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IconoclasmIconoclasm
Ted Neward
http://www.tedneward.com
Recognize them?
When I was a kid, the formula was simple:
ā€“ get good grades
ā€“ go to college
ā€“ pursue a profession: doctor, lawyer,
accountant, executive, engineer, etc
ā€“ salaries of $70k/yr plus benefits, maybe more
In fact, "the system" encourages this:
ā€“ PSAT, SAT, GMAT, LSAT, MCAT, Wonderlic,
lots of tests to prove my analytical thinking
ā€“ we even had tests that were designed to tell
me which fields I should go into
But the formula is changing
India produces 350,000 engineering grads
each year. China produces nearly as
many engineering grads as the US.
Egypt, Brazil, Poland, other countries are
following suit.
They get paid a lot less (US$15k/yr or less)
Recognize him?
John Henry was a "steel-driving man", "born with
a hammer in his hand"
When a man came by with a steam-powered
drill, John Henry challenged the drill to a race
"John Henry said I feed four little brothers, and my baby sisterā€™s
walking on her knees, did the Lord say that machines ought
to take the place of living, and whatā€™s a substitute for bread
and beans, I ainā€™t seen it, do engines get rewarded for their
steam" (The Legend of John Henry, by Johnny Cash)
He wonā€¦ and died
Recognize him?
Garry Kasparov is "the finest chess player of his
generation, perhaps the greatest of all time"
He won his first world championship in 1985
For the next decade, he never lost a match
Until he lost to a computer (Deep Blue) in 1997
(But at least he didn't die)
Automation (that is, software) threatens
programmers more than all the other
outsourcing sources ever could
It allows the unskilled to do the work that used to
remain the sole province of the skilled (us)
(If it makes you feel any better, doctors, lawyers,
accountants and engineers are in just as
much deep doo-doo)
So how do we stop this?
We can't
We can only evolve
Recognize him?
Anybody can be him
Anybody can have an idea that can make (or
save) the company a million dollars
Anybody can design the next iPod
Anybody can suggest the perfect solution for the
project that makes everything just flow
i * con * o * clast n
A person who does something that others say
can't be done
In 725 AD, Leo III tore down the golden icon of
Christ over his throne as an act of defiance
against the Church, to consolidate his power
He was the first iconoclast: "destroyer of icons"
Since that time, certain individuals have seen
differently, and refused to accept status quo
By doing so, they made the world better
Iconoclasts:
ļ¬ Florence Nightingale
ļ¬ Jackie Robinson
ļ¬ Walt Disney
ļ¬ Ray Kroc
ļ¬ David Dreman
ļ¬ Howard Armstrong
ļ¬ Branch Rickey
ļ¬ Dixie Chicks
ļ¬ Martin Luther King, Jr.
ļ¬ Solomon Asch
Others have accomplished more localized,
modest goals, but iconoclastic nonetheless:
ļ¬ Alan Kay
ā€“ Smalltalk
ļ¬ Linus Torvalds
ā€“ Linux
ļ¬ Dave Thomas
ā€“ Naked Objects, Ruby, Pragmatic Publishers
ļ¬ Edward Djikstra
ā€“ "goto considered harmful"
ļ¬ Robin Milner
ā€“ ML
This, then, is your goal:
become an iconoclast
Iconoclasm consists of three things:
ļ¬ seeing differently
ļ¬ overcoming fear
ļ¬ exercising social intelligence
The brain is a highly energy-constrained device
It operates on about 40 watts of power
To maximize its efficiency, it takes shortcuts
What do you see here?
The brain is taking shortcuts, via a form of
pattern recognition
Perception is a matter of the brain, not the eyes
Which line is longer?
More importantly, why does your brain intuitively
respond with the wrong information?
What if we reverse the picture?
The most likely way we perceive something will
be in a manner consistent with your past
experience
In the lines diagram, the commonality of vertical
perspective leads your brain to interpret it
incorrectly
When I show you this picture, what do you see?
Do you recognize this man?
How about his glass?
Dale Chihuly is quite possibly the most
successful businessman-artist in history
He manages a studio of ~100 people
He is one of the few American artists to have a
solo show at the Louvre
His pieces go from $25k to over $1million
All because he lost an eye
Do you recognize this woman?
