Just what is a Hedge Fund, anyways?



    To the Greater Philadelphia Senior Executive Group
             Financial Executives Sub Group


                     June 11, 2009



                            PRESENTED     B Y:   DICK HOOEY
Legal Disclaimer



This presentation is intended for general
information purposes only and should not be
construed as investment advice.           It does not
constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy a
security or investment. The opinions expressed
herein are solely those of the author.
RICHARD G. HOOEY

Strategic Finance Executive with expertise in relative valuation
and decision support analyses
Nine years evaluation of Mergers, Acquisitions, New Business
Ventures, Large Capital Expenditures Capital Market
Transactions and Corporate Investment Programs
Thirteen years managing market neutral equity portfolios (up
to $100 Million in capital) in fundamental-based and
quantitative environments
Primary Coverage: Utilities, Pharmaceuticals, Healthcare,
Consumer Goods, Retail, Restaurants, Media, Transportation
Secondary Coverage: Financials, Technology, REITs, Energy,
Insurance, Paper & Forest Products, Telecommunications
Today‟s Objective


Some History

Some Basics

Recent Evolutionary Trends

What now, what next?
Idiomatic

hedge [ hej ]

2. protective method: a means of protection against something, especially a means of
   guarding against financial loss


"I, I, I myself sometimes, leaving the fear of God on the left hand and hiding mine
    honour in my necessity, am fain to shuffle, to hedge and to lurch ."
                                         William Shakespeare, Merry Wives of Windsor - 1598

"You think that you have Hedged in that Debt by a greater, by your Letter in Verse.“
                                        John Donne's Letters to Sir Henry Goodyere, circa 1620

"Now, Criticks, do your worst, that here are met; For, like a Rook, I have hedg'd in my
  Bet."
                                                          George Villiers, The Rehearsal - 1672
The Beginning

 1949 - Alfred W. Jones




 1966 - Carol Loomis
The Simplest Form

 You have a strong belief that one company is
  undervalued, especially relative to its peers.
 You have no opinion on the direction of the market
  but are concerned that you can be right and still lose
  capital if the market falls

Solution:
 Buy the undervalued company and sell short an
 equivalent dollar amount of its overvalued
 competitor
A Simple Pairs Trade

 Pesky Soda Company (NYSE: PES) $40.28
 Coconut Cola Company (NYSE: NUT) $ 31.80


 To create a portfolio balanced by dollar invested:


 Buy 5,000 shares PES


 Sell Short 6,300 NUT
If the Market is Up 5%

                0.07
 PES up 6%
                        6.0%
                0.06
                                        5.0%
 NUT up 2%     0.05

                0.04
 You make 4% 0.03
                                2.0%
                0.02

                0.01

                  0
                       PES     NUT     DJIA
But, if the Market is down 6%

 PES down 4%      0
                        PES     NUT     DJIA
                -0.01

 NUT down 7% -0.02
                -0.03
 You make 3%   -0.04
                        -4.0%
                -0.05

                -0.06
                                         -6.0%
                -0.07
                                -7.0%
                -0.08
A Second Opinion
Two Contrasting Definitions


Generate positive returns in both rising and falling
 equity and bond markets

                          Vs.

Generate results that are uncorrelated to equity and
 bond markets
Shorting 101




He who sells what isn’t his’n
Must cover up or go to prison
Mechanics of a Short



     Stock Loan                        Common Stock
        Desk               1.             Issuer

2.                                         1.

     Short Seller
                                        Shareholder

2.

