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Lessons Learned from National Experiences:  Allocating Environmental Water requirements of Lake Urmia, Iran: an Ecohydrological Approach Mukhtar Hashemi ❶  Associate Researcher, The Centre for Land Use and Water Resources Research (CLUWRR), Newcastle University, UK;  ❷  Scientific Advisor, The Office of Applied Researches, IWRMC, Ministry of Energy, Iran ❸  National IWRM Consultant, UNDP/GEF Conservation of Iranian Wetlands Project, Department of Environment, Iran 22-24 Feb 2011 Amman- Jordan Kempinski Hotel  WANA Forum Consultation Workshop
 
The setting Lake Urmai Basin Iran
The setting: Lake Urmia Basin, Iran Lake area ~5000 km sq. Basin area ~52,000 Population (2006): 5.9 M
Includes some 13 major urban cities: 2 mega cities 7 % total Iran water resources and 3% of total area Major agro economy  Lake Urmia Salt lake  Irrigated area 590,000 ha Further planned 600,000
Water resources Development  63 dams
Dams: 1. Feasibility study stage 2. Under constructions  3. Existing  EA: 36 dams 760 MCM WA: 22 dams 2960 MCM Kurdistan 5 dams 148 MCM 17 permanent rivers 14 seasonal rivers 39 flood routes
Lake Urmia: a view from inside
Simply : not enough water to the Lake: up to 7 km  retreat
Lake Urmia: Costal retreat
A hydrodynamic scar: Highway bisecting the lake
Inflow decreased by 60% from average mean inflow (Long term)
Climatic variations and Drought: P downward trend 76 mm less than average
Impact on the Lake: Climatic  Source: Williams, 2002) Salt lakes: Temp, P, net evaporation
5 Human induced factors (Williams, 2002) ,[object Object]
 (2) Catchment activities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impact: Human factors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
National Outcry:  The fear: another Aral
April 2010 1271.61 1277.69 Min ecological 1274.1 Mean 1275.37
Lake Level changes: sea of salt 1995 2001 2009
New ecohydrology policy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
September 2008: breakthrough  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Institutional  Design
Water and Agriculture Working Group (WAWG): Sept 08-July 10 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Objective ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Approach: Socio-technical & Institutional  Framework ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
socio-economic system Water Resources System natural  system Institutional system infrastructure laws, regulations, management impacts demands Integrated water resources management, IWRM
Integrated Socio-technical and Institutional, ISTI Framework ,
Analytical Frameworks:  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
DPSIR has four characteristics
Variables Examples D, the Drivers: root causes on a macro level described through scenarios representing alternative futures -  Climate change: Climatic driver controls availability of water resources in time and space - Socio-economic drivers include local and global economic development, lifestyles etc - Social: Population growth  - Economic: affordability and incentive measures - Institutional: compliance, privatization, legislations/regulation and administrative issues P, The Pressures (threats) variables: immediate causes - Demand for water from various sectors - Pollution which impacts on water quality and constrains resource availability e.g. the amount of pollution by wastewater  S, The States: describing physical and measurable characteristics and social livelihood systems -Income levels, poverty levels - Natural resources/environmental:  availability of water/energy/land,  water consumption indices, Chemical composition of water, ecosystem state/biodiversity -Economic: level and security of investments, Condition of assets/infrastructure - Social: access to water/link with poverty, ability to pay, social capacity, employment in the water industry - Institutional: institutional arrangements,  governance frameworks,  capacity and functioning I, The Impacts: monitor the long term impacts of change defined as changes in states resulting from pressures - urbanisation  -diseases caused by polluted water -changes in consumption behaviour,  -environmental degradation R, The Responses: are problem-solving policies, actions or investments; an appropriate mix of  Structural Options  e.g. new reservoirs/pipelines etc and  Non-Structural Options  e.g. legislation, institutional reform, demand management etc. assemble portfolio of Options into  robust  Management Strategy -Social: capacity building and awareness raising campaigns.  - Environmental: source protection, -Economic: the use of water saving infrastructure, incentives.  - Institutional: efficiency measures, accountability, transparency, integration approach
[object Object]
 
