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LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Edition Number: 500
Nicholas Assef
Industry Lead
naa@lccapac.com
Joe Brereton
Associate Director
jmb@lccapac.com
The transition away from gas consumption in
Australia is crucial to achieve emissions
reduction targets and provide cost savings for
households. However, this shift presents
policymakers and regulators with significant
challenges.
Natural gas contributes 22 percent of
Australia's greenhouse emissions, primarily
driven by LNG production, manufacturing, and
power generation. However, the largest gas
users are the 5 million households relying on
gas for cooking, hot water, and heating. The
sheer number of consumers in this area
means that transitioning them to alternative
energy sources will require an extended
campaign.
Biomethane, which is chemically identical to
natural gas and considered carbon neutral,
could serve as a replacement. However, the
limited availability of commercially viable
biomethane in Australia makes it an ineffective
substitute. While hydrogen is another
alternative, it currently appears to be more
expensive than electricity. Estimates suggest
that hydrogen could achieve cost parity with
electricity by the late 2040s, making it a less
viable alternative in the near term.
Electrification is the most cost-effective and
environmentally friendly option for homes and
small businesses. It already fulfills the same
functions as natural gas and is steadily moving
towards net-zero emissions. However,
electrification cannot compete with hydrogen
for high-temperature heat in industry or
chemical feedstock applications. In such
cases, biomethane could provide a viable
pathway.
To ensure successful electrification,
governments should implement three key
strategies. Firstly, they should establish clear
end-dates for gas use and prohibit new gas
connections. Secondly, in the short term,
governments should provide financial
assistance to upgrade social, community, and
Indigenous housing. Additionally, low-cost
financing options for homeowners and tax
incentives for landlords should be introduced
for a limited period to stimulate the transition
and drive down appliance costs. Lastly, strong,
consistent, and compelling communication
efforts should be employed to encourage
households to switch to electricity during
appliance replacements, renovations, or new
home construction.
The electrification of households and small
businesses poses challenges for existing gas
network businesses, as their core assets will
be devalued. These businesses may argue that
they deserve compensation for market risks
and previous requirements to connect new
consumers. However, a complete return on
investment approach could lead to a "death
spiral" where escalating prices fail to keep
pace with departing consumers. Balancing the
interests of these businesses and the need for
a reliable gas network falls upon governments,
who must collaborate to determine how and
when these costs are to be paid and by whom.
Similar challenges are being addressed by
governments in Europe and elsewhere.
The transition from gas to electricity in
Australia is a necessary and complex
endeavour, vital for meeting emissions-
reduction targets and improving affordability
for households. Biomethane and hydrogen
offer potential alternatives in specific
industries, while electrification emerges as the
most cost-effective and environmentally
friendly option for homes and small
businesses. Governments must play a pivotal
role in setting clear goals, providing financial
support, and facilitating effective
communication to encourage the adoption of
electricity. Collaboration with gas network
businesses is necessary to manage the
transition's financial implications. With
proactive leadership, Australia can pave the
way toward a cleaner, more affordable, and
healthier energy future.
Source: Capital IQ; LCC Analysis
Australian Market
Macro Market Research
Page 1
Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
The Path to Electrification: Shifting Away from Gas in Australia
Week Ending: 9 June 2023
LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Australian Macroeconomic Update
The S&P ASX 200 lifted last week, increasing 1.8% to
end the week.
Westpac expects a further final increase in the cash
rate of 0.25% to 4.6% at the August Board meeting, for
a peak in the cycle of 4.6%. This extension of the
tightening cycle to August, with the ongoing evidence of
a tight labour market, now indicates that the beginning
of the easing cycle will be delayed to May.
Next year, with labour markets remaining tight for longer
than expected back in March, the RBA Board will require
further convincing that the inflation path will land within
the 2–3% target zone by June 2025.
Westpac expect 25 basis point rate cuts in May; August
and November 2024 prior to further cuts in 2025
eventually bringing the cash rate below 3%.
