Recommended
More Related Content
What's hot
What's hot (20)
Similar to Keynote speech Jan Rotmans at MOBI seminar 2018
Similar to Keynote speech Jan Rotmans at MOBI seminar 2018 (20)
More from MOBI VUB
More from MOBI VUB (15)
Recently uploaded
Recently uploaded (20)
Keynote speech Jan Rotmans at MOBI seminar 2018
- 1. twitter.com/janrotmans A Change of Era: how to accelerate the sustainable mobility transition? Brussels, 13 December 2018 JANROTMANS
- 2. We do not live in an era of change but in a change of era
- 3. 19th CENTURY - Industrial revolution - Fear for machines - Long-lasting turbulence - Social inequality - Marx 21st CENTURY - Digital revolution - Fear for robots - Increasing turbulence - Social inequality - Piketty
- 5. twitter.com/janrotmans Hengelo, 25 Augustus 2016 1 WORLD IN TRANSITION
- 6. CHAOS
- 7. World in System’s Crisis economic crisis ecological crisis SYSTEMS democratic crisis moral crisis
- 8. Symptoms of System’s Crisis Brexit Refugees Trump Populism debt growth EU-crisis geopolitical tensions
- 9. Ecological Crisis destroy more ecological capital than financial capital we produce at the cost of the earth we borrow resources but we don’t pay back climate change one symptom of ecological imbalance
- 10. Moral Crisis Norms & Values Greediness & Egoism crisis is in ourselves
- 11. Crises are blessing in disguise people are stubborn real behavioral change only during crises
- 12. WE NEER RADICAL CHANGES: TRANSITIONS
- 13. twitter.com/janrotmans Hengelo, 25 Augustus 2016 2 TRANSITION = SYSTEM CHANGE
- 15. Transition fundamental change of structure, culture and practices in societal (sub)system – structure: physical infrastructure, economic infrastructure (market, consumption, production), institutions (rules, regulations, actors) – culture: collective set of values, norms, perspectives, paradigms – practices: routines, behaviour, ways of handling, at the individual level incumbent structure, culture and practices need to be broken down and new ones need to be built up
- 16. optimalisation Transition Dynamics destabilisation chaos experiments acceleration emergence institutionalisation decay Phasing out stabilisation
- 17. Contemporary Transitions finance food energy mobility health care education building city development
- 18. Transition = Power Shift regime: dominant power regime with vested interests niche: emerging power niche at a small scale level niche wants to develop power and take over incumbent regime regime protects itself against this with all means transition = regime-change = power shift
- 19. institutions culture society ecology technology economy crises policy politics Determinants of Transitions
- 20. Transitions last at least 2 generations whimsical and partly inpredictble patterns can be influenced by smart intervention money, laws & rules, institutions, behaviour
- 21. Transitions must be helped to get started market does not pick that up immediately [unprofitable top] starting subsidies for system breakthroughs
- 22. Transition Governance creating innovation spaces for radical innovation frontrunners and connectors in innovation spaces from vision to portfolio of transition-experiments scaling up successful transition experiments
- 24. facilitating / stimulating - challenging the market & mobilizing society - removing barriers - stimulating financial arrangements - top-down ánd bottom-up Paris Climate Agreement Transition Policy
- 25. twitter.com/janrotmans Hengelo, 25 Augustus 2016 3 MOBILITY TRANSITION
- 26. Mobility is Persistent Problem complex problem that is difficult to steer deeply rooted in our societal structures and culture has been around for at least 50 years traffic jams, air pollution, noise pollution, accidents
- 27. pseudo-solutions for persistent problems become very soon part of the problems
- 28. building more roads leads to more traffic jams
- 29. Mobility as complex, adaptive system continuous movement from coherent co-evolving components partly unpredictable, emergent, chaotic behaviour self-organizing capacity (actors respond to each intervention ‘unexpectedly’ through behavioural adaptation [reflexive ability] ignoring this complexity results in failing measures and solutions
