On November 7, 2016, Donald Trump was elected President of the United States after a bitterly-fought campaign against Hillary Clinton. The election was very closely-run, with Hillary Clinton winning the popular vote, but losing the presidency based on the U.S. electoral college structure. However, months after Donald Trump was declared President of the United States, questions remain about the legitimacy of the U.S. elections. The central issues are the emergence and use of so-called ‘Fake News’ and the accusation that Russia, through espionage and online hacking operations, sought to influence the presidential elections to promote Donald Trump and denigrate the reputation of Hillary Clinton.
The issues thrown up in the wake of the U.S. presidential election have fundamentally undermined trust in the workings of the international media and further damaged U.S.–Russia relations. A report by the U.S. intelligence services accusing Russia of attempting to influence the outcome of the election, prepared for President Obama and published in the election’s immediate aftermath, led to the expulsion1 of 35 Russian diplomats from Washington just days after the results were announced. President Putin, on the other hand, opted not to expel any U.S. diplomats from Russia. The investigation into Russia’s involvement and influence on the U.S. elections continues today.
This policy brief provides an overview of how the gathering and dissemination of news has changed in a globalized digital environment, how consumers digest and share news at an ever-increasing pace, and how the management of big data can influence electorates across borders. It will also define ‘fake news’ and the extent to which it might have influenced the results of the U.S. elections.
The Great White Hack. Trump is the "White Hat" Hacker of US Democracyeholmes80
Account of 2016 Election as a cautionary tale and cause for individuals to rise up and exercise their democratic rights as the 2020 election approaches.
Analysis of sources and effect of fake news on society Arpit Khurana
This report reviews the relevant literature to provide a definition of fake news, its potential impact and recent responses to this phenomenon. Finally, the report provides a summary of the research and important findings concerning fake news in the conclusion.
Yono REKSOPRODJO, Fahmy YUSUF - Information Warfare in Cyberspace: The Sprea...REVULN
The rapid development of information and communication technology brings significant change to human life. In the past, people have been getting information through conventional media such as newspapers, radio, and television. Today, the public relies heavily on digital media consisting of social media and online media that are in the grip within the internet network which provides wide-ranging information in speedy manner. The phenomenon of hoaxes in social media is part of the information warfare in the cyberspace dimension. Hoaxes as tactic of choice in propaganda defined as misleading information attacks to various aspects, covering to include health, economy, disaster-events, and politics. People who are lacking in understanding propaganda tactics like how the news and information addressed in the digital media are often fooled by hoaxes that maybe appear as texts, pictures or videos. The spread of hoaxes may get uncontrollable due to the many parties who deliberately spread the hoaxes for a particular interest with anonymous accounts, fake accounts and so-called bots. The transmission of hoaxes as global phenomenon today, affecting many countries. Hoaxes that are spread in cyberspace are difficult to control without solid cooperation between government and society. This means of bad intension today by spreading news used as an asymmetric weapon extensively exercised during any political election period. This paper is about an analysis of hoax cases occurred in the time of Jakarta Gubernatorial Election 2017 as a case study.
This is a webinar organised by the Nigerian Library Association, Delta State Chapter, in collaboration with Digital Citizens.
The aim of the webinar is to equip library and information professionals with necessary technologies and strategies needed to play key roles in the dissemination of correct information, and in the information literacy of citizens, in this era of fake news and misinformation.
Across 18-19 April 2017, the UK Parliament’s Culture, Media and Sport Committee published the 79 written submissions to its Fake News Inquiry. These submissions show us that we need to devote much more attention to addressing emotive, targeted deception by professional persuaders and the Public Relations (PR) industry, and that this issue may merit its own parliamentary inquiry into Deception in Political Campaigning. I discuss this in relation to two deceptive, emotive political campaigns from 2016 - the US presidential election and the UK's referendum on Brexit.
The Great White Hack. Trump is the "White Hat" Hacker of US Democracyeholmes80
Account of 2016 Election as a cautionary tale and cause for individuals to rise up and exercise their democratic rights as the 2020 election approaches.
Analysis of sources and effect of fake news on society Arpit Khurana
This report reviews the relevant literature to provide a definition of fake news, its potential impact and recent responses to this phenomenon. Finally, the report provides a summary of the research and important findings concerning fake news in the conclusion.
Yono REKSOPRODJO, Fahmy YUSUF - Information Warfare in Cyberspace: The Sprea...REVULN
The rapid development of information and communication technology brings significant change to human life. In the past, people have been getting information through conventional media such as newspapers, radio, and television. Today, the public relies heavily on digital media consisting of social media and online media that are in the grip within the internet network which provides wide-ranging information in speedy manner. The phenomenon of hoaxes in social media is part of the information warfare in the cyberspace dimension. Hoaxes as tactic of choice in propaganda defined as misleading information attacks to various aspects, covering to include health, economy, disaster-events, and politics. People who are lacking in understanding propaganda tactics like how the news and information addressed in the digital media are often fooled by hoaxes that maybe appear as texts, pictures or videos. The spread of hoaxes may get uncontrollable due to the many parties who deliberately spread the hoaxes for a particular interest with anonymous accounts, fake accounts and so-called bots. The transmission of hoaxes as global phenomenon today, affecting many countries. Hoaxes that are spread in cyberspace are difficult to control without solid cooperation between government and society. This means of bad intension today by spreading news used as an asymmetric weapon extensively exercised during any political election period. This paper is about an analysis of hoax cases occurred in the time of Jakarta Gubernatorial Election 2017 as a case study.
This is a webinar organised by the Nigerian Library Association, Delta State Chapter, in collaboration with Digital Citizens.
The aim of the webinar is to equip library and information professionals with necessary technologies and strategies needed to play key roles in the dissemination of correct information, and in the information literacy of citizens, in this era of fake news and misinformation.
Across 18-19 April 2017, the UK Parliament’s Culture, Media and Sport Committee published the 79 written submissions to its Fake News Inquiry. These submissions show us that we need to devote much more attention to addressing emotive, targeted deception by professional persuaders and the Public Relations (PR) industry, and that this issue may merit its own parliamentary inquiry into Deception in Political Campaigning. I discuss this in relation to two deceptive, emotive political campaigns from 2016 - the US presidential election and the UK's referendum on Brexit.
Presentation to European Parliament on fake news, changes in our media environment, and what can be done to ensure news and media serve our democracies, with links to underlying independent, evidence-based research.
World is transforming and converging rapidly through available information in various digital platforms. There has been a lot more discussions and deliberations has happened in the past at media, social, political and government forums about the reliability, authenticity and validity of information shared by users in the form of User Generated Content (UGC). According to a handbook on journalism, ‘Fake News’ and disinformation released by UNESCO, describes briefly about the emerging global problem of fake contents (disinformation) that confronts societies in general and journalism in particular.
Why I have finally quit Facebook and deleted all the data they hold about me ...Jeremy Leggett
I believe in the potential for corporations to do social good, and potentially - collectively - for them to tip the balance positively in the current global struggle to fashion a viable future. In my quarter-century-plus of corporate campaigning I have seen a good few corporations change profoundly for the better. I have been hoping for more than two years to see the same thing happen at Facebook….
A History of Fake News
https://geopoliticalfutures.com/?utm_source=GPF%20-%20Media&utm_campaign=23d5498191-180518_Weekly_Graphic_GPF_Free_99_Sub&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_368360ed47-23d5498191-249724713&mc_cid=23d5498191&mc_eid=4db72a5228
The term “fake news” entered American political discourse
during the 2016 election with both Democrats
and Republicans charging each other and the media
with generating fake news. Ever since, there have been countless
stories about how public opinions are manipulated for
political gain. In March, it was revealed that a consulting firm
called Cambridge Analytica acquired Facebook user data and
used it to try to influence voters in the run-up to the election.