Exhibit 3: Global Equities Index Total Return
One Week Return Benchmark
Exhibit 4: Global Equities Index Total Return
Year to Date (YTD) Return Benchmark
Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research
Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research
Exhibit 5: Daily USD/AUD Exchange Rate Chart
Exchange Rate over time (-1Y)
Exhibit 6: Australian Yield Curve
Yield Curve % Relative to Historic Benchmark
Source: Capital IQ, Interactive Data Pricing
Source: Capital IQ, Interactive Data Pricing
Page 2
0.66
0.60
0.62
0.64
0.66
0.68
0.70
0.72
0.74
Jun-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
USD/AUD
LCC Asia Pacific® report on
Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
3.4
3.1 3.0 3.1
3.3
3.6
3.8 3.9
1.7
2.4
2.7
2.9
3.1
3.3
3.4 3.4
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y 30Y
Yield
Curve
(%)
Current 1 Year Ago
3.4
3.4
2.6
2.3
1.8
1.2
1.1
(0.5)
Tokyo Price Index
Hang Seng Index
S&P 500
Straits Times
S&P ASX 200
Dow Jones Industrial
FTSE 100 (GBP)
KOSPI 200 Index
21.6
18.6
14.8
3.5
3.0
2.6
1.3
0.3
Tokyo Price Index
KOSPI 200 Index
S&P 500
Dow Jones Industrial
S&P ASX 200
FTSE 100 (GBP)
Hang Seng Index
Straits Times
LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence, LCC Asia Pacific Research
LCC Asia Pacific® report on
Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
LCC’s Engineering, Industrial Services & Innovation Index
Key Charts
9.1
17.2
-20.0
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23
Total
Return/Spread
(%)
Spread LCC Index S&P ASX 200
Exhibit 8: LCC’s Australian Engineering Index Total Return % Relative to the S&P ASX200 Benchmark Index
Total Return and Spread Information (-1Y)
Exhibit 9: LCC Engineering Index Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Market Cap Weighted Current PE Ratio Over Time (-1Y)
Exhibit 7: LCC Index Valuation Summary
Combined Market Capitalisation Weighted Index, Last Twelve Months (LTM)
Metric Current High Low Yr. Avg Yr. Change
Total Return (4.2%) 14.4% (13.3%) (0.8%) (4.2%)
Dividend Yield 3.5% 3.8% 2.7% 3.1% 5.7%
Price/Earnings 18.9x 27.9x 16.6x 19.8x (32.2%)
Price/Book 2.3x 3.0x 2.0x 2.5x (6.2%)
Exhibit 10: EV/EBITDA Index Valuation
Dynamic Market Cap Weighted, LCC Index Sub-segments
Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research
Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research
Page 3
Beta (β): 1.19
19.1x
14.0x
16.0x
18.0x
20.0x
22.0x
24.0x
26.0x
28.0x
Jun-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
P/E
Ratio
LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Engineering Innovation
Page 4
LCC Asia Pacific® report on
Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Top 5/Bottom 5 Weekly Price Change Top 5/Bottom 5 EV/EBITDA Multiple (Latest)
Ticker News/ Event
AMX
Aerometrex announced it has received a $1.69m order to deliver off-the-shelf datasets to an
Australian Federal Government Agency with a delivery date of 26 June 2023.
C79
Chrysos Corporation announced it has appointed Greg Holt as an independent Non-Executive
Director, effective 14 June 2023.
IMB
Intelligent Monitoring Group announced it acquiring Tyco Australia, a company that provides
electronic security products and systems for homes and businesses, for $45m. The acquisition will
be funded by new $80m 3-year debt facility which will also be used to refinance existing debt.
K2F
K2fly announced it was awarded a 3-year $564k contract to provide its Resource Disclosure
solution to Eramet, effective immediately.
PV1
Provaris Energy announced it has partnered with Norwegian Hydrogen AS to develop a 40kpta
green hydrogen production plant in Norway.
66.7%
7.3%
5.6%
4.0%
2.4%
(1.4%)
(6.7%)
(7.3%)
(10.4%)
(10.5%)
ASX:IMB
ASX:ASB
ASX:IMD
ASX:VYS
ASX:RUL
ASX:MAD
ASX:PV1
ASX:MYG
ASX:AMX
ASX:AQN
18.8x
15.1x
14.0x
11.3x
11.2x
8.5x
8.4x
7.4x
5.2x
4.0x
ASX:MAD
ASX:IMB
ASX:MYG
ASX:ASB
ASX:ALQ
ASX:IMD
ASX:HIL
ASX:VYS
ASX:AQN
ASX:AMX
Ticker Company Name
Market
Cap (m)
Open
Price
Close
Price
Week
High
Volume
Trend
EV/
EBITDA
EV/
EBIT
ASX:AEI Aeris Environmental Ltd 6 0.03 0.03 0.03 — 0.0% NM NM
ASX:AMX Aerometrex Limited 28 0.32 0.30 0.35 ▼ -10.4% 4.0x NM
ASX:ALQ ALS Limited 5,664 11.50 11.70 11.76 ▲ 2.3% 11.2x 14.8x
ASX:AQN Aquirian Limited 14 0.20 0.17 0.20 ▼ -10.5% 5.2x 26.8x
ASX:ASB Austal Limited 902 2.33 2.50 2.50 ▲ 7.3% 11.3x 27.5x
ASX:DUG DUG Technology Ltd 139 1.17 1.18 1.19 ▲ 0.4% 10.9x 27.0x
ASX:HIL Hills Limited 12 NA 0.02 NA — 0.0% 8.4x NM
ASX:IMD Imdex Limited 960 1.79 1.90 1.92 ▲ 5.6% 8.5x 12.3x
ASX:IMB Intelligent Monitoring Group Limited 26 NA 0.20 0.23 ▲ 66.7% 15.1x NM
ASX:K2F K2fly Limited 16 0.09 0.09 0.11 — 0.0% NM NM
ASX:LBL LaserBond Limited 82 0.77 0.75 0.79 ▲ 1.4% 9.1x 13.8x
ASX:MAD Mader Group Limited 1,012 5.15 5.06 5.34 ▼ -1.4% 18.8x 23.9x
ASX:MCE Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd 65 0.29 0.30 0.31 ▲ 1.7% NM NM
ASX:MYG Mayfield Group Holdings Limited 34 0.41 0.38 0.41 ▼ -7.3% 14.0x 73.5x
ASX:ORI Orica Limited 6,953 15.07 15.31 15.56 ▲ 1.7% 8.5x 12.9x
ASX:PV1 Provaris Energy Ltd 23 0.04 0.04 0.05 ▼ -6.7% NM NM
ASX:RUL RPMGlobal Holdings Limited 337 1.42 1.48 1.50 ▲ 2.4% NM NM
ASX:SDV SciDev Limited 57 0.33 0.30 0.33 ▼ -6.3% 10.4x 21.1x
ASX:VYS Vysarn Limited 53 0.13 0.13 0.14 ▲ 4.0% 7.4x 19.8x
Weekly change
(%)
LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Industrial Engineering Services
Page 5
LCC Asia Pacific® report on
Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Note: constituents with nil values were excluded for the charts above
Top 5/Bottom 5 Weekly Price Change Top 5/Bottom 5 EV/EBITDA Multiple (Latest)
Ticker News/ Event
LYL
Lycopodium announced it has executed a $55m contract with Barrick for the Feasibility Study and
Basic Engineering Agreement of the Reko Diq Copper-Gold Project in Pakistan. The study is set to
be completed in Q4 2024, while the engineering agreement is scheduled for Q2 2025.
