and the amount you can borrow.
Property Search: Look for properties in eligible rural or suburban areas.
Loan Application: Submit your application, including financial and personal information.
Processing and Approval: The lender and USDA will review your application. If approved, you can proceed to closing.
USDA loans are an excellent option for those looking to buy a home in California's rural and suburban areas. With no down payment and flexible requirements, these loans make homeownership more attainable for many families. Explore your eligibility today and take the first step toward owning your dream home.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
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Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docxBuy bitget
t's important to note that buying verified Coinbase accounts is not recommended and may violate Coinbase's terms of service. Instead of searching to "buy verified Coinbase accounts," follow the proper steps to verify your own account to ensure compliance and security.
How Does CRISIL Evaluate Lenders in India for Credit RatingsShaheen Kumar
CRISIL evaluates lenders in India by analyzing financial performance, loan portfolio quality, risk management practices, capital adequacy, market position, and adherence to regulatory requirements. This comprehensive assessment ensures a thorough evaluation of creditworthiness and financial strength. Each criterion is meticulously examined to provide credible and reliable ratings.
2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdfNeal Brewster
After this second you should be able to: Explain the main determinants of demand for any mineral product, and their relative importance; recognise and explain how demand for any product is likely to change with economic activity; recognise and explain the roles of technology and relative prices in influencing demand; be able to explain the differences between the rates of growth of demand for different products.
2. Defensively Positioned for Current Environment
• Identified weaknesses in certain asset sectors
early and took action
• Repositioned portfolio for recession beginning
in 2007
• Reduced balance sheet leverage and
increased liquidity
2
8. 2009 Plan Variable Income
$150 Million per Quarter / $600 Million for Year
Annual Variable Net Investment
• Alternative Investments Income ($ Millions)
– Corporate Joint Ventures
– Hedge Funds $2,100
$1,800
• Real Estate Development
Joint Ventures and Funds $1,500
$1,200
• Prepayments
– Corporate Bond $900
Prepayments $600
– Commercial Mortgage
$300
Prepayments
$0
• Securities Lending 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008E*2009P
*Mid-point of 2008E range between $700 - $810 million
8
9. Securities Lending Has Declined
Securities Lending
• Lower demand for securities Balances
lending ($ Billions)
$50
• Current balance is $26.8 billion $45
as of 11/30/08 $40
$35
• $15.8 billion on open (including $30
$15.0 billion of Treasury and $25
Agency securities) $20
$15
• Sufficient liquidity to facilitate $10
further reduction $5
$0
12/31/07 6/30/08 9/30/08 10/28/08 11/30/08
9
10. Alternative Investments Impacted
by Current Markets
Alternative Investments
• Buy-out and Hedge Funds $6.2 Billion*
– Buy-out funds unable to 20%
generate exits
– Hedge fund returns
impacted by equity market
53%
declines, credit spread
widening and delevering 27%
• Other CJV includes
Mezzanine, Distress,
Buy-Out Funds Hedge Funds Other CJV
Infrastructure, Energy &
Timber Funds
*Market value as of 9/30/08
10
12. MetLife Investments
$305.2 Billion of Managed Assets*
• Total Portfolio:
ᅳ Diversified portfolio across
many sectors 3.2%
34.9%
3.6%
