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AMERICANVIEWPOINT



                                Robert Carpenter, Vice President




    300 North Lee Street, Suite 400 - Alexandria, VA 22314 - 703-684-3325 (Phone) – www.amview.com
1                                       AMERICANVIEWPOINT
Methodology

        American Viewpoint, a nationally recognized public opinion research company conducted
         a survey of 800 registered voters in Indiana for the House Republican Campaign
         Committee.

        For each survey, a random sample of registered voters was purchased.

        All interviews were conducted by telephone using a computer assisted telephone
         interviewing system, meaning that respondents were randomly selected by computer.

        The survey was conducted March 20, 21 and 22, 2011.

        Geographic and gender quotas were provided to the phone center to ensure all areas of
         the State were proportionally represented.

        Once interviewing was completed, the data was weighted to geography, gender, age and
         race.

        The margin of error for each study is plus or minus 3.5%.




2                                    AMERICANVIEWPOINT
Generally speaking, would you say that things in Indiana are headed in the right direction, or do you
think that things have gotten off on the wrong track?



                                 23%                  17%           40%
               March
    Right Direction
                                    29%                      17%           46%
            February

                                       33%                    12%         45%
              March
    Wrong Track
                                       35%                       12%        47%
            February

                                        12%                                       Strongly
              March
    Don’t Know                                                                    Not strongly
                               6%
            February

                       0%    10%          20%      30%        40%        50%        60%


3                                      AMERICANVIEWPOINT
Job approval of legislative Republicans remains unchanged from February, while legislative Democrats job disapproval has increased 10 percentage points. Democrats face a
deficit across the state including 61% disapproval in Indianapolis, 60% job disapproval in the south and 59% job disapproval in South Bend. Men and women are split on
Republicans while Democrats face a 28% deficit with men and 24% deficit with women. Democrats face a deficit with all age groups including 63% disapproval among those 41
to 53, 62% disapproval among seniors and 61% disapproval among those 54 to 64. Independents are split on Republicans while 60% disapprove of Democrats.




Do you approve or disapprove of the way the (Republicans/Democrats) in the State Legislature are
handling their job?

                    Republicans                                                                                               Democrats
                                                            Strongly
                                                               Strongly                   Somewhat
                                                                                          Somewhat



                              21%                   27%                 48%                                                                       33%
     March                                                                                     March                   15%          17%
Approve                                                                                   Approve
                           13%                  35%                     48%                                                                           36%
  Februrary                                                                                    February              8%           27%

                                  29%                 15%           44%
     March                                                                                     March                              42%                     17%        59%
Disapprove                                                        42%                     Disapprove
  Februrary                    23%                19%                                                                      25%                 24%                49%
                                                                                             February

      March                         7%                                                                                        6%
                                                                                                March
Don’t know                                                                                Don’t know
  Februrary                           9%                                                                                             13%
                                                                                            February

                    0%               20%               40%               60%                                   0%              20%             40%             60%

4                                                                  AMERICANVIEWPOINT
66% of voters disapprove of Democrats leaving the state to avoid voting, including majorities in every region of the state.
Men and women disapprove as do majorities of all age groups. 94% of Republicans disapprove as do 65% of
Independents. 57% of Democrats approve. 69% of generic ballot undecided voters disapprove.

As you may know, Democratic members of the Indiana House of Representatives have left the state and
staying in a hotel in Illinois to avoid voting on several pieces of legislation they disagree with. This action
has stopped all action in the House of Representatives because without 67 Members in attendance, the
House does not have a quorum and cannot conduct any business. Do you approve or disapprove of the
actions of the Democrats in the House of Representatives?



                             20%        10%
                                                   30%
          Approve



                                                                            66%
                                           59%                     7%
      Disapprove



                                 3%
      Don't Know                                                        Strongly    Somewhat




                     0%           20%           40%           60%           80%

5                                                AMERICANVIEWPOINT
52% of these voters are less likely to vote to re-elect their State Representative if they learned the Representative had
participated in this walkout. Majorities in Indianapolis, Ft. Wayne and the southern part of the state are less likely. 48% of
men and 55% of women are less likely to vote to re-elect. 80% of Republicans and 51% of Independents are less likely,
while 38% of Democrats are more likely.



Would you be more likely or less likely to vote to re-elect your State Representative if you learned
that he or she were taking part in this walkout to a hotel in Illinois, or would learning this not make a
difference in your vote?



                                                        21%
                                 14%         6%
          More likely
                                                                                               Much        Somewhat


                                                                                            52%
                                                  44%                           8%
          Less likely



                                                            24%
      No difference



                        0%        10%        20%         30%        40%        50%         60%

6                                                 AMERICANVIEWPOINT
This slide indicates the representative sample of the survey.