MIN
Mineral Resources announced a significant gas discovery has been made at North Erregulla Deep-
1. The company has also suspended is operations at is Onslow Iron project due to a fatality.
SRG
SRG Global announced it has been awarded a 2-year $40m contract from Lendlease to provide
specialist facades works at One Circular Quay, effective immediately.
6.3%
5.2%
4.9%
4.6%
4.4%
(2.9%)
(3.8%)
(5.5%)
(6.0%)
(7.4%)
ASX:ACF
ASX:SRG
ASX:CDD
ASX:MIN
ASX:DOW
ASX:IPL
ASX:SXE
ASX:JLG
ASX:MGH
ASX:DDB
14.7x
14.6x
12.1x
11.5x
10.9x
5.5x
4.2x
4.1x
3.9x
2.7x
ASX:WOR
ASX:JLG
ASX:MGH
ASX:FWD
ASX:SSM
ASX:SRG
ASX:IPL
ASX:DDB
ASX:VRS
ASX:SXE
Ticker Company Name
Market
Cap (m)
Open
Price
Close
Price
Week
High
Volume
Trend
EV/
EBITDA
EV/
EBIT
ASX:ACF Acrow Formwork and Construction Services Limited
204 0.72 0.77 0.78 ▲ 6.3% 7.6x 12.6x
ASX:CDD Cardno Limited 17 0.41 0.43 0.43 ▲ 4.9% NM 0.3x
ASX:DOW Downer EDI Limited 2,521 3.60 3.76 3.82 ▲ 4.4% 8.4x 21.0x
ASX:DUR Duratec Limited 281 1.16 1.15 1.20 ▼ -0.9% 9.0x 12.9x
ASX:DDB Dynamic Group Holdings Limited 34 NA 0.25 0.27 ▼ -7.4% 4.1x NM
ASX:FWD Fleetwood Limited 188 1.94 2.00 2.00 ▲ 2.3% 11.5x NM
ASX:GNP GenusPlus Group Limited 181 1.03 1.02 1.05 ▼ -1.0% 7.9x 14.5x
ASX:IPL Incitec Pivot Limited 5,244 2.78 2.70 2.85 ▼ -2.9% 4.2x 5.4x
ASX:JLG Johns Lyng Group Limited 1,527 6.18 5.82 6.41 ▼ -5.5% 14.6x 17.6x
ASX:LYL Lycopodium Limited 410 10.07 10.26 10.27 ▼ -0.1% 6.5x 7.4x
ASX:MGH MAAS Group Holdings Limited 922 3.01 2.82 3.04 ▼ -6.0% 12.1x 18.5x
ASX:MIN Mineral Resources Limited 14,068 69.20 73.00 73.50 ▲ 4.6% 8.8x 11.7x
ASX:SND Saunders International Limited 116 1.10 1.08 1.11 ▼ -1.8% 5.7x 6.8x
ASX:SSM Service Stream Limited 471 0.74 0.77 0.77 ▲ 2.0% 10.9x NM
ASX:SXE Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Limited
166 0.67 0.64 0.67 ▼ -3.8% 2.7x 3.4x
ASX:SRG SRG Global Limited 366 0.67 0.71 0.72 ▲ 5.2% 5.5x 10.0x
ASX:SOP Synertec Corporation Limited 101 0.23 0.24 0.24 ▲ 4.4% NM NM
ASX:VRS Veris Limited 43 0.09 0.08 0.09 ▼ -4.5% 3.9x 13.6x
ASX:WOR Worley Limited 8,337 16.30 15.85 16.40 ▼ -2.7% 14.7x 20.8x
Weekly change
(%)
LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Mining Engineering Services
Page 6
LCC Asia Pacific® report on
Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Top 5/Bottom 5 Weekly Price Change Top 5/Bottom 5 EV/EBITDA Multiple (Latest)
Ticker News/ Event
ANG
Austin Engineering announced it has received purchase orders for 4 haul truck trays from a major
iron ore producer in India with delivery expected in 6 weeks.
