This document discusses commercial real estate cycles and opportunities for investment. It argues that the commercial real estate cycle is at an opportune point, as the economic recovery has only strengthened for about 24 months. Many properties can still be bought below replacement cost. Banks still hold foreclosure inventory that is poised to be sold, presenting opportunities. Interest rates remain historically low, allowing long-term leverage. Rising rates and inflation are expected to increase rents and drive real estate prices higher rather than causing a downturn. The credit environment has loosened with increased loan demand, reinvigorating capital markets.
New highs in the equity markets prompt the questions, "Is it a good time to invest?" and "What is a good strategy?" Read on to see what Cornerstone Wealth Management's Chief Investment Officer Alan Skrainka, CFA, has to say.
Insight Summit 2017: Intelligent Risk Taking – Private Equity
Partners Capital View of the Future of Private Equity Investing
Stan Miranda, Founder and CEO, Partners Capital Investment Group
Presented at the third annual Insight Summit conference held on 7 November 2017 by London Business School’s AQR Asset Management Institute.
Systemic Risk in the Asset Management Industry - Michael Mendelson, Principal, AQR Capital Management
Presented at the AQR Asset Management Institute conference, Perspectives: Systemic Risk in Asset Management held on 26 April 2017 at London Business School.
New highs in the equity markets prompt the questions, "Is it a good time to invest?" and "What is a good strategy?" Read on to see what Cornerstone Wealth Management's Chief Investment Officer Alan Skrainka, CFA, has to say.
Insight Summit 2017: Intelligent Risk Taking – Private Equity
Partners Capital View of the Future of Private Equity Investing
Stan Miranda, Founder and CEO, Partners Capital Investment Group
Presented at the third annual Insight Summit conference held on 7 November 2017 by London Business School’s AQR Asset Management Institute.
Systemic Risk in the Asset Management Industry - Michael Mendelson, Principal, AQR Capital Management
Presented at the AQR Asset Management Institute conference, Perspectives: Systemic Risk in Asset Management held on 26 April 2017 at London Business School.
Insight Summit 2017: Intelligent Risk Taking - Active vs passive investing
Is factor investing a bubble? - René M. Stulz, Everett D. Reese Chair of Banking and Monetary Economics, Ohio State University
Presented at the third annual Insight Summit conference held on 7 November 2017 by London Business School’s AQR Asset Management Institute.
BoyarMiller Breakfast Forum Current State of the Capital Markets - 2014BoyarMiller
As part of its ongoing Breakfast Forum series, BoyarMiller gathers industry experts for a panel discussion on the Current State of the Capital Markets. Speakers include: Lee Partridge, Salient Partners; Cliff Atherton, GulfStar Group; and Paul Murphy, Cadence Bancorp, LLC.
Objective: The investment objective of Avasar Hudson Partners, LP (‘Fund’) is to generate superior long term returns while minimizing realized investment losses.
GENERAL DISCLAIMER: The information contained herein regarding Avasar Hudson Partners, LP (the "Fund") has been prepared solely for illustration and discussion purposes and is not intended to be, nor should it be construed or used as, an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any limited partnership interests in the Fund.
Avasar Partners, 157 Columbus Ave, 4th Floor, New York, NY 10023 Tel: 646‐216‐9890 Email: jjani@avasarpartners.com
Investment Strategy: The fund’s investment manager utilizes a bottom up fundamental research driven Long/Short equity strategy focusing primarily on US equities preferably of small and midcap companies.
Portfolio: Highly selective best ideas portfolio with concentrated positions (<10 Longs). Net exposure is variable based upon opportunities through the cycle. Risk is managed at the investment and portfolio level to limit realized losses at both levels.
Investment Process: Repeatable investment process of Buying equities at attractive prices; Creating a knowledge advantage through detailed research often over years; Identifying value enhancing catalysts; Sizing the position given the opportunity; Patiently managing through volatility to realize gains.
Team: The team has over 15 years of Investment and Credit experience through market cycle and multiple crises. Sidarth Kapoor, CFA, as Portfolio Manager managed a $300 million equity portfolio at Principled Capital Management. Jatin Jani, CFA, as Investment Analyst directly supported investments of $200 million at Principled Capital Management. Both worked in the Credit Division of Mizuho Corporate Bank.
Commitment: The Principals are committed towards meeting their objective with skin in the game and a focus to win.
Just starting out on your investment journey?
Or have you been investing for a while and need a refresher?
A smart investor takes the time to be clear on the basic principles of investing and uses these to improve investing skills over time and more importantly, to avoid the costly pitfalls. And a smart investor doesn't rely on good luck. Instead, they take the time to consider their investment goals. Then they develop a plan and choose investments that align with their needs and objectives.
This workshop will cover the following areas:
Taking control!
Your money and your life
Savings and investments
Risk and diversification
Investment strategies
Managed fund, shares and property
By attending this session you will gain a better understanding of the fundamental investment principles such as gearing, asset allocation, diversification, dollar cost averaging & compounding. You will leave with a deeper understanding of these concepts which can help you, as an investor, avoid making mistakes and losing substantial sums of money.