Just a few weeks later lawmakers in Malaysia approved a law
making it a crime to spread fake news, punishable by up to six
years in prison. Fake news has become a global issue that affects
the core of contemporary information technology. It has
gone from a charge hurled during an American political campaign
to an issue shaping global political discourse.
The question of whether greater competitiveness of news media market can prevent media capture and leads to greater-quality news provision in general has been receiving lots of attention in literature especially in the recent years due to growth of unconventional media sources and fake-news proliferation. We build a model of perfectly competitive news media market with a novel feature of quality externalities. Employing the model, we show that perfect competition can make the market converge to a fake-news equilibrium as well as to an informative-news equilibrium. Based on the model, we demonstrate how such a structure of news media market can be exploited by a politician in order to eectively achieve media capture without totalitarian control over the media as demonstrated by case studies of Silvio Berlusconi, Vladimir Putin, and Donald Trump.
Presentation by Samantha Bradshaw at the 2019 CMPF Summer School for Journalists and Media Practitioners - Covering Political Campaigns in the Age of Data, Algorithms & Artificial Intelligence
Developing a KO Response to Post-Truth and Fake NewsDavid Clarke
Analysis of post-truth and fake news issues and discussion of causes, effects and solutions. These issues have both societal and technological causes – they are some of the unintended consequences of the information age. I hope you will join me in a discussion about these issues. How can we build a society that is open-minded, fact-loving and search savvy? How can we encourage our leaders, businesses and institutions to protect and promote truthfulness as a core value?
Fake NewsThe dynamics of Fake News Critical analysis of its c.docxlmelaine
Fake News
The dynamics of Fake News: Critical analysis of its causes, accelerators and impacts; A case of Ukraine and the US
Name
School
Senior Seminar
12/16/2019
Introduction
Fake news has been circulating for a long time in news outlets and recently, it has been pumped into the public eye like never before. Major news channels have broadcasted false stories about almost anything from war crimes and corruption to celebrity scandals to shape the public view, spread fear, and cause mayhem. I want to research fake news because their spread has made us more ignorant, sew divide between us, and have spread hate among us. As recently warned in the world economic forum (2013) about the so-called "digital wildfires," i.e. fake news going viral through digital media could be taken as the most significant threats that societies and governments face. The discourses revolving around fake news have been in existent for quite some time now- even though known by different names and definitions, only in recent years has the term drawn so much interests and public discourses.
As argued by Allcott & Gentzkow, (2017), the topic of fake news has been extensively covered in psychology, economics, computer science, and political science. For the past decade, scholars have analyzed the ways in which entertainment can affect politics. In particular, the satirical nature of talk shows. This has drawn interests on how news coated with entertainment may affect the political space. Holbert (2005) asserts that the daily shows are programs that propagate fake news. He argues that such programs revolve around political satire, therefore, passing across a message that most falsified information is majorly political. Across countries, whether with authoritative or democratic regimes, fake news has diminished the credibility of legit media sites. This has led to the polarization of the public. However, the advent of the internet has been attributed to the rise of fake news. Finneman &Thomas (2018) attributes this growth of falsified information to the fact that anyone is capable of posting anything online. The rising popularity of social media has significantly contributed to the rise of fake news. In 2016, Facebook users reached 1.8 billion with Twitter registering about 400 million users. The shift has also been attributed to the declining trust in mainstream media. The biggest factor behind the growth of misleading information is their social engagement. For example, Silverman (2016) argues that during the 2016 presidential elections in the USA, the public engaged with misleading information more on Facebook than in mainstream media. Allcot & Gentzknow (2017) assert that in the month before the 2016 elections, people spent about one hour or more engaging with social media news.
Research Question
Given the fact that the Russian government has spread lies and propaganda across news outlets and social media, how does fake news affect public perception in Ukraine and ...
Presentation to European Parliament on fake news, changes in our media environment, and what can be done to ensure news and media serve our democracies, with links to underlying independent, evidence-based research.
World is transforming and converging rapidly through available information in various digital platforms. There has been a lot more discussions and deliberations has happened in the past at media, social, political and government forums about the reliability, authenticity and validity of information shared by users in the form of User Generated Content (UGC). According to a handbook on journalism, ‘Fake News’ and disinformation released by UNESCO, describes briefly about the emerging global problem of fake contents (disinformation) that confronts societies in general and journalism in particular.
Why I have finally quit Facebook and deleted all the data they hold about me ...Jeremy Leggett
I believe in the potential for corporations to do social good, and potentially - collectively - for them to tip the balance positively in the current global struggle to fashion a viable future. In my quarter-century-plus of corporate campaigning I have seen a good few corporations change profoundly for the better. I have been hoping for more than two years to see the same thing happen at Facebook….
A History of Fake News
https://geopoliticalfutures.com/?utm_source=GPF%20-%20Media&utm_campaign=23d5498191-180518_Weekly_Graphic_GPF_Free_99_Sub&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_368360ed47-23d5498191-249724713&mc_cid=23d5498191&mc_eid=4db72a5228
The term “fake news” entered American political discourse
during the 2016 election with both Democrats
and Republicans charging each other and the media
with generating fake news. Ever since, there have been countless
stories about how public opinions are manipulated for
political gain. In March, it was revealed that a consulting firm
called Cambridge Analytica acquired Facebook user data and
used it to try to influence voters in the run-up to the election.
Just a few weeks later lawmakers in Malaysia approved a law
making it a crime to spread fake news, punishable by up to six
years in prison. Fake news has become a global issue that affects
the core of contemporary information technology. It has
gone from a charge hurled during an American political campaign
to an issue shaping global political discourse.
The question of whether greater competitiveness of news media market can prevent media capture and leads to greater-quality news provision in general has been receiving lots of attention in literature especially in the recent years due to growth of unconventional media sources and fake-news proliferation. We build a model of perfectly competitive news media market with a novel feature of quality externalities. Employing the model, we show that perfect competition can make the market converge to a fake-news equilibrium as well as to an informative-news equilibrium. Based on the model, we demonstrate how such a structure of news media market can be exploited by a politician in order to eectively achieve media capture without totalitarian control over the media as demonstrated by case studies of Silvio Berlusconi, Vladimir Putin, and Donald Trump.
Presentation by Samantha Bradshaw at the 2019 CMPF Summer School for Journalists and Media Practitioners - Covering Political Campaigns in the Age of Data, Algorithms & Artificial Intelligence
Developing a KO Response to Post-Truth and Fake NewsDavid Clarke
Analysis of post-truth and fake news issues and discussion of causes, effects and solutions. These issues have both societal and technological causes – they are some of the unintended consequences of the information age. I hope you will join me in a discussion about these issues. How can we build a society that is open-minded, fact-loving and search savvy? How can we encourage our leaders, businesses and institutions to protect and promote truthfulness as a core value?
Fake NewsThe dynamics of Fake News Critical analysis of its c.docxlmelaine
Fake News
The dynamics of Fake News: Critical analysis of its causes, accelerators and impacts; A case of Ukraine and the US
Name
School
Senior Seminar
12/16/2019
Introduction
Fake news has been circulating for a long time in news outlets and recently, it has been pumped into the public eye like never before. Major news channels have broadcasted false stories about almost anything from war crimes and corruption to celebrity scandals to shape the public view, spread fear, and cause mayhem. I want to research fake news because their spread has made us more ignorant, sew divide between us, and have spread hate among us. As recently warned in the world economic forum (2013) about the so-called "digital wildfires," i.e. fake news going viral through digital media could be taken as the most significant threats that societies and governments face. The discourses revolving around fake news have been in existent for quite some time now- even though known by different names and definitions, only in recent years has the term drawn so much interests and public discourses.