EGN
Engenco announced it has partnered with Rio Tinto to bring local iron ore rail car manufacturing
and maintenance to the Pilbara. A facility in Karratha will be built, producing 100 cars over 6 years.
The combined value of the contracts for new cars and existing maintenance services is $150m.
MND
Monadelphous announced it has secured contracts worth $120m for shutdown & maintenance
services and other works for Rio Tinto, BHP, BHP Mitsubishi Alliance, and South 32.
PRN
Perenti, in partnership with ABB, has announced it has been awarded a contract by IGO Limited to
provide a study for the full underground electrification of the Cosmos Nickel Project.
20.6%
6.1%
3.8%
3.0%
2.9%
(3.7%)
(3.8%)
(4.2%)
(4.8%)
(7.1%)
ASX:EGN
ASX:DCG
ASX:PRN
ASX:DDH
ASX:MSV
ASX:MAH
ASX:RDG
ASX:BOL
ASX:BSA
ASX:MYE
21.2x
14.2x
12.9x
11.3x
7.0x
3.1x
2.9x
2.7x
2.6x
1.8x
ASX:RDG
ASX:BSA
ASX:EGN
ASX:MND
ASX:ANG
ASX:PRN
ASX:EHL
ASX:BOL
ASX:DRA
ASX:MAH
Ticker Company Name
Market
Cap (m)
Open
Price
Close
Price
Week
High
Volume
Trend
EV/
EBITDA
EV/
EBIT
ASX:AJL AJ Lucas Group Limited 19 0.01 0.01 0.02 — 0.0% NM NM
ASX:ANG Austin Engineering Limited 155 0.28 0.27 0.28 — 0.0% 7.0x 8.6x
ASX:BPP Babylon Pump & Power Limited 15 NA 0.01 0.01 — 0.0% NM NM
ASX:BLY Boart Longyear Group Ltd. 462 1.60 1.56 1.65 ▼ -2.5% 5.0x 9.6x
ASX:BOL Boom Logistics Limited 49 0.12 0.12 0.13 ▼ -4.2% 2.7x 18.4x
ASX:BSA BSA Limited 42 NA 0.59 0.59 ▼ -4.8% 14.2x NM
ASX:DDH DDH1 Limited 334 0.83 0.86 0.86 ▲ 3.0% 3.2x 5.9x
ASX:DCG Decmil Group Limited 27 0.17 0.18 0.18 ▲ 6.1% NM NM
ASX:DRA DRA Global Limited 111 NA 1.88 NA — 0.0% 2.6x 12.2x
ASX:EHL Emeco Holdings Limited 351 0.70 0.68 0.72 ▼ -2.2% 2.9x 8.1x
ASX:EGN Engenco Limited 129 0.38 0.41 0.45 ▲ 20.6% 12.9x 42.4x
ASX:GNG GR Engineering Services Limited 334 2.07 2.07 2.18 — 0.0% 5.7x 6.5x
ASX:MAH Macmahon Holdings Limited 273 0.13 0.13 0.14 ▼ -3.7% 1.8x 5.5x
ASX:MYE Metarock Group Limited 39 0.14 0.13 0.15 ▼ -7.1% NM NM
ASX:MSV Mitchell Services Limited 77 0.34 0.35 0.35 ▲ 2.9% 4.4x NM
ASX:MND Monadelphous Group Limited 1,183 12.28 12.28 12.34 ▲ 0.4% 11.3x 17.3x
ASX:NWH NRW Holdings Limited 1,065 2.33 2.36 2.40 ▲ 2.2% 4.7x 8.1x
ASX:PRN Perenti Limited 846 1.20 1.24 1.25 ▲ 3.8% 3.1x 8.9x
ASX:RDG Resource Development Group Limited 144 0.05 0.05 0.05 ▼ -3.8% 21.2x 25.0x
Weekly change
(%)
LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
This general information has been prepared by LCC Asia Pacific Pty. Limited ("LCC"). The research is based on public information
obtained from sources believed to be accurate and reliable. This report is not intended to be “sell side research” and does not
provide opinion or recommendation whatsoever. LCC Asia Pacific seeks to have commercial relationships with companies
mentioned in this report.
LCC does not guarantee the accuracy, reliability, completeness or suitability of any such information and makes no warranty,
guarantee or representation, expressly or impliedly about this research. LCC accepts no obligation to correct or update the
information. No opinion or recommendation is made within this research. Information in this market update is sourced from a
variety of data points including Capital IQ, News Outlets, the Australian Stock Exchange & company reports, media releases and
related content.
This report is not intended to be, nor should it be relied on, as a substitute for professional advice. This report should not be
relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision or planning, and LCC does not accept any responsibility on this basis for
actions made. © LCC Asia Pacific research@lccapac.com
Thanks to Freeman Liu who oversees the publication of this weekly market update.
LCC Asia Pacific is a boutique investment banking practice, providing independent
corporate finance & strategy advice to clients in Australia and across Asia Pacific
markets. We have acted for ambitious clients ranging from “emerging” companies,
up to Fortune 100 & “Mega” Asian listed entities.
