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Jobs report
surprises Street
• pg. 7
Building stronger
firm visibility • pg. 3
Relevance of risk-adjusted
returns • pg. 4
December 11 | Volume 4 | Issue 11
First magazine focused on active investment management
John McGonagle’s
SOCRATICAPPROACHHow frank dialogue delivers client solutions
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I am also a frequent speaker at in-
dustry events, have trained other fi-
nancial professionals, and contribute
to various publications, primarily as
an industry resource. Our firm belongs
to the Better Business Bureau and the
National Ethics Association, and I fea-
ture both of those prominently on our
website. On a more local basis, I take
part in several charitable events and
organizations.
I think all of these activities com-
bined fulfill a personal desire I have
to give back to the profession and the
community and to help in educating
people.”
hile I love to receive
new client referrals
from current clients, I also believe that
it is important to maintain a high level
of visibility in the community and in
the professional arena. I have done this
in a number of ways.
For several years I have been an
instructor at local college campuses,
offering two-day courses for those ap-
proaching retirement. I am sincerely
interested in educating people on the
issues of retirement, and it is a wonder-
ful way to meet new people. I am very
careful not to push the services of our
firm, but I do offer attendees the op-
portunity to have a personal two-hour
session at my office. I am happy just to
answer any specific personal questions
they may have and if a relationship
does develop, it is hopefully to both of
our benefit.
I have also hosted a local radio fi-
nancial program on Sunday mornings,
which I have had to cut back on recent-
ly due to family obligations, but hope
to resume on a regular basis once my
children are older. I have covered all
sorts of financial issues, including al-
ternative investment approaches and
active investment management. The re-
tirement landscape has changed forev-
er in America, and I have addressed the
unique retirement challenges that Baby
Boomers have to deal with.
Building stronger visibility
for an advisory firm
Rodger Sprouse
Overland Park, KS
Titan Securities
Sprouse Financial Group, Inc.
W“
Rodger Sprouse is a registered representative of and offers securities and investment advisory services through Titan Securities, member
FINRA/SIPC. Sprouse Financial Group is not affiliated with Titan Securities. All investments contain risk, including the loss of the entire
principle invested. There can be no assurance that any investment product will achieve its investment objective(s). Investments should be
considered based on personal investment objectives and suitability.
Read text only
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Contact
proactiveadvisormagazine.com/contact
Proactive Advisor Magazine
Copyright 2014 © Dynamic Performance Publishing,
Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction of printed form,
whole or in part, without permission is prohibited.
Editor
David Wismer
Associate Editor
Elizabeth Whitley
Contributing Writers
Dave Walton
David Wismer
Graphic Designer
Travis Bramble
Contributing Photographer
Tom McKenzie
December 11, 2014
Volume 4 | Issue 11
Proactive Advisor Magazine is
dedicated to promoting and educating
on active investment management.
Distribution reaches a wide audience
of financial professionals who advise
clients on investments and portfolio
management. Each issue features
an experienced investment advisor
who offers insights on active money
management, client service, and
investment approaches. Additionally,
Proactive Advisor Magazine offers
an up-close look at a topic with
current relevance to the field of
active management.
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are those of the author and may
not actually come to pass. Any opinions and viewpoints regarding the future
of the markets should not be construed as recommendations of any specific
security nor specific investment advice. The analysis and information in this
edition and on our website is for informational purposes only. No part of the
material presented in this edition or on our websites is intended as an investment
recommendation or investment advice. Neither the information nor any opinion
expressed nor any portfolio constitutes a solicitation to purchase or sell securities
or any investment program.
December 11, 2014 | proactiveadvisormagazine.com 3
TIPS & TOOLS
Understanding
the relevance
of risk-adjusted
returns
By Dave Walton
Read text only
proactiveadvisormagazine.com | December 11, 20144
continue on pg. 11
here have been a number of popular
media articles lately proclaiming
that active management is less than ideal for
investors. The articles claim, on average, active
management strategies don’t outperform pas-
sive strategies—and there is some data to cor-
roborate such claims. For example, on average,
hedge funds have generated negative alpha on
a rolling five-year basis.
