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Lecture 1
Principles of Macroeconomics
Econ 2
Relevant Info: Me
• Professor Rupert
• 3044 North Hall
• Office Hours:
• None (Don’t come by)
• Phone:
• None (Don’t call me)
• Email
• None (Don’t email me)
Just Kidding
• Professor Rupert
• 3044 North Hall
• Office Hours:
• Tuesday, 9:30-10:30
• Phone: 893-3902
• Email: rupert@econ.ucsb.edu
Relevant Info: Class
• All Course Information
• GauchoSpace
• Student Response System
• Iclicker
• Homework
• Aplia
• support@aplia.com
Why Study Economics?
• The world is a mess right now
• Recession
• Housing
• Bailouts
Tracking the Economy
• Each class we will look at how the
economy is doing:
Tracking the Economy
Tracking the Economy
Why Study Economics?
• 1. Better understanding of the world
• Why are some countries so rich
and others so poor?
• An Inquiry into the Nature and
Causes of the Wealth of Nations,
• Adam Smith, 1776.
Why Study Economics?
• Most commonly used measure of
economic well-being:
• Real, per capita Gross Domestic
Product (GDP)
• Real: quantities
• Per capita: per person
• GDP: stuff we produce
Real GDP per capita
Real GDP per capita: Europe
Real GDP per capita: Africa
Why Study Economics?
• 2. Learn how to think about data
• What does 2% inflation mean?
• What does an increase in productivity
measure?
• What should the unemployment rate
be?
• Should you save or consume more
today?
Why Study Ecnomics?
• We will see lots of data in class
• Need to KNOW some numbers:
• For example, U.S. Population
–Year: 1790:
»A) 1,000,000
»B) 4,000,000
»C) 10,000,000
»D) 20,000,000
Data
• Need to KNOW some numbers:
• U.S. Population
• Year 2007:
– A) 100,000,000
– B) 200,000,000
– C) 300,000,000
– D) 400,000,000
Data
• Answers:
• U.S. Population
• 1790: B) 4,000,000
• 2007: C) 300,000,000
• Note: population growth rate, 2007:
• 1.00 %
Data
• Sex ratios (U.S., 2007)
• At birth:
• 1.05 males/female
• Total population:
• 0.97 males/female
Historical Real GDP
• Some people have calculated real
GDP back a long time
• Brad DeLong--one million years
B.C.
• What were things like one million
years B.C?
• This is what
things looked
like ONE
MILLION YEARS
B.C.
World GDP
• Another way to look at world GDP
HOW THE WORLD LOOKS
(IN TERMS OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT)
Global Perspective of GDP
Source: http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/world.html
Economic Well-being
• What do we learn from the pictures?
• Economic well-being very disperse
across the world
Economic Well-being
• Richest country is about 30 times
richer than poorest country
• Many countries have experienced
tremendous growth over the past
half century, others have not.
Why Study Economics?
• Why are some countries so rich and
others so poor?
Why Study Economics?
• Why are most Americans so much
better off than their parents and
grandparents?
U.S. per capita GDP and Trend
8x increase
Why Study Economics?
• What are business cycles and why
should I care?
Deviations in GDP
• GDP moves substantially from its
trend
wwII
Great
Depression
Co-Movement
• Many economic variables move
together over the cycle
Why Study Economics?
• What’s up with unemployment?
Why Study Economics?
• And the labor force?
Why study economics?
• What is inflation?
• The Federal Open Market
Committee? (FOMC)
• And who is Ben Bernanke?
Why Study Economics
• FOMC
• Monetary policy
• Controls money supply
• Interest rates
• Bernanke is the Chairman of the Fed,
he took over from Alan Greenspan
Why Study Economics?
• Lots of talk about “Globalization”
• What does it mean?
• What is a trade imbalance?
• Should I care?
Net exports=
exports-imports
We’d Also Like to Understand
Statements like:
Fed Statement
• And….
A Not-so-Good Reason to
Study Economics
A Not-so-Good Reason to
Study Economics
• Angelina Jolie and
• A) Brad Pitt
• B) Alan Greenspan
• C) Ben Bernanke
• D) Jeff Sachs
A Not-so-Good Reason to
Study Economics
• Angelina Jolie and
• A) Brad Pitt
• B) Alan Greenspan
• C) Ben Bernanke
• D) Jeff Sachs
Why study economics?