As argued by Allcott & Gentzkow, (2017), the topic of fake news has been extensively covered in psychology, economics, computer science, and political science. For the past decade, scholars have analyzed the ways in which entertainment can affect politics. In particular, the satirical nature of talk shows. This has drawn interests on how news coated with entertainment may affect the political space. Holbert (2005) asserts that the daily shows are programs that propagate fake news. He argues that such programs revolve around political satire, therefore, passing across a message that most falsified information is majorly political. Across countries, whether with authoritative or democratic regimes, fake news has diminished the credibility of legit media sites. This has led to the polarization of the public. However, the advent of the internet has been attributed to the rise of fake news. Finneman &Thomas (2018) attributes this growth of falsified information to the fact that anyone is capable of posting anything online. The rising popularity of social media has significantly contributed to the rise of fake news. In 2016, Facebook users reached 1.8 billion with Twitter registering about 400 million users. The shift has also been attributed to the declining trust in mainstream media. The biggest factor behind the growth of misleading information is their social engagement. For example, Silverman (2016) argues that during the 2016 presidential elections in the USA, the public engaged with misleading information more on Facebook than in mainstream media. Allcot & Gentzknow (2017) assert that in the month before the 2016 elections, people spent about one hour or more engaging with social media news.
Research Question
Given the fact that the Russian government has spread lies and propaganda across news outlets and social media, how does fake news affect public perception in Ukraine and ...
Argument to reform Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act (1996), which ensures social media platforms are not held liable for statements made by their users.
Alternative facts, misdirection, and outright propaganda seem to dominate the news media landscape today in a way that is quite different from the past. How can viewers and listeners navigate the flood of untruths? Can democracy survive the viral uptake of social media memes and myths?
Similar to Lies, Spies and Big Data: How Fake News Is Rewriting Political Landscapes (17)
Предложения по российско-американскому сотрудничеству в сфере кибербезопаснос...Russian Council
Текущее состояние российско-американских отношений отличается высоким уровнем недоверия. Напряженность нарастала в течение трех лет, государства наложили друг на друга санкции, активно распространяют пропаганду и обмениваются взаимными обвинениями. Ситуация в двусторонних отношениях непредсказуема: если эскалация продолжится, вся система международных отношений может быть дестабилизована. Текущее ухудшение отношений между двумя странами затронуло все сферы взаимодействия, включая кибербезопасность.
Взаимодействие в сфере кибербезопасности – достаточно новый аспект, который никогда не входил в число приоритетных направлений наравне с борьбой с терроризмом, украинским и сирийским кризисами, экономическими санкциями и др.
Несмотря на то, что государства по обе стороны Атлантического океана осознают необходимость решения ключевых вопросов кибербезопасности, мнения сторон относительно необходимых мер и применения норм международного права к вопросам киберпространства расходятся.
В этой связи требуется работа по двум направлениям. Первое – сотрудничество в предотвращении киберпреступлений и принятие мер по борьбе с кибертерроризмом. Россия и США не могут найти общий язык при обсуждении предотвращения киберпреступлений. Отчасти это вызвано отсутствием общепринятой терминологии применительно к киберпространству.
Кроме того, анонимность киберпреступлений не только затрудняет процесс атрибуции, но и зачастую подрывает статус-кво в двусторонних отношениях. Второе направление включает в себя разработку норм поведения, а также защиту объектов критической инфраструктуры от кибератак. Хотя группа правительственных экспертов ООН ведет активную работу над разработкой правил игры, государствам необходимо найти способы применения существующих и потенциальных норм на практике. Также необходимо дать четкие определения объектам критической инфраструктуры и киберпреступлений.
На данном этапе критически важно продолжение диалога и налаживание взаимопонимания при помощи экспертных встреч и публикаций, сотрудничества на техническом уровне и сбалансированного участия СМИ.
На протяжении 2016 г. российские и американские эксперты по вопросам кибербезопасности совместно работали над предложениями по решению проблем в двусторонних отношениях, связанных с этой сферой.
В результате двусторонних усилий Российский совет по международным делам (РСМД) и Институт Восток-Запад (ИВЗ) выделили ряд вызовов и проблем в сфере кибербезопасности, а также предложений по их решению для улучшения российско-американского сотрудничества в киберпространстве. Стороны выражают надежду, что изложенные ниже предложения смогут лечь в основу будущего сотрудничества.
A Report of the CSIS Russia and Eurasia Program and the Russian International Affairs Council
At a time when tension between the US and Russia is higher than it has been in decades, we cannot forget that the relationship between these two countries is among the most important for global security. On any number of issues, from arms control to the Middle East, failure of the U.S. and Russia to communicate will make things much, much worse, with repercussions that will last for generations and affect the entire world. For this reason, CSIS and RIAC convened some of Russia’s and America’s top experts to think through the future of the bilateral relationship. The result is a series of papers that identify both the spheres where coordination is crucial and those where it may be possible, responding to mutual interests and potentially helping to stabilize the relationship and buffer against conflict in the future. For both, they offer concrete recommendations and a clear-eyed take on what can, and what cannot be done.
The analyses that follow examine prospects for Russia-U.S. cooperation in several crucial regions and fields: economics, energy, the Arctic, Euro-Atlantic security, the Middle East, strategic stability, cybersecurity, and countering terrorism and extremism. They offer actionable recommendations in each area, some of which can, and should be undertaken today, and some of which should be considered by policymakers in Moscow and Washington as they chart a course through dangerous and uncertain times.
Презентация Лоуренса Макдоннелла. Дебаты «Fake News и мировая политика»Russian Council
18 июля 2017 г. в библиотеке им. Ф.М. Достоевского РСМД провел дебаты на тему «Fake News и мировая политика».
Лекторами на мероприятии выступили бывший корреспондент ВВС в Москве Лоуренс Макдоннелл и заместитель редактора международного отдела РБК, бывший главный редактор англоязычного аналитического ресурса Russia Direct Павел Кошкин. В роли модератора дискуссии выступал менеджер по связям со СМИ и правительственными структурами РСМД Николай Маркоткин.
Web Internationalization of Russian Universities (2016–2017). Report No. 31/2017Russian Council
This report is the result of a new stage in the research of the online English-language resources on the websites of Russian universities and is a follow-up to the initial report produced by the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) entitled “Web Internationalization: Russian Universities” in 2015.
The authors developed a methodology for assessing the English-language websites of universities. The online resources of 47 universities were analysed and compared with those of 11 QS Top 100 World Universities.
The results of the study are presented in the form of a ranking of the English-language websites of Russian universities. An analysis of common problems and a list of recommendations have also been provided.
Россия и Запад: как управлять «холодным миром»?Russian Council
Пятый позиционный документ Рабочей группы проекта «Строительство Большой Европы: необходимые меры до 2030 г.».
Группа видных членов и сторонников Панъевропейской Рабочей группы по сотрудничеству в Большой Европе, в которую входят бывшие министры иностранных дел и обороны, а также высшие должностные лица России, Великобритании, Турции, Польши, Германии, Италии и Финляндии, призвала руководство стран евроатлантического региона остановить дальнейшее раскручивание нисходящей спирали в отношениях между Россией и Западом и эффективно управлять рисками путем повышения стабильности в сфере безопасности.
Отмечая серьезность ситуации, члены Рабочей группы предупреждают, что она чревата военной конфронтацией между Россией и Западом — как умышленной, так и ненамеренной. Отдавая себе отчет в том, что рассчитывать на скорое улучшение отношений не приходится, они считают, что стабилизация ситуации требует общей приверженности всех стран евроатлантического региона отказу от применения силы, более осторожного и сдержанного подхода к наращиванию военного потенциала и активного использования возможностей контроля над вооружениями и укрепления доверия.