Similarly, only 23% of actively managed
large-cap core mutual funds have outperformed
the S&P 500 year-to-date. Unfortunately,
the media lump together the diverse set of
hedge funds, stock-picking mutual funds,
and multi-manager/asset/strategy portfolio
approaches designed for risk-adjusted returns,
even though the differences are striking.
Unsurprisingly, the critics of active manage-
ment suggest a passive, buy-and-hold portfolio
mixing traditional asset classes (e.g., stocks,
bonds) in proportions designed to meet the
needs of specific investors. And in the midst
of the bull market we have experienced for the
past five years, this type of passive strategy has
indeed worked well. But does that mean active
management should be abandoned?
For many investors, the answer is probably
“no,” particularly when considering holistic
portfolio approaches as mentioned above. To
fully appreciate why, we must look not only at
returns but also at the risk side of the equation.
The 2014 DALBAR Quantitative
Analysis of Investor Behavior Report paints
a vastly different picture of passive returns.
Despite the theoretical performance of
holding passive funds, over the last 20 years
returns realized by investors have fallen se-
verely short. The table below highlights the
problem.
Of course there have been many ups
and downs over the last 20 years, so what
about the more recent past?
Well, according to the
same report, results for the
past three years have been
getting worse—equity fund
investors have lagged the
S&P 500 return by at least
five percentage points, with
the gap expanding each of
the last three years.
Why does this happen to investors? The
DALBAR report mentions that “the major
cause of the shortfall has been withdrawing
from investments at low points and buying
at market highs.” What this behavior likely
comes down to is that investors simply can’t
follow the passive strategy. It sounds counter-
intuitive, but despite the seeming simplicity of
the passive strategy and its recent outperfor-
mance, passive is still a strategy. And just like
active strategies, the rules must be followed.
What does all of this have to do with
risk-adjusted return? A lot, actually. Let’s
first define the term “risk-adjusted return.”
Ultimately it is a measure of performance per
unit of risk. But how do we define risk? Modern
finance has provided many ways to measure it:
volatility, standard deviation, beta, drawdown,
value-at-risk, etc. All of these risk metrics are
attempts to reduce the risk equation to a single
number and all use some form of historical per-
formance or scenarios based
on historical performance.
And all of these measures are
by definition assumed to be
temporary—tolerating some
level of risk to ultimately
achieve some level of return.
The problem is that such
quantifications overlook a
more fundamental, intuitive definition of risk:
what Warren Buffett refers to as “the permanent
loss of capital.” Using this definition of risk,
any temporary volatility, drawdown, etc. in the
past isn’t a concern. Instead we are concerned
with the potential for permanent losses moving
forward. But since the future is unknown, how
can we estimate the risk of a trading strategy by
this definition?
The answer is that we can define strategy
risk as the amount of capital that would be lost
before a decision is made that the strategy is not
While clients might profess a willingness to endure large portfolio drawdowns, when losses become a
reality, their attitudes and behavior often change swiftly. Explaining the relevance of risk management
and risk-adjusted returns is one of the most important tasks facing all advisors.
T
Total annualized
return
Actual investor
realized return
Investor performance
versus Index
Index maximum
drawdown (DD)
Return to
Max DD
Ratio
Equity funds 9.48% 5.02% -4.46 ppts.
Fixed income funds 5.77% 0.71% -5.06 ppts.
-50.95%
-5.15%
0.18
1.12
Source: DALBAR, Inc. 2014/Morningstar: S&P 500 TR Index, Barclays US Agg. TR Index, 1994-2013.
Equity returns for
individual investors
consistently lag
the S&P 500.
December 11, 2014 | proactiveadvisormagazine.com 5
Proactive Advisor Magazine: John, tell
me a little about your background and
why you became an advisor.