• Liability Driven: 4.6%
ᅳ Asset-liability management
5.4%
• Team Investment
Approach: 7.5%
ᅳ 600+ investment and support 24.8%
professionals 16.0%
• Risk Management: Investment Grade Corporate Bonds US Treasury/Agency
ᅳ Part of our culture Structured Finance Below Investment Grade Credit
Commercial and Agricultural Mortgages Real Estate Equity
Cash and Short-Term Corporate Equity
*Market value as of 9/30/08
12
13. Proactively Repositioned Portfolio
MetLife Portfolio Allocation Trend September 30, 2007 September 30, 2008
U.S. Treasury/Agency 6.9% 5.4%
Structured Finance
Residential MBS (RMBS) 18.2% 15.4%
Commercial MBS (CMBS) 6.1% 5.2%
Asset Backed Securities (ABS) 3.6% 4.2%
Total Structured Finance 27.9% 24.8%
Credit
'A' or Better Corporates 20.9% 21.2%
'BBB' Corporates 15.0% 13.6%
Below Invest. Grade Credit 5.7% 4.6%
Total Credit 41.6% 39.4%
Real Estate
Commercial Mortgages 10.6% 12.0%
Agricultural Mortgages 3.2% 4.1%
Real Estate Equity 3.2% 3.6%
Total Real Estate 17.0% 19.7%
Corporate Equity 3.6% 3.2%
Cash & Short-Term 3.0% 7.5%
Total Managed Assets 100.0% 100.0%
$318.8 $305.2
Market Value of Managed Assets ($ Billions)
13
14. High Quality Structured Finance Portfolio
Structured Finance
• $75.7 billion* as a % of Managed Assets
27.9%
• Collateral characteristics 24.8%
3.6%
and tranche selection is 4.2%
6.1%
critical 5.2%
• Less than $200 million of
18.2% 15.4%
below investment grade
structured finance
09/30/07 09/30/08
$75.7B
$88.8B
RMBS CMBS ABS
*Market value as of 9/30/08
14
15. MetLife RMBS Holdings
Positioned Conservatively
Non-Agency Prime RMBS
• $10.1 billion*
Statistics MetLife* Market**
• 99.3% AAA rated Hybrid ARMs 4% 57%
Loan-to-Value 66% 69%
• 41% Super Senior
Credit Enhancement 6.2% 4.6%
• 96% Fixed Rate
is key
*Market value as of 9/30/2008
**Source: Hybrid ARMs (2003-2007): UBS AG; Loan-to-Value (2003-2007): J.P.Morgan; Credit Enhancement (2005-2007): Fitch Ratings
15
16. Non-Agency Prime RMBS
MetLife versus Market
Better collateral results in better performance
Credit Enhancement & Delinquencies
7%
6%
60+DQ or C/E Level
5% Market C/E*
4%
3%
Market 60+ DQ
2%
1%
0%
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29
Loan Age in Months
*Credit Enhancement as of 9/30/08
Source: Intex; Data as of 9/30/08; Delinquencies weighted by Loan Age, 05-07
16
17. Non-Agency Prime RMBS
MetLife versus Market
Better collateral results in better performance
Credit Enhancement & Delinquencies
7%
MET C/E*
6%
60+DQ or C/E Level
5% Market C/E*
4%
3%
Market 60+ DQ
2%
MET 60+ DQ
1%
0%
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29
Loan Age in Months
*Credit Enhancement as of 9/30/08
Source: Intex; Data as of 9/30/08; Delinquencies weighted by Loan Age, 05-07
17
18. MetLife RMBS Holdings
Positioned Conservatively
Alt-A
• $4.4 billion*
MetLife* Market**
• 95% AAA or AA rated
Option ARMs 0% 21%
• 83% Super Senior Hybrid ARMs 13% 43%
Fixed Rate 87% 36%
• 92.4% of 2006-2007
vintages are Super Loan-to-Value 70% 75%
Senior
Credit Enhancement 11.9% 7.4%
• No Option ARMs and
87% Fixed Rate is key
*Market value as of 9/30/2008
**Source: Option ARMs (2003-2007): UBS AG; Fixed Rate & Hybrid ARMs (2003-2007): UBS AG; Loan-to-Value (2003-2007): J.P.Morgan;
Credit Enhancement (2005-2007): Fitch Ratings
18
19. Alt-A RMBS
MetLife versus Market
Better collateral results in better performance
Credit Enhancement & Delinquencies
14%
12%
Market 60+ DQ
60+DQ or C/E Level
10%
Market C/E*
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29
Loan Age in Months
*Credit Enhancement as of 9/30/08
Source: Intex; Data as of 9/30/08; Delinquencies weighted by Loan Age, 05-07
19
20. Alt-A RMBS
MetLife versus Market
Better collateral results in better performance
