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Consumer Discretionary Team
Sammy, Laura, Isaak, Muna & Piotr
Consumer Discretionary Sector
Our sector has been hit significantly by Coronavirus concerns. Quite heavily reliant on the Chinese and Asian market for
consumer demand. A slow down there in consumer spending has major implications for our sector.
Looking at what the impacts of Hong Kong 'money in your pocket' scheme will have on spending
Performance- Our Investments
KERING DOWN ABOUT 6% :(
LVMH is a French multinational luxury goods
conglomerate headquartered in Paris.
It controls around 60 subsidiaries that each
manage a small number of prestigious brands.
LVMH is the largest market capitalization in
France, and now in the Euro zone, with a record
of $220 billion on January 17, 2020.
Revenue for 2019: €53.7 billion EUR; with an
organic revenue growth of 10%
Revenue Breakdown
Shareholder structure
Shareholders Percentage
Arnault Family Group 47,20%
Foreign institutional
investors
35,80%
French institutional investors 11,60%
Individuals 5,00%
Treasury Bonds 0,40%
(LVHM, 2020)
Competitors
DCF
WACC= 7%
Perpetuity Growth=
2.5%
Enterprise Value=
227.23 Equity Value= 227,168
Shares
Outstanding
=
505 M
Estimated Value per
share= 407.65
Current Price= 369.85
10%
ESG/CSR
• ''Luxury is born from invention and
the hand of man. It works to exalt
nature in its purest and most
beautiful form. Sustainable
development is inseparable from
LVMH’s strategy''
Commitments to this strategy:
SWOT Analysis
Strengths: Weaknesses:
Threats:
Over-reliance on Japanese market
Reduced ability to look at other markets
Niche market
Intense competition
Impact of coronavirus
Negative global economic predictions
Strong brand with global presence
Positive financial position
Exclusive products (differentiation)
Numerous prestigious brands
Opportunities:
Growing market potential
Rise in per capita income
Rationale
• Current climate- We have no real winners!
• We've gone for a stock that has a proven track record
• Is one of the biggest in the sector in terms of market share and revenue
size
• Diverse product range across clothing, watches and Jewlery and spirits and
wines appeals to us
• Tiffany acquisition
• Although 1st quarter numbers likely to be down- believe in its strong
fundamentals
• Relatively undervalued when compared to other companies in the sector
Q&A

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LVMH

  • 1. Consumer Discretionary Team Sammy, Laura, Isaak, Muna & Piotr
  • 2. Consumer Discretionary Sector Our sector has been hit significantly by Coronavirus concerns. Quite heavily reliant on the Chinese and Asian market for consumer demand. A slow down there in consumer spending has major implications for our sector. Looking at what the impacts of Hong Kong 'money in your pocket' scheme will have on spending
  • 4. LVMH is a French multinational luxury goods conglomerate headquartered in Paris. It controls around 60 subsidiaries that each manage a small number of prestigious brands. LVMH is the largest market capitalization in France, and now in the Euro zone, with a record of $220 billion on January 17, 2020. Revenue for 2019: €53.7 billion EUR; with an organic revenue growth of 10%
  • 6. Shareholder structure Shareholders Percentage Arnault Family Group 47,20% Foreign institutional investors 35,80% French institutional investors 11,60% Individuals 5,00% Treasury Bonds 0,40% (LVHM, 2020)
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. DCF WACC= 7% Perpetuity Growth= 2.5% Enterprise Value= 227.23 Equity Value= 227,168 Shares Outstanding = 505 M Estimated Value per share= 407.65 Current Price= 369.85 10%
  • 15. ESG/CSR • ''Luxury is born from invention and the hand of man. It works to exalt nature in its purest and most beautiful form. Sustainable development is inseparable from LVMH’s strategy'' Commitments to this strategy:
  • 16. SWOT Analysis Strengths: Weaknesses: Threats: Over-reliance on Japanese market Reduced ability to look at other markets Niche market Intense competition Impact of coronavirus Negative global economic predictions Strong brand with global presence Positive financial position Exclusive products (differentiation) Numerous prestigious brands Opportunities: Growing market potential Rise in per capita income
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Rationale • Current climate- We have no real winners! • We've gone for a stock that has a proven track record • Is one of the biggest in the sector in terms of market share and revenue size • Diverse product range across clothing, watches and Jewlery and spirits and wines appeals to us • Tiffany acquisition • Although 1st quarter numbers likely to be down- believe in its strong fundamentals • Relatively undervalued when compared to other companies in the sector
  • 24. Q&A