Florence Nightingale, literally, saved your life
In 1854, Nightingale observed that more soldiers
were dying of disease than battle
She presented a pie chart to Queen Victoria
depicting the numerical differences
This forced the military and medical community
to see medical care facilities in a new light
Iconoclasts see things differently
To do that, you must change your perception
ā€¦ but thatā€™s not enough
Do you recognize this group?
In March 2003, an entirely new iconoclast was
born, almost entirely by accident:
During a concert in London, Natalie Maines, lead
singer of the Dixie Chicks, tossed off this
single sentence during a break in the music:
"We're ashamed
the President of the United States
is from Texas"
Maines received death threats, including one
that couldn't have been plainer: "You will be
shot dead at your show in Dallas."
She was forced to get round-the-clock protection
for her and her family
A radio station van driver driving down the
freeway had a shotgun pointed at himā€¦
ā€¦ because the Dixie Chicks portrait was painted
on the side of the van
Maines never recanted
Their next album, three years later (2006),
floundered on the Billboard chartsā€¦ radio
stations refused to play their music, stillā€¦
ā€¦ even though that album was the #1 download
on iTunes
Consider this problem:
Two urns in front of you
Left-hand urn contains 9 black & 9 white marbles
Right-hand urn contains 18 marbles of unknown
proportions (black/white)
Your objective: Draw a black marble from an urn
Which urn do you choose?
Your objective: Draw a white marble from an urn
Which urn do you choose?
This is known as the Ellsberg Paradox
If the left-hand urn is better for pulling a black
marble, why would you choose it when trying
to pull a white marble? Logically, the other
(unknown) urn is the better choice
According to the psychologists, this is caused by
your fear of the unknownā€¦
also known as ambiguity aversionā€¦
ā€¦ that leads to a bad (or irrational) choice
Do you recognize this craft?
How about now?
In 1986, the Challenger was destroyed during
launch because of a faulty O-ring design that
could not handle the freezing temperatures of
the previous night
Subsequent investigation found "The failureā€¦
probably began with the faulty design of its
joint and increased as both NASA and
contractor management first failed to
recognize it as a problem, then failed to fix it,
and finally treated it as an acceptable flight
risk."
The failure at NASA is a repeatable one
Your company probably participates in the same
kind of dynamic without realizing it
In the 1950s, Solomon Asche conducted an
experiment with 12 people:
"Which line matches the length of the left line?ā€œ
A B C
Recognize the law of large numbers?
"The average guess of a group of individuals is
better than any one individual's, and often
better than the best individual's, guess."
It's biologically wired into us: follow the herd
And thatā€™s not always a bad thing!
Fear can drive bad decision-making
Thus, we should avoid emotional decisions,
right?
Scientists have discovered that we cannot make
a decision without the use of emotion
It is literally the emotional centers of the brain
that make the decision, not the analytical
And, in fact, the emotional centers can often be
more right than the analyticalā€”the brain can
subconsciously pick up on cues that we don't
even recognize consciously
The iconoclast feels fear, like anyone else. They
simply refuse to allow fear to dominate their
actions or responses.
"One who fears the future, who fears failure, limits his activities.
Failure is only the opportunity to more intelligently begin
again. There is no disgrace in honest failure; there is
disgrace in fearing to fail."
ā€“Henry Ford
Recognize him?
David Hanimeier Hansson created Rails
Ruby-on-Rails opined a number of ideas
contradictory to the manner of the status quo
of the time:
ļ¬ convention over configuration
ļ¬ dynamic type systems
ļ¬ scripting languages
He has been criticized, ostracized, and ridiculed,
not for the thing he created, but for his actions
and conduct thereafter
Do you know who this is?
Edwin Howard Armstrong invented, among other
things, what we call FM radio
He shared it with his friend, David Sarnoff,
president of RCA ā€¦
ā€¦ who was heavily invested in AM technologyā€¦
ā€¦ and promptly set his engineers to work
seeking to discredit Armstrong's work
Anderson died on the 40th anniversary of his
discovery
He committed suicide
He died alone, unrewarded and unrecognized
This is the fate of the iconoclast who fails to
recognize the importanceof the third
component of iconoclasm:
Social intelligence
Because, right or wrong, if you can't convince
anybody of the power of your vision, you may
as well not have it
Unless you're willing to wait for its success until
after your death, of courseā€¦
A tale of two painters
Pablo Picasso's estate: $750million (1973)
Produced 13,000+ paintings, 300+ sculptures
People respected, admired and adored Picasso;
many, in fact, were lovers
Van Gogh died penniless and alone, 900
paintings to his name
For an iconoclast, connecting with other people
depends on two key aspects of social
intelligence:
ļ¬ Familiarityā€”productivity and exposure
ļ¬ Reputationā€”shrink worlds
Familiarity requires both name and face
recognition; just one or the other doesn't work
How many of you recognize him?
