Martin Paver - APM Scotland Branch Conference 2023: Net Zero Nation and Sustainability

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Reimagining Project Delivery
by Taking
a Data Driven Approach
Martin Paver
CEO Projecting Success
martinpaver@projectingsuccess.co.uk

Should we wait for
the politicians to
lead the way and
save the planet?

Should we sit back
and watch?
Is our future
predetermined?

Or should we take
control of our
collective destiny?

Setting the Scene

As a profession should our energy be
channelled into reducing carbon in UK projects?
Or can we be a catalyst for positive change
across the world.

As a profession, aren’t we in a
privileged position to do
something about it?
With great power comes
great responsibility

Based on a sample of 12,000 projects
around the world…..
If I shook your hand and agree to
deliver a project for you….
What is the probability of me
delivering it on time, cost and
benefits?

Credit: Alex Budzier, Oxford Global Projects

Can we reimagine project
delivery and improve project
delivery performance by 10x?
Help developing nations to
transition to net zero more
quickly.
Plus transform productivity…

How can we do any of
these effectively without
data and insights?

“To utterly fail to learn from mistakes over
decades, to spectacularly repeat the same
mistakes at huge cost to the taxpayer – and at
huge cost to confidence in our defence capabilities
– is completely unacceptable.
We see too often these same mistakes repeated.
The Department knows it can’t go on like this, it
knows it must change and operate differently. The
test now is to see how it will do that, and soon”
Dame Meg Hillier
Public Accounts Committee

Every project is unique
So how can we ever use data to improve how we
deliver it?

But isn’t every game
of football unique?

Is it time for change?
Can a data driven
approach help us to
unlock the performance
improvement.
We just need to make it
happen….

Getting started

Who has used
ChatGPT or
similar LLMs?

Have you used
them at work?
Or are you just
monkeying around?

How it works
Create a prompt

The case for
change

Government is behind the
initiative
– Key Role in the Heart of Government.
– Responsible for Transforming Project
Delivery across Government.
– Centered around Project Data Analytics.
– Senior Level Support for the Vision

Leveraging the principles
from the Manifesto for data
driven project delivery.
Specifically:
• We securely pool our data for mutual benefit
• We collaborate on opensource solutions,
tackling priority challenges.
• We use the challenges to help re-skill for a
digital and data enabled world.
• We codify analytics in project delivery best
practice and culture, by making it real,
accessible and modular.

Busting Myths and Reimagining Our Roles
Is AI a bolt on to how we currently work?
Or an opportunity to revisit the fundamentals?

What is risk
management?
Is it the human process of
guessing what will go wrong?

Moving beyond heat maps and registers
Open source risk tools, which
migrate to variance analysis
Dynamic variance analysis and
vectors. Network maps, with data
led near real time updates
Automated assurance of risk
registers
Boost the risk analyst role up the
value chain. Develop
superpowers to pre-empt
variance and shape interventions
Community risk library with open
source data collection
Phasing out QSRA/QCRA and
moving towards multi-variate
machine learning model
Lead indicators of upcoming
variance. Probes.
Automation of the mundane
excel data integration
Improved understanding of the
impact we have, including the
effectiveness of our interventions
Understanding where to apply
contingency, focus scarce
management effort, intervene
Differentiate between known,
knowable and unknowable.
Guide the allocation of
responsibility for variance within
contracts

Data Analytics Use Cases in Risk Management?

Using ML to
update schedule
estimates and
identify areas
predisposed to
variance

We Begin To Understand The
Predisposition To Variance.
But Do We Understand Why?

Can we reimagine assurance?

Imagine the equivalent
of a project delivery
lane departure system

It is a tech race…
How do we think 6
steps ahead?

How does all of this connect
together?
Joining the problems we
aspire to solve with the data,
data pipelines and solutions
We create a Project Brain

https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/POST-PN-0664/POST-PN-0664.pdf

Decommissioning

Why do we need data trusts?
• Where do we get the volume of data
to train ML models?
• How do we ensure a degree of
standardisation?
• How can we work together to solve
shared challenges such as productivity
or health and safety?
• Independently stewarded pooled data
for the benefit of all.

The power is in your hands…
1. Embrace it.
2. Get involved in the community.
1. Hacks
2. Meetups
3. Learn more. Upskill.
4. Experiment/pilot.
5. Work together to transform the
profession.
6. Become an advocate.
Course Community

Martin in a parallel Pixar reality
martinpaver@projectingsuccess.co.uk
Martin on LinkedIn

Martin Paver - APM Scotland Branch Conference 2023: Net Zero Nation and Sustainability

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