John McGonagle: I came from a family of
pretty modest means, which has been a driver
for trying to achieve business success. I have
always been interested in finance and business,
owning my own retail business at age 21. Even
when I was working 70-hour weeks in retail,
I appreciated how important the financial side
of the business was in terms of managing cash
flow, inventory, capital financing, etc. I suc-
cessfully cashed out of the retail business and
began a career that encompassed many sides of
the financial services industry: insurance, bank-
ing, financial product sales management and
marketing, commercial real estate, and business
Read text only
John McGonagle’s
SOCRATIC
APPROACH
By David Wismer
Photography by Tom McKenzie
Frank dialogue can create tension, but John McGonagle believes that
it helps clients better recognize their needs.
development. All of these experiences have
proven invaluable in shaping my perspective as
an advisor and RIA.
What were the commonalities of those
experiences?
I think process and collaboration are criti-
cally important in any endeavor. Education is
8 proactiveadvisormagazine.com | December 11, 2014
continue on pg. 10
also a big part of selling oneself and one’s capa-
bilities. It is much better to have the individual
across the table come to their own conclusions
based on the facts you have laid out, rather than
trying to just sell a concept, strategy, or service
in a heavy-handed way.
An early mentor introduced me to what I
call the “Five Ts”: time, temperament, technol-
ogy, training, and trust. You basically need all of
these to be successful in whatever you do—and
if you need to grow or become more expert in
one of these areas, find the best resource to help
you meet that need. Falling under the heading
of training, there might even be a sixth “T.” As I
grow my business, it is apparent how important
it is to be able to transfer knowledge to others
in your organization, so they can implement a
repeatable, successful process.
What is your focus with clients today?
We have several business entities under our
overall structure, but my team’s primary focus
is on retirement income planning. I employ a
very Socratic approach to the planning process,
involving clients in understanding what they
have been doing, where they need to go, and
where the underlying
shortfalls might
exist. Only then can
we come up with
a plan where they
will have buy-in and
be involved in the
solutions.
I like to study
human behavior and
how it pertains to
personal finances.
The types of questions you ask a client and the
order they are asked becomes very important.
The idea is not only to have a client see the issues
for themselves, but also for them to internalize
the need for solutions. If there is no tension in
problem-recognition, there is usually no real
action. People will not make changes because
they want to feel better about doing it; they will
make changes because there is a real, perceived
need for them. The good news is, ironically,
in the long run they will feel much better for
having done it.
The reality is that we are not only in the
investment services business, we are in the
investment services marketing business. There
is the obvious importance of prospecting for
new clients in terms of growing the practice.
But there is also a strong marketing element
to making sure clients are properly presented
with the information they need for informed
decision-making.
How does this apply to clients’
investments?
Once we have thoroughly gone through the
discovery process, I present solutions in incre-
ments, which I have found works best. Most of
the people we work with facing retirement want
some level of a guaranteed source of income
and the right annuity product may fit that need
nicely. But people also need to grow their assets
over time to provide for adequate distributions
throughout their retirement. How can one take
the assets gathered over a lifetime and turn
them into a paycheck?
This is where we will usually turn to active
money management by third-party managers.
I will ask a client, “What has to happen for
you to make money in a traditional investment
portfolio?” And they
answer correctly,
“The market has to
go up.” I lay out a
chart of the S&P
500, breaking it
down from 1980-
2000 and then 2000
through today. It be-
comes pretty obvious
that the fundamental
nature of the stock
market has changed. It does not always go
up—in fact, more recently, close to half of the
time it does not go up. I ask then if a long-only
investment strategy, staying fully invested at all
times, makes a lot of sense. The answer is pretty
universally “No.”
So we have to find a better way that goes
beyond modern portfolio theory. That is active
money management—it has the ability to go
to cash when needed, rotate into different asset
classes and sectors, or go inverse when there
is a bear market. Active money management
represents a strategy that is going to respond to
the marketplace in a proactive fashion. It can
help to preserve client capital through risk man-
agement in difficult markets, and perhaps even
profit during bear markets. But in favorable
markets, it can find a trend and take advantage
of the bull market.
“If there is no tension
in problem-recognition,
there is usually no action.
People make changes because
there is a real, perceived
need for changes.”
December 11, 2014 | proactiveadvisormagazine.com 9
Show your clients a
friendlier
bear market
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The opportunity for profits
carries with it the possibility of losses.