Credit Enhancement & Delinquencies
14%
MET C/E*
12%
Market 60+ DQ
60+DQ or C/E Level
10%
Market C/E*
8%
6%
MET 60+ DQ
4%
2%
0%
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29
Loan Age in Months
*Credit Enhancement as of 9/30/08
Source: Intex; Data as of 9/30/08; Delinquencies weighted by Loan Age, 05-07
20
21. MetLife Sub-Prime Holdings Reduced Early
Sub-Prime Holdings
Sub-Prime MBS by Vintage*
($ Millions)
• $1.4 billion* $700
$600
• Approximately 80% $500
are vintage years $400
2005 or earlier $300
$200
• MetLife credit
$100
enhancement is
$0
35.1% vs. 24.0% 2004 & Prior 2005 2006 2007
Total
for ABX 661
176 288 128 69
AAA
AA 685
403 210 60 12
• 71.8% Fixed Rate 20
20 0 0 0
A
42
38 3 1 0
BBB
vs. 24.2% for ABX 9
Below BBB 3 0 6 0
is key 1,417
640 501 195 81
Total
*Market value and ratings as of 9/30/2008
21
22. Sub-Prime MBS
MetLife versus Market
Better collateral results in better performance
Credit Enhancement & Delinquencies
40%
35%
Market 60+ DQ
30%
25%
ABX C/E*
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29
Loan Age in Months
*Credit Enhancement as of 9/30/08
Source: Intex
22
23. Sub-Prime MBS
MetLife versus Market
Better collateral results in better performance
Credit Enhancement & Delinquencies
40%
MET C/E*
35%
Market 60+ DQ
30%
25%
ABX C/E*
20%
15%
MET 60+ DQ
10%
5%
0%
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29
Loan Age in Months
*Credit Enhancement as of 9/30/08
Source: Intex
23
24. MetLife’s CMBS Positioned for Downturn
CMBS Holdings by Type
• $15.9 billion* 92%
• 24% average credit
enhancement for conduits
• Can withstand 3 times
historical maximum loss
• No exposure to CMBX
• Only $139 million in CRE
CDOs 1% 1% 6%
Conduit
Single Asset/Large Loan
CRE CDO
Other
*Market value as of 9/30/08
24
25. Seasoned, High Quality CMBS Holdings
CMBS Holdings
by Vintage*
• 78% from 2005 and ($ Millions)
10,000
prior vintages vs. 9,000
50% of the market 8,000
7,000
6,000
• 90% of 2006-2007 5,000
4,000
vintages are Super 3,000
Senior and Senior 2,000
1,000
AAA 0
2004 and 2005 2006 2007 2008
Total
Prior
14,316
7,856 3,260 2,101 1,098 1
AAA
AA 886
619 137 85 45 0
416
326 29 29 32
A 0
157
61 3 84 9
BBB 0
130
Below BBB 99 24 7 0 0
15,905
8,961 3,453 2,306 1,184
Total 1
*Market value as of 9/30/08
25
26. CMBS
Price Does Not Convey Full Story
MetLife Market
Bond* Bond*
Price $66 $67
• Fundamental analysis Senior Senior
Rating
of bond characteristics AAA AAA
is key Vintage 2007 2007
Interest Only Loans 39.2% 80.4%
• Focus on the details
Loans on Servicer
6.4% 49.9%
Watch List
MetLife’s Projections:
Expected Coverage 4.8x 1.7x
*As of 10/31/08
26
27. Reduced Risk in Credit Portfolio
Corporate Credit
as a % of Managed Assets
• $120.3 billion* 41.6%
39.4%
5.7% 4.6%
• Decreased ‘BBB’ and Below
Investment Grade exposure 15.0% 13.6%
• Approximately 29% private
placements 21.2%
20.9%
9/30/2007 9/30/2008
$120.3B
$132.6B
AAA/AA/A BBB
Below Inv Grade
*Market value as of 9/30/08
27
28. Positioned for Recession
• Began to reposition Vulnerable Assets Sold
portfolio for potential Book Value
recession in 2007 Sector ($ Millions)
Investment Grade $4,093
• Actively identified, then
sold vulnerable securities,
Below Investment Grade $2,620
loans and mortgages
• Since October 2007, sold Commercial Mortgages $524
$7.2 billion of assets we
believed were vulnerable Total $7,237
in a recession
28
29. Defensively Positioned Below Investment
Grade Credit
Below Investment Grade Credit by
• $13.9 billion* Rating*
62%
• Reduced below
investment grade credit
from 5.7%** to 4.6%*
• Emphasize loss
avoidance over yield
maximization
5%
• Higher allocation to
BB rated credits
33%
BB B CCC and Below
* Market value as of 9/30/08
**Market value as of 9/30/07
29