Vensim System Dynamic Simulation water balance & Water Allocation
Comparison of Lake level under different conditions/simulations
IAD: Multi-level institutional framework
Rules outcome: Sectoral provincial water allocation and consupmtion  ACTION ARENA Actors and Action situation Individuals’ actions that directly affect state variables in the world OPERATIONAL LEVEL COLLECTIVE-CHOICE LEVEL Government policies External factors decison making prespective:  Ethical/ cultural:  Actors’ Perception of  water rights/ ethics in rules Figure 2: Analysis approach: (Ostrom, 1999, 2005) Attributes of the community Biophysical conditions Bulk provincial Water Allocation CONSTITUTIONAL LEVEL council of Ministers / National Commitee/ Supreme Water Council /Parliament /Council of Expediency
Multilevel analytical framework:
Action situation: water allocation decisions
Outcome: provincial/sectoral water allocation Provincial Water Companies  PROVENCIAL LEVEL (Constitutional, collective choice and operational) NATIONAL LEVEL (constitutional, collective choice and operational) Parliament  Supreme Water Council Council of Ministers MoE: Water Allocation Commission IWRMC: WR Planning Directorate Figure 3 Actors Water , Agriculture & Natural Resources  Commission  MoE: Parliamentarian Undersecretary  Governors office: Water and Agriculture Commision
water resources development policies /water pricing. Bulk water allocation,  1982 Fair water Distribution Act Water Pricing Bill/ water prices Development Bill/ statuary allocation priorities  2003 Water Allocation By-Law PROVENCIAL LEVEL (Constitutional, collective choice and operational) NATIONAL LEVEL (constitutional, collective choice and operational) Constitution, Water Vision, Council of Expediency and Supreme Leader’s Water Directive ,  other relevant Acts e.g. 1905 Civil Code revised 1989; 1974 Environmental Act Provincial water allocation priorities  outcome: Provincial sectoral water allocations Figure 4 Rules
Attributes of the community ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Decision-making perspectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Example:  to assess the extent of central government’s recognition of local level basin governance ,[object Object]
 
Outcome: At national level/collective choice: New Law:  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
OUTCOME: action arena/WAWG and NC:  3 rd  of July 2010 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Conclusions: Water Allocation decision situation  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
MSP speed is…………slow  21 months to make a decision
Final remark: technical uncertainty polarized opinions  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Further work: Ethical and cultural  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
IDA Framework Rules in Use Community Attributes Biophysical Conditions  Ethical and Cultural Perspective enrichment  of faith enrichment of  intellect/ reason safeguarding  posterity enrichment of wealth invigorating  the Human self  human development  Maqasid Model Revelation/ religion Experiences culture Intellect /reason Islamic  Legal Theory sustainability science  IWRM Framework environmental sustainability  equity/ justice economic efficiency IWRM plan good governance  DPSIR Analytical Framework Pressures Drivers State/impact Responses
Thanks for your attention School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences

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Lessons from Iran Mukhtar Hashemi