       Buyer
Mechanics of a Short – Key Steps

The Short Sale
1)   Original shareholder holds stock with custodian – agrees that the
     shares are available to short.
2)   Short Seller “borrows” shares from custodian - obligation to deliver
     shares in future – subject to call
Dividend Payments
1)   Issuer payments accrue to the original shareholder
2)   Short Seller pays the dividend to the Buyer
Custodian Issues
─    Shorts typically collateralized by long positions
─    Sales proceeds also held as collateral
─    Short Seller receives interest on cash position – Short Interest Rebate
Sentiment vs. Reality of Short Selling

Negative Sentiments towards short selling
 Contrary to most enlightened self interests
 Hope for the worst
 Spreading negative rumors
 Shady trading techniques


Actual Benefits of Short Selling
 Price Discovery
 Provision of Liquidity
Characteristics of Hedge Funds

 Limited Partnership Structure
 Lower level of Regulation
 “Knowledgeable” Investors
 Pricing
 Liquidity
 Leverage
 Fees
Alpha and Beta


Beta represents the correlation of a funds returns to
 the return of the underlying market or index. (e.g. A
 rising tide raises all boats)

Alpha represents the increment over the underlying
 market return provided by the fund manager (e.g.
 the value added)
Generating Alpha


Generating Beta is relatively easy – Index Funds – and
 does not produce a premium fee.

Generating Alpha (beating the market) is harder

Strategies that consistently generate alpha have the
  higher fee structure
Two and Twenty

Most common hedge fund fee structure has two
 components:


 Two per cent of Capital Invested (paid quarterly)


 Twenty per cent of Alpha (profit generated)
High Water Mark

Loss – Carry Forward Provision

Incentive Fees only applicable to performance in
  excess of High Water Mark

Usually increased annually

Links Managers‟ interest with Investors‟
High Water Mark Application
160%

140%

120%

100%

80%

60%

40%
             19%
20%    12%         10%    8%           8%
 0%
       Yr1   Yr2   Yr3   Yr4   Yr5    Yr6
-20%                           -11%
Risks that can be hedged

 Market Risk
 Industry Risk
 Concentration Risk
 Currency Risk


Company Risk is hard to hedge
Notable Failures

 Long Term Capital Management – 1998
   Significant Leverage (25x)

   Russian Default

   Lack of Diversification

   Quant skills – Market knowledge?


 Madoff – 2008
   NOT a Hedge Fund

   "split-strike conversion strategy“

   Regulation was poor, not non-existent

   Too Good to be True – requires Due Diligence
Measuring Hedge Funds

 Returns
      Not appropriate for risk mitigating strategies
 Sharpe Ratio
      Return / Volatility – proxy for risk
 Sortino Ratio
      Return / Downside deviation
 Bias Ratio
      Designed to detect improper asset pricing
Hedge Fund Due Diligence

 Track Record
 Significant Investment by Manager
 Pricing Characteristics of Strategy
 Size of Fund
 Concentration Risk
 “Too Good to be True”
 Third Party Involvement
   Auditors

   Administrators
Red Flags

 Manager looks outside Original Strategy
 Cash on hand
 Response Times to Inquiries
 Terms of Investment Agreement
   Sub – Advisors

   Redemption Gates

   In-Kind Redemptions

 Manager of Previous Fund
Hedge Fund Defaults


1994 – 0.3995%         (751 Funds)

1998 – 0.5216%          (1,917 Funds)

2004 – 0.2157%          (5,563 Funds)

More current data not available
2008 Returns – Credit Suisse Tremont Indices

                                    Up     Down
Style                    Return    Funds   Funds   Best   Worst
Managed Futures            18.3%    28        3    93%      -4%
Dedicated Short            14.9%     7        2    68%     -49%
Global Macro               -4.6%    19       18    66%     -68%
Event Driven              -17.7%     9      67     33%     -75%
Equity Long / Short       -19.8%    19      147    47%     -77%
Multi-Strategy           -23.6%      4      29     26%     -93%
Fixed Income Arbitrage   -28.8%      8      24     14%     -65%
Emerging Markets         -30.4%      2      67     27%     -78%
Convertible Arbitrage     -31.6%     1       21    12%     -61%
Equity Market Neutral    -40.3%      9       12    36%    -100%
Conclusions

 Hedge Funds were originally intended to manage
    risk, especially of down markets
   Fee structures evolved to compensate managers for
    the more difficult task of generating alpha
   Bull markets in late „90‟s led to more managers,
    often charging “alpha” fees for “beta” strategies
   Like in 1973-74, 2008 has exposed many of these
    strategies
   Now more than ever, due diligence is key in choosing
    Hedge Fund managers