Giving you greater confidence, peace of mind and ultimately better financial outcomes
Nick Gahan
Senior Financial Advisor
Nick is passionate about holistic advice encompassing superannuation (including SMSFs), personal insurance, investments, estate planning, retirement planning and social security and ensuring his clients are receiving comprehensive advice.
Insight Summit 2017: Intelligent Risk Taking
Portfolio construction today - Cliff Asness, Managing & Founding Principal, AQR Capital Management
Presented at the third annual Insight Summit conference held on 7 November 2017 by London Business School’s AQR Asset Management Institute.
Domestic small cap equities are trading at significantly elevated valuation levels. This month we highlight some of the key data points relating to this overvaluation.
Investor sentiment is often affected by the most recent events and since sentiment is a powerful driver of both expectation and decision making, it is of utmost importance for any investor to continually, and soberly balance their views with longer term perspectives.
The Partnership invests in consumer and small business loans originated by peer-to-peer lending marketplaces such as Lending Club, Prosper Marketplace, Upstart, and Funding Circle. As an early mover in this
newly investable asset class, we believe that a diversified portfolio of consumer and small business loans can produce an attractive nonvolatile, uncorrelated return.
Cambridge Realty Capital Companies CEO Jeff Davis speaks at the Wisconsin Assisted Living
CEO Roundtable Discussions.
Follow him on Twitter: @jdaviscambridge
Energy Consulting Engineering 179D Energy Efficient Commercial Real Estate Ta...Kari Mueller, PE, LEED AP
What is the 179D Energy Efficient Commercial Real Estate Tax Deduction?
What are the 2015 and 2016 Congressional Updates to the Tax Deduction program?
What is the new ASHRAE 90.1 baseline for projects put into place in 2016?
How can Designers of public and government buildings capture income tax savings on projects that they specify energy efficient equipment and materials?
Insight Summit 2017: Intelligent Risk Taking - Active vs passive investing
Is factor investing a bubble? - René M. Stulz, Everett D. Reese Chair of Banking and Monetary Economics, Ohio State University
Presented at the third annual Insight Summit conference held on 7 November 2017 by London Business School’s AQR Asset Management Institute.
BoyarMiller Breakfast Forum Current State of the Capital Markets - 2014BoyarMiller
As part of its ongoing Breakfast Forum series, BoyarMiller gathers industry experts for a panel discussion on the Current State of the Capital Markets. Speakers include: Lee Partridge, Salient Partners; Cliff Atherton, GulfStar Group; and Paul Murphy, Cadence Bancorp, LLC.
Objective: The investment objective of Avasar Hudson Partners, LP (‘Fund’) is to generate superior long term returns while minimizing realized investment losses.
GENERAL DISCLAIMER: The information contained herein regarding Avasar Hudson Partners, LP (the "Fund") has been prepared solely for illustration and discussion purposes and is not intended to be, nor should it be construed or used as, an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any limited partnership interests in the Fund.
Avasar Partners, 157 Columbus Ave, 4th Floor, New York, NY 10023 Tel: 646‐216‐9890 Email: jjani@avasarpartners.com
Investment Strategy: The fund’s investment manager utilizes a bottom up fundamental research driven Long/Short equity strategy focusing primarily on US equities preferably of small and midcap companies.
Portfolio: Highly selective best ideas portfolio with concentrated positions (<10 Longs). Net exposure is variable based upon opportunities through the cycle. Risk is managed at the investment and portfolio level to limit realized losses at both levels.
Investment Process: Repeatable investment process of Buying equities at attractive prices; Creating a knowledge advantage through detailed research often over years; Identifying value enhancing catalysts; Sizing the position given the opportunity; Patiently managing through volatility to realize gains.
Team: The team has over 15 years of Investment and Credit experience through market cycle and multiple crises. Sidarth Kapoor, CFA, as Portfolio Manager managed a $300 million equity portfolio at Principled Capital Management. Jatin Jani, CFA, as Investment Analyst directly supported investments of $200 million at Principled Capital Management. Both worked in the Credit Division of Mizuho Corporate Bank.
Commitment: The Principals are committed towards meeting their objective with skin in the game and a focus to win.
Just starting out on your investment journey?
Or have you been investing for a while and need a refresher?
A smart investor takes the time to be clear on the basic principles of investing and uses these to improve investing skills over time and more importantly, to avoid the costly pitfalls. And a smart investor doesn't rely on good luck. Instead, they take the time to consider their investment goals. Then they develop a plan and choose investments that align with their needs and objectives.
This workshop will cover the following areas:
Taking control!
Your money and your life
Savings and investments
Risk and diversification
Investment strategies
Managed fund, shares and property
By attending this session you will gain a better understanding of the fundamental investment principles such as gearing, asset allocation, diversification, dollar cost averaging & compounding. You will leave with a deeper understanding of these concepts which can help you, as an investor, avoid making mistakes and losing substantial sums of money.