Managing the Cold Peace between Russia and the West. Fifth Task Force Positio...Russian Council
A group of prominent Members and Supporters of the Pan-European Task Force on Cooperation in Greater Europe, including former foreign and defence ministers and senior officials from Russia, the United Kingdom, Turkey, Poland, Germany, Italy and Finland has joined forces to appeal to the leadership of the countries in the Euro-Atlantic area to halt the downward spiral in West-Russia relations and manage its risks better through developing a more stable and sustainable security relationship.
Theses on Russia’s Foreign Policy and Global Positioning (2017–2024)Russian Council
5 years ago, in 2012, Postulates on Russia's Foreign Policy (2012-2018) marked the beginning of RIAC’s project work. This report has become RIAC’s trademark for several years, its amendments being used in the updated Concept of the Foreign Policy of the Russian Federation.
The world is now standing at a road fork, and Russia’s key task is to ensure no era of extremes, to promote comfortable and manageable international environment without limitations, conflicts, and splits.
Addressing the changed international situation, quantitative and qualitative growth of challenges for Russia’s foreign policy RIAC and Center for Strategic Research (CSR) presented Theses on Russia’s Foreign Policy and Global Positioning (2017–2024).
As part of the project, 30 interviews were conducted with RIAC members: prominent diplomats, major international relations experts, media executives and entrepreneurs. As a separate part of the project, a series of case studies were conducted with the participation of experts and RIAC members.
.
The theses were based upon the results of a parallel study conducted by a team of researchers at the Primakov Institute of World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO) of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
Text: Ivan Timofeev, RIAC Director of Programs.
Edited by Andrey Kortunov, RIAC Director General and Sergey Utkin, Head of Foreign and Security Policy Department of the Centre for Strategic Research.
Тезисы по внешней политике и позиционированию России в мире (2017–2024 гг.)Russian Council
5 лет назад, в 2012 г. РСМД открыл проектную деятельность изданием Тезисов о внешней политики России (2012–2018). Доклад стал визитной карточкой Совета на несколько лет, а предложения были использованы в новой редакции Концепции внешней политики РФ.
Сейчас мир стоит на развилке, перед Россией стоит задача не допустить новой эпохи крайностей, способствовать созданию комфортной, управляемой международной среды без ограничительных линий, конфликтов и расколов.
Отвечая на изменившуюся международную ситуацию, количественный и качественный рост вызовов для российской внешней политики, РСМД и Центр стратегических разработок (ЦСР) представили «Тезисы по внешней политике и позиционированию России в мире».
В рамках проекта было проведено 30 интервью с членами РСМД — известными дипломатами, крупными учеными-международниками, руководителями СМИ, представителями бизнеса.
Отдельной составляющей проекта стала серия ситуационных анализов с участием экспертов и сотрудников РСМД.
Подготовке тезисов помогли результаты работы группы ученых из Института мировой
экономики и международных отношений имени Е. М. Примакова (ИМЭМО РАН), которая велась параллельно с исследованием РСМД.
Автор текста: Иван Тимофеев, программный директор РСМД.
Под редакцией: Андрея Кортунова, генерального директора РСМД и Сергея Уткина, руководителя направления «Внешняя политика и безопасность» ЦСР.
70th Anniversary of Russia-India Relations: New Horizons of Privileged Partne...Russian Council
In 2017, Russia and India celebrate the 70th anniversary of diplomatic relations. Over the years, the two states have steadily developed mutually beneficial ties. Their cooperation has achieved the level of special and privileged strategic partnership. Regular contacts between the two leaders have become an established practice. On June 1–2, 2017, Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi is visiting Russia. On May 30, 2017, President of Russia Vladimir Putin’s article “Russia and India: 70 years together” was published in the Times of India. In the article the Russian President stated that the enormous potential of cooperation between the two great powers will be further explored for the benefit of the peoples of India and Russia and the international community in general.
However, in order to make full use of the collaboration potential, ties between Russia and India should be taken to a qualitatively new level. Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) and the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF) have drafted a joint report in order to open up a new discussion on the prospects of Russia-India relations and the steps required to develop them further. The authors express hope that ideas and recommendations expressed in the paper will provide the necessary expert support for state level contacts and will be helpful in foreign policy decision-making by the two governments.
70-летие дипломатических отношений России и Индии: Новые горизонты привилегир...Russian Council
В 2017 г. Россия и Индия отмечают 70-летие дипломатических отношений. Россия и Индия последовательно формировали взаимовыгодные отношения; их взаимодействие достигло уровня особо привилегированного стратегического партнерства. Регулярные контакты лидеров двух стран вошли в практику российско-индийских отношений. 1–2 июня 2017 г. состоялся официальный визит премьер-министра Н. Моди в Россию. 30 мая 2017 г. в газете The Times of India опубликована статья президента РФ В. Путина «Россия и Индия: 70 лет вместе». В материале президент России выразил уверенность, что «колоссальный потенциал взаимодействия двух великих держав будет и впредь реализовываться на благо народов России и Индии, международного сообщества в целом».
Однако для полноценного использования потенциала сотрудничества необходимо вывести российско-индийские связи на качественно новый уровень. Российский совет по международным делам (РСМД) и Международный фонд им. Вивекананды (VIF) подготовили совместный доклад, призванный открыть широкую экспертную дискуссию о перспективах развития отношений между двумя странами, а также мерах, необходимых для дальнейшего совершенствования и повышения эффективности этих отношений.
Авторы выражают надежду, что идеи и рекомендации, изложенные в данном документе, окажутся востребованными на уровне межгосударственных контактов и будут полезны государственным органам обеих стран при принятии соответствующих внешнеполитических решений.
Дорожная карта российско-американских отношенийRussian Council
Доклад – результат работы ведущих российских и американских экспертов. Основная идея доклада состоит в том, что даже в обстановке геополитической напряженности и взаимного недоверия Россия и США должны сотрудничать. И не только в тех областях, где от их взаимодействия зависит глобальная безопасность, но и в более широком спектре направлений, в которых конкретные совместные действия не менее важны для нормализации отношений между двумя странами и для предотвращения конфликтов в будущем. В докладе анализируются перспективы российско-американского сотрудничества в таких важнейших регионах и сферах как Арктика, Ближний Восток, экономика, энергетика, евроатлантическая безопасность, стратегическая стабильность, кибербезопасность, борьба с терроризмом и экстремизмом. В докладе предлагаются практические рекомендации по налаживанию сотрудничества на каждом из направлений.
Damage Assessment: EU-Russia relations in crisisRussian Council
A new Special Report edited by Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) and European Leadership Network (ELN) assesses the damage to EU-Russia relations after three years of crisis.
Featuring Russian and European experts, the report presents their analysis on fundamental aspects of deteriorating EU-Russia relations, including economic impact, political relations and people-to-people contact. For each of these areas the Russian experts present and assess developments inside their own country, while Western authors describe the situation at the EU level and in selected European Union countries.
Перспективы развития проекта ЕАЭС к 2025 годуRussian Council
Рабочая тетрадь подготовлена Российским советом по международным делам (РСМД) в рамках проекта «Евразийская экономическая интеграция: эффективные модели взаимодействия экспертов».
Цель издания — представить взгляды экспертов на развитие проекта ЕАЭС в перспективе до 2025 г. В издании рассмотрены некоторые перспективные направления интеграции: транспорт и логистика, агропромышленная политика, свобода перемещения товаров, трудовых ресурсов, образование на пространстве ЕАЭС, международные связи ЕАЭС в перспективе до 2025 г. Безусловно, этот перечень не является исчерпывающим с точки зрения перспективных направлений интеграции, однако он представляется реализуемым с учетом национальных приоритетов и ожиданий государств — членов Союза, анализу которых посвящен отдельный раздел тетради, и без понимания которых едва ли возможна проработка общих перспективных направлений интеграции.