Just What Is A Hedge Fund, Anyways Gpseg

  • 1.
    Just what isa Hedge Fund, anyways? To the Greater Philadelphia Senior Executive Group Financial Executives Sub Group June 11, 2009 PRESENTED B Y: DICK HOOEY
  • 2.
    Legal Disclaimer This presentationis intended for general information purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. It does not constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy a security or investment. The opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.
  • 3.
    RICHARD G. HOOEY StrategicFinance Executive with expertise in relative valuation and decision support analyses Nine years evaluation of Mergers, Acquisitions, New Business Ventures, Large Capital Expenditures Capital Market Transactions and Corporate Investment Programs Thirteen years managing market neutral equity portfolios (up to $100 Million in capital) in fundamental-based and quantitative environments Primary Coverage: Utilities, Pharmaceuticals, Healthcare, Consumer Goods, Retail, Restaurants, Media, Transportation Secondary Coverage: Financials, Technology, REITs, Energy, Insurance, Paper & Forest Products, Telecommunications
  • 4.
    Today‟s Objective Some History SomeBasics Recent Evolutionary Trends What now, what next?
  • 5.
    Idiomatic hedge [ hej] 2. protective method: a means of protection against something, especially a means of guarding against financial loss "I, I, I myself sometimes, leaving the fear of God on the left hand and hiding mine honour in my necessity, am fain to shuffle, to hedge and to lurch ." William Shakespeare, Merry Wives of Windsor - 1598 "You think that you have Hedged in that Debt by a greater, by your Letter in Verse.“ John Donne's Letters to Sir Henry Goodyere, circa 1620 "Now, Criticks, do your worst, that here are met; For, like a Rook, I have hedg'd in my Bet." George Villiers, The Rehearsal - 1672
  • 6.
    The Beginning  1949- Alfred W. Jones  1966 - Carol Loomis
  • 7.
    The Simplest Form You have a strong belief that one company is undervalued, especially relative to its peers.  You have no opinion on the direction of the market but are concerned that you can be right and still lose capital if the market falls Solution: Buy the undervalued company and sell short an equivalent dollar amount of its overvalued competitor
  • 8.
    A Simple PairsTrade  Pesky Soda Company (NYSE: PES) $40.28  Coconut Cola Company (NYSE: NUT) $ 31.80  To create a portfolio balanced by dollar invested:  Buy 5,000 shares PES  Sell Short 6,300 NUT
  • 9.
    If the Marketis Up 5% 0.07  PES up 6% 6.0% 0.06 5.0%  NUT up 2% 0.05 0.04  You make 4% 0.03 2.0% 0.02 0.01 0 PES NUT DJIA
  • 10.
    But, if theMarket is down 6%  PES down 4% 0 PES NUT DJIA -0.01  NUT down 7% -0.02 -0.03  You make 3% -0.04 -4.0% -0.05 -0.06 -6.0% -0.07 -7.0% -0.08
  • 11.
  • 12.
    Two Contrasting Definitions Generatepositive returns in both rising and falling equity and bond markets Vs. Generate results that are uncorrelated to equity and bond markets
  • 13.
    Shorting 101 He whosells what isn’t his’n Must cover up or go to prison
  • 14.
    Mechanics of aShort Stock Loan Common Stock Desk 1. Issuer 2. 1. Short Seller Shareholder 2. Buyer
  • 15.
    Mechanics of aShort – Key Steps The Short Sale 1) Original shareholder holds stock with custodian – agrees that the shares are available to short. 2) Short Seller “borrows” shares from custodian - obligation to deliver shares in future – subject to call Dividend Payments 1) Issuer payments accrue to the original shareholder 2) Short Seller pays the dividend to the Buyer Custodian Issues ─ Shorts typically collateralized by long positions ─ Sales proceeds also held as collateral ─ Short Seller receives interest on cash position – Short Interest Rebate