How many of you can name him?
The brain likes familiarityā€¦
(it quiets the amygdala)
ā€¦ so strive to be familiar
Reputation isn't just what people are saying
about you in high school
It's about shadow networksā€”an underlying
network of "who knows whom"
Your reputationā€”particularly that for a fair dealā€”
will have huge impact on how people see you
The combination (familiarity + reputation) is how
you connect with peopleā€¦ and convince them
Iconoclasm is just one way to weather the
coming "perennial gale of creative
destruction"
Iconoclasts:
ļ¬ see differently
ļ¬ face down fears
ļ¬ use social intelligence
Now get out of here ā€¦
Be an iconoclast ā€¦
(even if itā€™s just a small one)
ā€¦ and you will never lack for a job
ReferencesReferences
ļ¬ Iconoclast
ā€“ Gregory Berns
ļ¬ The Political Brain
ā€“ Drew Westen
ļ¬ Predictably Irrational
ā€“ Daniel Ariely
ļ¬ Sway
ā€“ Ori Brafman and Rom Brafman
ļ¬ How We Decide
ā€“ Jonah Lehrer
ļ¬ The World is Flat
ā€“ Thomas L. Friedman
ļ¬ Blink
ā€“ Malcolm Gladwell
ļ¬ A Whole New Mind
ā€“ Daniel H. Pink
ļ¬ Why We Make Mistakes
ā€“ Joseph T. Hallinan
ļ¬ The Blank Slate
ā€“ Stephen Pinker
ļ¬ How the Mind Works
ā€“ Stephen Pinker
ļ¬ Free Agent Nation
ā€“ Daniel Pink
ļ¬ The Tipping Point
ā€“ Malcolm Gladwell
ļ¬ Outliers
ā€“ Malcolm Gladwell
ļ¬ Quirkology
ā€“ Wiseman
ļ¬ More Sex is Safer Sex
ā€“ Steven E. Landsburg

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Keynote ASAS 2015 Ted Neward

  • 3. When I was a kid, the formula was simple: ā€“ get good grades ā€“ go to college ā€“ pursue a profession: doctor, lawyer, accountant, executive, engineer, etc ā€“ salaries of $70k/yr plus benefits, maybe more In fact, "the system" encourages this: ā€“ PSAT, SAT, GMAT, LSAT, MCAT, Wonderlic, lots of tests to prove my analytical thinking ā€“ we even had tests that were designed to tell me which fields I should go into
  • 4. But the formula is changing India produces 350,000 engineering grads each year. China produces nearly as many engineering grads as the US. Egypt, Brazil, Poland, other countries are following suit. They get paid a lot less (US$15k/yr or less)
  • 6. John Henry was a "steel-driving man", "born with a hammer in his hand" When a man came by with a steam-powered drill, John Henry challenged the drill to a race "John Henry said I feed four little brothers, and my baby sisterā€™s walking on her knees, did the Lord say that machines ought to take the place of living, and whatā€™s a substitute for bread and beans, I ainā€™t seen it, do engines get rewarded for their steam" (The Legend of John Henry, by Johnny Cash) He wonā€¦ and died
  • 8. Garry Kasparov is "the finest chess player of his generation, perhaps the greatest of all time" He won his first world championship in 1985 For the next decade, he never lost a match Until he lost to a computer (Deep Blue) in 1997 (But at least he didn't die)
  • 9. Automation (that is, software) threatens programmers more than all the other outsourcing sources ever could It allows the unskilled to do the work that used to remain the sole province of the skilled (us) (If it makes you feel any better, doctors, lawyers, accountants and engineers are in just as much deep doo-doo)
  • 10. So how do we stop this?