LCC Asia Pacific provides clear, unbiased counsel to CEOs and Boards of Directors
considering growth strategies, business transformation and challenging corporate
decisions. We understand that to service such clients requires a high performance
approach, and a tenacity to deliver results.
LCC Asia Pacific
Engineering & Contracting
Important Information
About LCC Asia Pacific
lccasiapacific.com SYDNEY | BRISBANE | PERTH | NEW YORK
Page 7
LCC Asia Pacific's Sydney office is located on the lands of the Gadigal people and we both acknowledge them as Traditional
Owners and pay respects to Elders past, present & emerging.

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LCC Asia Pacific Market Research Edition 500

  • 1. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Edition Number: 500 Nicholas Assef Industry Lead naa@lccapac.com Joe Brereton Associate Director jmb@lccapac.com The transition away from gas consumption in Australia is crucial to achieve emissions reduction targets and provide cost savings for households. However, this shift presents policymakers and regulators with significant challenges. Natural gas contributes 22 percent of Australia's greenhouse emissions, primarily driven by LNG production, manufacturing, and power generation. However, the largest gas users are the 5 million households relying on gas for cooking, hot water, and heating. The sheer number of consumers in this area means that transitioning them to alternative energy sources will require an extended campaign. Biomethane, which is chemically identical to natural gas and considered carbon neutral, could serve as a replacement. However, the limited availability of commercially viable biomethane in Australia makes it an ineffective substitute. While hydrogen is another alternative, it currently appears to be more expensive than electricity. Estimates suggest that hydrogen could achieve cost parity with electricity by the late 2040s, making it a less viable alternative in the near term. Electrification is the most cost-effective and environmentally friendly option for homes and small businesses. It already fulfills the same functions as natural gas and is steadily moving towards net-zero emissions. However, electrification cannot compete with hydrogen for high-temperature heat in industry or chemical feedstock applications. In such cases, biomethane could provide a viable pathway. To ensure successful electrification, governments should implement three key strategies. Firstly, they should establish clear end-dates for gas use and prohibit new gas connections. Secondly, in the short term, governments should provide financial assistance to upgrade social, community, and Indigenous housing. Additionally, low-cost financing options for homeowners and tax incentives for landlords should be introduced for a limited period to stimulate the transition and drive down appliance costs. Lastly, strong, consistent, and compelling communication efforts should be employed to encourage households to switch to electricity during appliance replacements, renovations, or new home construction. The electrification of households and small businesses poses challenges for existing gas network businesses, as their core assets will be devalued. These businesses may argue that they deserve compensation for market risks and previous requirements to connect new consumers. However, a complete return on investment approach could lead to a "death spiral" where escalating prices fail to keep pace with departing consumers. Balancing the interests of these businesses and the need for a reliable gas network falls upon governments, who must collaborate to determine how and when these costs are to be paid and by whom. Similar challenges are being addressed by governments in Europe and elsewhere. The transition from gas to electricity in Australia is a necessary and complex endeavour, vital for meeting emissions- reduction targets and improving affordability for households. Biomethane and hydrogen offer potential alternatives in specific industries, while electrification emerges as the most cost-effective and environmentally friendly option for homes and small businesses. Governments must play a pivotal role in setting clear goals, providing financial support, and facilitating effective communication to encourage the adoption of electricity. Collaboration with gas network businesses is necessary to manage the transition's financial implications. With proactive leadership, Australia can pave the way toward a cleaner, more affordable, and healthier energy future. Source: Capital IQ; LCC Analysis Australian Market Macro Market Research Page 1 Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation The Path to Electrification: Shifting Away from Gas in Australia Week Ending: 9 June 2023