Экономическое развитие стран ЕАЭС и перспективы экономической интеграции до 2...Russian Council
Евразийский экономический союз создавался для укрепления национальных экономик и возможностей государств–членов в мировой экономике при условии создания четырех свобод – передвижения товаров, услуг, финансов и рабочей силы. Его создание пришлось как на период мировой экономической нестабильности, так и геополитических изменений в Евразии, что повлияло на ситуацию внутри ЕАЭС. Сегодня актуален вопрос перспективности развития экономик государств–членов в формате их участия в евразийском интеграционном проекте.
В аналитической записке рассматриваются вопросы сочетаемости национальных и интеграционных интересов в программах развития как самих стран, так и в рамках ЕАЭС в перспективе до 2025 г.
Российско-британский диалог по проблемам безопасности: перспективы двусторонн...Russian Council
В настоящее время российско-британские отношения находятся в глубоком кризисе. Удастся ли странам восстановить регулярный и системный диалог на высшем уровне? Каковы перспективы сотрудничества России и Великобритании в сфере безопасности, борьбы с международным терроризмом и противодействия насильственному экстремизму, в том числе на Большом Ближнем Востоке? Какие механизмы необходимо выработать для укрепления мер доверия, предотвращения радикализации и развития сотрудничества в борьбе с киберпреступностью. Эти и другие вопросы, связанные с прошлым, настоящим и будущим российско-британских отношений в области безопасности рассматриваются в совместном докладе Российского совета по международным делам (РСМД) и Королевского объединенного института оборонных исследований (RUSI).
Defining Dialogue: How to Manage Russia-UK Security RelationsRussian Council
At present, Russian-British relations are in deep crisis.
Will countries be able to restore a regular and systematic dialogue at the highest level?
What are the prospects for cooperation between Russia and Britain in the sphere of security, combating international terrorism and countering extremism, including in the Greater Middle East?
What mechanisms need to be worked out to strengthen confidence-building measures, prevent radicalization and develop cooperation in the fight against cybercrime.
These and other issues related to the past, present and future of Russian-British security relations are discussed in the joint report of the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) and the Royal United Services Institute for Defense and Security Studies (RUSI).
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“To be integrated is to feel secure, to feel connected.” The views and experi...AJHSSR Journal
ABSTRACT: Although a significant amount of literature exists on Morocco's migration policies and their
successes and failures since their implementation in 2014, there is limited research on the integration of subSaharan African children into schools. This paperis part of a Ph.D. research project that aims to fill this gap. It
reports the main findings of a study conducted with migrant children enrolled in two public schools in Rabat,
Morocco, exploring how integration is defined by the children themselves and identifying the obstacles that they
have encountered thus far. The following paper uses an inductive approach and primarily focuses on the
relationships of children with their teachers and peers as a key aspect of integration for students with a migration
background. The study has led to several crucial findings. It emphasizes the significance of speaking Colloquial
Moroccan Arabic (Darija) and being part of a community for effective integration. Moreover, it reveals that the
use of Modern Standard Arabic as the language of instruction in schools is a source of frustration for students,
indicating the need for language policy reform. The study underlines the importanceof considering the
children‟s agency when being integrated into mainstream public schools.
.
KEYWORDS: migration, education, integration, sub-Saharan African children, public school
Improving Workplace Safety Performance in Malaysian SMEs: The Role of Safety ...AJHSSR Journal
ABSTRACT: In the Malaysian context, small and medium enterprises (SMEs) experience a significant
burden of workplace accidents. A consensus among scholars attributes a substantial portion of these incidents to
human factors, particularly unsafe behaviors. This study, conducted in Malaysia's northern region, specifically
targeted Safety and Health/Human Resource professionals within the manufacturing sector of SMEs. We
gathered a robust dataset comprising 107 responses through a meticulously designed self-administered
questionnaire. Employing advanced partial least squares-structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) techniques
with SmartPLS 3.2.9, we rigorously analyzed the data to scrutinize the intricate relationship between safety
behavior and safety performance. The research findings unequivocally underscore the palpable and
consequential impact of safety behavior variables, namely safety compliance and safety participation, on
improving safety performance indicators such as accidents, injuries, and property damages. These results
strongly validate research hypotheses. Consequently, this study highlights the pivotal significance of cultivating
safety behavior among employees, particularly in resource-constrained SME settings, as an essential step toward
enhancing workplace safety performance.
KEYWORDS :Safety compliance, safety participation, safety performance, SME
Improving Workplace Safety Performance in Malaysian SMEs: The Role of Safety ...
Lies, Spies and Big Data: How Fake News Is Rewriting Political Landscapes
1. 1
Russian International Affairs Council
Lies, Spies and Big Data:
How Fake News Is
Rewriting Political
Landscapes
Lawrence McDonnell,
McDonnell & Partners, Former BBC Moscow Correspondent
POLICY BRIEF
No. 12, June 2017
2. 2
Lies, Spies and Big Data:
How Fake News Is Rewriting Political Landscapes
BOARD OF TRUSTEES
Sergey Lavrov – Chairman
of the Board of Trustees
Herman Gref
Aleksandr Dzasokhov
Leonid Drachevsky
Aleksandr Dynkin
Mikhail Komissar
Konstantin Kosachev
Mikhail Margelov
Yury Osipov
Sergey Prikhodko
Anatoly Torkunov
Andrey Fursenko
Aleksandr Shokhin
Igor Yurgens
PRESIDIUM
Petr Aven
Igor Ivanov – President
Andrey Kortunov – Director General
Fyodor Lukyanov
Aleksey Meshkov
Dmitry Peskov
Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) is a membership-based non-profit Russian organization.
RIAC’sactivitiesareaimedatstrengtheningpeace,friendshipandsolidaritybetweenpeoples,preventing
international conflicts and promoting crisis resolution. The Council was founded in accordance with
Russian Presidential Order No. 59-rp ”On the Creation of the Russian International Affairs Council non-
profit partnership,” dated February 2, 2010.
Founders
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation
Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation
Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs
Interfax News Agency
RIAC Mission
The mission of RIAC is to promote Russia’s prosperity by integrating it into the global world. RIAC operates as a
link between the state, scholarly community, business and civil society in an effort to find solutions to foreign
policy issues.
The views expressed herein do not necessarily reflect those of RIAC.
Editors:
Ivan Timofeev, Ph.D. in Political Science
Timur Makhmutov, Ph.D. in Political Science
Maria Smekalova
Grace Mitchell
Russian International Affairs Council
3. 3
Russian International Affairs Council
Lies, Spies and Big Data:
How Fake News Is Rewriting Political Landscapes
AUTHOR:
Lawrence McDonnell,
McDonnell & Partners, Former BBC Moscow Correspondent
1
Obama Expells 35 Russian Diplomats in Retaliation for US Election Hacking // The Guardian. 30 December 2016.
URL: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/dec/29/barack-obama-sanctions-russia-election-hack
2
Facebook Top Source for Political News Among Millennials // Pew Research Center. 1 June 2015.