Giving you greater confidence, peace of mind and ultimately better financial outcomes
Nick Gahan
Senior Financial Advisor
Nick is passionate about holistic advice encompassing superannuation (including SMSFs), personal insurance, investments, estate planning, retirement planning and social security and ensuring his clients are receiving comprehensive advice.
Insight Summit 2017: Intelligent Risk Taking
Portfolio construction today - Cliff Asness, Managing & Founding Principal, AQR Capital Management
Presented at the third annual Insight Summit conference held on 7 November 2017 by London Business School’s AQR Asset Management Institute.
Domestic small cap equities are trading at significantly elevated valuation levels. This month we highlight some of the key data points relating to this overvaluation.
Investor sentiment is often affected by the most recent events and since sentiment is a powerful driver of both expectation and decision making, it is of utmost importance for any investor to continually, and soberly balance their views with longer term perspectives.
The Partnership invests in consumer and small business loans originated by peer-to-peer lending marketplaces such as Lending Club, Prosper Marketplace, Upstart, and Funding Circle. As an early mover in this
newly investable asset class, we believe that a diversified portfolio of consumer and small business loans can produce an attractive nonvolatile, uncorrelated return.
Cambridge Realty Capital Companies CEO Jeff Davis speaks at the Wisconsin Assisted Living
CEO Roundtable Discussions.
Follow him on Twitter: @jdaviscambridge
Energy Consulting Engineering 179D Energy Efficient Commercial Real Estate Ta...Kari Mueller, PE, LEED AP
What is the 179D Energy Efficient Commercial Real Estate Tax Deduction?
What are the 2015 and 2016 Congressional Updates to the Tax Deduction program?
What is the new ASHRAE 90.1 baseline for projects put into place in 2016?
How can Designers of public and government buildings capture income tax savings on projects that they specify energy efficient equipment and materials?
Social Networking For Commercial Real Estate For Previous Versionsbob_sibdu
A presentation on what commercial and investment real estate pros should do when starting out in social networking and professional networking via the Internet
Commercial Real Estate Market Cycles: How They Affect Your Local MarketCCIM Institute
Learn how to analyze your local market and compare it to tenants and investors in other markets. With his 35 years of commercial real estate research expertise, Dr. Mueller analyzes supply/demand factors for the five major property types and how they affect occupancies and rents in 55 U.S. markets. Gain a deeper understanding of commercial real estate fundamentals and learn how to turn market cycle information into useable knowledge for decision making.
CRM Software for Commercial Real Estate – Act SoftwareSwiftpage
Buy CRM for Commercial Real Estate at: http://www.actplatinum.com/Merchant2/merchant.mvc?Screen=CTGY&Category_Code=COMMREACT
*** Free Test Drive at website***
Act! is the #1 best-selling Contact & Customer Manager, trusted by individuals, teams, and companies for over 25 years. Act! is for Everyone, and especially for commercial real estate professionals!
Act! is based on Contacts - the people you do business with...
Leads, Prospects, Buyers,
Sellers, Investors, Owners,
Tenants, Agents, Brokers,
Lenders, Escrow, Inspectors,
Developers, Builders, Contractors…
But most importantly Your Customers
Act! helps you keep track of all that valuable information about your relationships in a single, organized view. With the Act! Database customized for Commercial Real Estate, Store basic contact details. Identify if they are an owner or buyer, their timeframe, motivation and referral information. You can also specify what the criteria are in a property search.
Store contact details and associated notes, history, emails, activities, property transactions, works with Microsoft Office, web applications, popular websites including MLS and social media, and has powerful search features to find the information when you need it.
The customized Opportunities area is where you will manage your Properties. You will be able to keep multiple properties for your customers. Each property record will contain Details including the property type, identify if it is for sale or lease, the address, and you can include a picture. In the status area you can categorize the record as a Property, a Deal or a Lease by selecting the associated process and the current stage. You can store any related commission amounts and Act! will automatically calculate any split amounts based on the percentages you enter.
On the Property Info Tab you can enter the Building, Land, Parking and Industrial specs. On the Deal Info Tab you can track the Deal Numbers, the Deal Parties and Key Deal Dates. On the Lease Info Tab track the Lease Terms including the Expiration Date for renewals and the Parties to the Lease.
Use the Calendars to keep track of your schedule so follow-up is simple.
All of your contacts can be organized into companies and groups to segment your database. Act helps you grow your business - it now includes basic Email Marketing. Let people know when you have a New Listing, Project, Event or Newsletter.
Check out your results with customized Dashboards for your Deals and Leases. There are also over 50 Reports and with any of the Act! list views you'll have the one click Export to Excel feature for quick and easy reporting.
Take your Act! on the Go by using the Web or Web Mobile access.
Now the only place to buy Act! with the customized for Commercial Real Estate database is at www.actplatinum.com - the number #1 Diamond Select Partner in the US and where you will find the latest sales, promotions and coupons.
Commercial Real Estate and Its Various AspectsManaan Choksi
Commercial real estate brokerage is something you can be very passionate about. There are plenty of opportunities to work on and convert if you are an agent or broker. The property market is changing constantly, and you can use this change to convert more listings and commissions if you watch what your market indicators are doing now and how they are heading.
Matt Doheny: The Best Time To Buy Commercial Real EstateMatt Doheny
Commercial property offers better value than its residential counterpart. However, despite the relative ease of investing in commercial property, strategic thinking helps maximize the value of one’s purchase. Like with any other type of investment, the aim is to “buy low and sell high.” So when is the best time to buy low? The answer lies in the real estate value cycle. Learn more in this presentation by Matt Doheny.
Commercial Real Estate and Social Media - National Association of REALTORS Co...Doug Devitre
The National Association of REALTORS Commercial Signature Series brings Doug Devitre to present Commercial Real Estate and Social Media for its members.
The examples are specific to how commercial real estate professionals can use social media in their business to serve their clients, market their services, and remain relevant in the industry.
The Signature Series Speakers Bureau offers commercial overlay boards and state and local associations access to expert speakers and trainers that have dramatically reduced their fees for REALTORS®. Our goal is to assist in providing affordable, quality education for members at the state and local level. Speakers can also design a program to meet the specific needs of your audience.
Portafolio de trabajos de MineGains Internet Marketing Developers, presencia en internet para medianas y pequeñas empresas y profesionales, negocios por internet y marketing digital en Ecuador.
A verse by verse commentary on Psalm 51 dealing with David pleading for God's mercy in washing away all of his sins. He says he sinned against God alone, and God alone can wash him white as snow.He asks to be restored to the joy of his salvation.
Jordan Wirsz, CEO of Savant Investment Partners goes provides an in-depth analysis of how the economic situations in both China and Greece/Europe are affecting the real estate markets here in the US.
Capital Markets Review for Financial AdvisorsCraig Wesley
Many Financial Advisors are looked to by their clients to explain market conditions. Here is a slideshare that may be useful to distill into a high level explanation for your clients.
www.optimalcapital.com
Information to help you and your family manage your inheritance questions, plan your retirement and ensure you have sustainable cash flow to see you through your twilight years.
Newt is a cloud-based Software as a Service (SaaS) platform enabling enterprises to offer digital financial products and services. Digital financial technologies and infrastructure are reshaping payments, commerce, and access to financial services, creating a growing market opportunity for digital financial service disruptors like Newt.
Newt is a cloud-based Software as a Service (SaaS) platform enabling enterprises to offer digital financial products and services. Digital financial technologies and infrastructure are reshaping payments, commerce, and access to financial services, creating a growing market opportunity for digital financial service disruptors like Newt.
Many people misunderstand the true meaning of positive cash flow, assuming it is simply the result of putting money into a property and receiving a small return. In reality, positive cash flow represents a significant milestone in achieving financial freedom through real estate investments
Avison commercial office leasing market report toronto 2014Chris Fyvie
office space toronto, toronto office space, office search toronto, office space in toronto, office rentals toronto, commercial office space, commercial real estate toronto, office rent toronto, toronto offices for lease
Equity market what to expect in November 2021Vinod Prajapati
In the month of October Large, mid- and small-sized Indian equities performed within a relatively tight range.
So, how will the market perform in November? Here is what experts have to say...
2017-02-23 Are Bonds Safe? What Your Board Needs to Know about Interest Rate ...Raffa Learning Community
• How do interest rates effect bond prices?
• What is the likely future direction of interest rates and the resulting impact on bond prices?
• How do you know if your bonds are safe?
• Is owning bonds through bond mutual funds less safe?
• How to use investment policy to manage bond safety?
• Performance reporting and policy compliance – particularly related to bonds
On Tuesday, March 14th we hosted Andrew Weisman and Robert Bernstein for a conversation on controlling risk and trends they're seeing surrounding portfolio construction.
Similar to Jordan Wirsz - Investing in Commercial Real Estate (20)
Jordan Wirsz - Investing in Commercial Real Estate
1. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Real Estate Cycles & Secular Bull Market
Frontline commercial real estate investing with Jordan Wirsz
2. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Disclosures
Savant Investment Partners is a publisher. All content published herein (collectively, the “Content”) is
strictly intended for general informational and entertainment purposes only and may not be relied upon for
any other purpose. Reproduction of the Content by any means is prohibited without prior written
permission of Savant Investment Partners.
The views expressed in the Content are the authors' own opinions only and do not necessarily reflect the
views of Savant Investment Partners. None of the Content constitutes a recommendation that any
particular investment, security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any
specific person. Further, none of the creators or providers of our Content or their affiliates will advise
anyone personally concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular investment,
security, portfolio of securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter. Accordingly, do not
attempt to contact them seeking personalized investment advice, which they cannot provide. To the
extent any of the Content may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and
not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person.
Any performance data in the Content is supplied by sources believed to be reliable, that the calculations
therein are made using such data, and that such calculations are not guaranteed by these sources, the
information providers, or any other person or entity, and may not be complete. In addition, past
performance is not an indication of future results.
3. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Disclosures
THIS IS NOT AN OFFERING OR THE SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE AN INTEREST IN SAVANT
SYNDICATED INVESTMENTS. ANY SUCH OFFER OR SOLICITATION WILL ONLY BE MADE TO QUALIFIED INVESTORS
BY MEANS OF A CONFIDENTIAL PRIVATE PLACEMENT MEMORANDUM AND ONLY IN THOSE JURISDICTIONS WHERE
PERMITTED BY LAW.
AN INVESTMENT IN REAL ESTATE SYNDICATIONS ARE SPECULATIVE AND INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK.
OPPORTUNITIES FOR WITHDRAWAL, REDEMPTION AND TRANSFERABILITY OF INTERESTS MAYRESTRICTED, SO
INVESTORS MAY NOT HAVE ACCESS TO CAPITAL WHEN IT IS NEEDED.
THE FEES AND EXPENSES CHARGED IN CONNECTION WITH AN INVESTMENT WITH SAVANT MAY BE HIGHER THAN
THE FEES AND EXPENSES OF OTHER INVESTMENT ALTERNATIVES AND MAY OFFSET PROFITS. NO ASSURANCE
CAN BE GIVEN THAT ANY SAVANT INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE WILL BE ACHIEVED OR THAT AN INVESTOR WILL
RECEIVE A RETURN OF ALL OR PART OF HIS OR HER INVESTMENT. INVESTMENT RESULTS MAY VARY
SUBSTANTIALLY OVER ANY GIVEN TIME PERIOD.
The investment case studies shown herein are presented for informational purposes only. The case studies shown are included
to illustrate the application of the investment methodology of Savant Investment Partners, LLC (the “Manager”) in practice in order
to demonstrate catalysts for investment and sale, among other things. These case studies were executed through the [personal
account(s)] of principals of the Manager, clients of the Manager, or affiliates of the Manager, and are not necessarily indicative of
typical investment positions of Savant or their investors. The returns referenced in the case studies shown do not include the
impact of advisory fees or other expenses, which would serve to decrease profits or otherwise increase losses. It should not be
assumed that investments made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance results shown herein.
This material contains certain forward-looking statements and projections regarding the future performance and asset allocation of
our investors. These projections are included for illustrative purposes only. By their nature, forward-looking statements and
projections are inherently predictive, speculative, and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on
circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to
differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements and projections. No assurances can be
given that the forward-looking statements in this document will be realized. It is not intended that these forward-looking
statements will be updated in the future.
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
3
4. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.4
Notes Before We Start
Please ask questions and interact – we appreciate the participation
Some of the data charts may be dated due to infrequent updates to some specific charts
Please feel free to contact us after the presentation if you have any questions or would like to discuss the
topics.
You may request a copy of these slides from us directly by calling or emailing us.
5. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.5
The Catalyst for Opportunity
The Commercial Real Estate Cycle is at the right place to take
advantage of the opportunities.
6. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Why Commercial Real Estate?
Commercial real estate has yet to see the strong recovery that housing has, thus it remains
undervalued in many markets. Why? Simple: Economic recovery and availability of capital has
only been apparent for about 24 months. Housing is consumer based, which leads recoveries.
The commercial real estate cycle has only begun to turn bullish for the long-term. Investing at the
right time in the cycle is key – you want to swim with the current, not against it.
Many commercial properties can be bought far below replacement cost. In a normal market,
properties will sell for more than replacement cost. Why? Developers need entrepreneurial
incentive to build, so comparable existing prices must support new development.
Banks/Hedge Funds are still holding onto commercial foreclosure inventory, and it’s time for them
to sell their remaining assets, presenting opportunities for “value buyers” such as myself.
6
7. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
The Backdrop – Bullish Case for Real Estate
The real estate cycle is perhaps one of the most clear and consistent cycles to study.
Macro market will “peak” within 7 years.
7
2022
9. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Trends We Monitor By Area
Job growth
Population growth
Occupancy rates
Lease rates
Sales prices
New construction timing
Business trends and potential area impact
9
10. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
The Backdrop – Bullish Case for Real Estate
The CAPITAL market cycle is very tightly correlated to the PRICE cycle. When more capital is
chasing less space, prices rise. When capital tightens and demand for space decreases, prices fall.
10
11. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
As rates rise, banks have more incentive to lend with bigger margins. This means availability of capital
to borrow/increasing sales volume will increase also driving the increase in prices. There is a
relationship between rates and real estate prices, but not a direct 1-for-1
correlation.
11
The Backdrop – Bullish Case for Real Estate
30-year U.S. Bond Interest Rates
12. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
The current interest rate cycle is allowing long term leverage at historically low interest rates!
12
The Backdrop – Bullish Case for Real Estate
13. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Will higher interest rates mean “soft” real estate prices? No!
A conviction amongst the general public (who are always late to the correct conclusion) that
interest rates have bottomed will lead to a spurt of buying activity, which will drive prices higher.
Rising interest rates usually means rising inflation. Real estate usually does well in an
inflationary environment.
Higher interest rates and inflation will mean growing rents, which is positive for the price of
commercial real estate.
It is important to remember that we are at HISTORICAL LOWS in interest rates. A rise to 5%, 6%,
or even 6.5% is still relatively low, and real estate will have no problem continuing to thrive in that
type of rate environment.
13
The Backdrop – Bullish Case for Real Estate
14. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Credit “tightness” has declined, and loan demand is up!
14
The Lending Environment
Capital Markets Are Back!
15. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
The relationship between money supply and inflation is largely misunderstood. The financial crisis
in 2008 created a debt deleveraging process, which is by nature deflationary. This debt that was
extinguished effectively netted out against any money that was printed.
Up until the real estate crash, the adjusted monetary base and real estate prices in the U.S. were
highly correlated. The deleveraging process - concentrated mostly in real estate and consumer
debt - created a temporary disconnect that we believe will reverse. This means increasing real
estate prices.
15
The Backdrop – Inflationary Pressures
0%
1000%
2000%
3000%
4000%
5000%
Jan1975
Aug1976
Mar1978
Oct1979
May1981
Dec1982
Jul1984
Feb1986
Sep1987
Apr1989
Nov1990
Jun1992
Jan1994
Aug1995
Mar1997
Oct1998
May2000
Dec2001
Jul2003
Feb2005
Sep2006
Apr2008
Nov2009
Jun2011
Jan2013
Aug2014
U.S. Real Estate Prices vs Adjusted Monetary Base
U.S. Real Estate Price Index Adjusted Monetary Base
16. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Replacement costs rise during inflationary periods. Today, you can still buy commercial real estate
well below replacement cost. Thus, we expect to “double end” the gains with market conditions
recovering to replacement cost levels, in addition to the inflationary tailwinds which will raise rents.
16
The Backdrop – Bullish Case for Real Estate
17. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Step #1: Find the right deal.
BANKS: Still have foreclosure inventory that they are usually willing to sell at 20-25%
discounts to current market value.
HEDGE FUNDS: Bought notes during the downturn for pennies on the dollar. They then
foreclosed on the assets, and now they are liquidating assets to capture liquidity and
profits. They have also mismanaged assets due to extreme workload and lack of motivation
to extract every ounce of value.
DISTRESSED SELLERS: Many sellers have “hung on” during the tough times and are
now wanting to sell their assets. They have often mismanaged their properties, have high
vacancy rates and the properties are in need of fix-up or repairs, and the sellers simply
don’t have the funds to do that. Thus, they are selling a “value add” asset for less than
market.
17
“The Art of the Deal”
18. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Understanding Commercial Valuations
CAP Rates & “N.O.I.” = Net Operating Income
N.O.I. Means
Net Operating Income
After Taxes
After Insurance
After Management Fees
After other regular expenses
But BEFORE Debt payments
Think of “NOI” as your cash on cash
return, prior to paying debt payments.
CAP rates are figured with NOI
NOI Purchase Price = CAP
Example:
$100,000 NOI
$1,000,000 Purchase price = 10% CAP
Rate
CAP rates in general range from 5% to
10% depending on the asset itself.
18
19. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
It is important to understand that VALUE in commercial real estate is in the income stream.
Commercial properties are often valued on “CAP” (capitalization rates).
For example:
123 Main Street, Las Vegas, Nevada
10,000 square foot retail center
5 tenants
Net Operating Income (NOI): $80,000
Value at a 7% CAP Rate: $1,145,000
Value at a 8% CAP Rate: $1,000,000
Value at a 9% CAP Rate: $890,000
Every property is worth what an investor is willing to accept as its yield.
****Commercial Property Owners Buy The Income Stream.
19
Commercial CAP Rate Valuations
20. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
CAP Rates – Commercial Real Estate Returns
“CAP Rate” = Capitalization Rate i.e. “ROI”
More Risk = Higher CAP
Tertiary/smaller markets
Older, less desirable property
Uniqueness
Un-favored asset type
More complex property to manage or lease
High vacancy potential
Both the PROPERTY and the AREA can be
classified as A, B, C, or D in grade.
Lower Risk = Lower CAP
Mainstream markets (i.e. LA, San Fran.,
Phoenix, Chicago, etc.)
Newer construction
Easy to lease/manage
Highly favored asset type
Well-leased / low vacancy potential
20
21. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
My personal formula for evaluating the primary aspects of any deal are:
1. What is the price per foot to acquire and what is the price per foot to replace?
2. Is there room for growth in the rent rates?
3. What is the existing income and quality of tenants?
4. Is there room to create additional income by leasing vacant space?
5. What is the age/location grade of the property? A, B, or C?
***It is obviously a bit more complex than the above, but these points are where I start my evaluation
on every deal.