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Great explanation, John. What are the
benefits of active money management for
your practice and your clients?
The first major benefit is the element of
risk management. Active management is a
sophisticated approach to the volatility we have
seen over the past fifteen years. By smoothing
out volatility for client portfolios, active man-
agement helps me plan better for a range of
high-probability return expectations over the
long term.
Second, active management can help with
the most troubling issues of investor behavior.
While clients have been told for decades about
buy-and-hold investing, when markets crash
they naturally tend to panic. This can result in
some very bad decision-making. Active man-
agement can circumvent that issue in the first
place.
Third, my use of third-party managers allows
me to take a very impartial view of strategies
for my clients. I am not trying to advocate for
or against a specific strategy or manager—my
only goal is selecting the highest-quality man-
agers who can perform against their stated
objectives. It is also important to point out to
continued from pg. 9
“Active management is a
sophisticated approach to
the volatility we have seen
over the past fifteen years.”
clients that these are dedicated professionals
who are employing the most sophisticated
technical strategies and constantly evaluating
market conditions—no advisor can do that as
effectively on their own.
The bottom line is that active management
has become a differentiator for my practice—
offering my clients a solution they have likely
not heard about before and one that can present
a better answer for their investment needs.
10 proactiveadvisormagazine.com | December 11, 2014
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working and to stop trading it. Every strategy,
active or passive, has an implied growth rate
based on history—the return side of the equa-
tion. In order to achieve a certain return, fol-
lowers of the strategy must be willing to toler-
ate (pay) a certain level of temporary risk. The
strategy risk can then be quantified in terms of
how large temporary losses become before the
strategy is abandoned because it’s assumed to
be no longer functioning as expected. In prac-
tice, this is done using sophisticated statistical
approaches, but a simple example will suffice
to illustrate the point.
Let’s take another look at a passive invest-
ment in equities through this lens. Looking
back 20 years, the total return of the S&P
500 has been 9.48% through the end of 2013.
Over the same time period, we can also note
that the maximum drawdown over this period
was 50.95%. So the strategy risk for a passive
investment in the S&P 500 must be at least
as large as 50%. We have to assume that the
strategy is still working if another drawdown of
that magnitude is seen in the future.
But is this reasonable? Many investors
may not be able to handle a 50%—hopefully
temporary—loss of capital, even if they may be
ultimately happy with the realized return. The
cost of potentially losing more than half of one’s
capital is a steep price to pay. Yet this is the size
of the loss that must be taken before an investor
can consider the passive strategy to be no longer
functioning as expected.
For a stylized example, let’s say an investor
can tolerate a 30% drawdown before pulling
the plug on the strategy. Well, if this is the case,
then the passive equities strategy is not a good
match. We already know the strategy risk is
larger than that. If the investor ignores this and
attempts to follow the passive equities strategy
hoping for the best, the results can be disastrous.
Pulling the plug after a 30% drawdown converts
temporary losses into permanent ones. In other
words, the risk is realized and the return is not.
So what can be done? Traditional, passive
approaches reduce the allocation to a market
portfolio and increase the allocation to risk-free
assets. The result may or may not fit the risk/
reward needs of investors. Another option is to
diversify all or part of the portfolio into actively
managed strategies.
The business press often is unaware of the
fact that many active management strategies
are designed to have lower levels of strategy
risk than passive strategies—as the media often
focuses exclusively on performance versus an
arbitrary benchmark. Adding active strategies
can lower the overall portfolio risk to a level
tolerable to the investor and, in doing so, also
give one a fighting chance to realize the return
side of the equation.
continued from pg. 5
Adding active
strategies can lower
portfolio risk to a
tolerable level.
11December 11, 2014 | proactiveadvisormagazine.com
Jobs report surprises Street

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Jobs report surprises Street

  • 1. Jobs report surprises Street • pg. 7 Building stronger firm visibility • pg. 3 Relevance of risk-adjusted returns • pg. 4 December 11 | Volume 4 | Issue 11 First magazine focused on active investment management John McGonagle’s SOCRATICAPPROACHHow frank dialogue delivers client solutions
  • 2. TAX ALPHA THE POWER OF How can advisors level the playing field in a rising tax environment? For Financial Professional Use Only. Services are offered through Security Distributors, Inc., a subsidiary of Security Benefit Corporation (“Security Benefit”). 99-00471-50 2014/09/09 Download our white paper today to learn more: The Power of Tax Alpha: Adding Value by Subtracting Tax PowerOfTaxAlpha.com
  • 3. I am also a frequent speaker at in- dustry events, have trained other fi- nancial professionals, and contribute to various publications, primarily as an industry resource. Our firm belongs to the Better Business Bureau and the National Ethics Association, and I fea- ture both of those prominently on our website. On a more local basis, I take part in several charitable events and organizations. I think all of these activities com- bined fulfill a personal desire I have to give back to the profession and the community and to help in educating people.” hile I love to receive new client referrals from current clients, I also believe that it is important to maintain a high level of visibility in the community and in the professional arena. I have done this in a number of ways. For several years I have been an instructor at local college campuses, offering two-day courses for those ap- proaching retirement. I am sincerely interested in educating people on the issues of retirement, and it is a wonder- ful way to meet new people. I am very careful not to push the services of our firm, but I do offer attendees the op- portunity to have a personal two-hour session at my office. I am happy just to answer any specific personal questions they may have and if a relationship does develop, it is hopefully to both of our benefit. I have also hosted a local radio fi- nancial program on Sunday mornings, which I have had to cut back on recent- ly due to family obligations, but hope to resume on a regular basis once my children are older. I have covered all sorts of financial issues, including al- ternative investment approaches and active investment management. The re- tirement landscape has changed forev- er in America, and I have addressed the unique retirement challenges that Baby Boomers have to deal with. Building stronger visibility for an advisory firm Rodger Sprouse Overland Park, KS Titan Securities Sprouse Financial Group, Inc. W“ Rodger Sprouse is a registered representative of and offers securities and investment advisory services through Titan Securities, member FINRA/SIPC. Sprouse Financial Group is not affiliated with Titan Securities. All investments contain risk, including the loss of the entire principle invested. There can be no assurance that any investment product will achieve its investment objective(s). Investments should be considered based on personal investment objectives and suitability. Read text only Advertising proactiveadvisormagazine.com/advertising Reprints proactiveadvisormagazine.com/reprints Contact proactiveadvisormagazine.com/contact Proactive Advisor Magazine Copyright 2014 © Dynamic Performance Publishing, Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction of printed form, whole or in part, without permission is prohibited. Editor David Wismer Associate Editor Elizabeth Whitley Contributing Writers Dave Walton David Wismer Graphic Designer Travis Bramble Contributing Photographer Tom McKenzie December 11, 2014 Volume 4 | Issue 11 Proactive Advisor Magazine is dedicated to promoting and educating on active investment management. Distribution reaches a wide audience of financial professionals who advise clients on investments and portfolio management. Each issue features an experienced investment advisor who offers insights on active money management, client service, and investment approaches. Additionally, Proactive Advisor Magazine offers an up-close look at a topic with current relevance to the field of active management. The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are those of the author and may not actually come to pass. Any opinions and viewpoints regarding the future of the markets should not be construed as recommendations of any specific security nor specific investment advice. The analysis and information in this edition and on our website is for informational purposes only. No part of the material presented in this edition or on our websites is intended as an investment recommendation or investment advice. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed nor any portfolio constitutes a solicitation to purchase or sell securities or any investment program. December 11, 2014 | proactiveadvisormagazine.com 3 TIPS & TOOLS
  • 4. Understanding the relevance of risk-adjusted returns By Dave Walton Read text only proactiveadvisormagazine.com | December 11, 20144
