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Machine Translation
The Neural Frontier
John Tinsley
GALA, Amsterdam, March 2017
Source: http://nlp.stanford.edu/projects/nmt/Luong-Cho-Manning-NMT-ACL2016-v4.pdf
What we’re actually going to cover this morning!
How does it work?
What’s all the fuss about?
“Neural machine translation is ______.”
What is the status as of today?
Is it really that good?
What does all this mean for the future?
What they actually said...

“In some cases human and GNMT translations are nearly
indistinguishable on the relatively simplistic and isolated
sentences sampled from Wikipedia and news articles for this
experiment.”
What was reported...

MT developers
around the world
Evolution
or
Revolution?
Source: (modified from) http://nlp.stanford.edu/projects/nmt/Luong-Cho-Manning-NMT-ACL2016-v4.pdf
Rule Based
 Statistical
Neural
A brief history of MT…
“State of the Union”
The initial splash
made by
statistical MT
The initial splash
made by neural
MT
wow that’s
pretty
good!
We’re about here
now
March 27th 2007
This is where the
excitement is
coming from
Statistical
Machine
Translation
MTQuality
Neural
Machine
Translation
20+ years worth of
research
?
Neural machine translation is

exciting!
Neural machine translation is

the future
Neural machine translation is


ultimately just another type of MT
Neural machine translation is not


going to replace human translators
Neural machine translation is not

a silver bullet
Still early stage
Language independent
Fundamental practical
considerations not yet
addressed
Neural Machine Translation March 27th 2017
Generic applications only
No flexibility for customisation
Significant hurdles for cost-
effective scalable production
performance

Academia
 Industry
Output can be insanely fluent!
Source:https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/14/magazine/the-great-ai-awakening.html
They needed more computers — “G.P.U.s,”
graphics processors reconfigured for neural
networks — for training…
“Should we ask for a
thousand G.P.U.s?”
“Why not 2,000?”
Ten days later, they had the additional 2,000
processors.
Is it really that good?
(Yes, it can be!)
• “Yeah it looks better”Anecdotal
• Generally, neural is better*
• More obviously so for complex languages
• It falls over badly on long sentences
Academic
• Stark improvements for Chinese and Arabic
• Comparable performance on other
languages
WIPO


What evaluations are out there?
WIPO large scale apples-to-apples comparison
English to Chinese
Arabic to Chinese
Spanish to Chinese
French to Chinese
•  “Yeah it looks better”Anecdotal
•  Generally, neural is better*
•  More obviously so for complex languages
•  It falls over badly on long sentences
Academic
•  Stark improvements for Chinese and Arabic
•  Comparable performance on other languagesWIPO


•  Practical comparison with production MT
•  Mixed results depending on content type
•  Clear strengths and weaknesses emerging
Iconic
What evaluations are out there?
Real-world languages
and content


Chinese to English
patents, mature
production engine,
highly tuned.
“Real-world” comparative use case


Apples to apples
comparison


Access to same
training data, test
data, including all of
the ugly parts.


Effective qualitative
evaluation


No one-size-fits-all, so
what MT good and
what and where does
it fall down?
Short
Sentences
All
Sentences
u  Iconic Production MT
u  Iconic Neural MT
Neural MT works – and it’s good!
It is not a silver bullet
+ word order
+ agreement
-  omitting phrases

+ terminology
+ error free output
-  sentence structure
New Opportunities =
New Challenges
Black Box
 Customisation
 Production
“Why is this error
happening?”
“Can you fix this
error please?”
“How much is that
GPU??!”
Data
 Evaluation
 Pricing
Still needed, now
more than ever!
Do we know how to
quantify “quality”?
How much does it
cost now?
Old Challenges
Short term
•  Research which takes time
•  More effective use of general machine translation
2-5 years
•  Emerging use cases, new types of hybrid, and clarity



Longer term
•  “Zero-shot” translation?
What does this mean for the future?
Rule-based
Statistical
Neural
You are here
1st
Recurrent
Neural
Network
2nd
Recurrent
Neural
Network
0.034203423
3.343423423
2.234235234
0.453423423
0.002340234
2.234234234
5.023234234
3.342342355
0.034203423
3.343423423
“GO
RAIBH
MAITH
AGAT”
“THANK
YOU”
Encoder Decoder
Encoded
Sentence
Gaelic
Input English
Output
Memory of previously
translated words influence
next result
Thank you!

P.S. This is kind of how neural
machine translation works…
john@iconictranslation.com
@johntins

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Machine Translation: The Neural Frontier

Editor's Notes

  1. What this talk is not! => An intractable, impenetrable technical deep dive into how neural MT works!
  2. Fuss – context NMT is – significance / impact Status – not media / meaning for YOU Good? – examples and case studies Future – short, mid, longer term
  3. Before we get into it… Fake news Embellished, sensationalised, out of context reporting – not doing anyone any favours Example
  4. Google paper, 23 pages Not the first time History of false dawns
  5. I’m going to be a more friendly expectation manager! Not bursting bubble – just bringing down to earth Bombastic!
  6. What better way to start Answer needs historical context
  7. Paradigm shift Rule based didn’t go away Neural last 2 years – why the fuss?
  8. SMT became incremental NMT here out of the box Excitement – haven’t even had the chance to try all these things! Hype cycle
  9. Brand new runway Light and end of the tunnel - EXCITING
  10. Hard to timeframe – will try later Run in parallel But definitely the way forward
  11. HOWEVER still just MT + ML, like SMT Same UI, same integrations, same problems (later) But better quality = ?
  12. Not US vs THEM, MAN vs MACHINE Reframe conversation – competition, frustrating Complimentary technology Own use cases
  13. Promising, way forward, needs time… “Do you do neural machine translation?” With that being said, where are we today
  14. Early – fringe in 2015 General – “German nouns” Practical – not yet, glossaries, customisation BUT GOOD people Generic – no use cases Flexibility – no customisation GPUs! revisit MUCH OF IT IS A MATTER OF TIME BUT THAT’S WHERE WE STAND NOW
  15. Obvious question – depends on many factors, let’s look at evals
  16. Anecdotal – good, surface, needs deeper Academic – more effective in some cases. Room for improvement = improvement WIPO – broadly on par but some interesting. LET’S LOOK
  17. Automatic scores We don’t know why 
  18. most highly optimised type of MT we want to know ourselves!
  19. My first experience, very cool. What are the practical implications of this? What do we do now? What’s holding us back? Now we have some direction
  20. Leveraging and utilising it in industry is challenging! How do we make decisions – where to use it, when, and how! Needs more practical field testing…
  21. “This first wave of NMT solutions are mostly generic systems, which are clearly improved in most language combinations over existing generic SMT solutions, especially to human evaluators. While we need to be wary of over exuberance about the progress, there is reason for optimism and we can expect further quality improvements as our understanding of the mystery of ‘hidden layers’ of deep learning improves”, “MT must be adaptable/customizable for specific business purposes, i.e. they need to learn specific terminology and specific customer domain. Comprehensive customization will take significantly more computing time and all the requirements for good quality data will only intensify.”