  • 2. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Australian Macroeconomic Update The S&P ASX 200 lifted last week, increasing 1.8% to end the week. Westpac expects a further final increase in the cash rate of 0.25% to 4.6% at the August Board meeting, for a peak in the cycle of 4.6%. This extension of the tightening cycle to August, with the ongoing evidence of a tight labour market, now indicates that the beginning of the easing cycle will be delayed to May. Next year, with labour markets remaining tight for longer than expected back in March, the RBA Board will require further convincing that the inflation path will land within the 2–3% target zone by June 2025. Westpac expect 25 basis point rate cuts in May; August and November 2024 prior to further cuts in 2025 eventually bringing the cash rate below 3%. Exhibit 3: Global Equities Index Total Return One Week Return Benchmark Exhibit 4: Global Equities Index Total Return Year to Date (YTD) Return Benchmark Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research Exhibit 5: Daily USD/AUD Exchange Rate Chart Exchange Rate over time (-1Y) Exhibit 6: Australian Yield Curve Yield Curve % Relative to Historic Benchmark Source: Capital IQ, Interactive Data Pricing Source: Capital IQ, Interactive Data Pricing Page 2 0.66 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 USD/AUD LCC Asia Pacific® report on Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation 3.4 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.9 1.7 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.4 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y 30Y Yield Curve (%) Current 1 Year Ago 3.4 3.4 2.6 2.3 1.8 1.2 1.1 (0.5) Tokyo Price Index Hang Seng Index S&P 500 Straits Times S&P ASX 200 Dow Jones Industrial FTSE 100 (GBP) KOSPI 200 Index 21.6 18.6 14.8 3.5 3.0 2.6 1.3 0.3 Tokyo Price Index KOSPI 200 Index S&P 500 Dow Jones Industrial S&P ASX 200 FTSE 100 (GBP) Hang Seng Index Straits Times
  • 3. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence, LCC Asia Pacific Research LCC Asia Pacific® report on Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation LCC’s Engineering, Industrial Services & Innovation Index Key Charts 9.1 17.2 -20.0 -15.0 -10.0 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Total Return/Spread (%) Spread LCC Index S&P ASX 200 Exhibit 8: LCC’s Australian Engineering Index Total Return % Relative to the S&P ASX200 Benchmark Index Total Return and Spread Information (-1Y) Exhibit 9: LCC Engineering Index Price-to-Earnings Ratio Market Cap Weighted Current PE Ratio Over Time (-1Y) Exhibit 7: LCC Index Valuation Summary Combined Market Capitalisation Weighted Index, Last Twelve Months (LTM) Metric Current High Low Yr. Avg Yr. Change Total Return (4.2%) 14.4% (13.3%) (0.8%) (4.2%) Dividend Yield 3.5% 3.8% 2.7% 3.1% 5.7% Price/Earnings 18.9x 27.9x 16.6x 19.8x (32.2%) Price/Book 2.3x 3.0x 2.0x 2.5x (6.2%) Exhibit 10: EV/EBITDA Index Valuation Dynamic Market Cap Weighted, LCC Index Sub-segments Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research Page 3 Beta (β): 1.19 19.1x 14.0x 16.0x 18.0x 20.0x 22.0x 24.0x 26.0x 28.0x Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 P/E Ratio
  • 4. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Engineering Innovation Page 4 LCC Asia Pacific® report on Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Top 5/Bottom 5 Weekly Price Change Top 5/Bottom 5 EV/EBITDA Multiple (Latest) Ticker News/ Event AMX Aerometrex announced it has received a $1.69m order to deliver off-the-shelf datasets to an Australian Federal Government Agency with a delivery date of 26 June 2023. C79 Chrysos Corporation announced it has appointed Greg Holt as an independent Non-Executive Director, effective 14 June 2023. IMB Intelligent Monitoring Group announced it acquiring Tyco Australia, a company that provides electronic security products and systems for homes and businesses, for $45m. The acquisition will be funded by new $80m 3-year debt facility which will also be used to refinance existing debt. K2F K2fly announced it was awarded a 3-year $564k contract to provide its Resource Disclosure solution to Eramet, effective immediately. PV1 Provaris Energy announced it has partnered with Norwegian Hydrogen AS to develop a 40kpta green hydrogen production plant in Norway. 