URL: http://www.journalism.org/2015/06/01/facebook-top-source-for-political-news-among-millennials
3
Inside the Macedonian Fake-News Complex // Wired. 15 February 2017. URL: https://www.wired.com/2017/02/veles-macedonia-fake-news
On November 7, 2016, Donald Trump was elected President of the United States after a bitterly-fought
campaign against Hillary Clinton. The election was very closely-run, with Hillary Clinton winning the
popular vote, but losing the presidency based on the U.S. electoral college structure. However, months
afterDonaldTrumpwasdeclaredPresidentoftheUnitedStates,questionsremainaboutthelegitimacyof
theU.S.elections.Thecentralissuesaretheemergenceanduseofso-called‘FakeNews’andtheaccusation
that Russia, through espionage and online hacking operations, sought to influence the presidential
elections to promote Donald Trump and denigrate the reputation of Hillary Clinton.
The issues thrown up in the wake of the U.S. presidential election have fundamentally undermined trust in
the workings of the international media and further damaged U.S.–Russia relations. A report by the U.S.
intelligence services accusing Russia of attempting to influence the outcome of the election, prepared for
President Obama and published in the election’s immediate aftermath, led to the expulsion1
of 35 Russian
diplomats from Washington just days after the results were announced. President Putin, on the other
hand, opted not to expel any U.S. diplomats from Russia. The investigation into Russia’s involvement and
influence on the U.S. elections continues today.
This policy brief provides an overview of how the gathering and dissemination of news has changed in a
globalized digital environment, how consumers digest and share news at an ever-increasing pace, and
how the management of big data can influence electorates across borders. It will also define ‘fake news’
and the extent to which it might have influenced the results of the U.S. elections.
The News
The news is no longer the news. Journalism has
been turned upside-down or, in the jargon of digi-
tal entrepreneurs, ‘disrupted’ by a new model, like
Uber, focused on what the consumer wants to see.
However, the problem with disrupting the news is
that one can no longer rely on the headlines, even
from long-trusted sources or outlets. What con-
sumers often believe is independently verified,
objective and factual reporting is increasingly
being replaced by comment, opinion and out-
right lies, filtered through social media channels.
61% of millennials,2
defined as the generation
born between 1981 and 1996, get their political
news from Facebook and update their opinion of
the world via social media feeds, which are filtered
by algorithms that encourage sensationalism and
the formation of political echo chambers. Our
news has been replaced by ‘post-truth’ and ‘fake
news’, the new catchwords of political reporting.
Consumers get what they want: the information
they are interested in suiting their political stance.
But this tailored information distorts the truth.
Social media channels are not news channels in
the traditional sense. We generally expect news
channels to disseminate independently sourced
and verified information by qualified journalists
reporting to a chief editor, who should ensure
that stories are truthful and balanced. In most
countries, news organisations are held account-
able by law for the veracity of the stories they
publish. The public in these countries has been
protected from the deliberate and malicious
publication of false information to promote a
political or religious position.
Social media platforms, on the other hand, are
very rarely held accountable for the stories, com-
ments, opinions and photograph they publish.
They are playing a numbers game. The value
of a social media platform is measured in traffic
generation, which in turn creates advertising rev-
enue, so traffic is accelerated by algorithms which
give consumers what they want to see or hear. In
the run-up to the U.S. elections, teenagers in a
small Macedonian town created US-styled politi-
cal sites posting hoax stories,3
including one
4. 4
Lies, Spies and Big Data:
How Fake News Is Rewriting Political Landscapes
about a Syrian attack on New York, attracting
tens of thousands of followers and clicks on links
to the sites. The teenagers were then able to sell
advertising on the sites based on the size of their
audience, earning thousands of dollars a month.
Post-Truth and Fake News
In terms of journalistic milestones, 2016 will be
remembered first by post-truth and then by fake
news.
Post-truth is the Oxford Dictionary’s ‘Word of
the Year’ for 2016 and marks the period where
comment and sentiment replaced factual news
intermsofreachandinfluence,enhancedbythe
algorithmsofkeysocialmediaplatforms,which
promotestoriespeoplewanttohearratherthan
what traditionalists might call ‘hard news’.
Fake news is a symptom of post-truth, a new
phenomenon confirming the old adage that
truth (and hard facts) never got in the way of a
good story.
Whentheterm‘fakenews’firstappearedinmain-
stream media during the U.S. elections, it was
quite easily understood, referring to deliberate
fabrications designed to mislead the public and
specifically the U.S. electorate. These included
the now-famous stories4
detailing that Hilary
Clinton sold weapons to ISIS and Donald Trump
was endorsed by the Pope. Since then, the mean-
ing and understanding of the term has become
far broader and more confusing, depending
on the source, the outlet and the intent. Fake
news now includes satire, poor journalism or, it
would seem, anything that does not support the
political agenda of the new U.S. President (‘Any
negative polls are fake news, just like the CNN,
ABC, NBC polls in the election’ – Donald Trump).5
The way we consume news has changed dra-
matically over the last few years. Before these
changes, consumers would start their day with
the radio or a newspaper, reading bylined stories
and trusted editorials. Consumers could choose
a voice or opinion, left or right-wing, by the title
they read, depending on the source’s editorial
policy. They trusted experienced newsmakers on
TV, radio or in print and set aside time to digest
their news feed.
Fast forward to 2017, when millennials pick up
news on their smartphones via the social media
platforms they share with friends and family.
The public’s trust has switched from established
newscasters to mainstream social media plat-
forms, where they receive comments and
opinions in bite-sized pieces.
This change in the way people read and share
news and opinions is not only accelerating the
news cycle. It is also creating a mine of informa-
tion that reflects the beliefs and sentiments of
millions of voters. Today voters have access to
personal feeds from countless sources shared on
Google, Twitter, Facebook, etc. Traditional media
analysts have become concerned about the abil-
ity of public and private organizations to monitor
and manipulate this big data — extremely large
data sets that may be analyzed through compu-
tational methods to reveal patterns, trends, and
associations, especially relating to human beha
vior and interactions — to influence how people
vote.
The media have always been involved in influ-
encing elections. Political parties in Europe and
the U.S. know all too well how a campaign story,
well-told and broadcast on the eve of an election
on the front page or at the top of a news bulle-
tin, can swing voter opinion up until election day.
The budgets raised by candidates in US elections
for media advertising are an equally strong indi-
cator of the reach and influence those candidates
can secure as the elections approach.
However, this time the game has changed. In the
run-up to the U.S. presidential elections, Hillary
Clinton raised $1.2 billion to promote her cam-
paign, almost twice the amount committed for
Donald Trump’s election bid.6
The Democratic
campaign was heavily funded by an army of
wealthy supporters offering millions of dollars
and crowd-funders raising sums in excess of
$100,000.HillaryClintoninvestedheavilyintelevi-
sion advertising, the traditional media employed
to broadcast clear messages to a very wide audi-
ence. Donald Trump, on the other hand, led a
4
Read All About It: The Biggest Fake News Stories of 2016 // CNBC. 30 December 2016.
URL: http://www.cnbc.com/2016/12/30/read-all-about-it-the-biggest-fake-news-stories-of-2016.html
5
Tweet // Donald J. Trump. 6 February 2017. URL: https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/828574430800539648?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
6
Tracking the 2016 Presidential Money Race // Bloomberg Politics. 9 December 2016.
URL: https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/graphics/2016-presidential-campaign-fundraising
5. 5
Russian International Affairs Council
very different campaign. He was the largest con-
tributor to his own campaign, committing $66
million in cash and using his business resources,
including his own private jet and hotels, to travel
across the country and host events.7
There were
a few additional wealthy contributors to the cam-
paign, but most of the additional funding was
raised by smaller donations (less than $200). In
other words, he had a different fundraiser profile.
With a much smaller budget, Donald Trump
managed a very different campaign compared
to his democratic rival, spending a far higher pro-
portion of his funds on social media instead of TV
advertising. By mid-October 2016, he had spent
$57 million on digital advertising compared to
Hilary Clinton’s $10 million. At the same time,
Trump managed to dominate TV news headlines,
often by provoking and attacking TV channels for
plotting against him. This approach secured him
massive TV coverage at no cost (he dominated
headlines rather than paying for advertising
campaigns) andenabled him to appeal directly
to his core audience: the disheartened working
class, who felt left out of the American dream.