• A really good reason:
• To get more stuff from your
parents 
• Here’s how
At the Breakfast Table
“Mom, The FOMC surprised us and others with
its announcement it will begin purchasing
Treasuries, up to $300 bln over the next six
months. Dad, The Fed will also be buying an
additional $750 bln in MBS to bring the total up to
$1.25 bln this year; it will also purchase another
$100 bln in GSE debt, bringing the total up to
$200 bln. The Committee of course left the funds
rate target range unchanged at 0% to 0.25%, and
said economic conditions are likely to warrant
exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate
for an extended period.”
Our Mission
To make sense of such statements.
1. Need to understand how output and
prices (and other stuff) are
determined.
Our Mission
2. Figure out what it means to set the
funds rate at 1.00 percent (or 4-3/4
percent or anything else).
Our Mission
3. Help policy
makers and the
FOMC get it
right next time.
After all, it is your
future!
What is Macroeconomics?
• Micro vs. Macro
• Micro: individual decision making:
firms and consumers
What is Macroeconomics?
• Micro vs. Macro
• Macro: study the behavior of the
aggregate economy
• Require that the observed
outcomes in the aggregate
economy are consistent with
utility maximization and
profit maximization.
What is Macroeconomics?
• Make sense of government policy
• Fiscal policy
• Taxing and spending
• Monetary policy
• Inflation, monetary aggregates
and interest rates
What is Macroeconomics?
• Get a better understanding of:
• International trade and finance
• Female labor force participation
• Crime and the labor market
Politics and Economics
• Positive vs. Normative
• Positive: how the world is
• Normative: how we think it should be
Politics and Economics
• Decentralized vs. Centralized
Markets
• Decentralized: prices and quantities
determined by individuals in the
market
• Centralized: government
determination of prices and quantities
Other Class Stuff
• Need to register your Iclicker
• Wait until you have used it in class first
though!
• Go to:
http://www.iclicker.com/registration/

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Lecture_1_out.pdf

  • 1. Lecture 1 Principles of Macroeconomics Econ 2
  • 2. Relevant Info: Me • Professor Rupert • 3044 North Hall • Office Hours: • None (Don’t come by) • Phone: • None (Don’t call me) • Email • None (Don’t email me)
  • 3. Just Kidding • Professor Rupert • 3044 North Hall • Office Hours: • Tuesday, 9:30-10:30 • Phone: 893-3902 • Email: rupert@econ.ucsb.edu
  • 4. Relevant Info: Class • All Course Information • GauchoSpace • Student Response System • Iclicker • Homework • Aplia • support@aplia.com
  • 5. Why Study Economics? • The world is a mess right now • Recession • Housing • Bailouts
  • 6. Tracking the Economy • Each class we will look at how the economy is doing:
  • 9. Why Study Economics? • 1. Better understanding of the world • Why are some countries so rich and others so poor? • An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations, • Adam Smith, 1776.
  • 10. Why Study Economics? • Most commonly used measure of economic well-being: • Real, per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) • Real: quantities • Per capita: per person • GDP: stuff we produce
  • 11. Real GDP per capita
  • 12. Real GDP per capita: Europe
  • 13. Real GDP per capita: Africa
  • 14. Why Study Economics? • 2. Learn how to think about data • What does 2% inflation mean? • What does an increase in productivity measure? • What should the unemployment rate be? • Should you save or consume more today?
  • 15. Why Study Ecnomics? • We will see lots of data in class • Need to KNOW some numbers: • For example, U.S. Population –Year: 1790: »A) 1,000,000 »B) 4,000,000 »C) 10,000,000 »D) 20,000,000
  • 16. Data • Need to KNOW some numbers: • U.S. Population • Year 2007: – A) 100,000,000 – B) 200,000,000 – C) 300,000,000 – D) 400,000,000
  • 17. Data • Answers: • U.S. Population • 1790: B) 4,000,000 • 2007: C) 300,000,000 • Note: population growth rate, 2007: • 1.00 %
  • 18. Data • Sex ratios (U.S., 2007) • At birth: • 1.05 males/female • Total population: • 0.97 males/female
  • 19. Historical Real GDP • Some people have calculated real GDP back a long time • Brad DeLong--one million years B.C. • What were things like one million years B.C?