30. High Quality Real Estate and
Agricultural Investments
Real Estate &
• Focus primarily on Class Agricultural Investments
as a % of Managed Assets*
‘A’ properties in primary
19.7%
markets
17.0% 3.6%
• Loan to Value (LTV) 3.2%
4.1%
3.2%
– 57% Commercial Mortgage
Average LTV
10.6% 12.0%
– 48% Agricultural Mortgage
Average LTV
9/30/2007 9/30/2008
• Diversified Real Estate $59.8B
$54.1B
equity portfolio Real Estate Equity
Agricultural Mortgages
Commercial Mortgages
*Market value as of 9/30/08
30
31. Commercial Mortgage Portfolio
Defensively Positioned
MetLife LTV vs. Market LTV at
Loan Origination
• $35.9 billion*
80%
• Decreased portfolio CMBS LTV**
75%
LTV as market became
70%
more aggressive 70%
Average Loan to Value
MetLife LTV
66%
65%
65% 63%
• Underwritten to 62%
61%
sustainable values and 60%
property incomes 55%
55%
• Only $2 million 50%
delinquent 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
YTD
* Book value as of 9/30/08
**Source: Moody’s Investors Service
31
32. Positioned to Withstand Value Declines
Commercial Mortgage Portfolio
• Significantly different LTV
fundamentals vs. early 2%
6%
1990s
• On-going pruning of higher
risk loans
26%
• Positioned to withstand
40% property value
declines 66%
• Less than 2% of portfolio
has LTV greater than 80% Below 65% LTV 65% to 75% LTV
75-80% LTV Above 80% LTV
As of 9/30/08
32
34. Unrealized Losses Increased Due to
Spread Widening
$16.7 Billion Fixed Maturity
Unrealized Losses by Rating
• $12.2 billion fixed maturity net
unrealized loss as of 9/30/08
– $16.7 billion gross unrealized 69%
loss
– $4.5 billion gross unrealized gain
19%
• Approximately 88% fixed
maturity gross unrealized
6%
losses rated Investment Grade 1% 5%
AAA/AA/A BBB BB B CCC and Lower
34
35. Spreads Have Increased Dramatically
Market Spreads
• Spreads on risk
sectors have 700
Custom index spread*
increased since
600
9/30/08
Spreads over Treasuries
500
• Barclays Aggregate
increased 36% 400
300
• Barclays BBB Credit
increased 75% 200
• Barclays CMBS 100
increased 170% 0
09/30/08 10/15/08 10/31/08 11/14/08 11/30/08
*Source: Custom index based on actual 9/30/08 fixed maturity allocations using option adjusted spreads from Barclays US Agency, Barclays US
35
Treasury, Barclays US MBS, Barclays US CMBS, Barclays US ABS, Barclays US Credit, Barclays US High Yield indices
36. Net Unrealized Loss Has Also Increased
Market Spreads and
MetLife’s Net Unrealized Loss**
• Net unrealized loss
increased Net unrealized losses
30,000 700
Custom index spread*
– $12.2 billion at
600
9/30/08 25,000
– Approximately $26.9 500
Spreads over Treasuries
20,000
Net Unrealized Loss
billion at 11/30/08 400
15,000
• 63% less than 3 300
months 10,000
200
• 84% Investment Grade
5,000
100
• $2.8 billion greater than
20% and 6 months 0 0
09/30/08 10/15/08 10/31/08 11/14/08 11/30/08
*Source: Custom index based on actual 9/30/08 fixed
maturity allocations using option adjusted spreads from
Barclays US Agency, Barclays US Treasury, Barclays US
MBS, Barclays US CMBS, Barclays US ABS, Barclays US
Credit, Barclays US High Yield indices
36
** MetLife net unrealized loss based on November month-end pricing and management estimates
37. Loss Recognition
• Asset Liability Matching
– We buy assets to match our liabilities
– Hold the vast majority to maturity
• Robust process to identify credit impairments
– Creditworthiness of these securities has not
fundamentally changed since 9/30/08
– $200 - $300 million estimated Q408 after-tax
impairments
37
38. Summary
• Diversified portfolio across fixed income, real
estate, agricultural and equity sectors
• Focus on risk management, underwriting and
proactive portfolio management
• Defensively positioned for current environment
38