  • 12. We can only evolve
  • 14. Anybody can be him Anybody can have an idea that can make (or save) the company a million dollars Anybody can design the next iPod Anybody can suggest the perfect solution for the project that makes everything just flow
  • 15. i * con * o * clast n A person who does something that others say can't be done
  • 16. In 725 AD, Leo III tore down the golden icon of Christ over his throne as an act of defiance against the Church, to consolidate his power He was the first iconoclast: "destroyer of icons" Since that time, certain individuals have seen differently, and refused to accept status quo By doing so, they made the world better
  • 17. Iconoclasts: ļ¬ Florence Nightingale ļ¬ Jackie Robinson ļ¬ Walt Disney ļ¬ Ray Kroc ļ¬ David Dreman ļ¬ Howard Armstrong ļ¬ Branch Rickey ļ¬ Dixie Chicks ļ¬ Martin Luther King, Jr. ļ¬ Solomon Asch
  • 18. Others have accomplished more localized, modest goals, but iconoclastic nonetheless: ļ¬ Alan Kay ā€“ Smalltalk ļ¬ Linus Torvalds ā€“ Linux ļ¬ Dave Thomas ā€“ Naked Objects, Ruby, Pragmatic Publishers ļ¬ Edward Djikstra ā€“ "goto considered harmful" ļ¬ Robin Milner ā€“ ML
  • 19. This, then, is your goal: become an iconoclast
  • 20. Iconoclasm consists of three things: ļ¬ seeing differently ļ¬ overcoming fear ļ¬ exercising social intelligence
  • 21. The brain is a highly energy-constrained device It operates on about 40 watts of power To maximize its efficiency, it takes shortcuts
  • 22. What do you see here?
  • 23. The brain is taking shortcuts, via a form of pattern recognition Perception is a matter of the brain, not the eyes
  • 24. Which line is longer? More importantly, why does your brain intuitively respond with the wrong information?
  • 25. What if we reverse the picture?
  • 26. The most likely way we perceive something will be in a manner consistent with your past experience In the lines diagram, the commonality of vertical perspective leads your brain to interpret it incorrectly
  • 27. When I show you this picture, what do you see?
  • 28. Do you recognize this man?
  • 29. How about his glass?
  • 30. Dale Chihuly is quite possibly the most successful businessman-artist in history He manages a studio of ~100 people He is one of the few American artists to have a solo show at the Louvre His pieces go from $25k to over $1million All because he lost an eye
  • 31. Do you recognize this woman?
  • 32. Florence Nightingale, literally, saved your life In 1854, Nightingale observed that more soldiers were dying of disease than battle She presented a pie chart to Queen Victoria depicting the numerical differences This forced the military and medical community to see medical care facilities in a new light
  • 33. Iconoclasts see things differently To do that, you must change your perception ā€¦ but thatā€™s not enough
  • 34. Do you recognize this group?
  • 35. In March 2003, an entirely new iconoclast was born, almost entirely by accident: During a concert in London, Natalie Maines, lead singer of the Dixie Chicks, tossed off this single sentence during a break in the music: "We're ashamed the President of the United States is from Texas"
  • 36. Maines received death threats, including one that couldn't have been plainer: "You will be shot dead at your show in Dallas." She was forced to get round-the-clock protection for her and her family A radio station van driver driving down the freeway had a shotgun pointed at himā€¦ ā€¦ because the Dixie Chicks portrait was painted on the side of the van
  • 38. Their next album, three years later (2006), floundered on the Billboard chartsā€¦ radio stations refused to play their music, stillā€¦ ā€¦ even though that album was the #1 download on iTunes
  • 39. Consider this problem: Two urns in front of you Left-hand urn contains 9 black & 9 white marbles Right-hand urn contains 18 marbles of unknown proportions (black/white)
  • 40. Your objective: Draw a black marble from an urn Which urn do you choose?
  • 41. Your objective: Draw a white marble from an urn Which urn do you choose?
  • 42. This is known as the Ellsberg Paradox If the left-hand urn is better for pulling a black marble, why would you choose it when trying to pull a white marble? Logically, the other (unknown) urn is the better choice According to the psychologists, this is caused by your fear of the unknownā€¦ also known as ambiguity aversionā€¦ ā€¦ that leads to a bad (or irrational) choice
  • 43. Do you recognize this craft?
  • 45. In 1986, the Challenger was destroyed during launch because of a faulty O-ring design that could not handle the freezing temperatures of the previous night Subsequent investigation found "The failureā€¦ probably began with the faulty design of its joint and increased as both NASA and contractor management first failed to recognize it as a problem, then failed to fix it, and finally treated it as an acceptable flight risk."