  • 1. Lessons Learned from National Experiences: Allocating Environmental Water requirements of Lake Urmia, Iran: an Ecohydrological Approach Mukhtar Hashemi ❶ Associate Researcher, The Centre for Land Use and Water Resources Research (CLUWRR), Newcastle University, UK; ❷ Scientific Advisor, The Office of Applied Researches, IWRMC, Ministry of Energy, Iran ❸ National IWRM Consultant, UNDP/GEF Conservation of Iranian Wetlands Project, Department of Environment, Iran 22-24 Feb 2011 Amman- Jordan Kempinski Hotel WANA Forum Consultation Workshop
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  • 3. The setting Lake Urmai Basin Iran
  • 4. The setting: Lake Urmia Basin, Iran Lake area ~5000 km sq. Basin area ~52,000 Population (2006): 5.9 M
  • 5. Includes some 13 major urban cities: 2 mega cities 7 % total Iran water resources and 3% of total area Major agro economy Lake Urmia Salt lake Irrigated area 590,000 ha Further planned 600,000
  • 7. Dams: 1. Feasibility study stage 2. Under constructions 3. Existing EA: 36 dams 760 MCM WA: 22 dams 2960 MCM Kurdistan 5 dams 148 MCM 17 permanent rivers 14 seasonal rivers 39 flood routes
  • 8. Lake Urmia: a view from inside
  • 9. Simply : not enough water to the Lake: up to 7 km retreat
  • 11. A hydrodynamic scar: Highway bisecting the lake
  • 12. Inflow decreased by 60% from average mean inflow (Long term)
  • 13. Climatic variations and Drought: P downward trend 76 mm less than average
  • 14. Impact on the Lake: Climatic Source: Williams, 2002) Salt lakes: Temp, P, net evaporation
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  • 18. National Outcry: The fear: another Aral
  • 19. April 2010 1271.61 1277.69 Min ecological 1274.1 Mean 1275.37
  • 20. Lake Level changes: sea of salt 1995 2001 2009
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  • 28. socio-economic system Water Resources System natural system Institutional system infrastructure laws, regulations, management impacts demands Integrated water resources management, IWRM
  • 29. Integrated Socio-technical and Institutional, ISTI Framework ,
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  • 31. DPSIR has four characteristics
  • 32. Variables Examples D, the Drivers: root causes on a macro level described through scenarios representing alternative futures - Climate change: Climatic driver controls availability of water resources in time and space - Socio-economic drivers include local and global economic development, lifestyles etc - Social: Population growth - Economic: affordability and incentive measures - Institutional: compliance, privatization, legislations/regulation and administrative issues P, The Pressures (threats) variables: immediate causes - Demand for water from various sectors - Pollution which impacts on water quality and constrains resource availability e.g. the amount of pollution by wastewater S, The States: describing physical and measurable characteristics and social livelihood systems -Income levels, poverty levels - Natural resources/environmental: availability of water/energy/land, water consumption indices, Chemical composition of water, ecosystem state/biodiversity -Economic: level and security of investments, Condition of assets/infrastructure - Social: access to water/link with poverty, ability to pay, social capacity, employment in the water industry - Institutional: institutional arrangements, governance frameworks, capacity and functioning I, The Impacts: monitor the long term impacts of change defined as changes in states resulting from pressures - urbanisation -diseases caused by polluted water -changes in consumption behaviour, -environmental degradation R, The Responses: are problem-solving policies, actions or investments; an appropriate mix of Structural Options e.g. new reservoirs/pipelines etc and Non-Structural Options e.g. legislation, institutional reform, demand management etc. assemble portfolio of Options into robust Management Strategy -Social: capacity building and awareness raising campaigns. - Environmental: source protection, -Economic: the use of water saving infrastructure, incentives. - Institutional: efficiency measures, accountability, transparency, integration approach
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  • 35. Vensim System Dynamic Simulation water balance & Water Allocation
  • 36. Comparison of Lake level under different conditions/simulations
  • 38. Rules outcome: Sectoral provincial water allocation and consupmtion ACTION ARENA Actors and Action situation Individuals’ actions that directly affect state variables in the world OPERATIONAL LEVEL COLLECTIVE-CHOICE LEVEL Government policies External factors decison making prespective: Ethical/ cultural: Actors’ Perception of water rights/ ethics in rules Figure 2: Analysis approach: (Ostrom, 1999, 2005) Attributes of the community Biophysical conditions Bulk provincial Water Allocation CONSTITUTIONAL LEVEL council of Ministers / National Commitee/ Supreme Water Council /Parliament /Council of Expediency
  • 40. Action situation: water allocation decisions
  • 41. Outcome: provincial/sectoral water allocation Provincial Water Companies PROVENCIAL LEVEL (Constitutional, collective choice and operational) NATIONAL LEVEL (constitutional, collective choice and operational) Parliament Supreme Water Council Council of Ministers MoE: Water Allocation Commission IWRMC: WR Planning Directorate Figure 3 Actors Water , Agriculture & Natural Resources Commission MoE: Parliamentarian Undersecretary Governors office: Water and Agriculture Commision
  • 42. water resources development policies /water pricing. Bulk water allocation, 1982 Fair water Distribution Act Water Pricing Bill/ water prices Development Bill/ statuary allocation priorities 2003 Water Allocation By-Law PROVENCIAL LEVEL (Constitutional, collective choice and operational) NATIONAL LEVEL (constitutional, collective choice and operational) Constitution, Water Vision, Council of Expediency and Supreme Leader’s Water Directive , other relevant Acts e.g. 1905 Civil Code revised 1989; 1974 Environmental Act Provincial water allocation priorities outcome: Provincial sectoral water allocations Figure 4 Rules
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  • 51. MSP speed is…………slow 21 months to make a decision
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  • 54. IDA Framework Rules in Use Community Attributes Biophysical Conditions Ethical and Cultural Perspective enrichment of faith enrichment of intellect/ reason safeguarding posterity enrichment of wealth invigorating the Human self human development Maqasid Model Revelation/ religion Experiences culture Intellect /reason Islamic Legal Theory sustainability science IWRM Framework environmental sustainability equity/ justice economic efficiency IWRM plan good governance DPSIR Analytical Framework Pressures Drivers State/impact Responses
  • 55. Thanks for your attention School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences