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Part I: Retain & Gain: Keeping
  Your Members Engaged

        Dr Paul Bedford
Acknowledgements
• Dr Melvyn Hillsdon

• Mike Hills

• FIA
Dr Paul Bedford
20 years in the fitness industry
MSc Exercise and Health behaviour
MSc Social Science research

PhD Factors that effect retention in the
gym environment
Dr Paul Bedford
In the last 6 years
Spoken to nearly,
13,000 members (48 Sites)
10,000 Tennis Club members (28 sites)
I have had 86 gym inductions
Joined 11 clubs

In an attempt to understand what it is
like to be a member of a health club
What do we know so far?
•   Contract length
•   Contract type
•   Gender
•   Age
•   Visit frequency in 1st 4 weeks
•   Inductions, exercise programme, support
2008 Retention report

01/01/2006 to 11/01/2007

293,527 member records

507 Clubs

259 Multi-site (11 operators)

248 Single-site operators.
1. Retention rate
   ‘The proportion of members who remain a member
   for any predetermined time period e.g., 3 months, 6
   months, 12 months etc.’

2. Attrition rate
  ‘The number of members, per thousand, that cancel
   per month’

3. Lifetime value
   ‘The average (median) length of membership or the
   lifespan of a membership.’
Retention rate for members joining from January 2006
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
    Proportion still members




                                           65.8%
               0




                                 0     2     4     6   8     10    12    14     16   18   20   22   24
                                                           Months since joining
Monthly risk of quitting
         6
         5
Risk of quitting (%)
 2       3
         1
         0       4




                       0   2   4   6    8     10 12 14 16          18   20   22   24
                                            Months since joining
Retention rate by gender
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
     Proportion still members




                                   0   2   4   6     8     10 12 14 16          18   20   22   24
                                                         Months since joining
                                                     sex = Male          sex = Female
Retention rate by age group
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
                                                             12 months income @ $35.00 = $370,346
    Proportion still members




                                       12 months income @ $35.00 = $312,676




                                   0     2    4     6    8     10 12 14 16          18   20       22   24
                                                             Months since joining
                                                   agegroup = 16-24            agegroup = 25-34
                                                   agegroup = 35-44            agegroup = 45+
Attrition rate and average length of membership
                                Attrition rate       Median length
                                (per thousand/month) of stay
                                                     (months)

Overall                          35.5              16.7

Age group
     16-24                       49.9              13.1
     25-34                       48.2              13.5
     35-44                       35.8              17.4
     45+                         24.1              >23

Gender
     Male                        33.7              18.2
     Female                      35.0              17.2
Retention rate by contract length
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
    Proportion still members




                                                                    $363,548.50 (1,000, 12 month members)




                                       $242,305.00 (1,000,1 month members)



                                   0   2    4     6     8     10 12 14 16            18    20    22     24
                                                            Months since joining
                                             contract = 1 month                contract = 2-11 months
                                             contract = 12 months
Table 2. Attrition rate and average length of membership
                                 Attrition rate       Median length
                                 (per thousand/month) of stay
                                                      (months)


Monthly dues (£)*
     <20                         55.8               11.9
     20-24.9                     62.0               11.6
     25-29.9                     60.0               12.2
     30-34.9                     53.2               12.5
     35-49.9                     55.9               12.2


Contract length*
     1 month                     90.3               7.0
     2-11 months                 81.3               8.5
     12 months                   55.8               12.2
Now they’ve joined what can
         you do?
Should I have an induction
      programme?
A randomised controlled trial of the effects
 of interactions on membership retention:
              Dr Paul Bedford
60 minute standard
            induction + 60 minute
                   support




60 minute
standard
induction
Monthly income based on a starting
                         membership of 1,000 paying $35.00 per month
                                                                                  No intervention
               £40,000
                                                                                  Intervention

               £35,000

               £30,000
                                                                              Total=$352,237
Total income




               £25,000

               £20,000

               £15,000

               £10,000
                                                                              Total=$245,137

                £5,000

                   £0
                          1   2   3   4   5   6   7    8   9   10   11   12
                                              Months
Attrition Rate
Intervention group
60 minutes + 60 minutes support    24.3 per 1000 per month


Control group
60 minute standard induction       77.6 per 1000 per month



       Difference of 53 per 1000 per month
Do visits increase retention?
Retention rate by visits
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
    Proportion still members




                                   0   2    4        6       8       10     12       14      16
                                                    Months since joining
                                           M3g = 0 visits           M3g = 1-3 visits
                                           M3g = 4-7 visits         M3g = 8 or more visits
Can we manipulate a
member’s visit frequency?
Club X
Nearly two thirds of members (64%) report
either never or only rarely being spoken to
while working out. The proportion is higher
in older members, regular users and
perhaps more worryingly, new members.
Acknowledgement to Gym service rating
          Area        Acknowledgement   Gym service rating
 London                    19%                 4.8
 M25 Ring                  22%                 5.2

 West Midlands             38%                 5.7

 Yorkshire                 20%                 4.9

 Greater Manchester        55%                 6.1

 Liverpool                  9%                 3.8

 South Wales               22%                 4.7

 South East                28%                 4.8
Spoken to per visit
                                  Probability of a member reporting it likely they will still be using
                                  the club in 6 months by frequency of gym staff communication

                                              1
                              1
                                                                                     This means
                                                                                   60% less likely
                            0.9


                            0.8
Odds of being a club user




                            0.7


                            0.6


                            0.5
                                                                0.4
                            0.4
                                                                                               0.3      0.3
                            0.3


                            0.2

                            0.1


                              0

                                       Every visit        Occasionally                       Rarely   Never

                                                      Frequency of gym staff communication
Average visit frequency pre and post interaction




Pre interaction people |
          more             more a ctive |    more often
Post Interaction
The probability of making a visit next month
   if fitness staff talk to you during a visit this
   month compared to if they don’t.


                 1 Interaction   2-3 Interactions   4+ interactions
Probability of
visiting next    20% more        50% more           80% more
month when       likely to       likely to          likely to
compared to no
interaction
                 visit           visit              visit
Does talking to members
  save memberships?
0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00
Proportion still members                                                                Retention by any interaction or not




                                                                                0   2     4     6       8       10       12      14   16   18
                                                                                                    Months since joining

                                                                                                    inttot = 0          inttot = 1
Cancellation rate and median length of stay by interaction for members who made at least
one visit during the length of their membership
                     Cancellations per thousand     Median length of
                     per month                      membership
No interactions                  123.5                         4.9
At least 1                        39.9                         14.5
interaction
Income from dues based on 1,000 members paying $35.00 per
                                                           month over 17 months

                    £35,000
                                                                                                   No interaction
                    £30,000                                                                        At least 1 interaction
Income per period




                    £25,000

                    £20,000

                    £15,000
                                                                                               Total = $438,907

                    £10,000

                     £5,000
                                                                                               Total = $227,448
                        £0
                              0   1   2   3   4   5    6   7   8   9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
                                                      Months since joined
Monthly risk of quitting by interaction
          5
  Risk of quitting (%)
1     2   0  3       4




                         0   2        4     6       8       10      12     14   16
                                           Months since joining
                                            inttot = 0        inttot = 1
0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00
Proportion still members                                                                    Retention by any interaction or not




                                                                                0   2   4   6   8   10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32
                                                                                                       Months since joining

                                                                                                       inttot = 0    inttot = 1
Retention rate by interaction by month 10
                                                    Retention rate in visits
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
     Proportion still members




                                   0     2      4     6      8      10      12         14   16
                                                       Months since joining
                                                       inttot = 0         inttot = 1
Ratings of customer service   (1-10*) by fitness staff communication and
gym usage (%)
                <7            7           8           >8
                Detractors    Satisfied   Satisfied   Promoter
Fitness
communication
Never            21.56        23.75       48.75       5.94
Rarely           12.01        32.47       49.35       6.17
Occasionally    10.27         37.50       47.77       4.46
Every visit      11.54        12.31       50.77       25.38

Gym usage
  1/week        19.05         36.19       37.14       7.62
2/week          11.89         21.62       56.76       9.73
  3/week        14.37         28.87       48.59       8.17
Likelihood of recommending a friend (0-10) by fitness staff
communication and gym usage
                  <7     7           8         9           10

Frequency of
gym staff
communication
(%)
Every visit     5.43       12.40     31.78      10.85     39.53
Occasionally    12.05      13.39     44.20      13.84     16.52
Rarely          4.87       10.06     43.83      22.08     19.16
Never           13.04      18.63     26.40      13.98     27.95

Gym usage
  1/week        8.57       28.57     36.19      5.71      20.95
2/week          14.05      8.65      39.46      16.22     21.62
  3/week        7.88       12.94     36.29      17.72     25.18
• If you speak to members:
  – They turn up more often
  – They pay for longer
  – They rate your customer service higher
  – They are more likely to refer a friend
Questions
 Comments
Observations
paul@theleisuredatabase.com

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Keeping Health Club Members - Dr. Paul Bedford, IHRSA 2009

  • 1. Part I: Retain & Gain: Keeping Your Members Engaged Dr Paul Bedford
  • 2. Acknowledgements • Dr Melvyn Hillsdon • Mike Hills • FIA
  • 3. Dr Paul Bedford 20 years in the fitness industry MSc Exercise and Health behaviour MSc Social Science research PhD Factors that effect retention in the gym environment
  • 4. Dr Paul Bedford In the last 6 years Spoken to nearly, 13,000 members (48 Sites) 10,000 Tennis Club members (28 sites) I have had 86 gym inductions Joined 11 clubs In an attempt to understand what it is like to be a member of a health club
  • 5. What do we know so far? • Contract length • Contract type • Gender • Age • Visit frequency in 1st 4 weeks • Inductions, exercise programme, support
  • 6. 2008 Retention report 01/01/2006 to 11/01/2007 293,527 member records 507 Clubs 259 Multi-site (11 operators) 248 Single-site operators.
  • 7. 1. Retention rate ‘The proportion of members who remain a member for any predetermined time period e.g., 3 months, 6 months, 12 months etc.’ 2. Attrition rate ‘The number of members, per thousand, that cancel per month’ 3. Lifetime value ‘The average (median) length of membership or the lifespan of a membership.’
  • 8. Retention rate for members joining from January 2006 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Proportion still members 65.8% 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Months since joining
  • 9. Monthly risk of quitting 6 5 Risk of quitting (%) 2 3 1 0 4 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Months since joining
  • 10. Retention rate by gender 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Proportion still members 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Months since joining sex = Male sex = Female
  • 11. Retention rate by age group 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 12 months income @ $35.00 = $370,346 Proportion still members 12 months income @ $35.00 = $312,676 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Months since joining agegroup = 16-24 agegroup = 25-34 agegroup = 35-44 agegroup = 45+
  • 12. Attrition rate and average length of membership Attrition rate Median length (per thousand/month) of stay (months) Overall 35.5 16.7 Age group 16-24 49.9 13.1 25-34 48.2 13.5 35-44 35.8 17.4 45+ 24.1 >23 Gender Male 33.7 18.2 Female 35.0 17.2
  • 13. Retention rate by contract length 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Proportion still members $363,548.50 (1,000, 12 month members) $242,305.00 (1,000,1 month members) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Months since joining contract = 1 month contract = 2-11 months contract = 12 months
  • 14. Table 2. Attrition rate and average length of membership Attrition rate Median length (per thousand/month) of stay (months) Monthly dues (£)* <20 55.8 11.9 20-24.9 62.0 11.6 25-29.9 60.0 12.2 30-34.9 53.2 12.5 35-49.9 55.9 12.2 Contract length* 1 month 90.3 7.0 2-11 months 81.3 8.5 12 months 55.8 12.2
  • 15. Now they’ve joined what can you do?
  • 16. Should I have an induction programme?
  • 17. A randomised controlled trial of the effects of interactions on membership retention: Dr Paul Bedford
  • 18. 60 minute standard induction + 60 minute support 60 minute standard induction
  • 19. Monthly income based on a starting membership of 1,000 paying $35.00 per month No intervention £40,000 Intervention £35,000 £30,000 Total=$352,237 Total income £25,000 £20,000 £15,000 £10,000 Total=$245,137 £5,000 £0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Months
  • 20. Attrition Rate Intervention group 60 minutes + 60 minutes support 24.3 per 1000 per month Control group 60 minute standard induction 77.6 per 1000 per month Difference of 53 per 1000 per month
  • 21. Do visits increase retention?
  • 22. Retention rate by visits 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Proportion still members 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Months since joining M3g = 0 visits M3g = 1-3 visits M3g = 4-7 visits M3g = 8 or more visits
  • 23. Can we manipulate a member’s visit frequency?
  • 24. Club X Nearly two thirds of members (64%) report either never or only rarely being spoken to while working out. The proportion is higher in older members, regular users and perhaps more worryingly, new members.
  • 25. Acknowledgement to Gym service rating Area Acknowledgement Gym service rating London 19% 4.8 M25 Ring 22% 5.2 West Midlands 38% 5.7 Yorkshire 20% 4.9 Greater Manchester 55% 6.1 Liverpool 9% 3.8 South Wales 22% 4.7 South East 28% 4.8
  • 26. Spoken to per visit Probability of a member reporting it likely they will still be using the club in 6 months by frequency of gym staff communication 1 1 This means 60% less likely 0.9 0.8 Odds of being a club user 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Every visit Occasionally Rarely Never Frequency of gym staff communication
  • 27. Average visit frequency pre and post interaction Pre interaction people | more more a ctive | more often Post Interaction
  • 28. The probability of making a visit next month if fitness staff talk to you during a visit this month compared to if they don’t. 1 Interaction 2-3 Interactions 4+ interactions Probability of visiting next 20% more 50% more 80% more month when likely to likely to likely to compared to no interaction visit visit visit
  • 29. Does talking to members save memberships?
  • 30. 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 Proportion still members Retention by any interaction or not 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Months since joining inttot = 0 inttot = 1
  • 31. Cancellation rate and median length of stay by interaction for members who made at least one visit during the length of their membership Cancellations per thousand Median length of per month membership No interactions 123.5 4.9 At least 1 39.9 14.5 interaction
  • 32. Income from dues based on 1,000 members paying $35.00 per month over 17 months £35,000 No interaction £30,000 At least 1 interaction Income per period £25,000 £20,000 £15,000 Total = $438,907 £10,000 £5,000 Total = $227,448 £0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Months since joined
  • 33. Monthly risk of quitting by interaction 5 Risk of quitting (%) 1 2 0 3 4 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Months since joining inttot = 0 inttot = 1
  • 34. 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 Proportion still members Retention by any interaction or not 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 Months since joining inttot = 0 inttot = 1
  • 35. Retention rate by interaction by month 10 Retention rate in visits 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Proportion still members 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Months since joining inttot = 0 inttot = 1
  • 36. Ratings of customer service (1-10*) by fitness staff communication and gym usage (%) <7 7 8 >8 Detractors Satisfied Satisfied Promoter Fitness communication Never 21.56 23.75 48.75 5.94 Rarely 12.01 32.47 49.35 6.17 Occasionally 10.27 37.50 47.77 4.46 Every visit 11.54 12.31 50.77 25.38 Gym usage 1/week 19.05 36.19 37.14 7.62 2/week 11.89 21.62 56.76 9.73 3/week 14.37 28.87 48.59 8.17
  • 37. Likelihood of recommending a friend (0-10) by fitness staff communication and gym usage <7 7 8 9 10 Frequency of gym staff communication (%) Every visit 5.43 12.40 31.78 10.85 39.53 Occasionally 12.05 13.39 44.20 13.84 16.52 Rarely 4.87 10.06 43.83 22.08 19.16 Never 13.04 18.63 26.40 13.98 27.95 Gym usage 1/week 8.57 28.57 36.19 5.71 20.95 2/week 14.05 8.65 39.46 16.22 21.62 3/week 7.88 12.94 36.29 17.72 25.18
  • 38. • If you speak to members: – They turn up more often – They pay for longer – They rate your customer service higher – They are more likely to refer a friend