  • 5. continue on pg. 11 here have been a number of popular media articles lately proclaiming that active management is less than ideal for investors. The articles claim, on average, active management strategies don’t outperform pas- sive strategies—and there is some data to cor- roborate such claims. For example, on average, hedge funds have generated negative alpha on a rolling five-year basis. Similarly, only 23% of actively managed large-cap core mutual funds have outperformed the S&P 500 year-to-date. Unfortunately, the media lump together the diverse set of hedge funds, stock-picking mutual funds, and multi-manager/asset/strategy portfolio approaches designed for risk-adjusted returns, even though the differences are striking. Unsurprisingly, the critics of active manage- ment suggest a passive, buy-and-hold portfolio mixing traditional asset classes (e.g., stocks, bonds) in proportions designed to meet the needs of specific investors. And in the midst of the bull market we have experienced for the past five years, this type of passive strategy has indeed worked well. But does that mean active management should be abandoned? For many investors, the answer is probably “no,” particularly when considering holistic portfolio approaches as mentioned above. To fully appreciate why, we must look not only at returns but also at the risk side of the equation. The 2014 DALBAR Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior Report paints a vastly different picture of passive returns. Despite the theoretical performance of holding passive funds, over the last 20 years returns realized by investors have fallen se- verely short. The table below highlights the problem. Of course there have been many ups and downs over the last 20 years, so what about the more recent past? Well, according to the same report, results for the past three years have been getting worse—equity fund investors have lagged the S&P 500 return by at least five percentage points, with the gap expanding each of the last three years. Why does this happen to investors? The DALBAR report mentions that “the major cause of the shortfall has been withdrawing from investments at low points and buying at market highs.” What this behavior likely comes down to is that investors simply can’t follow the passive strategy. It sounds counter- intuitive, but despite the seeming simplicity of the passive strategy and its recent outperfor- mance, passive is still a strategy. And just like active strategies, the rules must be followed. What does all of this have to do with risk-adjusted return? A lot, actually. Let’s first define the term “risk-adjusted return.” Ultimately it is a measure of performance per unit of risk. But how do we define risk? Modern finance has provided many ways to measure it: volatility, standard deviation, beta, drawdown, value-at-risk, etc. All of these risk metrics are attempts to reduce the risk equation to a single number and all use some form of historical per- formance or scenarios based on historical performance. And all of these measures are by definition assumed to be temporary—tolerating some level of risk to ultimately achieve some level of return. The problem is that such quantifications overlook a more fundamental, intuitive definition of risk: what Warren Buffett refers to as “the permanent loss of capital.” Using this definition of risk, any temporary volatility, drawdown, etc. in the past isn’t a concern. Instead we are concerned with the potential for permanent losses moving forward. But since the future is unknown, how can we estimate the risk of a trading strategy by this definition? The answer is that we can define strategy risk as the amount of capital that would be lost before a decision is made that the strategy is not While clients might profess a willingness to endure large portfolio drawdowns, when losses become a reality, their attitudes and behavior often change swiftly. Explaining the relevance of risk management and risk-adjusted returns is one of the most important tasks facing all advisors. T Total annualized return Actual investor realized return Investor performance versus Index Index maximum drawdown (DD) Return to Max DD Ratio Equity funds 9.48% 5.02% -4.46 ppts. Fixed income funds 5.77% 0.71% -5.06 ppts. -50.95% -5.15% 0.18 1.12 Source: DALBAR, Inc. 2014/Morningstar: S&P 500 TR Index, Barclays US Agg. TR Index, 1994-2013. Equity returns for individual investors consistently lag the S&P 500. December 11, 2014 | proactiveadvisormagazine.com 5
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  • 8. Proactive Advisor Magazine: John, tell me a little about your background and why you became an advisor. John McGonagle: I came from a family of pretty modest means, which has been a driver for trying to achieve business success. I have always been interested in finance and business, owning my own retail business at age 21. Even when I was working 70-hour weeks in retail, I appreciated how important the financial side of the business was in terms of managing cash flow, inventory, capital financing, etc. I suc- cessfully cashed out of the retail business and began a career that encompassed many sides of the financial services industry: insurance, bank- ing, financial product sales management and marketing, commercial real estate, and business Read text only John McGonagle’s SOCRATIC APPROACH By David Wismer Photography by Tom McKenzie Frank dialogue can create tension, but John McGonagle believes that it helps clients better recognize their needs. development. All of these experiences have proven invaluable in shaping my perspective as an advisor and RIA. What were the commonalities of those experiences? I think process and collaboration are criti- cally important in any endeavor. Education is 8 proactiveadvisormagazine.com | December 11, 2014