21
“The Art of the Deal”
22. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Retail shopping center in Las Vegas, Nevada
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200% Returns – Is It Possible???
23. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
I was presented with an opportunity to buy an asset from a hedge fund that needed to liquidate
prior to the end of November, 2014 for unknown, but “firm” circumstances.
The property was 81% leased at the time, and cash flowing a NOI of approx. $96,000.
Due to closing time constraints, the buyer needed to act fast and be committed. Savant was able
to meet those requirements.
We wrote an offer to purchase the property within 24 hours of touring it for the first time.
Due to our reputation of performance, we were awarded the contract to purchase.
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200% - My Deal
24. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Built in 2008
Existing leases with 7 tenants
81% Occupied
$96,000 existing NOI
Purchase price of $1,062,500 (9% CAP on existing income, better than market rate)
11,668 square feet ($91/ft. acquisition price – estimated $200/ft. + replacement cost)
$1,300,000 value estimate upon closing (almost $250k made day 1)
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200% - The Property
25. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Paid $1,062,500 on November 24, 2014
Financed $800,000
Down payment of $262,500 + closing costs (my equity investment)
At closing, I bought a 9% net investment that was also $250k below market value.
Immediately after closing, I approached the strongest of the existing tenants and determined if
any of them were interested in additional space. Indeed, the best and strongest tenant was
interested.
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200% - How I Did It
26. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
We negotiated the following terms on a new lease
with an existing tenant to expand their business:
7 year lease on the vacant 2,165 s.f. (now 100% occupied).
Renewed the tenant’s original space for a new 7 year term.
$1.25/s.f. lease rate + CAM Expenses ($.30/ft.).
3% annual increases in rent for the 7 year term.
Landlord (me) to pay $30k in tenant improvements.
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200% - How I Did It
27. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Purchase Price:
Tenant Improvements:
Total Basis:
Down Payment + TI’s:
New NOI:
Debt Service:
Cash Return:
Property Value based on 7.75% CAP rate with $140,000 of NOI =
$1,800,000
-$1,092,500 invested
-6% sales costs (I’m realistic)
= $599,500 Equity Profit (roughly 200%)
+ 29% annualized (leveraged) cash return on current income
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200% - How the Math Works Out
$1,062,500
$30,000
$1,092,500
$292,500
$140,000
$52,800 annually
$87,200 / 29.8% on my cash investment
28. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
***I can’t give you the “Savant Secret Sauce” but I can give you some pointers.
Contact small and large local commercial brokers and get on their email list for available
deals. Tell them you’re looking for “opportunistic” assets with “upside.”
Contact local banks/lenders and ask if they have any foreclosure inventory they want to sell.
Be on the lookout for distressed, tired, or undercapitalized sellers.
Finding the right opportunities requires having your ear to the ground, strategic relationships,
a keen and discerning eye, as well as a lot of persistence.
We “earn our keep” by finding the good deals and MAKING our deals exceptional.
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200% - How Do You Find These Kinds of 200% Deals?
29. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
***NOTE:
The example I just gave is an extraordinarily “Good Deal.” Not all commercial real estate investments
turn out as well, and this math example is not “typical” of commercial real estate investing.
We were able to achieve this extraordinary return by being aggressive in our acquisition negotiations,
our leasing negotiations, and utilizing our unique abilities to maximize property performance.
Are these results typical? No.
Are they possible from time to time? Absolutely.
As Warren Buffet says, “You can’t go broke making a profit.”
We strive to make every deal profitable…Some are better than others.
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200% - Typical? Definitely Not.
31. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
We strive to hit home runs on all of our acquisitions. However, the notorious story of the tortious and
the hare proves that slow and steady wins the race.
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Under Promise…Over Deliver.
33. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Investments in:
Geography:
Est. Avg. Cash Return:
Target Capital Appreciation:
Combined Targeted Return:
Hold Period:
Minimum Investment:
Qualifications:
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Over $100 Million in Transactions Since 2012
Commercial Real Estate Throughout The U.S.
(Office, Medical, Retail/Shopping, Industrial, Multi-Family)
Nationwide with emphasis on the S.W. region
7-10%
7% compounded annually (or better)
15% +
3-7 Years
$100,000
Must be an *accredited investor.
Introducing:
Savant Commercial Real Estate Syndications
34. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Why Savant CRE Investments?
We align our interests with yours by taking a reduced management fees in exchange for profit
participation with you.
We are aggressive, active and experienced managers. We thoroughly understand “the art of the
deal.”
We pride ourselves on 100% transparency to investors, quarterly reporting, and annual investor
meetings.
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The Savant Difference
35. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners. 35
Investor Capital Sources
*Usually 10 – 20% of investable assets are placed with us over time.
Dedicated Investment Capital
Self Directed IRA
Shift former employer 401k to Self-Directed IRA
38. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
What are the opportunities in front of us?
Collateralized Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) loan maturities are facing a “cliff” over
the next few years. This will provide strategic opportunities to acquire properties from
owners under pressure from banks to pay them off.