  • 46. The failure at NASA is a repeatable one Your company probably participates in the same kind of dynamic without realizing it
  • 47. In the 1950s, Solomon Asche conducted an experiment with 12 people: "Which line matches the length of the left line?ā€œ A B C
  • 48. Recognize the law of large numbers? "The average guess of a group of individuals is better than any one individual's, and often better than the best individual's, guess." It's biologically wired into us: follow the herd And thatā€™s not always a bad thing!
  • 49. Fear can drive bad decision-making Thus, we should avoid emotional decisions, right?
  • 50. Scientists have discovered that we cannot make a decision without the use of emotion It is literally the emotional centers of the brain that make the decision, not the analytical And, in fact, the emotional centers can often be more right than the analyticalā€”the brain can subconsciously pick up on cues that we don't even recognize consciously
  • 51. The iconoclast feels fear, like anyone else. They simply refuse to allow fear to dominate their actions or responses. "One who fears the future, who fears failure, limits his activities. Failure is only the opportunity to more intelligently begin again. There is no disgrace in honest failure; there is disgrace in fearing to fail." ā€“Henry Ford
  • 53. David Hanimeier Hansson created Rails Ruby-on-Rails opined a number of ideas contradictory to the manner of the status quo of the time: ļ¬ convention over configuration ļ¬ dynamic type systems ļ¬ scripting languages He has been criticized, ostracized, and ridiculed, not for the thing he created, but for his actions and conduct thereafter
  • 54. Do you know who this is?
  • 55. Edwin Howard Armstrong invented, among other things, what we call FM radio He shared it with his friend, David Sarnoff, president of RCA ā€¦ ā€¦ who was heavily invested in AM technologyā€¦ ā€¦ and promptly set his engineers to work seeking to discredit Armstrong's work
  • 56. Anderson died on the 40th anniversary of his discovery He committed suicide He died alone, unrewarded and unrecognized
  • 57. This is the fate of the iconoclast who fails to recognize the importanceof the third component of iconoclasm: Social intelligence Because, right or wrong, if you can't convince anybody of the power of your vision, you may as well not have it Unless you're willing to wait for its success until after your death, of courseā€¦
  • 58. A tale of two painters
  • 59. Pablo Picasso's estate: $750million (1973) Produced 13,000+ paintings, 300+ sculptures People respected, admired and adored Picasso; many, in fact, were lovers Van Gogh died penniless and alone, 900 paintings to his name
  • 60. For an iconoclast, connecting with other people depends on two key aspects of social intelligence: ļ¬ Familiarityā€”productivity and exposure ļ¬ Reputationā€”shrink worlds
  • 61. Familiarity requires both name and face recognition; just one or the other doesn't work How many of you recognize him? How many of you can name him? The brain likes familiarityā€¦ (it quiets the amygdala) ā€¦ so strive to be familiar
  • 62. Reputation isn't just what people are saying about you in high school It's about shadow networksā€”an underlying network of "who knows whom" Your reputationā€”particularly that for a fair dealā€” will have huge impact on how people see you
  • 63. The combination (familiarity + reputation) is how you connect with peopleā€¦ and convince them
  • 64. Iconoclasm is just one way to weather the coming "perennial gale of creative destruction" Iconoclasts: ļ¬ see differently ļ¬ face down fears ļ¬ use social intelligence
  • 65. Now get out of here ā€¦ Be an iconoclast ā€¦ (even if itā€™s just a small one) ā€¦ and you will never lack for a job
  • 66. ReferencesReferences ļ¬ Iconoclast ā€“ Gregory Berns ļ¬ The Political Brain ā€“ Drew Westen ļ¬ Predictably Irrational ā€“ Daniel Ariely ļ¬ Sway ā€“ Ori Brafman and Rom Brafman ļ¬ How We Decide ā€“ Jonah Lehrer ļ¬ The World is Flat ā€“ Thomas L. Friedman ļ¬ Blink ā€“ Malcolm Gladwell ļ¬ A Whole New Mind ā€“ Daniel H. Pink ļ¬ Why We Make Mistakes ā€“ Joseph T. Hallinan ļ¬ The Blank Slate ā€“ Stephen Pinker ļ¬ How the Mind Works ā€“ Stephen Pinker ļ¬ Free Agent Nation ā€“ Daniel Pink ļ¬ The Tipping Point ā€“ Malcolm Gladwell ļ¬ Outliers ā€“ Malcolm Gladwell ļ¬ Quirkology ā€“ Wiseman ļ¬ More Sex is Safer Sex ā€“ Steven E. Landsburg