There is a big difference between TV and social
media campaigns. TV advertising is mass media,
broadcasting a simple message to a massive
audience. Social media, on the other hand, can
be targeted far more accurately, identifying
groups and individuals to target specific profiles.
Analyzing social media allows political analysts
to understand in more detail what people watch,
read and consume. Analysts can thereby under-
stand the public’s opinion and political leanings.
Based on this, it is easy to tailor campaigns to
specific communities, reinforcing existing beliefs
or prejudices. The same technology can be
employed via targeted programming, with the
use of algorithms to roll out a far more efficient
campaign than linear advertising for large, unfil-
tered audiences.
Opinions Are as Important as News
The erosion of fact-based, independently verified
news items has occurred over several years as the
number of news outlets has proliferated online
and editors are inevitably challenged to create
additional content for their audiences. In the late
1990s, TV and radio audiences tuned in to hear
updates on local and international news at spe-
cific hours, usually on the radio before work and
on TV news bulletins in the evenings. The turn of
the century saw the introduction of 24-hour ‘roll-
ing’ news. News consumption patterns inevitably
changedfromscheduledor‘linear’programming
to news ‘on-demand’. Without fresh facts to keep
stories running, editors turned to comment and
opinion. Over time comment and opinion began
to dominate bulletins. Nowadays we tend to hear
far more of someone’s opinion of a news event
than the news event itself.
The shift from news to opinion, now carried
out on billions of social media feeds continu-
ously circumnavigating the globe, continues to
generate fresh content for audiences hooked on
a never-ending ‘news’ cycle.
Proof that news as we once knew it no longer
exists is the fact that, according to a recent sur-
vey,8
audiences will follow and share a news item
(fact or opinion) that they like, whether they
believe the item is true or false. Election commis-
sions and democratic institutions are concerned
that feeding audiences opinions and sentiments
they already support will become political con-
sultants’ key strategy for aligning the public
with their own candidates. Accurate analysis and
management of big data allow a candidate to
fully understand what voters want to hear and
reflect it back to them.
Media Management Ahead of
Elections in Europe and the U.S.
Following the Brexit referendum in the UK and
the subsequent U.S. elections, the political estab-
lishment on both sides of the Atlantic was left in
a state of shock. The liberal or left-wing parties,
supporting migration across borders regardless
of migrants’ religious beliefs and the promotion
of international trade agreements, have been
removed from government. They are bereft of
power and looking for explanations, someone
to blame. The U.S. government under Barack
Obama, between the declaration of election
results and the inauguration of Donald Trump,
was quick to blame Russia for interfering with
7
Ibid.
8
Many Americans Believe Fake News is Sowing Confusion // Pew Research Center. 15 December 2016.
URL: http://www.journalism.org/2016/12/15/many-americans-believe-fake-news-is-sowing-confusion
6. 6
Lies, Spies and Big Data:
How Fake News Is Rewriting Political Landscapes
the democratic process, with reports from the
CIA backing up the claim and prompting the
expulsion of Russian diplomats. However, as the
same reports clearly stated at the time, any Rus-
sian interference in the elections did not affect
the outcome; in other words, it has been at worst
a case of attempted interference. Since the inau-
guration, claims of Russian ties to the Trump
team have continued to surface and resulted in
the expulsion of key members of Donald Trump’s
cabinet, including National Security Advisor
Michael Flynn. There were also calls9
by many in
the U.S. Republican Party to bar the appointment
of U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson on the
basis that the former head of Exxon Mobil had
too good a relationship with Russian President
Vladimir Putin, established during negotiations
over oil exploration and drilling rights in Rus-
sia. New members of the cabinet continue to be
scrutinized by U.S. security services.
While Russian interference in the U.S. elections
has been the major story overshadowing the
victory of Donald Trump, more interesting and
better documented evidence points to the influ-
ence of U.S. billionaire Robert Mercer, one of
Donald Trump’s biggest financial donors during
the election and described as ‘a right-wing for-
mer computer scientist with IBM who made his
money from hedge funds with cutting-edge data
management technology’. Mercer is committed to
correctingwhatheregardsas‘left-wingbias’inthe
U.S. mainstream media. To this end, he committed
$10 million to the right-wing news site Breitbart10
,
which has been incredibly successful under the
management of his close associate Steve Bannon,
Trump’s campaign manager and chief strategist
during the U.S. elections. Breitbart is one of the
most popular sites in America with 2 billion page
views a year. Its page is the most popular one for a
political site on Facebook and on Twitter.11
Ahead of the U.S. elections, Mercer supported12
the Leave campaign for Brexit in the UK, led by
Nigel Farage, and introduced him to Cambridge
Analytica,13
formerly part of the SCL Group, which
specializes in ‘election management strategies’
and ‘messaging and information operations’
developed over 25 years in places like Afghani-
stan and Pakistan. In military circles this is known
as ‘psychological operations’, mass propaganda
that works by acting on people’s emotions.
The beauty of the media analysis and manage-
ment led by Cambridge Analytica is that the
gateway into the data required for control over
human behavior is the ‘like’ button on Facebook.
The lead scientist at Cambridge University’s Psy-
chometric Centre found that with knowledge
of 150 likes, their research model could predict
someone’s personality better than their spouse.14
If the like button is the gateway to measure-
ment of public sentiment, then the gateway to
influence on behavior is to amplify key words to
the point where they are trending across Face-
book or Twitter. These words can be introduced
through ‘bots’, accounts that are programmed
to look and act like people and change conver-
sations to make topics trend. It is estimated that
one-third of all traffic on Twitter before the EU
referendum consisted of automated bots, and
they were all in favor of Brexit.15
The consultants
behind Donald Trump are, at their core, special-
ists in changing the behavior of large groups
by amplifying particular political narratives. Key
words, like ‘immigration’ or ‘fake news’ trigger
an emotional reaction, and when these terms
are used repeatedly by political candidates like
Donald Trump, they are quickly picked up and
amplified via social media, giving the impression
that these issues are mainstream, legitimate con-
cerns of the majority.
There is now clear evidence that journalism as
an institution bound by truth and transparency
to ensure the independence of key institutions
is being battered in information wars, which
can change beliefs through data management
9
Tillerson Fails to Win Over Key GOP Senators // CNN. 12 January 2017.
URL: http://edition.cnn.com/2017/01/11/politics/tillerson-confirmation-hearing/index.html
10
Robert Mercer: the big data billionaire waging war on mainstream media // The Guardian.
URL: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/feb/26/robert-mercer-breitbart-war-on-media-steve-bannon-donald-trump-nigel-farage.
11
Who are the Biggest Politics Publishers on Social? // Newswhip. 15 July 2016.
URL: https://www.newswhip.com/2016/06/biggest-politics-publishers-social/?utm
12
Robert Mercer: the big data billionaire waging war on mainstream media // The Guardian.
URL: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/feb/26/robert-mercer-breitbart-war-on-media-steve-bannon-donald-trump-nigel-farage
13
Ibid.
14
Computer-Based Personality Judgements are More Accurate than those Made by Humans // PNAS. 2 December 2014.
URL: http://www.pnas.org/content/112/4/1036.full
15
What Brexit should have Taught Us about Voter Manipulation // The Guardian. 17 April 2017.