66.7% 7.3% 5.6% 4.0% 2.4% (1.4%) (6.7%) (7.3%) (10.4%) (10.5%) ASX:IMB ASX:ASB ASX:IMD ASX:VYS ASX:RUL ASX:MAD ASX:PV1 ASX:MYG ASX:AMX ASX:AQN 18.8x 15.1x 14.0x 11.3x 11.2x 8.5x 8.4x 7.4x 5.2x 4.0x ASX:MAD ASX:IMB ASX:MYG ASX:ASB ASX:ALQ ASX:IMD ASX:HIL ASX:VYS ASX:AQN ASX:AMX Ticker Company Name Market Cap (m) Open Price Close Price Week High Volume Trend EV/ EBITDA EV/ EBIT ASX:AEI Aeris Environmental Ltd 6 0.03 0.03 0.03 — 0.0% NM NM ASX:AMX Aerometrex Limited 28 0.32 0.30 0.35 ▼ -10.4% 4.0x NM ASX:ALQ ALS Limited 5,664 11.50 11.70 11.76 ▲ 2.3% 11.2x 14.8x ASX:AQN Aquirian Limited 14 0.20 0.17 0.20 ▼ -10.5% 5.2x 26.8x ASX:ASB Austal Limited 902 2.33 2.50 2.50 ▲ 7.3% 11.3x 27.5x ASX:DUG DUG Technology Ltd 139 1.17 1.18 1.19 ▲ 0.4% 10.9x 27.0x ASX:HIL Hills Limited 12 NA 0.02 NA — 0.0% 8.4x NM ASX:IMD Imdex Limited 960 1.79 1.90 1.92 ▲ 5.6% 8.5x 12.3x ASX:IMB Intelligent Monitoring Group Limited 26 NA 0.20 0.23 ▲ 66.7% 15.1x NM ASX:K2F K2fly Limited 16 0.09 0.09 0.11 — 0.0% NM NM ASX:LBL LaserBond Limited 82 0.77 0.75 0.79 ▲ 1.4% 9.1x 13.8x ASX:MAD Mader Group Limited 1,012 5.15 5.06 5.34 ▼ -1.4% 18.8x 23.9x ASX:MCE Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd 65 0.29 0.30 0.31 ▲ 1.7% NM NM ASX:MYG Mayfield Group Holdings Limited 34 0.41 0.38 0.41 ▼ -7.3% 14.0x 73.5x ASX:ORI Orica Limited 6,953 15.07 15.31 15.56 ▲ 1.7% 8.5x 12.9x ASX:PV1 Provaris Energy Ltd 23 0.04 0.04 0.05 ▼ -6.7% NM NM ASX:RUL RPMGlobal Holdings Limited 337 1.42 1.48 1.50 ▲ 2.4% NM NM ASX:SDV SciDev Limited 57 0.33 0.30 0.33 ▼ -6.3% 10.4x 21.1x ASX:VYS Vysarn Limited 53 0.13 0.13 0.14 ▲ 4.0% 7.4x 19.8x Weekly change (%)
  • 5. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Industrial Engineering Services Page 5 LCC Asia Pacific® report on Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Note: constituents with nil values were excluded for the charts above Top 5/Bottom 5 Weekly Price Change Top 5/Bottom 5 EV/EBITDA Multiple (Latest) Ticker News/ Event LYL Lycopodium announced it has executed a $55m contract with Barrick for the Feasibility Study and Basic Engineering Agreement of the Reko Diq Copper-Gold Project in Pakistan. The study is set to be completed in Q4 2024, while the engineering agreement is scheduled for Q2 2025. MIN Mineral Resources announced a significant gas discovery has been made at North Erregulla Deep- 1. The company has also suspended is operations at is Onslow Iron project due to a fatality. SRG SRG Global announced it has been awarded a 2-year $40m contract from Lendlease to provide specialist facades works at One Circular Quay, effective immediately. 6.3% 5.2% 4.9% 4.6% 4.4% (2.9%) (3.8%) (5.5%) (6.0%) (7.4%) ASX:ACF ASX:SRG ASX:CDD ASX:MIN ASX:DOW ASX:IPL ASX:SXE ASX:JLG ASX:MGH ASX:DDB 14.7x 14.6x 12.1x 11.5x 10.9x 5.5x 4.2x 4.1x 3.9x 2.7x ASX:WOR ASX:JLG ASX:MGH ASX:FWD ASX:SSM ASX:SRG ASX:IPL ASX:DDB ASX:VRS ASX:SXE Ticker Company Name Market Cap (m) Open Price Close Price Week High Volume Trend EV/ EBITDA EV/ EBIT ASX:ACF Acrow Formwork and Construction Services Limited 204 0.72 0.77 0.78 ▲ 6.3% 7.6x 12.6x ASX:CDD Cardno Limited 17 0.41 0.43 0.43 ▲ 4.9% NM 0.3x ASX:DOW Downer EDI Limited 2,521 3.60 3.76 3.82 ▲ 4.4% 8.4x 21.0x ASX:DUR Duratec Limited 281 1.16 1.15 1.20 ▼ -0.9% 9.0x 12.9x ASX:DDB Dynamic Group Holdings Limited 34 NA 0.25 0.27 ▼ -7.4% 4.1x NM ASX:FWD Fleetwood Limited 188 1.94 2.00 2.00 ▲ 2.3% 11.5x NM ASX:GNP GenusPlus Group Limited 181 1.03 1.02 1.05 ▼ -1.0% 7.9x 14.5x ASX:IPL Incitec Pivot Limited 5,244 2.78 2.70 2.85 ▼ -2.9% 4.2x 5.4x ASX:JLG Johns Lyng Group Limited 1,527 6.18 5.82 6.41 ▼ -5.5% 14.6x 17.6x ASX:LYL Lycopodium Limited 410 10.07 10.26 10.27 ▼ -0.1% 6.5x 7.4x ASX:MGH MAAS Group Holdings Limited 922 3.01 2.82 3.04 ▼ -6.0% 12.1x 18.5x ASX:MIN Mineral Resources Limited 14,068 69.20 73.00 73.50 ▲ 4.6% 8.8x 11.7x ASX:SND Saunders International Limited 116 1.10 1.08 1.11 ▼ -1.8% 5.7x 6.8x ASX:SSM Service Stream Limited 471 0.74 0.77 0.77 ▲ 2.0% 10.9x NM ASX:SXE Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Limited 166 0.67 0.64 0.67 ▼ -3.8% 2.7x 3.4x ASX:SRG SRG Global Limited 366 0.67 0.71 0.72 ▲ 5.2% 5.5x 10.0x ASX:SOP Synertec Corporation Limited 101 0.23 0.24 0.24 ▲ 4.4% NM NM ASX:VRS Veris Limited 43 0.09 0.08 0.09 ▼ -4.5% 3.9x 13.6x ASX:WOR Worley Limited 8,337 16.30 15.85 16.40 ▼ -2.7% 14.7x 20.8x Weekly change (%)