Banks/lenders still have foreclosure inventory that they are willing to sell at discounted
prices.
Commercial property owning baby boomers are looking for liquidity.
Hedge funds who acquired distressed assets are looking to divest and obtain liquidity.
Inexperienced real estate investors with poor management and inadequate capital to
upgrade the property need to sell.
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The Savant Opportunities Ahead
39. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Savant Notable Deals
$44.5 Million Multi-Family
$22.5 Million Multi-Family
$7.5 Million Development Land
$8.7 Million SFR Portfolio
$4.3 Million Luxury Portfolio
$2.0 Million Office Acquisition
$1.1 Million Retail Acquisition
$3.2 Million Industrial build-2-suit
Small or large, sexy or not.
Multi-Family
Office
Medical
Industrial
Retail/Shopping
Land Development
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40. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Interested in learning more about how to invest with us?
Call or e-mail us for:
A discussion of whether we are the right fit for your portfolio
A complete and detailed investor presentation about Savant and the CRE opportunities
A call with myself or one of our investment relations representatives
Inquire@SavantInvestments.com
(702) 474-3003
www.SavantInvestments.com
5586 S. Fort Apache Rd. Suite 120
Las Vegas, NV 89148
*Email me personally at: Jordan@SavantInvestments.com
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Commercial Real Estate Investments
41. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
The Savant Report
FREE Monthly Savant Report that
covers topics such as:
THE ECONOMY
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AGRICULTURE
& MORE
www.SavantReport.com
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42. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Disclosures
Savant Investment Partners is a publisher. All content published herein (collectively, the “Content”) is
strictly intended for general informational and entertainment purposes only and may not be relied upon for
any other purpose. Reproduction of the Content by any means is prohibited without prior written
permission of Savant Investment Partners.
The views expressed in the Content are the authors' own opinions only and do not necessarily reflect the
views of Savant Investment Partners. None of the Content constitutes a recommendation that any
particular investment, security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any
specific person. Further, none of the creators or providers of our Content or their affiliates will advise
anyone personally concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular investment,
security, portfolio of securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter. Accordingly, do not
attempt to contact them seeking personalized investment advice, which they cannot provide. To the
extent any of the Content may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and
not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person.
Any performance data in the Content is supplied by sources believed to be reliable, that the calculations
therein are made using such data, and that such calculations are not guaranteed by these sources, the
information providers, or any other person or entity, and may not be complete. In addition, past
performance is not an indication of future results.
43. Confidential. Copyright 2015 Savant Investment Partners.
Disclosures
THIS IS NOT AN OFFERING OR THE SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE AN INTEREST IN SAVANT
SYNDICATED INVESTMENTS. ANY SUCH OFFER OR SOLICITATION WILL ONLY BE MADE TO QUALIFIED INVESTORS
BY MEANS OF A CONFIDENTIAL PRIVATE PLACEMENT MEMORANDUM AND ONLY IN THOSE JURISDICTIONS WHERE
PERMITTED BY LAW.
AN INVESTMENT IN REAL ESTATE SYNDICATIONS ARE SPECULATIVE AND INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK.
OPPORTUNITIES FOR WITHDRAWAL, REDEMPTION AND TRANSFERABILITY OF INTERESTS MAYRESTRICTED, SO
INVESTORS MAY NOT HAVE ACCESS TO CAPITAL WHEN IT IS NEEDED.
THE FEES AND EXPENSES CHARGED IN CONNECTION WITH AN INVESTMENT WITH SAVANT MAY BE HIGHER THAN
THE FEES AND EXPENSES OF OTHER INVESTMENT ALTERNATIVES AND MAY OFFSET PROFITS. NO ASSURANCE
CAN BE GIVEN THAT ANY SAVANT INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE WILL BE ACHIEVED OR THAT AN INVESTOR WILL
RECEIVE A RETURN OF ALL OR PART OF HIS OR HER INVESTMENT. INVESTMENT RESULTS MAY VARY
SUBSTANTIALLY OVER ANY GIVEN TIME PERIOD.
The investment case studies shown herein are presented for informational purposes only. The case studies shown are included
to illustrate the application of the investment methodology of Savant Investment Partners, LLC (the “Manager”) in practice in order
to demonstrate catalysts for investment and sale, among other things. These case studies were executed through the [personal
account(s)] of principals of the Manager, clients of the Manager, or affiliates of the Manager, and are not necessarily indicative of
typical investment positions of Savant or their investors. The returns referenced in the case studies shown do not include the
impact of advisory fees or other expenses, which would serve to decrease profits or otherwise increase losses. It should not be
assumed that investments made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance results shown herein.
This material contains certain forward-looking statements and projections regarding the future performance and asset allocation of
our investors. These projections are included for illustrative purposes only. By their nature, forward-looking statements and
projections are inherently predictive, speculative, and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on
circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to
differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements and projections. No assurances can be
given that the forward-looking statements in this document will be realized. It is not intended that these forward-looking
statements will be updated in the future.
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
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