  • 20. • This is what things looked like ONE MILLION YEARS B.C.
  • 21.
  • 22. World GDP • Another way to look at world GDP
  • 23. HOW THE WORLD LOOKS (IN TERMS OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT) Global Perspective of GDP Source: http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/world.html
  • 24. Economic Well-being • What do we learn from the pictures? • Economic well-being very disperse across the world
  • 25. Economic Well-being • Richest country is about 30 times richer than poorest country • Many countries have experienced tremendous growth over the past half century, others have not.
  • 26. Why Study Economics? • Why are some countries so rich and others so poor?
  • 27. Why Study Economics? • Why are most Americans so much better off than their parents and grandparents?
  • 28. U.S. per capita GDP and Trend 8x increase
  • 29. Why Study Economics? • What are business cycles and why should I care?
  • 30. Deviations in GDP • GDP moves substantially from its trend
  • 32. Co-Movement • Many economic variables move together over the cycle
  • 33.
  • 34. Why Study Economics? • What’s up with unemployment?
  • 35.
  • 36. Why Study Economics? • And the labor force?
  • 37.
  • 38. Why study economics? • What is inflation? • The Federal Open Market Committee? (FOMC) • And who is Ben Bernanke?
  • 39.
  • 40. Why Study Economics • FOMC • Monetary policy • Controls money supply • Interest rates • Bernanke is the Chairman of the Fed, he took over from Alan Greenspan
  • 41. Why Study Economics? • Lots of talk about “Globalization” • What does it mean? • What is a trade imbalance? • Should I care?
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 45.
  • 46. We’d Also Like to Understand Statements like: Fed Statement
  • 48. A Not-so-Good Reason to Study Economics
  • 49. A Not-so-Good Reason to Study Economics • Angelina Jolie and • A) Brad Pitt • B) Alan Greenspan • C) Ben Bernanke • D) Jeff Sachs
  • 50. A Not-so-Good Reason to Study Economics • Angelina Jolie and • A) Brad Pitt • B) Alan Greenspan • C) Ben Bernanke • D) Jeff Sachs
  • 51. Why study economics? • A really good reason: • To get more stuff from your parents  • Here’s how
  • 52. At the Breakfast Table “Mom, The FOMC surprised us and others with its announcement it will begin purchasing Treasuries, up to $300 bln over the next six months. Dad, The Fed will also be buying an additional $750 bln in MBS to bring the total up to $1.25 bln this year; it will also purchase another $100 bln in GSE debt, bringing the total up to $200 bln. The Committee of course left the funds rate target range unchanged at 0% to 0.25%, and said economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period.”
  • 53. Our Mission To make sense of such statements. 1. Need to understand how output and prices (and other stuff) are determined.
  • 54. Our Mission 2. Figure out what it means to set the funds rate at 1.00 percent (or 4-3/4 percent or anything else).
  • 55. Our Mission 3. Help policy makers and the FOMC get it right next time. After all, it is your future!
  • 56. What is Macroeconomics? • Micro vs. Macro • Micro: individual decision making: firms and consumers
  • 57. What is Macroeconomics? • Micro vs. Macro • Macro: study the behavior of the aggregate economy • Require that the observed outcomes in the aggregate economy are consistent with utility maximization and profit maximization.
  • 58. What is Macroeconomics? • Make sense of government policy • Fiscal policy • Taxing and spending • Monetary policy • Inflation, monetary aggregates and interest rates
  • 59. What is Macroeconomics? • Get a better understanding of: • International trade and finance • Female labor force participation • Crime and the labor market
  • 60. Politics and Economics • Positive vs. Normative • Positive: how the world is • Normative: how we think it should be
  • 61. Politics and Economics • Decentralized vs. Centralized Markets • Decentralized: prices and quantities determined by individuals in the market • Centralized: government determination of prices and quantities
  • 62. Other Class Stuff • Need to register your Iclicker • Wait until you have used it in class first though! • Go to: http://www.iclicker.com/registration/