  • 6. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Mining Engineering Services Page 6 LCC Asia Pacific® report on Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Top 5/Bottom 5 Weekly Price Change Top 5/Bottom 5 EV/EBITDA Multiple (Latest) Ticker News/ Event ANG Austin Engineering announced it has received purchase orders for 4 haul truck trays from a major iron ore producer in India with delivery expected in 6 weeks. EGN Engenco announced it has partnered with Rio Tinto to bring local iron ore rail car manufacturing and maintenance to the Pilbara. A facility in Karratha will be built, producing 100 cars over 6 years. The combined value of the contracts for new cars and existing maintenance services is $150m. MND Monadelphous announced it has secured contracts worth $120m for shutdown & maintenance services and other works for Rio Tinto, BHP, BHP Mitsubishi Alliance, and South 32. PRN Perenti, in partnership with ABB, has announced it has been awarded a contract by IGO Limited to provide a study for the full underground electrification of the Cosmos Nickel Project. 20.6% 6.1% 3.8% 3.0% 2.9% (3.7%) (3.8%) (4.2%) (4.8%) (7.1%) ASX:EGN ASX:DCG ASX:PRN ASX:DDH ASX:MSV ASX:MAH ASX:RDG ASX:BOL ASX:BSA ASX:MYE 21.2x 14.2x 12.9x 11.3x 7.0x 3.1x 2.9x 2.7x 2.6x 1.8x ASX:RDG ASX:BSA ASX:EGN ASX:MND ASX:ANG ASX:PRN ASX:EHL ASX:BOL ASX:DRA ASX:MAH Ticker Company Name Market Cap (m) Open Price Close Price Week High Volume Trend EV/ EBITDA EV/ EBIT ASX:AJL AJ Lucas Group Limited 19 0.01 0.01 0.02 — 0.0% NM NM ASX:ANG Austin Engineering Limited 155 0.28 0.27 0.28 — 0.0% 7.0x 8.6x ASX:BPP Babylon Pump & Power Limited 15 NA 0.01 0.01 — 0.0% NM NM ASX:BLY Boart Longyear Group Ltd. 462 1.60 1.56 1.65 ▼ -2.5% 5.0x 9.6x ASX:BOL Boom Logistics Limited 49 0.12 0.12 0.13 ▼ -4.2% 2.7x 18.4x ASX:BSA BSA Limited 42 NA 0.59 0.59 ▼ -4.8% 14.2x NM ASX:DDH DDH1 Limited 334 0.83 0.86 0.86 ▲ 3.0% 3.2x 5.9x ASX:DCG Decmil Group Limited 27 0.17 0.18 0.18 ▲ 6.1% NM NM ASX:DRA DRA Global Limited 111 NA 1.88 NA — 0.0% 2.6x 12.2x ASX:EHL Emeco Holdings Limited 351 0.70 0.68 0.72 ▼ -2.2% 2.9x 8.1x ASX:EGN Engenco Limited 129 0.38 0.41 0.45 ▲ 20.6% 12.9x 42.4x ASX:GNG GR Engineering Services Limited 334 2.07 2.07 2.18 — 0.0% 5.7x 6.5x ASX:MAH Macmahon Holdings Limited 273 0.13 0.13 0.14 ▼ -3.7% 1.8x 5.5x ASX:MYE Metarock Group Limited 39 0.14 0.13 0.15 ▼ -7.1% NM NM ASX:MSV Mitchell Services Limited 77 0.34 0.35 0.35 ▲ 2.9% 4.4x NM ASX:MND Monadelphous Group Limited 1,183 12.28 12.28 12.34 ▲ 0.4% 11.3x 17.3x ASX:NWH NRW Holdings Limited 1,065 2.33 2.36 2.40 ▲ 2.2% 4.7x 8.1x ASX:PRN Perenti Limited 846 1.20 1.24 1.25 ▲ 3.8% 3.1x 8.9x ASX:RDG Resource Development Group Limited 144 0.05 0.05 0.05 ▼ -3.8% 21.2x 25.0x Weekly change (%)
  • 7. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation This general information has been prepared by LCC Asia Pacific Pty. Limited ("LCC"). The research is based on public information obtained from sources believed to be accurate and reliable. This report is not intended to be “sell side research” and does not provide opinion or recommendation whatsoever. LCC Asia Pacific seeks to have commercial relationships with companies mentioned in this report. LCC does not guarantee the accuracy, reliability, completeness or suitability of any such information and makes no warranty, guarantee or representation, expressly or impliedly about this research. LCC accepts no obligation to correct or update the information. No opinion or recommendation is made within this research. Information in this market update is sourced from a variety of data points including Capital IQ, News Outlets, the Australian Stock Exchange & company reports, media releases and related content. This report is not intended to be, nor should it be relied on, as a substitute for professional advice. This report should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision or planning, and LCC does not accept any responsibility on this basis for actions made. © LCC Asia Pacific research@lccapac.com Thanks to Freeman Liu who oversees the publication of this weekly market update. LCC Asia Pacific is a boutique investment banking practice, providing independent corporate finance & strategy advice to clients in Australia and across Asia Pacific markets. We have acted for ambitious clients ranging from “emerging” companies, up to Fortune 100 & “Mega” Asian listed entities. LCC Asia Pacific provides clear, unbiased counsel to CEOs and Boards of Directors considering growth strategies, business transformation and challenging corporate decisions. We understand that to service such clients requires a high performance approach, and a tenacity to deliver results. LCC Asia Pacific Engineering & Contracting Important Information About LCC Asia Pacific lccasiapacific.com SYDNEY | BRISBANE | PERTH | NEW YORK Page 7 LCC Asia Pacific's Sydney office is located on the lands of the Gadigal people and we both acknowledge them as Traditional Owners and pay respects to Elders past, present & emerging.