URL: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/apr/17/brexit-voter-manipulation-eu-referendum-social-media
7. 7
Russian International Affairs Council
on a scale never before envisaged. Perhaps the
cleverest initiative by Robert Mercer’s team is
the Government Accountability Institute.16
This
organization invests in long-term investiga-
tive journalism, including a story17
about Hilary
Clinton’s cash resources which made the front
page of the New York Times. This is a resource
which can create and amplify a news agenda
across credible platforms and change the hard
news cycle. It is real journalism, commissioned
and packaged for established news outlets, by a
right-wing big data billionaire. It works.
Since the emergence of the ‘fake news’ pheno
menon, news outlets in the U.S. and Russia have
sought to reinforce their credibility through the
identification of stories fabricated by their com-
petitors. However, despite the best attempts of
established media to discredit their competi-
tors, the more likely outcome of this in-fighting
is that more people will turn to social commu-
nities like Facebook, where they can interact
based on personal relationships. The irony here
is that social media platforms were never cre-
ated as news platforms, and Facebook founder
Mark Zuckerberg’s promise to protect his com-
munity from fake news was undermined by his
own staff, who do not believe it is possible to
monitor and control conversations amongst
the site’s billion users around the globe. The
mistake Zuckerberg made in claiming he could
clean Facebook of fake news demonstrates his
failure to understand the difference between a
social media channel driven by comment and a
news channel led by fact with editorial control.
In the latest and cruelest example of Zucker-
berg’s failure to edit content, a disaffected U.S.
citizen recently announced his intention to ran-
domly execute a passer-by in a fit of depression.
He went on to post18
the murder of an elderly
man leaving church and went live on Facebook
to claim he had killed 12 others. The only rea-
son that the murder remained on the site for
hours after the killing, it turns out, was that
no-one complained to Facebook management
and asked for the film to be taken down. Edit-
ing the channel, it appears, is in the hands of the
audience. If enough people take offense and
complain, then the administrator will act and
pull the story. If they do not, then it stays.
The lesson here is that while driving sentiment
and reinforcing public opinion through the
placement of comments and statements might
influence the way electorates vote, it is practi-
cally impossible to police social media platforms,
even when they are used to incite hatred and
murder. This darker side of social media channels
is becoming a main focus of national security
services, which spend increasing resources to
monitor conversations that are designed to
groom vulnerable individuals to plan and com-
mit terrorist acts in major capitals around the
world.
While big data might be used to gauge and influ-
ence opinion, it is by no means an exact science,
more a disrupting influence. In terms of how
media management and big data have been
used to influence U.S. elections and subsequent
U.S.–Russia relations, something has clearly gone
awry. Months ahead of the elections, Russian
media was clearly supporting Donald Trump as
the better candidate to reset U.S.–Russia rela-
tions, and Donald Trump was openly calling for
freshdialoguewithPresidentPutin,playingdown
the annexation of Crimea and hinting that sanc-
tions could be softened if he were to win office.
This apparent détente has since been shattered
by the continuing investigation of Russian links
to senior members of President Trump’s admin-
istration, as the Russian Foreign Ministry watches
relations fall to an all-time low.
Itisironicthattraditionalnewsoutlets,specif-
ically in the U.S., have been far more effective
than big data management in influencing
the political agenda after the elections at the
expense of U.S.–Russia relations.
Onewondershowmuchofthewitchhuntaround
Trump’s links to Russia has been instigated by key
editors vilified by the new U.S. president, barred
from White House briefings and condemned
for publishing fake news. If there was a plan to
manage the media, then it has certainly back-
fired.
Fake news has a minimal effect on U.S.-Russia
relations aside from reinforcing prejudices on
16
About // Government Accountability Institute. URL: http://www.g-a-i.org/about
17
Cash Flowed to Clinton Foundation Amid Russian Uranium Deal // New York Times. 23 April 2015.
URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/24/us/cash-flowed-to-clinton-foundation-as-russians-pressed-for-control-of-uranium-company.html
18
A Murder Posted on Facebook Prompts Outrage and Questions over Responsibility // New York Times. 17 April 2017.
URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/17/technology/facebook-live-murder-broadcast.html
8. 8
Lies, Spies and Big Data:
How Fake News Is Rewriting Political Landscapes
both sides of the Atlantic. Neither side trusts the
other’s national media, especially where there is
government funding to promote the vision and
values of a country overseas, the clearest exam-
ples being CNN, the BBC and Russia Today.
U.S.–Russia relations are at a very low ebb, and
at this point each side accuses the other of inter-
fering in its domestic politics. The appearance
of U.S. politician John McCain at a rally in Kiev
calling for the ousting of Yanukovich was, for
President Putin, a clear attempt to divide Russia
and Ukraine. More than encroaching on Russia’s
sphere of influence, it was breaking up a strategic
alliance and potentially locking Russia out of its
only warm water naval base in Crimea. This was,
from the start, a provocation that would inevita-
bly force Russia to take action over the peninsula.
The apparent attempt by Russia to back Trump
in the U.S. elections is, at worst, an attempt to
interfere in the U.S. democratic process, which,
according to the CIA, failed, and can be added
to either side’s accusation of meddling in the
other’s domestic politics.
9. 9
Russian International Affairs Council
Conclusions and Recommendations
1. Fake News and Post-Truth are disruptive but do not change minds
or political realities.
Recent elections in the UK and the U.S. were overshadowed by manipulation of messaging and
media, with comment replacing fact and social media amplified by the use of big data to disrupt
the campaigns of incumbent political parties. While media manipulation might have affected
the results of the elections, it did not change opinions, but rather amplified the voice of the
opposition. Despite political change, the disruption has not changed political realities; Donald
Trump has failed to pass the key reforms he promised and Europe is still grappling with the
realities of Brexit.
2. Traditional media are more influential than social media in holding
government to account.
While social media activity in the U.S. clearly had a strong influence on the electoral campaign,
amplifying key messages and motivating Trump supporters to vote, it has since been traditional
media outlets that have kept the President in check, making it practically impossible for him to
follow through on election promises. He has not delivered on healthcare reform, immigration
restrictions or improving relations with Russia. The same media were also instrumental in the
ousting of his National Security Advisor and other members of his team.
3. Listening to and managing conversations key to supporting
“Brand Russia”.
Any initial relief or even euphoria over the victory of apparent Russophile Donald Trump
quickly turned sour with the expulsion of 35 Russian diplomats from Washington. However, the
election has brought up multiple opportunities to start conversations and build mutual trust.
U.S. conservatives and the right-wing, it turns out, have a lot of respect for President Putin and
his espousal of traditional family values and patriotic nationalism. On a geopolitical level, both
countries need to address major security issues in Syria and North Korea, and the application19
by Exxon Mobil for an exemption to deep-water drilling restrictions in the Black Sea reflects the
desire to work together on both sides. These and similar conversations are the key to building
trust in “Brand Russia” as it resumes its growth and prepares for the World Cup.
4. Fact-checking is important, correcting fake news more so.
The issue of fake news remains a concern in both the U.S. and Russia, across traditional and
social media. Major news outlets have taken to highlighting fake news with a big red stamp,
reflecting its toxic effect on accurate reporting. The Russian Foreign Ministry has dedicated a
section of its website to highlighting key stories across major international media titles that are
apparently false. In fact, everyone is doing this, including Facebook. Fake news is, it appears,
now endemic. It is all well and good to highlight falsification, but the logical step from here
is to demand correction or clarification from media editors. The letters and editorial pages of
the Financial Times, for example, are the place to balance opinion and cite facts that counter
poor journalism and falsification. Social media is also an increasingly popular forum for quickly
addressing fake news issues.
19
Exxon Mobil Seeks U.S. Sanctions Waiver for Oil Project with Russia // New York Times. 19 April 2017.
URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/19/business/energy-environment/exxon-mobil-russia-sanctions-waiver-oil.html