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MACHINE LEARNING AS
AN ENHANCEMENT FOR
SCORING MODELS
Nataša Benčić, Product Engineering
Zagreb, 27th September 2018
NORMAL
CURRENT STATUS
FRAUD_SCORE calculation for issuing transactions is
active for all ISBD banks since January 2017.
Analysis in order to use FRAUD_SCORE in rules in Lynx
Rule Engine was done.
2SIGNIFICANT
CURRENT STATUS
3
• FRAUD_SCORE added to existing rules in order to lower false
positive rates
• New rules using FRAUD_SCORE as a parameter used to cover
non-recognized fraud patterns
• Cca 50 rules with FRAUD_SCORE currently active
SIGNIFICANT
NEW INITIATIVES
IDEA: improvement of fraud scoring models using
enriched data set and new methodologies
4SIGNIFICANT
NEW INITIATIVES – CARD PROFILES
2ND GENERATION OF SCORING MODELS:
 ENRICHED DATASET
• Data from 9 months history used in aggregation
of variables – idea: to compare current spending
pattern on card with usual patterns using total,
average, maximum numbers of transactions,
authorized amounts…
• Demographics – age, gender, region
• Cca 350 variables created
1ST GENERATION OF SCORING MODELS:
• Transactional data
• Data from 7 days history used in aggregation
of variables
5SIGNIFICANT
NEW INITIATIVES – NEW TECHNOLOGIES
In order to support the use of the enriched dataset
new technologies are been considered:
• Apache Spark – engine for large scale data
processing
• Hadoop framework for distributed processing
• R – program language for statistical computing
1st generation of scoring models:
• Models developed in SAS Enterprise Miner
using logistic regression
• Scoring module is part of Lynx Rule engine and
has limited calculation capabilities due to the
impact on system performance - 7 days history
used
6SIGNIFICANT
NEW INITIATIVES – NEW METHODOLOGIES
• Project in collaboration with Faculty of Electrical Engineering and
Computing, Department of Applied Computing, Zagreb
• Task: Test Machine Learning techniques on real data processed
through Lynx Fraud Management System
• Goal: Improve fraud prevention and fraud detection process
7SIGNIFICANT
MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES IN MPSI
Data preparation – status: DONE
• Focus on issuing POS CNP transactions
• Development dataset created using sampling – all fraud transactions & randomly chosen
subset of non fraud transactions from Lynx database
• Sensitive data (PAN) already encrypted in Lynx database (PCI DSS requirements), data was
additionally anonymized
• 9 months history, cca 350 aggregated variables created
8SIGNIFICANT
MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES IN MPSI
• Appropriate ML algorithm performed on provided dataset – status: ONGOING
• Infrastructural set up – status: ONGOING
• Validation – the created ML model will be tested on all POS CNP authorizations from a defined
time period
• Integration of the new model with Lynx RE
9SIGNIFICANT
MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES IN MPSI
FUTURE PLANS:
• Regular performance testing of used models
• Expand the use of ML to
• ATM and POS CP authorizations
• acquiring – data quality analyses ongoing
10SIGNIFICANT
11NORMAL
THANK YOU!
Any questions?
THANK YOU!
Any questions?

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Machine learning as an enhancement for scoring models

  • 1. MACHINE LEARNING AS AN ENHANCEMENT FOR SCORING MODELS Nataša Benčić, Product Engineering Zagreb, 27th September 2018 NORMAL
  • 2. CURRENT STATUS FRAUD_SCORE calculation for issuing transactions is active for all ISBD banks since January 2017. Analysis in order to use FRAUD_SCORE in rules in Lynx Rule Engine was done. 2SIGNIFICANT
  • 3. CURRENT STATUS 3 • FRAUD_SCORE added to existing rules in order to lower false positive rates • New rules using FRAUD_SCORE as a parameter used to cover non-recognized fraud patterns • Cca 50 rules with FRAUD_SCORE currently active SIGNIFICANT
  • 4. NEW INITIATIVES IDEA: improvement of fraud scoring models using enriched data set and new methodologies 4SIGNIFICANT
  • 5. NEW INITIATIVES – CARD PROFILES 2ND GENERATION OF SCORING MODELS:  ENRICHED DATASET • Data from 9 months history used in aggregation of variables – idea: to compare current spending pattern on card with usual patterns using total, average, maximum numbers of transactions, authorized amounts… • Demographics – age, gender, region • Cca 350 variables created 1ST GENERATION OF SCORING MODELS: • Transactional data • Data from 7 days history used in aggregation of variables 5SIGNIFICANT
  • 6. NEW INITIATIVES – NEW TECHNOLOGIES In order to support the use of the enriched dataset new technologies are been considered: • Apache Spark – engine for large scale data processing • Hadoop framework for distributed processing • R – program language for statistical computing 1st generation of scoring models: • Models developed in SAS Enterprise Miner using logistic regression • Scoring module is part of Lynx Rule engine and has limited calculation capabilities due to the impact on system performance - 7 days history used 6SIGNIFICANT
  • 7. NEW INITIATIVES – NEW METHODOLOGIES • Project in collaboration with Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computing, Department of Applied Computing, Zagreb • Task: Test Machine Learning techniques on real data processed through Lynx Fraud Management System • Goal: Improve fraud prevention and fraud detection process 7SIGNIFICANT
  • 8. MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES IN MPSI Data preparation – status: DONE • Focus on issuing POS CNP transactions • Development dataset created using sampling – all fraud transactions & randomly chosen subset of non fraud transactions from Lynx database • Sensitive data (PAN) already encrypted in Lynx database (PCI DSS requirements), data was additionally anonymized • 9 months history, cca 350 aggregated variables created 8SIGNIFICANT
  • 9. MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES IN MPSI • Appropriate ML algorithm performed on provided dataset – status: ONGOING • Infrastructural set up – status: ONGOING • Validation – the created ML model will be tested on all POS CNP authorizations from a defined time period • Integration of the new model with Lynx RE 9SIGNIFICANT
  • 10. MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES IN MPSI FUTURE PLANS: • Regular performance testing of used models • Expand the use of ML to • ATM and POS CP authorizations • acquiring – data quality analyses ongoing 10SIGNIFICANT