  • 9. continue on pg. 10 also a big part of selling oneself and one’s capa- bilities. It is much better to have the individual across the table come to their own conclusions based on the facts you have laid out, rather than trying to just sell a concept, strategy, or service in a heavy-handed way. An early mentor introduced me to what I call the “Five Ts”: time, temperament, technol- ogy, training, and trust. You basically need all of these to be successful in whatever you do—and if you need to grow or become more expert in one of these areas, find the best resource to help you meet that need. Falling under the heading of training, there might even be a sixth “T.” As I grow my business, it is apparent how important it is to be able to transfer knowledge to others in your organization, so they can implement a repeatable, successful process. What is your focus with clients today? We have several business entities under our overall structure, but my team’s primary focus is on retirement income planning. I employ a very Socratic approach to the planning process, involving clients in understanding what they have been doing, where they need to go, and where the underlying shortfalls might exist. Only then can we come up with a plan where they will have buy-in and be involved in the solutions. I like to study human behavior and how it pertains to personal finances. The types of questions you ask a client and the order they are asked becomes very important. The idea is not only to have a client see the issues for themselves, but also for them to internalize the need for solutions. If there is no tension in problem-recognition, there is usually no real action. People will not make changes because they want to feel better about doing it; they will make changes because there is a real, perceived need for them. The good news is, ironically, in the long run they will feel much better for having done it. The reality is that we are not only in the investment services business, we are in the investment services marketing business. There is the obvious importance of prospecting for new clients in terms of growing the practice. But there is also a strong marketing element to making sure clients are properly presented with the information they need for informed decision-making. How does this apply to clients’ investments? Once we have thoroughly gone through the discovery process, I present solutions in incre- ments, which I have found works best. Most of the people we work with facing retirement want some level of a guaranteed source of income and the right annuity product may fit that need nicely. But people also need to grow their assets over time to provide for adequate distributions throughout their retirement. How can one take the assets gathered over a lifetime and turn them into a paycheck? This is where we will usually turn to active money management by third-party managers. I will ask a client, “What has to happen for you to make money in a traditional investment portfolio?” And they answer correctly, “The market has to go up.” I lay out a chart of the S&P 500, breaking it down from 1980- 2000 and then 2000 through today. It be- comes pretty obvious that the fundamental nature of the stock market has changed. It does not always go up—in fact, more recently, close to half of the time it does not go up. I ask then if a long-only investment strategy, staying fully invested at all times, makes a lot of sense. The answer is pretty universally “No.” So we have to find a better way that goes beyond modern portfolio theory. That is active money management—it has the ability to go to cash when needed, rotate into different asset classes and sectors, or go inverse when there is a bear market. Active money management represents a strategy that is going to respond to the marketplace in a proactive fashion. It can help to preserve client capital through risk man- agement in difficult markets, and perhaps even profit during bear markets. But in favorable markets, it can find a trend and take advantage of the bull market. “If there is no tension in problem-recognition, there is usually no action. People make changes because there is a real, perceived need for changes.” December 11, 2014 | proactiveadvisormagazine.com 9
  • 10. Show your clients a friendlier bear market 800-347-3539 | flexibleplan.com Past performance does not guarantee future results. The opportunity for profits carries with it the possibility of losses. 