  • 16.
    Sentiment vs. Realityof Short Selling Negative Sentiments towards short selling  Contrary to most enlightened self interests  Hope for the worst  Spreading negative rumors  Shady trading techniques Actual Benefits of Short Selling  Price Discovery  Provision of Liquidity
  • 17.
    Characteristics of HedgeFunds  Limited Partnership Structure  Lower level of Regulation  “Knowledgeable” Investors  Pricing  Liquidity  Leverage  Fees
  • 18.
    Alpha and Beta Betarepresents the correlation of a funds returns to the return of the underlying market or index. (e.g. A rising tide raises all boats) Alpha represents the increment over the underlying market return provided by the fund manager (e.g. the value added)
  • 19.
    Generating Alpha Generating Betais relatively easy – Index Funds – and does not produce a premium fee. Generating Alpha (beating the market) is harder Strategies that consistently generate alpha have the higher fee structure
  • 20.
    Two and Twenty Mostcommon hedge fund fee structure has two components:  Two per cent of Capital Invested (paid quarterly)  Twenty per cent of Alpha (profit generated)
  • 21.
    High Water Mark Loss– Carry Forward Provision Incentive Fees only applicable to performance in excess of High Water Mark Usually increased annually Links Managers‟ interest with Investors‟
  • 22.
    High Water MarkApplication 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 19% 20% 12% 10% 8% 8% 0% Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Yr5 Yr6 -20% -11%
  • 23.
    Risks that canbe hedged  Market Risk  Industry Risk  Concentration Risk  Currency Risk Company Risk is hard to hedge
  • 24.
    Notable Failures  LongTerm Capital Management – 1998  Significant Leverage (25x)  Russian Default  Lack of Diversification  Quant skills – Market knowledge?  Madoff – 2008  NOT a Hedge Fund  "split-strike conversion strategy“  Regulation was poor, not non-existent  Too Good to be True – requires Due Diligence
  • 25.
    Measuring Hedge Funds Returns Not appropriate for risk mitigating strategies  Sharpe Ratio Return / Volatility – proxy for risk  Sortino Ratio Return / Downside deviation  Bias Ratio Designed to detect improper asset pricing
  • 26.
    Hedge Fund DueDiligence  Track Record  Significant Investment by Manager  Pricing Characteristics of Strategy  Size of Fund  Concentration Risk  “Too Good to be True”  Third Party Involvement  Auditors  Administrators
  • 27.
    Red Flags  Managerlooks outside Original Strategy  Cash on hand  Response Times to Inquiries  Terms of Investment Agreement  Sub – Advisors  Redemption Gates  In-Kind Redemptions  Manager of Previous Fund
  • 28.
    Hedge Fund Defaults 1994– 0.3995% (751 Funds) 1998 – 0.5216% (1,917 Funds) 2004 – 0.2157% (5,563 Funds) More current data not available
  • 29.
    2008 Returns –Credit Suisse Tremont Indices Up Down Style Return Funds Funds Best Worst Managed Futures 18.3% 28 3 93% -4% Dedicated Short 14.9% 7 2 68% -49% Global Macro -4.6% 19 18 66% -68% Event Driven -17.7% 9 67 33% -75% Equity Long / Short -19.8% 19 147 47% -77% Multi-Strategy -23.6% 4 29 26% -93% Fixed Income Arbitrage -28.8% 8 24 14% -65% Emerging Markets -30.4% 2 67 27% -78% Convertible Arbitrage -31.6% 1 21 12% -61% Equity Market Neutral -40.3% 9 12 36% -100%
  • 30.
    Conclusions  Hedge Fundswere originally intended to manage risk, especially of down markets  Fee structures evolved to compensate managers for the more difficult task of generating alpha  Bull markets in late „90‟s led to more managers, often charging “alpha” fees for “beta” strategies  Like in 1973-74, 2008 has exposed many of these strategies  Now more than ever, due diligence is key in choosing Hedge Fund managers