In the 2008 election for President, did you vote for John McCain, Barack Obama, someone else or
did you not vote in that election?



                                                                       46%
           Obama                                                       46%
                                                                       45%
           McCain                                                      45%

                            2%
             Other                                                              March
                            2%
                                                                                February
                          1%
      Did not vote        1%
                           2%
      Don't Know          1%

                     0%          10%         20%          30%    40%   50%

7                                            AMERICANVIEWPOINT

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March statewide media release

  • 1. AMERICANVIEWPOINT Robert Carpenter, Vice President 300 North Lee Street, Suite 400 - Alexandria, VA 22314 - 703-684-3325 (Phone) – www.amview.com 1 AMERICANVIEWPOINT
  • 2. Methodology  American Viewpoint, a nationally recognized public opinion research company conducted a survey of 800 registered voters in Indiana for the House Republican Campaign Committee.  For each survey, a random sample of registered voters was purchased.  All interviews were conducted by telephone using a computer assisted telephone interviewing system, meaning that respondents were randomly selected by computer.  The survey was conducted March 20, 21 and 22, 2011.  Geographic and gender quotas were provided to the phone center to ensure all areas of the State were proportionally represented.  Once interviewing was completed, the data was weighted to geography, gender, age and race.  The margin of error for each study is plus or minus 3.5%. 2 AMERICANVIEWPOINT
  • 3. Generally speaking, would you say that things in Indiana are headed in the right direction, or do you think that things have gotten off on the wrong track? 23% 17% 40% March Right Direction 29% 17% 46% February 33% 12% 45% March Wrong Track 35% 12% 47% February 12% Strongly March Don’t Know Not strongly 6% February 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 3 AMERICANVIEWPOINT
  • 4. Job approval of legislative Republicans remains unchanged from February, while legislative Democrats job disapproval has increased 10 percentage points. Democrats face a deficit across the state including 61% disapproval in Indianapolis, 60% job disapproval in the south and 59% job disapproval in South Bend. Men and women are split on Republicans while Democrats face a 28% deficit with men and 24% deficit with women. Democrats face a deficit with all age groups including 63% disapproval among those 41 to 53, 62% disapproval among seniors and 61% disapproval among those 54 to 64. Independents are split on Republicans while 60% disapprove of Democrats. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the (Republicans/Democrats) in the State Legislature are handling their job? Republicans Democrats Strongly Strongly Somewhat Somewhat 21% 27% 48% 33% March March 15% 17% Approve Approve 13% 35% 48% 36% Februrary February 8% 27% 29% 15% 44% March March 42% 17% 59% Disapprove 42% Disapprove Februrary 23% 19% 25% 24% 49% February March 7% 6% March Don’t know Don’t know Februrary 9% 13% February 0% 20% 40% 60% 0% 20% 40% 60% 4 AMERICANVIEWPOINT
  • 5. 66% of voters disapprove of Democrats leaving the state to avoid voting, including majorities in every region of the state. Men and women disapprove as do majorities of all age groups. 94% of Republicans disapprove as do 65% of Independents. 57% of Democrats approve. 69% of generic ballot undecided voters disapprove. As you may know, Democratic members of the Indiana House of Representatives have left the state and staying in a hotel in Illinois to avoid voting on several pieces of legislation they disagree with. This action has stopped all action in the House of Representatives because without 67 Members in attendance, the House does not have a quorum and cannot conduct any business. Do you approve or disapprove of the actions of the Democrats in the House of Representatives? 20% 10% 30% Approve 66% 59% 7% Disapprove 3% Don't Know Strongly Somewhat 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 5 AMERICANVIEWPOINT
  • 6. 52% of these voters are less likely to vote to re-elect their State Representative if they learned the Representative had participated in this walkout. Majorities in Indianapolis, Ft. Wayne and the southern part of the state are less likely. 48% of men and 55% of women are less likely to vote to re-elect. 80% of Republicans and 51% of Independents are less likely, while 38% of Democrats are more likely. Would you be more likely or less likely to vote to re-elect your State Representative if you learned that he or she were taking part in this walkout to a hotel in Illinois, or would learning this not make a difference in your vote? 21% 14% 6% More likely Much Somewhat 52% 44% 8% Less likely 24% No difference 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 6 AMERICANVIEWPOINT
  • 7. This slide indicates the representative sample of the survey. In the 2008 election for President, did you vote for John McCain, Barack Obama, someone else or did you not vote in that election? 46% Obama 46% 45% McCain 45% 2% Other March 2% February 1% Did not vote 1% 2% Don't Know 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 7 AMERICANVIEWPOINT