800-347-3539 | flexibleplan.com A complete list of all of our recommendations over the last 12 months and Brochure Form ADV Part 2A are available upon request. L E A R N M O R E Advisory Services offered through EPI Advisors, LLC, a MI Registered Investment Advisor. Great explanation, John. What are the benefits of active money management for your practice and your clients? The first major benefit is the element of risk management. Active management is a sophisticated approach to the volatility we have seen over the past fifteen years. By smoothing out volatility for client portfolios, active man- agement helps me plan better for a range of high-probability return expectations over the long term. Second, active management can help with the most troubling issues of investor behavior. While clients have been told for decades about buy-and-hold investing, when markets crash they naturally tend to panic. This can result in some very bad decision-making. Active man- agement can circumvent that issue in the first place. Third, my use of third-party managers allows me to take a very impartial view of strategies for my clients. I am not trying to advocate for or against a specific strategy or manager—my only goal is selecting the highest-quality man- agers who can perform against their stated objectives. It is also important to point out to continued from pg. 9 “Active management is a sophisticated approach to the volatility we have seen over the past fifteen years.” clients that these are dedicated professionals who are employing the most sophisticated technical strategies and constantly evaluating market conditions—no advisor can do that as effectively on their own. The bottom line is that active management has become a differentiator for my practice— offering my clients a solution they have likely not heard about before and one that can present a better answer for their investment needs. 10 proactiveadvisormagazine.com | December 11, 2014
  • 11. There can be no assurance that any investment product will achieve its investment objective(s). There are risks associated with investing, including the entire loss of principal invested. Investing involves market risk. The investment return and principal value of any investment product will fluctuate with changes in market conditions. Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Gug- genheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC. Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC is affiliated with Guggenheim Partners, LLC. x0515 #12526 Uncover the True Cost of Trading Mutual Funds and ETFs The reflexive perception that ETFs cost less, simply based on their low expense ratios, and are more cost-effective than mutual funds, is not entirely true. In addition to an expense ratio, there are additional considerations that should be considered when making an informed choice between ETFs and funds— including spreads and commissions. This informative white paper from Rydex Funds provides an in-depth look at the cost of ownership of no-transaction-fee (NTF) mutual funds and ETFs—with a focus on active investing strategies. Request your free copy. Call 630.505.3749 or visit guggenheiminvestments.com/rydex Chicago | New York City | Santa Monica Rydex Funds A Comparison of ETFs and Mutual Funds—The True Cost of Investing working and to stop trading it. Every strategy, active or passive, has an implied growth rate based on history—the return side of the equa- tion. In order to achieve a certain return, fol- lowers of the strategy must be willing to toler- ate (pay) a certain level of temporary risk. The strategy risk can then be quantified in terms of how large temporary losses become before the strategy is abandoned because it’s assumed to be no longer functioning as expected. In prac- tice, this is done using sophisticated statistical approaches, but a simple example will suffice to illustrate the point. Let’s take another look at a passive invest- ment in equities through this lens. Looking back 20 years, the total return of the S&P 500 has been 9.48% through the end of 2013. Over the same time period, we can also note that the maximum drawdown over this period was 50.95%. So the strategy risk for a passive investment in the S&P 500 must be at least as large as 50%. We have to assume that the strategy is still working if another drawdown of that magnitude is seen in the future. But is this reasonable? Many investors may not be able to handle a 50%—hopefully temporary—loss of capital, even if they may be ultimately happy with the realized return. The cost of potentially losing more than half of one’s capital is a steep price to pay. Yet this is the size of the loss that must be taken before an investor can consider the passive strategy to be no longer functioning as expected. For a stylized example, let’s say an investor can tolerate a 30% drawdown before pulling the plug on the strategy. Well, if this is the case, then the passive equities strategy is not a good match. We already know the strategy risk is larger than that. If the investor ignores this and attempts to follow the passive equities strategy hoping for the best, the results can be disastrous. Pulling the plug after a 30% drawdown converts temporary losses into permanent ones. In other words, the risk is realized and the return is not. So what can be done? Traditional, passive approaches reduce the allocation to a market portfolio and increase the allocation to risk-free assets. The result may or may not fit the risk/ reward needs of investors. Another option is to diversify all or part of the portfolio into actively managed strategies. The business press often is unaware of the fact that many active management strategies are designed to have lower levels of strategy risk than passive strategies—as the media often focuses exclusively on performance versus an arbitrary benchmark. Adding active strategies can lower the overall portfolio risk to a level tolerable to the investor and, in doing so, also give one a fighting chance to realize the return side of the equation. continued from pg. 5 Adding active strategies can lower portfolio risk to a tolerable level. 11December 11, 2014 | proactiveadvisormagazine.com