- 30. Multi-level Analysis Mobility Transition Macro-level - 25.000 road deaths in EU - 30% of CO2-emissions in EU - 1% GDP traffic jam damage in EU - strong growth in cars and airplanes Meso-level - lack of long-term vision + Paris Climate Agreement - no clear mobility policy - failing financial instruments Micro-level + technological innovations + rush hour avoidance - lack of space for radical innovations
- 32. Mobility Transition in Lock-In “ measures that steer mobility in a sustainable direction are either acceptable but have little impact, or they have impact but have little support in society” High-level officer of Dutch Ministry
- 33. twitter.com/janrotmans Hengelo, 25 Augustus 2016 4 MOBILITY IN 2048
- 47. Sustainable Mobility Vision clean, safe, noiseless mobility freedom multi-dimensional multiple speeds facilitates our life
- 48. Transition Paths mobility as a service mobility broker regional lightrail mobility employee pass rewarding sustainable behaviour
- 49. twitter.com/janrotmans Hengelo, 25 Augustus 2016 4 TRANSITION ACCELERATORS
- 50. MOBILITY TRANSITION AGENDA policy measures human behaviour technological innovation
- 51. TECHNOLOGY
- 54. “Car companies will innovate more the coming 5 year than in the past 50 years” Barra, CEO General Motors
- 55. CAR OF THE FUTURE smart self-driving digital clean safe personalized
- 56. technological revolution might lead to a mobility lock-in overly focus on automobility longer electric car traffic jams
- 57. POLICY
- 58. ROADPRICING roadpricing is most effective policy instrument per km, per road, per time moment Stockholm, London [car traffic] Germany, Belgium [freight transport]
- 59. resistance against roadpricing mobility regime [political parties, branche groups, citizens, bureaucracy] social distribution problem
- 60. INTEGRATED PRICING closed pricing system, where travellers who travel ‘clean’ are rewarded. This reward is paid by those who travel in a ‘polluting’ way obviously, this needs to be income-dependent
- 61. EMISSION NORMS emission norms for cars & trucks per km, per road, per time moment Stockholm, London [car traffic] Germany, Belgium [freight transport]
- 62. trade war VS and China emission-requirements emission-fraud Brexit mega fines new mobility services elektric cars / buses ban on diesel cars in German cities GERMAN CAR INDUSTRY
- 63. “we are threatened from all sides” Herbert Diess, Volkswagen VOLKSWAGEN
- 64. “biggest challenge & transition ever” Lutz Meschke, Porsche PORSCHE
- 65. Paris Oslo Barcelona Madrid Berlin München Frankfurt London Keulen BAN ON DIESEL CARS
- 67. INTEGRATED SPATIAL PLANNING mobility problem is a spatial challenge integral planning & combining functions stimulate mobility behaviour of people can reduce mobility significantly
- 68. BEHAVIOUR
- 69. RUSH HOUR AVOIDANCE rewarding people if they avoid driving in rush hour successful experiments, needs to be scaled up incorporate that in the mobility regime [fiscal, juridical, technological, institutional] aimed at behavioural change in the long run
- 70. STIMULATE BIKING among allochtonous people give bikers priority to car drivers create biking parking places stimulate digital bike sharing Barcelona, Copenhagen, Amsterdam
- 71. HUMAN BEHAVIOUR
- 72. LEEFSTRATEN GENT citizen ownership for their own streets pioneering citizens and civil servants solutions for car parking pressure less car mobility gives higher living quality European movement
- 73. FLYING SHAME flying tax introduced in Sweden [40 euro for international flights, 6 euro for national flights] celebrities abstain from flying growing movement in Sweden from 10.000 to 100.000 people
- 74. INTEGRATED APPROACH only integrated approaches work policy & behaviour & technology requires vision, strategy, action we know what to do
- 75. LEADERSHIP
- 76. Everybody said it was impossible until somebody stepped by who didn’t know that