Présentation de Gonzalo Hernandez, Secrétaire Général du CONEVAL, Mexique, à la Conférence Internationale d'Experts sur la mesure et les approches politiques pour améliorer l'équité pour les nouvelles générations dans la région MENA à Rabat, Maroc du 22 au 23 mai 2012.
Measuring Poverty for children in a multidimensional way in México
1. Measuring Poverty for children in a
multidimension way in México
Gonzalo Hernández Licona
Mayo, 2012
www.coneval.gob.mx
2. Why do we have a new method?
• It is a mandate of the Social Development Law
• The Law stablishes the main characteristics poverty
measurement should comply:
– It should be defined both in the space of social
rights and economic wellbeing.
– To make visible the link between social programs
& the measurement of poverty, for public policy
purposes.
3. Measuring poverty by mandate of the Law
• Current income per capita
Social
Development • Educational gap
Law
• Access to health services
• Access to social security
Dimensions for
poverty • Quality of living spaces
measurement
• Housing access to basic
services
Periodicity
States • Access to food
(2 years)
Municipalities • Degree of social cohesion
(5 years)
4. Main features
(simple to understand)
Without
Vulnerable D
e Not poor and
people by p not
social r vulnerable
deprivations i
v
EWL a
t
Poor i Vulnerable
o people by
n income
s
6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Deprivations
Social Rights
5. Poverty identification
Vulnerable Not poor and
people by not
social vulnerable
deprivations
EWL
Moderate
MWL Vulnerable
poor
people by
Extreme poor
income
6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Deprivations
Social Rights
6. Total population 2010 (112.6 millions)
Vulnerable people by social Not poor and
deprivation not vulnerable
21.8 million
32.3 million
Wellbeing
19.3%
28.7%
Income
1.9 deprivations on average
Urban = $2,114 Rural = $1,329
LBE
Moderate poor 35.8%
LBM
Urban = $978 Rural = $684 (40.3 million) Vulnerable
10.4% 2.1 deprivations people by
Extreme (11.7 million) on average income
3.7 deprivation on
poor average 6.5 million
5.8%
6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Poverty
Deprivations 46.2 %
52.0 millions
Social Rights 2.5 deprivations
on average
Source: estimates by CONEVAL based on MCS-ENIGH 2010.
7. Percentage of people in poverty by muncipality.
México, 2010
Rangos
[ 0 - 30 ] [ 30 - 50 ] [ 50 - 70 ] [ 70 - 100 ]
Total de
97 347 790 1222
municipios
Fuente: estimaciones del CONEVAL con base en el MCS-ENIGH 2010 y la muestra del Censo de Población y Vivienda 2010.
8.
9. Objetive
Work together on evaluation and
poverty measurement, especially
regarding the situation of children in
Mexico.
10. The situation of children within the global
economic crisis: the case of Mexico
• Analyse some of the changes
faced by housholeds with
children during the global
economic crisis of 2009 in
Mexico.
• Produce timely information
about the situation of children
during one of the most
important economic crisis for
many decades.
11. Poverty and children’s social rights
between 2008 and 2010 in Mexico.
100.0
90.0 19.3 16.5 17.3
21.3
80.0 7.2 5.5
5.8 5.0
70.0
22.5
60.0 28.7 31.4
32.1
50.0
40.0
41.0
30.0
35.8 53.8 35.6
46.2 32.6
41.6 45.7
20.0
10.0
10.4 12.8 9.0 10.1
0.0
Nacional Ninas, niños y Adultos Adultos mayores
adolescentes
Población en situación de pobreza extrema Población en situación de pobreza moderada
Población vulnerable por carencias sociales Población vulnerable por ingresos
Población no pobre y no vulnerable
Fuente: estimaciones del CONEVAL con base en el MCS-ENIGH 2010
12. Changes in poverty in Mexico, 2008-2010
Social Millions of people 2008
Deprivations People with 48.8 millions
6.0 low income
2010
4.8 52.0 millions
4.1
4.0 3.5
3.2
2.0
0.0
0.0
Access People with POVERTY
EXTREME
-0.8 to food very
-2.0 low income POVERTY
Educational
-2.5 -2.3 gap
-2.9
-4.0 Access to Quality and
basic spaces in 2010
services dwelling 11.7 millions
-6.0 in
dwelling
Access to
social
-8.0
security 2008
11.7 millions
-9.0
-10.0 Access to
health
services
13. Changes in children poverty in Mexico, 2008-
2010
Social 2008
Millions of people
Deprivations 21.5 millions
2.0
People with 2010
1.4 low income 21.4 millions
1.2
1.0 0.9
0.0
Access People with -0.1 -0.2
-0.3 to food very POVERTY EXTREME
-1.0 low income
Educational POVERTY
-1.3 gap
-1.5 Quality 2008
-2.0 Access to and spaces
basic
5.3 millions
in dwelling
services in
dwelling
-3.0
2010
5.1 millions
-4.0
-4.3
-5.0 -4.6 Access to
Access to social
health security
services
14. II. Poverty and children’s social rights
between 2008 and 2010 in Mexico.
• Children have higher levels of poverty than the
rest of the population in Mexico.
• Between 2008 y 2010 poverty grew en
Mexico, but neither poverty nor extreme poverty
increased for children.
• Despite the reduction of income and food
security, there was an increase of basic services
for households with children between 2008 and
2010 (health services, social security, education).
Multidimensional poverty thus did not change
during this period for children.